Washington Post-ABC News Poll

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone December 15-18 2011, among a random national sample of 1,005 adults, including landline and cell phone-only respondents. Results for the full sample have a 3.5 point error margin. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

              -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
12/18/11      49       25         24      47       13         34         4
11/3/11       44       22         22      53       15         37         3
10/2/11       42       21         21      54       14         40         4
9/1/11        43       21         22      53       16         38         3
8/9/11*       44       18         26      46        9         37        10
7/17/11       47       25         22      48       14         35         5
6/5/11        47       27         20      49       13         37         4
5/2/11**      56       29         27      38       14         24         6
4/17/11       47       27         21      50       12         37         3
3/13/11       51       27         24      45       12         33         4
1/16/11       54       30         23      43       15         28         3
12/12/10      49       24         25      47       15         32         4
10/28/10      50       27         23      45       11         34         5
10/3/10       50       26         24      47       13         34         3
9/2/10        46       24         22      52       14         38         3
7/11/10       50       28         22      47       12         35         3
6/6/10        52       30         22      45       12         33         4
4/25/10       54       31         23      44       11         33         3
3/26/10       53       34         20      43        8         35         3
2/8/10        51       29         22      46       12         33         3
1/15/10       53       30         24      44       13         32         2
12/13/09      50       31         18      46       13         33         4
11/15/09      56       32         23      42       13         29         2
10/18/09      57       33         23      40       11         29         3
9/12/09       54       35         19      43       12         31         3
8/17/09       57       35         21      40       11         29         3
7/18/09       59       38         22      37        9         28         4
6/21/09       65       36         29      31       10         22         4
4/24/09       69       42         27      26        8         18         4
3/29/09       66       40         26      29        9         20         5
2/22/09       68       43         25      25        8         17         7
*Washington Post
**Washington Post/Pew Research Center

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling [ITEM]? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

12/18/11 - Summary Table

                   -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
                   NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
a. The economy     41       17         24      56       13         43         2
b. Creating jobs   39       17         22      55       13         43         5

Trend:

a. The economy

              -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
12/18/11      41       17         24      56       13         43         2
11/3/11       38       18         20      61       13         48         2
10/2/11       35       17         19      61       13         48         4
9/1/11        36       15         21      62       15         47         2
7/17/11       39       18         22      57       15         43         3
6/5/11        40       20         20      59       10         49         2
5/2/11*       40       18         22      55       16         39         4
4/17/11       42       23         19      57       11         46         2
3/13/11       43       22         21      55       13         41         2
1/16/11       46       22         24      51       13         38         2
12/12/10      43       21         22      54       15         39         3
10/28/10 RV   44       21         23      54       15         39         3
10/3/10       45       22         23      53       13         41         2
9/2/10        41       20         21      57       13         44         2
7/11/10       43       20         23      54       13         41         4
6/6/10        50       26         24      49       12         37         2
4/25/10       49       24         25      49       10         39         2
3/26/10       45       23         22      52       12         40         3
2/8/10        45       22         23      53       15         38         2
1/15/10       47       22         24      52       13         39         1
12/13/09      46       23         24      52       12         40         2
11/15/09      51       26         25      47       12         36         2
10/18/09      50       29         22      48       13         35         1
9/12/09       51       28         24      46       13         33         2
8/17/09       52       27         25      46       13         33         2
7/18/09       52       29         23      46       10         35         3
6/21/09       56       28         28      41       13         27         3
4/24/09       58       31         28      38       13         25         4
3/29/09       60       34         25      38       12         26         3
2/22/09       60       NA         NA      34       NA         NA         6
*Washington Post/Pew Research Center

b. Creating jobs

           -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
12/18/11   39       17         22      55       13         43         5
11/3/11    40       20         20      57       13         44         3
10/2/11    35       17         18      60       14         47         4
9/1/11     36       15         21      62       18         45         2
7/17/11    41       16         25      52       13         39         7
2/8/10     47       25         22      51       15         35         3

3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way [ITEM] are doing their job?

