Washington Post Poll

The Washington Post
Updated: Friday, November 16, 2007 with questions 29 to 34; and 36 to 38.
First published Friday, October 12, 2007

Read More: Maryland Poll Data  |  More Coverage of Virginia Trends

This Washington Post poll was conducted by telephone October 4-8, 2007, among a random sample of 1,144 adults in the Commonwealth of Virginia, including additional interviews with randomly-selected adults living in Loudoun (total=109) and Prince William (total=101) counties. The results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points. For the samples of 504 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents and 508 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents it is plus or minus four percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.

*= less than 0.5 percent
RV=Registered voters
LV=Likely voters

1. What is the single biggest issue facing Virginia today?


                                 ------Likely Voters------
                                       Northern     Rest
                          All    All   Virginia   of state 
Transportation/
 traffic/roads and 
 transit                   21     22      38         16
Economy/jobs               13     14       8         17
Education                   8      5       4          6
Immigration/illegal      
 immigration                7      9      17          7
Taxes                       7      7       3          8
Health care                 6      9       2         12
Crime                       5      4       0          6
Iraq/War in Iraq            4      4       6          3
Environment                 3      3       6          2
Housing/mortgages/                     
 affordable housing         3      2       3          2
Energy issues/gas                         
 prices                     2      2       2          2
Ethics/honesty/                         
 corruption in                         
 government                 2      2       1          2
State budget/deficit        2      2       2          2
Guns/Gun control            1      *       0          *
Abortion                    *      *       1          0
Mental health issues        *      0       0          0
Terrorism/national 
 Security                   *      1       0          1
Drugs                       *      1       0          1
The election                *      *       1          *
Growth/Over 
 Development                *      *       1          0
None                        *      *       1          0
Other                       7      7       4          9
DK/No opinion               9      4       3          4

2. (IF GAVE ISSUE, Q1) Is there another issue that's almost as important?

                                 ------Likely Voters------
                                       Northern     Rest
                          All    All   Virginia   of state 
Transportation/
 traffic/roads and 
 transit                   12     11      15          9
Education                   9     11      11         12
Economy/jobs                7      6       5          6
Health care                 7      8       1         10
Taxes                       7      8       9          8
Immigration/illegal 
 immigration                6      8      16          5
Crime                       5      4       2          5
Iraq/War in Iraq            4      4       2          4
Environment                 3      3       8          2
Housing/mortgages/                    
 affordable housing         3      3       3          3
Energy issues/gas                         
 prices                     2      4       3          4
Abortion                    1      1       2          0
Ethics/honesty/                        
 corruption in                         
 government                 1      2       2          2
State budget/deficit        1      1       1          1
Guns/Gun control            *      1       0          1
Mental health issues        *      *       0          *
Terrorism/national 
 Security                   1      1       1          1
Drugs                       1      1       0          1
The election                1      2       2          2
Growth/Over 
 Development                *      *       *          *
None                        2      2       2          3
Other                       6      5       4          5
DK/No opinion              19     15      13         16

Q1/Q2 NET Top 1 or 2 issues*

                                 ------Likely Voters------
                                       Northern     Rest
                          All    All   Virginia   of state 
Transportation/
 traffic/roads and 
 transit                   31     33      52         25
Economy/jobs               20     20      11         23
Education                  15     16      14         17
Health care                13     17       4         22
Immigration/illegal 
 immigration               13     17      31         11
Taxes                      13     15      11         16
Crime                      10      7       2         10
Iraq/War in Iraq            8      7       7          7
Environment                 7      6      12          4
Housing/mortgages/                 
 affordable housing         5      5       6          5
Energy issues/gas                  
 prices                     4      5       5          5
Ethics/honesty/                    
 corruption in                     
 government                 3      4       3          4
State budget/deficit        2      3       2          3
Abortion                    1      1       3          0
Drugs                       1      1       0          2
The election                1      2       3          2
Guns/Gun control            1      1       0          2
Terrorism/national 
 Security                   1      1       1          1
Growth/Over 
 Development                1      1       2          *
Mental health issues        *      *       0          *
None                        2      2       2          3
Other                      12     11       6         13
DK/No opinion               9      4       3          4

*Combined first and second responses, does not add to 100.

