July 2008: Poll Highlights | Colorado | Michigan | Minnesota | Wisconsin
Michigan Survey -- July 2008
From July 14 to 22, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,684 likely voters in Michigan; the survey has a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percent. The survey was conducted in partnership with washingtonpost.com and The Wall Street Journal.
1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided Q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Obama 46% 8% 84% 41% 42% 50% 40% 90% 52%
McCain 42 85 9 44 47 38 48 4 36
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 4 4 1 2 - 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 9 6 6 11 7 11 10 7 9
IMP ISSUE Q7...... Wayne Oak/ RestOf
War Econ Terr County Macomb SthW State
Obama 60% 50% 12% 57% 40% 46% 45%
McCain 30 39 84 33 48 44 42
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 2 - 2 2 1 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - -
DK/NA 10 9 4 8 10 8 10
WHITE..................................
AGE IN YRS....... NoColl College BrnAgn
18-34 35-54 55+ Degree Degree Men Wom Evngl Cath
Obama 51% 46% 43% 40% 39% 35% 44% 27% 39%
McCain 41 43 43 45 53 54 43 60 50
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 1 3 1 3 1 2 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 6 8 13 11 7 8 12 11 8
PresVt2004.. BushJobAppQ10
Bush Kerry App Dis
Obama 13% 81% 7% 64%
McCain 79 10 87 24
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - -
DK/NA 8 7 5 9
1a. (If candidate choice given Q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN
CAND CHOICE Q1
Made up 76% 78% 74%
Might change 21 19 24
DK/NA 2 3 2
2. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Favorable 54% 21% 79% 55% 50% 58% 49% 85% 59%
Unfavorable 29 60 7 28 35 24 33 2 24
Hvn't hrd enough 14 15 12 14 13 15 15 10 13
REFUSED 3 4 2 3 3 3 3 3 4
3. Is your opinion of John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Favorable 53% 82% 27% 59% 58% 49% 59% 15% 47%
Unfavorable 30 9 50 26 29 30 26 50 36
Hvn't hrd enough 14 8 20 12 11 17 12 32 14
REFUSED 3 1 4 3 2 4 3 2 4
4. Is your opinion of Michelle Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Favorable 33% 13% 50% 33% 29% 36% 29% 67% 37%
Unfavorable 17 31 5 18 18 16 19 4 16
Hvn't hrd enough 45 52 40 42 47 43 48 28 39
REFUSED 5 4 4 7 6 4 5 1 8
5. Is your opinion of Cindy McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Favorable 24% 37% 18% 24% 26% 23% 26% 15% 19%
Unfavorable 9 1 14 10 9 9 8 15 12
Hvn't hrd enough 61 59 62 59 57 64 61 66 61
REFUSED 6 2 6 7 8 4 5 5 8
6. Who do you think better fits your idea of what a first lady should be - Michelle Obama or Cindy McCain?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Michelle Obama 29% 7% 54% 25% 25% 33% 24% 67% 34%
Cindy McCain 28 56 9 26 31 25 32 4 21
DK/NA 43 37 37 49 45 41 44 29 45
7. Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the election for President this year? (READ OPTIONS)
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Terrorism 8% 17% 2% 8% 11% 6% 9% 4% 7%
The war in Iraq 13 10 17 12 11 16 14 12 12
The economy 59 57 63 58 57 61 58 63 62
Illegal immigration 5 6 2 5 6 3 5 2 4
Health care 9 7 12 8 9 9 8 15 9
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 3 3 1 5 4 3 3 2 2
DK/NA 3 1 2 3 3 2 3 2 4
8. If elected, John McCain would be the first person to become President at age 72 - Does that make you more likely to vote for McCain, less likely to vote for McCain, or doesn't it make a difference?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
More likely 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 1% 1%
Less likely 24 8 37 23 24 24 21 43 29
Doesn't make diff 73 89 60 72 72 73 75 55 69
DK/NA 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 - 1
9. If elected, Barack Obama would be the first African-American President. Does that make you more likely to vote for Obama, less likely to vote for Obama, or doesn't it make a difference?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
More likely 5% 2% 10% 3% 6% 4% 2% 24% 5%
Less likely 5 7 4 4 6 5 5 3 5
Doesn't make diff 89 90 86 92 87 91 91 72 89
DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 -
10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Approve 25% 59% 3% 22% 29% 22% 28% 4% 19%
Disapprove 69 34 95 71 67 70 65 93 77
DK/NA 6 7 1 7 4 8 7 3 4
11. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Very satisfied 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1%
Smwht satisfied 13 29 4 11 16 12 15 4 10
Smwht dissatisfied 34 47 26 31 32 36 35 26 31
Very dissatisfied 50 20 69 56 50 50 48 69 58
DK/NA 1 1 - - - 1 1 - -
12. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Right thing 33% 67% 5% 34% 37% 30% 36% 7% 26%
Wrong thing 58 25 88 57 57 60 54 88 69
DK/NA 9 8 6 9 6 10 9 5 6
13. Regardless of how you intend to vote, what would you prefer the next president do about the war in Iraq?
A) Begin immediately a withdrawal of American troops with a fixed date to have
them all out within 18 months. OR
B) Keep troops in Iraq until the situation is more stable and then begin to
withdraw them without a fixed date for full withdrawal.