12/18/11 - Summary Table

                                 Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
a. The Democrats in Congress       27          66            7
b. The Republicans in Congress     20          72            7

Trend:

a. The Democrats in Congress

             Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
12/18/11       27          66            7
4/17/11        36          60            4
10/3/10        36          61            3
7/18/09        47          48            5
4/24/09        45          49            6
2/22/09        50          44            6
7/13/08        35          57            8
2/1/08         39          54            7
12/9/07        40          53            6
11/1/07        36          58            6
9/30/07        38          57            5
7/21/07        46          51            2
6/1/07         44          49            6
4/15/07        54          44            2
10/8/06        48          50            3
5/15/06        39          58            4
11/2/05        41          54            5
6/5/05         42          56            3
6/6/99         51          42            7
3/14/99        51          42            7
7/8/97         45          49            6
4/5/95         36          60            4
10/31/94       39          53            8
10/23/94       36          59            5
9/11/94        41          53            6

b. The Republicans in Congress

             Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
12/18/11       20          72            7
9/1/11         28          68            3
4/17/11        34          63            3
10/3/10        30          67            3
7/18/09        36          58            6
4/24/09        30          64            6
2/22/09        38          56            6
7/13/08        25          69            6
2/1/08         30          63            7
12/9/07        32          63            5
11/1/07        32          63            6
9/30/07        29          67            4
7/21/07        34          64            2
6/1/07         36          58            6
4/15/07        39          59            2
10/8/06        35          63            2
5/15/06        33          64            3
11/2/05        35          61            4
6/5/05         42          56            2
6/6/99         41          52            7
3/14/99        40          56            4
7/8/97         40          54            6
9/15/96 RV     46          48            6
6/30/96        38          56            6
4/5/95         45          50            5
10/31/94       33          59            7
10/23/94       31          64            5
9/11/94        35          59            6

4. Who do you trust to do a better job [ITEM] - (Obama) or (the Republicans in Congress)?

12/18/11 - Summary Table
                                                 Both    Neither     No
                                 Obama   Reps   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
a. Handling the economy           44      40       1       13         2
b. Creating jobs                  44      41       1       12         2
c. Protecting the middle class    50      35       1       10         3
d. Handling taxes                 46      41       1       10         2

Trend:

a. Handling the economy

                           Both    Neither     No
           Obama   Reps   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
12/18/11    44      40       1       13         2
11/3/11     42      42       1       12         2
10/2/11     43      42       1       11         2
9/1/11      42      39       1       16         2
6/5/11      42      45       2        9         2
3/13/11     46      34       2       15         4
1/16/11     46      41       3        7         3
12/12/10    44      45       2        7         2
4/25/10     49      38       1        9         2
2/8/10      47      42       1        7         2
12/13/09    48      36       1       12         3
11/15/09    52      37       1        8         1
9/12/09     48      37       1       12         2
7/18/09     56      33       1        9         2
6/21/09     55      31       2        9         2
4/24/09     61      24       2       11         2
3/29/09     58      25       1       14         2
2/22/09     61      26       1        9         3

b. Creating jobs

                           Both    Neither     No
           Obama   Reps   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
12/18/11    44      41       1       12         2
11/3/11     40      40       1       16         4
10/2/11     49      34       1       14         3
9/1/11      40      40       1       17         2
6/5/11      43      42       2       11         2
2/8/10      48      41       2        8         2

c. Protecting the middle class

                           Both    Neither     No
           Obama   Reps   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
12/18/11    50      35       1       10         3
11/3/11     45      41       1       11         2
4/17/11     51      39       1        8         1
1/16/11*    51      37       1        8         3
12/12/10    53      38       1        6         2
*1/16/11 and previous: "Helping the middle class"

d. Handling taxes

                           Both    Neither     No
           Obama   Reps   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
12/18/11    46      41       1       10         2
10/2/11     39      46       1       11         2
4/17/11     47      42       1        8         2
1/16/11     44      42       2        9         4
12/12/10    43      44       1        7         5

5. Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel (optimistic) or (pessimistic) about (ITEM)? Is that very optimistic/pessimistic or somewhat optimistic/pessimistic?

