[Battleground Soundings in Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin: A Quinnipiac University / Washingtonpost.Newsweek Interactive / Wall Street Journal Poll

These surveys of likely voters in Colorado, Minnesota, Wisconsin and Michigan were conducted by Quinnipiac University in partnership with washingtonpost.com and The Wall Street Journal as part of a four-month effort to measure voter sentiment in key battleground states. The four states surveyed in this project provide a snapshot of where things stand less than five months before Election Day and will be followed by regular polling and analysis in the months ahead. Previous survey results »

June 2008: Full Results and Methodology

Key Findings Among Likely Voters

Note: The individual rounded percents may cause the total of some pies to be greater than or less than 100%.

Presidential Preference

If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Colorado

McCain (R) 44%

Obama (D) 49%

Michigan

McCain (R) 42%

Obama (D) 48%

Minnesota

McCain (R) 37%

Obama (D) 54%

Wisconsin

McCain (R) 39%

Obama (D) 52%

Favorability: John McCain

Is your opinion of John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Colorado

Total
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Among Independents
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Michigan

Total
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Among Independents
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Minnesota

Total
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Among Independents
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Wisconsin

Total
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Among Independents
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Favorability: Barack Obama

Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Colorado

Total
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Among Independents
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Michigan

Total
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Among Independents
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Minnesota

Total
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Among Independents
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Wisconsin

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Among Independents
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Key Issues

Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the election for President this year: Terrorism, The war in Iraq, The economy, Illegal immigration, or Health care?

War in Iraq

Regardless of how you intend to vote, what would you prefer the next president do about the war in Iraq? Begin immediately a withdrawal of American troops, with a fixed date to have them all out within 18 months. OR Keep troops in Iraq until the situation is more stable, and then begin to withdraw them, without a fixed date for full withdrawal.

Vice President

In deciding your vote for president how important is the vice-presidential candidate: Very important, somewhat important, not too important or not important at all?

Vice President: Hillary Clinton

Would you like Barack Obama to pick Hillary Clinton to be his Vice-Presidential running mate or not?

Colorado

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Among Democrats
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Michigan

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Among Democrats
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Minnesota

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Among Democrats
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Wisconsin

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Among Democrats
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Methodology

  • We use random digit dial sampling (RDD). Phone numbers are randomly generated by a computer. We randomly select the person to speak with in the household using the "birthday method". We speak with the person in the household, 18 years of age or older, who has the next birthday. The intervievers will introduce ourselves as calling from the "Quinnipiac University Poll" located in Hamden, CT. Our interviewers say we our doing a poll about issues in the news.
  • We reported the results based on "Likely voters." In Minnesota and Wisoconsin, which have Election Day voter registration, likely voters are defined as those who say they are definitely or probably going to vote in the Presidential election. In Colorado and Michigan, likely voters are defined as registered voters who say they are definitely or probably going to vote in the presidential election.
  • Samples are weighted by race, region, age, education, and gender according to the census.
  • The polls were conducted in each state from June 17 to June 24 by Quinnipiac University. The sample sizes and margins of error in each state were: Colorado: 1,351 voters, +/-2.7 percent; Michigan: 1,411 voters, +/- 2.6 percent; Minnesota: 1,572 voters, +/-2.5 percent; Wisconsin: 1,537 voters, +/-2.5 percent.

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