Washington Post-ABC News Poll

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone January 12 to 15, 2012, among a random national sample of 1,000 adults, including landline and cell phone-only respondents. The results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

           -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
1/15/12    48       25         23      48       11         37         4
12/18/11   49       25         24      47       13         34         4
11/3/11    44       22         22      53       15         37         3
10/2/11    42       21         21      54       14         40         4
9/1/11     43       21         22      53       16         38         3
8/9/11*    44       18         26      46        9         37        10
7/17/11    47       25         22      48       14         35         5
6/5/11     47       27         20      49       13         37         4
5/2/11**   56       29         27      38       14         24         6
4/17/11    47       27         21      50       12         37         3
3/13/11    51       27         24      45       12         33         4
1/16/11    54       30         23      43       15         28         3
12/12/10   49       24         25      47       15         32         4
10/28/10   50       27         23      45       11         34         5
10/3/10    50       26         24      47       13         34         3
9/2/10     46       24         22      52       14         38         3
7/11/10    50       28         22      47       12         35         3
6/6/10     52       30         22      45       12         33         4
4/25/10    54       31         23      44       11         33         3
3/26/10    53       34         20      43        8         35         3
2/8/10     51       29         22      46       12         33         3
1/15/10    53       30         24      44       13         32         2
12/13/09   50       31         18      46       13         33         4
11/15/09   56       32         23      42       13         29         2
10/18/09   57       33         23      40       11         29         3
9/12/09    54       35         19      43       12         31         3
8/17/09    57       35         21      40       11         29         3
7/18/09    59       38         22      37        9         28         4
6/21/09    65       36         29      31       10         22         4
4/24/09    69       42         27      26        8         18         4
3/29/09    66       40         26      29        9         20         5
2/22/09    68       43         25      25        8         17         7
*Washington Post
**Washington Post/Pew Research Center
       

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling [ITEM]? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

1/15/12 - Summary Table*

                     -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
                     NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
a. The economy       41       19         22      57       11         46         2
b. Creating jobs     45       21         25      51       11         40         3
c. Taxes             45       21         24      47       13         34         8 
d. The federal  
   budget deficit    35       15         20      58       11         48         7
e. The threat 
   of terrorism      56       36         20      38       10         28         6
f. International
   affairs           49       26         23      44       10         33         7
g. The possibility   
   of Iran 
   obtaining 
   nuclear weapons   33       15         18      48       11         37        19 
*Full sample asked item a; half sample asked items b,c,d; other half sample asked items e,f,g.

Trend:

a. The economy

              -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
1/15/12       41       19         22      57       11         46         2
12/18/11      41       17         24      56       13         43         2
11/3/11       38       18         20      61       13         48         2
10/2/11       35       17         19      61       13         48         4
9/1/11        36       15         21      62       15         47         2
7/17/11       39       18         22      57       15         43         3
6/5/11        40       20         20      59       10         49         2
5/2/11*       40       18         22      55       16         39         4
4/17/11       42       23         19      57       11         46         2
3/13/11       43       22         21      55       13         41         2
1/16/11       46       22         24      51       13         38         2
12/12/10      43       21         22      54       15         39         3
10/28/10 RV   44       21         23      54       15         39         3
10/3/10       45       22         23      53       13         41         2
9/2/10        41       20         21      57       13         44         2
7/11/10       43       20         23      54       13         41         4
6/6/10        50       26         24      49       12         37         2
4/25/10       49       24         25      49       10         39         2
3/26/10       45       23         22      52       12         40         3
2/8/10        45       22         23      53       15         38         2
1/15/10       47       22         24      52       13         39         1
12/13/09      46       23         24      52       12         40         2
11/15/09      51       26         25      47       12         36         2
10/18/09      50       29         22      48       13         35         1
9/12/09       51       28         24      46       13         33         2
8/17/09       52       27         25      46       13         33         2
7/18/09       52       29         23      46       10         35         3
6/21/09       56       28         28      41       13         27         3
4/24/09       58       31         28      38       13         25         4
3/29/09       60       34         25      38       12         26         3
2/22/09       60       NA         NA      34       NA         NA         6
*Washington Post/Pew Research Center

b. Creating jobs

           -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
1/15/12    45       21         25      51       11         40         3
12/18/11   39       17         22      55       13         43         5
11/3/11    40       20         20      57       13         44         3
10/2/11    35       17         18      60       14         47         4
9/1/11     36       15         21      62       18         45         2
7/17/11    41       16         25      52       13         39         7
2/8/10     47       25         22      51       15         35         3

c. Taxes

          -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
          NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
1/15/12   45       21         24      47       13         34         8
11/3/11   41       21         20      53       18         35         6
10/2/11   42       22         20      51       14         37         7
7/17/11   45       24         21      47       13         34         8
1/16/11   50       23         27      44       14         31         6
8/17/09   51       23         28      40       12         28         8
4/24/09   56       NA         NA      38       NA         NA         6

d. The federal budget deficit 

           -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
1/15/12    35       15         20      58       11         48         7
9/1/11     36       18         18      60       14         46         4
7/17/11    38       22         16      60       14         45         2
6/5/11     33       16         17      61       12         49         6
4/17/11    39       21         18      58       11         47         3
3/13/11    39       18         20      55       13         42         6
1/16/11    43       21         22      52       11         41         6
12/12/10   38       16         22      55       19         36         7
9/2/10     39       18         20      58       13         45         3
7/11/10    40       20         20      56       11         45         4
6/6/10     39       22         17      56       13         42         6
4/25/10    40       20         20      55       14         42         5
3/26/10    43       22         21      52       14         38         5
2/8/10     40       17         23      56       16         40         4
1/15/10    38       18         20      56       15         41         6
12/13/09   37       16         21      56       12         44         6
11/15/09   42       19         23      53       10         43         5
10/18/09   45       20         25      51       14         37         4
9/12/09    39       17         22      55       13         42         6
8/17/09    41       19         22      53       12         41         5
7/18/09    43       19         24      49       11         38         8
6/21/09    48       22         26      48       13         35         5
4/24/09    51       NA         NA      43       NA         NA         7
3/29/09    52       NA         NA      43       NA         NA         5

