Washington Post-ABC News Poll

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone September 29-October 2 2011, among a random national sample of 1,002 adults, including landline and cell phone-only respondents. The results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

              -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
10/2/11       42       21         21      54       14         40         4
9/1/11        43       21         22      53       16         38         3
8/9/11*       44       18         26      46        9         37        10
7/17/11       47       25         22      48       14         35         5
6/5/11        47       27         20      49       13         37         4
5/2/11**      56       29         27      38       14         24         6
4/17/11       47       27         21      50       12         37         3
3/13/11       51       27         24      45       12         33         4
1/16/11       54       30         23      43       15         28         3
12/12/10      49       24         25      47       15         32         4
10/28/10      50       27         23      45       11         34         5
10/28/10 LV   46       31         15      52        8         44         2
10/3/10       50       26         24      47       13         34         3
9/2/10        46       24         22      52       14         38         3
7/11/10       50       28         22      47       12         35         3
6/6/10        52       30         22      45       12         33         4
4/25/10       54       31         23      44       11         33         3
3/26/10       53       34         20      43        8         35         3
2/8/10        51       29         22      46       12         33         3
1/15/10       53       30         24      44       13         32         2
12/13/09      50       31         18      46       13         33         4
11/15/09      56       32         23      42       13         29         2
10/18/09      57       33         23      40       11         29         3
9/12/09       54       35         19      43       12         31         3
8/17/09       57       35         21      40       11         29         3
7/18/09       59       38         22      37        9         28         4
6/21/09       65       36         29      31       10         22         4
4/24/09       69       42         27      26        8         18         4
3/29/09       66       40         26      29        9         20         5
2/22/09       68       43         25      25        8         17         7
*Washington Post
**Washington Post/Pew Research Center poll

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling [ITEM]? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

10/2/11 - Summary Table*

                    -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
                    NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
a. The economy      35       17         19      61       13         48         4
b. Taxes            42       22         20      51       14         37         7
c. Creating jobs    35       17         18      60       14         47         4
*Full sample asked item a; half sample asked item b; other half sample asked item c.

Trend:

a. The economy

              -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
10/2/11       35       17         19      61       13         48         4
9/1/11        36       15         21      62       15         47         2
7/17/11       39       18         22      57       15         43         3
6/5/11        40       20         20      59       10         49         2
5/2/11*       40       18         22      55       16         39         4
4/17/11       42       23         19      57       11         46         2
3/13/11       43       22         21      55       13         41         2
1/16/11       46       22         24      51       13         38         2
12/12/10      43       21         22      54       15         39         3
10/28/10 RV   44       21         23      54       15         39         3
10/3/10       45       22         23      53       13         41         2
9/2/10        41       20         21      57       13         44         2
7/11/10       43       20         23      54       13         41         4
6/6/10        50       26         24      49       12         37         2
4/25/10       49       24         25      49       10         39         2
3/26/10       45       23         22      52       12         40         3
2/8/10        45       22         23      53       15         38         2
1/15/10       47       22         24      52       13         39         1
12/13/09      46       23         24      52       12         40         2
11/15/09      51       26         25      47       12         36         2
10/18/09      50       29         22      48       13         35         1
9/12/09       51       28         24      46       13         33         2
8/17/09       52       27         25      46       13         33         2
7/18/09       52       29         23      46       10         35         3
6/21/09       56       28         28      41       13         27         3
4/24/09       58       31         28      38       13         25         4
3/29/09       60       34         25      38       12         26         3
2/22/09       60       NA         NA      34       NA         NA         6
*Washington Post/Pew Research Center

b. Taxes

          -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
          NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
10/2/11   42       22         20      51       14         37         7
7/17/11   45       24         21      47       13         34         8
1/16/11   50       23         27      44       14         31         6
8/17/09   51       23         28      40       12         28         8
4/24/09   56       NA         NA      38       NA         NA         6

c. Creating jobs

           -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
10/2/11    35       17         18      60       14         47         4
9/1/11     36       15         21      62       18         45         2
7/17/11    41       16         25      52       13         39         7
2/8/10     47       25         22      51       15         35         3

3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the U.S. Congress is doing its job? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

