Sept. 2008: Poll Highlights | Colorado | Michigan | Minnesota | Wisconsin
Minnesota Survey -- October 2008
From October 3 to 7, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,076 likely voters in Minnesota; the survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.0 percent. And then from October 8 to 12 (post-presidential debate), Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,019likely voters in Wisconsin; the survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent. The survey was conducted in partnership with washingtonpost.com and The Wall Street Journal.
1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".
LIKELY VOTERS...........................................
PreDeb POST DEBATE ...................................
IMPQ8
MINNESOTA Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Econ
Obama 51% 51% 8% 90% 51% 46% 57% 57%
McCain 43 40 89 4 38 46 34 36
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 4 3 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 5 7 2 4 7 5 8 6
WHITE..........................................
NoColl College BrnAgn
Tot Degree Degree Men Wom Evngl Cath
Obama 49% 41% 65% 43% 55% 29% 46%
McCain 43 49 32 49 38 65 45
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 - 3 1 1 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - -
DK/NA 6 7 2 5 7 5 7
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates
were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would
you vote?(If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain?
This table includes "Leaners". (* pre debate, ** post debate)
LIKELY VOTERS.........................
Oct 14 Oct 14 Sep 23 Jul 24 Jun 26
MINNESOTA 2008** 2008* 2008 2008 2008
Obama 51 51 47 46 54
McCain 40 43 45 44 37
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 2 1
DK/NA 7 5 6 8 8
1a. Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
LIKELY VOTERS................
CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN Q1....
PreDeb POST DEBATE.........
CANDCHOICE Q1
MN Tot Tot Obama McCain
Made up 86% 85% 86% 84%
Might change 14 13 13 15
DK/NA 1 1 1 2
2a. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Al Franken the Democrat, Norm Coleman the Republican, and Independence Party candidate Dean Barkley for whom would you vote? (If undecided q2a) As of today, do you lean more toward Franken, Coleman, or Barkley? This table includes "Leaners".
SENATE LIKELY VOTERS.........................
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
MN Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Franken 39% 38% 4% 74% 32% 35% 41%
Coleman 37 36 81 6 32 39 34
Barkley 17 18 11 12 29 18 17
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - -
DK/NA 7 8 3 9 7 7 8
2. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
MN Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 59% 59% 25% 91% 57% 53% 65%
Unfavorable 31 29 65 4 26 32 25
Hvn't hrd enough 8 8 8 4 12 10 7
REFUSED 2 4 2 1 5 5 3
3. Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
MN Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 50% 53% 91% 22% 56% 56% 50%
Unfavorable 38 38 6 69 34 35 40
Hvn't hrd enough 8 5 2 6 5 5 6
REFUSED 4 4 1 2 5 4 3
4. Is your opinion of -- Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
MN Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 50% 50% 24% 75% 49% 47% 53%
Unfavorable 22 21 40 2 24 26 15
Hvn't hrd enough 26 27 34 23 24 24 31
REFUSED 2 2 2 - 2 3 2
5. Is your opinion of -- Sarah Palin favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
MN Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 42% 37% 80% 8% 33% 39% 36%
Unfavorable 41 41 9 74 39 39 44
Hvn't hrd enough 16 19 10 17 26 20 18
REFUSED 1 3 1 2 2 3 2
6. Do you think Joe Biden is qualified to be Vice President?
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
MN Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Yes 79% 80% 69% 90% 83% 82% 78%
No 10 10 18 4 7 10 9
DK/NA 12 11 14 6 10 8 13
7. Do you think Sarah Palin is qualified to be Vice President?
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
MN Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Yes 43% 43% 84% 13% 39% 45% 40%
No 48 47 10 81 46 45 49
DK/NA 9 10 6 6 15 10 11
8. Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the election for President this year? (READ OPTIONS)
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
MN Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Terrorism 5% 5% 13% - 5% 6% 5%
The war in Iraq 10 11 11 14 7 10 12
The economy 58 58 51 66 57 59 58
Illegal immigration 4 3 3 1 5 4 1
Energy policy 6 7 9 5 7 9 6
Health care 10 8 4 11 10 5 12
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 4 4 6 2 4 5 4
DK/NA 3 2 3 1 4 3 2
9.(Post Debate) Did you watch the second televised Presidential debate between Barack Obama and John McCain that was on Tuesday night?
POST DEBATE ..........................
MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Yes 73% 72% 75% 75% 74% 73%
No 26 28 24 24 26 26
DK/NA 1 - 1 1 - 1
10. (Post Debate) Did this debate change how you will vote?
LIKELY VOTERS...........................................
POST DEBATE ............................................
MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Watched Debate
Yes 3% 5% 3% 2% 3% 4% 4%
No 87 84 89 89 88 85 94
DK/NA 10 11 8 9 9 11 1
11. (Post Debate) Who do you think did a better job in the debate - Barack Obama or John McCain?
POST DEBATE ............................................
MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Watched Debate
Obama 46% 21% 72% 42% 46% 47% 57%
McCain 18 38 2 19 20 15 22
DK/NA 36 41 26 39 34 38 21
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