Washington Post-ABC News Poll
This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone Oct. 18-21, 2012, among a random national sample of 1,765 adults, including landline and cell phone-only respondents. Results for the sample of 1,376 likely voters have a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.
RV = registered voters; LV=likely voters
*= less than 0.5 percent
1. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) How closely are you following the 2012 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not so closely, or not closely at all?
---- Closely ----- ---- Not closely ----- No
NET Very Smwt NET Not so At all opinion
10/21/12 LV 92 64 28 8 5 3 *
10/21/12 RV 87 58 29 8 7 6 1
10/13/12 LV 93 60 33 6 4 2 *
10/13/12 RV 88 54 34 11 6 5 1
9/29/12 RV 86 47 39 14 8 6 0
9/9/12 RV 80 44 36 19 11 9 *
5/20/12 RV 82 38 44 18 9 8 *
2/4/12* RV 79 37 43 20 12 8 *
1/15/12 RV 76 33 43 24 14 10 *
12/18/11 69 26 43 31 18 13 *
11/3/11 65 24 41 34 17 17 *
10/2/11 64 24 40 36 23 13 0
9/1/11 66 25 40 34 20 14 *
7/17/11 61 18 43 39 23 15 *
6/5/11 61 22 39 38 23 15 *
11/3/08 RV 91 64 28 8 5 4 *
11/2/08 RV 90 63 28 9 5 4 *
11/1/08 RV 90 61 29 10 6 4 *
10/31/08 RV 89 60 29 11 7 4 *
10/30/08 RV 89 59 29 11 7 4 *
10/29/08 RV 89 60 30 10 6 4 *
10/28/08 RV 90 59 31 10 6 4 *
10/27/08 RV 91 60 31 9 5 4 *
10/26/08 RV 90 60 30 9 5 4 *
10/25/08 RV 89 59 30 11 6 5 *
10/24/08 RV 89 60 28 11 6 5 *
10/23/08 RV 88 58 30 12 6 6 *
10/22/08 RV 89 57 32 11 6 5 *
10/21/08 RV 90 58 32 10 6 4 *
10/20/08 RV 90 57 34 10 6 4 *
10/19/08 RV 90 57 33 10 6 3 *
10/11/08 RV 92 59 33 8 4 4 *
9/29/08 RV 89 58 31 11 7 5 *
9/22/08 RV 91 55 36 9 5 4 0
9/7/08 RV 89 51 38 10 6 5 *
8/22/08 RV 84 42 42 16 11 5 *
7/13/08 RV 79 36 42 21 12 9 1
6/15/08 75 34 41 25 12 13 *
5/11/08 83 39 44 17 13 5 0
4/13/08 84 37 47 16 11 5 *
3/2/08 84 42 42 15 11 4 *
2/1/08 81 35 46 19 12 7 *
1/12/08 79 32 47 21 15 6 *
12/9/07 72 21 51 28 19 8 *
11/1/07 67 21 46 33 22 12 0
9/30/07 69 21 48 30 21 10 *
7/21/07 70 22 48 30 20 10 *
6/1/07 66 18 48 34 22 13 *
4/15/07 66 20 45 34 20 14 *
2/25/07 65 20 44 35 25 10 *
10/31/04 RV 90 58 32 9 6 3 *
10/30/04 RV 90 59 31 9 6 3 1
10/29/04 RV 90 58 32 9 6 3 *
10/28/04 RV 90 58 32 9 6 3 *
10/27/04 RV 90 57 33 9 6 3 *
10/26/04 RV 89 55 34 10 6 4 *
10/25/04 RV 89 55 34 10 6 4 *
10/24/04 RV 90 54 36 10 7 3 *
10/23/04 RV 90 54 36 10 7 3 *
10/22/04 RV 90 54 36 10 7 3 *
10/21/04 RV 90 55 35 11 8 3 *
10/20/04 RV 89 55 34 10 7 3 *
10/19/04 RV 87 54 33 12 8 4 1
10/18/04 RV 88 52 36 11 7 4 *
10/17/04 RV 89 52 37 12 7 5 *
10/16/04 RV 88 53 35 12 7 5 *
10/15/04 RV 87 53 34 12 7 5 *
10/14/04 RV 87 52 35 13 8 5 *
10/13/04 RV 88 52 36 13 8 5 *
10/12/04 RV 88 52 36 11 7 4 *
10/11/04 RV 88 53 35 12 8 4 *
10/10/04 RV 87 52 35 12 8 4 *
10/9/04 RV 88 52 36 12 8 4 *
10/8/04 RV 88 53 35 12 8 4 *
10/7/04 RV 88 53 35 12 8 4 1
10/6/04 RV 88 51 37 12 8 4 *
10/5/04 RV 88 50 38 12 7 5 *
10/4/04 RV 88 49 39 12 7 5 *
10/3/04 RV 87 48 39 12 7 5 *
9/26/04 RV 87 48 39 12 8 4 1
9/8/04 RV 85 45 40 14 10 4 1
8/29/04 RV 81 43 38 20 13 7 *
8/1/04 RV 80 41 39 20 13 7 *
7/25/04 73 34 39 27 15 12 *
6/20/04 78 33 45 22 15 7 *
5/23/04 74 33 41 26 17 9 *
4/18/04 75 30 45 25 16 9 0
3/7/04 75 33 42 25 18 7 *
2/11/04 75 30 45 25 15 10 *
1/18/04 66 22 44 35 22 13 *
10/29/03 54 15 39 45 30 15 0
9/13/03 56 16 40 44 27 17 *
11/6/00 LV 92 54 38 8 6 2 *
11/5/00 LV 91 53 38 8 6 2 *
11/4/00 LV 91 52 39 9 7 2 *
11/3/00 LV 91 51 40 9 6 3 *
11/2/00 LV 90 48 42 10 7 3 *
11/1/00 LV 91 48 43 9 7 2 *
10/31/00 LV 90 46 44 9 7 2 *
10/30/00 LV 91 47 44 9 7 2 *
10/29/00 LV 90 47 43 10 7 3 *
10/28/00 LV 89 47 42 10 7 3 *
10/27/00 LV 89 48 41 11 7 4 *
10/26/00 LV 89 47 42 11 8 3 *
10/25/00 LV 89 47 42 11 8 3 0
10/24/00 LV 87 44 43 13 10 3 0
10/23/00 LV 89 44 45 11 8 3 0
10/22/00 LV 88 44 44 12 9 3 0
10/21/00 LV 87 46 41 13 9 4 *
10/20/00 LV 86 46 40 15 11 4 *
10/19/00 LV 85 44 41 14 10 4 *
10/18/00 LV 87 42 45 13 10 3 *
10/17/00 LV 86 40 46 13 10 3 *
10/15/00 RV 77 33 44 23 15 8 *
10/9/00 RV 75 30 45 25 16 9 *
10/1/00 RV 75 27 48 25 17 8 *
9/6/00 RV 74 26 48 26 17 9 *
8/20/00 RV 74 28 46 26 16 10 1
8/10/00 RV 72 29 43 29 18 11 *
8/6/00 53 17 36 47 22 25 *
7/29/00 51 16 35 49 25 24 *
7/23/00 50 14 36 50 25 25 *
6/11/00 49 13 36 51 26 25 0
4/2/00 53 17 36 47 24 23 0
3/11/00 61 21 40 38 21 17 0
2/27/00 70 24 46 30 20 10 *
2/6/00 65 19 48 34 21 13 0
1/16/00 50 11 39 50 26 24 *
12/15/99 45 12 33 55 31 24 *
10/31/99 61 16 45 38 25 13 *
7/17/95 36 7 29 63 33 31 *
7/8/92 76 28 48 24 16 8 *
1/27/92 51 14 37 48 25 23 1
10/10/88 RV 77 31 46 23 17 6 -
8/18/88 RV 68 26 42 31 20 11 0
8/15/88 RV 70 27 43 31 19 12 0
5/25/88 76 25 51 25 19 6 *
9/23/87 50 9 41 49 31 18 *
6/1/87 50 11 39 49 32 17 *
*2/4/12 and previous "not too closely" instead of "not so closely"
2. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?