              -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
10/2/11       14        3         11      82       20         62         4
3/13/11       27        7         20      69       24         45         4
1/16/11       28        6         21      66       24         43         7
10/28/10 RV   23        6         17      74       21         53         3
10/28/10 LV   21        5         16      77       19         58         2
10/3/10       24        6         18      73       22         51         3
9/2/10        25        5         20      72       21         51         4
6/6/10        26        7         20      71       20         51         2
3/26/10       24        7         18      72       18         54         4
2/8/10        26       NA         NA      71       NA         NA         3
7/13/08       23                          71                             6
2/1/08        33                          59                             8
12/9/07       32                          60                             8
11/1/07       28                          65                             7
9/30/07       29                          65                             6
7/21/07       37                          60                             4
6/1/07        39        "          "      53        "          "         8
4/15/07       44        8         36      54       25         29         3
2/25/07       41       NA         NA      54       NA         NA         5
1/19/07       43                          50                             8
12/11/06      37        "          "      57        "          "         6
11/4/06  RV   36        7         29      60       25         35         4  
10/22/06      31        5         25      65       27         38         4  
10/8/06       32        5         27      66       29         37         2  
9/7/06        40       NA         NA      55       NA         NA         5
8/6/06        36                          60                             4
5/15/06       33                          63                             4 
4/9/06        35                          62                             3 
3/5/06        36                          62                             3
1/26/06       43                          53                             4
1/8/06        41                          55                             5
12/18/05      43                          53                             4
11/2/05       37                          59                             4
8/28/05       37                          59                             4
6/5/05        41                          54                             4
10/29/03      40                          52                             9
4/30/03       57                          37                             6
9/26/02       51                          43                             6
7/15/02       57                          36                             7
2/21/02       57                          39                             4
1/27/02       58                          35                             7
12/19/01      59                          34                             7
9/9/01        45                          48                             7
7/30/01       48                          48                             4
4/22/01       58                          33                             8
10/31/99      42                          53                             6
9/2/99        46                          47                             7
6/6/99        48                          46                             6
3/14/99       44                          49                             7
2/14/99       46                          50                             4    
12/20/98      44                          51                             5    
12/19/98      45                          50                             5    
12/13/98      49                          46                             5    
11/7/98       41                          55                             4    
11/1/98       49                          47                             5    
10/25/98      45                          44                            11    
10/18/98      46                          45                             8    
9/28/98       52                          44                             4    
8/21/98       55                          39                             6          
7/12/98       46                          44                            11          
5/12/98       45                          45                             9          
4/4/98        47                          45                             8          
1/31/98       55                          35                            10          
1/30/98       55                          35                            10          
1/25/98       56                          37                             8          
1/24/98       55                          38                             7          
1/19/98       47                          49                             5          
10/13/97      36                          57                             7          
8/27/97       39                          54                             7          
7/8/97        40                          53                             6          
4/24/97       40                          53                             7          
3/9/97        35                          60                             5          
8/5/96        42                          52                             7          
6/30/96       35                          58                             7          
5/22/96       35                          60                             5          
3/10/96       30                          64                             6          
1/7/96        31                          65                             5          
11/19/95      27                          68                             5          
10/1/95       32                          65                             3 
7/17/95       34                          63                             3         
3/19/95       39                          56                             5         
1/29/95       42                          52                             6         
10/31/94      21                          72                             8         
10/23/94      18                          78                             4         
9/11/94       24                          70                             5         
6/26/94       34                          61                             5         
3/27/94       35                          62                             3         
2/27/94       32                          64                             4         
1/23/94       29                          60                            11         
11/14/93      28                          66                             6         
8/8/93        33                          64                             3         
4/26/93       30                          69                             2         
1/17/93       29                          66                             6         
4/9/92        17                          78                             5         
3/18/92       19                          76                             5         
3/8/92        22                          73                             6         
2/2/92        32                          64                             4         
12/15/91      35                          59                             6         
10/21/91      45                          50                             5         
6/2/91        49                          46                             5 
10/14/90      34                          63                             3                  
2/4/90        41                          55                             4                  
1/16/90       39                          55                             6                  
8/21/89       42                          53                             5                  
5/23/89       54                          44                             2                  
2/14/89       53                          44                             3                  
1/23/88*      43                          53                             4                  
6/1/87        56                          40                             4                  
6/22/85       54                          37                             9                  
5/83          33                          43                            24                  
6/81          38                          40                            22                  
6/79          19                          61                            20                  
9/78          29                          49                            22                  
6/77          34                          42                            24                  
6/75          29                          54                            17                  
8/74          48       "          "       35       "          "         17                  
*1/23/88 and previous: Gallup

