Washington Post-ABC News Poll
This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone July 5 to 8, 2012, among a random national sample of 1,003 adults, including landline and cell phone-only respondents. Results for the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points and a four point error margin for the sample of 855 registered voters. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.
*= less than 0.5 percent
1. I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?
Don't think
Certain Probably Chances Less than will vote No
to vote vote 50/50 that (vol.) op.
7/8/12 69 10 9 7 4 1
7/8/12 RV 81 9 8 2 * *
7/13/08 RV 79 10 7 3 2 0
6/15/08 71 9 8 7 4 *
7/25/04 RV 85 7 5 2 * *
7/29/00 61 15 9 11 3 *
7/23/00 59 17 10 11 4 *
6/11/00 60 13 11 10 4 *
2. If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Barack Obama, the Democrat) and (Mitt Romney, the Republican), for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Obama) or toward (Romney)?
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – all adults
Other Neither Would not No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
7/8/12 46 46 * 3 2 3
5/20/12 49 45 1 3 2 1
4/8/12 51 43 * 2 3 1
3/10/12 46 47 * 2 3 2
2/4/12 52 43 * 1 2 2
1/15/12 46 47 * 2 3 2
12/18/11 49 46 * 2 2 1
11/3/11 48 45 * 3 2 1
10/2/11 47 46 * 3 1 2
9/1/11 46 47 * 2 3 2
7/17/11 51 44 * 2 1 2
6/5/11 47 47 * 2 1 2
4/17/11 49 45 * 3 1 2
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – registered voters
Other Neither Would not No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
7/8/12 RV 47 47 * 2 * 4
5/20/12 RV 49 46 * 3 1 1
4/8/12 RV 51 44 * 2 3 1
3/10/12 RV 47 49 * 1 2 2
2/4/12 RV 51 45 * 1 1 1
1/15/12 RV 46 48 * 2 2 2
12/18/11 RV 47 47 * 2 2 1
11/3/11 RV 46 47 * 3 2 1
10/2/11 RV 46 48 * 2 1 2
9/1/11 RV 45 49 * 2 2 2
7/17/11 RV 49 47 * 2 1 1
6/5/11 RV 46 49 * 2 1 2
4/17/11 RV 49 45 * 3 1 1
3. (ASKED IF NAMED CANDIDATE) Will you definitely vote for (NAMED CANDIDATE), or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? (IF CHANCE CHANGE MIND) (Is there a GOOD CHANCE) you'll change your mind, or (is it a PRETTY UNLIKELY chance)?
Definitely -Chance change mind - No
vote for NET Good Unlikely opinion
7/8/12 77 21 8 13 3
7/8/12 RV 79 19 6 13 2
7/13/08 RV 72 25 10 15 3
6/15/08 RV 72 26 11 16 2
7/25/04 RV 78 20 7 13 2
7/11/04 RV 79 21 7 13 1
6/20/04 RV 73 26 12 14 *
Barack Obama:
Definitely -Chance change mind - No
vote for NET Good Unlikely opinion
7/8/12 RV 81 17 4 13 2
7/13/08 RV 72 23 9 14 5
6/15/08 RV 71 26 7 19 3
5/11/08 RV 71 25 13 13 4
Mitt Romney:
Definitely -Chance change mind - No
vote for NET Good Unlikely opinion
7/8/12 RV 77 21 8 13 2
Compare to: John McCain:
Definitely -Chance change mind - No
vote for NET Good Unlikely opinion
7/13/08 RV 71 28 12 17 1
6/15/08 RV 72 27 14 12 1
5/11/08 RV 66 32 17 15 2
4. (IF SUPPORT OBAMA OR ROMNEY) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting (Obama/Romney) somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?
