[Battleground Soundings in Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin: A Quinnipiac University / washingtonpost.com / Wall Street Journal Poll

July 2008: Poll Highlights | Colorado | Michigan | Minnesota | Wisconsin

Minnesota Survey -- July 2008

From July 14 to 22, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,261 likely voters in Minnesota; the survey has a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percent. The survey was conducted in partnership with washingtonpost.com and The Wall Street Journal.

1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided Q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".

                     

                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Obama                46%     5%    86%    40%    42%    51%    45%    54%
McCain               44     90      7     48     49     38     45     36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      -      3      3      -      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 8      4      6      9      6     10      8      8

                     IMP ISSUE Q7......   Twin   Twin
                     War    Econ   Terr   Cities Suburb West   East

Obama                70%    48%     3%    54%    39%    39%    50%
McCain               26     43     91     36     52     47     42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      2      1      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 3      8      6      7      8     12      7

                                          WHITE..................................
                     AGE IN YRS.......    NoColl College              BrnAgn
                     18-34  35-54  55+    Degree Degree Men    Wom    Evngl  Cath

Obama                50%    45%    46%    43%    51%    41%    50%    30%    41%
McCain               45     44     42     46     44     51     40     62     49
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      3      1      2      1      3      -      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 5      8     10     10      4      6     10      7      8

                     PresVt2004..  BushJobAppQ10
                     Bush   Kerry  App    Dis

Obama                12%    82%     6%    67%
McCain               82     10     86     23
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 5      7      6      8


1a. (If candidate choice given Q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?


                     CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN
                            CAND CHOICE Q1
                     Tot    Obama  McCain

Made up              75%    78%    71%
Might change         23     20     27
DK/NA                 2      2      2


2a. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Al Franken the DFL candidate and Norm Coleman the Republican candidate, for whom would you vote? (If undecided Q2a) As of today, do you lean more toward Franken or Coleman? This table includes "Leaners". (MN only)


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
MN                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Franken              41%     4%    76%    35%    37%    45%    40%    47%
Coleman              51     92     17     55     57     45     52     47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      1      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      -      1      1      -      1      1      1
DK/NA                 6      3      5      8      4      8      6      5

2. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Favorable            55%    30%    85%    48%    53%    58%    55%    59%
Unfavorable          26     49      6     29     30     23     27     23
Hvn't hrd enough     16     19      7     22     16     17     16     16
REFUSED               2      3      1      1      2      2      2      1


3. Is your opinion of John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Favorable            51%    79%    30%    54%    57%    45%    54%    43%
Unfavorable          27      6     51     21     25     30     27     37
Hvn't hrd enough     18     13     17     21     15     22     17     17
REFUSED               3      2      3      5      3      3      3      4


4. Is your opinion of Michelle Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Favorable            32%    15%    52%    30%    26%    39%    31%    35%
Unfavorable          17     32      5     18     22     13     18     17
Hvn't hrd enough     47     52     42     48     49     46     48     44
REFUSED               3      2      2      3      3      3      3      4


5. Is your opinion of Cindy McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Favorable            21%    32%    14%    21%    19%    22%    21%    19%
Unfavorable           8      2     15      8      9      8      8     13
Hvn't hrd enough     68     65     68     68     69     67     67     62
REFUSED               3      1      3      3      4      3      3      5


6. Who do you think better fits your idea of what a first lady should be - Michelle Obama or Cindy McCain?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Michelle Obama       28%     6%    56%    19%    25%    32%    26%    33%
Cindy McCain         26     51      6     27     28     24     26     25
DK/NA                46     43     38     54     47     45     47     43


7. Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the election for President this year? (READ OPTIONS)


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Terrorism             7%    16%     1%     7%     9%     5%     8%     7%
The war in Iraq      16      7     26     13     14     18     16     13
The economy          52     55     52     51     52     52     53     56
Illegal immigration   5      6      2      7      6      4      5      5
Health care          12      6     15     13     10     14     12     12
SOMETHING ELSE (VOL)  4      4      2      4      5      4      4      4
DK/NA                 4      5      3      4      4      4      3      3


8. If elected, John McCain would be the first person to become President at age 72 - Does that make you more likely to vote for McCain, less likely to vote for McCain, or doesn't it make a difference?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

More likely           2%     3%     0%     3%     3%     1%     2%     1%
Less likely          23      5     35     23     19     26     22     27
Doesn't make diff    74     91     64     73     78     71     75     71
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      1      1      1      1


9. If elected, Barack Obama would be the first African-American President. Does that make you more likely to vote for Obama, less likely to vote for Obama, or doesn't it make a difference?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

More likely           5%     3%     8%     4%     5%     5%     4%     5%
Less likely           3      4      3      4      3      3      3      1
Doesn't make diff    90     91     89     91     91     90     91     93
DK/NA                 1      2      -      1      1      1      1      0


10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Approve              28%    67%     4%    22%    33%    23%    28%    20%
Disapprove           66     26     94     69     62     70     66     77
DK/NA                 6      8      2      8      5      7      6      3


11. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Very satisfied        2%     4%     0%     2%     2%     1%     1%     2%
Smwht satisfied      20     42      6     17     21     18     20     14
Smwht dissatisfied   32     40     26     32     31     34     33     32
Very dissatisfied    45     14     66     48     44     46     44     51
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      2      1      1      1


12. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Right thing          37%    77%    10%    33%    43%    31%    38%    31%
Wrong thing          55     15     87     58     50     60     55     63
DK/NA                 8      9      4      9      7      9      7      7


13. Regardless of how you intend to vote, what would you prefer the next president do about the war in Iraq?

A) Begin immediately a withdrawal of American troops with a fixed date to have
   them all out within 18 months.  OR
B) Keep troops in Iraq until the situation is more stable and then begin to
   withdraw them without a fixed date for full withdrawal.

                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

A) Begin immediate
withdrawal/18 mos    38%    14%    58%    38%    35%    41%    38%    41%
B) Stay until stable/
No fixed dates       54     83     34     55     57     51     55     52
DK/NA                 8      4      8      7      7      8      7      7


14. Which best describes your family's financial situation - getting ahead, falling behind or holding steady?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Getting ahead        14%    21%     8%    12%    15%    12%    13%    15%
Falling behind       24     13     32     23     21     26     24     26
Holding steady       62     65     59     63     63     61     62     59
DK/NA                 1      -      1      1      -      1      1      0


15. As you think about your own financial situation, which of the following economic issues worries you the most right now -- A) declining retirement fund values, B) declining real estate values, C) rising health care costs, D) rising gasoline prices, or E) rising food prices?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

A) Retirement funds  10%    10%     8%    10%    10%    10%    10%    12%
B) Real estate val   10     17      7      9     11      9     10     11
C) Health care cost  22     19     25     22     20     24     22     21
D) Gasoline prices   39     42     39     37     39     39     39     36
E) Food prices       13      7     16     13     13     12     13     13
DK/NA                 6      5      4      9      8      5      6      7


16. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose building new nuclear power plants?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Support              59%    70%    46%    63%    73%    45%    60%    63%
Oppose               30     21     43     25     22     39     29     28
DK/NA                11     10     11     12      5     16     11      8


16a. (If support Q16) Previously, did you oppose building new nuclear power plants?


                     LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q16)..................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht

Yes                  14%     8%    22%    14%    12%    18%    13%
No                   83     90     75     83     87     78     84
DK/NA                 2      2      2      3      1      5      3


16b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q16 AND Q16a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose building new nuclear power plants?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Support/didn't
 oppose Q16a         50%    64%    36%    54%    64%    37%    52%    52%
Support now/did
 oppose Q16a          8      6     10      9      9      8      8     11
Oppose               30     21     43     25     22     39     29     28
DK/NA                11     10     11     12      5     16     11      8


17. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose drilling for new oil supplies in currently protected areas offshore?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Support              59%    86%    40%    60%    64%    55%    61%    57%
Oppose               34     12     51     33     31     37     33     37
DK/NA                 7      2      8      7      5      8      6      6
 

17a. (If support Q17) Previously, did you oppose drilling for new oil supplies in currently protected areas offshore?


                     LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q17)..................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht

Yes                  15%    11%    15%    18%    13%    17%    15%
No                   81     84     79     80     83     78     81
DK/NA                 4      4      6      3      3      6      5


17b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q17 AND Q17a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose drilling for new oil supplies in currently protected areas offshore?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Support/didn't
 oppose Q17a         51%    77%    34%    49%    56%    46%    52%    46%
Support now/did
 oppose Q17a          9     10      6     11      8      9      9     11
Oppose               34     12     51     33     31     37     33     37
DK/NA                 7      2      8      7      5      8      6      6


18. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose drilling for new oil in the Alaskan national wildlife refuge?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Support              51%    78%    30%    53%    55%    47%    52%    51%
Oppose               44     17     65     42     42     46     43     45
DK/NA                 5      5      5      5      4      7      5      3


18a. (If support Q19) Previously, did you oppose drilling for new oil in the Alaskan national wildlife refuge?


                     LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q18)..................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht

Yes                  15%    12%    16%    17%    12%    19%    15%
No                   80     85     74     79     84     76     80
DK/NA                 4      3      9      3      4      5      5


18b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q18 AND Q18a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose drilling for new oil in the Alaskan national wildlife refuge?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Support/didn't
 oppose Q18a         43%    69%    25%    44%    48%    38%    44%    42%
Support now/did
 oppose Q18a          8     10      5      9      7      9      8      9
Oppose               44     17     65     42     42     46     43     45
DK/NA                 5      5      5      5      4      7      5      3


19. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose a government-funded program to develop renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Support              88%    77%    96%    90%    86%    89%    88%    89%
Oppose               10     21      3      8     12      9     10      9
DK/NA                 2      1      1      2      2      2      2      2


19a. (If support Q19) Previously, did you oppose a government-funded program to develop renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels?


