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Senate "Big Six" will determine fate of parties on Election Day

The Fix
Copyright 2010
Tuesday, November 2, 2010; 6:41 AM

1. The Fix's Big Six Senate races -- Colorado, Illinois, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Washington and West Virginia -- are certain to determine whether Republicans have a good night or a great one Tuesday. Already four Democratic-held Senate seats are effectively conceded as GOP takeovers: North Dakota, Arkansas, Indiana and Wisconsin. Democrats have some long-shot hopes for Sen. Russ Feingold (D) but acknowledge that he is a clear underdog against wealthy businessman Ron Johnson. Democratic pickup opportunities, on the other hand, are few and far between. The Kentucky open seat contest appears to have slipped as ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R) has a clear lead over state Attorney General Jack Conway (D) in recent polling. The best chance for Democrats appears to be, oddly enough, Alaska where an independent poll released Monday showed attorney Joe Miller (R), Sitka Mayor Scott McAdams (D) and Sen. Lisa Murkowski, who is running as a write-in

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