Washington Post-ABC News Poll

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone Oct. 18-21, 2012, among a random national sample of 1,765 adults, including landline and cell phone-only respondents. Results for the sample of 1,376 likely voters have a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.

RV = registered voters; LV=likely voters

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) How closely are you following the 2012 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not so closely, or not closely at all?

              ---- Closely -----   ---- Not closely -----     No
              NET   Very   Smwt    NET   Not so    At all   opinion
10/21/12 LV   92     64     28      8       5         3        *
10/21/12 RV   87     58     29      8       7         6        1
10/13/12 LV   93     60     33      6       4         2        *
10/13/12 RV   88     54     34     11       6         5        1
9/29/12  RV   86     47     39     14       8         6        0
9/9/12   RV   80     44     36     19      11         9        *
5/20/12  RV   82     38     44     18       9         8        *
2/4/12*  RV   79     37     43     20      12         8        *
1/15/12  RV   76     33     43     24      14        10        *
12/18/11      69     26     43     31      18        13        *
11/3/11       65     24     41     34      17        17        *
10/2/11       64     24     40     36      23        13        0
9/1/11        66     25     40     34      20        14        *
7/17/11       61     18     43     39      23        15        *
6/5/11        61     22     39     38      23        15        *

11/3/08  RV   91     64     28      8       5         4        *
11/2/08  RV   90     63     28      9       5         4        *
11/1/08  RV   90     61     29     10       6         4        *
10/31/08 RV   89     60     29     11       7         4        *
10/30/08 RV   89     59     29     11       7         4        *
10/29/08 RV   89     60     30     10       6         4        *
10/28/08 RV   90     59     31     10       6         4        *
10/27/08 RV   91     60     31      9       5         4        *
10/26/08 RV   90     60     30      9       5         4        *
10/25/08 RV   89     59     30     11       6         5        *
10/24/08 RV   89     60     28     11       6         5        *
10/23/08 RV   88     58     30     12       6         6        *
10/22/08 RV   89     57     32     11       6         5        *
10/21/08 RV   90     58     32     10       6         4        *
10/20/08 RV   90     57     34     10       6         4        *
10/19/08 RV   90     57     33     10       6         3        *
10/11/08 RV   92     59     33      8       4         4        *
9/29/08  RV   89     58     31     11       7         5        *
9/22/08  RV   91     55     36      9       5         4        0
9/7/08   RV   89     51     38     10       6         5        *
8/22/08  RV   84     42     42     16      11         5        *
7/13/08  RV   79     36     42     21      12         9        1
6/15/08       75     34     41     25      12        13        *
5/11/08       83     39     44     17      13         5        0
4/13/08       84     37     47     16      11         5        *
3/2/08        84     42     42     15      11         4        *
2/1/08        81     35     46     19      12         7        *
1/12/08       79     32     47     21      15         6        *
12/9/07       72     21     51     28      19         8        *
11/1/07       67     21     46     33      22        12        0
9/30/07       69     21     48     30      21        10        *
7/21/07       70     22     48     30      20        10        *
6/1/07        66     18     48     34      22        13        *
4/15/07       66     20     45     34      20        14        *
2/25/07       65     20     44     35      25        10        *

10/31/04 RV   90     58     32      9       6         3        *
10/30/04 RV   90     59     31      9       6         3        1
10/29/04 RV   90     58     32      9       6         3        *
10/28/04 RV   90     58     32      9       6         3        *
10/27/04 RV   90     57     33      9       6         3        *
10/26/04 RV   89     55     34     10       6         4        *
10/25/04 RV   89     55     34     10       6         4        *
10/24/04 RV   90     54     36     10       7         3        *
10/23/04 RV   90     54     36     10       7         3        *
10/22/04 RV   90     54     36     10       7         3        *
10/21/04 RV   90     55     35     11       8         3        *
10/20/04 RV   89     55     34     10       7         3        *
10/19/04 RV   87     54     33     12       8         4        1
10/18/04 RV   88     52     36     11       7         4        *
10/17/04 RV   89     52     37     12       7         5        *
10/16/04 RV   88     53     35     12       7         5        *
10/15/04 RV   87     53     34     12       7         5        *
10/14/04 RV   87     52     35     13       8         5        *
10/13/04 RV   88     52     36     13       8         5        *
10/12/04 RV   88     52     36     11       7         4        *
10/11/04 RV   88     53     35     12       8         4        *
10/10/04 RV   87     52     35     12       8         4        *
10/9/04  RV   88     52     36     12       8         4        *
10/8/04  RV   88     53     35     12       8         4        *
10/7/04  RV   88     53     35     12       8         4        1
10/6/04  RV   88     51     37     12       8         4        *
10/5/04  RV   88     50     38     12       7         5        *
10/4/04  RV   88     49     39     12       7         5        *
10/3/04  RV   87     48     39     12       7         5        *
9/26/04  RV   87     48     39     12       8         4        1
9/8/04   RV   85     45     40     14      10         4        1
8/29/04  RV   81     43     38     20      13         7        *
8/1/04   RV   80     41     39     20      13         7        *
7/25/04       73     34     39     27      15        12        *
6/20/04       78     33     45     22      15         7        *
5/23/04       74     33     41     26      17         9        *
4/18/04       75     30     45     25      16         9        0
3/7/04        75     33     42     25      18         7        *
2/11/04       75     30     45     25      15        10        *
1/18/04       66     22     44     35      22        13        *
10/29/03      54     15     39     45      30        15        0
9/13/03       56     16     40     44      27        17        *