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
A) Begin immediate
withdrawal /18 mos 41% 15% 62% 40% 34% 46% 37% 59% 46%
B) Stay until stable/
No fixed dates 53 80 31 55 62 46 56 37 49
DK/NA 6 4 6 5 4 8 7 4 5
14. Which best describes your family's financial situation - getting ahead, falling behind or holding steady?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Getting ahead 11% 18% 10% 7% 14% 9% 12% 11% 12%
Falling behind 27 15 33 29 25 29 25 37 26
Holding steady 61 67 57 63 61 62 63 52 62
DK/NA - - - - - 1 1 - -
15. As you think about your own financial situation, which of the following economic issues worries you the most right now -- A) declining retirement fund values, B) declining real estate values, C) rising health care costs D) rising gasoline prices, or E) rising food prices?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
A) Retirement funds 12% 13% 13% 10% 13% 11% 13% 6% 13%
B) Real estate val 12 14 9 13 14 10 13 6 12
C) Health care cost 18 15 21 18 15 20 17 23 17
D) Gasoline prices 43 44 43 42 44 43 41 52 44
E) Food prices 10 10 10 10 8 12 11 9 8
DK/NA 5 5 4 6 6 5 5 4 5
16. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose building new nuclear power plants?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Support 58% 71% 47% 63% 73% 46% 62% 31% 58%
Oppose 31 19 39 30 22 38 27 53 32
DK/NA 11 10 13 7 4 17 10 16 10
16a. (If support Q16) Previously, did you oppose building new nuclear power plants?
LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q16)..................
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht
Yes 13% 9% 18% 13% 10% 17% 14%
No 83 88 77 83 89 76 82
DK/NA 4 3 5 3 1 7
16b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q16 AND Q16a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose building new nuclear power plants?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Support/didn't
oppose Q16a 51% 64% 39% 54% 66% 38% 54% 27% 49%
Support now/did
oppose Q16a 8 7 8 8 7 8 9 4 9
Oppose 31 19 39 30 22 38 27 53 32
DK/NA 11 10 13 7 4 17 10 16 10
17. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose drilling for new oil supplies in currently protected areas offshore?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Support 63% 86% 45% 62% 67% 59% 65% 45% 57%
Oppose 32 10 48 34 30 33 30 46 38
DK/NA 5 3 7 4 2 8 5 9 6
17a. (If support Q17) Previously, did you oppose drilling for new oil supplies in currently protected areas offshore?
LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q17)..................
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht
Yes 17% 15% 17% 19% 18% 15% 17%
No 79 80 79 78 80 78 78
DK/NA 5 5 4 4 2 7 5
17b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q17 AND Q17a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose drilling for new oil supplies in currently protected areas off shore?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Support/didn't
oppose Q17a 52% 74% 37% 50% 55% 50% 54% 40% 45%
Support now/did
oppose Q17a 11 13 8 12 12 9 11 5 12
Oppose 32 10 48 34 30 33 30 46 38
DK/NA 5 3 7 4 2 8 5 9 6
18. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose drilling for new oil in the Alaskan national wildlife refuge?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Support 53% 75% 40% 52% 61% 47% 55% 38% 54%
Oppose 41 19 54 44 37 45 40 52 42
DK/NA 6 6 6 4 3 8 5 10 4
18a. (If support Q18) Previously, did you oppose drilling for new oil in the Alaskan national wildlife refuge?
LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q18)..................
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht
Yes 18% 11% 27% 19% 19% 17% 19%
No 78 85 68 78 78 77 77
DK/NA 4 4 6 4 2 6 4
18b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q18 AND Q18a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Drilling for new oil in the Alaskan national wildlife refuge?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Support/didn't
oppose Q18a 44% 67% 29% 42% 49% 39% 45% 33% 41%
Support now/did
oppose Q18a 10 9 11 10 12 8 10 5 13
Oppose 41 19 54 44 37 45 40 52 42
DK/NA 6 6 6 4 3 8 5 10 4
19. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose a government-funded program to develop renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Support 86% 79% 90% 86% 83% 87% 87% 74% 89%
Oppose 11 16 7 10 14 9 10 16 9
DK/NA 4 4 4 3 3 4 3 9 2
19a. (If support Q19) Previously, did you oppose a government-funded program to develop renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels?
LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q19)..................