--- Enthusiastic ---- --- Not enthusiastic ---- No
NET Very Somewhat NET Not so Not at all opinion
7/8/12 85 41 44 14 9 6 1
5/20/12 83 36 46 17 10 7 1
7/8/12 RV 88 44 44 12 8 4 *
5/20/12 RV 84 39 45 16 9 6 *
Obama:
7/8/12 90 48 43 9 6 3 1
5/20/12 91 48 43 9 4 5 *
7/8/12 RV 91 51 40 8 5 3 1
5/20/12 RV 93 51 41 7 4 4 0
Romney:
7/8/12 79 34 46 20 12 8 1
5/20/12 73 23 50 25 16 9 1
7/8/12 RV 85 38 47 15 11 4 *
5/20/12 RV 75 26 48 25 15 9 1
5a. (IF LEANED OBAMA) Is your vote more FOR Obama, or more AGAINST Romney?
For Obama Against Romney No opinion
7/8/12 RV 75 23 3
Compare to:
For Obama Against McCain No opinion
7/13/08 RV 81 16 3
For Kerry Against Bush No opinion
9/8/04 RV 41 55 4
7/25/04 RV 41 56 3
6/20/04 RV 43 55 1
5/23/04 38 61 1
3/7/04 38 61 1
5b. (IF LEANED ROMNEY) Is your vote more FOR Romney, or more AGAINST Obama?
For Romney Against Obama No opinion
7/8/12 RV 37 59 4
Compare to:
For McCain Against Obama No opinion
7/13/08 RV 70 28 2
For Bush Against Kerry No opinion
9/8/04 RV 84 14 2
7/25/04 RV 81 17 2
6/20/04 RV 82 17 1
5/23/04 77 21 1
3/7/04 86 13 2
6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?
-------- Approve -------- ------- Disapprove ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
7/8/12 47 24 24 49 15 34 4
5/20/12 47 26 21 49 13 36 3
4/8/12 50 30 20 45 10 35 6
3/10/12 46 28 18 50 11 39 4
2/4/12 50 29 22 46 11 36 3
1/15/12 48 25 23 48 11 37 4
12/18/11 49 25 24 47 13 34 4
11/3/11 44 22 22 53 15 37 3
10/2/11 42 21 21 54 14 40 4
9/1/11 43 21 22 53 16 38 3
8/9/11* 44 18 26 46 9 37 10
7/17/11 47 25 22 48 14 35 5
6/5/11 47 27 20 49 13 37 4
5/2/11** 56 29 27 38 14 24 6
4/17/11 47 27 21 50 12 37 3
3/13/11 51 27 24 45 12 33 4
1/16/11 54 30 23 43 15 28 3
12/12/10 49 24 25 47 15 32 4
10/28/10 50 27 23 45 11 34 5
10/3/10 50 26 24 47 13 34 3
9/2/10 46 24 22 52 14 38 3
7/11/10 50 28 22 47 12 35 3
6/6/10 52 30 22 45 12 33 4
4/25/10 54 31 23 44 11 33 3
3/26/10 53 34 20 43 8 35 3
2/8/10 51 29 22 46 12 33 3
1/15/10 53 30 24 44 13 32 2
12/13/09 50 31 18 46 13 33 4
11/15/09 56 32 23 42 13 29 2
10/18/09 57 33 23 40 11 29 3
9/12/09 54 35 19 43 12 31 3
8/17/09 57 35 21 40 11 29 3
7/18/09 59 38 22 37 9 28 4
6/21/09 65 36 29 31 10 22 4
4/24/09 69 42 27 26 8 18 4
3/29/09 66 40 26 29 9 20 5
2/22/09 68 43 25 25 8 17 7
*Washington Post
**Washington Post/Pew Research Center
7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling [ITEM]? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?
7/8/12 - Summary Table*
-------- Approve -------- ------- Disapprove ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly op.
a. The economy 44 21 23 54 13 41 2
b. Health care 41 25 16 52 11 41 7
c. Immigration issues 38 20 18 52 18 34 10
*Full sample asked item a; half sample asked item b; other half sample asked item c.
