Washington Post-ABC News Poll

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone February 1 to 4, 2012, among a random national sample of 1,000 adults, including landline and cell phone-only respondents. The results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

           -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
2/4/12     50       29         22      46       11         36         3
1/15/12    48       25         23      48       11         37         4
12/18/11   49       25         24      47       13         34         4
11/3/11    44       22         22      53       15         37         3
10/2/11    42       21         21      54       14         40         4
9/1/11     43       21         22      53       16         38         3
8/9/11*    44       18         26      46        9         37        10
7/17/11    47       25         22      48       14         35         5
6/5/11     47       27         20      49       13         37         4
5/2/11**   56       29         27      38       14         24         6
4/17/11    47       27         21      50       12         37         3
3/13/11    51       27         24      45       12         33         4
1/16/11    54       30         23      43       15         28         3
12/12/10   49       24         25      47       15         32         4
10/28/10   50       27         23      45       11         34         5
10/3/10    50       26         24      47       13         34         3
9/2/10     46       24         22      52       14         38         3
7/11/10    50       28         22      47       12         35         3
6/6/10     52       30         22      45       12         33         4
4/25/10    54       31         23      44       11         33         3
3/26/10    53       34         20      43        8         35         3
2/8/10     51       29         22      46       12         33         3
1/15/10    53       30         24      44       13         32         2
12/13/09   50       31         18      46       13         33         4
11/15/09   56       32         23      42       13         29         2
10/18/09   57       33         23      40       11         29         3
9/12/09    54       35         19      43       12         31         3
8/17/09    57       35         21      40       11         29         3
7/18/09    59       38         22      37        9         28         4
6/21/09    65       36         29      31       10         22         4
4/24/09    69       42         27      26        8         18         4
3/29/09    66       40         26      29        9         20         5
2/22/09    68       43         25      25        8         17         7
*Washington Post
**Washington Post/Pew Research Center

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling [ITEM]? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

2/4/12 - Summary Table*

                    -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
                    NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
a. The economy      44       23         22      53       11         41         3 
b. Creating jobs    44       20         24      51       13         38         5
c. Taxes            47       20         27      47       17         30         6 
d. The federal  
   budget deficit   38       18         20      58       14         44         4
*Half sample asked items a,b; other half sample asked items c,d.
Trend:

a. The economy

              -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
2/4/12        44       23         22      53       11         41         3
1/15/12       41       19         22      57       11         46         2
12/18/11      41       17         24      56       13         43         2
11/3/11       38       18         20      61       13         48         2
10/2/11       35       17         19      61       13         48         4
9/1/11        36       15         21      62       15         47         2
7/17/11       39       18         22      57       15         43         3
6/5/11        40       20         20      59       10         49         2
5/2/11*       40       18         22      55       16         39         4
4/17/11       42       23         19      57       11         46         2
3/13/11       43       22         21      55       13         41         2
1/16/11       46       22         24      51       13         38         2
12/12/10      43       21         22      54       15         39         3
10/28/10 RV   44       21         23      54       15         39         3
10/3/10       45       22         23      53       13         41         2
9/2/10        41       20         21      57       13         44         2
7/11/10       43       20         23      54       13         41         4
6/6/10        50       26         24      49       12         37         2
4/25/10       49       24         25      49       10         39         2
3/26/10       45       23         22      52       12         40         3
2/8/10        45       22         23      53       15         38         2
1/15/10       47       22         24      52       13         39         1
12/13/09      46       23         24      52       12         40         2
11/15/09      51       26         25      47       12         36         2
10/18/09      50       29         22      48       13         35         1
9/12/09       51       28         24      46       13         33         2
8/17/09       52       27         25      46       13         33         2
7/18/09       52       29         23      46       10         35         3
6/21/09       56       28         28      41       13         27         3
4/24/09       58       31         28      38       13         25         4
3/29/09       60       34         25      38       12         26         3
2/22/09       60       NA         NA      34       NA         NA         6
*Washington Post/Pew Research Center

b. Creating jobs

           -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
2/4/12     44       20         24      51       13         38         5
1/15/12    45       21         25      51       11         40         3
12/18/11   39       17         22      55       13         43         5
11/3/11    40       20         20      57       13         44         3
10/2/11    35       17         18      60       14         47         4
9/1/11     36       15         21      62       18         45         2
7/17/11    41       16         25      52       13         39         7
2/8/10     47       25         22      51       15         35         3

c. Taxes

          -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
          NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
2/4/12    47       20         27      47       17         30         6
1/15/12   45       21         24      47       13         34         8
11/3/11   41       21         20      53       18         35         6
10/2/11   42       22         20      51       14         37         7
7/17/11   45       24         21      47       13         34         8
1/16/11   50       23         27      44       14         31         6
8/17/09   51       23         28      40       12         28         8
4/24/09   56       NA         NA      38       NA         NA         6

d. The federal budget deficit 

           -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
2/4/12     38       18         20      58       14         44         4
1/15/12    35       15         20      58       11         48         7
9/1/11     36       18         18      60       14         46         4
7/17/11    38       22         16      60       14         45         2
6/5/11     33       16         17      61       12         49         6
4/17/11    39       21         18      58       11         47         3
3/13/11    39       18         20      55       13         42         6
1/16/11    43       21         22      52       11         41         6
12/12/10   38       16         22      55       19         36         7
9/2/10     39       18         20      58       13         45         3
7/11/10    40       20         20      56       11         45         4
6/6/10     39       22         17      56       13         42         6
4/25/10    40       20         20      55       14         42         5
3/26/10    43       22         21      52       14         38         5
2/8/10     40       17         23      56       16         40         4
1/15/10    38       18         20      56       15         41         6
12/13/09   37       16         21      56       12         44         6
11/15/09   42       19         23      53       10         43         5
10/18/09   45       20         25      51       14         37         4
9/12/09    39       17         22      55       13         42         6
8/17/09    41       19         22      53       12         41         5
7/18/09    43       19         24      49       11         38         8
6/21/09    48       22         26      48       13         35         5
4/24/09    51       NA         NA      43       NA         NA         7
3/29/09    52       NA         NA      43       NA         NA         5

3. Do you happen to have heard or read about Obama’s State of the Union address last week?

  
         Yes   No   No opinion
2/4/12   62    37         *

3a. (IF HEARD OR READ) Would you say you approve or disapprove of most of what he said?