e. The threat of terrorism

            -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
            NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
1/15/12     56       36         20      38       10         28         6
11/3/11     60       37         23      34       12         22         6
9/1/11      62       33         29      32       12         21         6
6/5/11      60       35         25      34       13         21         6
5/2/11*     69       42         27      21        9         12        10
2/8/10      56       28         28      39       14         25         5
1/15/10     55       31         23      42       14         28         4
11/15/09    53       31         22      41       14         27         6
9/12/09     55       31         24      34       12         23        11
6/21/09     57       NA         NA      36       NA         NA         7
4/21/09**   57        “          “      26        “          “        17
*Washington Post-Pew Research Center
**Pew Research Center

f. International affairs

           -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
1/15/12    49       26         23      44       10         33         7
11/3/11    47       26         21      45       13         31         8
11/15/09   60       30         30      37       13         23         3
10/18/09   57       34         23      36       15         21         7
9/12/09    57       32         25      33       12         21        10
6/21/09    61       NA         NA      32       NA         NA         7
4/24/09    67                          27                             6
3/29/09    62        “          “      27        “          “        11

g. No trend.

3. Do you think things in this country (are generally going in the right direction) or do you feel things (have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track)?

                Right     Wrong     No 
              direction   track   opinion  
1/15/12          30        68        2
11/3/11          22        74        3
9/1/11           20        77        3
6/5/11           32        66        2
1/16/11          38        60        3
12/12/10         31        67        2
10/28/10 RV      27        71        2
6/6/10           37        60        3
3/26/10          38        60        2
1/15/10          37        62        1
11/15/09         44        55        2
10/18/09         44        54        2
8/17/09          44        55        1
6/21/09          47        50        3
4/24/09          50        48        2
3/29/09          42        57        1
2/22/09          31        67        2
1/16/09          19        78        3
12/14/08         15        82        3
10/25/08 LV      13        85        2
10/11/08 RV       8        90        2
9/22/08  RV      14        83        3
8/22/08          19        78        2
6/15/08          14        84        2
5/11/08          16        82        2 
1/12/08          21        77        2
11/1/07          24        74        2
6/1/07           25        73        2 
1/19/07          26        71        3 
11/4/06  RV      39        59        2 
10/22/06         30        68        2 
10/8/06          32        66        2 
5/15/06          29        69        2 
11/2/05          30        68        2 
10/24/04 LV      41        55        4 
4/18/04          42        57        1 
4/30/03          52        46        2 
9/26/02          43        53        4 
2/21/02          54        42        4 
2/14/99          55        41        4 
11/1/98          55        43        2 
8/21/98          57        40        4
7/12/98          50        45        6
4/4/98           55        41        4
1/31/98          61        34        5
1/30/98          61        34        5
1/19/98          44        50        6
8/27/97          39        57        4
6/8/97           37        60        3
3/9/97           34        62        4
10/17/96 RV      40        55        5
10/16/96 RV      42        53        5
10/15/96 RV      43        52        5
10/14/96 RV      44        51        5
10/13/96 RV      44        51        5
9/04/96  RV      40        54        6
8/21/96          28        67        5
6/30/96          26        70        5
3/17/96          27        70        3
1/21/96          27        66        6
1/3/96           21        77        3
4/5/95           23        73        3
1/4/95           27        68        6
10/31/94         27        69        4
7/20/94          26        70        4
3/27/94          28        69        3
1/23/94          31        60       10
11/14/93         25        69        6                                       
8/8/93           26        71        3                                       
6/20/93          26        71        3                                       
4/26/93          27        71        2                                       
3/11/93          36        57        7                                       
2/28/93          37        59        4                                       
1/17/93          31        63        6                                       
12/14/92         35        60        5                                       
10/27/92 RV      22        76        2                                       
10/4/92  RV      18        78        4                                       
6/7/92           14        83        3                                       
4/9/92           16        81        3                                       
3/11/92          18        79        4                                       
1/15/92          19        78        3                                       
11/10/91         24        72        4
10/29/91         26        71        3      
8/27/91          31        60        9      
7/28/91          30        67        3      
6/2/91           39        57        4      
4/9/91           42        51        7      
2/26/91          58        39        3      
1/27/91          49        48        4      
10/14/90         19        79        2      
9/9/90           36        60        4      
8/20/90          35        60        5      
7/24/90          37        60        2      
5/21/90          39        60        2      
3/26/90          44        53        2      
2/4/90           49        48        3      
1/16/90          48        49        3      
5/23/89          42        55        3      
3/16/89          46        52        2      
1/16/89  LV      51        46        3      
10/25/88 LV      49        46        6      
9/27/88          48        44        8      
7/11/88          40        56        4      
5/25/88          35        59        6
3/21/88          40        56        4            
1/23/88          39        59        2            
12/13/87         49        47        4            
12/2/87          35        61        4            
9/23/87          43        54        4            
6/29/87          35        62        3            
4/13/87          37        60        3            
3/9/87           38        58        4            
1/18/87          39        56        5            
9/8/86           50        48        2            
1/26/86          45        47        8            
7/29/85          52        43        6            
1/16/85          59        36        4            
5/22/84          47        48        5            
12/13/83         43        51        6            
11/7/83          51        44        5            
4/12/83          41        54        4            
3/2/83           43        53        3            
10/11/82         35        57        8            
1/30/82          39        56        5
2/80             20        70       10                               
2/78             34        53       13                               
2/77             41        44       14                               
10/75            19        71        9                                
10/74            15        75       11                               
10/73            16        74       10

4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the U.S. Congress is doing its job? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