Don't think Already
Certain Probably Chances Less than will vote voted No
to vote vote 50/50 that (vol.) (vol.) op.
10/21/12 RV 84 6 4 2 * 4 *
10/13/12 RV 85 7 4 1 1 1 1
9/29/12 RV 84 7 7 2 * 0 *
9/9/12 RV 83 7 6 4 * NA 0
8/25/12 RV 81 8 6 3 1 NA *
7/8/12 RV 81 9 8 2 * NA *
11/3/08 RV 68 4 3 2 1 22 *
11/2/08 RV 69 4 3 2 1 20 *
11/1/08 RV 71 5 3 2 * 19 *
10/31/08 RV 73 5 3 1 1 16 *
10/30/08 RV 74 6 4 1 * 15 *
10/29/08 RV 76 5 4 1 1 13 1
10/28/08 RV 77 6 4 1 1 11 1
10/27/08 RV 76 6 4 1 1 11 1
10/26/08 RV 78 6 4 1 1 10 *
10/25/08 RV 78 5 5 2 1 10 *
10/24/08 RV 79 5 5 2 1 8 *
10/23/08 RV 80 5 5 2 1 6 *
10/22/08 RV 81 5 5 2 1 5 *
10/21/08 RV 82 6 5 2 1 4 *
10/20/08 RV 81 6 5 3 1 4 *
10/19/08 RV 83 6 5 3 1 4 *
10/11/08 RV 87 5 4 1 * 2 0
9/29/08 RV 87 6 5 1 1 NA *
9/22/08 RV 89 6 4 1 * NA *
9/7/08 RV 85 7 5 1 1 NA *
8/22/08 RV 84 10 4 2 * NA *
7/13/08 RV 79 10 7 3 2 NA 0
6/15/08 71 9 8 7 4 NA *
3/2/08 78 9 7 4 2 NA *
10/31/04 RV 76 6 3 1 1 12 *
10/30/04 RV 78 6 3 1 1 11 *
10/29/04 RV 79 5 3 1 1 11 *
10/28/04 RV 80 5 4 2 * 10 *
10/27/04 RV 81 5 3 2 1 8 *
10/26/04 RV 81 5 3 2 1 8 *
10/25/04 RV 81 6 3 2 1 7 *
10/24/04 RV 82 7 3 2 1 6 *
10/23/04 RV 82 7 3 1 1 6 *
10/22/04 RV 82 7 4 1 * 5 *
10/21/04 RV 82 7 5 1 * 4 *
10/20/04 RV 83 6 4 1 1 4 *
10/19/04 RV 83 6 5 2 1 3 *
10/18/04 RV 84 7 5 2 * 2 *
10/17/04 RV 84 7 5 2 * 2 *
10/16/04 RV 86 6 4 2 * 1 *
10/15/04 RV 87 6 4 2 * 1 *
10/14/04 RV 87 6 3 2 * 1 *
10/13/04 RV 86 7 3 1 1 1 *
10/12/04 RV 87 7 3 1 1 1 *
10/11/04 RV 88 7 3 1 * * *
10/10/04 RV 90 6 2 1 * * 1
10/9/04 RV 90 6 2 1 * * *
10/8/04 RV 90 5 3 1 * * *
10/7/04 RV 89 6 3 1 * * *
10/6/04 RV 87 7 4 1 * * *
10/5/04 RV 87 7 4 1 1 * *
10/4/04 RV 87 8 4 1 1 * *
10/3/04 RV 87 8 3 1 1 * 1
9/26/04 RV 87 8 4 1 * NA *
9/8/04 RV 87 7 4 1 1 *
8/29/04 RV 84 10 4 2 * 0
8/1/04 RV 85 9 4 1 1 *
7/25/04 RV 85 7 5 2 * *
10/29/03 70 12 11 6 1 0
10/15/00 RV 82 10 6 2 1 *
10/9/00 RV 81 10 6 2 * *
10/1/00 RV 81 10 5 3 1 *
9/6/00 RV 78 12 5 3 1 *
8/20/00 RV 78 13 6 3 1 0
8/10/00 RV 79 12 6 1 1 *
8/6/00 64 12 11 8 5 *
7/29/00 61 15 9 11 3 *
7/23/00 59 17 10 11 4 *
6/11/00 60 13 11 10 4 *
5/10/00 63 15 10 8 4 1
4/2/00 62 14 9 9 5 *
3/11/00 63 14 9 9 4 *
2/27/00 69 12 10 4 5 *
2/6/00 67 12 10 8 3 *
1/16/00 65 14 10 6 4 *
12/15/99 64 13 8 9 6 1
10/31/99 72 11 10 5 3 " *
3. (IF CERTAIN TO VOTE) Do you think you'll (vote in person at your polling place on Election Day), or (vote before Election Day by early voting or mail-in ballot)?
