June 2008: Poll Highlights | Colorado | Michigan | Minnesota | Wisconsin
Minnesota Survey -- June 2008
From June 17 to 24, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,572 likely voters in Minnesota; the survey has a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percent. The survey was conducted in partnership with washingtonpost.com and The Wall Street Journal.
1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
MINNESOTA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Obama 54% 12% 88% 54% 49% 58% 51% 53%
McCain 37 84 7 33 42 32 39 37
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 2 1 1 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 8 4 4 10 9 8 9 9
IMP ISSUE Q5...... Twin Twin
War Econ Terr Cities Suburb West East
Obama 65% 56% 12% 62% 49% 46% 54%
McCain 25 35 84 31 42 42 36
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 - 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - -
DK/NA 9 8 4 6 8 12 9
WHITES.................................
AGE IN YRS....... NoColl College BrnAgn
18-34 35-54 55+ Degree Degree Men Wom Evngl Cath
Obama 63% 52% 49% 47% 62% 45% 57% 38% 50%
McCain 33 39 38 42 31 45 34 55 40
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 4 8 11 10 5 9 9 6 9
PresVt2004.. CongVt2006.. BushJobAppQ12
Bush Kerry Rep Dem App Dis
Obama 19% 86% 16% 83% 10% 71%
McCain 73 8 80 11 84 19
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 1 - 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - -
DK/NA 7 4 4 6 6 8
1a. (If candidate choice given q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN
CAND CHOICE Q1
MI Tot Obama McCain
Made up 74% 74% 73%
Might change 23 23 24
DK/NA 3 3 3
2a. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Al Franken the DFL candidate and Norm Coleman the Republican candidate, for whom would you vote? (If undecided q2) As of today, do you lean more toward Franken or Coleman? This table includes "Leaners". (MN only)
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Franken 41% 4% 76% 35% 37% 45% 40% 47%
Coleman 51 92 17 55 57 45 52 47
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 1 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 1
DK/NA 6 3 5 8 4 8 6 5
2. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Favorable 59% 29% 78% 64% 57% 60% 57% 57%
Unfavorable 22 51 6 20 24 20 24 21
Hvn't hrd enough 16 18 13 14 16 16 17 18
REFUSED 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 4
3. Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Favorable 46% 73% 29% 46% 52% 41% 48% 46%
Unfavorable 32 9 53 29 30 33 31 35
Hvn't hrd enough 19 16 15 20 14 22 17 16
REFUSED 4 3 3 5 4 3 3 3
4. Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the election for President this year? (READ OPTIONS)
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Terrorism 5% 12% 1% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5%
The war in Iraq 21 17 26 19 21 22 20 21
The economy 51 53 50 52 54 48 53 51
Illegal immigration 5 5 3 8 6 4 5 6
Health care 11 3 17 11 8 14 10 10
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 4 4 2 4 4 4 4 3
DK/NA 3 5 2 2 3 4 3 4
5. If elected, John McCain would be the first person to become President at age 72 - Does that make you more likely to vote for McCain, less likely to vote for McCain, or doesn't it make a difference?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
More likely 2% 5% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1%
Less likely 22 6 33 26 22 23 22 24
Doesn't make diff 75 88 66 71 75 74 75 75
DK/NA 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1
6. If elected, Barack Obama would be the first African-American President. Does that make you more likely to vote for Obama, less likely to vote for Obama, or doesn't it make a difference?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
More likely 5% 2% 8% 4% 7% 3% 4% 4%
Less likely 3 5 2 2 3 4 3 2
Doesn't make diff 90 92 89 93 88 91 91 93
DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1
7. In deciding your vote for President how important is the vice-presidential candidate - Very important, somewhat important, not too important or not important at all?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Very important 37% 37% 36% 36% 32% 41% 37% 38%
Smwht important 45 46 47 46 44 46 45 43
Not too important 14 14 15 14 18 11 15 13