                     LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q19)..................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht

Yes                   7%     7%     6%     7%     8%     5%     7%
No                   91     90     93     90     90     92     91
DK/NA                 2      2      2      3      2      3      2


19b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q19 AND Q19a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose a government-funded program to develop renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Support/didn't
 oppose Q19a         82%    72%    90%    83%    79%    85%    82%    84%
Support now/did
 oppose Q19a          6      6      5      6      7      5      6      4
Oppose               10     21      3      8     12      9     10      9
DK/NA                 2      1      1      2      2      2      2      2


20. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the government's stockpile of oil set aside for emergencies and shortages?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Support              45%    41%    47%    47%    39%    50%    45%    46%
Oppose               46     53     40     45     55     37     45     49
DK/NA                 9      6     13      9      6     13     10      5


20a. (If support Q20) Previously, did you oppose releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the government's stockpile of oil set aside for emergencies and shortages?


                     LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q20)..................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht

Yes                  15%    11%    12%    20%    17%    14%    15%
No                   79     86     80     76     80     78     79
DK/NA                 6      3      7      4      3      8      6


20b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q20 AND Q20a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the government's stockpile of oil set aside for emergencies and shortages?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Support/didn't
 oppose Q20a         38%    36%    41%    37%    32%    43%    38%    37%
Support now/did
 oppose Q20a          7      5      6      9      7      7      7      9
Oppose               46     53     40     45     55     37     45     49
DK/NA                 9      6     13      9      6     13     10      5


21. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose mandating higher mileage standards for cars?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Support              79%    67%    86%    82%    79%    78%    80%    80%
Oppose               17     30     10     13     17     17     16     17
DK/NA                 4      3      4      5      4      5      4      4


21a. (If support Q21) Previously, did you oppose mandating higher mileage standards for cars?


                     LIKELY VOTERS.(Support Q21)..................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht

Yes                   8%     8%     7%     8%     8%     7%     7%
No                   90     89     91     90     90     90     90
DK/NA                 2      3      2      2      1      3      2


21b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q21 AND Q21a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose mandating higher mileage standards for cars?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Support/didn't
 oppose Q21a         73%    62%    79%    75%    73%    73%    74%    76%
Support now/did
 oppose Q21a          6      5      6      7      6      5      6      4
Opposed              17     30     10     13     17     17     16     17
DK/NA                 4      3      4      5      4      5      4      4


22. Which is the best way to help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil - A) building new nuclear power plants, B) drilling offshore and in Alaska, C) developing renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels, D) releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, or E) mandating higher mileage standards for cars?


                     LIKELY VOTERS...........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

A) Nuclear power
 plants               8%    11%     4%     9%    12%     3%     8%    10%
B) Drilling
 offshore/Alaska     18     36      7     15     20     16     18     16
C) Renewable energy
 sources             56     39     69     55     53     59     57     59
D) Oil from Strategic
 Reserve              3      2      4      2      1      5      3      3
E) Higher mileage
 cars                 9      7     10     11      8     11      9      8
DK/NA                 6      4      6      7      6      7      6      5


23. Regardless of whom you support, which candidate for President - Barack Obama or John McCain - has the best program for helping solve the energy crisis and making America less dependent on foreign oil?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Obama                34%     7%    58%    31%    32%    35%    33%    39%
McCain               26     48      5     30     32     20     27     26
DK/NA                40     45     36     39     36     45     41     35


24. Regarding the upcoming presidential election, would you rather the new president focus more on development of new sources of oil, natural gas, or nuclear power which some say could be a risk to the environment or focus more on wind, solar, and biofuels, which some say could take longer to produce significant amounts of energy?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Focus on new
 sources of oil      31%    55%    17%    29%    37%    26%    31%    31%
Focus on wind/
 solar               61     39     77     61     54     68     61     62
DK/NA                 8      6      6     10      9      7      8      6


25. Regarding the upcoming presidential election, would you rather the new president focus more on development of new sources of oil and natural gas or focus more on conserving energy?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Focus on new
 sources of oil      42%    59%    28%    40%    47%    36%    41%    35%
Focus more on
 conserving
 energy              52     35     66     54     48     57     53     59
DK/NA                 6      6      5      7      5      7      6      5


26. Which is more important to you when you decide how to vote for president - a candidate's position on energy policy or a candidate's position on the war in Iraq?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Position on
 energy policy       49%    53%    42%    52%    51%    46%    49%    45%
Position on the
 war in Iraq         41     38     48     38     39     42     41     45
DK/NA                11      9     10     10      9     12     11     11


Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat an Independent, or what?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Republican           25%   100%     -      -     26%    24%    26%    19%
Democrat             33      -    100      -     26     40     32     42
Independent          34      -      -    100     39     29     34     32
Other                 6      -      -      -      8      5      6      5
DK/NA                 2      -      -      -      2      3      2      2
     

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