Vote Early voting/ Already
in person mail-in ballot voted (vol.) No opinion
10/21/12 RV 66 27 5 2
10/13/12 RV 67 30 2 1
11/2/08 RV 63 11 25 *
11/1/08 RV 63 13 23 *
10/31/08 RV 63 16 20 1
10/30/08 RV 64 17 18 1
10/29/08 RV 65 18 16 1
10/28/08 RV 65 19 15 1
10/27/08 RV 66 18 15 1
10/26/08 RV 67 18 14 1
10/25/08 RV 68 18 13 1
10/24/08 RV 69 19 11 1
10/23/08 RV 68 20 11 1
10/22/08 RV 66 20 13 1
4. (IF CERTAIN TO VOTE) If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats) and (Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans), for whom would you vote? Which candidates are you leaning toward, (Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats) or (Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans)? (ASKED IF ALREADY VOTED) For whom did you vote?
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - among likely voters
Other Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) opinion
10/21/12 LV 49 48 * 2 1
10/13/12 LV 49 46 1 1 2
9/29/12 LV 49 47 * 2 1
9/9/12 LV 49 48 * 1 2
8/25/12 LV 47 49 1 1 1
7/8/12* LV 50 47 * 2 2
*7/18/12: "Barack Obama, the Democrat" and "Mitt Romney, the Republican"
Compare to:
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - among registered voters
Other Neither Would not No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
10/13/12 RV 50 43 1 3 * 3
9/29/12 RV 49 44 1 3 1 1
9/9/12 RV 50 44 1 2 1 2
8/25/12 RV 46 47 2 3 2 1
7/8/12* RV 47 47 * 2 * 4
5/20/12 RV 49 46 * 3 1 1
4/8/12 RV 51 44 * 2 3 1
3/10/12 RV 47 49 * 1 2 2
2/4/12 RV 51 45 * 1 1 1
1/15/12 RV 46 48 * 2 2 2
12/18/11 RV 47 47 * 2 2 1
11/3/11 RV 46 47 * 3 2 1
10/2/11 RV 46 48 * 2 1 2
9/1/11 RV 45 49 * 2 2 2
7/17/11 RV 49 47 * 2 1 1
6/5/11 RV 46 49 * 2 1 2
4/17/11 RV 49 45 * 3 1 1
*7/18/12 and prior: "Barack Obama, the Democrat" and "Mitt Romney, the Republican".
5. (IF SUPPORT OBAMA OR ROMNEY) Will you definitely vote for (NAMED CANDIDATE – OBAMA/ROMNEY), or just probably?
Definitely Probably No
vote for vote for opinion
10/21/12 LV 91 9 *
Compare to: (IF SUPPORT OBAMA OR ROMNEY) Will you definitely vote for (OBAMA/ROMNEY),
or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for (CANDIDATE NOT NAMED)?
(IF CHANCE CHANGE MIND) Would you say (there's a good chance) you'll change your mind,
or would you say (it's pretty unlikely)?
Definitely - Chance change mind - No
vote for NET Good Unlikely opinion
10/13/12 LV 90 9 2 7 1
10/13/12 RV 89 10 2 8 1
9/29/12 RV 86 13 3 10 1
9/9/12 RV 85 13 4 8 2
8/25/12 RV 83 15 6 9 2
7/8/12* RV 79 19 6 13 2
11/3/08 LV 94 5 2 3 1
11/2/08 LV 94 5 2 3 1
11/1/08 LV 94 6 2 3 1
10/31/08 LV 93 7 3 4 1
10/30/08 LV 93 7 2 4 1
10/29/08 LV 92 7 3 5 1
10/28/08 LV 91 9 3 5 *
10/27/08 LV 91 9 3 5 *
10/26/08 LV 91 9 3 6 *
10/25/08 LV 91 9 3 6 *
10/24/08 LV 91 9 4 5 1
10/23/08 LV 91 9 4 5 1
10/22/08 LV 90 9 4 5 1
10/21/08 LV 89 10 5 5 1
10/20/08 LV 89 10 4 6 1
10/19/08 LV 88 10 5 6 1
10/11/08 LV 88 11 4 7 1
9/29/08 RV 82 17 8 9 1
9/22/08 RV 83 16 8 8 1
9/7/08 RV 79 20 8 12 1
8/22/08 RV 73 24 11 13 3
7/13/08 RV 72 25 10 15 3
6/15/08 RV 72 26 11 16 2
5/11/08 RV 69 28 15 14 3
10/31/04 LV 94 5 2 3 1
10/30/04 LV 93 6 2 4 1
10/29/04 LV 93 7 2 4 1
10/28/04 LV 92 7 3 5 *
10/27/04 LV 92 7 3 5 *
10/26/04 LV 91 8 3 6 1
10/25/04 LV 92 8 2 5 1
10/24/04 LV 91 8 3 5 1
10/23/04 LV 91 9 3 6 1
10/22/04 LV 91 8 3 5 1
10/21/04 LV 91 8 3 5 1
10/20/04 LV 91 8 3 5 1
10/19/04 LV 91 8 3 5 1
10/18/04 LV 90 9 3 6 1
10/17/04 LV 90 9 3 6 1
10/16/04 LV 89 10 5 6 1
10/15/04 LV 89 11 4 6 1
10/14/04 LV 88 12 4 7 1
10/13/04 LV 87 12 5 7 1
10/12/04 LV 86 13 5 7 1
10/11/04 LV 86 13 6 7 1
10/10/04 LV 86 13 6 7 1
10/9/04 LV 87 12 5 7 1
10/8/04 LV 88 11 4 7 1
10/7/04 LV 90 10 4 6 1
10/6/04 LV 88 11 4 7 1
10/5/04 LV 87 13 5 7 1
10/4/04 LV 86 14 6 8 1
10/3/04 LV 86 12 6 7 1
9/26/04 RV 82 16 4 12 2
9/8/04 RV 84 14 6 8 2
8/29/04 RV 81 18 7 11 1
8/1/04 RV 80 19 7 12 1
7/25/04 RV 78 20 7 13 2
7/11/04 RV 79 21 7 13 1
6/20/04 RV 73 26 12 14 *
*7/8/12 and prior: "Will you definitely vote for (NAMED CANDIDATE), or is there
a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else?"
