Washington Post-ABC News Poll

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone March 7 to 10, 2012, among a random national sample of 1,003 adults, including landline and cell phone-only respondents. The results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

           -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
3/10/12    46       28         18      50       11         39         4
2/4/12     50       29         22      46       11         36         3
1/15/12    48       25         23      48       11         37         4
12/18/11   49       25         24      47       13         34         4
11/3/11    44       22         22      53       15         37         3
10/2/11    42       21         21      54       14         40         4
9/1/11     43       21         22      53       16         38         3
8/9/11*    44       18         26      46        9         37        10
7/17/11    47       25         22      48       14         35         5
6/5/11     47       27         20      49       13         37         4
5/2/11**   56       29         27      38       14         24         6
4/17/11    47       27         21      50       12         37         3
3/13/11    51       27         24      45       12         33         4
1/16/11    54       30         23      43       15         28         3
12/12/10   49       24         25      47       15         32         4
10/28/10   50       27         23      45       11         34         5
10/3/10    50       26         24      47       13         34         3
9/2/10     46       24         22      52       14         38         3
7/11/10    50       28         22      47       12         35         3
6/6/10     52       30         22      45       12         33         4
4/25/10    54       31         23      44       11         33         3
3/26/10    53       34         20      43        8         35         3
2/8/10     51       29         22      46       12         33         3
1/15/10    53       30         24      44       13         32         2
12/13/09   50       31         18      46       13         33         4
11/15/09   56       32         23      42       13         29         2
10/18/09   57       33         23      40       11         29         3
9/12/09    54       35         19      43       12         31         3
8/17/09    57       35         21      40       11         29         3
7/18/09    59       38         22      37        9         28         4
6/21/09    65       36         29      31       10         22         4
4/24/09    69       42         27      26        8         18         4
3/29/09    66       40         26      29        9         20         5
2/22/09    68       43         25      25        8         17         7
*Washington Post
**Washington Post/Pew Research Center

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling [ITEM]? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

3/10/12 - Summary Table*

                     -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
                     NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
a. The economy       38       20         18      59        9         50         2
b. The possibility 
   of Iran 
   obtaining 
   nuclear weapons   36       19         17      52       14         38        13
c. The federal  
   budget deficit    32       16         16      63       11         51         5
d. The situation  
   in Afghanistan    46       26         20      47       17         29         7  
e. The situation
   with gas prices   26       14         12      65       13         52         9 
f. Energy policy     38       21         18      48       13         35        14
*Half sample asked items a,b,c; other half sample asked items d,e,f.

Trend:

a. The economy

              -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
3/10/12       38       20         18      59        9         50         2
2/4/12        44       23         22      53       11         41         3
1/15/12       41       19         22      57       11         46         2
12/18/11      41       17         24      56       13         43         2
11/3/11       38       18         20      61       13         48         2
10/2/11       35       17         19      61       13         48         4
9/1/11        36       15         21      62       15         47         2
7/17/11       39       18         22      57       15         43         3
6/5/11        40       20         20      59       10         49         2
5/2/11*       40       18         22      55       16         39         4
4/17/11       42       23         19      57       11         46         2
3/13/11       43       22         21      55       13         41         2
1/16/11       46       22         24      51       13         38         2
12/12/10      43       21         22      54       15         39         3
10/28/10 RV   44       21         23      54       15         39         3
10/3/10       45       22         23      53       13         41         2
9/2/10        41       20         21      57       13         44         2
7/11/10       43       20         23      54       13         41         4
6/6/10        50       26         24      49       12         37         2
4/25/10       49       24         25      49       10         39         2
3/26/10       45       23         22      52       12         40         3
2/8/10        45       22         23      53       15         38         2
1/15/10       47       22         24      52       13         39         1
12/13/09      46       23         24      52       12         40         2
11/15/09      51       26         25      47       12         36         2
10/18/09      50       29         22      48       13         35         1
9/12/09       51       28         24      46       13         33         2
8/17/09       52       27         25      46       13         33         2
7/18/09       52       29         23      46       10         35         3
6/21/09       56       28         28      41       13         27         3
4/24/09       58       31         28      38       13         25         4
3/29/09       60       34         25      38       12         26         3
2/22/09       60       NA         NA      34       NA         NA         6
*Washington Post/Pew Research Center

b. The possibility of Iran obtaining nuclear weapons

           -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
3/10/12    36       19         17      52       14         38        13
1/15/12    33       15         18      48       11         37        19