Not imprtnt at all 3 3 3 4 5 2 3 5
DK/NA 1 - - 1 1 1 1 -
8. Would you like Barack Obama to pick Hillary Clinton to be his vice-presidential running mate or not?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Yes 34% 14% 51% 31% 26% 41% 33% 38%
No 49 68 37 47 55 44 49 44
DK/NA 17 18 11 22 19 15 18 19
9. If Barack Obama chooses Hillary Clinton to be his vice-presidential running mate, would that make you more likely to vote for Obama, less likely to vote for Obama, or doesn't it make a difference?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
More likely 19% 5% 29% 20% 12% 25% 18% 21%
Less likely 21 38 8 21 26 17 23 24
Doesn't make diff 57 54 62 58 60 55 56 53
DK/NA 2 3 1 2 2 3 2 1
9a. If John McCain chooses Tim Pawlenty to be his vice-presidential running mate, would that make you more likely to vote for McCain, less likely to vote for McCain, or doesn't it make a difference? (MN & WI only)
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
More likely 18% 37% 6% 16% 20% 17% 19% 22%
Less likely 23 5 35 24 22 23 22 28
Doesn't make diff 56 56 57 57 56 57 56 49
DK/NA 3 2 1 3 2 4 3 1
10. If Hillary Clinton becomes Vice-President, do you think she would enthusiastically promote Barack Obama's agenda at the expense of her own ideas or not?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Yes 42% 26% 57% 40% 40% 43% 42% 41%
No 42 58 29 42 44 39 41 44
DK/NA 17 16 15 18 16 18 18 15
11. If Hillary Clinton becomes Vice-President, do you think Bill Clinton would be a problem to the Obama administration or not?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Yes 37% 57% 21% 38% 41% 33% 37% 30%
No 56 33 73 55 54 58 55 62
DK/NA 7 10 6 7 6 9 8 8
12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Approve 24% 59% 4% 18% 26% 23% 26% 23%
Disapprove 70 32 93 76 68 71 69 73
DK/NA 6 9 2 6 5 7 5 4
13. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Very satisfied 3% 5% 1% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Smwht satisfied 18 36 6 15 20 16 18 16
Smwht dissatisfied 32 42 25 31 31 32 32 29
Very dissatisfied 47 17 69 49 46 48 47 53
DK/NA 1 1 - 1 - 1 1 -
14. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Right thing 31% 65% 8% 28% 34% 28% 32% 26%
Wrong thing 61 28 85 64 59 64 60 63
DK/NA 8 8 6 8 7 8 8 11
15. Regardless of how you intend to vote, what would you prefer the next president do about the war in Iraq - (READ OPTIONS, ORDER ROTATED)
A. Begin immediately a withdrawal of American troops with a fixed date
to have them all out within 18 months. OR
B. Keep troops in Iraq until the situation is more stable and then begin
to withdraw them without a fixed date for full withdrawal?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
A. Begin immediate
withdrawal/18 mos 38% 14% 58% 37% 31% 45% 37% 39%
B. Stay until stable/
no fixed dates 54 82 35 55 62 46 55 52
DK/NA 8 3 7 8 7 9 8 9
16. Which best describes your family's financial situation - Getting ahead, falling behind or holding steady?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Getting ahead 15% 20% 10% 15% 18% 12% 14% 14%
Falling behind 23 13 28 25 22 24 22 22
Holding steady 61 66 61 59 60 63 62 62
DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1
17. As you think about your own financial situation, which of the following economic issues worries you the most right now - (READ OPTIONS, ORDER ROTATED)
A. Declining retirement fund values
B. Declining real estate values
C. Rising health care costs
D. Rising gasoline prices
E. Rising food prices
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
A. Retirement funds 9% 11% 10% 9% 10% 8% 10% 11%
B. Real estate val 9 11 8 9 11 6 8 6
C. Health care cost 21 11 29 20 19 23 21 19
D. Gasoline prices 42 52 37 40 44 41 43 49
E. Food prices 14 11 14 16 11 16 13 10
DK/NA 6 4 3 7 6 5 5 5
Party ID: Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat an Independent, or what?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................
Wht Wht
MN Tot Prot Cath Prot Cath Wht Men Wom
Republican 26% 31% 25% 32% 26% 27% 28% 23%
Democrat 35% 33% 38% 32% 39% 34% 28% 41%
Independent 31% 28% 30% 29% 28% 30% 35% 27%
Other 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 6% 7% 6%
DK/NA 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3%
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