              -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
1/15/12       13        3         11      84       19         65         3
10/2/11       14        3         11      82       20         62         4
3/13/11       27        7         20      69       24         45         4
1/16/11       28        6         21      66       24         43         7
10/28/10 RV   23        6         17      74       21         53         3
10/3/10       24        6         18      73       22         51         3
9/2/10        25        5         20      72       21         51         4
6/6/10        26        7         20      71       20         51         2
3/26/10       24        7         18      72       18         54         4
2/8/10        26       NA         NA      71       NA         NA         3
7/13/08       23                          71                             6
2/1/08        33                          59                             8
12/9/07       32                          60                             8
11/1/07       28                          65                             7
9/30/07       29                          65                             6
7/21/07       37                          60                             4
6/1/07        39        "          "      53        "          "         8
4/15/07       44        8         36      54       25         29         3
2/25/07       41       NA         NA      54       NA         NA         5
1/19/07       43                          50                             8
12/11/06      37        "          "      57        "          "         6
11/4/06  RV   36        7         29      60       25         35         4  
10/22/06      31        5         25      65       27         38         4  
10/8/06       32        5         27      66       29         37         2  
9/7/06        40       NA         NA      55       NA         NA         5
8/6/06        36                          60                             4
5/15/06       33                          63                             4 
4/9/06        35                          62                             3 
3/5/06        36                          62                             3
1/26/06       43                          53                             4
1/8/06        41                          55                             5
12/18/05      43                          53                             4
11/2/05       37                          59                             4
8/28/05       37                          59                             4
6/5/05        41                          54                             4
10/29/03      40                          52                             9
4/30/03       57                          37                             6
9/26/02       51                          43                             6
7/15/02       57                          36                             7
2/21/02       57                          39                             4
1/27/02       58                          35                             7
12/19/01      59                          34                             7
9/9/01        45                          48                             7
7/30/01       48                          48                             4
4/22/01       58                          33                             8
10/31/99      42                          53                             6
9/2/99        46                          47                             7
6/6/99        48                          46                             6
3/14/99       44                          49                             7
2/14/99       46                          50                             4
12/20/98      44                          51                             5
12/19/98      45                          50                             5
12/13/98      49                          46                             5
11/7/98       41                          55                             4
11/1/98       49                          47                             5
10/25/98      45                          44                            11
10/18/98      46                          45                             8
9/28/98       52                          44                             4
8/21/98       55                          39                             6
7/12/98       46                          44                            11
5/12/98       45                          45                             9
4/4/98        47                          45                             8
1/31/98       55                          35                            10
1/30/98       55                          35                            10
1/25/98       56                          37                             8
1/24/98       55                          38                             7
1/19/98       47                          49                             5
10/13/97      36                          57                             7
8/27/97       39                          54                             7
7/8/97        40                          53                             6
4/24/97       40                          53                             7
3/9/97        35                          60                             5
1/15/97       38                          56                             6
8/5/96        42                          52                             7
6/30/96       35                          58                             7
5/22/96       35                          60                             5
3/10/96       30                          64                             6
1/7/96        31                          65                             5
11/19/95      27                          68                             5
10/1/95       32                          65                             3
7/17/95       34                          63                             3
4/5/95        37                          57                             6
3/19/95       39                          56                             5
1/29/95       42                          52                             6
10/31/94      21                          72                             8
10/23/94      18                          78                             4
9/11/94       24                          70                             5
6/26/94       34                          61                             5
3/27/94       35                          62                             3
2/27/94       32                          64                             4
1/23/94       29                          60                            11
11/14/93      28                          66                             6
8/8/93        33                          64                             3
4/26/93       30                          69                             2
1/17/93       29                          66                             6
6/7/92        16                          77                             6
4/9/92        17                          78                             5
3/18/92       19                          76                             5
3/8/92        22                          73                             6
2/2/92        32                          64                             4
12/15/91      35                          59                             6
10/21/91      45                          50                             5
6/2/91        49                          46                             5
10/14/90      34                          63                             3
2/4/90        41                          55                             4
1/16/90       39                          55                             6
8/21/89       42                          53                             5
5/23/89       54                          44                             2
2/14/89       53                          44                             3
1/23/88*      43                          53                             4
6/1/87        56                          40                             4
6/22/85       54                          37                             9
5/83          33                          43                            24
6/81          38                          40                            22
6/79          19                          61                            20
9/78          29                          49                            22
6/77          34                          42                            24
6/75          29                          54                            17
8/74          48       "          "       35       "          "         17
*1/23/88 and previous: Gallup

5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way [ITEM] are doing their job?

1/15/12 - Summary Table

                                 Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
a. The Democrats in Congress       33          62            5
b. The Republicans in Congress     21          75            4

Trend:

a. The Democrats in Congress

           Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
1/15/12      33          62            5
12/18/11     27          66            7
4/17/11      36          60            4
10/3/10      36          61            3
7/18/09      47          48            5
4/24/09      45          49            6
2/22/09      50          44            6
7/13/08      35          57            8
2/1/08       39          54            7
12/9/07      40          53            6
11/1/07      36          58            6
9/30/07      38          57            5
7/21/07      46          51            2
6/1/07       44          49            6
4/15/07      54          44            2
10/8/06      48          50            3
5/15/06      39          58            4
11/2/05      41          54            5
6/5/05       42          56            3
6/6/99       51          42            7
3/14/99      51          42            7
7/8/97       45          49            6
4/5/95       36          60            4
10/31/94     39          53            8
10/23/94     36          59            5
9/11/94      41          53            6

b. The Republicans in Congress

             Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
1/15/12        21          75            4
12/18/11       20          72            7
9/1/11         28          68            3
4/17/11        34          63            3
10/3/10        30          67            3
7/18/09        36          58            6
4/24/09        30          64            6
2/22/09        38          56            6
7/13/08        25          69            6
2/1/08         30          63            7
12/9/07        32          63            5
11/1/07        32          63            6
9/30/07        29          67            4
7/21/07        34          64            2
6/1/07         36          58            6
4/15/07        39          59            2
10/8/06        35          63            2
5/15/06        33          64            3
11/2/05        35          61            4
6/5/05         42          56            2
6/6/99         41          52            7
3/14/99        40          56            4
7/8/97         40          54            6
9/15/96 RV     46          48            6
6/30/96        38          56            6
4/5/95         45          50            5
10/31/94       33          59            7
10/23/94       31          64            5
9/11/94        35          59            6

6. Who do you trust to do a better job [ITEM] - (Obama) or (the Republicans in Congress)?

1/15/12 - Summary Table*
                                                 Both    Neither     No
                                 Obama   Reps   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
a. Handling the economy           43      41       1       12         3
b. Creating jobs                  45      37       1       13         3
c. Protecting the middle class    48      35       *       13         3
d. Handling taxes                 40      42       1       13         4
e. Handling the federal
   budget deficit                 40      41       1       14         4
*Full sample asked item a; half sample asked items b,c; other half sample asked items d,e.