c. The federal budget deficit 

           -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
3/10/12    32       16         16      63       11         51         5
2/4/12     38       18         20      58       14         44         4
1/15/12    35       15         20      58       11         48         7
9/1/11     36       18         18      60       14         46         4
7/17/11    38       22         16      60       14         45         2
6/5/11     33       16         17      61       12         49         6
4/17/11    39       21         18      58       11         47         3
3/13/11    39       18         20      55       13         42         6
1/16/11    43       21         22      52       11         41         6
12/12/10   38       16         22      55       19         36         7
9/2/10     39       18         20      58       13         45         3
7/11/10    40       20         20      56       11         45         4
6/6/10     39       22         17      56       13         42         6
4/25/10    40       20         20      55       14         42         5
3/26/10    43       22         21      52       14         38         5
2/8/10     40       17         23      56       16         40         4
1/15/10    38       18         20      56       15         41         6
12/13/09   37       16         21      56       12         44         6
11/15/09   42       19         23      53       10         43         5
10/18/09   45       20         25      51       14         37         4
9/12/09    39       17         22      55       13         42         6
8/17/09    41       19         22      53       12         41         5
7/18/09    43       19         24      49       11         38         8
6/21/09    48       22         26      48       13         35         5
4/24/09    51       NA         NA      43       NA         NA         7
3/29/09    52       NA         NA      43       NA         NA         5

d. The situation in Afghanistan

           -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
3/10/12    46       26         20      47       17         29         7
7/17/11    53       24         29      43       14         29         5
6/5/11     52       23         29      41       15         26         7
5/2/11*    60       28         32      29       15         14        11
4/17/11    44       17         27      49       17         31         7
1/16/11    49       19         30      41       17         24        10
12/12/10   45       17         28      46       16         30        10
7/11/10    45       20         25      45       14         31        10
4/25/10    56       20         36      36       16         20         7
3/26/10    53       25         29      35       15         20        12
1/15/10    50       22         28      45       18         27         6
12/13/09   52       24         28      44       13         32         4
11/15/09   45       23         23      48       16         32         6
10/18/09   45       22         23      47       17         31         7
9/12/09    55       23         33      37       17         21         7
8/17/09    60       25         35      33       14         19         7
7/18/09    62       33         29      30       13         17         8
4/24/09    63       NA         NA      26       NA         NA        11
*Washington Post/Pew Research Center poll

e. The situation with gas prices

           -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
3/10/12    26       14         12      65       13         52         9

George W. Bush*:
5/15/06    20       NA         NA      76       NA         NA         4
4/9/06     23       NA         NA      74       NA         NA         3  
11/2/05    26       NA         NA      68       NA         NA         5
9/11/05    25       NA         NA      72       NA         NA         3
8/28/05    22       NA         NA      73       NA         NA         6
*“Gasoline” instead of “gas.”

f. Energy policy
          
          -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
          NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
3/10/12   38       21         18      48       13         35        14 
8/17/09   55       24         31      30        9         21        15

George W. Bush:
4/24/05   35       NA         NA      54       NA         NA        10

3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way [ITEM] are doing their job?

3/10/12 - Summary Table

                                 Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
a. The Democrats in Congress       34          60            6
b. The Republicans in Congress     23          71            6

Trend:

a. The Democrats in Congress

           Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
3/10/12      34          60            6
1/15/12      33          62            5
12/18/11     27          66            7
4/17/11      36          60            4
10/3/10      36          61            3
7/18/09      47          48            5
4/24/09      45          49            6
2/22/09      50          44            6
7/13/08      35          57            8
2/1/08       39          54            7
12/9/07      40          53            6
11/1/07      36          58            6
9/30/07      38          57            5
7/21/07      46          51            2
6/1/07       44          49            6
4/15/07      54          44            2
10/8/06      48          50            3
5/15/06      39          58            4
11/2/05      41          54            5
6/5/05       42          56            3
6/6/99       51          42            7
3/14/99      51          42            7
7/8/97       45          49            6
4/5/95       36          60            4
10/31/94     39          53            8
10/23/94     36          59            5
9/11/94      41          53            6

b. The Republicans in Congress

             Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
3/10/12        23          71            6
1/15/12        21          75            4
12/18/11       20          72            7
9/1/11         28          68            3
4/17/11        34          63            3
10/3/10        30          67            3
7/18/09        36          58            6
4/24/09        30          64            6
2/22/09        38          56            6
7/13/08        25          69            6
2/1/08         30          63            7
12/9/07        32          63            5
11/1/07        32          63            6
9/30/07        29          67            4
7/21/07        34          64            2
6/1/07         36          58            6
4/15/07        39          59            2
10/8/06        35          63            2
5/15/06        33          64            3
11/2/05        35          61            4
6/5/05         42          56            2
6/6/99         41          52            7
3/14/99        40          56            4
7/8/97         40          54            6
9/15/96 RV     46          48            6
6/30/96        38          56            6
4/5/95         45          50            5
10/31/94       33          59            7
10/23/94       31          64            5
9/11/94        35          59            6

4. Which political party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you think [ITEM]?

3/10/12 - Summary Table

                                                           Both    Neither     No      
                                Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion 
a. Better represents your own   
   personal values                 44           39           2       12         3
b. Is more concerned with the
   needs of people like you        46           36           1       13         3

Trend:

a. Better represents your own personal values

                                         Both    Neither     No      
              Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
3/10/12          44           39           2       12         3
10/28/10 RV      48           42           2        7         1
9/2/10           45           42           2       10         1
11/15/09         49           39           2        9         2
11/4/06  RV      48           44           1        6         2
10/8/06          53           37           2        7         1
11/2/05          50           40           1        7         1
4/24/05          47           38           2       10         2
3/14/99          47           39           3        8         3

b. Is more concerned with the needs of people like you

                                         Both    Neither     No      
              Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
3/10/12          46           36           1       13         3
10/28/10 RV      49           38           2        8         3
9/2/10           48           39           2       11         1
11/15/09         51           36           2        9         3
10/8/06          58           30           2        9         1
8/6/06           56           30           1       12         2 
11/2/05          56           33           1        9         1

5. Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel (optimistic) or (pessimistic) about (ITEM)? Is that very optimistic/pessimistic or somewhat optimistic/pessimistic?

