[Battleground Soundings in Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin: A Quinnipiac University / washingtonpost.com / Wall Street Journal Poll

July 2008: Poll Highlights | Colorado | Michigan | Minnesota | Wisconsin

Michigan Survey -- July 2008

From July 14 to 22, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,684 likely voters in Michigan; the survey has a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percent. The survey was conducted in partnership with washingtonpost.com and The Wall Street Journal.

1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided Q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Obama                46%     8%    84%    41%    42%    50%    40%    90%    52%
McCain               42     85      9     44     47     38     48      4     36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      4      4      1      2      -      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 9      6      6     11      7     11     10      7      9

                     IMP ISSUE Q7......   Wayne  Oak/          RestOf
                     War    Econ   Terr   County Macomb SthW   State

Obama                60%    50%    12%    57%    40%    46%    45%
McCain               30     39     84     33     48     44     42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      2      -      2      2      1      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                10      9      4      8     10      8     10

                                          WHITE..................................
                     AGE IN YRS.......    NoColl College              BrnAgn
                     18-34  35-54  55+    Degree Degree Men    Wom    Evngl  Cath

Obama                51%    46%    43%    40%    39%    35%    44%    27%    39%
McCain               41     43     43     45     53     54     43     60     50
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      3      1      3      1      3      1      2      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 6      8     13     11      7      8     12     11      8

                     PresVt2004..  BushJobAppQ10
                     Bush   Kerry  App    Dis

Obama                13%    81%     7%    64%
McCain               79     10     87     24
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 8      7      5      9


1a. (If candidate choice given Q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?


                    CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN
                           CAND CHOICE Q1

Made up              76%    78%    74%
Might change         21     19     24
DK/NA                 2      3      2


2. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Favorable            54%    21%    79%    55%    50%    58%    49%    85%    59%
Unfavorable          29     60      7     28     35     24     33      2     24
Hvn't hrd enough     14     15     12     14     13     15     15     10     13
REFUSED               3      4      2      3      3      3      3      3      4


3. Is your opinion of John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Favorable            53%    82%    27%    59%    58%    49%    59%    15%    47%
Unfavorable          30      9     50     26     29     30     26     50     36
Hvn't hrd enough     14      8     20     12     11     17     12     32     14
REFUSED               3      1      4      3      2      4      3      2      4


4. Is your opinion of Michelle Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Favorable            33%    13%    50%    33%    29%    36%    29%    67%    37%
Unfavorable          17     31      5     18     18     16     19      4     16
Hvn't hrd enough     45     52     40     42     47     43     48     28     39
REFUSED               5      4      4      7      6      4      5      1      8


5. Is your opinion of Cindy McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Favorable            24%    37%    18%    24%    26%    23%    26%    15%    19%
Unfavorable           9      1     14     10      9      9      8     15     12
Hvn't hrd enough     61     59     62     59     57     64     61     66     61
REFUSED               6      2      6      7      8      4      5      5      8


6. Who do you think better fits your idea of what a first lady should be - Michelle Obama or Cindy McCain?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Michelle Obama       29%     7%    54%    25%    25%    33%    24%    67%    34%
Cindy McCain         28     56      9     26     31     25     32      4     21
DK/NA                43     37     37     49     45     41     44     29     45


7. Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the election for President this year? (READ OPTIONS)


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Terrorism             8%    17%     2%     8%    11%     6%     9%     4%     7%
The war in Iraq      13     10     17     12     11     16     14     12     12
The economy          59     57     63     58     57     61     58     63     62
Illegal immigration   5      6      2      5      6      3      5      2      4
Health care           9      7     12      8      9      9      8     15      9
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)   3      3      1      5      4      3      3      2      2
DK/NA                 3      1      2      3      3      2      3      2      4


8. If elected, John McCain would be the first person to become President at age 72 - Does that make you more likely to vote for McCain, less likely to vote for McCain, or doesn't it make a difference?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

More likely           2%     2%     2%     3%     2%     2%     3%     1%     1%
Less likely          24      8     37     23     24     24     21     43     29
Doesn't make diff    73     89     60     72     72     73     75     55     69
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      2      1      1      -      1


9. If elected, Barack Obama would be the first African-American President. Does that make you more likely to vote for Obama, less likely to vote for Obama, or doesn't it make a difference?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

More likely           5%     2%    10%     3%     6%     4%     2%    24%     5%
Less likely           5      7      4      4      6      5      5      3      5
Doesn't make diff    89     90     86     92     87     91     91     72     89
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      1      1      1      1      -


10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Approve              25%    59%     3%    22%    29%    22%    28%     4%    19%
Disapprove           69     34     95     71     67     70     65     93     77
DK/NA                 6      7      1      7      4      8      7      3      4


11. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Very satisfied        2%     3%     1%     2%     2%     1%     2%     2%     1%
Smwht satisfied      13     29      4     11     16     12     15      4     10
Smwht dissatisfied   34     47     26     31     32     36     35     26     31
Very dissatisfied    50     20     69     56     50     50     48     69     58
DK/NA                 1      1      -      -      -      1      1      -      -

                    

12. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Right thing          33%    67%     5%    34%    37%    30%    36%     7%    26%
Wrong thing          58     25     88     57     57     60     54     88     69
DK/NA                 9      8      6      9      6     10      9      5      6


13. Regardless of how you intend to vote, what would you prefer the next president do about the war in Iraq?

A) Begin immediately a withdrawal of American troops with a fixed date to have 
   them all out within 18 months. OR
B) Keep troops in Iraq until the situation is more stable and then begin to 
   withdraw them without a fixed date for full withdrawal.

