June 2008: Poll Highlights | Colorado | Michigan | Minnesota | Wisconsin
Wisconsin Survey -- June 2008
From June 17 to 24, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,537 likely voters in Wisconsin; the survey has a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percent. The survey was conducted in partnership with washingtonpost.com and The Wall Street Journal.
1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
WISCONSIN Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Obama 52% 8% 88% 50% 51% 53% 49% 59%
McCain 39 88 7 37 40 37 42 33
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 8 3 5 11 7 9 8 6
IMP ISSUE Q4...... Milwak RestOf
War Econ Terr Milwak Vicnty South State
Obama 70% 55% 7% 60% 42% 56% 51%
McCain 23 37 86 28 51 35 40
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - - 2 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - -
DK/NA 7 7 7 12 5 9 8
WHITES.................................
AGE IN YRS....... NoColl College BrnAgn
18-34 35-54 55+ Degree Degree Men Wom Evngl Cath
Obama 61% 52% 47% 47% 56% 50% 49% 32% 49%
McCain 35 39 41 43 38 42 41 59 44
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 4 8 11 9 5 7 9 8 7
PresVt2004.. CongVt2006.. BushJobAppQ12
Bush Kerry Rep Dem App Dis
Obama 16% 86% 10% 80% 9% 73%
McCain 77 7 85 13 83 18
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 2 - 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - -
DK/NA 6 7 4 7 8 8
1a. Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN
CAND CHOICE Q1
WI Tot Obama McCain
Made up 78% 80% 77%
Might change 20 19 23
DK/NA 1 2 1
2. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Favorable 54% 22% 79% 55% 53% 55% 52% 61%
Unfavorable 27 63 7 22 29 25 29 23
Hvn't hrd enough 16 11 12 19 15 16 15 15
REFUSED 4 3 2 4 3 4 4 2
3. Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Favorable 48% 83% 27% 49% 51% 46% 51% 41%
Unfavorable 30 6 51 27 31 30 30 37
Hvn't hrd enough 18 9 18 20 15 20 16 20
REFUSED 4 1 4 4 3 4 3 2
4. Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the election for President this year? (READ OPTIONS)
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Terrorism 8% 19% 1% 9% 9% 7% 8% 5%
The war in Iraq 20 13 25 19 19 21 20 22
The economy 47 47 49 48 50 45 48 50
Illegal immigration 4 9 2 3 5 4 5 4
Health care 14 7 19 12 10 16 13 14
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 4 4 2 5 4 3 4 3
DK/NA 3 2 2 4 3 3 2 2
5. If elected, John McCain would be the first person to become President at age 72. Does that make you more likely to vote for McCain, less likely to vote for McCain, or doesn't it make a difference?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
More likely 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2%
Less likely 20 10 30 17 19 21 20 22
Doesn't make diff 77 87 68 80 77 76 78 76
DK/NA 1 - 1 1 2 1 1 -
6. If elected, Barack Obama would be the first African-American President. Does that make you more likely to vote for Obama, less likely to vote for Obama, or doesn't it make a difference?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
More likely 4% 2% 7% 2% 3% 5% 3% 4%
Less likely 4 8 4 3 4 4 5 4
Doesn't make diff 91 89 88 95 92 89 92 92
DK/NA 1 1 1 - - 1 1 -
7. In deciding your vote for president how important is the vice-presidential candidate - Very important, somewhat important, not too important or not important at all?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Very important 41% 32% 45% 43% 32% 48% 39% 38%
Smwht important 44 50 41 41 47 41 46 45
Not too important 12 14 11 13 16 9 13 13
Not imprtnt at all 3 3 3 3 5 1 3 3
DK/NA - - - 1 1 - - -
8. Would you like Barack Obama to pick Hillary Clinton to be his Vice- Presidential running mate or not?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Yes 33% 15% 52% 29% 27% 39% 32% 35%
No 48 61 35 52 51 44 49 50
DK/NA 19 24 13 19 22 16 19 16