Trend:
a. The economy
-------- Approve -------- ------- Disapprove ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
7/8/12 44 21 23 54 13 41 2
5/20/12 42 20 22 55 11 44 2
4/8/12 44 23 21 54 12 42 2
3/10/12 38 20 18 59 9 50 2
2/4/12 44 23 22 53 11 41 3
1/15/12 41 19 22 57 11 46 2
12/18/11 41 17 24 56 13 43 2
11/3/11 38 18 20 61 13 48 2
10/2/11 35 17 19 61 13 48 4
9/1/11 36 15 21 62 15 47 2
7/17/11 39 18 22 57 15 43 3
6/5/11 40 20 20 59 10 49 2
5/2/11* 40 18 22 55 16 39 4
4/17/11 42 23 19 57 11 46 2
3/13/11 43 22 21 55 13 41 2
1/16/11 46 22 24 51 13 38 2
12/12/10 43 21 22 54 15 39 3
10/28/10 RV 44 21 23 54 15 39 3
10/3/10 45 22 23 53 13 41 2
9/2/10 41 20 21 57 13 44 2
7/11/10 43 20 23 54 13 41 4
6/6/10 50 26 24 49 12 37 2
4/25/10 49 24 25 49 10 39 2
3/26/10 45 23 22 52 12 40 3
2/8/10 45 22 23 53 15 38 2
1/15/10 47 22 24 52 13 39 1
12/13/09 46 23 24 52 12 40 2
11/15/09 51 26 25 47 12 36 2
10/18/09 50 29 22 48 13 35 1
9/12/09 51 28 24 46 13 33 2
8/17/09 52 27 25 46 13 33 2
7/18/09 52 29 23 46 10 35 3
6/21/09 56 28 28 41 13 27 3
4/24/09 58 31 28 38 13 25 4
3/29/09 60 34 25 38 12 26 3
2/22/09 60 NA NA 34 NA NA 6
*Washington Post/Pew Research Center
b. Health care
-------- Approve -------- ------- Disapprove ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
7/8/12 41 25 16 52 11 41 7
1/16/11 43 26 18 52 11 41 5
7/11/10 45 27 19 50 10 40 5
4/25/10 49 29 20 49 9 40 1
3/26/10 48 33 15 49 6 43 3
2/8/10 43 24 19 53 11 43 3
1/15/10 44 24 21 52 9 43 4
12/13/09 44 27 18 53 10 43 3
11/15/09 47 28 19 49 8 41 3
10/18/09 48 30 18 48 10 38 4
9/12/09 48 32 15 48 10 38 4
8/17/09 46 27 19 50 8 42 5
7/18/09 49 25 24 44 11 33 7
6/21/09 53 27 26 39 10 29 9
4/24/09 57 NA NA 29 NA NA 13
c. Immigration issues
-------- Approve -------- ------- Disapprove ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
7/8/12 38 20 18 52 18 34 10
6/6/10 39 17 23 51 14 37 10
3/26/10 33 14 19 43 15 28 23
4/24/09 48 NA NA 35 NA NA 18
8. Do you think things in this country (are generally going in the right direction) or do you feel things (have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track)?
