July 2008: Poll Highlights | Colorado | Michigan | Minnesota | Wisconsin
Wisconsin Survey -- July 2008
From July 14 to 22, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,094 likely voters in Wisconsin; the survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.0 percent. The survey was conducted in partnership with washingtonpost.com and The Wall Street Journal.
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Unweighted Total 1094 276 351 399 428 666 1006 217
Margins of error 2.96 5.90 5.23 4.91 4.74 3.80 3.09 6.65
IMP ISSUE Q7...... Milwak RestOf
War Econ Terr Milwak Vicnty South State
Unweighted Total 190 576 68 174 211 238 471
Margins of error 7.11 4.08 11.88 7.43 6.75 6.35 4.52
WHITES.................................
AGE IN YRS....... NoColl College BrnAgn
18-34 35-54 55+ Degree Degree Men Wom Evngl Cath
Unweighted Total 91 386 600 616 389 393 613 270 345
Margins of error 10.27 4.99 4.0 3.95 4.97 4.94 3.96 5.96 5.28
PresVt2004.. BushJobAppQ10
Bush Kerry App Dis
Unweighted Total 456 450 285 743
Margins of error 4.59 4.62 5.81 3.60
CAND CHOICE Q1
Obama McCain
Unweighted Total 545 427
Margins of error 4.20 4.74
1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?(If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners". (* for "Terrorism" subgroup use additional caution when interpreting findings due to larger margin of error.)
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Obama 50% 12% 86% 47% 43% 56% 48% 55%
McCain 39 82 6 38 49 31 42 34
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 3 1 2 2 -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 9 5 7 12 7 11 9 10
IMP ISSUE Q7...... Milwak RestOf
War Econ *Terr Milwak Vicnty South State
Obama 65% 53% 8% 56% 35% 56% 51%
McCain 25 38 87 37 50 36
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - 1 - 1 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - -
DK/NA 9 9 5 6 15 7 9
WHITE..................................
AGE IN YRS....... NoColl College BrnAgn
18-34 35-54 55+ Degree Degree Men Wom Evngl Cath
Obama 60% 47% 47% 45% 55% 42% 53% 34% 43%
McCain 31 43 41 43 37 51 34 54 48
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 7 9 11 10 6 7 11 11 9
PresVt2004.. BushJobAppQ10
Bush Kerry App Dis
Obama 16% 84% 9% 69%
McCain 76 9 83 20
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - -
DK/NA 7 7 6 9
1a. (If candidate choice given q1)Is your mind made up, or do you think you
might change your mind before the election?
CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN
CAND CHOICE Q1
Tot Obama McCain
Made up 72% 72% 71%
Might change 27 27 27
DK/NA 2 2 2
2. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Favorable 55% 28% 80% 54% 53% 57% 54% 58%
Unfavorable 28 58 5 28 33 24 30 23
Hvn't hrd enough 14 11 12 16 12 15 14 16
REFUSED 3 3 3 2 2 4 3 2
3. Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Favorable 52% 83% 24% 56% 62% 44% 55% 47%
Unfavorable 28 8 50 24 25 31 27 30
Hvn't hrd enough 17 9 23 17 11 22 15 21
REFUSED 3 - 3 2 2 3 2 2
4. Is your opinion of -- Michelle Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Favorable 31% 12% 49% 30% 25% 37% 31% 30%
Unfavorable 14 30 4 13 15 13 15 10
Hvn't hrd enough 50 56 42 53 54 47 50 56
REFUSED 4 2 5 4 6 3 4 4
5. Is your opinion of -- Cindy McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Favorable 21% 32% 13% 21% 21% 20% 22% 17%
Unfavorable 9 2 18 6 8 9 8 9
Hvn't hrd enough 66 65 63 68 64 67 66 70
REFUSED 5 2 6 5 6 4 4 4
6. Who do you think better fits your idea of what a First Lady should be - Michelle Obama or Cindy McCain
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Michelle Obama 29% 11% 48% 27% 24% 33% 27% 30%