4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling the economy? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

             -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
             NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
10/2/11      20        4         16      76       21         54         4
7/17/11      28       NA         NA      67       NA         NA         5
4/17/11      34                          62                             3
11/4/90 LV*  26       "          "       69       "          "          5
* "the nation's economy"

5. When it comes to finding the right balance between [cutting government spending that is not needed] and [continuing government spending that is needed], who do you trust to do a better job - (Obama) or (the Republicans in Congress)?

          Obama   Reps   Both (vol.)   Neither (vol.)   No opinion
10/2/11    44      39         1              14              2
6/5/11     41      44         2              11              2
4/17/11    45      44         2               7              2
3/13/11    43      42         2              10              3

6. Who do you trust to do a better job [ITEM] - (Obama) or (the Republicans in Congress)?

10/2/11 - Summary Table*

                                                         Both    Neither     No
                                         Obama   Reps   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
a. Handling the economy                   43      42       1       11         2
b. Handling taxes                         39      46       1       11         2
c. Creating jobs                          49      34       1       14         3
*Full sample asked item a; half sample asked item b; other half sample asked item c.

Trend:

a. Handling the economy

                           Both    Neither     No
           Obama   Reps   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/2/11     43      42       1       11         2
9/1/11      42      39       1       16         2
6/5/11      42      45       2        9         2
3/13/11     46      34       2       15         4
1/16/11     46      41       3        7         3
12/12/10    44      45       2        7         2
4/25/10     49      38       1        9         2
2/8/10      47      42       1        7         2
12/13/09    48      36       1       12         3
11/15/09    52      37       1        8         1
9/12/09     48      37       1       12         2
7/18/09     56      33       1        9         2
6/21/09     55      31       2        9         2
4/24/09     61      24       2       11         2
3/29/09     58      25       1       14         2
2/22/09     61      26       1        9         3

b. Handling taxes

                           Both    Neither     No
           Obama   Reps   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/2/11     39      46       1       11         2
4/17/11     47      42       1        8         2
1/16/11     44      42       2        9         4
12/12/10    43      44       1        7         5

c. Creating jobs

                           Both    Neither     No
           Obama   Reps   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/2/11     49      34       1       14         3
9/1/11      40      40       1       17         2
6/5/11      43      42       2       11         2
2/8/10      48      41       2        8         2

7. Who do you think cares more about protecting the economic interests of [ITEM] - (Obama) or (the Republicans in Congress)?

10/2/11 - Summary Table

                                                        Both    Neither    No 
                                        Obama   Reps   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
a. Middle class Americans                52      32       1       12        3       
b. Wealthy Americans                     17      70       5        6        2

Trend:

a. Middle class Americans
                           Both    Neither     No
           Obama   Reps   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/2/11     52      32       1       12         3
7/17/11     53      35       1        9         2

b. No trend.

8. How satisfied are you with the way this country’s political system is working – would you say very satisfied, mostly satisfied, mostly dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

           ---- Satisfied ----   --- Dissatisfied --     No
           NET   Very   Mostly   NET   Mostly   Very   opinion
10/2/11    20      2      18     79      38      41       1
8/9/11*    21      2      19     78      33      45       1
11/23/09   38      4      34     61      30      31       1
6/3/07     34      5      29     64      34      30       1
*Washington Post

9. (IF DISSATISFIED) Who do you mainly blame for that – (Obama) or (the Republicans in Congress)?

                           Both    Neither     No
           Obama   Reps   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/2/11     25      39       27        8        1

8/9 NET:

                      -------------- Dissatisfied --------------
                            Blame   Blame   Both   Neither   No      No
          Satisfied   NET   Obama   Reps   (vol.)   (vol.)   op.   opinion
10/2/11      20       79     19      31      21        6      1       1
                                           

10. A committee of (Democrats) and (Republicans) in Congress has until late November to propose ways to cut the federal deficit by one-point-two trillion dollars over the next 10 years. Do you think this should be done by (cutting federal spending), by (increasing taxes), or by a combination of both?

