[Battleground Soundings in Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin: A Quinnipiac University / washingtonpost.com / Wall Street Journal Poll

July 2008: Poll Highlights | Colorado | Michigan | Minnesota | Wisconsin

Wisconsin Survey -- July 2008

From July 14 to 22, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,094 likely voters in Wisconsin; the survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.0 percent. The survey was conducted in partnership with washingtonpost.com and The Wall Street Journal.


                     LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Unweighted Total    1094    276    351    399    428    666   1006    217
Margins of error     2.96   5.90   5.23   4.91   4.74   3.80  3.09    6.65

                     IMP ISSUE Q7......          Milwak        RestOf
                     War    Econ   Terr   Milwak Vicnty South  State

Unweighted Total     190    576     68    174    211    238    471
Margins of error     7.11   4.08   11.88  7.43   6.75   6.35   4.52

                                          WHITES.................................
                     AGE IN YRS.......    NoColl College              BrnAgn
                     18-34  35-54  55+    Degree Degree Men    Wom    Evngl  Cath

Unweighted Total      91    386    600    616    389    393    613    270    345
Margins of error     10.27  4.99   4.0    3.95   4.97   4.94   3.96   5.96   5.28


                     PresVt2004..  BushJobAppQ10
                     Bush   Kerry  App    Dis

Unweighted Total     456    450    285    743
Margins of error     4.59   4.62   5.81   3.60

                     CAND CHOICE Q1
                     Obama  McCain

Unweighted Total     545    427
Margins of error     4.20   4.74

1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?(If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners". (* for "Terrorism" subgroup use additional caution when interpreting findings due to larger margin of error.)

LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Obama                50%    12%    86%    47%    43%    56%    48%    55%
McCain               39     82      6     38     49     31     42     34
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      3      1      2      2      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 9      5      7     12      7     11      9     10

                     IMP ISSUE Q7......          Milwak        RestOf
                     War    Econ   *Terr  Milwak Vicnty South  State

Obama                65%    53%     8%    56%    35%    56%    51%
McCain               25     38     87     37     50     36     


SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      -      1      -      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 9      9      5      6     15      7      9

                                          WHITE..................................
                     AGE IN YRS.......    NoColl College              BrnAgn
                     18-34  35-54  55+    Degree Degree Men    Wom    Evngl  Cath

Obama                60%    47%    47%    45%    55%    42%    53%    34%    43%
McCain               31     43     41     43     37     51     34     54     48
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      2      1      1      2      2      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 7      9     11     10      6      7     11     11      9

                     PresVt2004..  BushJobAppQ10
                     Bush   Kerry  App    Dis

Obama                16%    84%     9%    69%
McCain               76      9     83     20
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 7      7      6      9

1a. (If candidate choice given q1)Is your mind made up, or do you think you 
might change your mind before the election?

                     CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN
                            CAND CHOICE Q1
                     Tot    Obama  McCain

Made up              72%    72%    71%
Might change         27     27     27
DK/NA                 2      2      2

2. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Favorable            55%    28%    80%    54%    53%    57%    54%    58%
Unfavorable          28     58      5     28     33     24     30     23
Hvn't hrd enough     14     11     12     16     12     15     14     16
REFUSED               3      3      3      2      2      4      3      2


3. Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Favorable            52%    83%    24%    56%    62%    44%    55%    47%
Unfavorable          28      8     50     24     25     31     27     30
Hvn't hrd enough     17      9     23     17     11     22     15     21
REFUSED               3      -      3      2      2      3      2      2

4. Is your opinion of -- Michelle Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Favorable            31%    12%    49%    30%    25%    37%    31%    30%
Unfavorable          14     30      4     13     15     13     15     10

Hvn't hrd enough     50     56     42     53     54     47     50     56
REFUSED               4      2      5      4      6      3      4      4

5. Is your opinion of -- Cindy McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?


                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Favorable            21%    32%    13%    21%    21%    20%    22%    17%
Unfavorable           9      2     18      6      8      9      8      9
Hvn't hrd enough     66     65     63     68     64     67     66     70
REFUSED               5      2      6      5      6      4      4      4

