Sept. 2008: Poll Highlights | Colorado | Michigan | Minnesota | Wisconsin
Colorado Survey -- September 2008
From September 14 to 21, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,418 likely voters in Colorado; the survey has a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percent. The survey was conducted in partnership with washingtonpost.com and The Wall Street Journal.
1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
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COLORADO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
Obama 49% 7% 91% 51% 42% 55% 44% 68% 55%
McCain 45 89 6 40 49 40 51 26 39
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 - -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 5 3 3 7 6 4 4 6 6
IMP ISSUE Q12.............
Energ Denvr/ Arap/ RestOf
War Econ Terr Polcy Bouldr Jeff West State
Obama 58% 58% 8% 42% 64% 51% 38% 37%
McCain 40 38 89 54 29 42 58 55
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 2 1 2 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 2 4 3 3 5 5 3 6
WHITE..................................
AGE IN YRS....... NoColl College BrnAgn
18-34 35-54 55+ Degree Degree Men Wom Evngl Cath
Obama 48% 52% 46% 40% 49% 38% 49% 20% 47%
McCain 48 42 47 53 47 54 47 74 48
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 2 1 3 1 2 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 3 5 6 5 3 5 4 5 5
PresVt2004.. BushJobAppQ25
Bush Kerry App Dis
Obama 10% 89% 4% 66%
McCain 85 8 91 27
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - -
DK/NA 4 2 4 5
Sep 23 Aug 24 Jul 24 Jun 26
TREND: 2008 2008 2008 2008
Obama 49 46 44 49
McCain 45 47 46 44
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 3 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - -
DK/NA 5 5 7 5
1a. Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
CAND CHOICEQ1
CO Tot Obama McCain
Made up 87% 88% 85%
Might change 12 11 13
DK/NA 1 1 1
2a. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Mark Udall the Democrat and Bob Shaffer the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided q2a) As of today, do you lean more toward Udall or Shaffer? This table includes "Leaners".
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COLORADO ONLY Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
Udall 48% 13% 86% 49% 44% 53% 44% 64% 52%
Shaffer 40 80 8 31 46 34 45 21 35
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 3 2 1 1 2 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 11 7 6 17 8 13 10 13 13
2. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
Favorable 58% 24% 90% 62% 54% 62% 54% 73% 59%
Unfavorable 33 68 4 26 37 29 37 16 31
Hvn't hrd enough 7 6 5 10 7 7 6 11 10
REFUSED 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 - 1
3. Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
Favorable 56% 88% 24% 55% 60% 51% 62% 31% 52%
Unfavorable 35 8 67 32 31 39 31 49 40
Hvn't hrd enough 6 3 6 9 6 6 4 19 7
REFUSED 3 1 4 3 2 3 3 2 1
4. Is your opinion of -- Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
Favorable 40% 15% 68% 39% 41% 39% 37% 49% 49%
Unfavorable 27 53 4 22 32 21 30 12 22
Hvn't hrd enough 32 32 26 38 26 38 31 39 29
REFUSED 2 1 2 1 1 2 2 - -
5. Is your opinion of -- Sarah Palin favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
Favorable 43% 81% 9% 39% 45% 41% 48% 26% 41%
Unfavorable 35 5 69 33 31 38 32 45 42
Hvn't hrd enough 20 12 20 27 22 18 18 29 16
REFUSED 2 1 2 1 1 2 2 - 1
6. Do you think John McCain's selection of Sarah Palin as his vice presidential running mate was a good choice or a bad choice?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
Good choice 55% 88% 21% 54% 61% 49% 61% 35% 52%
Bad choice 38 8 71 36 33 42 33 52 42
DK/NA 8 4 8 10 6 9 7 13 5
7. Do you think Barack Obama's selection of Joe Biden as his vice presidential running mate was a good choice or a bad choice?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
Good choice 52% 29% 78% 52% 51% 53% 50% 59% 52%
Bad choice 32 54 11 31 38 26 34 24 35
DK/NA 16 17 12 17 11 21 16 16 13
8. Does John McCain's choice of Sarah Palin for Vice President make you more likely to vote for McCain for President, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