3/10/12 - Summary Table

                         --- Optimistic ---   --- Pessimistic --     No
                         NET   Very   Smwt.   NET   Smwt.   Very   opinion
a. The state of the                                                
   national economy      49     18     30     48     20      28       3
b. Your own family's  
   financial situation   66     28     39     30     16      14       4

Trend:

a. The state of the national economy

           ---- Optimistic ----    ---- Pessimistic ----     No 
           NET   Very  Somewhat    NET   Somewhat   Very   opinion
3/10/12    49     18      30       48       20       28       3
12/18/11   44     14      30       52       25       27       5
4/24/09    55     NA      NA       42       NA       NA       3
2/22/09    48                      50                         2
12/14/08   48                      50                         3
9/29/08    43                      53                         4
4/13/08    40                      58                         2
2/1/08     45                      51                         4
12/9/07    45                      52                         3
12/11/06   64                      33                         3
5/15/06    52                      46                         1
12/18/05   55                      44                         1
9/11/05    51                      46                         2
6/5/05     59                      40                         1
12/19/04   58                      40                         2
6/20/04    64                      34                         2
1/18/04    63      "       "       35        "        "       2  

b. Your own family's financial situation      

           ---- Optimistic ----    ---- Pessimistic ----     No 
           NET   Very  Somewhat    NET   Somewhat   Very   opinion
3/10/12    66     28      39       30       16       14       4
12/18/11   61     23      38       35       19       16       4
4/24/09    66     NA      NA       31       NA       NA       3
2/22/09    66                      31                         3 
12/14/08   68                      29                         2
9/29/08    61                      34                         5
4/13/08    66                      31                         3
2/1/08     67                      30                         3
12/9/07    72                      25                         3
12/11/06   82                      16                         2
5/15/06    79                      20                         1
12/18/05   73                      26                         1
12/19/04   75      "       "       23        "        "       2

6. Regardless of whether or not the recession is over, in terms of your own personal experience, do you feel the economy has or has not begun to recover?

             Has   Has not   No opinion
3/10/12      49      49           2
1/15/12      45      54           1
11/3/11      36      63           1
6/5/11       42      57           1
3/13/11      46      53           1
12/12/10     41      57           2
10/5/10*     34      63           2
2/8/10       45      53           1
12/13/09**   50      49           1
11/15/09     44      54           1
*ABC News/Yahoo! News 
**Add "Regardless of whether or not the recession is over..."

7. (IF ECONOMY HAS BEGUN TO RECOVER) Do you think the economy’s recovery so far has been a strong one or a weak one?

          Strong   Weak   No opinion
3/10/12     24      74         2
1/15/12     21      77         2
11/3/11     19      77         3
6/5/11      17      81         2
2/8/10      25      75         1
12/13/09    24      73         3

6/7 NET:
           -Recovery's begun-   
           NET   Strong   Weak   Has not   No opinion
3/10/12    49      12      37      49           2
1/15/12    45       9      36      54           1
11/3/11    36       7      29      63           1
6/5/11     42       7      34      57           1
2/8/10     45      11      34      53           1
12/13/09   50      12      36      49           1

8. Do you think Obama's economic program is making the economy (better), making it (worse) or having no real effect?

          Better   Worse   No effect   No opinion
3/10/12     31      30         37           2
9/1/11      17      34         47           2
2/9/11*     27      28         38           7
1/16/11     35      24         39           2
9/2/10      30      33         36           1
4/25/10     39      26         32           2
1/15/10     35      23         41           2
10/18/09    41      22         35           2
8/17/09     43      23         32           2
*Washington Post/Kaiser/Harvard

9. How would you describe your feelings about the recent rise in gasoline prices – are you very concerned, somewhat concerned, not so concerned or not concerned at all?

          ----- Concerned -----   ----- Not Concerned -----     No   
          NET   Very   Somewhat   NET   Not so   Not at all   opinion
3/10/12   89     66       23      10       5          5          *

10. Just your best guess, do you think gas prices will (go higher and stay high), or do you think they will (go up and down)?

          Go higher and stay high   Go up and down   No opinion
3/10/12              46                   51              2

11. Have recent price increases in gasoline caused any financial hardship for you or others in your household, or not? (IF YES) Has that been a serious hardship, or not serious?

