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Electoral College Analysis: Colorado

Colorado's Electoral Votes: 9

Washington Post Analysis:

Kerry tried hard to make the state, which Bush won easily in 2000, a genuine battleground, but faced with better opportunities in other red states and needing to defend his base in the upper Midwest, he pulled down his advertising in the final week. Republicans are confident Bush will carry the state. Democrats nevertheless hope to pick up the open Senate seat of retiring Republican Sen. Ben Nighthorse Campbell. The race pits Democratic Attorney General Ken Salazar against Republican businessman and first-time candidate Pete Coors, chairman of Coors Brewing. Salazar, who has run as a centrist and capitalized on his Hispanic heritage, has the edge this weekend, despite there being 180,000 more registered Republicans than Democrats in the state. Rep. Bob Beauprez (R), who won one of the closest contests in the country two years ago, is narrowly favored to win a second term against Democrat Dave Thomas, while Salazar's brother John is in a tight race against Republican Greg Walcher for the seat of retiring Rep. Scott McInnis (R). The Colorado ballot also includes an initiative that would allocate the state's electoral votes proportionally, but it appears unlikely to pass.

Overview
Bush, Kerry in Reach of Electoral Win
By David S. Broder, Dan Balz and Charles Babington
(The Washington Post, Oct. 31, 2004)

Recent Polls

Source: Reuters/Zogby
Respondents: 601 likely voters
Time: Oct. 29 - Nov. 1
Margin of Error: +/- 4.1%

Bush 49%
Kerry 47%
Other 1%
Undecided 3%

Source: MSNBC-Knight Ridder (by Mason-Dixon)
Respondents: 625 likely voters
Time: Oct. 26 - 29
Margin of Error: +/- 4%

Bush 50%
Kerry 43%
Other/Undecided 7%

Source: Pueblo Chieftain (by Ciruli and Associates)
Respondents: 600 registered voters
Time: Oct. 15 - 19
Margin of Error: +/- 4%

Bush 48%
Kerry 42%
Other/Undecided 10%

Source: CNN/Gallup/USA Today
Respondents: 666 likely voters
Time: Oct. 15 - 17
Margin of Error: +/- 5%

Bush 51%
Kerry 45%
Nader 1%
Undecided 3%

Is Nader on the ballot: Yes

Past Presidential Vote Breakdowns

2000
Bush (R): 51%
Gore (D): 42%

1996
Dole (R): 46%
Clinton (D): 44%

1992
Clinton (D): 40%
Bush (R): 36%
Perot (I): 23%

1988
Bush (R): 53%
Dukakis (D): 45%

Current Elected Officials

name (party), year last elected, percent won

Governor:
Bill Owens (R), 2002, 62%

Senators:
Wayne Allard (R), 2002, 51%
Ben Nighthorse Campbell (R), 1998, 62%

House:
2 Democrats
5 Republicans

More on Colorado

Democrats Eye Colorado and See Chance to Tweak Republican Noses (The Washington Post, October 9, 2004)

Legal Battle for Presidency Underway (The Washington Post, October 20, 2004)

All Colorado Races

Discuss the Race to Win Colorado

Reader's Forum


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