Right Wrong No
direction track opinion
7/8/12 33 63 4
4/8/12 33 64 3
1/15/12 30 68 2
11/3/11 22 74 3
9/1/11 20 77 3
6/5/11 32 66 2
1/16/11 38 60 3
12/12/10 31 67 2
10/28/10 RV 27 71 2
6/6/10 37 60 3
3/26/10 38 60 2
1/15/10 37 62 1
11/15/09 44 55 2
10/18/09 44 54 2
8/17/09 44 55 1
6/21/09 47 50 3
4/24/09 50 48 2
3/29/09 42 57 1
2/22/09 31 67 2
1/16/09 19 78 3
12/14/08 15 82 3
10/25/08 LV 13 85 2
10/11/08 RV 8 90 2
9/22/08 RV 14 83 3
8/22/08 19 78 2
6/15/08 14 84 2
5/11/08 16 82 2
1/12/08 21 77 2
11/1/07 24 74 2
6/1/07 25 73 2
1/19/07 26 71 3
11/4/06 RV 39 59 2
10/22/06 30 68 2
10/8/06 32 66 2
5/15/06 29 69 2
11/2/05 30 68 2
10/24/04 LV 41 55 4
4/18/04 42 57 1
4/30/03 52 46 2
9/26/02 43 53 4
2/21/02 54 42 4
2/14/99 55 41 4
11/1/98 55 43 2
8/21/98 57 40 4
7/12/98 50 45 6
4/4/98 55 41 4
1/31/98 61 34 5
1/30/98 61 34 5
1/19/98 44 50 6
8/27/97 39 57 4
6/8/97 37 60 3
3/9/97 34 62 4
10/17/96 RV 40 55 5
10/16/96 RV 42 53 5
10/15/96 RV 43 52 5
10/14/96 RV 44 51 5
10/13/96 RV 44 51 5
9/04/96 RV 40 54 6
8/21/96 28 67 5
6/30/96 26 70 5
3/17/96 27 70 3
1/21/96 27 66 6
1/3/96 21 77 3
4/5/95 23 73 3
1/4/95 27 68 6
10/31/94 27 69 4
7/20/94 26 70 4
3/27/94 28 69 3
1/23/94 31 60 10
11/14/93 25 69 6
8/8/93 26 71 3
6/20/93 26 71 3
4/26/93 27 71 2
3/11/93 36 57 7
2/28/93 37 59 4
1/17/93 31 63 6
12/14/92 35 60 5
10/27/92 RV 22 76 2
10/4/92 RV 18 78 4
6/7/92 14 83 3
4/9/92 16 81 3
3/11/92 18 79 4
1/15/92 19 78 3
11/10/91 24 72 4
10/29/91 26 71 3
8/27/91 31 60 9
7/28/91 30 67 3
6/2/91 39 57 4
4/9/91 42 51 7
2/26/91 58 39 3
1/27/91 49 48 4
10/14/90 19 79 2
9/9/90 36 60 4
8/20/90 35 60 5
7/24/90 37 60 2
5/21/90 39 60 2
3/26/90 44 53 2
2/4/90 49 48 3
1/16/90 48 49 3
5/23/89 42 55 3
3/16/89 46 52 2
1/16/89 LV 51 46 3
10/25/88 LV 49 46 6
9/27/88 48 44 8
7/11/88 40 56 4
5/25/88 35 59 6
3/21/88 40 56 4
1/23/88 39 59 2
12/13/87 49 47 4
12/2/87 35 61 4
9/23/87 43 54 4
6/29/87 35 62 3
4/13/87 37 60 3
3/9/87 38 58 4
1/18/87 39 56 5
9/8/86 50 48 2
1/26/86 45 47 8
7/29/85 52 43 6
1/16/85 59 36 4
5/22/84 47 48 5
12/13/83 43 51 6
11/7/83 51 44 5
4/12/83 41 54 4
3/2/83 43 53 3
10/11/82 35 57 8
1/30/82 39 56 5
2/80* 20 70 10
2/78 34 53 13
2/77 41 44 14
10/75 19 71 9
10/74 15 75 11
10/73 16 74 10
*2/80 and previous: Roper
9. What do you think is more important right now - (having the federal government spend money to try to encourage job creation, even if that increases the federal budget deficit); or (having the federal government hold down the federal budget deficit, even if it means not spending money to try to encourage job creation)? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
-Encourage job creation - --- Hold down deficit --- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
7/8/12 48 32 16 45 14 31 7
11/3/11 46 31 15 49 19 31 4
10. For each item I name, please tell me how important it will be in your vote for president this year. Will it be an extremely important issue, very important, somewhat important or less important than that?