           ----------- Yes -----------
           NET   Serious   Not serious   No   No opinion
3/10/12    63       36          27       37        *
4/17/11    71       43          29       28        *
3/13/11    71       44          26       29        1
7/28/08    72       45          27       28        *
6/15/08    77       51          25       23        0
5/11/08    63       34          29       37        *
4/13/08    67       38          29       32        1
5/21/07    58       27          30       42        *
4/15/07    67       36          31       33        *
7/19/06    60       29          30       39        1
5/15/06    57       31          26       43        * 
4/9/06     70       44          26       30        * 
9/11/05    64       34          30       36        *
8/28/05    66       36          30       34        * 
8/21/05    53       26          27       47        *
4/24/05    64       34          30       36        *
3/20/05    57       29          28       43        *
5/23/04    64       37          27       36        0
4/18/04    54       31          23       46        0
4/28/02    53       20          33       47        *
4/29/01    48       17          30       52        *
6/25/00*   44       NA          NA       56        *
5/24/00    36                            64        *
4/2/00     39                            61        *
3/12/00    41                            59        *
2/15/00    40       "           "        60        *
*6/25/00 and previous by Gallup; slightly different wordings.

12. Do you think there's anything the Obama administration reasonably can do to reduce gasoline prices, or do you think gas prices have risen because of factors beyond the administration's control?

             Can do something   Beyond their control   No opinion
3/10/12            50                    45                 6
 
Bush administration:
5/15/06            62                    35                 3
8/28/05            60                    36                 4

13. Changing topics: Overall, do you support or oppose the federal law making changes to the health care system? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

           -------- Support --------   --------- Oppose --------     No   
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
3/10/12    41       24         17      52       11         41         7

Compare to: Overall, given what you know about them, would you say you support or oppose the changes to the health care system that have been enacted by (Congress) or and (the Obama administration)?

           -------- Support --------   --------- Oppose --------     No   
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
1/16/11    45       25         20      50       14         36         5
12/12/10   43       22         21      52       14         37         6
10/3/10    47       26         21      48       13         35         5
3/26/10    46       32         13      50       10         40         4
2/8/10*    46       22         25      49       11         38         5
1/15/10    44       22         22      51       12         39         5
12/13/09   44       25         19      51       11         40         5
11/15/09   48       30         18      49       10         39         3
10/18/09   45       26         19      48       12         36         7
9/12/09    46       30         16      48       12         36         6
8/17/09    45       27         18      50       10         40         5
*2/8/10 and prior: "proposed changes...that are being developed by"

14. Have the things you’ve heard about this law recently been mainly (positive) or mainly (negative)?

          Mainly positive   Mainly negative   Mixed (vol.)   No opinion
3/10/12         19                70               5              6
	

15. The U.S. Supreme Court will hear arguments about the health care law later this month. Of these three options, which would you prefer to have the Supreme Court do: 1) (uphold the entire law), 2) throw out the part of the law that requires individuals to have coverage and keep the rest of the law, or 3) (throw out the entire law)?

            Uphold        Throw out      Throw out      No
          entire law   part of the law   entire law   opinion
3/10/12       26              25             42          7

16. (IF THROW OUT PART OF THE LAW) What if removing the coverage requirement forces the rest of the law to be dropped because there’s no way to pay for it. In that case would you prefer to – (keep the mandate to save the rest of the law), or (throw out the entire law)?

          Keep the mandate   Throw out entire law   No opinion
3/10/12          44                    52                4

15/16 NET:

          -- Uphold entire law --   - Throw out entire law -    No
          NET   At first   Now do   NET   At first   Now do    opin. 
3/10/12   37        26       11     55       42        13        8  

17. On another subject: All in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, do you think the war in Afghanistan has been worth fighting, or not? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

            ----- Worth fighting ----   --- Not worth fighting --     No 
            NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion 
3/10/12     35       17         18      60       16         44         5
6/5/11      43       23         20      54       15         40         3
3/13/11     31       17         14      64       16         49         5
12/12/10    34       18         16      60       18         43         5
7/11/10     43       24         19      53       15         38         4
6/6/10      44       26         18      53       13         41         3
4/25/10     45       26         19      52       15         38         3
12/13/09    52       33         19      44       10         35         4
11/15/09    44       30         14      52       14         38         4
10/18/09*   47       28         19      49       13         36         4 
9/12/09     46       28         18      51       14         37         3
8/17/09     47       31         15      51       10         41         3
7/18/09     51       34         18      45       11         34         4
3/29/09     56       37         19      41       12         28         4
2/22/09     50       34         17      47        9         37         3
12/14/08    55       NA         NA      39       NA         NA         5
7/13/08     51                          45                             4
2/25/07     56        "          "      41        "          "         3
*10/18/09 "was" and "has been" wording half sampled. Previous "was."

18. Do you think the United States should (keep its military forces in Afghanistan until it has trained the Afghan army to be self-sufficient); OR, do you think the United States should (withdraw its military forces even if the Afghan army is not adequately trained)?

          Keep forces   Withdraw forces   No opinion
3/10/12       43              54               3

19. Considering everything, do you think most Afghans support or oppose what the United States is trying to do in Afghanistan?

     
          Support   Oppose   No opinion
3/10/12     30        55        15

Compare to: Considering everything, do you think most of the Iraqi people support
or oppose what the United States is trying to do in Iraq?