6. Who do you think better fits your idea of what a First Lady should be - Michelle Obama or Cindy McCain

                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds
Michelle Obama       29%    11%    48%    27%    24%    33%    27%    30%
Cindy McCain         28     54     10     26     32     24     29     24
DK/NA                43     35     42     47     43     43     45     46

7. Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the election for President this year?(READ OPTIONS)

LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Terrorism             6%    13%     1%     3%     8%     4%     6%     3%
The war in Iraq      16     12     21     15     18     15     16     16
The economy          54     49     55     59     56     52     55     58
Illegal immigration   5     10      3      4      4      6      5      6
Health care          12     10     12     13      7     16     11     11
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)   4      4      3      3      4      3      4      4
DK/NA                 3      1      4      3      2      4      3      2

8. If elected, John McCain would be the first person to become President at age 72 - Does that make you more likely to vote for McCain, less likely to vote for McCain, or doesn't it make a difference?

                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

More likely           2%     4%     0%     1%     1%     2%     2%     1%
Less likely          23      8     38     21     21     24     21     22
Doesn't make a diff  75     87     61     77     78     72     77     76
DK/NA                 1      -      1      1      -      2      1      1

9. If elected, Barack Obama would be the first African-American President. Does that make you more likely to vote for Obama, less likely to vote for Obama, or doesn't it make a difference?

                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

More likely           6%     3%    11%     4%     5%     7%     4%     7%
Less likely           4      6      3      3      5      3      4      4
Doesn't make a diff  89     91     85     93     90     89     92     88
DK/NA                 1      -      1      -      -      1      -      -

10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?

                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Approve              26%    60%     4%    21%    30%    22%    28%    21%
Disapprove           68     33     94     72     64     71     66     72
DK/NA                 6      7      3      7      6      7      6      7

11. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union                     
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Very satisfied        2%     4%     1%     2%     2%     2%     2%     1%
Smwht satisfied      16     36      3     13     19     13     17     15
Smwht dissatisfied   36     44     27     36     36     36     36     34
Very dissatisfied    45     16     67     48     42     48     44     50
DK/NA                 1      -      1      1      1      1      1      1

12. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?

LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... 
Union                    
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Right thing          35%    75%    12%    30%    46%    27%    37%    31%
Wrong thing          58     20     82     63     50     64     56     60
DK/NA                 7      5      6      7      4      9      7      9

13. Regardless of how you intend to vote, what would you prefer the next president do about the war in Iraq? A) Begin immediately a withdrawal of American troops with a fixed date to have them all out within 18 months. OR B) Keep troops in Iraq until the situation is more stable and then begin to withdraw them without a fixed date for full withdrawal.

LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... 
                                                                      Union                   
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

A) Begin immediate
withdrawal/18 mos    40%    14%    66%    38%    33%    46%    37%    43%
B) Stay until stable/
No fixed dates       54     84     27     55     64     46     57     50
DK/NA                 6      1      8      7      3      8      5      7

14. Which best describes your family's financial situation - Getting ahead, falling behind or holding steady?

                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Getting ahead        10%    16%     7%     7%    13%     7%    10%     9%
Falling behind       25     13     32     27     22     28     24     24
Holding steady       64     70     61     65     65     64     66     67
DK/NA                 1      1      -      1      -      1      1      1

15. As you think about your own financial situation, which of the following economic issues worries you the most right now? (READ OPTIONS, ORDER ROTATED)

LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Retirement funds     12%    14%    13%    11%    12%    13%    12%    16%
Real estate val       5      4      4      5      6      4      4      1
Health care cost     23     18     25     23     24     21     23     23
Gasoline prices      42     51     36     42     41     42     41     46
Food prices          15     13     17     14     13     16     14     10
DK/NA                 4      1      5      6      4      4      4      4

16. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Building new nuclear power plants?

                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Support              56%    75%    42%    56%    75%    41%    57%    59%
Oppose               33     19     46     33     20     45     32     35
DK/NA                10      6     12     11      5     15     11      6

16a. (If support q16)Previously, did you oppose building new nuclear power plants?