2012 election:
Obama:
Definitely Probably No
vote for vote for opinion
10/21/12 LV 91 8 *
Compare to:
Definitely - Chance change mind - No
vote for NET Good Unlikely opinion
10/13/12 LV 89 10 1 9 1
10/13/12 RV 87 12 2 10 1
9/29/12 RV 84 15 5 10 1
9/9/12 RV 86 11 4 7 3
8/25/12 RV 84 14 6 8 2
7/8/12 RV 81 17 4 13 2
Romney:
Definitely Probably No
vote for vote for opinion
10/21/12 LV 90 9 *
Compare to:
Definitely - Chance change mind - No
vote for NET Good Unlikely opinion
10/13/12 LV 91 7 2 6 1
10/13/12 RV 90 8 2 6 1
9/29/12 RV 88 12 1 10 1
9/9/12 RV 85 14 5 9 *
8/25/12 RV 82 16 5 10 3
7/8/12 RV 77 21 8 13 2
2008 election:
Definitely - Chance change mind - No
vote for NET Good Unlikely opinion
Obama:
11/3/08 LV 95 5 2 3 *
11/2/08 LV 94 5 2 3 1
11/1/08 LV 95 5 2 3 *
10/31/08 LV 94 6 2 4 *
10/30/08 LV 94 6 1 4 1
10/29/08 LV 94 6 1 5 *
10/28/08 LV 92 7 2 5 *
10/27/08 LV 92 7 2 5 *
10/26/08 LV 92 8 3 5 *
10/25/08 LV 93 7 3 4 *
10/24/08 LV 92 7 3 4 *
10/23/08 LV 91 8 4 4 1
10/22/08 LV 90 8 3 5 1
10/21/08 LV 89 9 4 6 1
10/20/08 LV 90 9 3 6 1
10/19/08 LV 91 9 3 5 1
10/11/08 LV 90 9 3 6 1
9/29/08 RV 83 16 7 9 1
9/22/08 RV 85 14 8 7 1
9/7/08 RV 78 21 9 12 1
8/22/08 RV 74 23 7 15 4
7/13/08 RV 72 23 9 14 5
6/15/08 RV 71 26 7 19 3
5/11/08 RV 71 25 13 13 4
McCain:
11/3/08 LV 94 5 3 3 1
11/2/08 LV 93 6 3 3 1
11/1/08 LV 93 7 3 3 1
10/31/08 LV 91 8 4 4 1
10/30/08 LV 91 8 3 5 1
10/29/08 LV 90 9 4 5 1
10/28/08 LV 89 10 4 6 1
10/27/08 LV 90 10 4 6 *
10/26/08 LV 89 11 4 7 *
10/25/08 LV 88 11 3 8 1
10/24/08 LV 89 10 4 6 1
10/23/08 LV 90 10 4 5 1
10/22/08 LV 90 9 4 5 1
10/21/08 LV 89 11 5 5 1
10/20/08 LV 89 11 5 5 1
10/19/08 LV 86 12 6 6 1
10/11/08 LV 86 14 4 9 *
9/29/08 RV 81 18 9 9 1
9/22/08 RV 81 18 9 9 2
9/7/08 RV 80 19 8 11 2
8/22/08 RV 72 25 14 11 2
7/13/08 RV 71 28 12 17 1
6/15/08 RV 72 27 14 12 1
5/11/08 RV 66 32 17 15 2
2004 election:
Definitely - Chance change mind - No
vote for NET Good Unlikely opinion
Kerry:
10/31/04 LV 93 6 2 3 1
10/30/04 LV 93 6 2 4 1
10/29/04 LV 94 5 2 3 1
10/28/04 LV 94 6 3 3 *
10/27/04 LV 94 5 2 3 *
10/26/04 LV 93 7 2 4 1
10/25/04 LV 92 7 2 5 *
10/24/04 LV 92 8 2 6 *
10/23/04 LV 91 9 2 7 *
10/22/04 LV 92 8 2 6 *
10/21/04 LV 93 7 2 5 *
10/20/04 LV 94 5 1 4 1
10/19/04 LV 94 6 1 4 1
10/18/04 LV 90 10 3 7 *
10/17/04 LV 89 11 4 7 *
10/16/04 LV 86 13 6 7 1
10/15/04 LV 88 11 5 6 1
10/14/04 LV 88 11 5 7 1
10/13/04 LV 87 12 4 8 1
10/12/04 LV 86 13 5 8 1
10/11/04 LV 85 14 6 8 1
10/10/04 LV 86 13 6 7 1
10/9/04 LV 88 12 6 6 1
10/8/04 LV 88 11 5 6 1
10/7/04 LV 90 9 4 5 *
10/6/04 LV 88 11 4 7 1
10/5/04 LV 87 12 4 8 1
10/4/04 LV 86 13 4 9 1
10/3/04 LV 86 13 5 8 2
9/26/04 RV 84 15 3 13 1
9/8/04 RV 81 16 6 10 3
8/29/04 RV 81 18 6 12 1
8/1/04 RV 83 16 5 11 1
7/25/04 RV 80 18 5 13 2
7/11/04 RV 80 19 7 13 1
6/20/04 RV 74 26 12 13 1
G.W. Bush:
10/31/04 LV 95 5 2 3 1
10/30/04 LV 94 6 2 4 *
10/29/04 LV 92 7 2 5 1
10/28/04 LV 91 9 3 6 *
10/27/04 LV 91 9 2 7 *
10/26/04 LV 90 9 2 7 *
10/25/04 LV 92 7 2 5 1
10/24/04 LV 93 6 2 4 1
10/23/04 LV 92 7 2 5 1
10/22/04 LV 92 7 2 4 1
10/21/04 LV 91 8 3 4 1
10/20/04 LV 90 9 4 5 1
10/19/04 LV 91 9 4 5 1
10/18/04 LV 91 8 3 5 1
10/17/04 LV 92 7 2 5 1
10/16/04 LV 92 8 3 5 1
10/15/04 LV 91 9 3 6 *
10/14/04 LV 89 10 3 7 *
10/13/04 LV 89 11 4 7 1
10/12/04 LV 88 11 5 6 1
10/11/04 LV 88 11 5 5 1
10/10/04 LV 88 12 5 6 1
10/9/04 LV 88 11 5 6 1
10/8/04 LV 89 10 3 7 1
10/7/04 LV 89 10 3 7 1
10/6/04 LV 88 11 4 7 1
10/5/04 LV 87 12 5 7 1
10/4/04 LV 87 12 6 6 1