          
         Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
2/4/12     57          37            6         

3/3a NET: 

         --------- Heard or read -----------   Did not hear     No
         NET   Approve   Disapprove   No op.     or read      opinion        
2/4/12   62      36          23          4         37            *         

4. Based on his performance in office so far, would you say Obama deserves a second term as president, or not?

              Yes     No     No opinion
2/4/12        50      48          2

George W. Bush:
10/24/04 LV   48      49          3 
10/7/04  LV   51      47          2
9/8/04   RV   52      45          4

Clinton:
5/22/96       56      42          2
1/21/96       47      49          4
1/24/95       41      55          3
8/16/94       38      56          6

5. I am going to mention four phrases and ask you which one best describes how you feel about the way the federal government works. Do you feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not angry, or angry?

              ----- Positive -------   ----- Negative -----
                    Enthusi-  Satis-         Dissat-          None/     No
              NET   astic     fied     NET   isfied   Angry   Other   opinion
2/4/12        24      2        22      75      49      26      NA        *
11/3/11       20      2        18      80      49      31                *
7/17/11       20      2        18      80      54      25                1
6/5/11        30      3        27      69      44      25                1
10/28/10      27      4        23      72      51      21                1
10/3/10       29      4        25      71      46      25                *
9/2/10        22      2        20      78      52      25                *
7/11/10       36      4        32      64      43      21                1
6/6/10        30      2        28      69      45      25                1
4/25/10       30      4        26      69      51      18                1
2/8/10        32      3        29      67      48      19                *
10/29/03      42      2        41      57      42      15                *
11/4/02  LV   49      4        45      50      41       9                1
11/3/02  LV   50      5        45      49      40       9                1
11/2/02  LV   51      6        45      49      40       9                1
10/27/02      50      4        47      49      42       7                1
2/21/02       56      7        49      43      36       7                1
12/15/00      59      4        55      39      34       6                1
2/14/99       52      3        48      47      35      12                1
9/28/98       50      4        46      49      36      12                1
8/16/98*      41      2        39      57      46      11       "        1
1/19/98       46      2        43      53      45       8       1        *
8/27/97       34      2        33      64      52      11       2        1
3/17/96       29      2        27      70      54      16      NA        *
5/14/95       48      3        45      50      41       9       "        1
1/4/95        29      2        27      69      53      16       *        1
11/6/94  RV   28      2        26      70      49      21       1        1
10/31/94      26      1        25      73      55      18       1        1
10/23/94      28      1        26      71      52      20       *        *
10/9/94       25      2        24      72      53      19       2        *
9/11/94       26      2        25      73      53      20      NA        *
3/27/94       30      1        29      68      48      20       1        1
2/28/93       33      4        29      66      50      16       *        *
10/4/92  RV   17      1        16      81      56      25       1        1
7/8/92        23      1        22      76      53      23       *        1
6/7/92        21      1        20      79      58      21       *        1
4/9/92        21      1        20      79      55      24       1        *
3/18/92       22      1        21      77      54      23       1        *
3/11/92       18      1        17      80      60      20       1        1
*After 8/16/98: No "None/other" option recorded.

6. On another subject, would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good or poor?

              ------ Positive ------   ------- Negative -------     No
              NET   Excellent   Good   NET   Not so good   Poor   opinion 
2/4/12        11        *        11    89        46         42       *
11/3/11       10        1         9    89        43         47       *
7/17/11       10        1         9    90        40         50       *
6/5/11        11        1        10    89        46         44       *
1/16/11       13        1        12    87        45         41       *
10/28/10       9        *         9    90        41         49       1
10/3/10        9        1         8    90        40         50       *
9/2/10         8        *         7    92        40         53       0
7/11/10       10        1         9    90        44         46       0
6/6/10        12        *        11    88        43         45       0
1/16/09        5        1         5    94        32         62       *
9/22/08        9        *         9    91        34         57       *
4/13/08       10        1         9    90        39         51       *
2/1/08        19        1        18    81        43         38       0
12/9/07       28        3        25    72        40         32       *
11/1/07       35        3        32    64        39         26       *
4/15/07       42        5        37    57        37         20       *
12/11/06      50        7        42    50        36         14       *
10/22/06      55       10        45    45        28         17       *
10/8/06       47        7        40    53        37         16       *
3/5/06        43        5        38    57        37         19       *
1/26/06       40        5        35    60        37         23       *
12/18/05      45        5        39    55        38         17       *
11/2/05       35        3        32    65        36         29       *
9/11/05       40        3        37    59        37         22       1
6/5/05        44        3        40    56        38         19       *
4/24/05       37        2        35    63        44         20       *
9/26/04  RV   46        3        43    53        38         15       1
8/29/04  RV   45        3        41    55        37         18       *
7/25/04       46        4        42    53        39         14       *
6/20/04       45        4        41    55        38         17       *
4/18/04       43        4        39    57        39         18       *
3/7/04        39        2        37    60        38         22       1
1/18/04       42        3        39    58        42         16       0
12/21/03      42        4        39    57        41         16       1
10/29/03      33        1        32    67        45         23       *
9/13/03       30        2        27    70        45         25       *
8/11/03       32        2        30    68        43         25       *
4/30/03       35        1        34    64        46         19       *
2/9/03        28        1        27    72        49         23       *
1/20/03       25        1        25    74        48         26       1
12/15/02      35        1        33    65        44         21       1
11/4/02  LV   28        1        27    72        55         17       1
11/3/02  LV   27        1        26    72        56         17       1
11/2/02  LV   29        1        28    71        54         17       *
9/26/02       31        2        28    69        50         19       *
7/15/02       39        3        36    61        44         17       1
2/21/02       30        1        29    69        51         18       *
1/27/02       31        1        29    69        50         19       *
9/20/01       38        3        35    60        47         14       2
9/9/01        33        1        32    66        47         19       *
7/30/01       50        3        46    50        39         12       *
4/22/01       50        3        47    50        40          9       *
1/15/01       70       10        59    29        24          6       1
10/27/00 LV   86       24        61    14        11          3       *
10/26/00 LV   86       24        61    14        11          3       *
6/11/00       74       17        57    26        19          6       *
2/27/00       80       25        55    20        14          5       *
10/31/99      74       18        56    26        18          7       1
9/2/99        76       19        57    23        16          6       1
3/14/99       80       22        58    19        15          4       1
11/1/98       73       12        61    26        21          5       1
11/1/98  LV   78       13        65    22        19          3       *
10/13/97      61       12        49    39        27         11       *