11/6/00  LV   92     54     38      8       6         2        *
11/5/00  LV   91     53     38      8       6         2        *
11/4/00  LV   91     52     39      9       7         2        *
11/3/00  LV   91     51     40      9       6         3        *
11/2/00  LV   90     48     42     10       7         3        *
11/1/00  LV   91     48     43      9       7         2        *
10/31/00 LV   90     46     44      9       7         2        *
10/30/00 LV   91     47     44      9       7         2        *
10/29/00 LV   90     47     43     10       7         3        *
10/28/00 LV   89     47     42     10       7         3        *
10/27/00 LV   89     48     41     11       7         4        *
10/26/00 LV   89     47     42     11       8         3        *
10/25/00 LV   89     47     42     11       8         3        0
10/24/00 LV   87     44     43     13      10         3        0
10/23/00 LV   89     44     45     11       8         3        0
10/22/00 LV   88     44     44     12       9         3        0
10/21/00 LV   87     46     41     13       9         4        *
10/20/00 LV   86     46     40     15      11         4        *
10/19/00 LV   85     44     41     14      10         4        *
10/18/00 LV   87     42     45     13      10         3        *
10/17/00 LV   86     40     46     13      10         3        *
10/15/00 RV   77     33     44     23      15         8        *
10/9/00  RV   75     30     45     25      16         9        *
10/1/00  RV   75     27     48     25      17         8        *
9/6/00   RV   74     26     48     26      17         9        *
8/20/00  RV   74     28     46     26      16        10        1
8/10/00  RV   72     29     43     29      18        11        *
8/6/00        53     17     36     47      22        25        *
7/29/00       51     16     35     49      25        24        *
7/23/00       50     14     36     50      25        25        *
6/11/00       49     13     36     51      26        25        0
4/2/00        53     17     36     47      24        23        0
3/11/00       61     21     40     38      21        17        0
2/27/00       70     24     46     30      20        10        *
2/6/00        65     19     48     34      21        13        0
1/16/00       50     11     39     50      26        24        *
12/15/99      45     12     33     55      31        24        *
10/31/99      61     16     45     38      25        13        *
7/17/95       36      7     29     63      33        31        *
7/8/92        76     28     48     24      16         8        *
1/27/92       51     14     37     48      25        23        1
10/10/88 RV   77     31     46     23      17         6        -
8/18/88  RV   68     26     42     31      20        11        0
8/15/88  RV   70     27     43     31      19        12        0
5/25/88       76     25     51     25      19         6        *
9/23/87       50      9     41     49      31        18        *
6/1/87        50     11     39     49      32        17        *
*2/4/12 and previous "not too closely" instead of "not so closely"

2. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?

                                                     Don't think  Already 
              Certain  Probably  Chances  Less than   will vote    voted   No
              to vote    vote     50/50     that       (vol.)     (vol.)   op.
10/21/12 RV     84         6        4        2           *           4      * 
10/13/12 RV     85         7        4        1           1           1      1
9/29/12  RV     84         7        7        2           *           0      *
9/9/12   RV     83         7        6        4           *          NA      0
8/25/12  RV     81         8        6        3           1          NA      *
7/8/12   RV     81         9        8        2           *          NA      *

11/3/08  RV     68         4        3        2           1          22      *
11/2/08  RV     69         4        3        2           1          20      *
11/1/08  RV     71         5        3        2           *          19      *
10/31/08 RV     73         5        3        1           1          16      *
10/30/08 RV     74         6        4        1           *          15      *
10/29/08 RV     76         5        4        1           1          13      1
10/28/08 RV     77         6        4        1           1          11      1
10/27/08 RV     76         6        4        1           1          11      1
10/26/08 RV     78         6        4        1           1          10      *
10/25/08 RV     78         5        5        2           1          10      *
10/24/08 RV     79         5        5        2           1           8      *
10/23/08 RV     80         5        5        2           1           6      *
10/22/08 RV     81         5        5        2           1           5      *
10/21/08 RV     82         6        5        2           1           4      *
10/20/08 RV     81         6        5        3           1           4      *
10/19/08 RV     83         6        5        3           1           4      *
10/11/08 RV     87         5        4        1           *           2      0
9/29/08  RV     87         6        5        1           1          NA      *
9/22/08  RV     89         6        4        1           *          NA      *
9/7/08   RV     85         7        5        1           1          NA      *
8/22/08  RV     84        10        4        2           *          NA      *
7/13/08  RV     79        10        7        3           2          NA      0
6/15/08         71         9        8        7           4          NA      *
3/2/08          78         9        7        4           2          NA      *

10/31/04 RV     76         6        3        1           1          12      *
10/30/04 RV     78         6        3        1           1          11      *
10/29/04 RV     79         5        3        1           1          11      *
10/28/04 RV     80         5        4        2           *          10      *
10/27/04 RV     81         5        3        2           1           8      *
10/26/04 RV     81         5        3        2           1           8      *
10/25/04 RV     81         6        3        2           1           7      *
10/24/04 RV     82         7        3        2           1           6      *
10/23/04 RV     82         7        3        1           1           6      *
10/22/04 RV     82         7        4        1           *           5      *
10/21/04 RV     82         7        5        1           *           4      *
10/20/04 RV     83         6        4        1           1           4      *
10/19/04 RV     83         6        5        2           1           3      *
10/18/04 RV     84         7        5        2           *           2      *
10/17/04 RV     84         7        5        2           *           2      *
10/16/04 RV     86         6        4        2           *           1      *
10/15/04 RV     87         6        4        2           *           1      *
10/14/04 RV     87         6        3        2           *           1      *
10/13/04 RV     86         7        3        1           1           1      *
10/12/04 RV     87         7        3        1           1           1      *
10/11/04 RV     88         7        3        1           *           *      *
10/10/04 RV     90         6        2        1           *           *      1
10/9/04  RV     90         6        2        1           *           *      *
10/8/04  RV     90         5        3        1           *           *      *
10/7/04  RV     89         6        3        1           *           *      *
10/6/04  RV     87         7        4        1           *           *      *
10/5/04  RV     87         7        4        1           1           *      *
10/4/04  RV     87         8        4        1           1           *      *
10/3/04  RV     87         8        3        1           1           *      1
9/26/04  RV     87         8        4        1           *          NA      *
9/8/04   RV     87         7        4        1           1                  *
8/29/04  RV     84        10        4        2           *                  0
8/1/04   RV     85         9        4        1           1                  *
7/25/04  RV     85         7        5        2           *                  *
10/29/03        70        12       11        6           1                  0

10/15/00 RV     82        10        6        2           1                  *
10/9/00  RV     81        10        6        2           *                  *
10/1/00  RV     81        10        5        3           1                  *
9/6/00   RV     78        12        5        3           1                  *
8/20/00  RV     78        13        6        3           1                  0
8/10/00  RV     79        12        6        1           1                  *
8/6/00          64        12       11        8           5                  *
7/29/00         61        15        9       11           3                  *
7/23/00         59        17       10       11           4                  *
6/11/00         60        13       11       10           4                  *
5/10/00         63        15       10        8           4                  1
4/2/00          62        14        9        9           5                  *
3/11/00         63        14        9        9           4                  *
2/27/00         69        12       10        4           5                  *
2/6/00          67        12       10        8           3                  *
1/16/00         65        14       10        6           4                  *
12/15/99        64        13        8        9           6                  1
10/31/99        72        11       10        5           3           "      *

3. (IF CERTAIN TO VOTE) Do you think you'll (vote in person at your polling place on Election Day), or (vote before Election Day by early voting or mail-in ballot)?