10/3/04 LV 88 11 5 6 1
9/26/04 RV 83 15 5 10 2
9/8/04 RV 88 11 5 6 1
8/29/04 RV 82 16 7 10 1
8/1/04 RV 79 20 7 13 1
7/25/04 RV 80 19 7 12 1
7/11/04 RV 78 22 8 14 *
6/20/04 RV 80 20 8 12 *
2000 election:
Definitely - Chance change mind - No
vote for NET Good Unlikely opinion
Gore:
11/6/00 LV 92 3 4 1
11/5/00 LV 91 4 5 *
11/4/00 LV 90 4 6 *
11/3/00 LV 88 5 6 1
11/2/00 LV 84 7 9 1
11/1/00 LV 83 7 9 1
10/31/00 LV 83 6 11 1
10/30/00 LV 88 4 8 0
10/29/00 LV 88 5 7 *
10/28/00 LV 88 5 6 1
10/27/00 LV 85 6 8 1
10/26/00 LV 85 6 8 1
10/25/00 LV 84 7 8 1
10/24/00 LV 83 7 8 1
10/23/00 LV 83 7 9 1
10/22/00 LV 80 7 11 1
10/21/00 LV 80 8 10 1
10/20/00 LV 78 10 11 2
10/19/00 LV 80 8 9 2
10/18/00 LV 80 8 9 3
10/17/00 LV 80 8 9 3
10/15/00 RV 75 23 10 13 3
10/9/00 RV 71 25 10 15 4
10/1/00 RV 68 31 15 15 2
9/6/00 RV 69 29 11 18 2
8/20/00 RV 71 27 9 18 2
8/6/00 RV 65 32 14 18 3
7/23/00 58 41 15 26 2
G.W. Bush:
11/6/00 LV 92 3 4 1
11/5/00 LV 91 3 4 2
11/4/00 LV 89 4 5 2
11/3/00 LV 88 5 6 2
11/2/00 LV 88 5 6 1
11/1/00 LV 90 5 5 1
10/31/00 LV 89 5 4 1
10/30/00 LV 87 5 7 1
10/29/00 LV 87 5 6 1
10/28/00 LV 86 6 7 1
10/27/00 LV 88 6 6 1
10/26/00 LV 86 5 8 1
10/25/00 LV 86 4 9 *
10/24/00 LV 85 5 10 1
10/23/00 LV 85 6 8 1
10/22/00 LV 86 5 8 1
10/21/00 LV 87 5 7 1
10/20/00 LV 86 4 9 1
10/19/00 LV 85 6 9 1
10/18/00 LV 84 6 9 1
10/17/00 LV 83 8 8 0
10/15/00 RV 76 24 12 12 1
10/9/00 RV 72 25 11 14 3
10/1/00 RV 71 27 14 13 2
9/6/00 RV 70 29 13 16 1
8/20/00 RV 68 31 12 20 1
8/6/00 RV 68 30 14 16 1
7/23/00 63 35 14 22 2
1992 election:
Compare to: Will you definitely vote for (NAMED CANDIDATE) in November, or is there at least a chance you'll change your mind before then?
Definitely Chance No
vote for change mind opinion
Clinton:
10/27/92 LV 82 17 1
10/4/92 LV 75 25 0
9/27/92 LV 76 24 0
G.H.W. Bush:
10/27/92 LV 81 18 1
10/4/92 LV 73 26 0
9/27/92 LV 67 33 0
1988 election:
Definitely Chance No
vote for change mind opinion
Dukakis:
10/31/88 LV 85 14 0
10/25/88 LV 82 16 2
10/18/88 LV 75 22 4
10/12/88 LV 78 21 1
10/9/88 LV 77 22 1
10/4/88 LV 74 25 1
9/27/88 LV 71 26 3
9/19/88 RV 75 24 1
G.H.W. Bush:
10/31/88 LV 81 18 0
10/25/88 LV 80 18 1
10/18/88 LV 80 18 2
10/12/88 LV 78 21 1
10/9/88 LV 75 23 1
10/4/88 LV 68 30 2
9/27/88 LV 67 31 2
9/19/88 RV 68 31 1
6. (IF SUPPORT/VOTED OBAMA OR ROMNEY) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting (Obama/Romney), somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?
---- Enthusiastic --- --- Not enthusiastic ---- No
NET Very Somewhat NET Not so Not at all opinion
10/21/12 LV 95 61 33 5 4 1 *
10/13/12 LV 94 61 33 5 4 1 1
10/13/12 RV 93 57 36 6 5 2 1
9/29/12 RV 89 49 40 11 6 4 *
9/9/12 RV 90 51 39 9 5 5 *
8/25/12 RV 85 45 40 14 10 4 1
7/8/12 RV 88 44 44 12 8 4 *
5/20/12 RV 84 39 45 16 9 6 *
Obama:
10/21/12 LV 96 64 32 4 3 1 *
10/13/12 LV 95 60 35 4 4 1 *
10/13/12 RV 94 55 40 5 4 1 1
9/29/12 RV 91 51 40 9 7 2 0
9/9/12 RV 93 56 38 7 3 3 0
8/25/12 RV 88 48 39 11 7 4 1
7/8/12 RV 91 51 40 8 5 3 1
5/20/12 RV 93 51 41 7 4 4 0
Romney:
10/21/12 LV 93 58 35 6 5 1 1
10/13/12 LV 93 62 31 7 4 2 1
10/13/12 RV 92 59 33 8 5 2 1
9/29/12 RV 87 48 39 13 6 7 *
9/9/12 RV 87 46 40 13 7 6 1
8/25/12 RV 83 42 41 17 12 4 *
7/8/12 RV 85 38 47 15 11 4 *
5/20/12 RV 75 26 48 25 15 9 1
Compare to: Thinking about his candidacy for president so far, how enthusiastic
are you about [NAME] - very enthusiastic, fairly enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic,
or not enthusiastic at all?