12/18/11 - Summary Table

                         ----- Optimistic ----   ---- Pessimistic ----     No 
                         NET   Very   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Very   opinion
a. The state of the                                                
   national economy      44     14       30      52       25       27       5
b. Your own family's  
   financial situation   61     23       38      35       19       16       4

Trend:

a. The state of the national economy

             ---- Optimistic ----    ---- Pessimistic ----     No 
             NET   Very  Somewhat    NET   Somewhat   Very   opinion
12/18/11     44     14      30       52       25       27       5
4/24/09      55     NA      NA       42       NA       NA       3
2/22/09      48                      50                         2
12/14/08     48                      50                         3
9/29/08      43                      53                         4
4/13/08      40                      58                         2
2/1/08       45                      51                         4
12/9/07      45                      52                         3
12/11/06     64                      33                         3
5/15/06      52                      46                         1
12/18/05     55                      44                         1
9/11/05      51                      46                         2
6/5/05       59                      40                         1
12/19/04     58                      40                         2
6/20/04      64                      34                         2
1/18/04      63      "       "       35        "        "       2  

b. Your own family's financial situation      

             ---- Optimistic ----    ---- Pessimistic ----     No 
             NET   Very  Somewhat    NET   Somewhat   Very   opinion
12/18/11     61     23      38       35       19       16       4
4/24/09      66     NA      NA       31       NA       NA       3
2/22/09      66                      31                         3 
12/14/08     68                      29                         2
9/29/08      61                      34                         5
4/13/08      66                      31                         3
2/1/08       67                      30                         3
12/9/07      72                      25                         3
12/11/06     82                      16                         2
5/15/06      79                      20                         1
12/18/05     73                      26                         1
12/19/04     75      "       "       23        "        "       2

6. On another subject, how closely are you following the 2012 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?

              ---- Closely -----   ---- Not closely -----     No
              NET   Very   Smwt.   NET   Not too   At all   opinion
12/18/11      69     26     43     31       18       13        *
11/3/11       65     24     41     34       17       17        *
10/2/11       64     24     40     36       23       13        0
9/1/11        66     25     40     34       20       14        *
7/17/11       61     18     43     39       23       15        *
6/5/11        61     22     39     38       23       15        *

7. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Overall, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the choice of candidates for the Republican nomination for president next year - are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied?

           ----- Satisfied -----   --- Dissatisfied ----     No
           NET   Very   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Very   opinion
12/18/11   59     11       48      37       27       10       4
11/3/11    59      9       50      36       27        9       5
10/2/11    62      9       54      32       25        7       6
9/1/11     65     15       51      29       21        8       6
7/17/11    54      8       46      38       29       10       8
6/5/11     47      7       40      46       38        9       7
4/17/11    43      5       38      40       30       10      17
11/1/07    69     16       54      28       22        7       2 
9/7/07     68     19       49      26       21        6       5 
7/21/07    65     13       53      32       26        6       3 
6/1/07     68     11       56      28       22        6       4 
4/15/07    65     16       49      31       27        5       3 
2/25/07    73     14       58      24       20        5       3

8. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the 2012 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state. Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?

                                   Less    Will not   No primary/   Already   
                                   than      vote       caucus       voted    No
           Cert.   Prob.   50-50   50-50    (vol.)       (vol.)      (vol.)   op. 
12/18/11    71      14        8      6         1            *          NA      *
2/1/08      68      10        9      8         4            *           1      0
1/12/08     69      12       12      4         3            *           *      0 
12/9/07     74      11        9      3         2            *          NA      *
11/1/07     68      12       11      6         3            0          NA      0

9. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) If the 2012 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state was being held today, and the candidates were (Michele Bachmann), (Newt Gingrich), (Jon Huntsman), (Ron Paul), (Rick Perry), (Mitt Romney), (Rick Santorum). For whom would you vote? Which candidate would you lean toward?