                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

A) Begin immediate
withdrawal /18 mos   41%    15%    62%    40%    34%    46%    37%    59%    46%
B) Stay until stable/
No fixed dates       53     80     31     55     62     46     56     37     49
DK/NA                 6      4      6      5      4      8      7      4      5


14. Which best describes your family's financial situation - getting ahead, falling behind or holding steady?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Getting ahead        11%    18%    10%     7%    14%     9%    12%    11%    12%
Falling behind       27     15     33     29     25     29     25     37     26
Holding steady       61     67     57     63     61     62     63     52     62
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      1      1      -      -


15. As you think about your own financial situation, which of the following economic issues worries you the most right now -- A) declining retirement fund values, B) declining real estate values, C) rising health care costs D) rising gasoline prices, or E) rising food prices?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

A) Retirement funds  12%    13%    13%    10%    13%    11%    13%     6%    13%
B) Real estate val   12     14      9     13     14     10     13      6     12
C) Health care cost  18     15     21     18     15     20     17     23     17
D) Gasoline prices   43     44     43     42     44     43     41     52     44
E) Food prices       10     10     10     10      8     12     11      9      8
DK/NA                 5      5      4      6      6      5      5      4      5


16. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose building new nuclear power plants?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Support              58%    71%    47%    63%    73%    46%    62%    31%    58%
Oppose               31     19     39     30     22     38     27     53     32
DK/NA                11     10     13      7      4     17     10     16     10

 

16a. (If support Q16) Previously, did you oppose building new nuclear power plants?


                     LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q16)..................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht   

Yes                  13%     9%    18%    13%    10%    17%    14%   
No                   83     88     77     83     89     76     82    
DK/NA                 4      3      5      3      1      7      


16b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q16 AND Q16a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose building new nuclear power plants?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Support/didn't
 oppose Q16a         51%    64%    39%    54%    66%    38%    54%    27%    49%
Support now/did
 oppose Q16a          8      7      8      8      7      8      9      4      9
Oppose               31     19     39     30     22     38     27     53     32
DK/NA                11     10     13      7      4     17     10     16     10


17. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose drilling for new oil supplies in currently protected areas offshore?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Support              63%    86%    45%    62%    67%    59%    65%    45%    57%
Oppose               32     10     48     34     30     33     30     46     38
DK/NA                 5      3      7      4      2      8      5      9      6


17a. (If support Q17) Previously, did you oppose drilling for new oil supplies in currently protected areas offshore?


                     LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q17)..................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht   

Yes                  17%    15%    17%    19%    18%    15%    17%   
No                   79     80     79     78     80     78     78    
DK/NA                 5      5      4      4      2      7      5    


17b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q17 AND Q17a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose drilling for new oil supplies in currently protected areas off shore?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Support/didn't
 oppose Q17a         52%    74%    37%    50%    55%    50%    54%    40%    45%
Support now/did
 oppose Q17a         11     13      8     12     12      9     11      5     12
Oppose               32     10     48     34     30     33     30     46     38
DK/NA                 5      3      7      4      2      8      5      9      6


18. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose drilling for new oil in the Alaskan national wildlife refuge?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Support              53%    75%    40%    52%    61%    47%    55%    38%    54%
Oppose               41     19     54     44     37     45     40     52     42
DK/NA                 6      6      6      4      3      8      5     10      4


18a. (If support Q18) Previously, did you oppose drilling for new oil in the Alaskan national wildlife refuge?


                     LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q18)..................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht   

Yes                  18%    11%    27%    19%    19%    17%    19%   
No                   78     85     68     78     78     77     77    
DK/NA                 4      4      6      4      2      6      4    


18b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q18 AND Q18a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Drilling for new oil in the Alaskan national wildlife refuge?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Support/didn't
 oppose Q18a         44%    67%    29%    42%    49%    39%    45%    33%    41%
Support now/did
 oppose Q18a         10      9     11     10     12      8     10      5     13
Oppose               41     19     54     44     37     45     40     52     42
DK/NA                 6      6      6      4      3      8      5     10      4


19. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose a government-funded program to develop renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Support              86%    79%    90%    86%    83%    87%    87%    74%    89%
Oppose               11     16      7     10     14      9     10     16      9
DK/NA                 4      4      4      3      3      4      3      9      2


19a. (If support Q19) Previously, did you oppose a government-funded program to develop renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels?


