Washington Post-ABC News Poll

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone July 5 to 8, 2012, among a random national sample of 1,003 adults, including landline and cell phone-only respondents. Results for the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points and a four point error margin for the sample of 855 registered voters. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?

                                                     Don't think  
              Certain  Probably  Chances  Less than   will vote    No
              to vote    vote     50/50     that       (vol.)      op.
7/8/12          69        10        9        7           4          1
7/8/12   RV     81         9        8        2           *          *

7/13/08  RV     79        10        7        3           2          0
6/15/08         71         9        8        7           4          *

7/25/04  RV     85         7        5        2           *          *
7/29/00         61        15        9       11           3          *
7/23/00         59        17       10       11           4          *
6/11/00         60        13       11       10           4          *

2. If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Barack Obama, the Democrat) and (Mitt Romney, the Republican), for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Obama) or toward (Romney)?

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – all adults

                            Other    Neither    Would not      No
           Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    vote (vol.)   opinion
7/8/12      46       46        *        3           2           3
5/20/12     49       45        1        3           2           1
4/8/12      51       43        *        2           3           1
3/10/12     46       47        *        2           3           2
2/4/12      52       43        *        1           2           2
1/15/12     46       47        *        2           3           2
12/18/11    49       46        *        2           2           1
11/3/11     48       45        *        3           2           1
10/2/11     47       46        *        3           1           2
9/1/11      46       47        *        2           3           2
7/17/11     51       44        *        2           1           2
6/5/11      47       47        *        2           1           2
4/17/11     49       45        *        3           1           2

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – registered voters

                               Other    Neither    Would not      No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
7/8/12   RV    47       47        *         2          *           4
5/20/12  RV    49       46        *         3          1           1
4/8/12   RV    51       44        *         2          3           1
3/10/12  RV    47       49        *         1          2           2
2/4/12   RV    51       45        *         1          1           1
1/15/12  RV    46       48        *         2          2           2
12/18/11 RV    47       47        *         2          2           1
11/3/11  RV    46       47        *         3          2           1
10/2/11  RV    46       48        *         2          1           2
9/1/11   RV    45       49        *         2          2           2
7/17/11  RV    49       47        *         2          1           1
6/5/11   RV    46       49        *         2          1           2
4/17/11  RV    49       45        *         3          1           1

3. (ASKED IF NAMED CANDIDATE) Will you definitely vote for (NAMED CANDIDATE), or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? (IF CHANCE CHANGE MIND) (Is there a GOOD CHANCE) you'll change your mind, or (is it a PRETTY UNLIKELY chance)?

              Definitely   -Chance change mind -     No
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
7/8/12            77       21      8       13         3
7/8/12   RV       79       19      6       13         2

7/13/08  RV       72       25     10       15         3
6/15/08  RV       72       26     11       16         2
7/25/04  RV       78       20      7       13         2
7/11/04  RV       79       21      7       13         1
6/20/04  RV       73       26     12       14         *

Barack Obama:

              Definitely   -Chance change mind -     No 
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
7/8/12   RV       81       17      4       13         2

7/13/08  RV       72       23      9       14         5
6/15/08  RV       71       26      7       19         3
5/11/08  RV       71       25     13       13         4

Mitt Romney: 

              Definitely   -Chance change mind -     No 
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
7/8/12   RV       77       21      8       13         2

Compare to: John McCain:

              Definitely   -Chance change mind -     No 
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
7/13/08  RV       71       28     12       17         1
6/15/08  RV       72       27     14       12         1
5/11/08  RV       66       32     17       15         2

4. (IF SUPPORT OBAMA OR ROMNEY) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting (Obama/Romney) somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

            --- Enthusiastic ----   --- Not enthusiastic ----     No
            NET   Very   Somewhat   NET   Not so   Not at all   opinion
7/8/12      85     41       44      14       9          6          1
5/20/12     83     36       46      17      10          7          1

7/8/12  RV  88     44       44      12       8          4          *
5/20/12 RV  84     39       45      16       9          6          *

Obama:
7/8/12      90     48       43       9       6          3          1
5/20/12     91     48       43       9       4          5          *

7/8/12  RV  91     51       40       8       5          3          1
5/20/12 RV  93     51       41       7       4          4          0

Romney:
7/8/12      79     34       46      20      12          8          1
5/20/12     73     23       50      25      16          9          1

7/8/12  RV  85     38       47      15      11          4          *
5/20/12 RV  75     26       48      25      15          9          1

5a. (IF LEANED OBAMA) Is your vote more FOR Obama, or more AGAINST Romney?

