July 2008: Poll Highlights | Colorado | Michigan | Minnesota | Wisconsin
Minnesota Survey -- July 2008
From July 14 to 22, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,261 likely voters in Minnesota; the survey has a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percent. The survey was conducted in partnership with washingtonpost.com and The Wall Street Journal.
1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided Q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Obama 46% 5% 86% 40% 42% 51% 45% 54%
McCain 44 90 7 48 49 38 45 36
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - 3 3 - 2 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 8 4 6 9 6 10 8 8
IMP ISSUE Q7...... Twin Twin
War Econ Terr Cities Suburb West East
Obama 70% 48% 3% 54% 39% 39% 50%
McCain 26 43 91 36 52 47 42
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 2 1 2 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - -
DK/NA 3 8 6 7 8 12 7
WHITE..................................
AGE IN YRS....... NoColl College BrnAgn
18-34 35-54 55+ Degree Degree Men Wom Evngl Cath
Obama 50% 45% 46% 43% 51% 41% 50% 30% 41%
McCain 45 44 42 46 44 51 40 62 49
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 3 1 2 1 3 - 1 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 5 8 10 10 4 6 10 7 8
PresVt2004.. BushJobAppQ10
Bush Kerry App Dis
Obama 12% 82% 6% 67%
McCain 82 10 86 23
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 2 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - -
DK/NA 5 7 6 8
1a. (If candidate choice given Q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN
CAND CHOICE Q1
Tot Obama McCain
Made up 75% 78% 71%
Might change 23 20 27
DK/NA 2 2 2
2a. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Al Franken the DFL candidate and Norm Coleman the Republican candidate, for whom would you vote? (If undecided Q2a) As of today, do you lean more toward Franken or Coleman? This table includes "Leaners". (MN only)
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Franken 41% 4% 76% 35% 37% 45% 40% 47%
Coleman 51 92 17 55 57 45 52 47
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 1 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 1
DK/NA 6 3 5 8 4 8 6 5
2. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Favorable 55% 30% 85% 48% 53% 58% 55% 59%
Unfavorable 26 49 6 29 30 23 27 23
Hvn't hrd enough 16 19 7 22 16 17 16 16
REFUSED 2 3 1 1 2 2 2 1
3. Is your opinion of John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Favorable 51% 79% 30% 54% 57% 45% 54% 43%
Unfavorable 27 6 51 21 25 30 27 37
Hvn't hrd enough 18 13 17 21 15 22 17 17
REFUSED 3 2 3 5 3 3 3 4
4. Is your opinion of Michelle Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Favorable 32% 15% 52% 30% 26% 39% 31% 35%
Unfavorable 17 32 5 18 22 13 18 17
Hvn't hrd enough 47 52 42 48 49 46 48 44
REFUSED 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 4
5. Is your opinion of Cindy McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Favorable 21% 32% 14% 21% 19% 22% 21% 19%
Unfavorable 8 2 15 8 9 8 8 13
Hvn't hrd enough 68 65 68 68 69 67 67 62
REFUSED 3 1 3 3 4 3 3 5
6. Who do you think better fits your idea of what a first lady should be - Michelle Obama or Cindy McCain?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Michelle Obama 28% 6% 56% 19% 25% 32% 26% 33%
Cindy McCain 26 51 6 27 28 24 26 25
DK/NA 46 43 38 54 47 45 47 43
7. Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the election for President this year? (READ OPTIONS)
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Terrorism 7% 16% 1% 7% 9% 5% 8% 7%
The war in Iraq 16 7 26 13 14 18 16 13
The economy 52 55 52 51 52 52 53 56
Illegal immigration 5 6 2 7 6 4 5 5
Health care 12 6 15 13 10 14 12 12
SOMETHING ELSE (VOL) 4 4 2 4 5 4 4 4
DK/NA 4 5 3 4 4 4 3 3
8. If elected, John McCain would be the first person to become President at age 72 - Does that make you more likely to vote for McCain, less likely to vote for McCain, or doesn't it make a difference?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
More likely 2% 3% 0% 3% 3% 1% 2% 1%
Less likely 23 5 35 23 19 26 22 27
Doesn't make diff 74 91 64 73 78 71 75 71
DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
9. If elected, Barack Obama would be the first African-American President. Does that make you more likely to vote for Obama, less likely to vote for Obama, or doesn't it make a difference?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
More likely 5% 3% 8% 4% 5% 5% 4% 5%
Less likely 3 4 3 4 3 3 3 1
Doesn't make diff 90 91 89 91 91 90 91 93
DK/NA 1 2 - 1 1 1 1 0
10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Approve 28% 67% 4% 22% 33% 23% 28% 20%
Disapprove 66 26 94 69 62 70 66 77
DK/NA 6 8 2 8 5 7 6 3
11. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Very satisfied 2% 4% 0% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2%
Smwht satisfied 20 42 6 17 21 18 20 14
Smwht dissatisfied 32 40 26 32 31 34 33 32
Very dissatisfied 45 14 66 48 44 46 44 51
DK/NA 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1
12. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Right thing 37% 77% 10% 33% 43% 31% 38% 31%
