Washington Post-ABC News Poll

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone October 19-22, 2008, among a random national sample of 1,539 registered voters, including 1,335 likely voters. Interviews were conducted on both landline and cellular telephones. The results from the full survey have margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points. Error margins for subgroups are larger. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) How closely are you following the presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?

              ---- Closely -----   ---- Not closely -----     No
              NET   Very   Smwt.   NET   Not too   At all   opinion
10/22/08 RV   89     57     32     11        6        5        *
10/21/08 RV   90     58     32     10        6        4        *
10/20/08 RV   90     57     34     10        6        4        *
10/19/08 RV   90     57     33     10        6        3        *  
10/11/08 RV   92     59     33      8        4        4        *
9/29/08  RV   89     58     31     11        7        5        * 
9/22/08  RV   91     55     36      9        5        4        0
9/7/08   RV   89     51     38     10        6        5        *
8/22/08  RV   84     42     42     16       11        5        *
7/13/08  RV   79     36     42     21       12        9        1
6/15/08       75     34     41     25       12       13        *
5/11/08       83     39     44     17       13        5        0  
4/13/08       84     37     47     16       11        5        *  
3/2/08        84     42     42     15       11        4        * 
2/1/08        81     35     46     19       12        7        *
1/12/08       79     32     47     21       15        6        *  
12/9/07       72     21     51     28       19        8        *
11/1/07       67     21     46     33       22       12        0  
9/30/07       69     21     48     30       21       10        * 
7/21/07       70     22     48     30       20       10        *  
6/1/07        66     18     48     34       22       13        *  
4/15/07       66     20     45     34       20       14        *  
2/25/07       65     20     44     35       25       10        *

10/20/04 RV   89     55     34     10        7        3        *

10/20/00 LV   86     46     40     15       11        4        *

Call for full trend.

2. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?

Certain  Probably  Chances  Less than   will vote    voted   No    
              to vote    vote     50/50     that       (vol.)     (vol.)   op.
10/22/08 RV     81         5        5        2           1           5      *
10/21/08 RV     82         6        5        2           1           4      *
10/20/08 RV     81         6        5        3           1           4      *
10/19/08 RV     83         6        5        3           1           4      *
10/11/08 RV     87         5        4        1           *           2      0
9/29/08  RV     87         6        5        1           1                  *
9/22/08  RV     89         6        4        1           *                  *
9/7/08   RV     85         7        5        1           1                  *     
8/22/08  RV     84        10        4        2           *                  *
7/13/08  RV     79        10        7        3           2                  0
6/15/08         71         9        8        7           4                  *
3/2/08          78         9        7        4           2                  *

3.(ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats) and (John McCain and Sarah Palin, the Republicans), for whom would you vote? (ASKED IF ALREADY VOTED) For whom did you vote?

NET LEANED VOTE - LIKELY VOTERS

                            Other    Neither     No
           Obama   McCain   (vol.)    (vol.)   opinion
10/22/08     54      43       1         1         2
10/21/08     54      43       1         1         1
10/20/08     53      44       1         1         1
10/19/08     53      44       1         1         2
10/11/08     53      43       1         1         2
9/29/08      50      46       *         2         2 
9/22/08      52      43       *         1         3
9/7/08       47      49       1         1         3
8/22/08      49      45       *         2         4
7/13/08      49      46       1         2         2
6/15/08      47      48       1         2         2

NET LEANED VOTE - REGISTERED VOTERS

                            Other    Neither   Would not       No
           Obama   McCain   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
10/22/08     54      41       1         2          1            3
10/21/08     53      41       1         1          1            3
10/20/08     52      42       1         1          1            3
10/19/08     52      42       1         1          1            3 
10/11/08     54      41       1         2          *            2
9/29/08      49      45       1         2          *            3
9/22/08      52      42       1         1          *            4
9/7/08       47      46       1         1          1            4
8/22/08      49      43       *         3          2            3
7/13/08      50      42       1         3          1            2
6/15/08      49      45       1         3          1            3
5/11/08      51      44       *         2          1            1
4/13/08      49      44       *         3          3            2
3/2/08       53      40       *         2          1            3 
2/1/08       47      48       1         1          1            2
1/19/07      47      45       *         3          1            4


3b. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS IF NAMED CANDIDATE) Would you definitely vote for (CANDIDATE), or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? (IF CHANCE CHANGE MIND) Is there a GOOD CHANCE you'll change your mind, or would you say it's PRETTY UNLIKELY?


