Sept. 2008: Poll Highlights | Colorado | Michigan | Minnesota | Wisconsin
Wisconsin Survey -- October 2008
From October 3 to 7, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,081 likely voters in Wisconsin; the survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.0% percent. From October 8 to 12, 1,201 likely voters in Wisconsin were surveyed; the survey has a margin of error of +/- 2.8% percent. The survey was conducted in partnership with washingtonpost.com and The Wall Street Journal.
1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".
LIKELY VOTERS...........................................
PreDeb POST DEBATE ...................................
IMPQ8
WISCONSIN Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Econ
Obama 51% 54% 5% 92% 52% 49% 59% 61%
McCain 43 37 93 3 36 41 33 31
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 - 1 3 4 1 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - -
DK/NA 5 7 2 3 9 6 7 7
WHITE..........................................
NoColl College BrnAgn
Tot Degree Degree Men Wom Evngl Cath
Obama 52% 50% 58% 47% 57% 38% 51%
McCain 39 40 38 43 36 57 40
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 1 4 1 1 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - -
DK/NA 7 8 4 7 7 5 6
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates
were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would
you vote?(If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain?
This table includes "Leaners". (* pre debate, ** post debate)
LIKELY VOTERS.........................
Oct 14 Oct 14 Sep 23 Jul 24 Jun 26
WISCONSIN 2008** 2008* 2008 2008 2008
Obama 54 51 49 50 52
McCain 37 43 42 39 39
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - -
DK/NA 7 5 7 9 8
1a. Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
LIKELY VOTERS................
CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN Q1....
PreDeb POST DEBATE.........
CANDCHOICE Q1
WI Tot Tot Obama McCain
Made up 85% 85% 84% 86%
Might change 14 14 14 13
DK/NA 1 2 2 1
2. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
WI Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 56% 59% 19% 91% 55% 53% 63%
Unfavorable 32 31 73 4 30 37 25
Hvn't hrd enough 9 8 7 3 12 7 9
REFUSED 3 3 1 2 3 2 3
3. Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
WI Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 51% 47% 92% 15% 51% 54% 41%
Unfavorable 37 42 5 75 37 37 46
Hvn't hrd enough 8 7 2 7 8 6 8
REFUSED 4 4 2 3 4 3 4
4. Is your opinion of -- Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
WI Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 44% 46% 16% 69% 46% 45% 47%
Unfavorable 27 24 55 3 24 30 18
Hvn't hrd enough 27 28 28 27 26 23 34
REFUSED 2 2 1 1 3 3 2
5. Is your opinion of -- Sarah Palin favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
WI Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Favorable 41% 37% 82% 11% 34% 39% 37%
Unfavorable 37 40 3 68 41 37 43
Hvn't hrd enough 20 20 13 19 22 23 17
REFUSED 1 3 1 2 3 2 3
6. Do you think Joe Biden is qualified to be Vice President?
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
WI Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Yes 76% 74% 62% 85% 75% 76% 72%
No 12 13 23 4 12 15 10
DK/NA 12 14 15 11 13 9 17
7. Do you think Sarah Palin is qualified to be Vice President?
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
WI Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Yes 45% 43% 85% 17% 41% 47% 40%
No 44 47 9 74 47 44 49
DK/NA 11 10 7 9 12 9 12
8. Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the election for President this year? (READ OPTIONS)
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
WI Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Terrorism 7% 7% 16% 1% 6% 8% 6%
The war in Iraq 7 9 8 9 12 10 9
The economy 58 55 54 59 52 54 55
Illegal immigration 3 4 3 2 6 5 3
Energy policy 7 5 4 3 9 8 3
Health care 11 13 5 22 10 8 18
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 4 4 6 2 3 4 3
DK/NA 3 2 3 2 2 2 3
9. (Post Debate) Did you watch the second televised Presidential debate between Barack Obama and John McCain that was on Tuesday night?
POST DEBATE ..........................
WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Yes 71% 67% 76% 76% 72% 71%
No 28 32 24 24 28 29
DK/NA - - - - - -
10. (Post Debate) Did this debate change how you will vote?
POST DEBATE ............................................
WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Watched Debate
Yes 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 4% 4%
No 84 83 86 86 84 84 95
DK/NA 13 13 10 11 13 13 -
11. (Post Debate) Who do you think did a better job in the debate - Barack Obama or John McCain?
POST DEBATE ............................................
WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Watched Debate
Obama 45% 12% 70% 46% 43% 47% 58%
McCain 16 44 2 14 18 15 21
DK/NA 38 44 28 40 39 38 21
12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
WI Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Approve 27% 21% 56% 1% 15% 24% 18%
Disapprove 69 73 34 97 78 70 76
DK/NA 4 6 9 2 7 6 6
13. In the nation as a whole, do you think economic conditions will get better or get worse in the next year?
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
WI Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Get better 46% 52% 63% 47% 51% 57% 47%
Get worse 40 36 26 39 40 31 41
STAY THE SAME(VOL) 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
DK/NA 11 9 8 11 6 9 9
14. In your state, do you think economic conditions will get better or worse in the next year?
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
WI Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Get better 44% 47% 57% 45% 44% 51% 43%
Get worse 41 41 31 42 45 38 43
STAY THE SAME(VOL) 6 4 4 2 5 5 3
DK/NA 9 9 7 11 6 6 11
15. Thinking about your own personal financial situation, do you think you will be better or worse off economically in the next year?
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
WI Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Better off 45% 47% 62% 44% 42% 54% 41%
Worse off 32 32 19 38 36 25 38
SAME (VOL) 16 14 12 12 17 14 14
DK/NA 7 7 8 6 5 7 7
16. Who do you think better understands the economy - Barack Obama or John McCain?
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
WI Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Obama 50% 53% 9% 84% 54% 49% 57%
McCain 38 32 80 4 30 37 28
DK/NA 12 15 11 12 16 14 15
17. Who do you think better understands foreign policy - Barack Obama or John McCain?
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
WI Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Obama 29% 32% 1% 60% 25% 27% 36%
McCain 60 57 98 25 63 63 52
DK/NA 11 11 1 15 11 10 13
18. Do you think Barack Obama has shown effective leadership in dealing with the financial crisis facing the nation?
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
WI Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Yes 46% 44% 18% 72% 37% 37% 50%
No 43 44 73 16 53 54 36
DK/NA 11 12 9 12 10 10 14
19. Do you think John McCain has shown effective leadership in dealing with the financial crisis facing the nation?
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
WI Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Yes 40% 34% 67% 17% 31% 34% 34%
No 49 54 23 72 60 57 51
DK/NA 11 12 10 11 9 9 15
20. When it comes to the current problems in the financial markets, do you think the government is doing too much to help rescue financial firms, too little, or about the right amount?
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
WI Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Too much 53% 49% 56% 42% 52% 50% 48%
Too little 13 14 10 18 11 11 16
About right 26 26 28 30 22 28 24
DK/NA 8 11 7 10 15 11 12
21. Do you approve or disapprove of the economic plan passed by Congress to deal with the nation's economic crisis?
PreDeb POST DEBATE ..........................
WI Tot Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Approve 32% 36% 41% 40% 33% 35% 37%
Disapprove 54 51 50 46 56 55 48
DK/NA 15 12 9 14 11 10 14
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