                Vote      Early voting/      Already
              in person   mail-in ballot   voted (vol.)   No opinion
10/21/12 RV      66             27              5              2
10/13/12 RV      67             30              2              1 

11/2/08  RV      63             11             25              * 
11/1/08  RV      63             13             23              * 
10/31/08 RV      63             16             20              1 
10/30/08 RV      64             17             18              1 
10/29/08 RV      65             18             16              1 
10/28/08 RV      65             19             15              1 
10/27/08 RV      66             18             15              1 
10/26/08 RV      67             18             14              1 
10/25/08 RV      68             18             13              1 
10/24/08 RV      69             19             11              1 
10/23/08 RV      68             20             11              1 
10/22/08 RV      66             20             13              1

4. (IF CERTAIN TO VOTE) If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats) and (Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans), for whom would you vote? Which candidates are you leaning toward, (Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats) or (Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans)? (ASKED IF ALREADY VOTED) For whom did you vote?

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - among likely voters 

                               Other    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/21/12 LV    49       48        *        2         1
10/13/12 LV    49       46        1        1         2
9/29/12  LV    49       47        *        2         1
9/9/12   LV    49       48        *        1         2
8/25/12  LV    47       49        1        1         1
7/8/12*  LV    50       47        *        2         2
*7/18/12: "Barack Obama, the Democrat" and "Mitt Romney, the Republican"

Compare to: 
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - among registered voters 

                               Other    Neither    Would not      No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    vote (vol.)   opinion
10/13/12 RV    50       43        1        3           *           3
9/29/12  RV    49       44        1        3           1           1
9/9/12   RV    50       44        1        2           1           2
8/25/12  RV    46       47        2        3           2           1
7/8/12*  RV    47       47        *        2           *           4
5/20/12  RV    49       46        *        3           1           1
4/8/12   RV    51       44        *        2           3           1
3/10/12  RV    47       49        *        1           2           2
2/4/12   RV    51       45        *        1           1           1
1/15/12  RV    46       48        *        2           2           2
12/18/11 RV    47       47        *        2           2           1
11/3/11  RV    46       47        *        3           2           1
10/2/11  RV    46       48        *        2           1           2
9/1/11   RV    45       49        *        2           2           2
7/17/11  RV    49       47        *        2           1           1
6/5/11   RV    46       49        *        2           1           2
4/17/11  RV    49       45        *        3           1           1
*7/18/12 and prior: "Barack Obama, the Democrat" and "Mitt Romney, the Republican".

5. (IF SUPPORT OBAMA OR ROMNEY) Will you definitely vote for (NAMED CANDIDATE – OBAMA/ROMNEY), or just probably?

              Definitely   Probably     No
               vote for    vote for   opinion
10/21/12 LV       91          9          *

Compare to: (IF SUPPORT OBAMA OR ROMNEY) Will you definitely vote for (OBAMA/ROMNEY), 
or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for (CANDIDATE NOT NAMED)? 
(IF CHANCE CHANGE MIND) Would you say (there's a good chance) you'll change your mind, 
or would you say (it's pretty unlikely)?

              Definitely   - Chance change mind -     No
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely    opinion
10/13/12 LV       90        9      2        7          1
10/13/12 RV       89       10      2        8          1
9/29/12  RV       86       13      3       10          1
9/9/12   RV       85       13      4        8          2
8/25/12  RV       83       15      6        9          2
7/8/12*  RV       79       19      6       13          2

11/3/08  LV       94        5      2        3          1
11/2/08  LV       94        5      2        3          1
11/1/08  LV       94        6      2        3          1
10/31/08 LV       93        7      3        4          1
10/30/08 LV       93        7      2        4          1
10/29/08 LV       92        7      3        5          1
10/28/08 LV       91        9      3        5          *
10/27/08 LV       91        9      3        5          *
10/26/08 LV       91        9      3        6          *
10/25/08 LV       91        9      3        6          *
10/24/08 LV       91        9      4        5          1
10/23/08 LV       91        9      4        5          1
10/22/08 LV       90        9      4        5          1
10/21/08 LV       89       10      5        5          1
10/20/08 LV       89       10      4        6          1
10/19/08 LV       88       10      5        6          1
10/11/08 LV       88       11      4        7          1
9/29/08  RV       82       17      8        9          1
9/22/08  RV       83       16      8        8          1
9/7/08   RV       79       20      8       12          1
8/22/08  RV       73       24     11       13          3
7/13/08  RV       72       25     10       15          3
6/15/08  RV       72       26     11       16          2
5/11/08  RV       69       28     15       14          3

10/31/04 LV       94        5      2        3          1 
10/30/04 LV       93        6      2        4          1 
10/29/04 LV       93        7      2        4          1 
10/28/04 LV       92        7      3        5          * 
10/27/04 LV       92        7      3        5          * 
10/26/04 LV       91        8      3        6          1 
10/25/04 LV       92        8      2        5          1 
10/24/04 LV       91        8      3        5          1 
10/23/04 LV       91        9      3        6          1 
10/22/04 LV       91        8      3        5          1 
10/21/04 LV       91        8      3        5          1 
10/20/04 LV       91        8      3        5          1 
10/19/04 LV       91        8      3        5          1 
10/18/04 LV       90        9      3        6          1 
10/17/04 LV       90        9      3        6          1 
10/16/04 LV       89       10      5        6          1 
10/15/04 LV       89       11      4        6          1 
10/14/04 LV       88       12      4        7          1 
10/13/04 LV       87       12      5        7          1 
10/12/04 LV       86       13      5        7          1 
10/11/04 LV       86       13      6        7          1 
10/10/04 LV       86       13      6        7          1 
10/9/04  LV       87       12      5        7          1 
10/8/04  LV       88       11      4        7          1 
10/7/04  LV       90       10      4        6          1 
10/6/04  LV       88       11      4        7          1 
10/5/04  LV       87       13      5        7          1 
10/4/04  LV       86       14      6        8          1 
10/3/04  LV       86       12      6        7          1 
9/26/04  RV       82       16      4       12          2
9/8/04   RV       84       14      6        8          2
8/29/04  RV       81       18      7       11          1
8/1/04   RV       80       19      7       12          1
7/25/04  RV       78       20      7       13          2
7/11/04  RV       79       21      7       13          1
6/20/04  RV       73       26     12       14          *
*7/8/12 and prior: "Will you definitely vote for (NAMED CANDIDATE), or is there
a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else?"