2008 election:
--- Enthusiastic -- ---- Not enthusiastic ---- No
NET Very Fairly NET Not too Not at all opinion
Obama:
11/3/08 LV 97 68 29 2 1 1 *
11/2/08 LV 96 67 29 4 2 1 *
11/1/08 LV 96 67 29 4 3 1 *
10/31/08 LV 96 68 29 4 2 1 0
10/30/08 LV 96 68 28 4 3 1 *
10/29/08 LV 96 68 28 3 2 1 1
10/28/08 LV 96 65 31 3 2 1 1
10/27/08 LV 96 65 31 3 3 1 1
10/26/08 LV 96 66 30 3 2 1 1
10/25/08 LV 97 68 29 3 3 1 *
10/24/08 LV 97 71 26 3 3 1 0
10/23/08 LV 95 70 25 5 4 1 0
10/22/08 LV 94 67 28 5 5 1 *
10/21/08 LV 95 64 31 5 4 1 *
10/20/08 LV 95 65 31 5 4 1 *
10/19/08 LV 96 64 32 4 3 1 *
10/11/08 LV 96 66 30 4 3 1 *
9/29/08 RV 95 61 34 4 4 * 1
9/22/08 RV 94 62 32 6 4 1 *
9/7/08 RV 96 64 32 4 3 1 0
8/22/08 RV 95 52 43 5 2 3 *
6/15/08 RV 91 52 39 9 7 2 *
McCain:
11/3/08 LV 88 41 47 11 9 2 1
11/2/08 LV 90 41 48 10 8 2 1
11/1/08 LV 89 41 47 11 8 2 1
10/31/08 LV 88 41 46 12 9 3 1
10/30/08 LV 87 39 47 13 9 4 1
10/29/08 LV 86 39 47 13 10 3 1
10/28/08 LV 85 37 48 15 12 3 1
10/27/08 LV 83 35 49 16 13 3 *
10/26/08 LV 87 36 51 13 11 2 *
10/25/08 LV 86 38 48 14 11 3 *
10/24/08 LV 88 39 49 11 9 2 1
10/23/08 LV 89 39 50 10 8 2 1
10/22/08 LV 88 40 48 12 10 2 1
10/21/08 LV 88 37 51 11 10 1 *
10/20/08 LV 88 38 50 12 11 2 *
10/19/08 LV 87 40 47 13 11 2 *
10/11/08 LV 87 31 57 13 10 2 0
9/29/08 RV 90 38 52 10 7 2 *
9/22/08 RV 89 34 55 10 8 2 1
9/7/08 RV 92 46 46 8 6 2 0
8/22/08 RV 86 28 58 13 11 2 1
6/15/08 RV 74 19 55 25 19 6 1
2004 election:
--- Enthusiastic -- ---- Not enthusiastic ---- No
NET Very Fairly NET Not too Not at all opinion
Kerry:
10/26/04 LV 92 46 47 7 6 1 1
10/23/04 LV 91 50 41 9 7 1 1
10/17/04 LV 94 45 49 6 5 1 *
10/3/04 LV 91 50 42 8 8 * 1
9/26/04 LV 85 42 43 13 10 4 1
9/26/04 RV 87 39 47 12 9 3 1
9/8/04 RV 85 39 46 14 10 4 1
8/29/04 RV 89 40 49 11 9 2 *
8/1/04 RV 92 56 36 7 6 1 1
7/25/04 RV 90 41 49 10 9 1 0
6/20/04 RV 85 34 51 15 12 3 0
G.W. Bush:
10/26/04 LV 91 55 36 9 8 1 *
10/23/04 LV 93 60 33 7 6 1 *
10/17/04 LV 93 59 35 6 6 1 1
10/3/04 LV 94 57 37 6 4 1 *
9/26/04 LV 94 65 29 5 4 1 1
9/26/04 RV 91 61 31 8 6 2 *
9/8/04 RV 95 63 32 5 4 * *
8/29/04 RV 94 56 38 6 5 1 *
8/1/04 RV 90 53 37 10 8 2 *
7/25/04 RV 90 49 41 10 8 1 *
6/20/04 RV 90 50 40 9 7 2 *
2000 election:
--- Enthusiastic -- ---- Not enthusiastic ---- No
NET Very Fairly NET Not too Not at all opinion
Gore:
4/2/00 45 17 28 55 23 32 *
2/27/00* 43 17 26 56 23 33 1
3/14/99 39 12 27 59 24 35 1
G.W. Bush:
4/2/00 50 20 29 50 24 26 *
2/27/00* 50 18 32 50 19 30 1
3/14/99 55 17 38 42 21 21 3
*2/27/00 and previous "possible candidacy"
7. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?
-------- Approve -------- ------- Disapprove ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
10/21/12 LV 50 31 19 48 8 40 2
10/21/12 RV 51 31 20 47 10 37 2
10/13/12 LV 50 32 18 48 9 40 2
10/13/12 RV 51 30 21 47 10 37 2
10/13/12 50 30 21 44 10 34 6
9/29/12 RV 49 25 24 49 12 37 2
9/29/12 50 26 24 46 12 34 4
9/9/12 RV 48 27 21 50 10 39 2
9/9/12 49 29 20 45 11 35 6
8/25/12 RV 47 26 21 50 13 37 3
8/25/12 50 27 23 46 13 33 4
7/8/12 47 24 24 49 15 34 4
5/20/12 47 26 21 49 13 36 3
4/8/12 50 30 20 45 10 35 6
3/10/12 46 28 18 50 11 39 4
2/4/12 50 29 22 46 11 36 3
1/15/12 48 25 23 48 11 37 4
12/18/11 49 25 24 47 13 34 4
11/3/11 44 22 22 53 15 37 3
10/2/11 42 21 21 54 14 40 4
9/1/11 43 21 22 53 16 38 3
8/9/11* 44 18 26 46 9 37 10
7/17/11 47 25 22 48 14 35 5
6/5/11 47 27 20 49 13 37 4
5/2/11** 56 29 27 38 14 24 6
4/17/11 47 27 21 50 12 37 3
3/13/11 51 27 24 45 12 33 4
1/16/11 54 30 23 43 15 28 3
12/12/10 49 24 25 47 15 32 4
10/28/10 50 27 23 45 11 34 5
10/3/10 50 26 24 47 13 34 3
9/2/10 46 24 22 52 14 38 3
7/11/10 50 28 22 47 12 35 3
6/6/10 52 30 22 45 12 33 4
4/25/10 54 31 23 44 11 33 3
3/26/10 53 34 20 43 8 35 3
2/8/10 51 29 22 46 12 33 3
1/15/10 53 30 24 44 13 32 2
12/13/09 50 31 18 46 13 33 4
11/15/09 56 32 23 42 13 29 2
10/18/09 57 33 23 40 11 29 3
9/12/09 54 35 19 43 12 31 3
8/17/09 57 35 21 40 11 29 3
7/18/09 59 38 22 37 9 28 4
6/21/09 65 36 29 31 10 22 4
4/24/09 69 42 27 26 8 18 4
3/29/09 66 40 26 29 9 20 5
2/22/09 68 43 25 25 8 17 7
*Washington Post
**Washington Post/Pew Research Center
8. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse or staying the same?