                     LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q16)..................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    

Yes                  14%    10%    22%    13%    12%    16%    14%    
No                   84     87     76     85     87     79     84     
DK/NA                 2      4      1      2      1      5      2     


16b. COMBINED RESULTS Q16 AND Q16a
To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil,
do you support or oppose - Building new nuclear power plants?

                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Support/didn't
 oppose Q16a         48%    68%    32%    49%    65%    34%    49%    52%
Support now/did
 oppose Q16a          8      7      9      7      9      7      8      8
Oppose               33     19     46     33     20     45     32     35
DK/NA                10      6     12     11      5     15     11      6

17. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Drilling for new oil supplies in currently protected areas off shore?

                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Support              59%    80%    38%    61%    67%    52%    59%    57%
Oppose               34     16     54     33     31     37     34     38
DK/NA                 7      4      8      6      2     11      7      4

17a. (If support q17)Previously, did you oppose drilling for new oil supplies in
currently protected areas off shore ?
LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q17)..................                                                                      
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    

Yes                  15%    13%    23%    11%    12%    17%    14%    
No                   82     83     72     85     86     77     82     
DK/NA                 4      4      5      4      2      6      4     


17b. COMBINED RESULTS Q17 AND Q17a
To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil,
do you support or oppose - Drilling for new oil supplies in currently protected
areas off shore?

                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Support/didn't
 oppose Q17a         50%    69%    29%    54%    59%    43%    51%    49%
Support now/did
 oppose Q17a          9     10      9      7      8      9      8      8
Oppose               34     16     54     33     31     37     34     38
DK/NA                 7      4      8      6      2     11      7      4

18. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Drilling for new oil in the Alaskan national wildlife refuge?

LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Support              51%    73%    30%    53%    64%    40%    52%    51%
Oppose               43     22     64     43     35     50     43     46
DK/NA                 6      5      6      4      1     10      6      3


18a. (If support q18)Previously, did you oppose drilling for new oil in the
Alaskan national wildlife refuge?

                     LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q18)..................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    

Yes                  17%    12%    30%    14%    16%    18%    17%    
No                   81     87     69     82     81     80     81     
DK/NA                 2      2      1      4      2      2      2     

18b. COMBINED RESULTS Q18 AND Q18a To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Drilling for new oil in the Alaskan national wildlife refuge?

                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Support/didn't
 oppose Q18a         42%    64%    21%    46%    53%    33%    43%    43%
Support now/did
 oppose Q18a          9      9      9      7     10      7      9      8
Oppose               43     22     64     43     35     50     43     46
DK/NA                 6      5      6      4      1     10      6      3

19. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - A government funded program to develop renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels?

                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Support              88%    80%    95%    87%    83%    91%    88%    91%
Oppose                9     17      2     11     14      5      9      8
DK/NA                 3      3      3      2      3      4      3      1

19a. (If support q19)Previously, did you oppose A government funded program to
develop renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels?

                     LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q19)..................                                                                      
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    

Yes                   6%     8%     5%     5%     4%     7%     5%    
No                   93     91     93     94     95     90     93     
DK/NA                 2      1      3      1      -      3      1     


19b. COMBINED RESULTS Q19 AND Q19a
To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil,
do you support or oppose - A government funded program to develop renewable
energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels?

                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Support/didn't
 oppose Q19a         83%    73%    91%    82%    80%    85%    83%    86%
Support now/did
 oppose Q19a          5      6      4      5      4      6      5      5
Oppose                9     17      2     11     14      5      9      8
DK/NA                 3      3      3      2      3      4      3      1

20. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the government's stockpile of oil set aside for emergencies and shortages?

                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Support              47%    42%    55%    45%    38%    55%    46%    49%
Oppose               43     53     32     47     58     31     45     43
DK/NA                10      5     13      8      4     15      9      8

20a. (If support q20)Previously, did you oppose Releasing oil from the Strategic
Petroleum Reserve, the government's stockpile of oil set aside for emergencies
and shortages?

                     LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q20)..................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    

Yes                  13%    18%    12%    12%    16%    11%    14%    
No                   82     77     83     83     81     83     81     
DK/NA                 5      5      5      5      3      6      5     


20b. COMBINED RESULTS Q20 AND Q20a
To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign
oil, do you support or oppose - Releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum
Reserve, the government's stockpile of oil set aside for emergencies and
shortages?