2012 election:

Obama:
              Definitely   Probably     No
               vote for    vote for   opinion
10/21/12 LV       91          8         *

Compare to:
              Definitely   - Chance change mind -     No 
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely    opinion
10/13/12 LV       89       10      1        9          1
10/13/12 RV       87       12      2       10          1
9/29/12  RV       84       15      5       10          1
9/9/12   RV       86       11      4        7          3
8/25/12  RV       84       14      6        8          2
7/8/12   RV       81       17      4       13          2

Romney:
              Definitely   Probably     No
               vote for    vote for   opinion
10/21/12 LV       90          9         *

Compare to: 

              Definitely   - Chance change mind -     No 
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely    opinion
10/13/12 LV       91        7      2        6          1
10/13/12 RV       90        8      2        6          1
9/29/12  RV       88       12      1       10          1
9/9/12   RV       85       14      5        9          *
8/25/12  RV       82       16      5       10          3
7/8/12   RV       77       21      8       13          2

2008 election:

              Definitely   - Chance change mind -     No 
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely    opinion
Obama:
11/3/08  LV       95        5      2        3          *
11/2/08  LV       94        5      2        3          1
11/1/08  LV       95        5      2        3          *
10/31/08 LV       94        6      2        4          *
10/30/08 LV       94        6      1        4          1
10/29/08 LV       94        6      1        5          *
10/28/08 LV       92        7      2        5          *
10/27/08 LV       92        7      2        5          *
10/26/08 LV       92        8      3        5          *
10/25/08 LV       93        7      3        4          *
10/24/08 LV       92        7      3        4          *
10/23/08 LV       91        8      4        4          1
10/22/08 LV       90        8      3        5          1
10/21/08 LV       89        9      4        6          1
10/20/08 LV       90        9      3        6          1
10/19/08 LV       91        9      3        5          1
10/11/08 LV       90        9      3        6          1
9/29/08  RV       83       16      7        9          1
9/22/08  RV       85       14      8        7          1
9/7/08   RV       78       21      9       12          1
8/22/08  RV       74       23      7       15          4
7/13/08  RV       72       23      9       14          5
6/15/08  RV       71       26      7       19          3
5/11/08  RV       71       25     13       13          4

McCain:
11/3/08  LV       94        5      3        3          1
11/2/08  LV       93        6      3        3          1
11/1/08  LV       93        7      3        3          1
10/31/08 LV       91        8      4        4          1
10/30/08 LV       91        8      3        5          1
10/29/08 LV       90        9      4        5          1
10/28/08 LV       89       10      4        6          1
10/27/08 LV       90       10      4        6          *
10/26/08 LV       89       11      4        7          *
10/25/08 LV       88       11      3        8          1
10/24/08 LV       89       10      4        6          1
10/23/08 LV       90       10      4        5          1
10/22/08 LV       90        9      4        5          1
10/21/08 LV       89       11      5        5          1
10/20/08 LV       89       11      5        5          1
10/19/08 LV       86       12      6        6          1
10/11/08 LV       86       14      4        9          *
9/29/08  RV       81       18      9        9          1
9/22/08  RV       81       18      9        9          2
9/7/08   RV       80       19      8       11          2
8/22/08  RV       72       25     14       11          2
7/13/08  RV       71       28     12       17          1
6/15/08  RV       72       27     14       12          1
5/11/08  RV       66       32     17       15          2

2004 election:

              Definitely   - Chance change mind -     No 
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely    opinion
Kerry:
10/31/04 LV       93        6      2        3          1
10/30/04 LV       93        6      2        4          1
10/29/04 LV       94        5      2        3          1
10/28/04 LV       94        6      3        3          *
10/27/04 LV       94        5      2        3          *
10/26/04 LV       93        7      2        4          1
10/25/04 LV       92        7      2        5          *
10/24/04 LV       92        8      2        6          *
10/23/04 LV       91        9      2        7          *
10/22/04 LV       92        8      2        6          *
10/21/04 LV       93        7      2        5          *
10/20/04 LV       94        5      1        4          1
10/19/04 LV       94        6      1        4          1
10/18/04 LV       90       10      3        7          *
10/17/04 LV       89       11      4        7          *
10/16/04 LV       86       13      6        7          1
10/15/04 LV       88       11      5        6          1
10/14/04 LV       88       11      5        7          1
10/13/04 LV       87       12      4        8          1
10/12/04 LV       86       13      5        8          1
10/11/04 LV       85       14      6        8          1
10/10/04 LV       86       13      6        7          1
10/9/04  LV       88       12      6        6          1
10/8/04  LV       88       11      5        6          1
10/7/04  LV       90        9      4        5          *
10/6/04  LV       88       11      4        7          1
10/5/04  LV       87       12      4        8          1
10/4/04  LV       86       13      4        9          1
10/3/04  LV       86       13      5        8          2
9/26/04  RV       84       15      3       13          1
9/8/04   RV       81       16      6       10          3
8/29/04  RV       81       18      6       12          1
8/1/04   RV       83       16      5       11          1
7/25/04  RV       80       18      5       13          2
7/11/04  RV       80       19      7       13          1
6/20/04  RV       74       26     12       13          1

G.W. Bush:
10/31/04 LV       95        5      2        3          1
10/30/04 LV       94        6      2        4          *
10/29/04 LV       92        7      2        5          1
10/28/04 LV       91        9      3        6          *
10/27/04 LV       91        9      2        7          *
10/26/04 LV       90        9      2        7          *
10/25/04 LV       92        7      2        5          1
10/24/04 LV       93        6      2        4          1
10/23/04 LV       92        7      2        5          1
10/22/04 LV       92        7      2        4          1
10/21/04 LV       91        8      3        4          1
10/20/04 LV       90        9      4        5          1
10/19/04 LV       91        9      4        5          1
10/18/04 LV       91        8      3        5          1
10/17/04 LV       92        7      2        5          1
10/16/04 LV       92        8      3        5          1
10/15/04 LV       91        9      3        6          *
10/14/04 LV       89       10      3        7          *
10/13/04 LV       89       11      4        7          1
10/12/04 LV       88       11      5        6          1
10/11/04 LV       88       11      5        5          1
10/10/04 LV       88       12      5        6          1
10/9/04  LV       88       11      5        6          1
10/8/04  LV       89       10      3        7          1
10/7/04  LV       89       10      3        7          1
10/6/04  LV       88       11      4        7          1
10/5/04  LV       87       12      5        7          1
10/4/04  LV       87       12      6        6          1
10/3/04  LV       88       11      5        6          1
9/26/04  RV       83       15      5       10          2
9/8/04   RV       88       11      5        6          1
8/29/04  RV       82       16      7       10          1
8/1/04   RV       79       20      7       13          1
7/25/04  RV       80       19      7       12          1
7/11/04  RV       78       22      8       14          *
6/20/04  RV       80       20      8       12          *