Wrong thing 55 15 87 58 50 60 55 63
DK/NA 8 9 4 9 7 9 7 7
13. Regardless of how you intend to vote, what would you prefer the next president do about the war in Iraq?
A) Begin immediately a withdrawal of American troops with a fixed date to have
them all out within 18 months. OR
B) Keep troops in Iraq until the situation is more stable and then begin to
withdraw them without a fixed date for full withdrawal.
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
A) Begin immediate
withdrawal/18 mos 38% 14% 58% 38% 35% 41% 38% 41%
B) Stay until stable/
No fixed dates 54 83 34 55 57 51 55 52
DK/NA 8 4 8 7 7 8 7 7
14. Which best describes your family's financial situation - getting ahead, falling behind or holding steady?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Getting ahead 14% 21% 8% 12% 15% 12% 13% 15%
Falling behind 24 13 32 23 21 26 24 26
Holding steady 62 65 59 63 63 61 62 59
DK/NA 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 0
15. As you think about your own financial situation, which of the following economic issues worries you the most right now -- A) declining retirement fund values, B) declining real estate values, C) rising health care costs, D) rising gasoline prices, or E) rising food prices?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
A) Retirement funds 10% 10% 8% 10% 10% 10% 10% 12%
B) Real estate val 10 17 7 9 11 9 10 11
C) Health care cost 22 19 25 22 20 24 22 21
D) Gasoline prices 39 42 39 37 39 39 39 36
E) Food prices 13 7 16 13 13 12 13 13
DK/NA 6 5 4 9 8 5 6 7
16. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose building new nuclear power plants?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Support 59% 70% 46% 63% 73% 45% 60% 63%
Oppose 30 21 43 25 22 39 29 28
DK/NA 11 10 11 12 5 16 11 8
16a. (If support Q16) Previously, did you oppose building new nuclear power plants?
LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q16)..................
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht
Yes 14% 8% 22% 14% 12% 18% 13%
No 83 90 75 83 87 78 84
DK/NA 2 2 2 3 1 5 3
16b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q16 AND Q16a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose building new nuclear power plants?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Support/didn't
oppose Q16a 50% 64% 36% 54% 64% 37% 52% 52%
Support now/did
oppose Q16a 8 6 10 9 9 8 8 11
Oppose 30 21 43 25 22 39 29 28
DK/NA 11 10 11 12 5 16 11 8
17. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose drilling for new oil supplies in currently protected areas offshore?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Support 59% 86% 40% 60% 64% 55% 61% 57%
Oppose 34 12 51 33 31 37 33 37
DK/NA 7 2 8 7 5 8 6 6
17a. (If support Q17) Previously, did you oppose drilling for new oil supplies in currently protected areas offshore?
LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q17)..................
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht
Yes 15% 11% 15% 18% 13% 17% 15%
No 81 84 79 80 83 78 81
DK/NA 4 4 6 3 3 6 5
17b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q17 AND Q17a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose drilling for new oil supplies in currently protected areas offshore?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Support/didn't
oppose Q17a 51% 77% 34% 49% 56% 46% 52% 46%
Support now/did
oppose Q17a 9 10 6 11 8 9 9 11
Oppose 34 12 51 33 31 37 33 37
DK/NA 7 2 8 7 5 8 6 6
18. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose drilling for new oil in the Alaskan national wildlife refuge?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Support 51% 78% 30% 53% 55% 47% 52% 51%
Oppose 44 17 65 42 42 46 43 45
DK/NA 5 5 5 5 4 7 5 3
18a. (If support Q19) Previously, did you oppose drilling for new oil in the Alaskan national wildlife refuge?
LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q18)..................
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht
Yes 15% 12% 16% 17% 12% 19% 15%
No 80 85 74 79 84 76 80
DK/NA 4 3 9 3 4 5 5
18b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q18 AND Q18a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose drilling for new oil in the Alaskan national wildlife refuge?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Support/didn't
oppose Q18a 43% 69% 25% 44% 48% 38% 44% 42%
Support now/did
oppose Q18a 8 10 5 9 7 9 8 9
Oppose 44 17 65 42 42 46 43 45
DK/NA 5 5 5 5 4 7 5 3
19. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose a government-funded program to develop renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Support 88% 77% 96% 90% 86% 89% 88% 89%
Oppose 10 21 3 8 12 9 10 9
DK/NA 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2
19a. (If support Q19) Previously, did you oppose a government-funded program to develop renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels?
LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q19)..................
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht
Yes 7% 7% 6% 7% 8% 5% 7%
No 91 90 93 90 90 92 91
DK/NA 2 2 2 3 2 3 2
19b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q19 AND Q19a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose a government-funded program to develop renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Support/didn't
oppose Q19a 82% 72% 90% 83% 79% 85% 82% 84%
Support now/did
oppose Q19a 6 6 5 6 7 5 6 4
Oppose 10 21 3 8 12 9 10 9
DK/NA 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2
20. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the government's stockpile of oil set aside for emergencies and shortages?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Support 45% 41% 47% 47% 39% 50% 45% 46%
Oppose 46 53 40 45 55 37 45 49
DK/NA 9 6 13 9 6 13 10 5
20a. (If support Q20) Previously, did you oppose releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the government's stockpile of oil set aside for emergencies and shortages?
LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q20)..................
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht
Yes 15% 11% 12% 20% 17% 14% 15%
No 79 86 80 76 80 78 79
DK/NA 6 3 7 4 3 8 6
20b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q20 AND Q20a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the government's stockpile of oil set aside for emergencies and shortages?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Support/didn't
oppose Q20a 38% 36% 41% 37% 32% 43% 38% 37%
Support now/did
oppose Q20a 7 5 6 9 7 7 7 9
Oppose 46 53 40 45 55 37 45 49
DK/NA 9 6 13 9 6 13 10 5
21. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose mandating higher mileage standards for cars?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Support 79% 67% 86% 82% 79% 78% 80% 80%
Oppose 17 30 10 13 17 17 16 17
DK/NA 4 3 4 5 4 5 4 4
21a. (If support Q21) Previously, did you oppose mandating higher mileage standards for cars?
LIKELY VOTERS.(Support Q21)..................
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht
Yes 8% 8% 7% 8% 8% 7% 7%
No 90 89 91 90 90 90 90
DK/NA 2 3 2 2 1 3 2
21b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q21 AND Q21a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose mandating higher mileage standards for cars?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Support/didn't
oppose Q21a 73% 62% 79% 75% 73% 73% 74% 76%
Support now/did
oppose Q21a 6 5 6 7 6 5 6 4
Opposed 17 30 10 13 17 17 16 17
DK/NA 4 3 4 5 4 5 4 4
22. Which is the best way to help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil - A) building new nuclear power plants, B) drilling offshore and in Alaska, C) developing renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels, D) releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, or E) mandating higher mileage standards for cars?
LIKELY VOTERS...........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
A) Nuclear power
plants 8% 11% 4% 9% 12% 3% 8% 10%
B) Drilling
offshore/Alaska 18 36 7 15 20 16 18 16
C) Renewable energy
sources 56 39 69 55 53 59 57 59
D) Oil from Strategic
Reserve 3 2 4 2 1 5 3 3
E) Higher mileage
cars 9 7 10 11 8 11 9 8
DK/NA 6 4 6 7 6 7 6 5
23. Regardless of whom you support, which candidate for President - Barack Obama or John McCain - has the best program for helping solve the energy crisis and making America less dependent on foreign oil?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Obama 34% 7% 58% 31% 32% 35% 33% 39%
McCain 26 48 5 30 32 20 27 26
DK/NA 40 45 36 39 36 45 41 35
24. Regarding the upcoming presidential election, would you rather the new president focus more on development of new sources of oil, natural gas, or nuclear power which some say could be a risk to the environment or focus more on wind, solar, and biofuels, which some say could take longer to produce significant amounts of energy?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Focus on new
sources of oil 31% 55% 17% 29% 37% 26% 31% 31%
Focus on wind/
solar 61 39 77 61 54 68 61 62
DK/NA 8 6 6 10 9 7 8 6
25. Regarding the upcoming presidential election, would you rather the new president focus more on development of new sources of oil and natural gas or focus more on conserving energy?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Focus on new
sources of oil 42% 59% 28% 40% 47% 36% 41% 35%
Focus more on
conserving
energy 52 35 66 54 48 57 53 59
DK/NA 6 6 5 7 5 7 6 5
26. Which is more important to you when you decide how to vote for president - a candidate's position on energy policy or a candidate's position on the war in Iraq?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Position on
energy policy 49% 53% 42% 52% 51% 46% 49% 45%
Position on the
war in Iraq 41 38 48 38 39 42 41 45
DK/NA 11 9 10 10 9 12 11 11
Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat an Independent, or what?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Republican 25% 100% - - 26% 24% 26% 19%
Democrat 33 - 100 - 26 40 32 42
Independent 34 - - 100 39 29 34 32
Other 6 - - - 8 5 6 5
DK/NA 2 - - - 2 3 2 2
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