             For Obama   Against Romney   No opinion
7/8/12  RV       75            23             3

Compare to:
             For Obama   Against McCain   No opinion
7/13/08 RV       81            16               3

              For Kerry   Against Bush     No opinion
9/8/04  RV       41            55               4
7/25/04 RV       41            56               3
6/20/04 RV       43            55               1  
5/23/04          38            61               1
3/7/04           38            61               1

5b. (IF LEANED ROMNEY) Is your vote more FOR Romney, or more AGAINST Obama?

              For Romney   Against Obama   No opinion
7/8/12  RV       37             59              4

Compare to:
              For McCain   Against Obama   No opinion
7/13/08 RV       70             28              2

              For Bush     Against Kerry   No opinion
9/8/04  RV       84             14              2
7/25/04 RV       81             17              2
6/20/04 RV       82             17              1
5/23/04          77             21              1
3/7/04           86             13              2

6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

           -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
7/8/12     47       24         24      49       15         34         4
5/20/12    47       26         21      49       13         36         3
4/8/12     50       30         20      45       10         35         6
3/10/12    46       28         18      50       11         39         4
2/4/12     50       29         22      46       11         36         3
1/15/12    48       25         23      48       11         37         4
12/18/11   49       25         24      47       13         34         4
11/3/11    44       22         22      53       15         37         3
10/2/11    42       21         21      54       14         40         4
9/1/11     43       21         22      53       16         38         3
8/9/11*    44       18         26      46        9         37        10
7/17/11    47       25         22      48       14         35         5
6/5/11     47       27         20      49       13         37         4
5/2/11**   56       29         27      38       14         24         6
4/17/11    47       27         21      50       12         37         3
3/13/11    51       27         24      45       12         33         4
1/16/11    54       30         23      43       15         28         3
12/12/10   49       24         25      47       15         32         4
10/28/10   50       27         23      45       11         34         5
10/3/10    50       26         24      47       13         34         3
9/2/10     46       24         22      52       14         38         3
7/11/10    50       28         22      47       12         35         3
6/6/10     52       30         22      45       12         33         4
4/25/10    54       31         23      44       11         33         3
3/26/10    53       34         20      43        8         35         3
2/8/10     51       29         22      46       12         33         3
1/15/10    53       30         24      44       13         32         2
12/13/09   50       31         18      46       13         33         4
11/15/09   56       32         23      42       13         29         2
10/18/09   57       33         23      40       11         29         3
9/12/09    54       35         19      43       12         31         3
8/17/09    57       35         21      40       11         29         3
7/18/09    59       38         22      37        9         28         4
6/21/09    65       36         29      31       10         22         4
4/24/09    69       42         27      26        8         18         4
3/29/09    66       40         26      29        9         20         5
2/22/09    68       43         25      25        8         17         7
*Washington Post
**Washington Post/Pew Research Center

7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling [ITEM]? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

7/8/12 - Summary Table*

                        -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------   No
                        NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   op.
a. The economy          44       21         23      54       13         41       2
b. Health care          41       25         16      52       11         41       7
c. Immigration issues   38       20         18      52       18         34      10
*Full sample asked item a; half sample asked item b; other half sample asked item c.

Trend:

a. The economy

              -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
7/8/12        44       21         23      54       13         41         2
5/20/12       42       20         22      55       11         44         2
4/8/12        44       23         21      54       12         42         2
3/10/12       38       20         18      59        9         50         2
2/4/12        44       23         22      53       11         41         3
1/15/12       41       19         22      57       11         46         2
12/18/11      41       17         24      56       13         43         2
11/3/11       38       18         20      61       13         48         2
10/2/11       35       17         19      61       13         48         4
9/1/11        36       15         21      62       15         47         2
7/17/11       39       18         22      57       15         43         3
6/5/11        40       20         20      59       10         49         2
5/2/11*       40       18         22      55       16         39         4
4/17/11       42       23         19      57       11         46         2
3/13/11       43       22         21      55       13         41         2
1/16/11       46       22         24      51       13         38         2
12/12/10      43       21         22      54       15         39         3
10/28/10 RV   44       21         23      54       15         39         3
10/3/10       45       22         23      53       13         41         2
9/2/10        41       20         21      57       13         44         2
7/11/10       43       20         23      54       13         41         4
6/6/10        50       26         24      49       12         37         2
4/25/10       49       24         25      49       10         39         2
3/26/10       45       23         22      52       12         40         3
2/8/10        45       22         23      53       15         38         2
1/15/10       47       22         24      52       13         39         1
12/13/09      46       23         24      52       12         40         2
11/15/09      51       26         25      47       12         36         2
10/18/09      50       29         22      48       13         35         1
9/12/09       51       28         24      46       13         33         2
8/17/09       52       27         25      46       13         33         2
7/18/09       52       29         23      46       10         35         3
6/21/09       56       28         28      41       13         27         3
4/24/09       58       31         28      38       13         25         4
3/29/09       60       34         25      38       12         26         3
2/22/09       60       NA         NA      34       NA         NA         6
*Washington Post/Pew Research Center