           Cutting federal   Increasing   Combination     No
              spending         taxes        of both     opinion
10/2/11          31               3           64           2       

Compare to: Overall, what do you think is the best way to reduce the federal budget deficit - (by cutting federal spending), (by increasing taxes), or by a combination of both?

           Cutting federal   Increasing   Combination     No
              spending         taxes        of both     opinion
7/17/11          32              4            62           3
6/5/11           37              4            57           2
4/17/11          36              3            59           2
3/13/11          31              3            64           3
12/12/10         36              2            60           1

11. How likely do you think it is that (Democrats) and (Republicans) in Congress will agree on a deficit-reduction plan – very likely, somewhat likely, somewhat unlikely, or very unlikely?

          ------- Likely ------   ------ Unlikely -----     No
          NET   Very   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Very   opinion
10/2/11   25      3       22      74       37       37       1

12. If a deficit-reduction plan is not agreed on, automatic cuts of one-point-two trillion dollars in federal spending will take effect in January 2013, half from (military programs) and half from (domestic programs). Would you support or oppose these automatic cuts if there is no agreement?

          Support   Oppose   No opinion
10/2/11     36        57         7

I have a few questions on taxes…

13. Do you support or oppose raising taxes on Americans with incomes over one million dollars a year?

          Support   Oppose   No opinion
10/2/11     75        23         2

14. (HALF SAMPLE) Would you support or oppose changing federal tax law to make it harder for businesses to reduce their taxes by taking tax deductions?

          Support   Oppose   No opinion
10/2/11     42        46        11

15. (HALF SAMPLE) Would you support or oppose changing federal tax law to make it harder for individuals to reduce their taxes by taking tax deductions?

          Support   Oppose   No opinion
10/2/11     43        47         11

16. Obama recently proposed a 450 billion dollar package aimed at creating jobs. Given what you know about it, do you support or oppose the plan? Is that support/oppose strongly or somewhat?

          -------- Support --------   --------- Oppose --------     No
          NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
10/2/11   52       26         26      36       10         25         13

17. Just your best guess, if Obama’s jobs package passes Congress, do you think it would improve the jobs situation in the country a great deal, somewhat, not much or not at all?

          --------- Improve ---------   ---- Not improve ---      No
          NET   Great deal   Somewhat   NET   Not much   None   opinion
10/2/11   58        11          47      39       20       20       3   

17a. (IF NOT MUCH OR NOT AT ALL) Is that because (the plan is a bad one) or because (the problem is too big for government to solve)?

          Plan is a    Problem is too big     Both     Other       No
           bad one     for gov’t to solve    (vol.)    (vol.)    opinion
10/2/11      41                41              11        5          2

17/17a NET:

                    ---------------------- Not improve ----------------------
                          Plan is a   Problem is too big    Both   Other  No     No
          Improve   NET    bad one    for gov’t to solve   (vol.)  (vol.) op.  opinion
10/2/11     58      39        16              16             4        2    1      3    

18. On another subject, how closely are you following the 2012 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?

              ---- Closely -----   ---- Not closely -----     No
              NET   Very   Smwt.   NET   Not too   At all   opinion
10/2/11       64     24     40     36       23       13        0
9/1/11        66     25     40     34       20       14        *
7/17/11       61     18     43     39       23       15        *
6/5/11        61     22     39     38       23       15        *