          Support   Oppose   No opinion   
3/13/05     54        39         7

20. On another subject, based on what you’ve heard or read, do you think Iran is or is not trying to develop nuclear weapons?

 
           Is   Is not   No opinion
3/10/12    84     9          8
10/18/09   87     8          4

21. To try to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, would you support or oppose [ITEM]? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

 
3/10/12 – Summary Table

                                       ---- Support -----    ----- Oppose -----   No 
                                       NET  Strgly.  Smwt.   NET  Smwt.  Strgly.  op.
a. The United States bombing Iran's 
   nuclear development sites           41     27      14     53    18      35      6
b. Increasing international economic 
   sanctions against Iran              74     54      20     21     9      11      5
c. Direct diplomatic talks between 
   the United States and Iran to try 
   to resolve the situation            81     60      21     16     5      12      2 

Trend:

a. The United States bombing Iran’s nuclear development sites

           -------- Support -------    -------- Oppose ---------     No 
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
3/10/12    41       27         14      53       18         35         6
10/18/09   42       NA         NA      54       NA         NA         4
1/26/06*   42       NA         NA      54       NA         NA         4
* “Iran says it is refining uranium to use in nuclear power plants. Other countries are concerned Iran may also use this uranium in nuclear weapons…”

b. Increasing international economic sanctions against Iran

            -------- Support -------    -------- Oppose ---------     No 
            NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
3/10/12     74       54         20      21        9         11         5
10/18/09*   78       NA         NA      18       NA         NA         4
1/26/06*    71       NA         NA      26       NA         NA         3
*”Imposing international…”

c. Direct diplomatic talks between the United States and Iran to try to resolve the situation

            -------- Support -------    -------- Oppose ---------     No 
            NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
3/10/12     81       60         21      16        5         12         2
10/18/09    82       NA         NA      18       NA         NA         1

22. Would you support or oppose Israel bombing Iran’s nuclear development sites?

 
          Support   Oppose   No opinion
3/10/12     42        51          7

23. If Israel were to bomb Iran’s nuclear development sites, do you think it would or would not risk starting a larger war in the Middle East? (IF RISK) Do you think that would be a major risk; or a risk, but not major?

 
          -------- Risk ---------    Not       No
          NET   Major   Not Major   a risk   opinion
3/10/12   88     76        12          9        4

24. Do you think it’s a better idea to (attack Iran soon, before its nuclear program progresses any further, even if that means not waiting to see if economic sanctions work); or a better idea to (see first if economic sanctions against Iran work, even if that allows more time for its nuclear program to progress)?

 
           Attack     See if economic   Neither     No
          Iran soon   sanctions work    (vol.)    opinion
3/10/12      26             64             4         6

25. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Who would you like to see win the Republican nomination for president this year – (Newt Gingrich), (Ron Paul), (Mitt Romney) or (Rick Santorum)? Which candidate are you leaning toward?

                                                   Other     None      No
             Romney   Santorum   Gingrich   Paul   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
3/10/12        31        29         14       15       2        6        4
3/10/12 RV     33        29         14       12       2        6        4

Compare to: 

(ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) If the Republican presidential primary or caucus
in your state was being held today, and the candidates were (Newt Gingrich),
(Ron Paul), (Mitt Romney), (Rick Santorum). For whom would you vote? Which
candidate would you lean toward?* 

                       ------------ Among gen pop ------------   
                       2/4  1/15  12/18  11/3  10/2  9/1  7/17   
Mitt Romney            39    35    30     24    25   25    30     
Newt Gingrich          23    17    30     12     7    6     6     
Rick Santorum          16    13     3      1     2    3     3     
Ron Paul               15    16    15      8    11   10    11     
Michele Bachmann*       0     0     7      4     7    8    16      
Herman Cain            NA    NA    NA     23    16    4     7     
Jon Huntsman*           0     *     3      1     1    1     3      
Tim Pawlenty           NA    NA    NA     NA    NA   NA     3     
Rick Perry              *     9     7     13    16   29     8      
Other (vol.)            1     1     *      *     2    2     1      
None of them (vol.)     1     2     1      2     5    5     2      
Would not vote (vol.)   *     1     *      3     1    2     1      
No opinion              5     6     4      9     7    5     8      
    
                       -------------- Among RVs --------------
                       2/4  1/15  12/18  11/3  10/2  9/1  7/17
Mitt Romney            38    36    30     25    25   25    30
Newt Gingrich          24    16    30     12     9    5     6
Rick Santorum          18    13     4      1     2    3     3
Ron Paul               14    16    15      9     9   10    10
Michele Bachmann*       0     0     7      4     7    9    17
Herman Cain            NA    NA    NA     23    17    5     7
Jon Huntsman*           0     *     2      1     1    1     3
Tim Pawlenty           NA    NA    NA     NA    NA   NA     3
Rick Perry              *     9     6     14    17   30     8
Other (vol.)            1     1     *      0     2    2     1
None of them (vol.)     *     1     1      2     4    4     2
Would not vote (vol.)   0     1     1      1     1    1     *
No opinion              5     7     4      8     7    5     9
*Michele Bachmann and Jon Huntsman vote in 1/15 and 2/4 and Rick Perry 2/4 includes
those who said they voted for them in previous primary/caucus. Those who chose
Huntsman in 1/15 who have yet to vote were re-allocated to their second choice
candidate.