Cindy McCain 28 54 10 26 32 24 29 24
DK/NA 43 35 42 47 43 43 45 46
7. Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the election for President this year?(READ OPTIONS)
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Terrorism 6% 13% 1% 3% 8% 4% 6% 3%
The war in Iraq 16 12 21 15 18 15 16 16
The economy 54 49 55 59 56 52 55 58
Illegal immigration 5 10 3 4 4 6 5 6
Health care 12 10 12 13 7 16 11 11
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 4 4 3 3 4 3 4 4
DK/NA 3 1 4 3 2 4 3 2
8. If elected, John McCain would be the first person to become President at age 72 - Does that make you more likely to vote for McCain, less likely to vote for McCain, or doesn't it make a difference?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
More likely 2% 4% 0% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1%
Less likely 23 8 38 21 21 24 21 22
Doesn't make a diff 75 87 61 77 78 72 77 76
DK/NA 1 - 1 1 - 2 1 1
9. If elected, Barack Obama would be the first African-American President. Does that make you more likely to vote for Obama, less likely to vote for Obama, or doesn't it make a difference?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
More likely 6% 3% 11% 4% 5% 7% 4% 7%
Less likely 4 6 3 3 5 3 4 4
Doesn't make a diff 89 91 85 93 90 89 92 88
DK/NA 1 - 1 - - 1 - -
10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Approve 26% 60% 4% 21% 30% 22% 28% 21%
Disapprove 68 33 94 72 64 71 66 72
DK/NA 6 7 3 7 6 7 6 7
11. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Very satisfied 2% 4% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1%
Smwht satisfied 16 36 3 13 19 13 17 15
Smwht dissatisfied 36 44 27 36 36 36 36 34
Very dissatisfied 45 16 67 48 42 48 44 50
DK/NA 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1
12. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Right thing 35% 75% 12% 30% 46% 27% 37% 31%
Wrong thing 58 20 82 63 50 64 56 60
DK/NA 7 5 6 7 4 9 7 9
13. Regardless of how you intend to vote, what would you prefer the next president do about the war in Iraq? A) Begin immediately a withdrawal of American troops with a fixed date to have them all out within 18 months. OR B) Keep troops in Iraq until the situation is more stable and then begin to withdraw them without a fixed date for full withdrawal.
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
A) Begin immediate
withdrawal/18 mos 40% 14% 66% 38% 33% 46% 37% 43%
B) Stay until stable/
No fixed dates 54 84 27 55 64 46 57 50
DK/NA 6 1 8 7 3 8 5 7
14. Which best describes your family's financial situation - Getting ahead, falling behind or holding steady?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Getting ahead 10% 16% 7% 7% 13% 7% 10% 9%
Falling behind 25 13 32 27 22 28 24 24
Holding steady 64 70 61 65 65 64 66 67
DK/NA 1 1 - 1 - 1 1 1
15. As you think about your own financial situation, which of the following economic issues worries you the most right now? (READ OPTIONS, ORDER ROTATED)
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Retirement funds 12% 14% 13% 11% 12% 13% 12% 16%
Real estate val 5 4 4 5 6 4 4 1
Health care cost 23 18 25 23 24 21 23 23
Gasoline prices 42 51 36 42 41 42 41 46
Food prices 15 13 17 14 13 16 14 10
DK/NA 4 1 5 6 4 4 4 4
16. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Building new nuclear power plants?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Support 56% 75% 42% 56% 75% 41% 57% 59%
Oppose 33 19 46 33 20 45 32 35
DK/NA 10 6 12 11 5 15 11 6
16a. (If support q16)Previously, did you oppose building new nuclear power plants?
LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q16)..................
