[Battleground Soundings in Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin: A Quinnipiac University / washingtonpost.com / Wall Street Journal Poll

June 2008: Poll Highlights | Colorado | Michigan | Minnesota | Wisconsin

Colorado Survey -- June 2008

From June 17 to 24, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,351 likely voters in Colorado; the survey has a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percent. The survey was conducted in partnership with washingtonpost.com and The Wall Street Journal.

1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
COLORADO             Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds

Obama                49%     9%    93%    51%    45%    53%    46%    62%    54%
McCain               44     88      5     39     50     39     47     36     41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      -      -      3      3      1      2      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 5      3      2      8      3      7      5      2      4

                     IMP ISSUE Q5......   Denvr/ Arap/         RestOf
                     War    Econ   Terr   Bouldr Jeff   West   State

Obama                68%    53%     8%    59%    48%    46%    42%
McCain               27     39     91     35     43     47     52
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      -      2      2      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 3      6      1      4      7      5      4

                                          WHITES.................................
                     AGE IN YRS.......    NoColl College              BrnAgn
                     18-34  35-54  55+    Degree Degree Men    Wom    Evngl  Cath

Obama                53%    49%    47%    42%    52%    41%    50%    29%    38%
McCain               45     42     45     50     42     52     42     65     52
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      3      1      3      1      3      1      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 2      5      7      6      5      4      7      4      8

                     PresVt2004..  CongVt2006..  BushJobAppQ12
                     Bush   Kerry  Rep    Dem    App    Dis

Obama                13%    90%    10%    84%     9%    72%
McCain               81      5     86     12     86     21
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 5      4      3      3      3      5

1a.(If candidate choice given q1)Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?

                    CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN
                            CAND CHOICE Q1
CO                   Tot    Obama  McCain

Made up              77%    77%    78%
Might change         21     21     21
DK/NA                 2      2      2

2a. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Mark Udall the Democrat and Bob Schaffer the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided q2) As of today, do you lean more toward Udall or Schaffer? This table includes "Leaners". (CO only)


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds

Favorable            53%    25%    85%    55%    50%    56%    51%    62%    55%
Unfavorable          33     62      6     28     37     28     34     25     25
Hvn't hrd enough     12     11      8     15     10     13     12     13     17
REFUSED               2      2      1      3      2      3      3      -      2

2. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds

Favorable            53%    25%    85%    55%    50%    56%    51%    62%    55%
Unfavorable          33     62      6     28     37     28     34     25     25
Hvn't hrd enough     12     11      8     15     10     13     12     13     17
REFUSED               2      2      1      3      2      3      3      -      2

3. Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds

Favorable            53%    83%    24%    51%    55%    50%    55%    49%    50%
Unfavorable          32     10     58     31     33     32     32     27     34
Hvn't hrd enough     13      7     15     15     10     15     10     22     14
REFUSED               3      1      3      3      2      3      3      1      2

4. Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the election for President this year? (READ OPTIONS)


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds

Terrorism             8%    20%     2%     4%    10%     6%     8%    10%     9%
The war in Iraq      19     11     28     21     19     20     20     16     19
The economy          47     40     50     51     47     46     47     46     48
Illegal immigration   9     16      3      7     10      8      9     11     11
Health care          10      7     14     10      6     14     10     11      7
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)   3      3      3      4      3      4      4      2      3
DK/NA                 3      4      1      3      3      2      3      3      3

5. If elected, John McCain would be the first person to become President at age 72 - Does that make you more likely to vote for McCain, less likely to vote for McCain, or doesn't it make a difference?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds

More likely           2%     3%     2%     1%     2%     2%     1%     4%     3%
Less likely          19      6     32     21     17     22     19     11     19
Doesn't make diff    78     91     65     77     81     75     78     84     77
DK/NA                 1      -      1      1      1      1      1      1      1

6. If elected, Barack Obama would be the first African-American President. Does that make you more likely to vote for Obama, less likely to vote for Obama, or doesn't it make a difference?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds

More likely           4%     3%     7%     4%     4%     5%     3%     9%     7%
Less likely           3      5      2      3      3      3      4      5      3
Doesn't make diff    91     91     90     93     92     91     93     86     87
DK/NA                 1      1      2      -      1      1      1      -      3

7. In deciding your vote for President how important is the vice-presidential candidate - Very important, somewhat important, not too important or not important at all?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds

Very important       37%    33%    38%    41%    32%    43%    37%    42%    39%
Smwht important      45     51     46     40     44     46     44     47     46
Not too important    13     12     13     14     18      8     15      2     11
Not imprtnt at all    4      2      2      5      4      3      3      9      3
DK/NA                 1      2      1      1      2      -      1      -      2

8. Would you like Barack Obama to pick Hillary Clinton to be his vice-presidential running mate or not?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds

Yes                  29%    15%    45%    28%    23%    35%    27%    35%    33%
No                   54     65     43     56     58     51     56     50     57
DK/NA                17     21     12     16     19     14     17     15     10

9. If Barack Obama chooses Hillary Clinton to be his vice-presidential running mate, would that make you more likely to vote for Obama, less likely to vote for Obama, or doesn't it make a difference?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds

More likely          14%     3%    25%    15%     9%    20%    13%    20%    22%
Less likely          24     43      3     26     27     22     26     15     28
Doesn't make diff    60     52     71     58     63     56     59     64     50
DK/NA                 2      2      1      1      1      2      2      1      1

10. If Hillary Clinton becomes Vice-President, do you think she would enthusiastically promote Barack Obama's agenda at the expense of her own ideas or not?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds

Yes                  38%    19%    60%    40%    37%    39%    38%    43%    47%
No                   44     65     25     39     48     40     44     44     35
DK/NA                18     16     15     21     14     21     18     13     19

11. If Hillary Clinton becomes Vice-President, do you think Bill Clinton would be a problem to the Obama administration or not?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds

Yes                  44%    64%    28%    40%    47%    41%    45%    34%    36%
No                   50     29     66     54     49     51     50     56     58
DK/NA                 6      7      6      5      4      8      5     10      5
                    

12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds

Approve              31%    66%     5%    23%    34%    28%    32%    31%    25%
Disapprove           63     26     94     72     61     66     63     66     69
DK/NA                 6      8      1      5      6      6      6      2      6

13. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds

Very satisfied        3%     8%     1%     2%     5%     2%     3%     4%     1%
Smwht satisfied      21     44      4     16     24     18     22     22     21
Smwht dissatisfied   30     31     23     33     31     29     31     22     32
Very dissatisfied    46     16     72     48     40     50     43     51     47
DK/NA                 1      1      -      1      -      1      1      1      -


14. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds

Right thing          39%    74%     7%    37%    46%    33%    42%    31%    39%
Wrong thing          55     18     90     58     49     60     53     65     54
DK/NA                 6      8      3      5      5      6      5      4      7

15. Regardless of how you intend to vote, what would you prefer the next president do about the war in Iraq - (READ OPTIONS, ORDER ROTATED)

  A. Begin immediately a withdrawal of American troops with a fixed date
     to have them all out within 18 months. OR 
  B. Keep troops in Iraq until the situation is more stable and then begin
     to withdraw them without a fixed date for full withdrawal?

                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds

A. Begin immediate
withdrawal/18 mos    39%     9%    65%    41%    35%    42%    36%    49%    43%
B. Stay until stable/
no fixed dates       56     87     27     54     61     50     58     45     55
DK/NA                 6      4      8      5      4      8      6      6      3

16. Which best describes your family's financial situation - Getting ahead, falling behind or holding steady?


                      LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds

Getting ahead        16%    24%    10%    15%    20%    13%    16%    11%    11%
Falling behind       21     14     29     19     18     23     20     20     17
Holding steady       62     62     60     64     61     63     63     67     71
DK/NA                 1      -      1      2      1      1      1      3      2

17. As you think about your own financial situation, which of the following economic issues worries you the most right now - (READ OPTIONS, ORDER ROTATED)

  A. Declining retirement fund values
  B. Declining real estate values
  C. Rising health care costs
  D. Rising gasoline prices
  E. Rising food prices

                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds

A. Retirement funds   8%     8%    10%     8%    10%     6%     9%     6%    10%
B. Real estate val   11     12      8     12     13      9     11     13      7
C. Health care cost  19     14     25     20     19     19     21      8     15
D. Gasoline prices   43     48     40     41     42     43     41     53     48
E. Food prices       14     13     13     15     10     17     14     13     18
DK/NA                 5      5      4      5      5      6      5      7      2

18. As you may know, there is a proposed state constitutional amendment on the November ballot. It says that the state shall not discriminate against or grant preferential treatment to any group or individual on the basis of race, sex, color, ethnicity, or national origin in the operation of public employment, public contracting, or public education. Do you think that you will vote for or against this state constitutional amendment? (CO only)


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
CO                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    His    HsHlds

For                  66%    61%    71%    68%    67%    66%    66%    68%    63%
Against              15     18     15     13     17     14     16     14     18
DK/NA                18     21     14     19     16     20     18     18     18

Party ID: Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat an Independent, or what?

                     LIKELY VOTERS..................................
                                       Wht   Wht                                  
CO                   Tot  Prot  Cath   Prot  Cath   Wht   Men   Wom   

Republican           29%   40%   28%   41%   32%    32%   32%   26%
Democrat             28%   21%   33%   21%   27%    26%   21%   34%   
Independent          38%   35%   34%   35%   36%    38%   43%   34%   
Other                3%    2%    4%    2%    4%     3%    3%    4%    
DK/NA                2%    1%    2%    1%    1%     1%    1%    2%     


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