2000 election:

              Definitely   - Chance change mind -     No 
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely    opinion
Gore:
11/6/00  LV       92               3        4          1
11/5/00  LV       91               4        5          *
11/4/00  LV       90               4        6          *
11/3/00  LV       88               5        6          1
11/2/00  LV       84               7        9          1
11/1/00  LV       83               7        9          1
10/31/00 LV       83               6       11          1
10/30/00 LV       88               4        8          0
10/29/00 LV       88               5        7          *
10/28/00 LV       88               5        6          1
10/27/00 LV       85               6        8          1
10/26/00 LV       85               6        8          1
10/25/00 LV       84               7        8          1
10/24/00 LV       83               7        8          1
10/23/00 LV       83               7        9          1
10/22/00 LV       80               7       11          1
10/21/00 LV       80               8       10          1
10/20/00 LV       78              10       11          2
10/19/00 LV       80               8        9          2
10/18/00 LV       80               8        9          3
10/17/00 LV       80               8        9          3
10/15/00 RV       75        23    10       13          3
10/9/00  RV       71        25    10       15          4
10/1/00  RV       68        31    15       15          2
9/6/00   RV       69        29    11       18          2
8/20/00  RV       71        27     9       18          2
8/6/00   RV       65        32    14       18          3
7/23/00           58        41    15       26          2

G.W. Bush:
11/6/00  LV       92               3        4          1
11/5/00  LV       91               3        4          2
11/4/00  LV       89               4        5          2
11/3/00  LV       88               5        6          2
11/2/00  LV       88               5        6          1
11/1/00  LV       90               5        5          1
10/31/00 LV       89               5        4          1
10/30/00 LV       87               5        7          1
10/29/00 LV       87               5        6          1
10/28/00 LV       86               6        7          1
10/27/00 LV       88               6        6          1
10/26/00 LV       86               5        8          1
10/25/00 LV       86               4        9          *
10/24/00 LV       85               5       10          1
10/23/00 LV       85               6        8          1
10/22/00 LV       86               5        8          1
10/21/00 LV       87               5        7          1
10/20/00 LV       86               4        9          1
10/19/00 LV       85               6        9          1
10/18/00 LV       84               6        9          1
10/17/00 LV       83               8        8          0
10/15/00 RV       76       24     12       12          1
10/9/00  RV       72       25     11       14          3
10/1/00  RV       71       27     14       13          2
9/6/00   RV       70       29     13       16          1
8/20/00  RV       68       31     12       20          1
8/6/00   RV       68       30     14       16          1
7/23/00           63       35     14       22          2

1992 election:

Compare to: Will you definitely vote for (NAMED CANDIDATE) in November, or is there at least a chance you'll change your mind before then?

              Definitely     Chance        No
               vote for    change mind   opinion
Clinton:      
10/27/92 LV       82           17           1
10/4/92  LV       75           25           0
9/27/92  LV       76           24           0

G.H.W. Bush:
10/27/92 LV       81           18           1
10/4/92  LV       73           26           0
9/27/92  LV       67           33           0

1988 election:

              Definitely     Chance        No
               vote for    change mind   opinion
Dukakis:
10/31/88 LV       85           14           0
10/25/88 LV       82           16           2
10/18/88 LV       75           22           4
10/12/88 LV       78           21           1
10/9/88  LV       77           22           1
10/4/88  LV       74           25           1
9/27/88  LV       71           26           3
9/19/88  RV       75           24           1

G.H.W. Bush:

10/31/88 LV       81           18           0
10/25/88 LV       80           18           1
10/18/88 LV       80           18           2
10/12/88 LV       78           21           1
10/9/88  LV       75           23           1
10/4/88  LV       68           30           2
9/27/88  LV       67           31           2
9/19/88  RV       68           31           1

6. (IF SUPPORT/VOTED OBAMA OR ROMNEY) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting (Obama/Romney), somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

              ---- Enthusiastic ---   --- Not enthusiastic ----     No
              NET   Very   Somewhat   NET   Not so   Not at all   opinion
10/21/12 LV   95     61       33       5       4          1          *
10/13/12 LV   94     61       33       5       4          1          1
10/13/12 RV   93     57       36       6       5          2          1
9/29/12  RV   89     49       40      11       6          4          *
9/9/12   RV   90     51       39       9       5          5          *
8/25/12  RV   85     45       40      14      10          4          1
7/8/12   RV   88     44       44      12       8          4          *
5/20/12  RV   84     39       45      16       9          6          *

Obama:
10/21/12 LV   96     64       32       4       3          1          *
10/13/12 LV   95     60       35       4       4          1          *
10/13/12 RV   94     55       40       5       4          1          1
9/29/12  RV   91     51       40       9       7          2          0
9/9/12   RV   93     56       38       7       3          3          0
8/25/12  RV   88     48       39      11       7          4          1
7/8/12   RV   91     51       40       8       5          3          1
5/20/12  RV   93     51       41       7       4          4          0

Romney:
10/21/12 LV   93     58       35       6       5          1          1
10/13/12 LV   93     62       31       7       4          2          1
10/13/12 RV   92     59       33       8       5          2          1
9/29/12  RV   87     48       39      13       6          7          *
9/9/12   RV   87     46       40      13       7          6          1
8/25/12  RV   83     42       41      17      12          4          *
7/8/12   RV   85     38       47      15      11          4          *
5/20/12  RV   75     26       48      25      15          9          1

Compare to: Thinking about his candidacy for president so far, how enthusiastic
are you about [NAME] - very enthusiastic, fairly enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic,
or not enthusiastic at all?