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht
Yes 14% 10% 22% 13% 12% 16% 14%
No 84 87 76 85 87 79 84
DK/NA 2 4 1 2 1 5 2
16b. COMBINED RESULTS Q16 AND Q16a
To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil,
do you support or oppose - Building new nuclear power plants?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Support/didn't
oppose Q16a 48% 68% 32% 49% 65% 34% 49% 52%
Support now/did
oppose Q16a 8 7 9 7 9 7 8 8
Oppose 33 19 46 33 20 45 32 35
DK/NA 10 6 12 11 5 15 11 6
17. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Drilling for new oil supplies in currently protected areas off shore?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Support 59% 80% 38% 61% 67% 52% 59% 57%
Oppose 34 16 54 33 31 37 34 38
DK/NA 7 4 8 6 2 11 7 4
17a. (If support q17)Previously, did you oppose drilling for new oil supplies in
currently protected areas off shore ?
LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q17)..................
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht
Yes 15% 13% 23% 11% 12% 17% 14%
No 82 83 72 85 86 77 82
DK/NA 4 4 5 4 2 6 4
17b. COMBINED RESULTS Q17 AND Q17a
To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil,
do you support or oppose - Drilling for new oil supplies in currently protected
areas off shore?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Support/didn't
oppose Q17a 50% 69% 29% 54% 59% 43% 51% 49%
Support now/did
oppose Q17a 9 10 9 7 8 9 8 8
Oppose 34 16 54 33 31 37 34 38
DK/NA 7 4 8 6 2 11 7 4
18. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Drilling for new oil in the Alaskan national wildlife refuge?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Support 51% 73% 30% 53% 64% 40% 52% 51%
Oppose 43 22 64 43 35 50 43 46
DK/NA 6 5 6 4 1 10 6 3
18a. (If support q18)Previously, did you oppose drilling for new oil in the
Alaskan national wildlife refuge?
LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q18)..................
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht
Yes 17% 12% 30% 14% 16% 18% 17%
No 81 87 69 82 81 80 81
DK/NA 2 2 1 4 2 2 2
18b. COMBINED RESULTS Q18 AND Q18a To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Drilling for new oil in the Alaskan national wildlife refuge?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Support/didn't
oppose Q18a 42% 64% 21% 46% 53% 33% 43% 43%
Support now/did
oppose Q18a 9 9 9 7 10 7 9 8
Oppose 43 22 64 43 35 50 43 46
DK/NA 6 5 6 4 1 10 6 3
19. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - A government funded program to develop renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Support 88% 80% 95% 87% 83% 91% 88% 91%
Oppose 9 17 2 11 14 5 9 8
DK/NA 3 3 3 2 3 4 3 1
19a. (If support q19)Previously, did you oppose A government funded program to
develop renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels?
LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q19)..................
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht
Yes 6% 8% 5% 5% 4% 7% 5%
No 93 91 93 94 95 90 93
DK/NA 2 1 3 1 - 3 1
19b. COMBINED RESULTS Q19 AND Q19a
To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil,
do you support or oppose - A government funded program to develop renewable
energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Support/didn't
oppose Q19a 83% 73% 91% 82% 80% 85% 83% 86%
Support now/did
oppose Q19a 5 6 4 5 4 6 5 5
Oppose 9 17 2 11 14 5 9 8
DK/NA 3 3 3 2 3 4 3 1
20. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the government's stockpile of oil set aside for emergencies and shortages?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Support 47% 42% 55% 45% 38% 55% 46% 49%
Oppose 43 53 32 47 58 31 45 43
DK/NA 10 5 13 8 4 15 9 8
20a. (If support q20)Previously, did you oppose Releasing oil from the Strategic
Petroleum Reserve, the government's stockpile of oil set aside for emergencies
and shortages?
LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q20)..................