7/8/12 - Summary Table*
----- Important ---- -Not as important-- No
NET Extremely Very NET Somewhat Less op.
a. The economy 89 53 36 11 10 1 *
b. Health care policy 77 42 35 23 18 5 1
c. Immigration issues 48 18 30 51 37 14 1
d. The federal budget
deficit 70 36 34 29 24 5 1
e. Taxes 65 32 33 33 27 6 2
f. Appointments to the
U.S. Supreme Court 49 26 23 47 32 15 4
*Full sample asked items a and b; half sample asked items c and d; other half asked e and f.
7/8/12 - Summary Table – Registered voters
----- Important ---- -Not as important-- No
NET Extremely Very NET Somewhat Less op.
a. The economy 90 53 37 10 9 1 *
b. Health care policy 78 43 34 22 18 4 1
c. Immigration issues 48 18 30 51 38 13 1
d. The federal budget
deficit 70 38 32 29 23 6 *
e. Taxes 66 32 34 33 27 6 1
f. Appointments to the
U.S. Supreme Court 53 29 25 43 30 13 3
Trend:
a. The economy
----- Important ---- -Not as important-- No
NET Extremely Very NET Somewhat Less op.
7/8/12 89 53 36 11 10 1 *
7/13/08 92 50 41 8 7 1 0
b. Health care policy
----- Important ---- -Not as important-- No
NET Extremely Very NET Somewhat Less op.
7/8/12 77 42 35 23 18 5 1
7/13/08* 78 39 39 22 15 7 *
*7/13/08 “Health care”
c. Immigration issues
----- Important ---- -Not as important-- No
NET Extremely Very NET Somewhat Less op.
7/8/12 48 18 30 51 37 14 1
7/13/08 63 27 36 37 29 7 1
d. The federal budget deficit
----- Important ---- -Not as important-- No
NET Extremely Very NET Somewhat Less op.
7/8/12 70 36 34 29 24 5 1
7/13/08 72 34 38 27 21 5 1
e. Taxes
----- Important ---- -Not as important-- No
NET Extremely Very NET Somewhat Less op.
7/8/12 65 32 33 33 27 6 2
7/13/08 70 30 40 30 23 6 1
f. Appointments to the U.S. Supreme Court
----- Important ---- -Not as important-- No
NET Extremely Very NET Somewhat Less op.
7/8/12 49 26 23 47 32 15 4
7/13/08 60 26 35 36 25 11 3
11. Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job [ITEM] - (Obama) or (Romney)?
7/8/12 - Summary Table*
Both Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) opinion
a. Handling the economy 44 49 1 4 3
b. Handling health care policy 46 45 1 5 3
c. Handling immigration issues 45 45 1 5 5
d. Dealing with the federal
budget deficit 42 52 1 3 2
e. Handling taxes 46 45 * 5 4
f. Making appointments to the
U.S. Supreme Court 48 37 2 6 7
*Full sample asked items a and b; half sample asked items c and d; other half sample asked items e and f.
7/8/12 - Summary Table – Registered voters
Both Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) opinion
a. Handling the economy 45 48 1 3 3
b. Handling health care policy 48 44 1 5 3
c. Handling immigration issues 46 43 * 6 5
d. Dealing with the federal
budget deficit 43 51 1 3 2
e. Handling taxes 46 46 * 5 3
f. Making appointments to the
U.S. Supreme Court 48 40 1 6 6
Trend:
a. Handling the economy
Both Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) opinion
7/8/12 44 49 1 4 3
5/20/12 46 47 * 3 3
4/8/12 43 47 1 5 5
2/4/12 45 48 1 4 2
b. Handling health care policy
Both Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) opinion
7/8/12 46 45 1 5 3
4/8/12 48 38 * 7 6
c. No trend.
d. Dealing with the federal budget deficit
Both Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) opinion
7/8/12 42 52 1 3 2
4/8/12 38 51 * 5 6
2/4/12 41 51 * 4 4
e. Handling taxes
Both Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) opinion
7/8/12 46 45 * 5 4
4/8/12 45 42 * 7 5
2/4/12 52 42 * 3 3
f. No trend.