2008 election:

              --- Enthusiastic --   ---- Not enthusiastic ----     No
              NET   Very   Fairly   NET   Not too   Not at all   opinion
Obama:
11/3/08  LV   97     68      29      2        1          1          *
11/2/08  LV   96     67      29      4        2          1          *
11/1/08  LV   96     67      29      4        3          1          *
10/31/08 LV   96     68      29      4        2          1          0
10/30/08 LV   96     68      28      4        3          1          *
10/29/08 LV   96     68      28      3        2          1          1
10/28/08 LV   96     65      31      3        2          1          1
10/27/08 LV   96     65      31      3        3          1          1
10/26/08 LV   96     66      30      3        2          1          1
10/25/08 LV   97     68      29      3        3          1          *
10/24/08 LV   97     71      26      3        3          1          0
10/23/08 LV   95     70      25      5        4          1          0
10/22/08 LV   94     67      28      5        5          1          *
10/21/08 LV   95     64      31      5        4          1          *
10/20/08 LV   95     65      31      5        4          1          *
10/19/08 LV   96     64      32      4        3          1          *
10/11/08 LV   96     66      30      4        3          1          *
9/29/08  RV   95     61      34      4        4          *          1
9/22/08  RV   94     62      32      6        4          1          *
9/7/08   RV   96     64      32      4        3          1          0
8/22/08  RV   95     52      43      5        2          3          *
6/15/08  RV   91     52      39      9        7          2          *

McCain:
11/3/08  LV   88     41      47     11        9          2          1
11/2/08  LV   90     41      48     10        8          2          1
11/1/08  LV   89     41      47     11        8          2          1
10/31/08 LV   88     41      46     12        9          3          1
10/30/08 LV   87     39      47     13        9          4          1
10/29/08 LV   86     39      47     13       10          3          1
10/28/08 LV   85     37      48     15       12          3          1
10/27/08 LV   83     35      49     16       13          3          * 
10/26/08 LV   87     36      51     13       11          2          *
10/25/08 LV   86     38      48     14       11          3          *
10/24/08 LV   88     39      49     11        9          2          1
10/23/08 LV   89     39      50     10        8          2          1
10/22/08 LV   88     40      48     12       10          2          1
10/21/08 LV   88     37      51     11       10          1          *
10/20/08 LV   88     38      50     12       11          2          *
10/19/08 LV   87     40      47     13       11          2          *
10/11/08 LV   87     31      57     13       10          2          0
9/29/08  RV   90     38      52     10        7          2          *
9/22/08  RV   89     34      55     10        8          2          1
9/7/08   RV   92     46      46      8        6          2          0
8/22/08  RV   86     28      58     13       11          2          1
6/15/08  RV   74     19      55     25       19          6          1

2004 election:

              --- Enthusiastic --   ---- Not enthusiastic ----     No
              NET   Very   Fairly   NET   Not too   Not at all   opinion
Kerry:
10/26/04 LV   92     46      47       7       6          1          1
10/23/04 LV   91     50      41       9       7          1          1   
10/17/04 LV   94     45      49       6       5          1          *
10/3/04  LV   91     50      42       8       8          *          1
9/26/04  LV   85     42      43      13      10          4          1
9/26/04  RV   87     39      47      12       9          3          1
9/8/04   RV   85     39      46      14      10          4          1
8/29/04  RV   89     40      49      11       9          2          *
8/1/04   RV   92     56      36       7       6          1          1
7/25/04  RV   90     41      49      10       9          1          0
6/20/04  RV   85     34      51      15      12          3          0

G.W. Bush:
10/26/04 LV   91     55      36       9       8          1          *
10/23/04 LV   93     60      33       7       6          1          *
10/17/04 LV   93     59      35       6       6          1          1
10/3/04  LV   94     57      37       6       4          1          *
9/26/04  LV   94     65      29       5       4          1          1
9/26/04  RV   91     61      31       8       6          2          *
9/8/04   RV   95     63      32       5       4          *          *
8/29/04  RV   94     56      38       6       5          1          *
8/1/04   RV   90     53      37      10       8          2          *
7/25/04  RV   90     49      41      10       8          1          *
6/20/04  RV   90     50      40       9       7          2          *

2000 election:

              --- Enthusiastic --   ---- Not enthusiastic ----     No
              NET   Very   Fairly   NET   Not too   Not at all   opinion
Gore:
4/2/00        45     17      28      55      23         32          *
2/27/00*      43     17      26      56      23         33          1
3/14/99       39     12      27      59      24         35          1

G.W. Bush:
4/2/00        50     20      29      50      24         26          *
2/27/00*      50     18      32      50      19         30          1
3/14/99       55     17      38      42      21         21          3
*2/27/00 and previous "possible candidacy"

7. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

              -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
10/21/12 LV   50       31         19      48        8         40         2
10/21/12 RV   51       31         20      47       10         37         2
10/13/12 LV   50       32         18      48        9         40         2
10/13/12 RV   51       30         21      47       10         37         2
10/13/12      50       30         21      44       10         34         6
9/29/12  RV   49       25         24      49       12         37         2
9/29/12       50       26         24      46       12         34         4
9/9/12   RV   48       27         21      50       10         39         2
9/9/12        49       29         20      45       11         35         6
8/25/12  RV   47       26         21      50       13         37         3
8/25/12       50       27         23      46       13         33         4
7/8/12        47       24         24      49       15         34         4
5/20/12       47       26         21      49       13         36         3
4/8/12        50       30         20      45       10         35         6
3/10/12       46       28         18      50       11         39         4
2/4/12        50       29         22      46       11         36         3
1/15/12       48       25         23      48       11         37         4
12/18/11      49       25         24      47       13         34         4
11/3/11       44       22         22      53       15         37         3
10/2/11       42       21         21      54       14         40         4
9/1/11        43       21         22      53       16         38         3
8/9/11*       44       18         26      46        9         37        10
7/17/11       47       25         22      48       14         35         5
6/5/11        47       27         20      49       13         37         4
5/2/11**      56       29         27      38       14         24         6
4/17/11       47       27         21      50       12         37         3
3/13/11       51       27         24      45       12         33         4
1/16/11       54       30         23      43       15         28         3
12/12/10      49       24         25      47       15         32         4
10/28/10      50       27         23      45       11         34         5
10/3/10       50       26         24      47       13         34         3
9/2/10        46       24         22      52       14         38         3
7/11/10       50       28         22      47       12         35         3
6/6/10        52       30         22      45       12         33         4
4/25/10       54       31         23      44       11         33         3
3/26/10       53       34         20      43        8         35         3
2/8/10        51       29         22      46       12         33         3
1/15/10       53       30         24      44       13         32         2
12/13/09      50       31         18      46       13         33         4
11/15/09      56       32         23      42       13         29         2
10/18/09      57       33         23      40       11         29         3
9/12/09       54       35         19      43       12         31         3
8/17/09       57       35         21      40       11         29         3
7/18/09       59       38         22      37        9         28         4
6/21/09       65       36         29      31       10         22         4
4/24/09       69       42         27      26        8         18         4
3/29/09       66       40         26      29        9         20         5
2/22/09       68       43         25      25        8         17         7
*Washington Post
**Washington Post/Pew Research Center

8. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse or staying the same?