11/3/08  RV   91     64     28      8        5        4        *
11/2/08  RV   90     63     28      9        5        4        *
11/1/08  RV   90     61     29     10        6        4        *
10/31/08 RV   89     60     29     11        7        4        *
10/30/08 RV   89     59     29     11        7        4        *
10/29/08 RV   89     60     30     10        6        4        *
10/28/08 RV   90     59     31     10        6        4        *
10/27/08 RV   91     60     31      9        5        4        *
10/26/08 RV   90     60     30      9        5        4        *
10/25/08 RV   89     59     30     11        6        5        *
10/24/08 RV   89     60     28     11        6        5        *
10/23/08 RV   88     58     30     12        6        6        *
10/22/08 RV   89     57     32     11        6        5        *
10/21/08 RV   90     58     32     10        6        4        *
10/20/08 RV   90     57     34     10        6        4        *
10/19/08 RV   90     57     33     10        6        3        *
10/11/08 RV   92     59     33      8        4        4        *
9/29/08  RV   89     58     31     11        7        5        *
9/22/08  RV   91     55     36      9        5        4        0
9/7/08   RV   89     51     38     10        6        5        *
8/22/08  RV   84     42     42     16       11        5        *
7/13/08  RV   79     36     42     21       12        9        1
6/15/08       75     34     41     25       12       13        *
5/11/08       83     39     44     17       13        5        0
4/13/08       84     37     47     16       11        5        *
3/2/08        84     42     42     15       11        4        *
2/1/08        81     35     46     19       12        7        *
1/12/08       79     32     47     21       15        6        *
12/9/07       72     21     51     28       19        8        *
11/1/07       67     21     46     33       22       12        0
9/30/07       69     21     48     30       21       10        * 
7/21/07       70     22     48     30       20       10        *
6/1/07        66     18     48     34       22       13        *
4/15/07       66     20     45     34       20       14        *
2/25/07       65     20     44     35       25       10        *

19. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Overall, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the choice of candidates for the Republican nomination for president next year - are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied?

           ----- Satisfied -----   --- Dissatisfied ----     No
           NET   Very   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Very   opinion
10/2/11    62      9       54      32       25        7       6
9/1/11     65     15       51      29       21        8       6
7/17/11    54      8       46      38       29       10       8
6/5/11     47      7       40      46       38        9       7
4/17/11    43      5       38      40       30       10      17
11/1/07    69     16       54      28       22        7       2 
9/7/07     68     19       49      26       21        6       5 
7/21/07    65     13       53      32       26        6       3 
6/1/07     68     11       56      28       22        6       4 
4/15/07    65     16       49      31       27        5       3 
2/25/07    73     14       58      24       20        5       3

20. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) What's the single most important issue to you in your choice for the Republican candidate for president?

                                         10/2/11         
Economy/jobs                               51
Deficit/debt/spending                      13
Ethics/Honesty/Corruption in government     7
Taxes                                       4
Health care                                 4
Morals/family values                        3
Social Security                             2
Immigration                                 1
Size/role of government                     1 
Education                                   1
Leadership                                  1
Business                                    1
Military                                    1
Beating Barack Obama                        1
Conservative                                1
Qualifications/Experience                   1
Foreign policy                              1
Gun control                                 1
Other                                       4
No opinion                                  5   

20a. (IF ECONOMY/JOBS) After the economy/jobs, what’s the next most important issue?

                                         10/2/11
Taxes                                      19
Health care                                11
Foreign policy                             10
Deficit/debt/spending                      10
Terrorism/security                          8
Education                                   6
Immigration                                 5
War in Afghanistan                          5
Military                                    4
Ethics/Honesty/Corruption in government     2
Housing/Mortgages                           2
Size/role of government                     2
Beating Barack Obama                        1
Conservative                                1
Gun control                                 1       
Morals/family values                        1
Social Security                             1
Other                                       1
No opinion                                  6   

21. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) If the 2012 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were (Michele Bachmann), (Herman Cain), (Chris Christie), (Newt Gingrich), (Jon Huntsman), (Sarah Palin), (Ron Paul), (Rick Perry), (Mitt Romney), (Rick Santorum). For whom would you vote? Which candidate would you lean toward?

NOTE: HORSE RACE FOR ALL ANNOUNCED CANDIDATES, SEE 21/23/24 BELOW

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE

                       All leaned Reps.   Among RVs
                           10/2/11        10/2/11
Mitt Romney                  21             20          
Herman Cain                  14             15          
Rick Perry                   14             15          
Chris Christie               10             10       
Sarah Palin                   9              8          
Ron Paul                      9              7          
Newt Gingrich                 6              7          
Michele Bachmann              4              4        
Rick Santorum                 1              2          
Jon Huntsman                  1              1          
Other (vol.)                  1              2        
No one/None of them (vol.)    3              3          
Would not vote (vol.)         *              *          
No opinion                    6              6      

22. (IF NAMED A CANDIDATE) Do you support (CANDIDATE) strongly, or somewhat?