12. In thinking about your vote for president, what’s more important – the things Obama has done as president in his first term, or the things you think he would do if elected to a second term?
Things Obama has Things Obama will Both No
done in first term do in second term (vol.) opinion
7/8/12 33 51 10 6
13. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think [ITEM] - (Obama) or (Romney)?
7/8/12 - Summary Table*
Both Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) opinion
a. Better understands the
economic problems people
in this country are having 50 40 2 6 3
b. Is the stronger leader 47 42 3 2 6
c. Seems like the more friendly
and likeable person 63 27 5 2 4
d. Is more likely to stand up
for what he believes in 48 39 5 5 3
e. Has presented a clearer plan
for dealing with the economic
situation 43 38 2 12 5
*Full sample asked item a; half sample asked items b and c; other half asked d and e.
7/8/12 - Summary Table – Registered voters
Both Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) opinion
a. Better understands the
economic problems people
in this country are having 51 40 2 5 2
b. Is the stronger leader 46 44 3 2 6
c. Seems like the more friendly
and likeable person 63 26 5 2 4
d. Is more likely to stand up
for what he believes in 52 36 6 4 2
e. Has presented a clearer plan
for dealing with the economic
situation 47 35 2 13 3
Trend:
a. Better understands the economic problems people in this country are having
Both Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) vol.) opinion
7/8/12 50 40 2 6 3
5/20/12 48 40 2 7 3
4/8/12 49 37 2 9 4
2/4/12 53 36 2 7 3
b. Is the stronger leader
Both Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) opinion
7/8/12 47 42 3 2 6
4/8/12 46 40 1 6 7
c. Seems like the more friendly and likable person
Both Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) opinion
7/8/12 63 27 5 2 4
4/8/12 64 26 3 2 4
d. Is more likely to stand up for what he believes in
Both Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) opinion
7/8/12 48 39 5 5 3
5/20/12 51 38 3 4 4
e. Has presented a clearer plan for dealing with the economic situation
Both Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) opinion
7/8/12 43 38 2 12 5
Compare to:
Both Neither No
Obama McCain (vol.) (vol.) opinion
10/19/08 LV 50 32 2 13 3
14. On another subject, overall, do you support or oppose the federal law making changes to the health care system? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
-------- Support -------- --------- Oppose -------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
7/08/12 47 27 20 47 14 33 6
4/8/12 39 23 17 53 13 40 8
3/10/12 41 24 17 52 11 41 7
Compare to: Overall, given what you know about them, would you say you support or
oppose the changes to the health care system that have been enacted by (Congress)
and (the Obama administration)?
-------- Support -------- --------- Oppose -------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
1/16/11 45 25 20 50 14 36 5
12/12/10 43 22 21 52 14 37 6
10/3/10 47 26 21 48 13 35 5
3/26/10 46 32 13 50 10 40 4
2/8/10* 46 22 25 49 11 38 5
1/15/10 44 22 22 51 12 39 5
12/13/09 44 25 19 51 11 40 5
11/15/09 48 30 18 49 10 39 3
10/18/09 45 26 19 48 12 36 7
9/12/09 46 30 16 48 12 36 6
8/17/09 45 27 18 50 10 40 5
*2/8/10 and prior: "proposed changes...that are being developed by"
15. Regardless of your feeling about the law itself, do you approve or disapprove of the U.S. Supreme Court ruling on the health care law last week? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?
-------- Approve -------- ------ Disapprove ------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
7/8/12 42 25 17 44 11 33 14
16. (ASKED IF DO NOT SUPPORT HEALTH CARE CHANGES) What do you think is the best approach to the health care reform law: repeal all of it, repeal parts of it, or wait and see before deciding?