3. Do you think things in the state of Virginia (are generally going in the right direction) or do you feel things (have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track)?

                  Right       Wrong      No
                direction     track     opin.
10/8/07 All        52           43        5   
10/8/07 RV         54           41        5
10/8/07 LV         57           39        4
10/12/06 LV        67           30        3
10/26/05 LV        70           25        5
9/9/05 LV          68           28        4 
9/9/05 RV          65           31        4 
8/23/01 RV         59           34        7
8/27/00 RV         71           22        7
6/23/94 RV         53           38        8
2/3/94             55           36        9

4. Generally speaking, how would you rate the overall economy of Virginia: excellent, good, not-so-good or poor?

                ----Excellent/Good----    ----Not so good/Poor----   No
                NET   Excellent   Good    NET    Not so good  Poor  opin.
10/8/07 All     70        7        63     29         23         6     1 
10/8/07 LV      72       10        62     28         23         5     * 
9/9/05 RV       83       12        70     17         14         3     *
10/25/01 LV     76        8        68     23         20         3     1
8/23/01 RV      78        9        69     21         18         4     1
8/27/00 RV      87       21        67     12         10         2     1
10/27/97 LV     83       16        67     16         13         3     1
9/16/97 RV      82       15        68     17         13         4     1 

5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

             ---------Approve---------   --------Disapprove-------    No   
             NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opin.
10/8/07 All  35       16         19      63       15         48        2 
10/8/07 RV   37       18         20      61       13         47        2 
10/12/06 LV  43       26         17      56       12         44        1
10/26/05 LV  44       NA         NA      55       NA         NA        2
9/9/05 LV    47       NA         NA      51       NA         NA        2
9/9/05 RV    47       NA         NA      51       NA         NA        2 

Compare to Post-ABC national :

Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?


             -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
             NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
9/30/07      33       15         18      64       14         49        3 

6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tim Kaine is handling his job as governor?

                Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
10/8/07 All        63         25           12
10/8/07 RV         65         26            9
10/8/07 LV         67         27            5
10/12/06 LV        77         19            4

7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way James Webb is handling his job as U.S. Senator?

                Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
10/8/07 All        50         27           22
10/8/07 RV         52         28           20   

8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Warner is handling his job as U.S. Senator?


                Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
10/8/07 All        65         22           14
10/8/07 RV         67         21           12    

9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Virginia state legislature is doing its job?

 

                Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
10/8/07 All        44         44           12 
10/8/07 RV         43         46           10    
10/8/07 LV         43         53            4    
10/12/06 LV        52         42            6
8/27/00 RV         66         20           14

10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way (ITEM) are doing their job?

10/8/07 Summary Table

a. the Republicans in the state legislature

                Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
10/8/07 All        40         50           10  
10/8/07 LV         40         56            4    

b. the Democrats in the state legislature

                Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
10/8/07 All        49         40           11  
10/8/07 LV         52         45            3    

11. Generally speaking, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of:

10/8/07 - Summary Table

                      Favorable    Unfavorable    No opin.
a. Mark Warner           67            19           15
b. Jim Gilmore           40            33           27
c. Tom Davis             28            18           54

Trend where available:

a. Mark Warner

               Favorable    Unfavorable    No opin.
10/8/07 All       67            19            15
10/8/07 RV        69            19            12    
10/12/06 LV       73            20             7
10/26/05 LV       75            19             6
9/9/05 LV         70            26             4
9/9/05 RV         69            23             8          
10/25/01 LV       62            30             8         
8/23/01  RV       65            23            12         

b. Jim Gilmore

               Favorable    Unfavorable    No opin.
10/8/07 ALL       40            32            28
10/8/07 RV        41            34            25
9/16/97           60            27            13

c. No Trend.

12. Which political party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you trust to do a better job handling (ITEM)?

