Washington Post-ABC News Poll

This Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll was conducted by telephone Oct. 29-Nov. 1, 2008, among a random national sample of 2,446 registered voters, including 2,172 likely voters. Interviews were conducted on both landline and cellular telephones. The results from the full survey have margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2 percentage points. Error margins for subgroups are larger. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) How closely are you following the presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?

              ---- Closely -----   ---- Not closely -----     No
              NET   Very   Smwt.   NET   Not too   At all   opinion
11/1/08  RV   90     61     29     10        6        4        *
10/31/08 RV   89     60     29     11        7        4        *
10/30/08 RV   89     59     29     11        7        4        *
10/29/08 RV   89     60     30     10        6        4        *
10/28/08 RV   90     59     31     10        6        4        *
10/27/08 RV   91     60     31      9        5        4        *
10/26/08 RV   90     60     30      9        5        4        *
10/25/08 RV   89     59     30     11        6        5        *
10/24/08 RV   89     60     28     11        6        5        *
10/23/08 RV   88     58     30     12        6        6        *
10/22/08 RV   89     57     32     11        6        5        *
10/21/08 RV   90     58     32     10        6        4        *
10/20/08 RV   90     57     34     10        6        4        *
10/19/08 RV   90     57     33     10        6        3        *  
10/11/08 RV   92     59     33      8        4        4        *
9/29/08  RV   89     58     31     11        7        5        * 
9/22/08  RV   91     55     36      9        5        4        0
9/7/08   RV   89     51     38     10        6        5        *
8/22/08  RV   84     42     42     16       11        5        *
7/13/08  RV   79     36     42     21       12        9        1
6/15/08       75     34     41     25       12       13        *
5/11/08       83     39     44     17       13        5        0  
4/13/08       84     37     47     16       11        5        *  
3/2/08        84     42     42     15       11        4        * 
2/1/08        81     35     46     19       12        7        *
1/12/08       79     32     47     21       15        6        *  
12/9/07       72     21     51     28       19        8        *
11/1/07       67     21     46     33       22       12        0  
9/30/07       69     21     48     30       21       10        * 
7/21/07       70     22     48     30       20       10        *  
6/1/07        66     18     48     34       22       13        *  
4/15/07       66     20     45     34       20       14        *  
2/25/07       65     20     44     35       25       10        *

11/1/04 RV    91     60     31      8        5        3        *

11/1/00 LV    91     48     43      9        7        2        *

Call for full trend.


2. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?

                                                     Don't think  Already 
              Certain  Probably  Chances  Less than   will vote    voted   No    
              to vote    vote     50/50     that       (vol.)     (vol.)   op.
11/1/08  RV     71         5        3        2           *          19      *
10/31/08 RV     73         5        3        1           1          16      *
10/30/08 RV     74         6        4        1           *          15      *
10/29/08 RV     76         5        4        1           1          13      1
10/28/08 RV     77         6        4        1           1          11      1
10/27/08 RV     76         6        4        1           1          11      1
10/26/08 RV     78         6        4        1           1          10      *
10/25/08 RV     78         5        5        2           1          10      *
10/24/08 RV     79         5        5        2           1           8      *
10/23/08 RV     80         5        5        2           1           6      *
10/22/08 RV     81         5        5        2           1           5      *
10/21/08 RV     82         6        5        2           1           4      *
10/20/08 RV     81         6        5        3           1           4      *
10/19/08 RV     83         6        5        3           1           4      *
10/11/08 RV     87         5        4        1           *           2      0
9/29/08  RV     87         6        5        1           1                  *
9/22/08  RV     89         6        4        1           *                  *
9/7/08   RV     85         7        5        1           1                  *     
8/22/08  RV     84        10        4        2           *                  *
7/13/08  RV     79        10        7        3           2                  0
6/15/08         71         9        8        7           4                  *
3/2/08          78         9        7        4           2                  *



3. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats) and (John McCain and Sarah Palin, the Republicans), for whom would you vote? (ASKED IF ALREADY VOTED) Confidentially and for statistical purposes only, did you vote for (Barack Obama and Joe Biden) or for (John McCain and Sarah Palin)?