Trend:

a. Handling the economy

                           Both    Neither     No
           Obama   Reps   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
1/15/12     43      41       1       12         3
12/18/11    44      40       1       13         2
11/3/11     42      42       1       12         2
10/2/11     43      42       1       11         2
9/1/11      42      39       1       16         2
6/5/11      42      45       2        9         2
3/13/11     46      34       2       15         4
1/16/11     46      41       3        7         3
12/12/10    44      45       2        7         2
4/25/10     49      38       1        9         2
2/8/10      47      42       1        7         2
12/13/09    48      36       1       12         3
11/15/09    52      37       1        8         1
9/12/09     48      37       1       12         2
7/18/09     56      33       1        9         2
6/21/09     55      31       2        9         2
4/24/09     61      24       2       11         2
3/29/09     58      25       1       14         2
2/22/09     61      26       1        9         3

b. Creating jobs

                           Both    Neither     No
           Obama   Reps   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
1/15/12     45      37       1       13         3
12/18/11    44      41       1       12         2
11/3/11     40      40       1       16         4
10/2/11     49      34       1       14         3
9/1/11      40      40       1       17         2
6/5/11      43      42       2       11         2
2/8/10      48      41       2        8         2

c. Protecting the middle class

                           Both    Neither     No
           Obama   Reps   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
1/15/12     48      35       *       13         3
12/18/11    50      35       1       10         3
11/3/11     45      41       1       11         2
4/17/11     51      39       1        8         1
1/16/11*    51      37       1        8         3
12/12/10    53      38       1        6         2
*1/16/11 and previous: "Helping the middle class"

d. Handling taxes

                           Both    Neither     No
           Obama   Reps   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
1/15/12     40      42       1       13         4
12/18/11    46      41       1       10         2
10/2/11     39      46       1       11         2
4/17/11     47      42       1        8         2
1/16/11     44      42       2        9         4
12/12/10    43      44       1        7         5

e. Handling the federal budget deficit

                           Both    Neither     No
           Obama   Reps   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
1/15/12     40      41       1       14         4
9/1/11      39      42       1       16         2 
6/5/11      39      47       2       10         2
3/13/11     45      36       2       14         4
1/16/11     44      41       4        8         2
12/12/10    39      47       2        9         4
4/25/10     45      41       1       10         3
2/8/10      45      43       1        9         1
9/12/09     50      36       1       12         1
7/18/09     54      35       *        9         2
6/21/09     56      30       2        9         2

7. Please tell me whether the following statement applies to Obama, or not: [ITEM]?

1/15/12 - Summary Table
                                                    Yes   No   No opinion
a. He understands the problems of people like you   51    47        2
b. He is a strong leader                            51    48        1
c. He shares your values                            49    49        3 
d. He sticks with his principles                    61    35        4

Trend:

a. He understands the problems of people like you

          Yes   No   No opinion    
1/15/12   51    47        2
11/3/11   49    49        2
6/5/11    49    49        2
1/16/11   58    40        2
9/2/10    50    48        2
6/6/10    51    48        2
3/26/10   56    43        2
1/15/10   57    42        2
7/18/09   63    35        1
4/24/09   73    25        1
1/16/09   72    24        4

b. He is a strong leader

          Yes   No   No opinion   
1/15/12   51    48        1 
11/3/11   48    51        1
6/5/11    55    44        1
6/6/10    57    43        1 
3/26/10   65    33        2
1/15/10   63    35        1
7/18/09   71    27        2
4/24/09   77    22        2
1/16/09   72    18       10

c. He shares your values

          Yes   No   No opinion 
1/15/12   49    49        3   
11/3/11   49    49        2
6/5/11    49    49        3
9/2/10    49    50        1
1/15/10   55    43        1
4/24/09   60    38        2 
1/16/09   67    30        3
7/13/08   56    39        5

d. No trend.

8. Obama has been president for about three years. Would you say he has accomplished a great deal during that time, a good amount, not very much or little or nothing?

           -Grt deal/Good amt-  -- Not much/nothing --
                 Great   Good         Not    Little or     No
           NET   deal    amt    NET   much    nothing    opinion
1/15/12    47     12      35    52     25       27          1
1/15/10*   47     12      35    52     30       22          1
10/18/09   49     14      35    50     27       23          1 
4/24/09    63     24      39    36     21       15          1

Compare to: Clinton
8/16/94    36      6      30    64     39       25          *
1/23/94    47     11      36    53     33       19          1
4/26/93    37      5      32    63     38       25          *
*Question updated for passage of time.

9. (IF NOT MUCH/NOTHING) Who's mainly responsible for that - (Obama) or the Republicans in Congress)?

                                Neither    Both      No
          Obama   Republicans   (vol.)    (vol.)   opinion
1/15/12    56         18           3        19        3
1/15/10    52         20           6        20        3
4/24/09    49         24           8        16        3

Compare to: Clinton
                                  Neither    Both      No
          Clinton   Republicans   (vol.)    (vol.)   opinion
8/16/94     48          26           5        20        2
4/26/93     40          40           1        17        2

10. Regardless of whether or not the recession is over, in terms of your own personal experience, do you feel the economy has or has not begun to recover?

             Has   Has not   No opinion
1/15/12      45      54           1
11/3/11      36      63           1
6/5/11       42      57           1
3/13/11      46      53           1
12/12/10     41      57           2
10/5/10*     34      63           2
2/8/10       45      53           1
12/13/09**   50      49           1     
11/15/09     44      54           1
*ABC News/Yahoo! News 
**Add "Regardless of whether or not the recession is over..."

11. (IF ECONOMY HAS BEGUN TO RECOVER) Do you think the economy’s recovery so far has been a strong one or a weak one?

           Strong   Weak   No opinion
1/15/12      21      77         2
11/3/11      19      77         3
6/5/11       17      81         2
2/8/10       25      75         1
12/13/09     24      73         3

10/11 NET:
           - Recovery's begun-   
           NET   Strong   Weak   Has not   No opinion
1/15/12    45       9      36      54           1
11/3/11    36       7      29      63           1
6/5/11     42       7      34      57           1
2/8/10     45      11      34      53           1
12/13/09   50      12      36      49           1

12. Would you say you, yourself are better off financially than you were when Obama became president, not as well off, or in about the same shape as then financially?