26. (IF NAMED A CANDIDATE) Who would your second choice be? Which candidate would you lean toward as your second choice?

3/10/12 - NET LEANED SECOND CHOICE  

                   Gen. pop   RV
Newt Gingrich         27      26  
Mitt Romney           27      27  
Rick Santorum         27      27  
Ron Paul              12      12  
Other (vol.)           2       2  
No one/None (vol.)     3       4  
No opinion*            2       2  
*No opinion includes “would not vote (vol.)” 

27. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Suppose that [ITEM] wins the Republican nomination for president. Overall, how satisfied would you be with [ITEM] as the nominee: Very satisfied, fairly satisfied, not too satisfied or not satisfied at all?

3/10/12 – Summary Table

              ---- Satisfied ----   --- Not Satisfied ----     No
              NET   Very   Fairly   NET   Not too   At all   opinion
a. Romney     66     26      40     29      17        12        5
b. Santorum   69     29      40     26      13        13        5 

28. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Just your best guess, who do you think will win the Republican nomination for president?

                   3/10/12   2/4/12   1/15/12   12/18/11
Mitt Romney          74        71       72        40
Rick Santorum        11         *        2         0
Newt Gingrich         4        15        7        35
Ron Paul              3         6        4         6
Jon Huntsman         NA        NA        *         2
Rick Perry           NA        NA        5         3
Michele Bachmann     NA        NA       NA         5
Other (vol.)          *         1        *         *
No opinion            7         7        9         8

29. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you trust most to handle (ITEM)?

Full item wording:
a. The economy
b. Social issues, such as abortion and gay marriage

3/10/12 - Summary Table
                                         Social   
                               Economy   issues   
Mitt Romney                       35       22       
Rick Santorum                     18       31       
Newt Gingrich                     21       15              
Ron Paul                          13       13
Other (vol.)                       *        *       
All of them (vol.)                 *        *       
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)       1        *       
No one/None of them (vol.)         5        6       
No opinion                         6       13       

Trend:

a. The economy
                            
                               3/10   2/4   1/15   12/18   11/3*   9/1
Mitt Romney                     35    37     35      31     22     22
Rick Santorum                   18    11      8       1      1      2
Newt Gingrich                   21    23     17      25     13      7
Ron Paul                        13    17     14      13      7      8
Rick Perry                      NA    NA      8       7     10     22
Jon Huntsman                    NA    NA      3       3      2      *
Michele Bachmann                NA    NA     NA       7      4      5
Herman Cain                     NA    NA     NA      NA     19      4
Sarah Palin                     NA    NA     NA      NA     NA     11
Other (vol.)                     *     1      1       *      0      2
All of them (vol.)               *     1      1       *      1      0
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)     1     1      1       *      2      2 
No one/None of them (vol.)       5     7      3       6      2      4
No opinion                       6     4      9       7     17     12
*11/3 and previous, “which of the Republican candidates do you think would do the best job handling the economy”

b. Social issues, such as abortion and gay marriage

                               3/10/12   2/4/12   1/15/12   12/18/11
Rick Santorum                    31        19       14          4
Mitt Romney                      22        25       25         26
Newt Gingrich                    15        22       15         15
Ron Paul                         13        13       10         12
Rick Perry                       NA        NA        9          7
Jon Huntsman                     NA        NA        3          3
Michele Bachmann                 NA        NA       NA         13
Herman Cain                      NA        NA       NA         NA
Other (vol.)                      *         1        1          0
All of them (vol.)                *         *        1          *
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)      *         1        *          *
No one/None of them (vol.)        6         6        6          6
No opinion                       13        12       16         12
        

30. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Again, regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you think [ITEM]? (IF NEEDED) I can repeat the list. Is it (Newt Gingrich), (Ron Paul), (Mitt Romney), or (Rick Santorum)?

Full item wording:
a. Best reflects the core values of the Republican Party 
b. Has the best chance to defeat Barack Obama in the general election

3/10/12 - Summary Table

                               Values   Defeat  
Rick Santorum                    27       15      
Mitt Romney                      25       52      
Newt Gingrich                    20       11       
Ron Paul                         11        6      
Other (vol.)                      0        0       
All of them (vol.)                1        3       
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)      2        1       
No one/None of them (vol.)        4        6      
No opinion                        9        6       