NET LEANED VOTE - LIKELY VOTERS

                            Other    Neither     No
           Obama   McCain   (vol.)    (vol.)   opinion
11/1/08      54      43       1         1         1
10/31/08     53      44       1         1         2
10/30/08     53      44       1         1         2
10/29/08     52      44       1         1         2
10/28/08     52      44       1         1         3
10/27/08     52      45       1         1         2
10/26/08     52      45       *         1         2
10/25/08     52      45       *         1         2
10/24/08     53      44       1         1         2
10/23/08     53      44       *         1         2
10/22/08     54      43       1         1         2
10/21/08     54      43       1         1         1
10/20/08     53      44       1         1         1
10/19/08     53      44       1         1         2
10/11/08     53      43       1         1         2
9/29/08      50      46       *         2         2 
9/22/08      52      43       *         1         3
9/7/08       47      49       1         1         3
8/22/08      49      45       *         2         4
7/13/08      49      46       1         2         2
6/15/08      47      48       1         2         2

NET LEANED VOTE - REGISTERED VOTERS

                            Other    Neither   Would not       No
           Obama   McCain   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
11/1/08      54      42       1         1          *            2
10/31/08     53      43       1         1          *            2
10/30/08     53      42       1         2          *            3
10/29/08     51      42       1         2          1            3
10/28/08     51      42       1         2          1            3
10/27/08     51      42       1         2          1            3
10/26/08     51      43       1         1          1            3
10/25/08     51      44       *         1          *            3
10/24/08     52      42       1         2          *            3
10/23/08     52      42       1         1          1            3
10/22/08     54      41       1         2          1            3
10/21/08     53      41       1         1          1            3
10/20/08     52      42       1         1          1            3
10/19/08     52      42       1         1          1            3 
10/11/08     54      41       1         2          *            2
9/29/08      49      45       1         2          *            3
9/22/08      52      42       1         1          *            4
9/7/08       47      46       1         1          1            4
8/22/08      49      43       *         3          2            3
7/13/08      50      42       1         3          1            2
6/15/08      49      45       1         3          1            3
5/11/08      51      44       *         2          1            1
4/13/08      49      44       *         3          3            2
3/2/08       53      40       *         2          1            3 
2/1/08       47      48       1         1          1            2
1/19/07      47      45       *         3          1            4



3b. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS IF NAMED CANDIDATE) Would you definitely vote for (CANDIDATE), or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? (IF CHANCE CHANGE MIND) Is there a GOOD CHANCE you'll change your mind, or would you say it's PRETTY UNLIKELY?

Definitely   -Chance change mind -     No
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
11/1/08  LV       94        6      2        3         1
10/31/08 LV       93        7      3        4         1
10/30/08 LV       93        7      2        4         1
10/29/08 LV       92        7      3        5         1
10/28/08 LV       91        9      3        5         *
10/27/08 LV       91        9      3        5         *
10/26/08 LV       91        9      3        6         *
10/25/08 LV       91        9      3        6         *
10/24/08 LV       91        9      4        5         1
10/23/08 LV       91        9      4        5         1
10/22/08 LV       90        9      4        5         1
10/21/08 LV       89       10      5        5         1
10/20/08 LV       89       10      4        6         1
10/19/08 LV       88       10      5        6         1 
10/11/08 LV       88       11      4        7         1
9/29/08  RV       82       17      8        9         1 
9/22/08  RV       83       16      8        8         1
9/7/08   RV       79       20      8       12         1
8/22/08  RV       73       24     11       13         3
7/13/08  RV       72       25     10       15         3
6/15/08  RV       72       26     11       16         2
5/11/08  RV       69       28     15       14         3
9/26/04  RV       82       16      4       12         2
9/8/04   RV       84       14      6        8         2
8/29/04  RV       81       18      7       11         1
8/1/04   RV       80       19      7       12         1
7/25/04  RV       78       20      7       13         2
7/11/04  RV       79       21      7       13         1
6/20/04  RV       73       26     12       14         *