             Better off   Not as well off   About the same   No opinion    
1/15/12          15             30                54              1
11/3/11          13             34                52              1
9/1/11           15             35                50              *
7/18/09           8             27                64              *

G.W. Bush
10/5/04 LV       30             30                40              1
10/29/03         22             27                50              1
9/13/03          21             30                49              *
8/11/03          17             25                58              1


Clinton:
6/11/00          34             14                50              2
7/19/98          30             15                52              3
3/1/98           32              9                57              1              
6/23/96          29             22                49              0          
2/27/94          12             17                71              *          

G.H.W. Bush:
1/17/93          27             28                44              1                                                                  
8/9/92           22             32                45              1          
6/7/92           19             32                49              *           
3/11/92          20             33                46              1          
2/2/92           19             31                49              *          
12/15/91         17             33                49              *
10/21/91         20             27                53              1          
3/4/91           19             18                63              1          

Reagan:                                                                  
1/16/89          42             18                39              1          
1/18/87          37             23                40              1          
9/8/86           41             20                39              1          

13. Who do you think is more responsible for the country’s current economic problems – (Barack Obama) or (George W. Bush)?

                          Both    Neither    No
          Obama   Bush   (vol.)   (vol.)   Opinion       
1/15/12     29     54       9        6        2

14. On another subject, how closely are you following the 2012 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?

              ---- Closely -----   ---- Not closely -----     No
              NET   Very   Smwt    NET   Not too   At all   opinion
1/15/12       71     30     42     28       16       12        *
12/18/11      69     26     43     31       18       13        *
11/3/11       65     24     41     34       17       17        *
10/2/11       64     24     40     36       23       13        0
9/1/11        66     25     40     34       20       14        *
7/17/11       61     18     43     39       23       15        *
6/5/11        61     22     39     38       23       15        *

15. What is the single most important issue in your choice for president?

                                                                    1/15/12   11/3/11
Economy/jobs                                                          51        56
Ethics/honesty/corruption in government                                6         7
Health care                                                            3         4
Morals/family values                                                   3         4
Beating the Republican/re-electing Obama/Supporting the Democrats      1         2
Federal budget deficit                                                 2         2
Taxes                                                                  2         2
Beating Obama/electing a Republican/Supporting the Republicans         1         1
Change                                                                 *         1
Education                                                              1         1
Environment                                                            *         1
Immigration/illegal immigration                                        *         1
Leadership/strong leadership/good leader                               2         1
Social Security                                                        1         1
Terrorism/national security                                            2         1
Abortion                                                               *         1
Afghanistan/War in Afghanistan                                         1         *
Experience                                                             1         *
Gas/oil prices/energy/ethanol                                          *         *
Iraq/War in Iraq                                                       1         *
Housing/mortgages                                                      1         *
Foreign policy                                                         1         *
Global warming                                                         0         0
Iran/Situation in Iran                                                 *         0
Guns/Gun control                                                       *         0
Stock market/Wall Street                                               0         0
Middle class Americans/helping the middle class                        1        NA
Other (SPECIFY)                                                       10        10
No opinion                                                             7         5

16. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Overall, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the choice of candidates for the Republican nomination for president this year - are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied?

           ----- Satisfied -----   --- Dissatisfied ----     No
           NET   Very   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Very   opinion
1/15/12    61      9       52      36       23       12       3
12/18/11   59     11       48      37       27       10       4
11/3/11    59      9       50      36       27        9       5
10/2/11    62      9       54      32       25        7       6
9/1/11     65     15       51      29       21        8       6
7/17/11    54      8       46      38       29       10       8
6/5/11     47      7       40      46       38        9       7
4/17/11    43      5       38      40       30       10      17
11/1/07    69     16       54      28       22        7       2 
9/7/07     68     19       49      26       21        6       5 
7/21/07    65     13       53      32       26        6       3 
6/1/07     68     11       56      28       22        6       4 
4/15/07    65     16       49      31       27        5       3 
2/25/07    73     14       58      24       20        5       3

17. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the 2012 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state. Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?*

                                   Less    Will not   No primary/  
                                   than      vote       caucus      Already    No
           Cert.   Prob.   50-50   50-50    (vol.)       (vol.)      voted   op. 
1/15/12     65      15       11      4         4            *           1      1
12/18/11    71      14        8      6         1            *          NA      *
2/1/08      68      10        9      8         4            *           1      0
1/12/08     69      12       12      4         3            *           *      0 
12/9/07     74      11        9      3         2            *          NA      *
11/1/07     68      12       11      6         3            0           “      0
*Wording adjusted for respondents in states where primaries or caucuses have been held.

18. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) If the 2012 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state was being held today, and the candidates were (Newt Gingrich), (Jon Huntsman), (Ron Paul), (Rick Perry), (Mitt Romney), (Rick Santorum). For whom would you vote? Which candidate would you lean toward?*

1/15/12 - NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE 

                     -------- Among gen pop ------   --------- Among RVs ----------
                     1/15 12/18 11/3 10/2 9/1 7/17   1/15 12/18 11/3 10/2  9/1 7/17   
Mitt Romney           35   30    24   25  25   30     36   30    25   25   25   30   
Newt Gingrich         17   30    12    7   6    6     16   30    12    9    5    6    
Ron Paul              16   15     8   11  10   11     16   15     9    9   10   10    
Rick Santorum         13    3     1    2   3    3     13    4     1    2    3    3    
Rick Perry             9    7    13   16  29    8      9    6    14   17   30    8    
Jon Huntsman*          *    3     1    1   1    3      *    2     1    1    1    3    
Michele Bachmann*      0    7     4    7   8   16      0    7     4    7    9   17 
Herman Cain           NA   NA    23   16   4    7     NA   NA    23   17    5    7   
Tim Pawlenty          NA   NA    NA   NA  NA    3     NA   NA    NA   NA   NA    3     
Other (vol.)           1    *     *    2   2    1      1    *     0    2    2    1    
None of them (vol.)    2    1     2    5   5    2      1    1     2    4    4    2   
Would not vote (vol.)  1    *     3    1   2    1      1    1     1    1    1    *    
No opinion             6    4     9    7   5    8      7    4     8    7    5    9 
*Michele Bachmann and Jon Huntsman vote in 1/15 includes those who said they voted for
them in previous primary/caucus. Those who chose Huntsman who have yet to vote were
re-allocated to their second choice candidate.  