More likely 26% 48% 5% 23% 27% 25% 29% 13% 27%
Less likely 28 5 48 33 25 32 26 28 28
Doesn't make diff 44 46 46 41 46 42 43 59 43
DK/NA 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 - 2
9. Does Barack Obama's choice of Joe Biden for Vice President make you more likely to vote for Obama for President, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
More likely 16% 5% 30% 13% 14% 17% 14% 20% 30%
Less likely 13 21 3 13 17 8 13 12 18
Doesn't make diff 69 73 64 70 65 72 70 64 47
DK/NA 3 1 4 4 3 3 3 4 5
10. If it became necessary, who would you rather see become president of the United States, Sarah Palin or Joe Biden?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
Palin 42% 82% 4% 37% 46% 37% 47% 20% 36%
Biden 49 12 86 50 45 52 45 63 57
DK/NA 10 6 9 13 9 10 8 17 7
11. Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: The vice presidential candidates picked by Barack Obama and John McCain have little to do with which candidate I will vote for, for president?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
Agree 58% 58% 59% 59% 60% 56% 57% 62% 59%
Disagree 39 41 37 38 38 40 40 34 36
DK/NA 3 1 4 3 2 4 3 4 4
12. Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the election for President this year? (READ OPTIONS)
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
Terrorism 7% 16% 1% 5% 8% 6% 8% 5% 8%
The war in Iraq 12 10 16 11 9 15 12 15 6
The economy 51 45 54 54 49 53 50 52 51
Illegal immigration 8 9 4 8 10 6 7 13 8
Energy policy 10 11 10 10 13 7 11 6 10
Health care 7 3 12 6 5 9 7 8 10
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 2 3 1 2 3 2 2 - 4
DK/NA 3 3 2 4 4 3 4 2 3
13. If elected, John McCain would be the first person to become President at age 72 - Does that make you more likely to vote for McCain, less likely to vote for McCain, or doesn't it make a difference?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
More likely 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 4% 4%
Less likely 30 10 51 30 28 31 27 35 32
Doesn't make diff 68 88 47 68 69 66 70 59 65
DK/NA 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 -
14. If elected, Barack Obama would be the first African-American President. Does that make you more likely to vote for Obama, less likely to vote for Obama, or doesn't it make a difference?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
More likely 6% 3% 10% 4% 5% 7% 4% 11% 11%
Less likely 2 4 1 2 2 2 3 1 2
Doesn't make diff 91 93 87 92 92 89 93 84 85
DK/NA 1 - 2 2 1 2 1 4 2
15. How likely is it that the presidential debates could change your mind about who you will vote for this year? Very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not likely at all?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
Very likely 6% 2% 6% 10% 5% 8% 5% 8% 10%
Smwht likely 16 17 9 23 16 16 15 26 18
Not too likely 24 25 23 24 23 25 27 16 19
Not likely at all 52 56 59 41 54 49 52 45 50
DK/NA 1 - 2 2 1 2 1 4 3
CAND CHOICEQ1
Obama McCain
CO
Very likely 7% 4%
Smwht likely 13 16
Not too likely 25 25
Not likely at all 53 53
DK/NA 1 1
16. How likely is it that the vice-presidential debate could change your mind about who you will vote for this year? Very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not likely at all?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
Very likely 4% 3% 5% 4% 3% 4% 3% 9% 8%
Smwht likely 12 11 7 16 9 15 11 19 13
Not too likely 19 19 14 24 19 19 21 17 17
Not likely at all 64 67 73 55 67 60 65 55 61
DK/NA 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 -
CAND CHOICEQ1
Obama McCain
CO
Very likely 3% 4%
Smwht likely 10 12
Not too likely 19 20
Not likely at all 67 63
DK/NA - -
17. Which of the following statements do you agree with: John McCain is the candidate who will bring change OR Barack Obama is the candidate who will bring change OR Neither will bring change?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
McCain 22% 48% 3% 15% 21% 23% 24% 15% 22%
Obama 46 11 86 43 40 51 41 65 48
Neither 26 35 9 31 33 19 28 16 27
DK/NA 6 6 2 10 6 7 7 4 3
18. Which of the following statements do you agree with: I will be better off a year from now if John McCain is elected president OR I will be better off a year from now if Barack Obama is elected president OR I will not be better off a year from now?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