12/18/11 - NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE 

                      ------- Among gen pop ------   --------- Among RVs --------
                      12/18  11/3  10/2  9/1  7/17   12/18  11/3  10/2  9/1  7/17 
Mitt Romney            30     24    25   25    30      30    25    25   25    30    
Newt Gingrich          30     12     7    6     6      30    12     9    5     6    
Ron Paul               15      8    11   10    11      15     9     9   10    10    
Rick Perry              7     13    16   29     8       6    14    17   30     8    
Michele Bachmann        7      4     7    8    16       7     4     7    9    17
Rick Santorum           3      1     2    3     3       4     1     2    3     3    
Jon Huntsman            3      1     1    1     3       2     1     1    1     3    
Herman Cain            NA     23    16    4     7      NA    23    17    5     7    
Tim Pawlenty           NA     NA    NA   NA     3      NA    NA    NA   NA     3    
Other (vol.)            *      *     2    2     1       *     0     2    2     1    
None of them (vol.)     1      2     5    5     2       1     2     4    4     2    
Would not vote (vol.)   *      3     1    2     1       1     1     1    1     *    
No opinion              4      9     7    5     8       4     8     7    5     9

10. (ASKED IF REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE) Will you definitely vote for (NAMED CANDIDATE), or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? (IF CHANCE CHANGE MIND) Is there a GOOD CHANCE you'll change your mind, or would you say it's PRETTY UNLIKELY?

                  Definitely   - Chance change mind-     No 
                     vote      NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
All candidates:
12/18/11              32       64     36       28         4
11/3/11               27       69     45       24         4

Mitt Romney:
12/18/11              36       63     37       25         1
11/3/11               28       71     33       39         1

Newt Gingrich:
12/18/11              29       67     33       34         4

11. (ASKED IF REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE) Who would your second choice be? Which candidate are you leaning toward as your second choice?

12/18/11 - NET LEANED SECOND VOTE PREFERENCE 

                            -- Among gen pop --   --- Among RVs ----
                            12/18/11    11/3/11   12/18/11   11/3/11
Mitt Romney                    21         19         22        21     
Newt Gingrich                  20         13         21        14   
Ron Paul                       12          9         13         9     
Rick Perry                     11         13         10        11 
Michele Bachmann               11          9         10         9
Rick Santorum                   7          2          7         3
Jon Huntsman                    4          5          3         5      
Herman Cain                    NA         17         NA        17
Other (vol.)                    2          1          2         1
No one/None of them (vol.)      5          4          6         4    
Would not vote (vol.)           1          *          1         1 
No opinion                      7          6          5         5

12. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Just your best guess, who do you think will win the Republican nomination for president?

                   12/18/11    
Mitt Romney           40             
Newt Gingrich         35            
Ron Paul               6              
Michele Bachmann       5          
Rick Perry             3          
Jon Huntsman           2              
Rick Santorum          0         
Other (vol.)           *          
No opinion             8          

13. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you think [ITEM]? (IF NEEDED) I can repeat the list. Is it (Michele Bachmann), (Newt Gingrich), (Jon Huntsman), (Ron Paul), (Rick Perry), (Mitt Romney), or (Rick Santorum)?

Full item wording:
a. Best understands the problems of people like you
b. Best reflects the core values of the Republican Party 
c. Is the most honest and trustworthy
d. Has the best chance to defeat Barack Obama in the general election
e. Has the best experience to be president
f. Is the most likely to stand up for what he or she believes in
g. Is better qualified to be commander in chief of the U.S. military

12/18/11 - Summary Table

                           Under-                          Exper-            Commander
                           stands  Values  Honest  Defeat  ience   Believes  in chief
Mitt Romney                  20      23      22      38     23        20        17 
Newt Gingrich                18      23      13      28     43        23        35 
Michele Bachmann             14      13      15       3      4        17         3
Ron Paul                     13      10      14       9      8        16         7 
Rick Perry                    7       7       6       3      5         6         8 
Jon Huntsman                  5       3       5       3      3         3         4 
Rick Santorum                 4       5       7       0      1         4         2 
Other (vol.)                  *       0       0       *      0         *         0 
All of them (vol.)            1       1       1       3      0         2         * 
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)  1       1       1       2      1         2         1 
No one/None of them (vol.)   10       4      12       4      4         1         6 
No opinion                    6      11       5       8      7         6        17 