10/8/07 - Summary Table
                                                      Both    Neither   No
                             Democrats  Republicans  (vol.)   (vol.)    op.
a. The situation in Iraq         43          36         3       15       4
b. The U.S. campaign 
   against terrorism             38          40         5       12       5
c. Taxes                         45          37         3       12       3
d. Immigration issues            41          33         3       17       5

Trend where available:

a. The situation in Iraq  
                                         Both    Neither    No      
                Democrats  Republicans  (vol.)    (vol.)    op.
10/8/07             43          36         3       15        4
Compare to Post-ABC national poll:
                                         Both    Neither    No      
                Democrats  Republicans  (vol.)    (vol.)    op.
9/30/07             49          34         3       11        3

b. The U.S. campaign against terrorism 
                                         Both    Neither    No      
                Democrats  Republicans  (vol.)    (vol.)    op. 
10/8/07             38          40         5       12        5

Compare to Post-ABC national poll:
                                         Both    Neither    No      
                Democrats  Republicans  (vol.)    (vol.)    op. 
9/30/07             41          40         5       10        4

c,d. No Trend.

13. (FOR LIKELY VOTER SCREENING) Would you say you are following this year's races for General Assembly in Virginia very closely, fairly closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?


                ------Closely------    -----Not closely-----    No
                NET   Very   Fairly    NET   Not too  At all   opin.
10/8/07         38     10      28      62       34      27       *

14. (REGISTERED VOTERS; FOR LIKELY VOTER SCREENING) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the Virginia state elections this November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?

                Certain   Probably  Chances  Less than  Don't think     No 
                to Vote    vote      50/50    50/50    will vote(vol.) opin.
10/8/07           70         15       11        2            1          * 

15. Regardless of your local contest, which party would you like to see in control of the Virginia state legislature after the November elections, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans)?

            Democrats     Republicans     Prefer divided (vol.)     No op.
10/8/07 All    50              38                  7                  5 
10/8/07 LV     50              42                  7                  2

16. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS ONLY) For each item I name, please tell me how important it will be in your vote for the STATE LEGISLATURE this year - extremely important, very important, somewhat important or not at all important?

a. Transportation issues

            ------ Important ------     ------ Not Important ------      No
            NET   Extremely   Very      NET   Somewhat   Not at all     opin.
10/8/07 RV  66       27        39       34       28           6           *
10/8/07 LV  70       32        38       30       27           3           0

b. The economy  

            ------ Important ------     ------ Not Important ------      No
            NET   Extremely   Very      NET   Somewhat   Not at all     opin.
10/8/07 RV  81       37        44       19       17           2           1
10/8/07 LV  83       39        44       17       15           1           *

c. Immigration issues      

            ------ Important ------     ------ Not Important ------      No
            NET   Extremely   Very      NET   Somewhat   Not at all     opin.
10/8/07 RV  66       29        36       34       28           6           1
10/8/07 LV  74       36        38       25       21           4           1

d. Taxes   
            ------ Important ------     ------ Not Important ------      No
            NET   Extremely   Very      NET   Somewhat   Not at all     opin.
10/8/07 RV  78       32        46       22       20           3           *
10/8/07 LV  79       34        45       21       19           2           0

17. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS ONLY) If a candidate for the state legislature [READ ITEM] would that make you (more likely) to vote for that candidate, (less likely), or doesn't it make a difference in your vote? How about if a candidate [NEXT ITEM]?

a. Supports the Bush administration on most issues

            More likely     Less likely     No difference     No opinion		
10/8/07 RV      27              44               28                1      
10/8/07 LV      28              47               24                1      

b. Backs the state's new abusive driver fees

            More likely     Less likely     No difference     No opinion		
10/8/07 RV      18              55               24                3      
10/8/07 LV      19              56               23                3      

c. Wants strong state and local action against illegal immigrants

            More likely     Less likely     No difference     No opinion		
10/8/07 RV      56              19               24                1      
10/8/07 LV      60              17               23                0      

18/18a. Thinking ahead to next year's U.S. Senate race, if the Virginia Republican party held a primary election and the candidates were (Tom Davis) and (Jim Gilmore), for whom would you vote? Which candidate are you leaning toward?

NET VOTE:
             Tom        Jim       Other      Neither      Would not       No 
            Davis     Gilmore     (vol.)      (vol.)     vote (vol.)     opin.
10/8/07      29         48          *           4             1           18  

19/19a. And thinking about the NOVEMBER 2008 U.S. Senate race, if the election were being held today and the candidates were (Mark Warner, the Democrat), and (Tom Davis, the Republican), for whom would you vote? Which candidate are you leaning toward?