Definitely   -Chance change mind -     No
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
10/22/08 LV       90        9      4        5         1
10/21/08 LV       89       10      5        5         1
10/20/08 LV       89       10      4        6         1
10/19/08 LV       88       10      5        6         1 
10/11/08 LV       88       11      4        7         1
9/29/08  RV       82       17      8        9         1 
9/22/08  RV       83       16      8        8         1
9/7/08   RV       79       20      8       12         1
8/22/08  RV       73       24     11       13         3
7/13/08  RV       72       25     10       15         3
6/15/08  RV       72       26     11       16         2
5/11/08  RV       69       28     15       14         3
9/26/04  RV       82       16      4       12         2
9/8/04   RV       84       14      6        8         2
8/29/04  RV       81       18      7       11         1
8/1/04   RV       80       19      7       12         1
7/25/04  RV       78       20      7       13         2
7/11/04  RV       79       21      7       13         1
6/20/04  RV       73       26     12       14         *

Barack Obama:

              Definitely   -Chance change mind -     No 
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
10/22/08 LV       90        8      3        5         1
10/21/08 LV       89        9      4        6         1
10/20/08 LV       90        9      3        6         1
10/19/08 LV       91        9      3        5         1 
10/11/08 LV       90        9      3        6         1
9/29/08  RV       83       16      7        9         1 
9/22/08  RV       85       14      8        7         1
9/7/08   RV       78       21      9       12         1
8/22/08  RV       74       23      7       15         4
7/13/08  RV       72       23      9       14         5
6/15/08  RV       71       26      7       19         3
5/11/08  RV       71       25     13       13         4

John McCain: 

              Definitely   -Chance change mind -     No 
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
10/22/08 LV       90        9      4        5         1
10/21/08 LV       89       11      5        5         1
10/20/08 LV       89       11      5        5         1
10/19/08 LV       86       12      6        6         1
10/11/08 LV       86       14      4        9         *
9/29/08  RV       81       18      9        9         1
9/22/08  RV       81       18      9        9         2
9/7/08   RV       80       19      8       11         2
8/22/08  RV       72       25     14       11         2
7/13/08  RV       71       28     12       17         1
6/15/08  RV       72       27     14       12         1
5/11/08  RV       66       32     17       15         2


4. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Have you voted for president in any year before this
2008 election, or is this the first year you'll be voting for president?

Voted before   First time   No opinion
10/22/08 LV        87            13            *
10/21/08 LV        87            12            *
10/20/08 LV        88            11            *
10/19/08 LV        89            11            *
10/11/08 LV        90            10            0
9/29/08* RV        92             8            *
9/22/08  RV        92             8            0

10/31/04 RV        90            10            *
*9/29/08 and previous: "(Was this/will this be) the first time you've voted in a presidential 
election, or have you voted in previous presidential elections?"

5. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) What [was/is] the SINGLE most important issue in your choice for president: (The economy), (the war in Iraq), (terrorism), (energy policy), (health care), or something else?

                                             Energy   Health   Something   No 
              Economy    Iraq    Terrorism   policy    care       else     op.
10/22/08 LV     51         8         5          4       10         20       1
10/21/08 LV     51         9         5          4       10         20       1
10/20/08 LV     52         8         6          5        9         19       1
10/19/08 LV     53         7         6          4        9         19       2   

6. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust more to handle [ITEM] - (Obama) or (McCain)?

10/22/08 - Summary Table
                                           Both    Neither     No
                         Obama   McCain   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
a. The economy            56       38        1        3         2

Trend:

a. The economy

                                Both    Neither     No 
              Obama   McCain   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/22/08 LV    56       38        1        3         2
10/21/08 LV    55       38        1        4         2
10/20/08 LV    55       38        1        4         2
10/19/08 LV    55       39        1        4         1
10/11/08 LV    54       37        1        6         2
9/29/08  RV    50       43        1        3         2
9/22/08  RV    53       39        1        4         3
9/7/08   RV    47       42        1        4         6
8/22/08  RV    50       39        2        5         4
7/13/08  RV    54       37        2        6         3
6/15/08  RV    52       37        2        5         4 
5/11/08  RV    48       38        2        8         4
3/2/08   RV    50       37        2        6         5

7. (ASKED OF LIKELY LEANED OBAMA/MCCAIN SUPPORTERS) Thinking about his candidacy for president so far, how enthusiastic are you about [NAME] - very enthusiastic, fairly enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

10/22/08 - Summary Table - Among Likely Leaned Obama/McCain Supporters

            --- Enthusiastic --   ---- Not enthusiastic ----     No
            NET   Very   Fairly   NET   Not too   Not at all   opinion
a. Obama    94     67      28      5        5          1          *
b. McCain   88     40      48     12       10          2          1

Trend:

a. Obama

              --- Enthusiastic --   ---- Not enthusiastic ----     No
              NET   Very   Fairly   NET   Not too   Not at all   opinion
10/22/08 LV   94     67      28      5        5          1          *
10/21/08 LV   95     64      31      5        4          1          *
10/20/08 LV   95     65      31      5        4          1          *
10/19/08 LV   96     64      32      4        3          1          *
10/11/08 LV   96     66      30      4        3          1          *
9/29/08  RV   95     61      34      4        4          *          1
9/22/08  RV   94     62      32      6        4          1          *
9/7/08   RV   96     64      32      4        3          1          0
8/22/08  RV   95     52      43      5        2          3          *
6/15/08  RV   91     52      39      9        7          2          *

b. McCain

10/22/08 LV   88     40      48     12       10          2          1
10/21/08 LV   88     37      51     11       10          1          *
10/20/08 LV   88     38      50     12       11          2          *
10/19/08 LV   87     40      47     13       11          2          *
10/11/08 LV   87     31      57     13       10          2          0
9/29/08  RV   90     38      52     10        7          2          *
9/22/08  RV   89     34      55     10        8          2          1
9/7/08   RV   92     46      46      8        6          2          0
8/22/08  RV   86     28      58     13       11          2          1
6/15/08  RV   74     19      55     25       19          6          1