Trend where available:

a. Best understands the problems of people like you

                             12/18/11   11/3/11   9/1/11   7/17/11 
Mitt Romney                     20        17       13        18    
Newt Gingrich                   18        11        6         4    
Michele Bachmann                14         6        9        11    
Ron Paul                        13         7        8         9    
Rick Perry                       7        11       17         5    
Jon Huntsman                     5         1        1         2    
Rick Santorum                    4         1        2         3    
Herman Cain                     NA        21        3         5    
Sarah Palin                     NA        NA       19        23    
Tim Pawlenty                    NA        NA       NA         1    
Other (vol.)                     *         0        1         1    
All of them (vol.)               1         1        1         1    
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)     1         2        3         1    
No one/None of them (vol.)      10         6        8         4    
No opinion                       6        16       10        12    

b. Best reflects the core values of the Republican Party

                             12/18/11   11/3/11   9/1/11   7/17/11 
Mitt Romney                     23        20        18       19   
Newt Gingrich                   23        19         6        9   
Michele Bachmann                13         5        10       11   
Ron Paul                        10         4         6        8   
Rick Perry                       7        10        19        7   
Rick Santorum                    5         3         4        3   
Jon Huntsman                     3         1         1        1   
Herman Cain                     NA        13         3        4   
Sarah Palin                     NA        NA        12       20   
Tim Pawlenty                    NA        NA        NA        1   
Other (vol.)                     0         0         *        1   
All of them (vol.)               1         1         1        *   
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)     1         2         5        1   
No one/None of them (vol.)       4         2         2        1   
No opinion                      11        20        14       14   

c. Is the most honest and trustworthy

                             12/18/11   11/3/11    
Mitt Romney                     22        17          
Michele Bachmann                15         6           
Ron Paul                        14         8          
Newt Gingrich                   13         8           
Rick Santorum                    7         2           
Rick Perry                       6         7          
Jon Huntsman                     5         2           
Herman Cain                     NA        22          
Other (vol.)                     0         0          
All of them (vol.)               1         1          
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)     1         2            
No one/None of them (vol.)      12         7            
No opinion                       5        17          

d. Has the best chance to defeat Barack Obama in the general election

                             12/18/11   11/3/11   9/1/11   7/17/11 
Mitt Romney                    38         33        20       32   
Newt Gingrich                  28          5         5        6   
Ron Paul                        9          3         4        3   
Michele Bachmann                3          1         4        7   
Rick Perry                      3         11        30        6   
Jon Huntsman                    3          *         1        2   
Rick Santorum                   0          0         1        1   
Herman Cain                    NA         21         1        2   
Sarah Palin                    NA         NA         8       14   
Tim Pawlenty                   NA         NA        NA        2   
Other (vol.)                    *          0         1        1   
All of them (vol.)              3          6         4        7   
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)    2          2         5        2   
None of them (vol.)             4          3         4        4   
No opinion                      8         13        10       11

e. Has the best experience to be president

                             12/18/11   7/17/11    
Newt Gingrich                   43        16           
Mitt Romney                     23        27          
Ron Paul                         8         6          
Rick Perry                       5         8          
Michele Bachmann                 4         7           
Jon Huntsman                     3         2           
Rick Santorum                    1         2
Herman Cain                     NA         3          
Sarah Palin                     NA        11
Tim Pawlenty                    NA         1
Other (vol.)                     0         1          
All of them (vol.)               0         2          
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)     1         1            
No one/None of them (vol.)       4         4            
No opinion                       7        11          

f-g. No trend.

14. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you trust most to handle (ITEM)?

Full item wording:
a. The economy
b. Healthcare
c. Immigration issues
d. Social issues, such as abortion and gay marriage
e. The federal budget deficit

12/18/11 - Summary Table
                                                                  Social
                             Economy   Healthcare   Immigration   issues   Deficit 
Mitt Romney                    31          25           20          26        25 
Newt Gingrich                  25          23           19          15        25 
Ron Paul                       13          14           11          12        15 
Michele Bachmann                7          11           11          13         9
Rick Perry                      7           6           15           7         6 
Jon Huntsman                    3           4            3           3         2 
Rick Santorum                   1           3            4           4         2 
Other (vol.)                    *           *            *           0         0 
All of them (vol.)              *           *            0           *         * 
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)    *           1            *           *         * 
No one/None of them (vol.)      6           5            6           6         8 
No opinion                      7           9           12          12         9 