             Strongly   Somewhat   No opinion   
10/2/11         36         64          0
10/2/11 RV      38         62          0
9/1/11          34         66          *
9/1/11 RV       32         68          *
7/17/11         34         66          0
7/17/11 RV      35         65          0

23. (IF WOULD VOTE FOR PALIN) If Palin does not run for president, for whom would you vote? Which candidate would you lean toward?

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE
 
                           ------ Without Palin ------
                           All leaned Reps.   Among RVs
                               10/2/11         10/2/11 
Mitt Romney                      22              22    
Rick Perry                       15              15    
Herman Cain                      14              15    
Chris Christie                   11              11    
Ron Paul                         11               8    
Newt Gingrich                     7               8    
Michele Bachmann                  6               6    
Rick Santorum                     2               2    
Jon Huntsman                      1               1    
Other (vol.)                      1               2    
No one/None of them (vol.)        4               3    
Would not vote (vol.)             *               *    
No opinion                        7               7    

24. (IF WOULD VOTE FOR CHRISTIE) If Christie does not run for president, for whom would you vote? Which candidate would you lean toward?

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE

                            ------------------ Without Christie -------------------
                                  All leaned Reps.                Among RVs
                             10/2/11   9/1/11   7/17/11   10/2/11   9/1/11   7/17/11
Mitt Romney                    23        22       26        23        23       26
Herman Cain                    16         3        6        17         3        7
Rick Perry                     16        27        8        16        29        8
Sarah Palin                    10        14       18         8        14       16
Ron Paul                        9         8        9         8         8        7
Newt Gingrich                   7         4        5         8         4        4
Michele Bachmann                4         6       12         4         6       13
Jon Huntsman                    1         1        3         1         1        3
Rick Santorum                   1         2        2         2         2        2
Tim Pawlenty                   NA        NA        2        NA        NA        2
Other (vol.)                    2         1        1         2         1        1
No one/None of them (vol.)      4         4        1         4         4        1
Would not vote (vol.)           1         2        1         1         1        *
No opinion                      6         4        8         6         4        8

21/23/24. (IF WOULD VOTE FOR CHRISTIE OR PALIN) If neither (Christie) nor (Palin) run, for whom would you vote? Which candidate would you lean toward?

     
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE

                           --------------- Without Christie/Palin -----------------
                                   Among gen pop                 Among RVs 
                           10/2/11   9/1/11   7/17/11    10/2/11   9/1/11   7/17/11 
Mitt Romney                  25        25       30         25        25       30    
Herman Cain                  16         4        7         17         5        7    
Rick Perry                   16        29        8         17        30        8    
Ron Paul                     11        10       11          9        10       10    
Newt Gingrich                 7         6        6          9         5        6    
Michele Bachmann              7         8       16          7         9       17    
Rick Santorum                 2         3        3          2         3        3    
Jon Huntsman                  1         1        3          1         1        3    
Tim Pawlenty                 NA        NA        3         NA        NA        3    
Other (vol.)                  2         2        1          2         2        1    
No one/None of them (vol.)    5         5        2          4         4        2    
Would not vote (vol.)         1         2        1          1         1        *    
No opinion                    7         5        8          7         5        9

25. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Would you like to see Sarah Palin run for the Republican nomination for president, or not?

          Yes   No   No opinion
10/2/11   31    66        3

26. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Would you like to see Chris Christie run for the Republican nomination for president, or not?

          Yes   No   No opinion
10/2/11   42    34       24

27. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Have you watched any of the debates among the Republican candidates for president that have been held recently, or not? (IF WATCHED) Did you happen to watch last week’s debate, or not that one?

          ----- Have watched GOP debates -----   Have not     No
          NET   Last week   Not last week   DK   watched    opinion
10/2/11   46       21             24         1     54          0

28. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Regardless of who you may support, would you say that the more you hear about [ITEM] (the more you like him/her), or the more you hear about [ITEM] (the less you like him/her)?

10/2/11 - Summary Table

                    More you   Less you     Makes no    Haven’t heard      No 
                      like       like     diff. (vol.)  enough (vol.)    opinion
a. Mitt Romney         38         35           10            11             6
b. Rick Perry          30         44            4            15             6
c. Sarah Palin         35         49            9             2             6
d. Chris Christie      43         23            4            20             9
e. Herman Cain         47         18            2            25             9
 

29. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) What's more important to you: supporting the presidential candidate in your party (who you agree with most on the issues), or the candidate (who's most likely to win in November 2012)?