NET VOTE:
             Mark       Tom      Other      Neither      No 
            Warner     Davis     (vol.)      (vol.)     opin.
10/8/07       63        28         0           3          6  

20/20a. And thinking about the NOVEMBER 2008 U.S. Senate race, if the election were being held today and the candidates were (Mark Warner, the Democrat), and (Jim Gilmore, the Republican), for whom would you vote? Which candidate are you leaning toward?


NET VOTE:
             Mark        Jim      Other      Neither      No 
            Warner     Gilmore    (vol.)      (vol.)     opin.
10/8/07       61         31         *           3          5  

21. And what is the single most important issue to you when thinking about the November 2008 U.S. Senate race?

                         10/8/07                    
Iraq/War in Iraq           17         
Economy/jobs               16              
Immigration/illegal 
 immigration                8       
Health care                 7                
Taxes                       7
Education                   6           
Ethics/honesty/                         
 corruption in                         
 government                 6              
Transportation/
 traffic/roads and 
 transit                    4
Terrorism/national 
 Security                   4
Environment                 2             
Abortion                    1       
Crime                       1      
Energy issues/gas                         
 prices                     1             
Federal budget/deficit      1         
Guns/Gun control            *                
Housing/mortgages/                     
 affordable housing         *             
Mental health issues        *            
Drugs                       *
None                        *
Other                       6
DK/No opinion              13

22. Is traffic congestion a problem in your part of the state, or not? IF PROBLEM: Is it a very serious problem or only somewhat serious?


             ------ Problem ------      Not a         No
             NET   Very   Somewhat     problem     opinion    
10/8/07 All  63     39       24           37          *
10/8/07 LV   62     42       21           38          0 

23. Would you say the traffic in your area has gotten much better, somewhat better, stayed about the same, gotten somewhat worse, or gotten much worse over the last five years?

             --------Better-------            --------Worse--------    No
             NET   Much   Somewhat    Same    NET   Somewhat   Much    op.
10/8/07 All  11      3        8        25     62       30       32      2
10/8/07 LV    9      2        7        22     69       34       35      0

24. From what you've heard or read, do you believe that the state's new transportation funding plan spends (too little), (too much), or the right amount of money on transportation projects?

             Too       Too      Right      Never heard of        No
            little     much     amount        it (vol.)       opinion
10/8/07 All   45        16        25              7              7
10/8/07 LV    56        14        23              3              4

25. As you may know, a new state law includes a series of abusive driver fees, ranging from seven hundred and fifty dollars to three thousand dollars targeting those with multiple driving violations. Overall, do you support or oppose these fees?

            Support     Oppose     No opinion 		
10/8/07 All   34          63             2
10/8/07 LV    34          64             2

26. (IF OPPOSE FEES, Q25) What's the main reason you oppose these fees - do you think (they're too high), (they should also apply to out-of-state drivers) or something else?

             Too     Should also apply to    Something     Both               No
             high    out-of-state drivers      else       (vol.)    Unfair    op.
10/8/07 All	31              37                 15         14         3       1	
10/8/07 LV	27              43                 12         14         3       *	

27. All in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, do you think the war with Iraq was worth fighting, or not? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

              ----- Worth fighting ----     --- Not worth fighting --     No     
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat     NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion 
10/8/07       39       27         12        58       13         45         3 

Compare to Post-ABC national poll:

9/30/07       38       25         14        59       12         47         3 


28. Do you think (the United States should keep its military forces in Iraq until civil order is restored there, even if that means continued U.S. military casualties); OR, do you think (the United States should withdraw its military forces from Iraq in order to avoid further U.S. military casualties, even if that means civil order is not restored there)?

                                                            

             Keep forces   Withdraw forces   No opinion 
10/8/07          45              51               4

Compare to Post-ABC national poll:

9/30/07          43              54               3

29. Now thinking about recent immigrants who have come to the U.S. to live and work in the past ten years or so. How many recent immigrants would you say live in your part of Virginia - many, some, only a few or none?

            --- Many/Some ---     --- Few/None ---
            NET   Many   Some     NET   Few   None     No opinion 
10/8/07     86     62     24      12    11      1            2 

30. How much contact do you, personally have with recent immigrants - a great deal, a moderate amount, not much or none at all?