Repeal Repeal Wait No
all of it parts of it and see opinion
7/8/12 33 30 34 3
1/16/11 33 35 30 3
12/12/10 29 30 38 3
14/16 NET:
-------- Do not support (Oppose/DK/Ref) ---------
Repeal Repeal Wait No
Support NET all of it parts of it and see opinion
7/8/12 47 53 18 16 18 2
1/16/11 45 55 18 19 17 2
12/12/10 43 58 17 17 22 2
17. If a candidate for U.S. Congress supports the federal health care law, would that make you more likely to support that candidate, more likely to oppose that candidate or wouldn’t it make much difference in your vote? (IF SUPPORT/OPPOSE) Is that much more likely to support/oppose that candidate or somewhat more likely?
---- Support ---- ---- Oppose ----- No No
NET Much Smwt NET Smwt Much difference opinion
7/8/12 28 18 10 28 9 20 41 2
7/8/12 RV 30 20 11 31 9 22 37 2
7/11/10 RV* 39 25 15 37 6 31 21 2
* Part of a list item: “the new health care reform law”
Compare to: Say a candidate for Congress voted FOR the changes to the health care
system recently enacted by (Congress) and (the Obama administration). Would that
make you more likely to [support] that candidate for Congress, more likely to
[oppose] that candidate, or wouldn't it make much difference in your vote?
(IF SUPPORT/OPPOSE) Are you much more likely to support/oppose that candidate or
somewhat more?
---- Support ---- ---- Oppose ----- No No
NET Much Smwt NET Smwt Much difference opinion
3/26/10 26 16 9 32 6 27 40 2
3/26/10 RV 27 17 9 35 5 29 36 2
1/15/10* 22 12 10 31 7 24 45 2
11/15/09 25 13 12 29 8 20 45 1
9/12/09 22 12 10 23 7 17 54 1
8/17/09 23 14 9 32 6 26 43 2
*1/15/10 and prior: "supports the proposed changes...being developed"
18. Just your best guess, who do you think will win the presidential election this year - (Obama) or (Romney)?
Other No
Obama Romney (vol.) opinion
7/8/12 58 34 1 8
Compare to: Just your best guess, who do you think will win the presidential election
this year - (Obama) or (the Republican candidate)?
Obama Rep. candidate No opinion
3/10/12 54 40 6
1/15/12 46 49 5
12/18/11 46 49 5
10/2/11 37 55 8
19. For each item I name, please tell me if it is a major reason for you to (support) that candidate, a major reason for you to (oppose) that candidate, or not a major factor in your vote?
7/8/12 - Summary Table
Major Major Not a
reason to reason to major No
support oppose factor op.
a. Romney's work buying and restructuring
companies before he went into politics 23 24 50 4
b. Obama’s handling of the economy 36 43 19 2
c. Romney’s call to repeal the new
federal health care law 38 29 29 3
d. Obama’s views on the size and role of
government 26 37 34 3
Trend:
a. Romney's work buying and restructuring companies before he went into politics
Major reason Major reason Not a major No
to support to oppose factor opinion
7/8/12 23 24 50 4
5/20/12 21 21 54 4
b. Obama's handling of the economy
Major reason Major reason Not a major No
to support to oppose factor opinion
7/8/12 36 43 19 2
4/8/12 32 46 19 3
2/4/12 39 47 13 2
c. No trend.
d. Obama’s views on the size and role of government
Major reason Major reason Not a major No
to support to oppose factor opinion
7/8/12 26 37 34 3
4/8/12 22 39 34 5
20. In his work as a corporate investor, do you think Romney did more to (create jobs) or more to (cut jobs) in the United States?