Trend where available:

Compare to: “which of the Republican candidates do you think would do the best job handling the economy”

                             12/18/11   11/3/11   9/1/11    
Mitt Romney                     31        22        22         
Newt Gingrich                   25        13         7           
Ron Paul                        13         7         8           
Rick Perry                       7        10        22        
Michele Bachmann                 7         4         5
Jon Huntsman                     3         2         *          
Rick Santorum                    1         1         2           
Herman Cain                     NA        19         4           
Sarah Palin                     NA        NA        11           
Other (vol.)                     *         0         2           
All of them (vol.)               *         1         0          
Any 2 or more equally (vol.)     *         2         2          
No one/None of them (vol.)       6         2         4          
No opinion                       7        17        12

15. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Again, regardless of who you may support, do you think (ITEM) has the kind of personality and temperament it takes to serve effectively as president, or not?

12/18/11 – Summary Table

                   Yes   No   No opinion
a. Newt Gingrich   61    33        5 
b. Mitt Romney     67    26        7
c. Ron Paul        37    51       12

Trend where available:

a. Newt Gingrich

           Yes   No   No opinion
12/18/11   61    33        5
6/5/11     50    39       11
6/8/95     37    52       11

b-c. No trend.

16. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) How much do you feel you can rely on (ITEM) to say what he really believes – a great deal, a good amount, just some, or hardly at all?

12/18/11 – Summary Table

                   - Grt deal/Gd amt-   - Some/Hardly at all - 
                         Great   Good          Just     Hardly      No 
                   NET   deal    amt    NET    some     at all    opinion
a. Newt Gingrich   52     21     31     46      31        15         2
b. Mitt Romney     51     16     35     47      34        13         2
c. Ron Paul        65     40     24     28      18        10         7

17. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) If elected, do you think (ITEM) would pursue policies that most people in this country would (accept), or do you think he would pursue policies that most people would (find unacceptable)?

12/18/11 – Summary Table

                                Find         No 
                   Accept   unacceptable   opinion
a. Newt Gingrich     66          28           6
b. Mitt Romney       71          22           7
c. Ron Paul          42          46          12

18. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) For each item I name, please tell me if it is a major reason to (support) that candidate, a major reason to (oppose) that candidate, or not a major factor?

12/18/11 – Summary Table

                                                  Major       Major     Not a   
                                                reason to   reason to   major    No
                                                 support      oppose    factor   op.
a. Mitt Romney’s policies on health care when   
   he was governor of Massachusetts                 28          36        27      9
b. Mitt Romney’s religious beliefs                  18          13        64      5
c. Mitt Romney’s business experience                62           9        24      5
d. Newt Gingrich’s political experience             61          14        20      4
e. Newt Gingrich’s marital history                   4          19        72      5
f. Newt Gingrich’s position on illegal 
   immigration                                      39          19        32      9
g. Ron Paul’s views on limited government           55          19        21      6 
h. Ron Paul’s opposition to U.S. military   
   interventions overseas                           29          45        20      6

19. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Just between (Gingrich) and (Romney), who do you think is closer to you on the issues?

                               Both equally   Neither     No 
           Gingrich   Romney      (vol.)      (vol.)    opinion
12/18/11      45        46           1           3         5

20. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Thinking back to (ITEM), as far as what you’ve heard or recall, would you say you approve or disapprove of how he handled his job? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

a. Gingrich’s work as speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives from 1995 to 1999

           -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
12/18/11   73       30         43      19       11          8         8      

b. Romney’s work as governor of Massachusetts from 2003 to 2007

           -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
12/18/11   68       15         53      19       10          9        13      

21. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Given what you know, do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of (ITEM)? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

a. Gingrich’s work, since leaving elective office, as a consultant for companies with
   an interest in federal policymaking

           ------- Favorable -------   ------ Unfavorable ------     No   
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
12/18/11   33       10         23      44       25         19        23      

b. Romney’s work buying and restructuring companies before he went into politics

           ------- Favorable -------   ------ Unfavorable ------     No   
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
12/18/11   54       22         33      20       13          6        26      

22. If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Barack Obama, the Democrat) and ([ITEM], the Republican), for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Obama) or toward (ITEM)?