             ------ Contact ------    ----- No Contact ----
                    Grt   Moderate            Not     None         No
             NET    deal   amount     NET    much    at all     opinion
10/8/07 All  52      19      33       47      31       16          1

31. (IF RECENT IMMIGRANTS, Q29) Generally speaking, have the recent immigrants in your area made it a (better) place to live, or a (worse) place to live?

            Better     Worse     No difference (vol.)     No opinion
10/8/07 All   31        31              32                      5

32. Which comes closer to your own views - (immigrants today strengthen our country because of their hard work and talents), or (immigrants today are a burden on our country because they take our jobs, housing, and health care)?

            Strengthen     Burden     No opinion
10/8/07 All     48           46             7
8/2/04*         47           47             6

*Kaiser/Harvard/NPR national poll

33. In general, do you think most recent immigrants do enough to learn English and fit in with American culture and values, or not?

            Do enough     Do NOT do enough     No opinion
10/8/07 All    25               70                  5

34. Generally, do you think recent immigrants are (more) likely to be involved in criminal activity than people born here, (less) likely, or isn't there much difference?

             More     Less     No Difference     No opinion
10/8/07 All   25        9            63                3

35. How about ILLEGAL immigrants? Is illegal immigration a problem in your part of the state, or not? IF PROBLEM: is it a very serious problem or only somewhat serious?

             ------ Problem ------
             NET   Very   Somewhat     Not a problem     No opinion
10/8/07 All  51     20       32              38               11
10/8/07 LV   61     22       39              32                7

36. What, if anything, is your main concern about illegal immigrants - is it that you think they (take jobs from legal residents), (commit crimes), (use more in services than they pay in taxes), (broke the law to get here), (don't share American values and culture) or something else?

                            10/8/07            
Use more in services                          
 than they pay in taxes        32   
Broke the law to  
 get here                      24   
Take jobs from                            
 legal residents               13           
Don't share American 
 values and culture             6   
Commit crimes                   4                
Other                           6         
(VOL) The should learn English  2         
(VOL) All of the above          3         
(VOL) No concerns               7         
No opinion                      2         

37. Would you support or oppose your local government setting up a place where day laborers could gather while they wait to be hired?

            Support     Oppose     No opinion
10/8/07 All    58          39           4

38. (IF SUPPORT, Q37) What if some of these day laborers were in the country illegally, in that case, would you support or oppose your local government setting up such a site?

            Support     Oppose     No opinion
10/8/07 All   46          49            5

37/38 NET:

              ------------------ Support -----------------
                    Even if immig.   Oppose if immig.   No                 No 
              NET      illegal            illegal       op.     Oppose     op.
10/8/07 All   58         27                 28           3        39        4

39. In dealing with the issue of illegal immigration, do you think the FEDERAL government has (gone too far), has done about the right amount, or (has not gone far enough)?

             Gone        Has not gone       Has done          No
            too far       far enough      right amount     opinion
10/8/07 All   11              69               16             4
10/8/07 LV    10              76               11             2

40. Overall how much do you want the STATE and LOCAL governments to do to deal with the issue of illegal immigration a lot, some, not much or not at all?

             --- A Lot/Some ---     --- Not much/At all ---        No
             NET   A lot   Some     NET   Not much   At all     opinion
10/8/07 All  87     53      34      12        6         6          1
10/8/07 LV   89     60      29      10        5         6          1

41. Would you support or oppose a measure requiring local police in your area to check the immigration status of anyone they suspect of a crime and believe to be an illegal immigrant?

             Support     Oppose     No opinion
10/8/07 All    78          19            2

42. (IF SUPPORT, Q41) What if that meant fewer illegal immigrants would cooperate with police investigations and report crimes in that case would you support or oppose the measure?

            Support     Oppose     No opinion
10/8/07 All    82          15           3

41/42 NET:


             ----------------- Support -----------------
                   Even if fewer   Oppose if fewer   No                 No
             NET     cooperate        cooperate      op.     Oppose     op.
10/8/07 All  78         64               12           3        19        2

43. How closely are you following the 2008 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?


              ----- Closely ------     ----- Not closely ------      No
              NET    Very    Smwt.     NET    Not too    At all    opinion 
10/8/07        74     30      44        26       16        10          *

Compare to Post-ABC national poll:
 
9/30/07        69     21      48        30       21        10          * 

08DEM1/1a. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were: (Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, Barack Obama, Bill Richardson, Joe Biden, Chris Dodd, Dennis Kucinich, or Mike Gravel), for whom would you vote?