                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Support/didn't
 oppose Q20a         41%    35%    49%    40%    32%    49%    40%    46%
Support now/did
 oppose Q20a          6      8      6      5      6      6      6      3
Oppose               43     53     32     47     58     31     45     43
DK/NA                10      5     13      8      4     15      9      8

21. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Mandating higher mileage standards for cars?

                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Support              78%    75%    87%    74%    77%    79%    79%    83%
Oppose               17     22      9     21     21     14     17     13
DK/NA                 4      3      4      5      2      7      4      4

21a. (If support q21)Previously, did you oppose Mandating higher mileage standards
for cars?

                     LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q21)..................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    

Yes                   7%     9%     9%     5%     6%     9%     7%    
No                   90     88     88     93     93     88     90     
DK/NA                 2      3      3      2      1      4      2     


21b. COMBINED RESULTS Q21 AND Q21a
To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil,
do you support or oppose - Mandating higher mileage standards for cars?

                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Support/didn't
 oppose Q21a         73%    68%    79%    70%    73%    72%    74%    79%
Support now/did
oppose Q21a          6      7      8      4      5      7      6      4
Opposed              17     22      9     21     21     14     17     13
DK/NA                 4      3      4      5      2      7      4      4

22. Which is the best way to help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil - A) building new nuclear power plants, B) drilling offshore and in Alaska, C) developing renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels, D) releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve or E) mandating higher mileage standards for cars?

                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

A) Nuclear power 
plants                7%    13%     2%     8%    13%     2%     8%    10%
B) Drilling
offshore/Alaska       6     30      7     13     19     12     15     11
C) Renewable energy
sources              59     45     75     58     51     67     60     63
D) Oil from Strategic
Reserve               4      3      3      4      2      5      3      3
E) Higher mileage
cars                  8      7      9      9     10      8      8      7
DK/NA                 6      3      4      8      5      6      6      5

23. Regardless of whom you support, which candidate for President - Barack Obama or John McCain - has the best program for helping solve the energy crisis and making America less dependent on foreign oil?

                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Obama                34%     9%    64%    30%    32%    37%    33%    39%
McCain               29     62      6     25     39     21     30     26
DK/NA                37     28     30     45     30     42     37     36

24. Regarding the upcoming presidential election, would you rather the new president - Focus more on development of new sources of oil, natural gas, or nuclear power which some say could be a risk to the environment or Focus more on wind, solar, and biofuels, which some say could take longer to produce significant amounts of energy?

                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Focus on new
 sources of oil      32%    47%    18%    33%    44%    21%    32%    34%
Focus on wind/
 solar               62     49     77     60     51     73     61     62
DK/NA                 6      4      5      7      5      7      6      4

25. Regarding the upcoming presidential election, would you rather the new president - Focus more on development of new sources of oil and natural gas or Focus more on conserving energy?

                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Focus on new
 sources of oil      40%    53%    29%    38%    44%    35%    39%    37%
Focus more on
 conserving
 energy              54     39     66     56     52     56     54     57
DK/NA                 7      8      6      6      4      9      7      7

26. Which is more important to you when you decide how to vote for President - A candidate's position on energy policy or A candidate's position on the war in Iraq

                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Position on
 energy policy       52%    52%    46%    57%    54%    50%    53%    53%
Position on the
 war in Iraq         41     43     47     36     41     41     41     40
DK/NA                 7      5      7      8      6      8      7      7
                     
					 LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    HsHlds

Position on
 energy policy       52%    52%    46%    57%    54%    50%    53%    53%
Position on the
 war in Iraq         41     43     47     36     41     41     41     40
DK/NA                 7      5      7      8      6      8      7      7
Republican           26%   100%     -      -     30%    23%    28%    21%
Democrat             32      -    100      -     23     40     30     37
Independent          36      -      -    100     42     30     36     36
Other                 3      -      -      -      3      4      3      3
DK/NA                 2      -      -      -      2      3      2      2

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