19. (ASKED IF NAMED REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE, NOT YET VOTED) Will you definitely vote for (NAMED CANDIDATE), or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? (IF CHANCE CHANGE MIND) Is there a GOOD CHANCE you'll change your mind, or would you say it's PRETTY UNLIKELY?

                  Definitely   - Chance change mind-     No 
                     vote      NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
All candidates:
1/15/12               36       60     36       24         3
12/18/11              32       64     36       28         4
11/3/11               27       69     45       24         4

Mitt Romney:
1/15/12               43       53     28       25         3
12/18/11              36       63     37       25         1
11/3/11               28       71     33       39         1

20. (ASKED IF NAMED REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE) Who would your second choice be? Which candidate would you lean toward as your second choice?

1/15/12 - NET LEANED SECOND CHOICE  

                                -- Among gen pop --          ---- Among RVs ----
                            1/15/12  12/18/11  11/3/11   1/15/12  12/18/11  11/3/11
Mitt Romney                   23        21        19        24       22        21     
Newt Gingrich                 24        20        13        26       21        14   
Ron Paul                      16        12         9        14       13         9
Rick Santorum                 15         7         2        16        7         3
Rick Perry                    12        11        13        11       10        11 
Jon Huntsman                  NA         4         5         9        3         5      
Michele Bachmann              NA        11         9        NA       10         9
Herman Cain                   NA        NA        17        NA       NA        17
Other (vol.)                   2         2         1         3        2         1
No one/None of them (vol.)     3         5         4         3        6         4    
Would not vote (vol.)          2         1         *         1        1         1 
No opinion                     2         7         6         3        5         5

21. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Just your best guess, who do you think will win the Republican nomination for president?

                   1/15/12   12/18/11    
Mitt Romney          72        40             
Newt Gingrich         7        35            
Rick Perry            5         3          
Ron Paul              4         6              
Rick Santorum         2         0         
Jon Huntsman          *         2              
Michele Bachmann     NA         5          
Other (vol.)          *         *          
No opinion            9         8  

22. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely NOT support for the nomination for president? (MULTIPLE RESPONSES ACCEPTED.)

                    1/15/12   
Ron Paul              26        
Newt Gingrich         23       
Rick Perry            16        
Rick Santorum         11       
Jon Huntsman           9        
Mitt Romney            8        
None of these         32        
No opinion             7         

23. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you trust most to handle (ITEM)?

Full item wording:
a. The economy
b. Healthcare
c. Social issues, such as abortion and gay marriage
d. The federal budget deficit
e. International affairs

1/15/12 - Summary Table                                               
                                                      Social             International
                               Economy   Healthcare   issues   Deficit      affairs         
Mitt Romney                      35          28         25       33           25
Newt Gingrich                    17          18         15       20           31
Ron Paul                         14          15         10       15           10  
Rick Santorum                     8          10         14        8            7 
Rick Perry                        8           6          9        7            7  
Jon Huntsman                      3           3          3        2            5
Other (vol.)                      1           *          1        0            *
All of them (vol.)                1           2          1        *            *
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)      1           1          *        1            1
No one/None of them (vol.)        3           5          6        6            4
No opinion                        9          13         16        8            9

Trend where available:

a. The economy

                             1/15/12   12/18/11   11/3/11    9/1/11
Mitt Romney                    35         31        22         22
Newt Gingrich                  17         25        13          7
Ron Paul                       14         13         7          8
Rick Perry                      8          7        10         22
Rick Santorum                   8          1         1          2
Jon Huntsman                    3          3         2          *
Michele Bachmann               NA          7         4          5
Herman Cain                    NA         NA        19          4
Sarah Palin                    NA         NA        NA         11
Other (vol.)                    1          *         0          2
All of them (vol.)              1          *         1          0
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)    1          *         2          2
No one/None of them (vol.)      3          6         2          4
No opinion                      9          7        17         12
*11/3 and previous, “which of the Republican candidates do you think would do the
best job handling the economy”

b. Health care

                             1/15/12   12/18/11   
Mitt Romney                    28         25        
Newt Gingrich                  18         23        
Ron Paul                       15         14        
Rick Santorum                  10          3         
Rick Perry                      6          6      
Jon Huntsman                    3          4        
Michele Bachmann               NA         11         
Herman Cain                    NA         NA        
Sarah Palin                    NA         NA        
Other (vol.)                    *          *         
All of them (vol.)              2          *        
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)    1          1         
No one/None of them (vol.)      5          5         
No opinion                     13          9

c. Social issues, such as abortion and gay marriage

                             1/15/12   12/18/11   
Mitt Romney                    25         26        
Newt Gingrich                  15         15        
Rick Santorum                  14          4         
Ron Paul                       10         12        
Rick Perry                      9          7      
Jon Huntsman                    3          3        
Michele Bachmann               NA         13         
Herman Cain                    NA         NA        
Sarah Palin                    NA         NA        
Other (vol.)                    1          0         
All of them (vol.)              1          *        
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)    *          *        
No one/None of them (vol.)      6          6         
No opinion                     16         12
        
d. The federal budget deficit

                             1/15/12   12/18/11   
Mitt Romney                    33         25       
Newt Gingrich                  20         25        
Ron Paul                       15         15        
Jon Huntsman                    2          2        
Rick Santorum                   8          2         
Rick Perry                      7          6      
Michele Bachmann               NA          9         
Herman Cain                    NA         NA        
Sarah Palin                    NA         NA        
Other (vol.)                    0          0         
All of them (vol.)              *          *        
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)    1          *        
No one/None of them (vol.)      6          8         
No opinion                      8          9

f. No trend.

24. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you think [ITEM]? (IF NEEDED) I can repeat the list. Is it (Newt Gingrich), (Jon Huntsman), (Ron Paul), (Rick Perry), (Mitt Romney), or (Rick Santorum)?