            Agree on   Most likely       Same         Both    Neither    No
             issues      to win      person (vol.)   (vol.)    (vol.)    op.
10/2/11        73          20              1           2         1        3
2/25/07        85          13              0           *         1        1

30. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Regardless of who you may support, between only (Romney) and (Perry), who do you think [ITEM]?

10/2/11 - Summary Table
                                                             Both    Neither     No
                                           Romney   Perry   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
a. Better understands the problems of 
   people like you                           37       40       2        7        15
b. Has the better experience to be 
   president                                 50       30       3        3        13
c. Is closer to you on the issues            37       43       2        4        14  
d. Has the better chance to defeat Barack 
   Obama in the general election             51       31       5        3        10

31. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Regardless of who you may support, between only (Romney) and (Perry), who do you trust more to handle (ITEM)?

10/2/11 - Summary Table

                                                  Both    Neither   No
                                Romney   Perry   (vol.)    (vol.)   op.
a. Social Security                41      34        2        5      19
b. The economy                    44      35        3        5      14
c. Health care                    35      42        1        7      15
d. Immigration                    41      34        1        8      16
e. The federal budget deficit     44      34        2        5      15

32. Say a candidate for president [ITEM]. Would you be (more likely) to vote for a candidate who held this position, (less likely), or wouldn’t it make much difference in your vote? Is that much more/less likely or somewhat more/less likely?

10/2/11 - Summary Table*

a. Thinks public schools should teach creationism or intelligent design alongside evolution as part of the science curriculum. 
b. Sees global warming as a problem that needs to be addressed
c. Wants to repeal the new federal health care law that takes effect over the next few years
d. Favors letting states opt out of the Social Security system and replace it with their own retirement programs
e. Favors increasing the period of time in which people can get unemployment benefits
f. Supports a constitutional amendment banning same-sex marriage 
g. Supports allowing illegal immigrants who graduate from a state high-school to qualify for in-state college tuition
h. Supports allowing undocumented immigrants who graduate from a state high-school to qualify for in-state college tuition
*Full sample asked items a-f; half sample asked item g; other half sample asked item h.

                                          - More likely -   - Less likely -   No   No
                                          NET  Much  Smwt   NET  Smwt  Much  diff  op.
a. Teach creationism                      28    17    11    35    11    24    33    4
b. Sees global warming as problem         44    28    16    21     7    13    34    2
c. Wants to repeal new health care law    43    31    12    29     9    20    21    6
d. Let states opt out Social Security     24    12    12    52    18    34    20    4
e. Extend unemployment benefits           37    20    17    32    16    16    30    2
f. Supports banning same-sex marriage     25    20     5    42     8    35    32    1 
g. (HALF) Supports in-state tuition        
   for illegal immigrants                 18    12     7    50    15    36    29    2
h. (HALF) Supports in-state tuition 
   for undocumented immigrants            21    12     9    51    14    37    27    2

AMONG LEANED REPUBLICANS:
                                          - More likely -   - Less likely -   No   No
                                          NET  Much  Smwt   NET  Smwt  Much  diff  op.
a. Teach creationism                      34    22    12    31    12    18    32    4
b. Sees global warming as problem         27    14    13    36    12    24    36    1
c. Wants to repeal new health care law    67    53    13    15     4    11    13    5
d. Let states opt out Social Security     33    18    16    41    16    25    22    4
e. Extend unemployment benefits           25    12    13    46    21    25    27    2
f. Supports banning same-sex marriage     38    29     9    27     7    20    34    1 
g. (HALF) Supports in-state tuition        
   for illegal immigrants                 12     7     5    63    17    47    23    2
h. (HALF) Supports in-state tuition 
   for undocumented immigrants            11     6     6    69    16    53    18    1

33. Obama has announced that he is running for re-election in 2012. Would you say you will definitely vote for him, you’ll consider voting for him, or you definitely will not vote for him?

