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13 Keys to Keeping the White House

More than five answers of "false" forecast an incumbent-party loss of the popular vote.

13 Keys to Keeping the White House

SOURCE: International Journal of Forecasting; Allan J. Lichtman, American University | GRAPHIC: Patterson Clark, The Washington Post

This Story In the Quake Model, Rumblings Favor Obama Article \| More than a quarter-century ago, a historian with an interest in American politics was at a dinner party at the California Institute of Technology and found himself seated next to a Soviet geophysicist and mathematician who studied earthquake prediction. Why Fluff-Over-Substance Makes Perfect Evolutionary Sense 13 Keys to Keeping the White House Transcript: Science: Forecasting Political Results		TOOLBOX E-Mail This Save/Share + Digg Facebook Reddit Twitter myspace SOURCE: International Journal of Forecasting; Allan J. Lichtman, American University \| GRAPHIC: Patterson Clark, The Washington Post ¬es=More than five answers of 'false' forecast an incumbent-party loss of the popular vote." onclick="if ( typeof otto != 'undefined' ) { }" onmouseover="changebg2('delicious')" onmouseout="resetbg2('delicious')" target="new">del.icio.us SOURCE: International Journal of Forecasting; Allan J. Lichtman, American University \| GRAPHIC: Patterson Clark, The Washington Post \'),\'newstrust\'+(new Date()).getMilliseconds(),\'dependent=no,scrollbars=yes,resizable=yes,alwaysRaised=yes,status=yes,directories=yes,location=yes,menubar=yes,toolbar=yes,width=430,height=750,modal=no\'));ntw.focus();'" onclick="if ( typeof otto != 'undefined' ) { }" onmouseover="changebg2('newstrust')" onmouseout="resetbg2('newstrust')">NewsTrust Stumble It! COMMENT 0 Comments Your browser's settings may be preventing you from commenting on and viewing comments about this item. See instructions for fixing the problem. Discussion Policy CLOSE Comments that include profanity or personal attacks or other inappropriate comments or material will be removed from the site. Additionally, entries that are unsigned or contain "signatures" by someone other than the actual author will be removed. Finally, we will take steps to block users who violate any of our posting standards, terms of use or privacy policies or any other policies governing this site. Please review the full rules governing commentaries and discussions. You are fully responsible for the content that you post. Who's Blogging » Links to this graphic		More on washingtonpost.com • More Nation News » washingtonpost.com
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