Compare to:

10/26/04 - Summary Table - Among Likely Voters, Leaned Bush/Kerry Supporters

              --- Enthusiastic --    ---- Not Enthusiastic ----     No
              NET   Very   Fairly    NET   Not too   Not at all   opinion
a. Bush       91     55      36       9       8          1          *
b. Kerry      92     46      47       7       6          1          1

8. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) If McCain were elected president, do you think he'd (mainly lead the country in a new direction), or (mainly continue in George W. Bush's direction)?

               
				  New        Same        No
              direction   direction   opinion
10/22/08 LV      45          52          3
10/21/08 LV      46          51          3
10/20/08 LV      47          50          3
10/19/08 LV      48          49          4
10/11/08 LV      45          52          3
10/11/08 RV      46          51          3
9/29/08  RV      46          53          2
9/7/08   RV      46          50          4
8/22/08  RV      40          57          4
6/15/08  RV      41          55          5

9. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Regardless of who you may support, do you think Obama does or does not have the kind of experience it takes to serve effectively as president?

              Does   Does not   No opinion
10/22/08 LV    56       42           2
10/21/08 LV    56       42           2
10/20/08 LV    54       43           2
10/19/08 LV    54       44           2
10/11/08 LV    56       42           2
10/11/08 RV    54       45           2
9/29/08  RV    52       45           2
9/7/08   RV    48       48           4
8/22/08  RV    50       47           3
6/15/08  RV    48       48           4
3/2/08   RV    49       46           5

10. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS, 10/21-22) If elected, [ITEM]. If you honestly assessed yourself, is that something with which you're entirely comfortable, somewhat comfortable, somewhat uncomfortable or entirely uncomfortable?

10/22/08 - Summary Table

                  ------ Comfortable ------   ----- Uncomfortable -----   No
                  NET   Entirely   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Entirely   op.
a. McCain would   
   take office
   at age 72      50       30         20      49       23         26       1
b. Obama would
   be the first   
   African-
   American
   president      90       76         14       8        3          5       2

Trend:

a. McCain would take office at age 72

              ------ Comfortable ------   ----- Uncomfortable -----   No
              NET   Entirely   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Entirely   op.
10/22/08 LV   50       30         20      49       23         26       1
10/21/08 LV   48       29         20      51       22         29       1
10/11/08 RV   50       27         23      50       24         25       *
9/29/08  RV   52       31         20      48       25         23       1
9/7/08   RV   56       32         24      42       23         19       3
8/22/08  RV   55       30         25      45       24         20       1

b. Obama would be the first African-American president

10/22/08 LV   90       76         14       8        3          5       2
10/21/08 LV   90       76         14       7        3          4       2
10/11/08 RV   91       74         16       9        5          4       1
8/22/08  RV   87       70         17      11        6          6       2


11. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Have you personally been contacted by a representative of the [CANDIDATE] campaign, either by phone or in-person, asking you for your support, or not? How about by a representative of the [NEXT CANDIDATE] campaign?

            Yes   No   No opinion 
a. Obama    21    78        1
b. McCain   14    85        1

12. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Have you personally received any e-mail or text messages from the [CANDIDATE] campaign asking you for your support, or not? How about by a representative of the [NEXT CANDIDATE] campaign?

            Yes   No   No opinion 
a. Obama    16    83        1
b. McCain   10    89        *

901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what? IF NOT DEMOCRAT OR REPUBLICAN: Do you lean more towards the (Democratic Party) or (Republican Party)?

                                                                   ---Non-Partisans--
                                                                   Lean   Lean    No
            Democrat   Republican   Independent   Other   No op.   Dem.   Rep.   Lean
10/22/08 LV    36          27            33         3       1       15     13      
9 10/21/08 LV  36          29            31         3       1       15     12      
8 10/20/08 LV  36          29            31         3       1       15     12      
8 10/19/08 LV  35          28            33         3       1       15     13     
9 10/11/08 LV  39          30            27         3       1       12     12      7

908a. Would you say your views on most political matters are liberal, moderate, or conservative?


                                                     Don't think in      No
            Liberal    Moderate    Conservative    those terms (vol.)    op.
10/22/08 LV    21         42            34                  2             2
10/21/08 LV    20         43            34                  2             2
10/20/08 LV    21         41            35                  1             1
10/19/08 LV    21         41            35                  2             2

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