7. Do you think the current U.S. tax system favors the (middle class), favors the (wealthy), or treats both groups about equally? Do you think it favors the middle class/wealthy strongly or somewhat?

         ---Favors middle class---   -----Favors wealthy------    Both      No
         NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   equally   opin.         
2/4/12    9        5          4      68       12         56        19        4

8. Do you support or oppose raising taxes on Americans with incomes over one million dollars a year? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

          -------- Support --------   -------- Oppose --------      No                                     
          NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
2/4/12    72       59         14      24        9         16         3 
10/2/11   75       NA         NA      23       NA         NA         2

9. Do you think taxes on the profits people make by selling stocks and bonds should be (increased), (decreased), or kept about the same?

                                 Kept about     No 
         Increased   Decreased    the same    opinion    
2/4/12      20           14          55         11

10. (IF DECREASED OR KEPT ABOUT THE SAME) Those taxes, called capital gains taxes, currently are lower than the income taxes many people pay. Knowing this, do you think capital gains taxes should be (increased), (decreased), or kept about the same?

                                 Kept about     No 
         Increased   Decreased    the same    opinion  
2/4/12      23          20           56          2

9/10 NET:

         ------ Increased ------               Kept about     No
         NET   At first   Now do   Decreased    the same    opinion
2/4/12   36       20        16        13           38         12

11. (HALF SAMPLE) Would you support or oppose raising taxes on businesses that move manufacturing jobs overseas?

         Support   Oppose   No opinion
2/4/12     73        25         2

12. (HALF SAMPLE) Would you support or oppose cutting taxes for businesses that move overseas manufacturing jobs to the United States?

         Support   Oppose   No opinion
2/4/12     51        44         5

13. Changing topics, thinking about the following decisions of the Obama administration, please tell me whether you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove.

2/4/12 - Summary Table

                                           --- Approve ----   -- Disapprove --   No
                                           NET  Str.  Smwt.   NET  Smwt.  Str.   op.
a. Keeping open the prison at Guantanamo                             
   Bay for terrorist suspects              70    42    28     24    12     13     5
b. The drawdown of U.S. troops from                      
   Afghanistan                             78    56    23     19    10      9     2
c. The use of unmanned, “drone” aircraft               
   against terrorist suspects overseas     83    59    23     11     7      4     6

14. (IF APPROVE OF DRONE AIRCRAFT) What if those suspected terrorists are American citizens living in other countries? In that case do you approve or disapprove of the use of drones?

  
         Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
2/4/12     79          17            4

13c/14 NET:

                   ----- Disapprove ------     No
         Approve   NET   At first   Now do   opinion
2/4/12     65      26        12       14        9

15. How closely are you following the presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?

              ---- Closely -----   ---- Not closely -----     No
              NET   Very   Smwt    NET   Not too   At all   opinion
2/4/12        76     33     43     24       14        9        *
1/15/12       71     30     42     28       16       12        *
12/18/11      69     26     43     31       18       13        *
11/3/11       65     24     41     34       17       17        *
10/2/11       64     24     40     36       23       13        0
9/1/11        66     25     40     34       20       14        *
7/17/11       61     18     43     39       23       15        *
6/5/11        61     22     39     38       23       15        *

11/3/08  RV   91     64     28      8        5        4        *
11/2/08  RV   90     63     28      9        5        4        *
11/1/08  RV   90     61     29     10        6        4        *
10/31/08 RV   89     60     29     11        7        4        *
10/30/08 RV   89     59     29     11        7        4        *
10/29/08 RV   89     60     30     10        6        4        *
10/28/08 RV   90     59     31     10        6        4        *
10/27/08 RV   91     60     31      9        5        4        *
10/26/08 RV   90     60     30      9        5        4        *
10/25/08 RV   89     59     30     11        6        5        *
10/24/08 RV   89     60     28     11        6        5        *
10/23/08 RV   88     58     30     12        6        6        *
10/22/08 RV   89     57     32     11        6        5        *
10/21/08 RV   90     58     32     10        6        4        *
10/20/08 RV   90     57     34     10        6        4        *
10/19/08 RV   90     57     33     10        6        3        *
10/11/08 RV   92     59     33      8        4        4        *
9/29/08  RV   89     58     31     11        7        5        *
9/22/08  RV   91     55     36      9        5        4        0
9/7/08   RV   89     51     38     10        6        5        *
8/22/08  RV   84     42     42     16       11        5        *
7/13/08  RV   79     36     42     21       12        9        1
6/15/08       75     34     41     25       12       13        *
5/11/08       83     39     44     17       13        5        0
4/13/08       84     37     47     16       11        5        *
3/2/08        84     42     42     15       11        4        *
2/1/08        81     35     46     19       12        7        *
1/12/08       79     32     47     21       15        6        *
12/9/07       72     21     51     28       19        8        *
11/1/07       67     21     46     33       22       12        0
9/30/07       69     21     48     30       21       10        *
7/21/07       70     22     48     30       20       10        *
6/1/07        66     18     48     34       22       13        *
4/15/07       66     20     45     34       20       14        *
2/25/07       65     20     44     35       25       10        *