Trend:

a. Best reflects the core values of the Republican Party

                               3/10   2/4   1/15   12/18   11/3   9/1   7/17
Rick Santorum                   27     20    13       5       3     4     3
Mitt Romney                     25     30    26      23     20     18    19
Newt Gingrich                   20     26    25      23     19      6     9
Ron Paul                        11     11     9      10      4      6     8
Rick Perry                      NA     NA    10       7     10     19     7
Jon Huntsman                    NA     NA     3       3      1      1     1
Michele Bachmann                NA     NA    NA      13      5     10    11
Herman Cain                     NA     NA    NA      NA     13      3     4
Sarah Palin                     NA     NA    NA      NA     NA     12    20
Tim Pawlenty                    NA     NA    NA      NA     NA     NA     1
Other (vol.)                     0      1     0       0       0     *     1
All of them (vol.)               1      *     1       1       1     1     *
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)     2      2     1       1       2     5     1
No one/None of them (vol.)       4      1     4       4       2     2     1
No opinion                       9     10    10      11      20    14    14 

b. Has the best chance to defeat Barack Obama in the general election

                               3/10   2/4   1/15   12/18   11/3   9/1   7/17
Mitt Romney                     52     56    57      38      33    20    32
Rick Santorum                   15      2     5       0       0     1     1
Newt Gingrich                   11     22    10      28       5     5     6
Ron Paul                         6      7     7       9       3     4     3
Rick Perry                      NA     NA     5       3      11    30     6
Jon Huntsman                    NA     NA     1       3       *     1     2
Michele Bachmann                NA     NA    NA       3       1     4     7
Herman Cain                     NA     NA    NA      NA      21     1     2
Sarah Palin                     NA     NA    NA      NA      NA     8    14
Tim Pawlenty                    NA     NA    NA      NA      NA    NA     2
Other (vol.)                     0      0     0       *       0     1     1
All of them (vol.)               3      2     5       3       6     4     7
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)     1      3     1       2       2     5     2
None of them (vol.)              6      4     2       4       3     4     4
No opinion                       6      4     7       8      13    10    11

31. If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Barack Obama, the Democrat) and ([ITEM], the Republican), for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Obama) or toward [ITEM]?

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - GEN POP

3/10/12 - Summary Table

                                  Other    Neither    Would not      No
                   Obama   Rep.   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
a. Mitt Romney      46      47       *         2          3           2
b. Rick Santorum    48      45       1         2          2           2

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – REG VOTERS

3/10/12 - Summary Table

                                  Other    Neither    Would not      No
                   Obama   Rep.   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
a. Mitt Romney      47      49       *         1          2           2
b. Rick Santorum    49      46       1         2          1           1

Trend:

a. Mitt Romney

                              Other    Neither    Would not      No
             Obama   Romney   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
3/10/12       46       47        *         2          3           2
2/4/12        52       43        *         1          2           2
1/15/12       46       47        *         2          3           2
12/18/11      49       46        *         2          2           1
11/3/11       48       45        *         3          2           1
10/2/11       47       46        *         3          1           2
9/1/11        46       47        *         2          3           2
7/17/11       51       44        *         2          1           2
6/5/11        47       47        *         2          1           2
4/17/11       49       45        *         3          1           2

3/10/12  RV   47       49        *         1          2           2
2/4/12   RV   51       45        *         1          1           1
1/15/12  RV   46       48        *         2          2           2
12/18/11 RV   47       47        *         2          2           1
11/3/11  RV   46       47        *         3          2           1
10/2/11  RV   46       48        *         2          1           2
9/1/11   RV   45       49        *         2          2           2
7/17/11  RV   49       47        *         2          1           1
6/5/11   RV   46       49        *         2          1           2
4/17/11  RV   49       45        *         3          1           1

b. Rick Santorum

                                Other    Neither    Would not      No
             Obama   Santorum   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
3/10/12       48        45         1         2          2           2
1/15/12       52        39         *         3          3           2  
                               
3/10/12  RV   49        46         1         2          1           1
1/15/12  RV   52        41         *         2          2           2  

32. Just your best guess, who do you think will win the presidential election this year - (Obama) or (the Republican candidate)?

           Obama   Rep. candidate   No opinion
3/10/12     54           40              6
1/15/12     46           49              5
12/18/11    46           49              5
10/2/11     37           55              8

33. Organizations known as Super-PACS can raise and spend unlimited amounts of money on behalf of candidates they support. (Supporters say this is a form of free speech) while (opponents say this allows groups or wealthy individuals to have unfair influence.) Do you think it should be legal or illegal for these Super-PACS to operate?

          ---- Should be legal ----   --- Should be illegal ---     No
          NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
3/10/12   25        9         16      69       16         52         6    

34. On another subject, which political party would you say cares more about issues that are especially important to women - the (Democrats) or the (Republicans)?

                                     Both    Neither     No
          Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
3/10/12      55           30           3        5         7
4/2/00       58           24           5        4         9

35. Do you think health insurance companies should or should not be required to cover the full cost of birth control for women? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

          -- Should be required ---   - Should not be required -    No
          NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
3/10/12   61       50         12      35        8         27         3

36. (IF SHOULD BE REQUIRED) What if the insurance is provided through an employer who is affiliated with a religious institution that opposes birth control. This could be a religious-affiliated university or hospital, for example. In this case do you think health insurance companies should or should not be required to cover the full cost of birth control for women? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

          -- Should be required ---   - Should not be required -    No
          NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
3/10/12   79       67         12      18        9          9         3

35/36 NET:

          Should be    - Should not be required -     No
          required     NET   At first   If affil.   opinion
3/10/12      49        46       35         11          5

37. Do you think a political leader should or should not rely on his or her religious beliefs in making policy decisions?