              Getting   Getting   Staying      No 
              better     worse    the same   opinion 
10/21/12 LV     37        36        25          2

4/17/11* RV     29        44        27          * 
10/28/10 LV     29        37        34          *
10/28/10        26        34        39          1
10/3/10         31        32        37          *
9/2/10          24        38        38          1
7/11/10         27        32        41          *
6/6/10          30        30        39          1

3/29/09         27        36        36          1
3/15/09         14        48        36          2
2/15/09          8        58        31          3
1/19/09          6        62        31          1

12/15/08         9        64        25          1
11/16/08        16        55        28          1
10/13/08         2        82        13          2
Call for full trend.
* “the national economy”

9. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of (ITEM)? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

Trend:

a. Barack Obama

               ------- Favorable -------   ------ Unfavorable ------     No  
               NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
10/21/12 LV    52       37         15      46       10         36         2
10/7/12  RV    55       33         22      44        9         34         1
10/7/12        55       33         22      44        9         34         1
9/9/12   RV    52       34         18      45       13         33         3
9/9/12         52       34         18      45       13         33         3
9/2/12         47       28         19      49       14         34         4
8/26/12        50       29         20      47       13         34         4
8/5/12         49       31         19      47       12         35         4
5/27/12        49       29         20      48       14         34         3
4/15/12        54       31         24      43       13         30         3
3/25/12        53       33         19      45       14         31         2
2/26/12        48       26         22      50       12         38         2
1/22/12        54       30         24      43       12         31         3
12/11/11       47       24         23      50       15         35         3
9/18/11        47       23         24      49       15         33         6
4/17/11        52       34         18      46       13         34         2
4/25/10        57       37         20      42       12         30         2
1/15/10        58       38         19      40       13         27         2
11/2/08   LV   63       47         16      33        7         26         4
10/23/08  LV   63       47         16      34        7         27         3
10/11/08       64       44         20      33       12         21         3
9/7/08         58       35         23      36       12         24         7
8/22/08        62       37         25      34       13         21         4
6/15/08        62       34         27      34       11         22         4
4/13/08        57       28         30      39       14         24         4
1/10/08        63       31         32      30       14         16         7
11/1/07        51       20         31      36       16         20        13
2/25/07        56       22         34      29       15         14        15
1/19/07        49       NA         NA      28       NA         NA        23
12/11/06       47       25         23      22       15          7        30

b. Mitt Romney

               ------- Favorable -------   ------ Unfavorable ------     No
               NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
10/21/12 LV    50       29         21      47       11         36         3
10/7/12  RV    47       26         21      51       14         37         2
10/7/12        47       26         21      51       14         37         2
9/9/12   RV    44       20         24      49       17         32         7
9/9/12         44       20         24      49       17         32         7
9/2/12         43       20         22      48       18         30        10
8/26/12        40       21         19      51       18         33         9
8/5/12         42       19         23      50       17         33         8
5/27/12        44       16         28      44       19         25        12
4/15/12        40       13         27      48       24         23        12
3/25/12        36        8         28      52       24         28        12
3/18/12        40       12         28      47       22         25        13
3/4/12         37        9         28      50       22         27        13
2/26/12        38        6         31      48       24         24        14
2/19/12        37        9         28      49       23         26        14
2/12/12        37        9         28      46       20         26        17
1/22/12        34        7         27      49       25         24        17
1/8/12         45       11         34      36       19         17        19
11/27/11       41        9         32      40       21         20        19
10/16/11       38        9         29      38       22         16        24
9/18/11        36        7         30      33       19         15        31
1/12/08        34        7         27      46       22         24        20
11/1/07        28        6         21      41       24         17        31  
2/25/07        26        5         21      34       22         12        40 
12/11/06       22        5         17      24       20          4        54

10. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job [ITEM] - (Obama) or (Romney)?

10/21/12 - Summary Table (among likely voters)*


                                                            Both    Neither     No
                                          Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
a. Handling the economy                    46       48        1        3         2
b. Handling taxes                          53       42        *        2         2
c. Dealing with the federal           
   budget deficit                          45       49        *        4         2
d. Handling Medicare, the government 
   health insurance program for seniors    53       41        *        2         4
e. Addressing women’s issues               52       39        2        2         5
f. Handling international affairs          49       46        1        1         3
g. Handling terrorism                      47       46        1        2         4
*Full sample asked item a; half sample asked items b-d; other half sample asked items e-g.

Trend:

a. Handling the economy

                                Both    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/21/12 LV    46       48        1        3         2
10/13/12 LV    48       47        *        2         3
10/13/12 RV    48       44        *        4         4
9/29/12  RV    47       47        *        4         2
9/9/12   RV    47       45        *        3         4
8/25/12  RV    43       50        *        4         3
7/8/12   RV    45       48        1        3         3
5/20/12  RV    47       47        *        3         3
4/8/12   RV    44       48        1        4         3
2/4/12   RV    44       50        1        3         2

b. Handling taxes 

                                Both    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/21/12 LV    53       42        *        2         2
10/13/12 LV    48       46        *        3         3
10/13/12 RV    49       44        *        5         3
9/29/12  RV    49       44        *        4         2
9/9/12   RV    50       43        1        2         4
8/25/12  RV    43       48        *        5         3
7/8/12   RV    46       46        *        5         3
4/8/12   RV    48       43        1        4         4
2/4/12   RV    49       45        *        2         4

c. Dealing with the federal budget deficit

                                Both    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/21/12 LV    45       49        *        4         2
10/13/12 LV    43       51        1        2         4
10/13/12 RV    44       47        *        4         5
9/29/12  RV    45       48        *        5         3
9/9/12   RV    44       47        0        7         3
8/25/12  RV    38       51        0        7         3
7/8/12   RV    43       51        1        3         2
4/8/12   RV    37       54        1        6         2
2/4/12   RV    39       52        *        4         4