10/31/04 RV   90     58     32      9        6        3        *
10/30/04 RV   90     59     31      9        6        3        1
10/29/04 RV   90     58     32      9        6        3        *
10/28/04 RV   90     58     32      9        6        3        *
10/27/04 RV   90     57     33      9        6        3        *
10/26/04 RV   89     55     34     10        6        4        *
10/25/04 RV   89     55     34     10        6        4        *
10/24/04 RV   90     54     36     10        7        3        *
10/23/04 RV   90     54     36     10        7        3        *
10/22/04 RV   90     54     36     10        7        3        *
10/21/04 RV   90     55     35     11        8        3        *
10/20/04 RV   89     55     34     10        7        3        *
10/19/04 RV   87     54     33     12        8        4        1
10/18/04 RV   88     52     36     11        7        4        *
10/17/04 RV   89     52     37     12        7        5        *
10/16/04 RV   88     53     35     12        7        5        *
10/15/04 RV   87     53     34     12        7        5        *
10/14/04 RV   87     52     35     13        8        5        *
10/13/04 RV   88     52     36     13        8        5        *
10/12/04 RV   88     52     36     11        7        4        *
10/11/04 RV   88     53     35     12        8        4        *
10/10/04 RV   87     52     35     12        8        4        *
10/9/04  RV   88     52     36     12        8        4        *
10/8/04  RV   88     53     35     12        8        4        *
10/7/04  RV   88     53     35     12        8        4        1
10/6/04  RV   88     51     37     12        8        4        *
10/5/04  RV   88     50     38     12        7        5        *
10/4/04  RV   88     49     39     12        7        5        *
10/3/04  RV   87     48     39     12        7        5        *
9/26/04  RV   87     48     39     12        8        4        1
9/8/04   RV   85     45     40     14       10        4        1
8/29/04  RV   81     43     38     20       13        7        *
8/1/04   RV   80     41     39     20       13        7        *
7/25/04       73     34     39     27       15       12        *
6/20/04       78     33     45     22       15        7        *
5/23/04       74     33     41     26       17        9        *
4/18/04       75     30     45     25       16        9        0
3/7/04        75     33     42     25       18        7        *
2/11/04       75     30     45     25       15       10        *
1/18/04       66     22     44     35       22       13        *
10/29/03      54     15     39     45       30       15        0
9/13/03       56     16     40     44       27       17        *

11/6/00  LV   92     54     38      8        6        2        *
11/5/00  LV   91     53     38      8        6        2        *
11/4/00  LV   91     52     39      9        7        2        *
11/3/00  LV   91     51     40      9        6        3        *
11/2/00  LV   90     48     42     10        7        3        *
11/1/00  LV   91     48     43      9        7        2        *
10/31/00 LV   90     46     44      9        7        2        *
10/30/00 LV   91     47     44      9        7        2        *
10/29/00 LV   90     47     43     10        7        3        *
10/28/00 LV   89     47     42     10        7        3        *
10/27/00 LV   89     48     41     11        7        4        *
10/26/00 LV   89     47     42     11        8        3        *
10/25/00 LV   89     47     42     11        8        3        0
10/24/00 LV   87     44     43     13       10        3        0
10/23/00 LV   89     44     45     11        8        3        0
10/22/00 LV   88     44     44     12        9        3        0
10/21/00 LV   87     46     41     13        9        4        *
10/20/00 LV   86     46     40     15       11        4        *
10/19/00 LV   85     44     41     14       10        4        *
10/18/00 LV   87     42     45     13       10        3        *
10/17/00 LV   86     40     46     13       10        3        *
10/15/00 RV   77     33     44     23       15        8        *
10/9/00  RV   75     30     45     25       16        9        *
10/1/00  RV   75     27     48     25       17        8        *
9/6/00   RV   74     26     48     26       17        9        *
8/20/00  RV   74     28     46     26       16       10        1
8/10/00  RV   72     29     43     29       18       11        *
8/6/00        53     17     36     47       22       25        *
7/29/00       51     16     35     49       25       24        *
7/23/00       50     14     36     50       25       25        *
6/11/00       49     13     36     51       26       25        0
4/2/00        53     17     36     47       24       23        0
3/11/00       61     21     40     38       21       17        0
2/27/00       70     24     46     30       20       10        *
2/6/00        65     19     48     34       21       13        0
1/16/00       50     11     39     50       26       24        *
12/15/99      45     12     33     55       31       24        *
10/31/99      61     16     45     38       25       13        *
7/17/95       36      7     29     63       33       31        *
7/8/92        76     28     48     24       16        8        *
1/27/92       51     14     37     48       25       23        1
10/10/88 RV   77     31     46     23       17        6        -
8/18/88  RV   68     26     42     31       20       11        0
8/15/88  RV   70     27     43     31       19       12        0
5/25/88       76     25     51     25       19        6        *
9/23/87       50      9     41     49       31       18        *
6/1/87        50     11     39     49       32       17        *

16. Thinking about what you’re hearing from the candidates for the Republican nomination for president – overall would you say you approve or disapprove of most of what they’ve been saying?

         Approve   Disapprove   Depends (vol.)   No opinion
2/4/12     36          54              4              7

17. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state. Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?*

                                   Less    Will not   No primary/   Already   
                                   than      vote       caucus       voted    No
           Cert.   Prob.   50-50   50-50    (vol.)       (vol.)      (vol.)   op.
2/4/12      55      17       10      5         8            0           6      *
1/15/12     65      15       11      4         4            *           1      1
12/18/11    71      14        8      6         1            *          NA      *
2/1/08      68      10        9      8         4            *           1      0
1/12/08     69      12       12      4         3            *           *      0
12/9/07     74      11        9      3         2            *          NA      *
11/1/07     68      12       11      6         3            0           "      0
*Wording adjusted for respondents in states where primaries or caucuses have been held.

18. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) If the Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state was being held today, and the candidates were (Newt Gingrich), (Ron Paul), (Mitt Romney), (Rick Santorum). For whom would you vote? Which candidate would you lean toward?*

2/4/12 - NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE

                       ------------ Among gen pop ------------   
                       2/4  1/15  12/18  11/3  10/2  9/1  7/17   
Mitt Romney            39    35    30     24    25   25    30     
Newt Gingrich          23    17    30     12     7    6     6     
Rick Santorum          16    13     3      1     2    3     3     
Ron Paul               15    16    15      8    11   10    11     
Michele Bachmann*       0     0     7      4     7    8    16      
Herman Cain            NA    NA    NA     23    16    4     7     
Jon Huntsman*           0     *     3      1     1    1     3      
Tim Pawlenty           NA    NA    NA     NA    NA   NA     3     
Rick Perry              *     9     7     13    16   29     8      
Other (vol.)            1     1     *      *     2    2     1      
None of them (vol.)     1     2     1      2     5    5     2      
Would not vote (vol.)   *     1     *      3     1    2     1      
No opinion              5     6     4      9     7    5     8      
    
                       -------------- Among RVs --------------
                       2/4  1/15  12/18  11/3  10/2  9/1  7/17
Mitt Romney            38    36    30     25    25   25    30
Newt Gingrich          24    16    30     12     9    5     6
Rick Santorum          18    13     4      1     2    3     3
Ron Paul               14    16    15      9     9   10    10
Michele Bachmann*       0     0     7      4     7    9    17
Herman Cain            NA    NA    NA     23    17    5     7
Jon Huntsman*           0     *     2      1     1    1     3
Tim Pawlenty           NA    NA    NA     NA    NA   NA     3
Rick Perry              *     9     6     14    17   30     8
Other (vol.)            1     1     *      0     2    2     1
None of them (vol.)     *     1     1      2     4    4     2
Would not vote (vol.)   0     1     1      1     1    1     *
No opinion              5     7     4      8     7    5     9
*Michele Bachmann and Jon Huntsman vote in 1/15 and 2/4 and Rick Perry 2/4 includes those who said they voted for them in previous primary/caucus. Those who chose Huntsman in 1/15 who have yet to vote were re-allocated to their second choice candidate.

19. (IF NAMED A CANDIDATE) Do you support (CANDIDATE) strongly, or somewhat?

                  Strongly   Somewhat   No opinion   
All candidates:
2/4/12               45         54          *
2/4/12  RV           48         52          *
10/2/11              36         64          0
10/2/11 RV           38         62          0
9/1/11               34         66          *
9/1/11  RV           32         68          *
7/17/11              34         66          0
7/17/11 RV           35         65          0

Mitt Romney:

2/4/12               42         57          *
9/1/11               15         84          1  
7/17/11              29         71          0   

20. (AMONG NON-ROMNEY SUPPORTERS) Is/Was your vote more for (CANDIDATE) or more against Romney?

            For      Against     No
         candidate   Romney    opinion 
2/4/12      73         24         3 

21. (AMONG ROMNEY SUPPORTERS) Is/Was your vote more for Romney, more against Gingrich, or what?

          For     Against      Other/neither/         No
         Romney   Gingrich   not a factor (vol.)    opinion 
2/4/12     74        11               9                6

22. (IF NAMED A CANDIDATE) Who would your second choice be? Which candidate would you lean toward as your second choice?

2/4/12 - NET LEANED SECOND CHOICE  

                            ----- Among gen pop -----    ------- Among RVs -------
                            2/4   1/15   12/18   11/3    2/4   1/15   12/18   11/3
Newt Gingrich               31     24      20     13     32     26      21     14
Mitt Romney                 25     23      21     19     23     24      22     21
Rick Santorum               25     15       7      2     27     16       7      3
Ron Paul                    11     16      12      9     11     14      13      9
Michele Bachmann            NA     NA      11      9     NA     NA      10      9
Herman Cain                 NA     NA      NA     17     NA     NA      NA     17
Jon Huntsman                NA     NA       4      5     NA     NA       3      5
Rick Perry                  NA     12      11     13     NA     11      10     11
Other (vol.)                 1      2       2      1      1      2       2      1
No one/None of them (vol.)   4      3       5      4      3      3       6      4
Would not vote (vol.)        1      2       1      *      1      1       1      1
No opinion                   3      2       7      6      3      2       5      5

23. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Just your best guess, who do you think will win the Republican nomination for president?

                   2/4/12   1/15/12   12/18/11
Mitt Romney          71       72        40
Newt Gingrich        15        7        35
Ron Paul              6        4         6
Rick Santorum         *        2         0
Michele Bachmann     NA       NA         5
Jon Huntsman         NA        *         2
Rick Perry           NA        5         3
Other (vol.)          1        *         *
No opinion            7        9         8

24. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you trust most to handle (ITEM)?