Full item wording:
a. Best understands the problems of people like you
b. Best reflects the core values of the Republican Party 
c. Is the most honest and trustworthy
d. Has the best chance to defeat Barack Obama in the general election
e. Has the best experience to be president
f. Is the most likely to stand up for what he or she believes in
g. Has the best personality and temperament to serve effectively as president

1/15/12 - Summary Table

                           Under-                          Exper-            Person-    
                           stands  Values  Honest  Defeat  ience   Believes   ality
Mitt Romney                  21      26      23      57     30        24        40
Ron Paul                     16       9      18       7     11        19         9
Newt Gingrich                13      25      11      10     34        19        13
Rick Santorum                13      13      14       5      6        12        12
Rick Perry                   10      10       8       5      7        11         8
Jon Huntsman                  3       3       3       1      2         3         4
Other (vol.)                  *       0       *       0      0         0         0
All of them (vol.)            2       1       1       5      *         4         *
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)  *       1       2       1      1         1         2
No one/None of them (vol.)   12       4      12       2      2         2         2
No opinion                    9      10       8       7      7         5        10

Trend where available:

a. Best understands the problems of people like you

                             1/15/12   12/18/11   11/3/11   9/1/11   7/17/11 
Mitt Romney                     21        20        17       13        18    
Ron Paul                        16        13         7        8         9    
Newt Gingrich                   13        18        11        6         4    
Rick Santorum                   13         4         1        2         3    
Rick Perry                      10         7        11       17         5    
Jon Huntsman                     3         5         1        1         2    
Michele Bachmann                NA        14         6        9        11    
Herman Cain                     NA        NA        21        3         5    
Sarah Palin                     NA        NA        NA       19        23    
Tim Pawlenty                    NA        NA        NA       NA         1    
Other (vol.)                     *         *         0        1         1    
All of them (vol.)               2         1         1        1         1    
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)     *         1         2        3         1    
No one/None of them (vol.)      12        10         6        8         4    
No opinion                       9         6        16       10        12    

b. Best reflects the core values of the Republican Party

                             1/15/12   12/18/11   11/3/11   9/1/11   7/17/11 
Mitt Romney                     26        23        20        18       19   
Newt Gingrich                   25        23        19         6        9   
Rick Santorum                   13         5         3         4        3   
Rick Perry                      10         7        10        19        7   
Ron Paul                         9        10         4         6        8   
Jon Huntsman                     3         3         1         1        1   
Michele Bachmann                NA        13         5        10       11   
Herman Cain                     NA        NA        13         3        4   
Sarah Palin                     NA        NA        NA        12       20   
Tim Pawlenty                    NA        NA        NA        NA        1   
Other (vol.)                     0         0         0         *        1   
All of them (vol.)               1         1         1         1        *   
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)     1         1         2         5        1   
No one/None of them (vol.)       4         4         2         2        1   
No opinion                      10        11        20        14       14   

c. Is the most honest and trustworthy

                             1/15/12   12/18/11   11/3/11    
Mitt Romney                     23        22        17          
Ron Paul                        18        14         8          
Rick Santorum                   14         7         2           
Newt Gingrich                   11        13         8           
Rick Perry                       8         6         7          
Jon Huntsman                     3         5         2           
Michele Bachmann                NA        15         6           
Herman Cain                     NA        NA        22          
Other (vol.)                     *         0         0          
All of them (vol.)               1         1         1          
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)     2         1         2            
No one/None of them (vol.)      12        12         7            
No opinion                       8         5        17          

d. Has the best chance to defeat Barack Obama in the general election

                             1/15/12   12/18/11   11/3/11   9/1/11   7/17/11 
Mitt Romney                    57         38         33       20       32   
Newt Gingrich                  10         28          5        5        6   
Ron Paul                        7          9          3        4        3   
Jon Huntsman                    1          3          *        1        2   
Rick Perry                      5          3         11       30        6   
Rick Santorum                   5          0          0        1        1   
Michele Bachmann               NA          3          1        4        7   
Herman Cain                    NA         NA         21        1        2  
Sarah Palin                    NA         NA         NA        8       14   
Tim Pawlenty                   NA         NA         NA       NA        2   
Other (vol.)                    0          *          0        1        1   
All of them (vol.)              5          3          6        4        7   
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)    1          2          2        5        2   
None of them (vol.)             2          4          3        4        4   
No opinion                      7          8         13       10       11

e. Has the best experience to be president

                             1/15/12   12/18/11   7/17/11    
Newt Gingrich                  34         43        16           
Mitt Romney                    30         23        27          
Ron Paul                       11          8         6          
Rick Perry                      7          5         8          
Rick Santorum                   6          1         2
Jon Huntsman                    2          3         2           
Michele Bachmann               NA          4         7           
Herman Cain                    NA         NA         3          
Sarah Palin                    NA         NA        11
Tim Pawlenty                   NA         NA         1
Other (vol.)                    0          0         1          
All of them (vol.)              *          0         2          
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)    1          1         1            
No one/None of them (vol.)      2          4         4            
No opinion                      7          7        11          

f. Is the most likely to stand up for what he believes in

                             1/15/12   12/18/11    
Mitt Romney                    24         20          
Newt Gingrich                  19         23           
Ron Paul                       19         16          
Rick Santorum                  12          4
Rick Perry                     11          6           
Jon Huntsman                    3          3           
Michele Bachmann               NA         17           
Other (vol.)                    0          *          
All of them (vol.)              4          2          
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)    1          2            
No one/None of them (vol.)      2          1            
No opinion                      5          6          

g. No trend.

25. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) In his work as a corporate investor, do you think Mitt Romney did more to (create jobs) or more to (cut jobs)?

          Create jobs   Cut jobs   No opinion
1/15/12       50           28          23

26. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) If elected, do you think Ron Paul would pursue policies that most people in this country would (accept), or do you think he would pursue policies that most people would (find unacceptable)?

           Acceptable   Unacceptable   No opinion
1/15/12        38            50            12
12/18/11       42            46            12

27. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) For each item I name, please tell me if it is a major reason to (support) that candidate, a major reason to (oppose) that candidate, or not a major factor?

1/15/12 – Summary Table

                                                  Major       Major     Not a   
                                                reason to   reason to   major    No
                                                 support      oppose    factor   op.
a. Mitt Romney’s policies on health care when   
   he was governor of Massachusetts                21           27        36     16
b. Ron Paul’s opposition to U.S. military   
   interventions overseas                          25           49        19      7
c. Rick Santorum’s support for earmarks as a
   U.S. Senator                                    14           31        38     17
 
Trend:

a. Mitt Romney's policies on health care when he was governor of Massachusetts                 

             Major       Major     Not a   
           reason to   reason to   major    No
            support      oppose    factor   op.
1/15/12       21           27        36     16
12/18/11      28           36        27      9

b. Ron Paul’s opposition to U.S. military interventions overseas               

             Major       Major     Not a   
           reason to   reason to   major    No
            support      oppose    factor   op.
1/15/12       25           49        19      7
12/18/11      29           45        20      6

c. No trend.
            

28. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Given what you know, do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of (ITEM)? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

1/15/12 – Summary Table

                                             -- Favorable ---   - Unfavorable --   No
                                             NET  Str.  Smwt.   NET  Smwt.  Str.   op.
a. Gingrich’s work, since leaving elective
   office, as a consultant for companies
   with an interest in federal policymaking  29     8    21     51    25     26    20
b. Romney’s work buying and restructuring
   companies before he went into politics    51    22    29     29    17     13    20
c. Santorum’s position that abortion should
   be illegal in all cases, including in
   cases of rape, incest or mortal danger
   to the mother                             28    18    11     65    14     51     7

Trend:

a. Gingrich’s work, since leaving elective office, as a consultant for companies
with an interest in federal policymaking

           ------- Favorable -------   ------ Unfavorable ------     No   
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
1/15/12    29        8         21      51       25         26        20      
12/18/11   33       10         23      44       25         19        23

b. Romney’s work buying and restructuring companies before he went into politics

           ------- Favorable -------   ------ Unfavorable ------     No   
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
1/15/12    51       22         29      29       17         13        20      
12/18/11   54       22         33      20       13          6        26

c. No trend.

29. If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Barack Obama, the Democrat) and ([ITEM], the Republican), for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Obama) or toward (ITEM)?

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - GEN POP

1/15/12 - Summary Table


                                  Other    Neither    Would not      No
                   Obama   Rep.   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
a. Mitt Romney      46      47       *         2          3           2
b. Newt Gingrich    53      38       *         4          4           2
c. Ron Paul         49      41       1         3          4           3
d. Rick Santorum    52      39       *         3          3           2  

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - REG VOTERS

1/15/12 - Summary Table

                                  Other    Neither    Would not      No
                   Obama   Rep.   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
a. Mitt Romney      46      48       *         2          2           2
b. Newt Gingrich    52      40       *         3          3           2
c. Ron Paul         49      42       1         3          3           2
d. Rick Santorum    52      41       *         2          2           2 

Trend:

a. Mitt Romney

                              Other    Neither    Would not      No
             Obama   Romney   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
1/15/12       46       47        *         2          3           2
12/18/11      49       46        *         2          2           1
11/3/11       48       45        *         3          2           1
10/2/11       47       46        *         3          1           2
9/1/11        46       47        *         2          3           2
7/17/11       51       44        *         2          1           2
6/5/11        47       47        *         2          1           2
4/17/11       49       45        *         3          1           2

1/15/12  RV   46       48        *         2          2           2
12/18/11 RV   47       47        *         2          2           1
11/3/11  RV   46       47        *         3          2           1
10/2/11  RV   46       48        *         2          1           2
9/1/11   RV   45       49        *         2          2           2
7/17/11  RV   49       47        *         2          1           1
6/5/11   RV   46       49        *         2          1           2
4/17/11  RV   49       45        *         3          1           1

b. Newt Gingrich

                                Other    Neither    Would not      No
             Obama   Gingrich   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
1/15/12       53        38        *         4           4           2
12/18/11      51        42        1         3           2           1
6/5/11        52        42        1         3           1           1
4/17/11       54        39        *         3           2           1

1/15/12  RV   52        40        *         3           3           2
12/18/11 RV   51        43        *         3           2           1
6/5/11   RV   50        44        1         2           1           2
4/17/11  RV   54        39        *         4           2           1

c. Ron Paul

                              Other    Neither    Would not      No
             Obama    Paul    (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
1/15/12       49       41        1         3          4           3
12/18/11      50       43        *         3          2           1
7/17/11       53       41        *         2          1           3

1/15/12  RV   49       42        1         3          3           2
12/18/11 RV   49       44        *         4          2           1
7/17/11  RV   52       42        *         2          2           2

d. No trend. 

30. Just your best guess, who do you think will win the presidential election this year - (Obama) or (the Republican candidate)?

           Obama   Rep. candidate   No opinion
1/15/12     46           49              5
12/18/11    46           49              5
10/2/11     37           55              8

31. What do you think is the bigger problem in this country – (unfairness in the economic system that favors the wealthy), or (over-regulation of the free market that interferes with growth and prosperity)?

                          Over-      Both    Neither  
          Unfairness   regulation   (vol.)   (vol.)    No opinion
1/15/12       55           35          5        2           4

32. (IF UNFAIRNESS OR OVER-REGULATION) Who do you think will be better able to deal with that problem (Obama) or (the Republican candidate for president)?

          Obama   Rep. candidate   No opinion
1/15/12    47           46             7

31/32 NET:

          -- Economic unfairness --  - Market over-regulation -  Both  Neither   No
          NET  Obama  Rep.   No op.  NET   Obama   Rep.   No op. (vol)  (vol)    op.
1/15/12   55     35    15       4    35      7      26       2     5      2       4

33. Some people say the country needs a third political party in addition to the Democratic and Republican parties, others say it’s unnecessary. Do you think this country needs a third party or not? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

           -- Third party needed --   -Third party NOT needed--     No   
          NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
1/15/12   48       29         18      49       17         32         4

34. Say an independent, third party candidate with whom you agree on most issues entered the 2012 race for president. Would you definitely vote for that candidate, consider it, or would you definitely not vote for an independent, third-party candidate for president?

          Definitely    Consider     Definitely      No
           vote for    voting for   not vote for   Opinion
1/15/12       22           46            28           4

35. On another subject, what is your view of the tea party political movement - would you say you support it strongly, support it somewhat, oppose it somewhat or oppose it strongly?

           -------- Support --------   --------- Oppose --------     No 
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
1/15/12    40      13         28       50       23         27        10 
12/18/11   42      13         28       45       20         26        13
11/3/11    43      14         29       44       20         24        13
10/2/11    42      12         30       47       20         27        11
9/1/11     47      13         35       45       18         27         8
7/17/11    44      13         31       46       23         24        10
6/5/11     46      13         33       44       21         24        10
4/17/11    42      16         26       49       21         27        10

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