NET LEANED VOTE

                   10/8/07    Nat'l 9/30/07*
Hillary Clinton      49             53
Barack Obama         25             20
John Edwards         11             13
Bill Richardson       3              3
Joe Biden             3              2
Dennis Kucinich       1              1
Chris Dodd  
Mike Gravel           *              0
Other (vol.)          0              *   
None of 
 these (vol.)         1              4
Would not             
 vote (vol.)          *              1 
No opinion            5              2
*Washington Post-ABC News national poll

08REP1/1a. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) If the 2008 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were: (Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, Sam Brownback, Tom Tancredo, Ron Paul, or Fred Thompson), for whom would you vote?

NET LEANED VOTE: 

                      10/8/07    Nat'l 9/30/07*
Rudy Giuliani           34            34
John McCain             20            12
Fred Thompson           19            17
Mitt Romney              9            11
Mike Huckabee            2             8
Duncan Hunter            2             2
Ron Paul                 2             3
Sam Brownback            1             1
Tom Tancredo             1             1
Other (vol.)             *             *
None of these (vol.)     4             4
Would not vote (vol.)    2             1
No opinion               5             8
*Washington Post-ABC News national poll*              

46. Which of these is more important to you in a candidate for president: (strength and experience) or (a new direction and new ideas)?


            Strength and    New direction      Both     Neither     No 
             experience     and new ideas     (vol.)     (vol.)    opin.
10/8/07          52               38             8         1         1
9/30/07*         52               40             7         1         1
*Washington Post-ABC News national poll

47. If (NAME) wins the (Democratic/Republican) nomination for president would you definitely vote for (him/her) in the general election for president in 2008, would you consider voting for (him/her) or would you definitely not vote for (him/her)?

10/8/07 - Summary Table 

                       Definitely      Would       Definitely       No 
                          would       consider      would not     opinion
a. Hillary Clinton         30            25            44            2  	
b. Barack Obama            21            39            35            5
c. John Edwards            16            37            42            5
d. Rudy Giuliani           15            36            45            4
e. John McCain             14            40            42            5
f. Mitt Romney              9            29            53            9
g. Fred Thompson           12            30            48           10

Trend National poll Washington Post-ABC News 9/30/07:

a. Hillary Clinton

                       Definitely      Would       Definitely       No 
                          would       consider      would not     opinion
10/8/07                    30            25            44            2
National 9/30/07           30            28            41            1
b. Barack Obama

                       Definitely      Would       Definitely       No 
                          would       consider      would not     opinion
10/8/07                    21            39            35            5
National 9/30/07           21            37            39            3
c. John Edwards

                       Definitely      Would       Definitely       No 
                          would       consider      would not     opinion
10/8/07                    16            37            42            5
National 9/30/07           16            38            43            3
d. Rudy Giuliani

                       Definitely      Would       Definitely       No 
                          would       consider      would not     opinion
10/8/07                    15            36            45            4
National 9/30/07           17            36            44            2
e. John McCain

                       Definitely      Would       Definitely       No 
                          would       consider      would not     opinion
10/8/07                    14            40            42            5
National 9/30/07           13            39            45            3
f. Mitt Romney

                       Definitely      Would       Definitely       No 
                          would       consider      would not     opinion
10/8/07                     9            29            53            9
National 9/30/07            8            28            57            7
g. Fred Thompson

                       Definitely      Would       Definitely       No 
                          would       consider      would not     opinion
10/8/07                    12            30            48           10
National 9/30/07           10            29            54            7

48. Regardless of who you may support, which of the Democratic candidates do you think (ITEM)?

a. (FULL SAMPLE) has the best chance of getting elected president in November 2008              