b. Health care

           -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
7/8/12     41       25         16      52       11         41         7
1/16/11    43       26         18      52       11         41         5
7/11/10    45       27         19      50       10         40         5
4/25/10    49       29         20      49        9         40         1
3/26/10    48       33         15      49        6         43         3
2/8/10     43       24         19      53       11         43         3
1/15/10    44       24         21      52        9         43         4
12/13/09   44       27         18      53       10         43         3
11/15/09   47       28         19      49        8         41         3
10/18/09   48       30         18      48       10         38         4
9/12/09    48       32         15      48       10         38         4
8/17/09    46       27         19      50        8         42         5
7/18/09    49       25         24      44       11         33         7
6/21/09    53       27         26      39       10         29         9
4/24/09    57       NA         NA      29       NA         NA        13

c. Immigration issues

           -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
7/8/12     38       20         18      52       18         34        10
6/6/10     39       17         23      51       14         37        10
3/26/10    33       14         19      43       15         28        23
4/24/09    48       NA         NA      35       NA         NA        18

8. Do you think things in this country (are generally going in the right direction) or do you feel things (have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track)?

                Right     Wrong     No 
              direction   track   opinion
7/8/12           33        63        4
4/8/12           33        64        3
1/15/12          30        68        2
11/3/11          22        74        3
9/1/11           20        77        3
6/5/11           32        66        2
1/16/11          38        60        3
12/12/10         31        67        2
10/28/10 RV      27        71        2
6/6/10           37        60        3
3/26/10          38        60        2
1/15/10          37        62        1
11/15/09         44        55        2
10/18/09         44        54        2
8/17/09          44        55        1
6/21/09          47        50        3
4/24/09          50        48        2
3/29/09          42        57        1
2/22/09          31        67        2
1/16/09          19        78        3
12/14/08         15        82        3
10/25/08 LV      13        85        2
10/11/08 RV       8        90        2
9/22/08  RV      14        83        3
8/22/08          19        78        2
6/15/08          14        84        2
5/11/08          16        82        2
1/12/08          21        77        2
11/1/07          24        74        2
6/1/07           25        73        2
1/19/07          26        71        3
11/4/06  RV      39        59        2
10/22/06         30        68        2
10/8/06          32        66        2
5/15/06          29        69        2
11/2/05          30        68        2
10/24/04 LV      41        55        4
4/18/04          42        57        1
4/30/03          52        46        2
9/26/02          43        53        4
2/21/02          54        42        4
2/14/99          55        41        4
11/1/98          55        43        2
8/21/98          57        40        4
7/12/98          50        45        6
4/4/98           55        41        4
1/31/98          61        34        5
1/30/98          61        34        5
1/19/98          44        50        6
8/27/97          39        57        4
6/8/97           37        60        3
3/9/97           34        62        4
10/17/96 RV      40        55        5
10/16/96 RV      42        53        5
10/15/96 RV      43        52        5
10/14/96 RV      44        51        5
10/13/96 RV      44        51        5
9/04/96  RV      40        54        6
8/21/96          28        67        5
6/30/96          26        70        5
3/17/96          27        70        3
1/21/96          27        66        6
1/3/96           21        77        3
4/5/95           23        73        3
1/4/95           27        68        6
10/31/94         27        69        4
7/20/94          26        70        4
3/27/94          28        69        3
1/23/94          31        60       10
11/14/93         25        69        6
8/8/93           26        71        3
6/20/93          26        71        3
4/26/93          27        71        2
3/11/93          36        57        7
2/28/93          37        59        4
1/17/93          31        63        6
12/14/92         35        60        5
10/27/92 RV      22        76        2
10/4/92  RV      18        78        4
6/7/92           14        83        3
4/9/92           16        81        3
3/11/92          18        79        4
1/15/92          19        78        3
11/10/91         24        72        4
10/29/91         26        71        3
8/27/91          31        60        9
7/28/91          30        67        3
6/2/91           39        57        4
4/9/91           42        51        7
2/26/91          58        39        3
1/27/91          49        48        4
10/14/90         19        79        2
9/9/90           36        60        4
8/20/90          35        60        5
7/24/90          37        60        2
5/21/90          39        60        2
3/26/90          44        53        2
2/4/90           49        48        3
1/16/90          48        49        3
5/23/89          42        55        3
3/16/89          46        52        2
1/16/89  LV      51        46        3
10/25/88 LV      49        46        6
9/27/88          48        44        8
7/11/88          40        56        4
5/25/88          35        59        6
3/21/88          40        56        4
1/23/88          39        59        2
12/13/87         49        47        4
12/2/87          35        61        4
9/23/87          43        54        4
6/29/87          35        62        3
4/13/87          37        60        3
3/9/87           38        58        4
1/18/87          39        56        5
9/8/86           50        48        2
1/26/86          45        47        8
7/29/85          52        43        6
1/16/85          59        36        4
5/22/84          47        48        5
12/13/83         43        51        6
11/7/83          51        44        5
4/12/83          41        54        4
3/2/83           43        53        3
10/11/82         35        57        8
1/30/82          39        56        5
2/80*            20        70       10
2/78             34        53       13
2/77             41        44       14
10/75            19        71        9
10/74            15        75       11
10/73            16        74       10
*2/80 and previous: Roper