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht
Yes 13% 18% 12% 12% 16% 11% 14%
No 82 77 83 83 81 83 81
DK/NA 5 5 5 5 3 6 5
20b. COMBINED RESULTS Q20 AND Q20a
To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign
oil, do you support or oppose - Releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum
Reserve, the government's stockpile of oil set aside for emergencies and
shortages?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Support/didn't
oppose Q20a 41% 35% 49% 40% 32% 49% 40% 46%
Support now/did
oppose Q20a 6 8 6 5 6 6 6 3
Oppose 43 53 32 47 58 31 45 43
DK/NA 10 5 13 8 4 15 9 8
21. To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Mandating higher mileage standards for cars?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Support 78% 75% 87% 74% 77% 79% 79% 83%
Oppose 17 22 9 21 21 14 17 13
DK/NA 4 3 4 5 2 7 4 4
21a. (If support q21)Previously, did you oppose Mandating higher mileage standards
for cars?
LIKELY VOTERS (Support Q21)..................
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht
Yes 7% 9% 9% 5% 6% 9% 7%
No 90 88 88 93 93 88 90
DK/NA 2 3 3 2 1 4 2
21b. COMBINED RESULTS Q21 AND Q21a
To help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil,
do you support or oppose - Mandating higher mileage standards for cars?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Support/didn't
oppose Q21a 73% 68% 79% 70% 73% 72% 74% 79%
Support now/did
oppose Q21a 6 7 8 4 5 7 6 4
Opposed 17 22 9 21 21 14 17 13
DK/NA 4 3 4 5 2 7 4 4
22. Which is the best way to help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil - A) building new nuclear power plants, B) drilling offshore and in Alaska, C) developing renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels, D) releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve or E) mandating higher mileage standards for cars?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
A) Nuclear power
plants 7% 13% 2% 8% 13% 2% 8% 10%
B) Drilling
offshore/Alaska 6 30 7 13 19 12 15 11
C) Renewable energy
sources 59 45 75 58 51 67 60 63
D) Oil from Strategic
Reserve 4 3 3 4 2 5 3 3
E) Higher mileage
cars 8 7 9 9 10 8 8 7
DK/NA 6 3 4 8 5 6 6 5
23. Regardless of whom you support, which candidate for President - Barack Obama or John McCain - has the best program for helping solve the energy crisis and making America less dependent on foreign oil?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Obama 34% 9% 64% 30% 32% 37% 33% 39%
McCain 29 62 6 25 39 21 30 26
DK/NA 37 28 30 45 30 42 37 36
24. Regarding the upcoming presidential election, would you rather the new president - Focus more on development of new sources of oil, natural gas, or nuclear power which some say could be a risk to the environment or Focus more on wind, solar, and biofuels, which some say could take longer to produce significant amounts of energy?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Focus on new
sources of oil 32% 47% 18% 33% 44% 21% 32% 34%
Focus on wind/
solar 62 49 77 60 51 73 61 62
DK/NA 6 4 5 7 5 7 6 4
25. Regarding the upcoming presidential election, would you rather the new president - Focus more on development of new sources of oil and natural gas or Focus more on conserving energy?
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Focus on new
sources of oil 40% 53% 29% 38% 44% 35% 39% 37%
Focus more on
conserving
energy 54 39 66 56 52 56 54 57
DK/NA 7 8 6 6 4 9 7 7
26. Which is more important to you when you decide how to vote for President - A candidate's position on energy policy or A candidate's position on the war in Iraq
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Position on
energy policy 52% 52% 46% 57% 54% 50% 53% 53%
Position on the
war in Iraq 41 43 47 36 41 41 41 40
DK/NA 7 5 7 8 6 8 7 7
LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht HsHlds
Position on
energy policy 52% 52% 46% 57% 54% 50% 53% 53%
Position on the
war in Iraq 41 43 47 36 41 41 41 40
DK/NA 7 5 7 8 6 8 7 7
Republican 26% 100% - - 30% 23% 28% 21%
Democrat 32 - 100 - 23 40 30 37
Independent 36 - - 100 42 30 36 36
Other 3 - - - 3 4 3 3
DK/NA 2 - - - 2 3 2 2
***END***