Barack Obama:

              Definitely   -Chance change mind -     No 
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
11/1/08  LV       95        5      2        3         *
10/31/08 LV       94        6      2        4         *
10/30/08 LV       94        6      1        4         1
10/29/08 LV       94        6      1        5         *
10/28/08 LV       92        7      2        5         *
10/27/08 LV       92        7      2        5         *
10/26/08 LV       92        8      3        5         *
10/25/08 LV       93        7      3        4         *
10/24/08 LV       92        7      3        4         *
10/23/08 LV       91        8      4        4         1
10/22/08 LV       90        8      3        5         1
10/21/08 LV       89        9      4        6         1
10/20/08 LV       90        9      3        6         1
10/19/08 LV       91        9      3        5         1 
10/11/08 LV       90        9      3        6         1
9/29/08  RV       83       16      7        9         1 
9/22/08  RV       85       14      8        7         1
9/7/08   RV       78       21      9       12         1
8/22/08  RV       74       23      7       15         4
7/13/08  RV       72       23      9       14         5
6/15/08  RV       71       26      7       19         3
5/11/08  RV       71       25     13       13         4

John McCain: 

              Definitely   -Chance change mind -     No 
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
11/1/08  LV       93        7      3        3         1
10/31/08 LV       91        8      4        4         1
10/30/08 LV       91        8      3        5         1
10/29/08 LV       90        9      4        5         1
10/28/08 LV       89       10      4        6         1
10/27/08 LV       90       10      4        6         *
10/26/08 LV       89       11      4        7         *
10/25/08 LV       88       11      3        8         1
10/24/08 LV       89       10      4        6         1
10/23/08 LV       90       10      4        5         1
10/22/08 LV       90        9      4        5         1
10/21/08 LV       89       11      5        5         1
10/20/08 LV       89       11      5        5         1
10/19/08 LV       86       12      6        6         1
10/11/08 LV       86       14      4        9         *
9/29/08  RV       81       18      9        9         1
9/22/08  RV       81       18      9        9         2
9/7/08   RV       80       19      8       11         2
8/22/08  RV       72       25     14       11         2
7/13/08  RV       71       28     12       17         1
6/15/08  RV       72       27     14       12         1
5/11/08  RV       66       32     17       15         2

4. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Have you voted for president in any year before this 2008 election, or is this the first year you'll be voting for president?

              Voted before   First time   No opinion
11/1/08  LV        88            12            *
10/31/08 LV        87            13            *
10/30/08 LV        87            12            *
10/29/08 LV        88            11            *
10/28/08 LV        88            12            *
10/27/08 LV        89            11            0
10/26/08 LV        88            12            0
10/25/08 LV        88            12            0
10/24/08 LV        88            12            0
10/23/08 LV        87            13            *
10/22/08 LV        87            13            *
10/21/08 LV        87            12            *
10/20/08 LV        88            11            *
10/19/08 LV        89            11            *
10/11/08 LV        90            10            0
9/29/08* RV        92             8            *
9/22/08  RV        92             8            0

11/1/04 RV         91             9            0
*9/29/08 and previous: "(Was this/will this be) the first time you've voted in a presidential election, or have you voted in previous presidential elections?"

5. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) What [was/is] the SINGLE most important issue in your choice for president: (The economy), (the war in Iraq), (terrorism), (energy policy), (health care), or something else?