Full item wording:
a. The economy
b. Social issues, such as abortion and gay marriage
c. The federal budget deficit

2/4/12 - Summary Table
                                         Social   Federal
                               Economy   issues   deficit
Mitt Romney                       37        25       33
Newt Gingrich                     23        22       27
Ron Paul                          17        13       16
Rick Santorum                     11        19        9
Other (vol.)                       1         1        1
All of them (vol.)                 1         *        1
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)       1         1        *
No one/None of them (vol.)         7         6        7
No opinion                         4        12        7

Trend:

a. The economy
                            
                               2/4/12   1/15/12   12/18/11   11/3/11    9/1/11
Mitt Romney                      37       35         31        22         22
Newt Gingrich                    23       17         25        13          7
Ron Paul                         17       14         13         7          8
Rick Santorum                    11        8          1         1          2
Michele Bachmann                 NA       NA          7         4          5
Herman Cain                      NA       NA         NA        19          4
Jon Huntsman                     NA        3          3         2          *
Sarah Palin                      NA       NA         NA        NA         11
Rick Perry                       NA        8          7        10         22
Other (vol.)                      1        1          *         0          2
All of them (vol.)                1        1          *         1          0
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)      1        1          *         2          2
No one/None of them (vol.)        7        3          6         2          4
No opinion                        4        9          7        17         12
*11/3 and previous, “which of the Republican candidates do you think would do the best job handling the economy”

b. Social issues, such as abortion and gay marriage

                               2/4/12   1/15/12   12/18/11
Mitt Romney                      25       25         26
Newt Gingrich                    22       15         15
Rick Santorum                    19       14          4
Ron Paul                         13       10         12
Rick Perry                       NA        9          7
Michele Bachmann                 NA       NA         13
Jon Huntsman                     NA        3          3
Other (vol.)                      1        1          0
Herman Cain                      NA       NA         NA
Sarah Palin                      NA       NA         NA
All of them (vol.)                *        1          *
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)      1        *          *
No one/None of them (vol.)        6        6          6
No opinion                       12       16         12
        
c. The federal budget deficit

                               2/4/12   1/15/12   12/18/11
Mitt Romney                      33       33         25
Newt Gingrich                    27       20         25
Ron Paul                         16       15         15
Rick Santorum                     9        8          2
Rick Perry                       NA        7          6
Michele Bachmann                 NA       NA          9
Jon Huntsman                     NA        2          2
Other (vol.)                      1        0          0
Herman Cain                      NA       NA         NA
Sarah Palin                      NA       NA         NA
All of them (vol.)                1        *          *
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)      *        1          *
No opinion                        7        8          9
No one/None of them (vol.)        7        6          8

25. Regardless of who you may support, would you say that the more you hear about [ITEM] (the more you like him), or the more you hear about [ITEM] (the less you like him)?

2/4/12 - Summary Table

                   More you   Less you     Makes no     Haven't heard     No 
                     like       like     diff. (vol.)   enough (vol.)   opinion
a. Mitt Romney        24         52           12              6            6
b. Newt Gingrich      19         60           10              5            6

Trend:

a. Mitt Romney         

                   More you   Less you     Makes no     Haven't heard     No 
                     like       like     diff. (vol.)   enough (vol.)   opinion
2/4/12  Lean Rep      37         39           14              4            7
10/2/11 Lean Rep      38         35           10             11            6

b. No trend.

26. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Again, regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you think [ITEM]? (IF NEEDED) I can repeat the list. Is it (Newt Gingrich), (Ron Paul), (Mitt Romney), or (Rick Santorum)?

Full item wording:
a. Best understands the problems of people like you
b. Best reflects the core values of the Republican Party 
c. Is the most honest and trustworthy
d. Has the best chance to defeat Barack Obama in the general election
e. Has the best experience to be president
f. Is the most likely to stand up for what he or she believes in
g. Has the best personality and temperament to serve effectively as president

2/4/12 - Summary Table

                             Under-                          Exper-            Person-
                             stands  Values  Honest  Defeat  ience   Believes   ality
Newt Gingrich                  21      26       7      22     43        26        19
Ron Paul                       18      11      21       7     10        21        12
Mitt Romney                    23      30      28      56     31        24        43
Rick Santorum                  21      20      24       2      4        17        15
Other (vol.)                    1       1       0       0      1         1         1
All of them (vol.)              1       *       2       2      0         3         *
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)    2       2       1       3      2         2         2
No one/None of them (vol.)      8       1      10       4      3         2         1
No opinion                      6      10       7       4      7         5         6

Trend:

a. Best understands the problems of people like you

                              2/4/12   1/15/12   12/18/11   11/3/11   9/1/11   7/17/11
Mitt Romney                     23       21         20        17       13        18
Newt Gingrich                   21       13         18        11        6         4
Ron Paul                        18       16         13         7        8         9
Rick Santorum                   21       13          4         1        2         3
Rick Perry                      NA       10          7        11       17         5
Herman Cain                     NA       NA         NA        21        3         5
Michele Bachmann                NA       NA         14         6        9        11
Jon Huntsman                    NA        3          5         1        1         2
All of them (vol.)               1        2          1         1        1         1
Sarah Palin                     NA       NA         NA        NA       19        23
Tim Pawlenty                    NA       NA         NA        NA       NA         1
Other (vol.)                     1        *          *         0        1         1
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)     2        *          1         2        3         1
No one/None of them (vol.)       8       12         10         6        8         4
No opinion                       6        9          6        16       10        12

b. Best reflects the core values of the Republican Party

                              2/4/12   1/15/12   12/18/11   11/3/11   9/1/11   7/17/11
Mitt Romney                     30       26         23        20        18       19
Newt Gingrich                   26       25         23        19         6        9
Rick Santorum                   20       13          5         3         4        3
Ron Paul                        11        9         10         4         6        8
Rick Perry                      NA       10          7        10        19        7
Michele Bachmann                NA       NA         13         5        10       11
Herman Cain                     NA       NA         NA        13         3        4
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)     2        1          1         2         5        1
Jon Huntsman                    NA        3          3         1         1        1
Other (vol.)                     1        0          0         0         *        1
Sarah Palin                     NA       NA         NA        NA        12       20
Tim Pawlenty                    NA       NA         NA        NA        NA        1
All of them (vol.)               *        1          1         1         1        *
No one/None of them (vol.)       1        4          4         2         2        1
No opinion                      10       10         11        20        14       14 

