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  • Campaign '98

  • Key Races: The House
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    Campaign '98 Pundit Watch: The House

    Updated November 2, 1998

    With history and scandal as their guide, most political pundits have predicted that Republicans will add to their 228-seat majority in the House of Representatives. A carefully hedged forecast by the staff of Congressional Quarterly seems to be the only analysis predicting any Democratic gains. Below are some leading observers' predictions. Single-click on linked names for the exact prediction.

    Predicted Party Gains
    scale

    Congressional Quarterly
     2 seats

     
    Ken Rudin, washingtonpost.com
     2-3 seats
    Democratic Gains
    Low Guess
    High Guess

     
    Mark Shields, Capitol Gang host
     0-5 seats
    Republican Gains
    Low Guess
    High Guess

     
    Gwen Ifill, NBC News reporter
     5 seats

     
    Bill Maher, "Politically Incorrect" host
     5 seats

     
    Stuart Rothenberg, newsletter editor
     0-6 seats

     
    Whit Ayers, GOP pollster
     6 seats

     
    Jodie Allen, "Slate" Washington editor
     6 seats

     
    Ron Lester, Democratic pollster
     7 seats

     
    Linda DiVall, Republican pollster
     7 seats

     
    Robert Novak, columnist
     8 seats

     
    Bill Schneider, CNN analyst
     1-9 seats

     
    Charlie Cook, newsletter editor
     1-9 seats

     
    George Stephanopoulos, former Clinton advisor
     9 seats

     
    Merle Black, Emory University political scientist
     9 seats

     
    Sam Donaldson, ABC White House corespondent
     9 seats

     
    Mary Matalin, GOP consultant
     8-10 seats

     
    Gerard Baker, Financial Times's Washington bureau chief
     11 seats

     
    Norah O'Donnell, Roll Call political reporter
     11 seats

     
    Christopher Matthews, "Hardball" host
     11 seats

     
    Paul Weyrich, Free Congress Foundation president
     11 seats

     
    Cokie Roberts, "This Week" co-host
     2-12 seats

     
    Bill McInturff, GOP pollster
     10-12 seats


     
    Ed Rollins, GOP consultant
     10-12 seats

     
    Ed Goeas, GOP pollster
     13 seats

     
    Laura Ingraham, "Watch It," host
     13 seats

     
    Tony Blankley, George magazine writer
     8-15 seats

     
    Morton Kondracke, Roll Call editor
     15 seats

     
    William Kristol, Weekly Standard editor
     15 seats

     
    George F. Will, conservative columnist
     6-20 seats

     
    Dick Morris, political consultant
     20-30seats

     
    Conventional Wisdom Watch, Newsweek
     30 seats

     
    scale

    Source: The Hotline, Time, Newsweek, Washington Post, Roll Call, television transcripts.

    © Copyright 1998 The Washington Post Company

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