Energy   Health   Something   No 
              Economy    Iraq    Terrorism   policy    care       else     op.
11/1/08  LV     51         9         5          2       10         21       1
10/31/08 LV     51        10         5          3       10         21       1
10/30/08 LV     53         9         4          3       10         21       1
10/29/08 LV     53         9         3          3        9         21       1
10/28/08 LV     54         9         4          3        9         20       1
10/27/08 LV     54         8         4          4       10         19       1
10/26/08 LV     53         8         5          4       10         19       1
10/25/08 LV     52         8         6          5       11         18       1
10/24/08 LV     51         8         5          4       11         19       1
10/23/08 LV     51         8         5          4       10         21       1
10/22/08 LV     51         8         5          4       10         20       1
10/21/08 LV     51         9         5          4       10         20       1
10/20/08 LV     52         8         6          5        9         19       1
10/19/08 LV     53         7         6          4        9         19       2   

6. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust more to handle [ITEM] - (Obama) or (McCain)?

11/1/08 - Summary Table*

                                           Both    Neither     No
                         Obama   McCain   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
a. The economy            55       40        1        3         1
b. An unexpected major
   crisis                 51       45        1        1         1
c. Taxes                  52       41        1        3         3
*Half sample for items b-c.

Trend:

a. The economy

                                Both    Neither     No 
              Obama   McCain   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
11/1/08  LV    55       40        1        3         1
10/31/08 LV    54       40        1        3         2
10/30/08 LV    54       41        1        3         2
10/29/08 LV    53       41        1        2         2
10/28/08 LV    52       42        1        3         2
10/27/08 LV    52       43        1        3         2
10/26/08 LV    52       42        1        3         3
10/25/08 LV    53       42        *        3         2
10/24/08 LV    55       40        1        2         2
10/23/08 LV    56       39        1        2         2
10/22/08 LV    56       38        1        3         2
10/21/08 LV    55       38        1        4         2
10/20/08 LV    55       38        1        4         2
10/19/08 LV    55       39        1        4         1
10/11/08 LV    54       37        1        6         2
9/29/08  RV    50       43        1        3         2
9/22/08  RV    53       39        1        4         3
9/7/08   RV    47       42        1        4         6
8/22/08  RV    50       39        2        5         4
7/13/08  RV    54       37        2        6         3
6/15/08  RV    52       37        2        5         4 
5/11/08  RV    48       38        2        8         4
3/2/08   RV    50       37        2        6         5

Compare to:
                                Both    Neither     No
              Kerry    Bush    (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/30/04 LV    48       45        1        3         3

                                Both    Neither     No
              Gore     Bush    (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/25/00 LV    48       45        2        3         3

                                Both    Neither     No
             Clinton   Dole    (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
9/4/96   RV    48       42        2        6         3

                                       All      None      No
             Clinton   Bush   Perot   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
10/4/92  LV    43       26     20        1        5        5

                                Both    Neither     No
             Dukakis   Bush    (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
11/1/88  LV    40       51      NA        NA         9           



b. An unexpected major crisis
11/1/08  LV    51       45        1        1         1
10/31/08 LV    50       46        2        1         2
10/30/08 LV    49       46        1        1         2
10/29/08 LV    48       47        2        1         2
10/28/08 LV    47       48        1        2         3
10/27/08 LV    46       48        2        2         3
10/19/08 LV    49       45        1        2         2
10/11/08 LV    52       43        1        3         1
9/29/08  RV    44       50        1        2         3
9/22/08  RV    46       47        2        2         3
9/7/08   RV    37       54        2        3         3
8/22/08  RV    41       52        2        2         3
7/13/08  RV    42       51        3        2         3

Compare to:
                                Both    Neither     No       
              Kerry    Bush    (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
6/20/04        41       53        1        2         2
*"Please tell me whether the following statement applies more to (Bush) or more to (Kerry): He can be trusted in a crisis."