                     LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q19)..................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht   

Yes                   6%     6%     5%     6%     7%     5%     6%   
No                   92     91     92     92     91     92     92    
DK/NA                 3      3      3      2      2      3      3    


19b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q19 AND Q19a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose a government-funded program to develop renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Support/didn't
 oppose Q19a         81%    75%    85%    82%    78%    83%    82%    71%    81%
Support now/did
 oppose Q19a          5      5      5      5      6      4      5      3      8
Oppose               11     16      7     10     14      9     10     16      9
DK/NA                 4      4      4      3      3      4      3      9      2


20. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the government's stockpile of oil set aside for emergencies and shortages?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Support              53%    47%    59%    50%    49%    55%    52%    56%    55%
Oppose               39     44     33     42     46     33     39     35     38
DK/NA                 8      9      7      8      4     12      9      9      7


20a. (If support Q20) Previously, did you oppose releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the government's stockpile of oil set aside for emergencies and shortages?


                     LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q20)..................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht   

Yes                  17%    19%    17%    14%    21%    13%    17%   
No                   78     75     78     81     75     80     78    
DK/NA                 5      7      5      5      4      7      5    


20b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q20 AND Q20a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the government's stockpile of oil set aside for emergencies and shortages?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Support/didn't
 oppose Q20a         44%    38%    50%    43%    39%    48%    43%    50%    46%
Support now/did
 oppose Q20a          9      9     10      7     10      7      9      7      9
Oppose               39     44     33     42     46     33     39     35     38
DK/NA                 8      9      7      8      4     12      9      9      7


21. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose mandating higher mileage standards for cars?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Support              72%    62%    77%    73%    71%    72%    74%    56%    75%
Oppose               23     33     17     22     27     20     22     35     22
DK/NA                 5      5      6      5      2      8      5      9      4


21a. (If support Q21) Previously, did you oppose mandating higher mileage standards for cars?


                     LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q21)..................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht   

Yes                  10%     9%    10%    10%    14%     6%     9%   
No                   87     86     88     87     85     90     88    
DK/NA                 3      5      2      3      1      4      3    


21b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q21 AND Q21a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose mandating higher mileage standards for cars?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Support/didn't
 oppose Q21a         65%    57%    69%    66%    61%    68%    67%    51%    66%
Support now/did
 oppose Q21a          7      6      8      7     10      5      7      6      8
Opposed              23     33     17     22     27     20     22     35     22
DK/NA                 5      5      6      5      2      8      5      9      4


22. Which is the best way to help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil - A) building new nuclear power plants, B) drilling offshore and in Alaska, C) developing renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels, D) releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve or E) mandating higher mileage standards for cars?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

A) Nuclear power 
plants                7%     8%     6%     8%    11%     4%     7%     8%     6%
B) Drilling
offshore/Alaska      18     35      8     17     21     16     19     16     16
C) Renewable energy
sources              56     40     62     59     49     61     57     46     59
D) Oil from Strategic
Reserve               7      4     12      4      6      7      5     16      7
E) Higher mileage
cars                  6      5      5      6      6      5      6      5      6
DK/NA                 7      6      7      5      7      6      6      9      6


23. Regardless of whom you support, which candidate for President - Barack Obama or John McCain - has the best program for helping solve the energy crisis and making America less dependent on foreign oil?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Obama                35%     6%    60%    33%    32%    37%    30%    66%    41%
McCain               28     57      8     29     37     21     32      3     26
DK/NA                37     37     32     38     31     42     38     31     33


24. Regarding the upcoming presidential election, would you rather the new president focus more on development of new sources of oil, natural gas, or nuclear power which some say could be a risk to the environment or focus more on wind, solar, and biofuels, which some say could take longer to produce significant amounts of energy?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Focus on new
 sources of oil      33%    51%    22%    33%    41%    27%    33%    33%    27%
Focus on wind/
 solar               58     40     70     60     52     64     59     54     66
DK/NA                 8      9      8      7      7      9      8     13      7


25. Regarding the upcoming presidential election, would you rather the new president focus more on development of new sources of oil and natural gas or focus more on conserving energy?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Focus on new
 sources of oil      44%    58%    38%    41%    45%    43%    44%    39%    48%
Focus more on
 conserving energy   49     35     56     52     48     49     49     53     47
DK/NA                 7      7      6      7      7      8      7      8      5


26. Which is more important to you when you decide how to vote for president - a candidate's position on energy policy or a candidate's position on the war in Iraq?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Position on
 energy policy       50%    48%    54%    49%    55%    46%    51%    49%    52%
Position on the
 war in Iraq         40     43     39     40     36     44     39     45     40
DK/NA                10      9      7     11      8     10     10      6      8


Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat an Independent, or what?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    HsHlds

Republican           25%   100%     -      -     27%    22%    28%     4%    15%
Democrat             33      -    100      -     30     37     28     76     45
Independent          35      -      -    100     36     33     36     17     34
Other                 5      -      -      -      5      5      5      3      4
DK/NA                 3      -      -      -      2      3      3      -      2


***END***

© The Washington Post Company