               Definitely     Will     Definitely     No 
                  will      consider    will not    opinion
10/2/11            22          30          46          2
10/2/11    RV      23          29          46          2
8/9/11***          20          33          44          2
8/9/11***  RV      21          30          46          2
6/5/11             24          29          45          1
6/5/11     RV      25          27          47          1
4/17/11            28          25          45          2
4/17/11    RV      30          23          46          1
12/12/10*          26          30          43          2
12/12/10*  RV      26          28          44          2
11/23/09**         24          31          41          4
*”If Obama runs...would you...”
**"Thinking ahead to 2012, at this point would you..."
***Washington Post

34. If (NAME) wins the Republican nomination for president would you definitely vote for him in the general election for president in 2012, would you consider voting for him or would you definitely not vote for him?

10/02/11 - Summary Table 

                       Definitely      Would       Definitely       No
                          would       consider      would not     opinion
a. Mitt Romney             19            37            37            7
b. Rick Perry              17            31            44            7

Trend where available:

a. Mitt Romney
                       Definitely      Would       Definitely       No
                          would       consider      would not     opinion
10/2/11                    19            37            37            7
9/30/07                     8            28            57            7
4/15/07                     7            32            54            8

b. No trend.

35. If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Barack Obama, the Democrat) and ([ITEM], the Republican), for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Obama) or toward (ITEM)?

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - GEN POP

10/2/11 - Summary Table
                                     Other    Neither    Would not      No
                      Obama   Rep.   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
a. Mitt Romney          47     46       *         3          1           2
b. Rick Perry           49     44       1         3          2           2
c. Chris Christie       46     44       1         3          2           3

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - REG VOTERS

10/2/11 - Summary Table
                                     Other    Neither    Would not      No
                      Obama   Rep.   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
a. Mitt Romney          46     48       *         2          1           2
b. Rick Perry           49     46       1         2          1           2
c. Chris Christie       45     45       1         3          2           3

Trend where available:

a. Mitt Romney

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - GEN POP

                             Other    Neither    Would not      No
            Obama   Romney   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
10/2/11      47        46       *         3          1           2
9/1/11       46        47       *         2          3           2
7/17/11      51        44       *         2          1           2
6/5/11       47        47       *         2          1           2
4/17/11      49        45       *         3          1           2

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - REG VOTERS

                             Other    Neither    Would not      No
            Obama   Romney   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
10/2/11 RV   46        48       *         2          1           2
9/1/11 RV    45        49       *         2          2           2
7/17/11 RV   49        47       *         2          1           1
6/5/11  RV   46        49       *         2          1           2

b. Rick Perry

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - GEN POP

                               Other    Neither    Would not      No
            Obama    Perry     (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
10/2/11      49        44        1         3          2            2
9/1/11       46        46        *         2          2            3
7/17/11      55        38        *         2          1            4

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - REG VOTERS

                               Other    Neither    Would not      No
            Obama    Perry     (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
10/2/11 RV   49        46        1         2          1            2
9/1/11 RV    46        47        *         2          2            2
7/17/11 RV   53        40        *         2          2            3

c. No trend.

36. Just your best guess, who do you think will win the presidential election next year - (Obama) or (the Republican candidate)?

          Obama   Rep candidate   No opinion
10/2/11    37          55              8

37. What is your view of the Tea Party political movement - would you say you support it strongly, support it somewhat, oppose it somewhat or oppose it strongly?

          -------- Support --------   --------- Oppose --------     No 
          NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
10/2/11   42      12         30       47       20         27        11
9/1/11    47      13         35       45       18         27         8
7/17/11   44      13         31       46       23         24        10
6/5/11    46      13         33       44       21         24        10
4/17/11   42      16         26       49       21         27        10

901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what? IF NOT DEMOCRAT OR REPUBLICAN: Do you lean more towards the (Democratic Party) or (Republican Party)?

              10/2/11
Democrat        32
Republican      25
Independent     37
Other (vol.)     4
No opinion       1

908a. Would you say your views on most political matters are liberal, moderate, or conservative?

                   10/2/11
Liberal               20
Moderate              36
Conservative          41
Don’t think in 
 those terms (vol.)    1
No opinion             1

INCOME. Which of the following CATEGORIES best describes your total annual household income before taxes, from all sources?

                    10/2/11
Less than $50,000     55 
  Less than $20K      21
  $20K to $35K        19
  $35K to $50K        15 
More than $50,000     45
  $50K to $75K        15
  $75K to $100K       12
  $100K+              17 

***END***

© The Washington Post Company