Getting Getting Staying No
better worse the same opinion
10/21/12 LV 37 36 25 2
4/17/11* RV 29 44 27 *
10/28/10 LV 29 37 34 *
10/28/10 26 34 39 1
10/3/10 31 32 37 *
9/2/10 24 38 38 1
7/11/10 27 32 41 *
6/6/10 30 30 39 1
3/29/09 27 36 36 1
3/15/09 14 48 36 2
2/15/09 8 58 31 3
1/19/09 6 62 31 1
12/15/08 9 64 25 1
11/16/08 16 55 28 1
10/13/08 2 82 13 2
Call for full trend.
* “the national economy”
9. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of (ITEM)? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
Trend:
a. Barack Obama
------- Favorable ------- ------ Unfavorable ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
10/21/12 LV 52 37 15 46 10 36 2
10/7/12 RV 55 33 22 44 9 34 1
10/7/12 55 33 22 44 9 34 1
9/9/12 RV 52 34 18 45 13 33 3
9/9/12 52 34 18 45 13 33 3
9/2/12 47 28 19 49 14 34 4
8/26/12 50 29 20 47 13 34 4
8/5/12 49 31 19 47 12 35 4
5/27/12 49 29 20 48 14 34 3
4/15/12 54 31 24 43 13 30 3
3/25/12 53 33 19 45 14 31 2
2/26/12 48 26 22 50 12 38 2
1/22/12 54 30 24 43 12 31 3
12/11/11 47 24 23 50 15 35 3
9/18/11 47 23 24 49 15 33 6
4/17/11 52 34 18 46 13 34 2
4/25/10 57 37 20 42 12 30 2
1/15/10 58 38 19 40 13 27 2
11/2/08 LV 63 47 16 33 7 26 4
10/23/08 LV 63 47 16 34 7 27 3
10/11/08 64 44 20 33 12 21 3
9/7/08 58 35 23 36 12 24 7
8/22/08 62 37 25 34 13 21 4
6/15/08 62 34 27 34 11 22 4
4/13/08 57 28 30 39 14 24 4
1/10/08 63 31 32 30 14 16 7
11/1/07 51 20 31 36 16 20 13
2/25/07 56 22 34 29 15 14 15
1/19/07 49 NA NA 28 NA NA 23
12/11/06 47 25 23 22 15 7 30
b. Mitt Romney
------- Favorable ------- ------ Unfavorable ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
10/21/12 LV 50 29 21 47 11 36 3
10/7/12 RV 47 26 21 51 14 37 2
10/7/12 47 26 21 51 14 37 2
9/9/12 RV 44 20 24 49 17 32 7
9/9/12 44 20 24 49 17 32 7
9/2/12 43 20 22 48 18 30 10
8/26/12 40 21 19 51 18 33 9
8/5/12 42 19 23 50 17 33 8
5/27/12 44 16 28 44 19 25 12
4/15/12 40 13 27 48 24 23 12
3/25/12 36 8 28 52 24 28 12
3/18/12 40 12 28 47 22 25 13
3/4/12 37 9 28 50 22 27 13
2/26/12 38 6 31 48 24 24 14
2/19/12 37 9 28 49 23 26 14
2/12/12 37 9 28 46 20 26 17
1/22/12 34 7 27 49 25 24 17
1/8/12 45 11 34 36 19 17 19
11/27/11 41 9 32 40 21 20 19
10/16/11 38 9 29 38 22 16 24
9/18/11 36 7 30 33 19 15 31
1/12/08 34 7 27 46 22 24 20
11/1/07 28 6 21 41 24 17 31
2/25/07 26 5 21 34 22 12 40
12/11/06 22 5 17 24 20 4 54
10. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job [ITEM] - (Obama) or (Romney)?
10/21/12 - Summary Table (among likely voters)*
Both Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) opinion
a. Handling the economy 46 48 1 3 2
b. Handling taxes 53 42 * 2 2
c. Dealing with the federal
budget deficit 45 49 * 4 2
d. Handling Medicare, the government
health insurance program for seniors 53 41 * 2 4
e. Addressing women’s issues 52 39 2 2 5
f. Handling international affairs 49 46 1 1 3
g. Handling terrorism 47 46 1 2 4
*Full sample asked item a; half sample asked items b-d; other half sample asked items e-g.