c. Taxes

11/1/08  LV    52       41        1        3         3
10/31/08 LV    53       40        1        4         3
10/30/08 LV    52       41        *        4         3
10/29/08 LV    51       41        1        4         3
10/28/08 LV    52       41        1        4         2
10/27/08 LV    51       41        1        4         3
10/21/08 LV    51       43        1        3         2
10/20/08 LV    50       43        1        4         2
10/19/08 LV    52       42        1        4         2
10/11/08 LV    52       42        1        5         1
9/29/08  RV    48       46        *        3         3
9/7/08   RV    45       44        *        4         7
8/22/08  RV    44       45        1        5         5
6/15/08  RV    47       42        1        6         5

Compare to:

                                Both    Neither     No
              Kerry    Bush    (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/17/04 LV    42       50        1        4         4

                                Both    Neither     No
              Gore     Bush    (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/26/00 LV    37       50        2        9         4

                                Both    Neither     No
             Clinton   Dole    (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
9/4/96   RV    35       48        3       10         4

                                       All      None      No
             Clinton   Bush   Perot   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
10/4/92  LV    41       30     15        1        6        7

                                Both    Neither     No
             Dukakis   Bush    (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
9/19/88  LV    30       57        2        5         7


7. (ASKED OF LIKELY LEANED OBAMA/MCCAIN SUPPORTERS) Thinking about his candidacy for president so far, how enthusiastic are you about [NAME] - very enthusiastic, fairly enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

11/1/08 - Summary Table - Among Likely Leaned Obama/McCain Supporters

            --- Enthusiastic --   ---- Not enthusiastic ----     No
			            NET   Very   Fairly   NET   Not too   Not at all   opinion
a. Obama    96     67      29      4        3          1          *
b. McCain   89     41      47     11        8          2          1

Trend:

a. Obama

              --- Enthusiastic --   ---- Not enthusiastic ----     No
              NET   Very   Fairly   NET   Not too   Not at all   opinion
11/1/08  LV   96     67      29      4        3          1          *
10/31/08 LV   96     68      29      4        2          1          0
10/30/08 LV   96     68      28      4        3          1          *
10/29/08 LV   96     68      28      3        2          1          1
10/28/08 LV   96     65      31      3        2          1          1
10/27/08 LV   96     65      31      3        3          1          1
10/26/08 LV   96     66      30      3        2          1          1
10/25/08 LV   97     68      29      3        3          1          *
10/24/08 LV   97     71      26      3        3          1          0
10/23/08 LV   95     70      25      5        4          1          0
10/22/08 LV   94     67      28      5        5          1          *
10/21/08 LV   95     64      31      5        4          1          *
10/20/08 LV   95     65      31      5        4          1          *
10/19/08 LV   96     64      32      4        3          1          *
10/11/08 LV   96     66      30      4        3          1          *
9/29/08  RV   95     61      34      4        4          *          1
9/22/08  RV   94     62      32      6        4          1          *
9/7/08   RV   96     64      32      4        3          1          0
8/22/08  RV   95     52      43      5        2          3          *
6/15/08  RV   91     52      39      9        7          2          *

b. McCain

11/1/08  LV   89     41      47     11        8          2          1
10/31/08 LV   88     41      46     12        9          3          1
10/30/08 LV   87     39      47     13        9          4          1
10/29/08 LV   86     39      47     13       10          3          1
10/28/08 LV   85     37      48     15       12          3          1
10/27/08 LV   83     35      49     16       13          3          * 
10/26/08 LV   87     36      51     13       11          2          *
10/25/08 LV   86     38      48     14       11          3          *
10/24/08 LV   88     39      49     11        9          2          1
10/23/08 LV   89     39      50     10        8          2          1
10/22/08 LV   88     40      48     12       10          2          1
10/21/08 LV   88     37      51     11       10          1          *
10/20/08 LV   88     38      50     12       11          2          *
10/19/08 LV   87     40      47     13       11          2          *
10/11/08 LV   87     31      57     13       10          2          0
9/29/08  RV   90     38      52     10        7          2          *
9/22/08  RV   89     34      55     10        8          2          1
9/7/08   RV   92     46      46      8        6          2          0
8/22/08  RV   86     28      58     13       11          2          1
6/15/08  RV   74     19      55     25       19          6          1

