Sept. 2008: Poll Highlights | Colorado | Michigan | Minnesota | Wisconsin
Michigan Survey -- October 2008
From October 3 to 7 (pre-presidential debate), Quinnipiac University surveyed 1122 likely voters in Michigan; the survey has a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent. And then from October 8 to 12 (post-presidential debate), Quinnipiac University surveyed 1043 likely voters in Michigan; the survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.0 percent. The survey was conducted in partnership with washingtonpost.com and The Wall Street Journal.
1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".
LIKELY VOTERS...........................................
PreDeb POST DEBATE ...................................
IMPQ8
MICHIGAN Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Econ
Obama 55% 54% 6% 93% 52% 48% 60% 60%
McCain 37 38 88 3 35 44 32 31
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 3 - 1 2 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 7 7 3 4 13 6 8 7
WHITE..........................................
NoColl College BrnAgn
Tot Degree Degree Men Wom Evngl Cath
Obama 48% 46% 55% 40% 55% 32% 55%
McCain 43 45 39 51 36 58 37
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 - 2 1 3 -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - -
DK/NA 7 8 5 6 8 7 8
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates
were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would
you vote?(If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain?
This table includes "Leaners". (* pre debate, ** post debate)
LIKELY VOTERS.........................
Oct 14 Oct 14 Sep 23 Jul 24 Jun 26
MICHIGAN 2008** 2008* 2008 2008 2008
Obama 54 55 48 46 48
McCain 38 37 44 42 42
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - -
DK/NA 7 7 7 9 8
1a. Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
LIKELY VOTERS................
CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN Q1....
PreDeb POST DEBATE.........
CANDCHOICE Q1
MI Tot Tot Obama McCain
Made up 88% 86% 86% 86%
Might change 11 12 12 13
DK/NA 1 1 2 1
2. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
MI Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 60% 60% 21% 93% 57% 55% 64%
Unfavorable 29 30 70 4 27 34 27
Hvn't hrd enough 8 8 7 4 14 9 7
REFUSED 3 2 2 - 3 2 2
3. Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
MI Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 47% 51% 89% 21% 53% 59% 44%
Unfavorable 44 40 5 72 35 34 44
Hvn't hrd enough 6 7 4 6 9 5 8
REFUSED 3 2 1 1 3 1 3
4. Is your opinion of -- Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
MI Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 51% 47% 17% 74% 45% 44% 49%
Unfavorable 22 23 53 3 19 30 16
Hvn't hrd enough 26 29 29 22 34 24 33
REFUSED 1 2 1 1 2 1 2
5. Is your opinion of -- Sarah Palin favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
MI Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 37% 37% 82% 9% 32% 44% 30%
Unfavorable 39 39 6 70 35 34 43
Hvn't hrd enough 23 23 11 21 32 21 25
REFUSED 1 1 1 - 2 1 1
6. Do you think Joe Biden is qualified to be Vice President?
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
MI Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Yes 77% 76% 59% 90% 78% 80% 72%
No 11 12 26 3 10 12 12
DK/NA 12 12 14 7 12 8 15
7. Do you think Sarah Palin is qualified to be Vice President?
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
MI Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Yes 41% 41% 82% 13% 40% 50% 34%
No 49 47 10 77 47 44 50
DK/NA 11 11 8 10 14 7 16
8. Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the election for President this year? (READ OPTIONS)
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
MI Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Terrorism 7% 6% 12% 1% 7% 6% 6%
The war in Iraq 8 8 8 12 6 10 6
The economy 61 64 53 68 66 62 65
Illegal immigration 1 1 2 - 2 2 1
Energy policy 6 6 7 3 6 6 5
Health care 8 8 5 12 7 5 11
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 4 4 8 2 3 3 4
DK/NA 4 4 6 2 4 5 3
9. (Post Debate) Did you watch the second televised Presidential debate between Barack Obama and John McCain that was on Tuesday night?
POST DEBATE ..........................
MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Yes 74% 72% 75% 77% 77% 72%
No 26 28 25 23 23 28
DK/NA - - - - - -
10. (Post Debate) Did this debate change how you will vote?
POST DEBATE ............................................
MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Watched Debate
Yes 2% - 3% 3% 2% 2% 3%
No 88 92 88 87 89 87 96
DK/NA 10 7 9 10 8 10 1
11. (Post Debate) Who do you think did a better job in the debate - Barack Obama or John McCain?
POST DEBATE ............................................
MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Watched Debate
Obama 46% 14% 70% 44% 40% 50% 56%
McCain 18 43 2 16 21 15 22
DK/NA 37 44 29 40 39 35 22
***END***