c. Is the most honest and trustworthy

                              2/4/12   1/15/12   12/18/11   11/3/11
Mitt Romney                     28       23         22        17
Ron Paul                        21       18         14         8
Rick Santorum                   24       14          7         2
Newt Gingrich                    7       11         13         8
Herman Cain                     NA       NA         NA        22
Michele Bachmann                NA       NA         15         6
Rick Perry                      NA        8          6         7
Jon Huntsman                    NA        3          5         2
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)     1        2          1         2
All of them (vol.)               2        1          1         1
Other (vol.)                     0        *          0         0
No one/None of them (vol.)      10       12         12         7
No opinion                       7        8          5        17

d. Has the best chance to defeat Barack Obama in the general election

                              2/4/12   1/15/12   12/18/11   11/3/11   9/1/11   7/17/11
Mitt Romney                     56       57         38        33       20        32
Newt Gingrich                   22       10         28         5        5         6
Ron Paul                         7        7          9         3        4         3
Herman Cain                     NA       NA         NA        21        1         2
Rick Perry                      NA        5          3        11       30         6
All of them (vol.)               2        5          3         6        4         7
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)     3        1          2         2        5         2
Rick Santorum                    2        5          0         0        1         1
Michele Bachmann                NA       NA          3         1        4         7
Jon Huntsman                    NA        1          3         *        1         2
Sarah Palin                     NA       NA         NA        NA        8        14
Tim Pawlenty                    NA       NA         NA        NA       NA         2
Other (vol.)                     0        0          *         0        1         1
None of them (vol.)              4        2          4         3        4         4
No opinion                       4        7          8        13       10        11

e. Has the best experience to be president

                              2/4/12   1/15/12   12/18/11   7/17/11
Newt Gingrich                   43       34         43        16
Mitt Romney                     31       30         23        27
Ron Paul                        10       11          8         6
Rick Perry                      NA        7          5         8
Rick Santorum                    4        6          1         2
Michele Bachmann                NA       NA          4         7
Sarah Palin                     NA       NA         NA        11
Jon Huntsman                    NA        2          3         2
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)     2        1          1         1
Herman Cain                     NA       NA         NA         3
Other (vol.)                     1        0          0         1
Tim Pawlenty                    NA       NA         NA         1
All of them (vol.)               0        *          0         2
No one/None of them (vol.)       3        2          4         4
No opinion                       7        7          7        11

f. Is the most likely to stand up for what he believes in

                              2/4/12   1/15/12   12/18/11
Newt Gingrich                   26       19         23
Mitt Romney                     24       24         20
Ron Paul                        21       19         16
Rick Santorum                   17       12          4
Michele Bachmann                NA       NA         17
Rick Perry                      NA       11          6
All of them (vol.)               3        4          2
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)     2        1          2
Jon Huntsman                    NA        3          3
Other (vol.)                     1        0          *
No one/None of them (vol.)       2        2          1
No opinion                       5        5          6

g. Has the best personality and temperament to serve effectively as president
                       
                              2/4/12   1/15/12
Mitt Romney                     43       40
Newt Gingrich                   19       13
Rick Santorum                   15       12
Ron Paul                        12        9
Rick Perry                      NA        8
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)     2        2
Jon Huntsman                    NA        4
Other (vol.)                     1        0
All of them (vol.)               *        *
No one/None of them (vol.)       1        2
No opinion                       6       10

27. How much does it matter to you that a candidate for president shares your religious beliefs – does it matter a great deal, somewhat, not so much, or not at all?

         ---- Matters -----   -- Does not matter ---
               Great                  Not       Not      No 
         NET   deal    Smwt   NET   so much   at all   opinion
2/4/12   38     18      20    62      16        46        *

28. In his work as a corporate investor, do you think Mitt Romney did more to (create jobs) or more to (cut jobs)?

                   Create jobs   Cut jobs   No opinion
2/4/12                 32           36          32
2/4/12  Lean Rep       51           24          24
1/15/12 Lean Rep       50           28          23

29. Do you think of Romney’s wealth as more of a (positive because it suggests he has achieved the American dream) or as more of a (negative because it suggests he benefited from opportunities that are not available to most people)?

         Positive   Negative   No opinion
2/4/12      43         44          13

30. Romney paid about a 14 percent federal tax rate on income of about 22 million dollars last year. Do you think he is or is not paying his fair share of taxes? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

         --- Paying fair share ---   - Not paying fair share -     No   
         NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
2/4/12   30       15         15      66       16         50         4      

31. For each item I name, please tell me if it is a major reason to (support) that candidate, a major reason to (oppose) that candidate, or not a major factor?

2/4/12 – Summary Table
                                                Major       Major     Not a
                                              reason to   reason to   major    No
                                               support     oppose     factor   op.
a. Romney’s business experience                  48          12         34      6
b. Romney’s Mormon religion                       4          17         77      2
c. Gingrich’s performance as Speaker of the 
   House in the early 1990’s                     21          33         37      9
d. Gingrich’s consulting work for companies 
   with an interest in federal policymaking      12          44         37      7
e. Obama’s handling of the economy               39          47         13      2
f. Obama’s handling of the threat of 
   terrorism                                     56          20         21      3
 
Trend:

a. Romney’s business experience

                    Major reason   Major reason   Not a major     No
                     to support     to oppose       factor      opinion
2/4/12                   48             12            34           6
2/4/12   Lean Rep        67              5            24           4
12/18/11 Lean Rep        62              9            24           5

b. Romney’s Mormon religion

                    Major reason   Major reason   Not a major     No
                     to support     to oppose       factor      opinion
2/4/12                    4             17            77           2
2/4/12   Lean Rep         4             18            75           3

Compare to: “Romney’s religious beliefs”
12/18/11 Lean Rep        18              13            64          5

c-f. No trend.

32. If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Barack Obama, the Democrat) and ([ITEM], the Republican), for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Obama) or toward (ITEM)?