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - GEN POP

12/18/11 - Summary Table

                                  Other    Neither    Would not      No
                   Obama   Rep.   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
a. Mitt Romney      49      46       *         2          2           1
b. Newt Gingrich    51      42       1         3          2           1
c. Ron Paul         50      43       *         3          2           1

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - REG VOTERS

12/18/11 - Summary Table

                                  Other    Neither    Would not      No
                   Obama   Rep.   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
a. Mitt Romney      47      47       *         2          2           1
b. Newt Gingrich    51      43       *         3          2           1
c. Ron Paul         49      44       *         4          2           1

Trend:

a. Mitt Romney

                              Other    Neither    Would not      No
             Obama   Romney   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
12/18/11      49       46        *         2          2           1
11/3/11       48       45        *         3          2           1
10/2/11       47       46        *         3          1           2
9/1/11        46       47        *         2          3           2
7/17/11       51       44        *         2          1           2
6/5/11        47       47        *         2          1           2
4/17/11       49       45        *         3          1           2

12/18/11 RV   47       47        *         2          2           1
11/3/11  RV   46       47        *         3          2           1
10/2/11  RV   46       48        *         2          1           2
9/1/11   RV   45       49        *         2          2           2
7/17/11  RV   49       47        *         2          1           1
6/5/11   RV   46       49        *         2          1           2
4/17/11  RV   49       45        *         3          1           1

b. Newt Gingrich

                                Other    Neither    Would not      No
             Obama   Gingrich   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
12/18/11      51        42        1         3          2            1
6/5/11        52        42        1         3          1            1
4/17/11       54        39        *         3          2            1

12/18/11 RV   51        43        *         3          2            1
6/5/11   RV   50        44        1         2          1            2
4/17/11  RV   54        39        *         4          2            1

c. Ron Paul

                              Other    Neither    Would not      No
             Obama    Paul    (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
12/18/11      50       43        *         3          2           1
7/17/11       53       41        *         2          1           3

12/18/11 RV   49       44        *         4          2           1
7/17/11  RV   52       42        *         2          2           2

23. Just your best guess, who do you think will win the presidential election next year - (Obama) or (the Republican candidate)?

           Obama   Rep candidate   No opinion
12/18/11    46          49              5
10/2/11     37          55              8

24. How about if the candidates were (Barack Obama, the Democrat) and ([ITEM], the Republican), and Ron Paul running as an independent candidate for president - for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Obama), ([ITEM]), or toward Paul?

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – GEN POP

12/18/11 - Summary Table
                                       Other    Neither    Would not      No
                 Obama   Rep.   Paul   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
a. Mitt Romney    44      30     21      *         2          1            2
b. Newt Gingrich  44      30     22      *         2          *            2

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – REG VOTERS

12/18/11 - Summary Table
                                       Other    Neither    Would not      No
                 Obama   Rep.   Paul   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
a. Mitt Romney    42      32     21       *         2          1            2
b. Newt Gingrich  43      32     21       *         2          *            1

25. On another subject, what is your view of the Tea Party political movement - would you say you support it strongly, support it somewhat, oppose it somewhat or oppose it strongly?

           -------- Support --------   --------- Oppose --------     No 
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
12/18/11   42      13         28       45       20         26        13
11/3/11    43      14         29       44       20         24        13
10/2/11    42      12         30       47       20         27        11
9/1/11     47      13         35       45       18         27         8
7/17/11    44      13         31       46       23         24        10
6/5/11     46      13         33       44       21         24        10
4/17/11    42      16         26       49       21         27        10

901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what?

                   12/18/11
Democrat              32
Republican            25
Independent           37
Other (vol.)           5
No opinion             2

908a. Would you say your views on most political matters are liberal, moderate, or conservative?

                   12/18/11
Liberal               23
Moderate              36
Conservative          37
Don’t think in 
 those terms (vol.)    2
No opinion             2

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