                                Depends     No
          Should   Should not   (vol.)    opinion 
3/10/12     31        63          3          3
9/1/11      29        66          3          1
12/9/07     27        66          6          1
10/8/06     35        61          2          2
4/24/05     40        55          4          2

38. How much does it matter to you that a candidate for president shares your religious beliefs – does it matter a great deal, somewhat, not so much, or not at all?

          ---- Matters -----   -- Does not matter ---
                Great                  Not       Not      No 
          NET   deal    Smwt   NET   so much   at all   opinion
3/10/12   42     17      24     58      17       41        1
2/4/12    38     18      20     62      16       46        *

39. In your view, has the country gone too far in keeping religion and government separate, gone too far in mixing religion and government, or has it struck a good balance in the area of the separation of church and state?

           Gone too far in    Gone too far     Struck a       No
           keeping separate    in mixing     good balance   opinion
3/10/12           36               25             34           4 
7/26/94*          36               18             40           6  
*NBC/Wall St. Journal

40. On another subject, do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?

              ------ Legal ------   ----- Illegal -----                      
                     All    Most          Most     All      No                 
              NET   cases   cases   NET   cases   cases   opinion  
3/10/12       54     21      33     43     25      17        3
7/17/11       54     19      35     44     30      15        2
3/26/10       53     17      35     45     27      18        2
11/23/09      54     19      35     43     28      16        2
6/21/09       55     20      35     43     26      17        2
9/7/08   RV   57     19      38     39     24      15        4
8/22/08       54     22      32     44     26      18        3
6/15/08       53     18      35     44     28      16        3
1/12/08       57     21      36     40     25      15        3
12/9/07       53     18      35     44     27      17        3
11/1/07       55     19      36     43     27      16        2
7/21/07       56     23      34     41     28      14        2
2/25/07       56     16      39     42     31      12        2
12/18/05      56     17      40     41     27      13        3
4/24/05       56     20      36     42     27      14        3
12/19/04      55     21      34     42     25      17        3
5/23/04       54     23      31     44     23      20        2
1/20/03       57     23      34     42     25      17        2
8/12/01       49     22      27     48     28      20        3
6/24/01       52     22      31     43     23      20        4
1/15/01       59     21      38     39     25      14        1
9/6/00   RV   55     20      35     42     25      16        3
7/23/00       53     20      33     43     26      17        4
9/2/99        56     20      37     42     26      15        2
3/14/99       55     21      34     42     27      15        3
7/12/98       54     19      35     42     29      13        4
8/5/96        56     22      34     41     27      14        3
6/30/96       58     24      34     40     25      14        2
10/1/95       60     26      35     37     25      12        3
9/21/95       60     24      36     36     25      11        4
7/17/95       59     27      32     40     26      14        1

41. Do you think it should be legal or illegal for gay and lesbian couples to get married? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

             --------- Legal ---------   -------- Illegal --------     No  
             NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
3/10/12      52       36         17      43        7         36         5
7/17/11      51       32         19      45        9         36         4
3/13/11      53       36         17      44        9         35         3
2/8/10       47       31         16      50        9         42         3
4/24/09*     49       31         18      46        7         39         5
6/4/06       36       24         13      58        7         51         5
8/28/05      39       NA         NA      58       NA         NA         3
8/29/04 RV   32       18         14      62       10         52         5 
3/7/04       38       24         14      59       11         48         3 
2/22/04      39       25         13      55        6         49         6 
1/18/04      41       NA         NA      55       NA         NA         4 
9/7/03       37       NA         NA      55       NA         NA         7 
*2009 "gay and lesbian" and "homosexual" wordings half sampled. 2005 "gay and lesbian", others "homosexual".

42. On another subject, what is your view of the Tea Party political movement - would you say you support it strongly, support it somewhat, oppose it somewhat or oppose it strongly?

           -------- Support --------   --------- Oppose --------     No 
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
3/10/12    44      15         29       43       17         26        13
2/4/12     43      12         31       45       20         25        12
1/15/12    40      13         28       50       23         27        10
12/18/11   42      13         28       45       20         26        13
11/3/11    43      14         29       44       20         24        13
10/2/11    42      12         30       47       20         27        11
9/1/11     47      13         35       45       18         27         8
7/17/11    44      13         31       46       23         24        10
6/5/11     46      13         33       44       21         24        10
4/17/11    42      16         26       49       21         27        10

901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what?

          Democrat   Republican   Independent   Other (vol.)   No opinion
3/10/12      31          27           36              3             3
2/12/12      34          23           37              5             1
1/15/12      32          25           36              5             2

908a. Would you say your views on most political matters are liberal, moderate or conservative?

                                               Don't think in 
          Liberal   Moderate   Conservative   those terms (vol.)   No opinion
3/10/12     23         37           37                2                 1
2/12/12     21         39           37                1                 2
1/15/12     19         42           37                1                 2

***END***

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