Trend:
a. Handling the economy
Both Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) opinion
10/21/12 LV 46 48 1 3 2
10/13/12 LV 48 47 * 2 3
10/13/12 RV 48 44 * 4 4
9/29/12 RV 47 47 * 4 2
9/9/12 RV 47 45 * 3 4
8/25/12 RV 43 50 * 4 3
7/8/12 RV 45 48 1 3 3
5/20/12 RV 47 47 * 3 3
4/8/12 RV 44 48 1 4 3
2/4/12 RV 44 50 1 3 2
b. Handling taxes
Both Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) opinion
10/21/12 LV 53 42 * 2 2
10/13/12 LV 48 46 * 3 3
10/13/12 RV 49 44 * 5 3
9/29/12 RV 49 44 * 4 2
9/9/12 RV 50 43 1 2 4
8/25/12 RV 43 48 * 5 3
7/8/12 RV 46 46 * 5 3
4/8/12 RV 48 43 1 4 4
2/4/12 RV 49 45 * 2 4
c. Dealing with the federal budget deficit
Both Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) opinion
10/21/12 LV 45 49 * 4 2
10/13/12 LV 43 51 1 2 4
10/13/12 RV 44 47 * 4 5
9/29/12 RV 45 48 * 5 3
9/9/12 RV 44 47 0 7 3
8/25/12 RV 38 51 0 7 3
7/8/12 RV 43 51 1 3 2
4/8/12 RV 37 54 1 6 2
2/4/12 RV 39 52 * 4 4
d. Handling Medicare, the government health insurance program for seniors
Both Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) opinion
10/21/12 LV 53 41 * 2 4
10/13/12 LV 54 41 1 3 2
10/13/12 RV 53 38 1 5 3
9/29/12 RV 47 43 * 6 3
9/9/12 RV 48 43 * 4 5
8/25/12 RV 42 45 1 7 5
e. Addressing women's issues
Both Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) opinion
10/21/12 LV 52 39 2 2 5
9/29/12 RV 54 36 2 4 6
9/9/12 RV 55 34 1 3 7
8/25/12 RV 51 35 1 7 6
4/8/12 RV 54 37 1 4 4
f. Handling international affairs
Both Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) opinion
10/21/12 LV 49 46 1 1 3
10/13/12 LV 50 43 1 3 2
10/13/12 RV 50 40 1 5 3
9/29/12 RV 49 44 * 2 4
9/9/12 RV 51 38 * 2 9
8/25/12 RV 46 41 1 6 5
4/8/12 RV 56 37 * 3 4
2/4/12 RV 55 38 1 3 4
g. Handling terrorism
Both Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) opinion
10/21/12 LV 47 46 1 2 4
9/29/12 RV 53 39 2 2 4
9/9/12 RV 51 40 3 4 3
4/8/12 RV 47 43 1 4 5
2/4/12 RV 54 38 2 2 4
11. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you think [ITEM] - (Obama) or (Romney)?
10/21/12 - Summary Table (among likely voters)
Both Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) opinion
a. Better understands the
economic problems people
in this country are having 51 44 2 3 1
b. Would be a better commander-in-
chief of the military 48 45 1 2 3
c. Is more honest and trustworthy 49 40 3 6 3
Trend:
a. Better understands the economic problems people in this country are having
Both Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) opinion
10/21/12 LV 51 44 2 3 1
10/13/12 LV 51 42 2 4 1
10/13/12 RV 51 40 2 5 2
9/29/12 RV 52 39 2 6 1
9/9/12 RV 50 40 3 4 3
8/25/12 RV 47 40 1 9 2
7/8/12 RV 51 40 2 5 2
5/20/12 RV 48 40 2 8 2
4/8/12 RV 49 38 2 8 2
2/4/12 RV 52 37 2 7 2
b. Would be a better commander-in-chief of the military
Both Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) opinion
10/21/12 LV 48 45 1 2 3
Compare to:
Both Neither No
Obama McCain (vol.) (vol.) opinion
10/21/08 LV 38 57 1 1 3
9/7/08 LV 26 69 1 2 2
8/22/08 RV 29 61 2 3 4
c. Is more honest and trustworthy
Both Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) opinion
10/21/12 LV 49 40 3 6 3
Compare to:
Both Neither No
Obama McCain (vol.) (vol.) opinion
10/19/08 LV 48 40 5 5 2
10/11/08 LV 45 41 5 7 2
9/22/08 RV 47 36 7 7 3
9/7/08 RV 38 44 5 7 6
8/22/08 RV 39 38 10 9 4
7/13/08 RV 43 40 7 6 4
12. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Do you think Obama does more to favor the (middle class) or more to favor the (wealthy)?
Favor Favor Treat No
middle class wealthy equally (vol.) opinion
10/21/12 LV 66 15 6 13
10/13/12 LV 68 16 4 11
10/13/12 RV 68 17 4 11
9/29/12 RV 66 17 5 12
8/25/12 RV 62 23 6 9
13. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) As president do you think Romney would do more to favor the (middle class) or more to favor the (wealthy)?
Favor Favor Treat No
middle class wealthy equally (vol.) opinion
10/21/12 LV 33 54 9 5
10/13/12 LV 33 57 6 4
10/13/12 RV 31 58 5 6
9/29/12 RV 35 57 3 4
8/25/12 RV 32 58 5 5
14. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) I have a question about the presidential debate between (Obama) and (Romney) Tuesday night. From what you've seen, heard or read about it - who, in your opinion, won the debate?
Neither/a draw No
Obama Romney a tie (vol.) opinion
10/21/12 LV 48 29 16 8
10/13/12 LV 17 71 7 4
10/13/12 RV 18 69 7 6
Compare to:
Neither/a draw No
Obama McCain a tie (vol.) opinion
9/29/08 RV 38 24 22 16
15. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) As a result of the two presidential debates that have been held, do you have a better opinion of (Obama/Romney), a worse opinion of him, or haven’t the debates changed your opinion of (Obama/Romney) one way or the other?
Trend:
a. Obama
Has not
Better Worse changed No opinion
10/21/12 LV 15 18 65 1
10/13/12* LV 8 19 72 1
10/13/12* RV 9 19 70 2
b. Romney
Has not
Better Worse changed No opinion
10/21/12 LV 37 19 43 1
10/13/12* LV 37 14 47 2
10/13/12* RV 35 14 48 3
*”As a result of the debate...”
Compare to:
Obama:
Has not
Better Worse changed No opinion
10/19/08* LV 36 12 51 1
10/11/08* LV 33 8 58 1
9/29/08* RV 19 7 68 7
McCain:
10/19/08* LV 20 26 53 2
10/11/08* LV 12 28 59 1
9/29/08* RV 14 11 68 7
*10/19/08: “As a result of the presidential debates...”; 10/11/08: "As a result of the two presidential debates..."; 9/29/08: "As a result of the debate..."
901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what?
Democrat Republican Independent Other (vol.) No opinion
10/21/12 LV 34 29 33 3 1
10/13/12 LV 35 26 33 3 2
9/29/12 LV 33 30 33 3 1
10/13/12 RV 34 25 36 3 2
9/29/12 RV 33 28 34 4 1
9/9/12 RV 32 26 37 4 1
8/25/12 RV 32 25 36 6 2
7/8/12 RV 36 27 33 3 1
5/20/12 RV 34 25 34 6 1
4/8/12 RV 37 24 33 4 1
3/10/12 RV 31 29 36 3 2
2/12/12 RV 36 25 34 5 1
1/15/12 RV 32 27 35 5 1
***END***