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht
Yes 6% 6% 5% 6% 7% 5% 6%
No 92 91 92 92 91 92 92
DK/NA 3 3 3 2 2 3 3
19b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q19 AND Q19a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose a government-funded program to develop renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Support/didn't
oppose Q19a 81% 75% 85% 82% 78% 83% 82% 71% 81%
Support now/did
oppose Q19a 5 5 5 5 6 4 5 3 8
Oppose 11 16 7 10 14 9 10 16 9
DK/NA 4 4 4 3 3 4 3 9 2
20. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the government's stockpile of oil set aside for emergencies and shortages?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Support 53% 47% 59% 50% 49% 55% 52% 56% 55%
Oppose 39 44 33 42 46 33 39 35 38
DK/NA 8 9 7 8 4 12 9 9 7
20a. (If support Q20) Previously, did you oppose releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the government's stockpile of oil set aside for emergencies and shortages?
LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q20)..................
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht
Yes 17% 19% 17% 14% 21% 13% 17%
No 78 75 78 81 75 80 78
DK/NA 5 7 5 5 4 7 5
20b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q20 AND Q20a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the government's stockpile of oil set aside for emergencies and shortages?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Support/didn't
oppose Q20a 44% 38% 50% 43% 39% 48% 43% 50% 46%
Support now/did
oppose Q20a 9 9 10 7 10 7 9 7 9
Oppose 39 44 33 42 46 33 39 35 38
DK/NA 8 9 7 8 4 12 9 9 7
21. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose mandating higher mileage standards for cars?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Support 72% 62% 77% 73% 71% 72% 74% 56% 75%
Oppose 23 33 17 22 27 20 22 35 22
DK/NA 5 5 6 5 2 8 5 9 4
21a. (If support Q21) Previously, did you oppose mandating higher mileage standards for cars?
LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q21)..................
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht
Yes 10% 9% 10% 10% 14% 6% 9%
No 87 86 88 87 85 90 88
DK/NA 3 5 2 3 1 4 3
21b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q21 AND Q21a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose mandating higher mileage standards for cars?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Support/didn't
oppose Q21a 65% 57% 69% 66% 61% 68% 67% 51% 66%
Support now/did
oppose Q21a 7 6 8 7 10 5 7 6 8
Opposed 23 33 17 22 27 20 22 35 22
DK/NA 5 5 6 5 2 8 5 9 4
22. Which is the best way to help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil - A) building new nuclear power plants, B) drilling offshore and in Alaska, C) developing renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels, D) releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve or E) mandating higher mileage standards for cars?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
A) Nuclear power
plants 7% 8% 6% 8% 11% 4% 7% 8% 6%
B) Drilling
offshore/Alaska 18 35 8 17 21 16 19 16 16
C) Renewable energy
sources 56 40 62 59 49 61 57 46 59
D) Oil from Strategic
Reserve 7 4 12 4 6 7 5 16 7
E) Higher mileage
cars 6 5 5 6 6 5 6 5 6
DK/NA 7 6 7 5 7 6 6 9 6
23. Regardless of whom you support, which candidate for President - Barack Obama or John McCain - has the best program for helping solve the energy crisis and making America less dependent on foreign oil?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Obama 35% 6% 60% 33% 32% 37% 30% 66% 41%
McCain 28 57 8 29 37 21 32 3 26
DK/NA 37 37 32 38 31 42 38 31 33
24. Regarding the upcoming presidential election, would you rather the new president focus more on development of new sources of oil, natural gas, or nuclear power which some say could be a risk to the environment or focus more on wind, solar, and biofuels, which some say could take longer to produce significant amounts of energy?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Focus on new
sources of oil 33% 51% 22% 33% 41% 27% 33% 33% 27%
Focus on wind/
solar 58 40 70 60 52 64 59 54 66
DK/NA 8 9 8 7 7 9 8 13 7
25. Regarding the upcoming presidential election, would you rather the new president focus more on development of new sources of oil and natural gas or focus more on conserving energy?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Focus on new
sources of oil 44% 58% 38% 41% 45% 43% 44% 39% 48%
Focus more on
conserving energy 49 35 56 52 48 49 49 53 47
DK/NA 7 7 6 7 7 8 7 8 5
26. Which is more important to you when you decide how to vote for president - a candidate's position on energy policy or a candidate's position on the war in Iraq?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Position on
energy policy 50% 48% 54% 49% 55% 46% 51% 49% 52%
Position on the
war in Iraq 40 43 39 40 36 44 39 45 40
DK/NA 10 9 7 11 8 10 10 6 8
Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat an Independent, or what?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds
Republican 25% 100% - - 27% 22% 28% 4% 15%
Democrat 33 - 100 - 30 37 28 76 45
Independent 35 - - 100 36 33 36 17 34
Other 5 - - - 5 5 5 3 4
DK/NA 3 - - - 2 3 3 - 2
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