Create jobs Cut jobs No opinion
7/8/12* 36 40 24
2/4/12 32 36 32
*7/8/12 added “in the United States”
21. Thinking about people of different racial backgrounds, how many blacks, if any, live in your community – a lot, some, just a few, or none?
--- A lot/some --- --- Just a few/none ---
NET A lot Some NET Just a few None No opinion
7/8/12 59 33 26 38 33 5 3
22. (IF BLACKS IN COMMUNITY) Do you think blacks who live in your community experience racial discrimination, or not? (IF YES) Do you think it happens often, occasionally, or rarely?
------------ Yes ------------ No
NET Often Occas. Rarely No opinion
7/8/12 All 37 11 18 8 58 5
Whites 33 6 18 9 62 5
1/16/09*All 47 15 25 8 51 2
Whites 43 11 25 8 55 1
9/14/08 All 49 18 23 7 48 3
Whites 46 13 24 8 51 3
6/15/08 All 50 16 26 9 47 3
Whites 48 13 27 8 49 3
1/20/03 All 45 12 27 6 52 3
Whites 43 10 26 7 55 3
*1/16/09 and previous asked of all. Results exclude those who volunteered there were no blacks in their community.
23. (IF NOT BLACK AND BLACKS LIVE IN COMMUNITY) Generally speaking, do you think blacks in your community try as hard as people of other races to get ahead, or don’t try as hard? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
--------- Try harder/as hard -------
Try harder --- Try as hard --- --- Don’t try as hard --- No
NET (vol.) Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
7/8/12 72 * 53 19 19 9 10 9
24. (IF NOT BLACK) Imagine that a close relative of yours marries a person who is black, is that something you'd be entirely comfortable with, somewhat comfortable, somewhat uncomfortable or entirely uncomfortable?
------ Comfortable ------ ----- Uncomfortable ----- No
NET Entirely Somewhat NET Somewhat Entirely opinion
7/8/12 81 65 16 15 8 6 5
25. How much does it matter to you that a candidate for president shares your religious beliefs - does it matter a great deal, somewhat, not so much, or not at all?
---- Matters ----- -- Does not matter ---
Great Not Not No
NET deal Smwt NET so much at all opinion
7/8/12 37 18 19 63 15 47 *
3/10/12 42 17 24 58 17 41 1
2/4/12 38 18 20 62 16 46 *
26. Would you say you have a generally favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Mormon religion? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
------- Favorable ------- ------ Unfavorable ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
7/8/12 39 12 26 31 17 14 31
12/9/07 42 8 34 39 25 14 19
27. Thinking about people of different religious backgrounds, how many Mormons, if any, live in your community – a lot, some, just a few, or none?
--- A lot/some --- --- Just a few/none ---
NET A lot Some NET Just a few None No opinion
7/8/12 23 9 14 53 29 24 24
28. (IF NOT MORMON) Imagine that a close relative of yours marries a person who is a Mormon, is that something you'd be entirely comfortable with, somewhat comfortable, somewhat uncomfortable or entirely uncomfortable?
------ Comfortable ------ ----- Uncomfortable ----- No
NET Entirely Somewhat NET Somewhat Entirely opinion
7/8/12 74 49 25 20 13 7 6
Questions 29 to 32 held for release.
901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what?
Democrat Republican Independent Other (vol.) No opinion
7/8/12 33 24 36 4 3
5/20/12 32 22 38 7 2
4/18/12 34 23 34 5 3
3/10/12 31 27 36 3 3
2/12/12 34 23 37 5 1
1/15/12 32 25 36 5 2
908a. Would you say your views on most political matters are liberal, moderate or conservative?
Don't think in
Liberal Moderate Conservative those terms (vol.) No opinion
7/8/12 23 34 39 2 1
5/20/12 22 35 37 3 3
4/18/12 22 44 29 2 3
3/10/12 23 37 37 2 1
2/12/12 21 39 37 1 2
1/15/12 19 42 37 1 2
***END***