d. Handling Medicare, the government health insurance program for seniors 

                                Both    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/21/12 LV    53       41        *        2         4
10/13/12 LV    54       41        1        3         2
10/13/12 RV    53       38        1        5         3
9/29/12  RV    47       43        *        6         3
9/9/12   RV    48       43        *        4         5
8/25/12  RV    42       45        1        7         5

e. Addressing women's issues

                                Both    Neither    No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
10/21/12 LV    52       39        2        2        5
9/29/12  RV    54       36        2        4        6
9/9/12   RV    55       34        1        3        7
8/25/12  RV    51       35        1        7        6
4/8/12   RV    54       37        1        4        4

f. Handling international affairs          

                                Both    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/21/12 LV    49       46        1         1        3
10/13/12 LV    50       43        1         3        2
10/13/12 RV    50       40        1         5        3
9/29/12  RV    49       44        *         2        4
9/9/12   RV    51       38        *         2        9
8/25/12  RV    46       41        1         6        5
4/8/12   RV    56       37        *         3        4
2/4/12   RV    55       38        1         3        4

g. Handling terrorism

                                Both    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/21/12 LV    47       46        1        2         4
9/29/12  RV    53       39        2        2         4
9/9/12   RV    51       40        3        4         3
4/8/12   RV    47       43        1        4         5
2/4/12   RV    54       38        2        2         4

11. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you think [ITEM] - (Obama) or (Romney)?

10/21/12 - Summary Table (among likely voters)
                                                        Both    Neither     No
                                      Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion 
a. Better understands the   
   economic problems people                
   in this country are having          51       44        2        3         1
b. Would be a better commander-in-    
   chief of the military               48       45        1        2         3
c. Is more honest and trustworthy      49       40        3        6         3

Trend:

a. Better understands the economic problems people in this country are having

                                Both    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/21/12 LV    51       44        2        3         1
10/13/12 LV    51       42        2        4         1
10/13/12 RV    51       40        2        5         2
9/29/12  RV    52       39        2        6         1
9/9/12   RV    50       40        3        4         3
8/25/12  RV    47       40        1        9         2 
7/8/12   RV    51       40        2        5         2
5/20/12  RV    48       40        2        8         2
4/8/12   RV    49       38        2        8         2
2/4/12   RV    52       37        2        7         2

b. Would be a better commander-in-chief of the military

                                Both    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/21/12 LV    48       45        1        2         3

Compare to:
                                Both    Neither     No 
              Obama   McCain   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/21/08 LV    38       57       1        1          3
9/7/08   LV    26       69       1        2          2
8/22/08  RV    29       61       2        3          4

c. Is more honest and trustworthy

                                Both    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/21/12 LV    49       40        3        6         3

Compare to:
                                Both    Neither     No 
              Obama   McCain   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/19/08 LV    48       40       5        5          2
10/11/08 LV    45       41       5        7          2
9/22/08  RV    47       36       7        7          3
9/7/08   RV    38       44       5        7          6
8/22/08  RV    39       38      10        9          4
7/13/08  RV    43       40       7        6          4

12. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Do you think Obama does more to favor the (middle class) or more to favor the (wealthy)?

                 Favor        Favor        Treat          No
              middle class   wealthy   equally (vol.)   opinion
10/21/12 LV        66          15            6            13
10/13/12 LV        68          16            4            11
10/13/12 RV        68          17            4            11
9/29/12  RV        66          17            5            12
8/25/12  RV        62          23            6             9

13. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) As president do you think Romney would do more to favor the (middle class) or more to favor the (wealthy)?

                 Favor        Favor        Treat          No
              middle class   wealthy   equally (vol.)   opinion
10/21/12 LV        33          54            9             5
10/13/12 LV        33          57            6             4
10/13/12 RV        31          58            5             6
9/29/12  RV        35          57            3             4
8/25/12  RV        32          58            5             5

14. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) I have a question about the presidential debate between (Obama) and (Romney) Tuesday night. From what you've seen, heard or read about it - who, in your opinion, won the debate?

                               Neither/a draw     No
              Obama   Romney    a tie (vol.)    opinion
10/21/12 LV    48       29          16             8
10/13/12 LV    17       71           7             4
10/13/12 RV    18       69           7             6

Compare to: 
                               Neither/a draw     No
              Obama   McCain    a tie (vol.)    opinion
9/29/08  RV     38      24           22           16

15. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) As a result of the two presidential debates that have been held, do you have a better opinion of (Obama/Romney), a worse opinion of him, or haven’t the debates changed your opinion of (Obama/Romney) one way or the other?

Trend:

a. Obama
                                Has not  
               Better   Worse   changed   No opinion
10/21/12  LV     15      18       65           1
10/13/12* LV      8      19       72           1
10/13/12* RV      9      19       70           2

b. Romney  

                                Has not  
               Better   Worse   changed   No opinion
10/21/12  LV     37      19       43           1
10/13/12* LV     37      14       47           2
10/13/12* RV     35      14       48           3
*”As a result of the debate...”

Compare to:
Obama: 
                                Has not  
               Better   Worse   changed   No opinion 
10/19/08* LV     36      12       51           1 
10/11/08* LV     33       8       58           1 
9/29/08*  RV     19       7       68           7 

McCain: 

10/19/08* LV     20      26       53           2 
10/11/08* LV     12      28       59           1 
9/29/08*  RV     14      11       68           7 
*10/19/08: “As a result of the presidential debates...”; 10/11/08: "As a result of the two presidential debates..."; 9/29/08: "As a result of the debate..."

901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what?

             Democrat   Republican   Independent   Other (vol.)   No opinion
10/21/12 LV     34          29           33              3             1  
10/13/12 LV     35          26           33              3             2
9/29/12  LV     33          30           33              3             1

10/13/12 RV     34          25           36              3             2
9/29/12  RV     33          28           34              4             1
9/9/12   RV     32          26           37              4             1
8/25/12  RV     32          25           36              6             2
7/8/12   RV     36          27           33              3             1
5/20/12  RV     34          25           34              6             1
4/8/12   RV     37          24           33              4             1
3/10/12  RV     31          29           36              3             2
2/12/12  RV     36          25           34              5             1
1/15/12  RV     32          27           35              5             1

***END***

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