                   10/8/07 All        10/8/07 Democrats*   
Hillary Clinton      57                 65
Barack Obama         18                 15
John Edwards          9                  8
Bill Richardson       1                  1
Joe Biden             1                  1
Chris Dodd            *                  *
Dennis Kucinich       *                  0
Mike Gravel           *                  0
Other (vol.)          1                  *
None of 
 these (vol.)         2                  *
No opinion           11                  9
*Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents

b. (FULL SAMPLE) is closest to you on the issues

                   10/8/07 All   10/8/07 Democrats*   
Hillary Clinton      29                 45
Barack Obama         24                 27
John Edwards         13                 11
Bill Richardson       4                  2
Joe Biden             3                  3
Chris Dodd            *                  *
Dennis Kucinich       1                  2
Mike Gravel           1                  *
Other (vol.)          1                  *
None of 
 these (vol.)        10                  1
No opinion           12                  7
*Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents

c. (LEANED DEMOCRATS ONLY) best reflects the core values of the Democratic Party

                   10/8/07   
Hillary Clinton      45        
Barack Obama         23        
John Edwards         13        
Bill Richardson       1         
Joe Biden             2         
Dennis Kucinich       2 
Chris Dodd            *         
Mike Gravel           0         
Other (vol.)          1  
None of 
 these (vol.)         2         
No opinion           11         

d. (LEANED DEMOCRATS ONLY) is the strongest leader

                   10/8/07   
Hillary Clinton      59        
Barack Obama         19        
John Edwards          7        
Joe Biden             2         
Bill Richardson       1         
Chris Dodd            1         
Dennis Kucinich       1         
Mike Gravel           *         
Other (vol.)          1         
None of 
 these (vol.)         1         
No opinion            9         
       

49. Regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you think (ITEM)?

a. (FULL SAMPLE) has the best chance of getting elected president in November 2008 

                      10/8/07 All   10/8/07 Republicans*    
Rudy Giuliani           39                 47
John McCain             18                 16
Fred Thompson           12                 15
Mitt Romney              6                  5
Mike Huckabee            1                  *
Ron Paul                 1                  1
Sam Brownback            *                  *
Duncan Hunter            *                  *
Tom Tancredo             *                  0
Other (vol.)             2                  2
None of these (vol.)     5                  3    
No opinion              15                 11
*Republicans and Republican-leaning independents      
b. (FULL SAMPLE) is closest to you on the issues

                      10/8/07 All   10/8/07 Republicans*    
Rudy Giuliani           21                  27
John McCain             21                  22
Fred Thompson           11                  16
Mitt Romney              7                   8
Ron Paul                 4                   3
Mike Huckabee            2                   3
Sam Brownback            1                   1
Duncan Hunter            1                   1
Tom Tancredo             1                   0
Other (vol.)             2                   1 
None of these (vol.)    10                   3
No opinion              19                  15
*Republicans and Republican-leaning independents   

c. (LEANED REPUBLICANS ONLY) best reflects the core values of the Republican Party

                      10/8/07    
Rudy Giuliani           22         
John McCain             22   
Fred Thompson           20         
Mitt Romney              8         
Mike Huckabee            3          
Ron Paul                 2          
Sam Brownback            1          
Duncan Hunter            1        
Tom Tancredo             *         
Other (vol.)             2          
None of these (vol.)     3          
No opinion              17         

d. (LEANED REPUBLICANS ONLY) is the strongest leader

                      10/8/07    
Rudy Giuliani           42         
John McCain             25 
Fred Thompson           11         
Mitt Romney              5         
Mike Huckabee            1          
Ron Paul                 1          
Sam Brownback            *          
Duncan Hunter            *         
Tom Tancredo             0         
Other (vol.)             1          
None of these (vol.)     1          
No opinion              12         

50. Putting aside for a moment the question of who the nominees might be - would you prefer the next president to be (a Democrat), (a Republican), or something else? IF DEMOCRAT OR REPUBLICAN: Do you prefer a [Democrat/Republican] strongly, or somewhat?

           ---- Democrat ----    --- Republican ---    Independent   Something   No 
           NET  Stngly  Smwht    NET  Strngly  Smwht      (vol.)       else      op.
10/8/07    45     37       9     34      24      10         2           11        8 

51. (IF NOT DEM OR REP, Q50) Which way are you leaning, (a Democrat) or (a Republican)?

            Democrat     Republican     No opinion				
10/8/07        36            36              29

50/51 NET:

            Democrat     Republican    Independent (vol.)    Something else    No op.
10/8/07        52            41                *                    2            4


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