9. If Barack Obama chooses Hillary Clinton to be his vice-presidential running mate, would that make you more likely to vote for Obama, less likely to vote for Obama, or doesn't it make a difference?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
More likely 18% 4% 30% 17% 13% 22% 18% 20%
Less likely 21 43 6 22 23 20 23 24
Doesn't make diff 59 52 63 58 63 55 56 54
DK/NA 2 2 1 3 2 3 2 3
9a. If John McCain chooses Tim Pawlenty to be his vice-presidential running mate, would that make you more likely to vote for McCain, less likely to vote for McCain, or doesn't it make a difference? (MN & WI only)
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
More likely 4% 8% 1% 3% 5% 3% 4% 4%
Less likely 7 5 10 6 8 7 7 8
Doesn't make diff 81 78 84 83 81 81 81 83
DK/NA 8 10 5 8 6 9 8 6
10. If Hillary Clinton becomes Vice-President, do you think she would enthusiastically promote Barack Obama's agenda at the expense of her own ideas or not?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Yes 41% 26% 56% 36% 38% 43% 42% 44%
No 43 60 29 44 48 38 42 40
DK/NA 16 14 15 19 14 19 16 16
11. If Hillary Clinton becomes Vice-President, do you think Bill Clinton would be a problem to the Obama administration or not?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Yes 41% 66% 23% 43% 46% 37% 42% 37%
No 54 30 73 50 49 58 53 59
DK/NA 5 4 4 6 4 6 5 4
12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Approve 27% 64% 4% 22% 30% 24% 29% 24%
Disapprove 67 26 93 71 66 68 66 74
DK/NA 6 10 2 6 5 8 6 2
13. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Very satisfied 1% 3% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1%
Smwht satisfied 18 43 4 14 19 18 19 13
Smwht dissatisfied 32 42 22 33 33 30 33 34
Very dissatisfied 47 12 72 50 45 49 46 52
DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 -
14. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Right thing 35% 77% 11% 29% 39% 31% 37% 35%
Wrong thing 59 18 84 66 57 61 58 62
DK/NA 6 5 5 5 4 8 5 4
15. Regardless of how you intend to vote, what would you prefer the next president do about the war in Iraq - (READ OPTIONS, ORDER ROTATED)
A. Begin immediately a withdrawal of American troops with a fixed date
to have them all out within 18 months. OR
B. Keep troops in Iraq until the situation is more stable and then begin
to withdraw them without a fixed date for full withdrawal?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
A. Begin immediate
withdrawal/18 mos 41% 15% 65% 38% 37% 45% 40% 46%
B. Stay until stable/
no fixed dates 51 81 26 56 57 46 54 47
DK/NA 7 4 9 7 6 8 7 8
16. Which best describes your family's financial situation - Getting ahead, falling behind or holding steady?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Getting ahead 13% 19% 9% 11% 16% 10% 12% 14%
Falling behind 24 14 33 23 23 25 23 25
Holding steady 62 67 58 65 61 64 64 61
DK/NA 1 - 1 - 1 1 1 -
17. As you think about your own financial situation, which of the following economic issues worries you the most right now - (READ OPTIONS, ORDER ROTATED)
A. Declining retirement fund values
B. Declining real estate values
C. Rising health care costs
D. Rising gasoline prices
E. Rising food prices
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
A. Retirement funds 10% 10% 8% 12% 10% 10% 10% 11%
B. Real estate val 6 6 6 5 6 6 6 5
C. Health care cost 21 18 26 20 20 23 22 23
D. Gasoline prices 43 50 41 41 44 43 44 47
E. Food prices 15 13 15 14 14 15 13 10
DK/NA 5 2 4 7 6 4 5 5
Party ID: Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat an Independent, or what?
LIKELY VOTERS..................................
Wht Wht
WI Tot Prot Cath Prot Cath Wht Men Wom
Republican 26% 30% 26% 32% 27% 28% 27% 25%
Democrat 37% 33% 35% 32% 35% 35% 30% 42%
Independent 30% 29% 33% 29% 33% 30% 35% 26%
Other 5% 4% 3% 4% 3% 4% 6% 4%
DK/NA 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3%
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