Compare to:

10/26/04 - Summary Table - Among Likely Voters, Leaned Bush/Kerry Supporters

              --- Enthusiastic --    ---- Not Enthusiastic ----     No
              NET   Very   Fairly    NET   Not too   Not at all   opinion
a. Bush       91     55      36       9       8          1          *
b. Kerry      92     46      47       7       6          1          1

Questions 8 through 14 held for future release.

8. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Do you think of [NAME] as a very safe choice for president, somewhat safe, somewhat risky, or very risky?

            ------- Safe ------   ------ Risky ------     No
            NET   Very   Smewht   NET   Smewht   Very   opinion
a. Obama    56     33      23     43      16      27       1
b. McCain   51     24      26     49      23      25       1

Trend:

a. Obama
              ------- Safe ------   ------ Risky ------     No
              NET   Very   Smewht   NET   Smewht   Very   opinion
11/1/08  LV   56     33      23     43      16      27       1
10/31/08 LV   55     32      23     44      16      28       1
10/30/08 LV   54     32      23     45      17      28       1
10/29/08 LV   54     31      23     45      16      29       1
10/28/08 LV   54     31      23     45      16      29       1
10/11/08 LV   56     31      25     43      21      23       *
9/29/08  RV   55     27      28     44      23      21       1
6/15/08  RV   50     18      33     48      29      19       2

b. McCain

11/1/08  LV   51     24      26     49      23      25       1
10/31/08 LV   52     25      27     47      23      25       1
10/30/08 LV   51     25      27     48      24      24       1
10/29/08 LV   52     26      26     47      23      24       1
10/28/08 LV   53     27      26     46      23      23       1
10/11/08 LV   49     20      30     50      24      27       *
9/29/08  RV   51     23      28     48      28      20       *
6/15/08  RV   57     16      40     41      25      16       2

Compare to:

              ------- Safe ------   ------ Risky ------     No
              NET   Very   Smewht   NET   Smewht   Very   opinion
Gore:
7/23/00       57     18      39     40      24      15       3
2/27/00       58     24      33     40      21      20       2
9/2/99        53     17      36     44      26      19       3

Bush:
7/23/00       59     20      39     38      24      13       3
2/27/00       61     22      39     37      17      20       2
9/2/99        66     22      44     31      23       8       3

9. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS; 10/31-11/1 ONLY) In your choice for president, how important is the [ITEM] - very important, somewhat important, not so important or not important at all?


11/1/08 - Summary Table

                           --- Important ---    --- Not Important ---     No
                           NET   Very   Smwt.   NET   Not so   At all   opinion 
a. Race of the candidate   21     16      5     79       8       71        *
b. Age of the candidate    48     19     29     52      18       34        0

Trend where available:

a. Race of the candidate

              --- Important ---    --- Not Important ---     No
              NET   Very   Smwt.   NET   Not so   At all   opinion 
11/1/08  LV   21     16      5     79       8       71        *
9/22/08  LV   15     11      4     85      10       74        0
6/15/08  LV   21     12      8     79      14       66        *

b. Age of the candidate

11/1/08  LV   48     19     29     52      18       34        0
9/22/08  LV   48     16     31     52      21       32        *
6/15/08  LV   42     11     31     58      23       35        *

10. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS; 10/31-11/1 ONLY) Just thinking within the past week, have you personally been contacted by a representative of the [CANDIDATE] campaign, asking you for your support, or not? This includes contacts in person, by phone, or by e-mail or text message.

a. Obama

              Yes   No   No opinion 
11/1/08  LV   26    73        1

b. McCain

11/1/08  LV   21    78        1


11. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS; 10/31-11/1 ONLY) Have any of your own friends or members of your family asked you to support [CANDIDATE] or not?