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - GEN POP

2/4/12 - Summary Table

                                  Other    Neither    Would not      No
                   Obama   Rep.   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
a. Mitt Romney      52      43       *         1          2           2
b. Newt Gingrich    55      40       *         1          2           1

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - REG VOTERS

2/4/12 - Summary Table

                                  Other    Neither    Would not      No
                   Obama   Rep.   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
a. Mitt Romney      51      45       *         1          1           1
b. Newt Gingrich    54      43       *         1          1           1

Trend:

a. Mitt Romney

                              Other    Neither    Would not      No
             Obama   Romney   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
2/4/12        52       43        *         1          2           2
1/15/12       46       47        *         2          3           2
12/18/11      49       46        *         2          2           1
11/3/11       48       45        *         3          2           1
10/2/11       47       46        *         3          1           2
9/1/11        46       47        *         2          3           2
7/17/11       51       44        *         2          1           2
6/5/11        47       47        *         2          1           2
4/17/11       49       45        *         3          1           2

2/4/12   RV   51       45        *         1          1           1
1/15/12  RV   46       48        *         2          2           2
12/18/11 RV   47       47        *         2          2           1
11/3/11  RV   46       47        *         3          2           1
10/2/11  RV   46       48        *         2          1           2
9/1/11   RV   45       49        *         2          2           2
7/17/11  RV   49       47        *         2          1           1
6/5/11   RV   46       49        *         2          1           2
4/17/11  RV   49       45        *         3          1           1

b. Newt Gingrich

                               Other    Neither    Would not     No
             Obama   Gingrich  (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)  opinion
2/4/12        55       40        *         1          2           1
1/15/12       53       38        *         4          4           2
12/18/11      51       42        1         3          2           1
6/5/11        52       42        1         3          1           1
4/17/11       54       39        *         3          2           1

2/4/12   RV   54       43        *         1          1           1
1/15/12  RV   52       40        *         3          3           2
12/18/11 RV   51       43        *         3          2           1
6/5/11   RV   50       44        1         2          1           2
4/17/11  RV   54       39        *         4          2           1

33. Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job [ITEM] – (Obama) or (Romney)?

2/4/12 - Summary Table*
                                                   Both    Neither     No
                                 Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
a. Handling the economy           45       48       1         4        2
b. Creating jobs                  45       47       1         3        4
c. Protecting the middle class    55       37       1         4        2
d. Handling international
   affairs                        56       37       1         3        3
e. Handling taxes                 52       42       *         3        3
f. Handling the federal
   budget deficit                 41       51       *         4        4
g. Handling terrorism             56       36       1         3        4
*Full sample asked item a; half sample asked items b,c,d; other half sample asked items e,f,g.

2/4/12 - Summary Table among Registered voters

                                                   Both    Neither     No
                                 Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
a. Handling the economy           44       50       1         3        2
b. Creating jobs                  46       46       1         3        4
c. Protecting the middle class    56       37       2         5        1
d. Handling international
   affairs                        55       38       1         3        4
e. Handling taxes                 49       45       *         2        4
f. Handling the federal
   budget deficit                 39       52       *         4        4
g. Handling terrorism             54       38       2         2        4

34. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think better understands the economic problems people in this country are having - (Obama) or (Romney)?

                           Both    Neither     No
         Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
2/4/12    53       36       2         7         3

35. Still thinking about the next election in November, right now, are you inclined to vote to re-elect your representative in Congress, or are you inclined to look around for someone else to vote for?

                                       Depends
              Re-elect   Look around   (vol.)    No opinion
2/4/12           34          53           3            9 
11/3/11          31          59           3            8 
8/9/11*          17          69           6            7
7/17/11          30          63           2            5
6/5/11           34          55           4            6
10/28/10         32          50           7           11
10/3/10          29          55           9            7
9/2/10           31          58           5            6
7/11/10          25          60           6            8
6/6/10           29          60           5            6
4/25/10  RV      32          57           7            4
2/8/10           36          56           4            4
11/15/09         38          50           6            5
5/15/06          35          55           6            4
6/5/05           40          50           8            3
2/21/02          40          48           7            6
10/31/99         41          47           8            3
9/28/99          44          46          NA           10
7/12/98          42          44           5           10
1/19/98          47          41           7            4
8/27/97          34          52           9            5
11/6/94  RV      37          47           7            8
10/31/94         35          56           2            7
10/23/94         32          58           4            6
9/11/94          36          53           4            7
6/26/94          35          54           6            5
3/27/94          32          56           6            7
1/23/94          32          46          10           12
11/14/93         38          52           5            5
8/21/92  RV      35          48           5           12
7/8/92           34          54           3            9
6/7/92           36          53           4            7
4/9/92           33          56           3            8
3/18/92          35          56           3            5
3/11/92          36          54           3            7
2/2/92           38          51           4            7
10/21/91         31          55           7            6
6/2/91           37          49           5            9
11/4/90  LV      41          50          NA            8
10/14/90         36          57           "            7
5/21/90          43          50           3            3
5/23/89          45          44           4            6
*Washington Post

36. On another subject, what is your view of the Tea Party political movement - would you say you support it strongly, support it somewhat, oppose it somewhat or oppose it strongly?

           -------- Support --------   --------- Oppose --------     No 
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
2/4/12     43      12         31       45       20         25        12
1/15/12    40      13         28       50       23         27        10
12/18/11   42      13         28       45       20         26        13
11/3/11    43      14         29       44       20         24        13
10/2/11    42      12         30       47       20         27        11
9/1/11     47      13         35       45       18         27         8
7/17/11    44      13         31       46       23         24        10
6/5/11     46      13         33       44       21         24        10
4/17/11    42      16         26       49       21         27        10

901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what?


          Democrat   Republican   Independent   Other (vol.)   No opinion
2/12/12      34          23           37              5             1
1/15/12      32          25           36              5             2

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