Better off/McCain 29% 60% 4% 22% 32% 25% 32% 18% 20%
Better off/Obama 34 4 73 29 30 39 29 55 45
Not be better off 27 25 18 38 28 27 29 17 26
DK/NA 9 11 5 11 10 9 9 10 9
19. Who do you think better understands the economy - John McCain or Barack Obama?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
McCain 41% 77% 9% 38% 45% 37% 45% 27% 42%
Obama 47 13 83 47 43 50 43 66 51
DK/NA 12 10 8 15 12 12 12 7 7
20. Who do you think better understands foreign policy - John McCain or Barack Obama?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
McCain 63% 94% 31% 63% 67% 59% 68% 44% 56%
Obama 29 4 58 28 27 31 25 44 35
DK/NA 8 2 11 10 6 10 7 11 9
21. If John McCain is elected President, do you think your taxes will go up, go down, or stay about the same?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
Up 28% 10% 48% 25% 23% 33% 24% 44% 33%
Down 8 14 3 6 8 8 8 6 10
Same 60 74 42 65 66 53 64 45 56
DK/NA 5 3 7 4 3 6 4 5 2
22. If Barack Obama is elected President, do you think your taxes will go up, go down, or stay about the same?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
Up 48% 79% 20% 43% 54% 43% 53% 27% 39%
Down 16 5 33 13 16 17 15 23 25
Same 31 14 40 38 27 34 28 43 33
DK/NA 5 2 6 5 4 6 4 7 4
23. Barack Obama says he will cut taxes for 95 percent of working families. John McCain says Obama will actually raise taxes overall on most American families. Whom do you believe?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
McCain 42% 80% 6% 37% 45% 38% 47% 21% 37%
Obama 41 8 79 37 35 46 37 54 47
DK/NA 18 12 14 26 19 16 16 25 16
24. Do you think the news media has treated Sarah Palin fairly or unfairly?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
Fairly 48% 22% 73% 50% 47% 49% 45% 58% 58%
Unfairly 45 73 17 42 48 42 48 34 34
DK/NA 8 4 10 8 6 9 7 7 8
25. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
Approve 24% 55% 3% 14% 25% 23% 27% 13% 22%
Disapprove 71 37 95 82 71 71 68 84 77
DK/NA 5 8 2 4 4 6 5 3 -
26. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
Very satisfied 2% 4% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 5%
Smwht satisfied 17 36 6 11 19 15 18 20 14
Smwht dissatisfied 31 38 22 33 33 29 33 22 29
Very dissatisfied 49 21 71 55 45 52 46 56 52
DK/NA 1 1 - 1 - 1 1 - -
27. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
Right thing 37% 73% 7% 30% 40% 35% 41% 24% 34%
Wrong thing 58 22 91 64 57 60 54 72 65
DK/NA 4 5 1 6 3 5 5 4 2
28. Regardless of how you intend to vote, what would you prefer the next president do about the war in Iraq?
A) Begin immediately a withdrawal of American troops, with a fixed date to have them all out within 18 months. OR
B) Keep troops in Iraq until the situation is more stable, and then begin to withdraw them, without a fixed date for full withdrawal.
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
A) Begin immediate
withdrawal/18 mos 39% 15% 65% 40% 37% 41% 35% 59% 44%
B) Stay until stable/
No fixed dates 55 82 28 53 58 52 60 33 49
DK/NA 6 3 6 7 5 6 5 8 7
29. Which best describes your family's financial situation - Getting ahead, falling behind or holding steady?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
Getting ahead 15% 22% 11% 13% 17% 14% 15% 20% 21%
Falling behind 24 15 33 25 24 24 24 22 31
Holding steady 60 63 54 62 59 61 60 57 47
DK/NA 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 - 1
30. As you think about your own financial situation, which of the following economic issues worries you the most right now -- A) declining retirement fund values, B) declining real estate values, C) rising health care costs D) rising gasoline prices, or E) rising food prices?
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CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His HsHlds
A) Retirement funds 16% 17% 15% 17% 15% 17% 18% 10% 17%
B) Real estate vals 14 17 12 13 16 13 14 12 8
C) Health care cost 22 17 31 19 19 24 22 20 25
D) Gasoline prices 26 32 16 27 28 23 25 32 28
E) Food prices 17 12 19 20 15 18 15 25 20
DK/NA 5 5 6 4 6 5 6 2 3
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