a. Obama

              Yes   No   No opinion 
11/1/08  LV   31    69        1         

b. McCain

11/1/08  LV   22    78        *

12. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS; 10/31-11/1 ONLY) If [CANDIDATE] is elected, would you be excited, optimistic but not excited, concerned but not scared, or scared?

a. Obama

              ---- Excited/Optimistic ---   ---- Concerned/Scared ---
                              Optimistic,         Concerned,              No
              NET   Excited   not excited   NET   not scared   Scared   opinion
11/1/08  LV   59      35          24        41        19         22        *

b. McCain

11/1/08  LV   46      17          29        54        30         23        1   

13. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS; 11/1 ONLY) Does (Obama's/McCain's) choice of (Biden/Palin) for vice president make you more likely to vote for (Obama/McCain), less likely, or won't it make any difference in your vote?


                         More     Less        No         No
                        likely   likely   difference   opinion
Obama's choice of Biden:
 11/1/08 LV               28       14         58          *
 9/29/08 LV               26       14         60          *
 9/4/08  RV               22       11         66          1

McCain's choice of Palin:
 11/1/08 LV               17       46         37          *
 9/29/08 LV               24       32         43          *
 9/4/08  RV               25       19         55          1

14. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS; 11/1 ONLY) Imagine that in Tuesday's presidential election one candidate wins the popular vote, but another wins the majority of votes in the electoral college. If that were to happen, who do you think should become president - the winner of the popular vote or the winner of the electoral college?

              Popular   Electoral     No
               vote      college    opinion
11/1/08  LV     61         35          5
10/27/04 LV     54         40          6
11/6/00  LV     63         32          6

901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what? IF NOT DEMOCRAT OR REPUBLICAN: Do you lean more towards the (Democratic Party) or (Republican Party)?

---Non-Partisans--
                                                                   Lean   Lean    No
            Democrat   Republican   Independent   Other   No op.   Dem.   Rep.   Lean
11/1/08  LV    37          31            29         2       *       13     11      8 
10/31/08 LV    38          28            29         3       1       12     13      8 
10/30/08 LV    37          28            31         3       1       13     13      8 
10/29/08 LV    36          29            31         3       1       13     11     10 
10/28/08 LV    37          31            29         2       1       14     10      8 
10/27/08 LV    36          33            28         3       1       13     10      8 
10/26/08 LV    37          32            27         3       1       13     10      7 
10/25/08 LV    37          30            29         3       *       13     13      6 
10/24/08 LV    37          29            30         3       *       13     13      7 
10/23/08 LV    37          29            31         3       *       14     12      8 
10/22/08 LV    36          27            33         3       1       15     13      9 
10/21/08 LV    36          29            31         3       1       15     12      8 
10/20/08 LV    36          29            31         3       1       15     12      8 
10/19/08 LV    35          28            33         3       1       15     13      9 
10/11/08 LV    39          30            27         3       1       12     12      7

908a. Would you say your views on most political matters are liberal, moderate, or conservative?


                                                     Don't think in      No
            Liberal    Moderate    Conservative    those terms (vol.)    op.
11/1/08  LV    21         44            33                  1             1
10/31/08 LV    22         44            32                  1             1
10/30/08 LV    22         45            31                  1             1
10/29/08 LV    22         42            33                  2             1
10/28/08 LV    22         41            34                  2             1
10/27/08 LV    21         40            35                  2             1
10/26/08 LV    22         38            37                  2             1
10/25/08 LV    23         37            36                  2             1
10/24/08 LV    22         38            35                  2             2
10/23/08 LV    21         40            35                  2             2
10/22/08 LV    21         42            34                  2             2
10/21/08 LV    20         43            34                  2             2
10/20/08 LV    21         41            35                  1             1
10/19/08 LV    21         41            35                  2             2


***END***

© The Washington Post Company