9. What do you think is more important right now - (having the federal government spend money to try to encourage job creation, even if that increases the federal budget deficit); or (having the federal government hold down the federal budget deficit, even if it means not spending money to try to encourage job creation)? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

          -Encourage job creation -   --- Hold down deficit ---     No
          NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
7/8/12    48       32         16      45       14         31         7
11/3/11   46       31         15      49       19         31         4

10. For each item I name, please tell me how important it will be in your vote for president this year. Will it be an extremely important issue, very important, somewhat important or less important than that?

7/8/12 - Summary Table*

                         ----- Important ----   -Not as important--   No   
                         NET  Extremely  Very   NET  Somewhat  Less   op.  
a. The economy           89      53       36    11       10      1     *
b. Health care policy    77      42       35    23       18      5     1
c. Immigration issues    48      18       30    51       37     14     1
d. The federal budget
   deficit               70      36       34    29       24      5     1
e. Taxes                 65      32       33    33       27      6     2
f. Appointments to the     
   U.S. Supreme Court    49      26       23    47       32     15     4
*Full sample asked items a and b; half sample asked items c and d; other half asked e and f.

7/8/12 - Summary Table – Registered voters

                         ----- Important ----   -Not as important--   No   
                         NET  Extremely  Very   NET  Somewhat  Less   op.  
a. The economy           90      53       37    10        9      1     *
b. Health care policy    78      43       34    22       18      4     1
c. Immigration issues    48      18       30    51       38     13     1
d. The federal budget
   deficit               70      38       32    29       23      6     *
e. Taxes                 66      32       34    33       27      6     1
f. Appointments to the     
   U.S. Supreme Court    53      29       25    43       30     13     3


Trend:

a. The economy

          ----- Important ----   -Not as important--   No
          NET  Extremely  Very   NET  Somewhat  Less   op.
7/8/12    89      53       36    11      10       1     *
7/13/08   92      50       41     8       7       1     0

b. Health care policy

           ----- Important ----   -Not as important--   No
           NET  Extremely  Very   NET  Somewhat  Less   op.
7/8/12     77      42       35    23      18       5     1
7/13/08*   78      39       39    22      15       7     *
*7/13/08 “Health care” 

c. Immigration issues

          ----- Important ----   -Not as important--   No
          NET  Extremely  Very   NET  Somewhat  Less   op.
7/8/12    48      18       30    51      37      14     1
7/13/08   63      27       36    37      29       7     1

d. The federal budget deficit

          ----- Important ----   -Not as important--   No
          NET  Extremely  Very   NET  Somewhat  Less   op.
7/8/12    70      36       34    29      24       5     1
7/13/08   72      34       38    27      21       5     1

e. Taxes

          ----- Important ----   -Not as important--   No
          NET  Extremely  Very   NET  Somewhat  Less   op.
7/8/12    65      32       33    33      27       6     2
7/13/08   70      30       40    30      23       6     1

f. Appointments to the U.S. Supreme Court

          ----- Important ----   -Not as important--   No
          NET  Extremely  Very   NET  Somewhat  Less   op.
7/8/12    49      26       23    47      32      15     4
7/13/08   60      26       35    36      25      11     3

11. Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job [ITEM] - (Obama) or (Romney)?

7/8/12 - Summary Table*

                                                  Both    Neither     No
                                Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
a. Handling the economy          44       49        1        4         3
b. Handling health care policy   46       45        1        5         3
c. Handling immigration issues   45       45        1        5         5
d. Dealing with the federal
   budget deficit                42       52        1        3         2
e. Handling taxes                46       45        *        5         4
f. Making appointments to the   
   U.S. Supreme Court            48       37        2        6         7
*Full sample asked items a and b; half sample asked items c and d; other half sample asked items e and f.

7/8/12 - Summary Table – Registered voters

                                                  Both    Neither     No
                                Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
a. Handling the economy          45       48        1        3         3
b. Handling health care policy   48       44        1        5         3
c. Handling immigration issues   46       43        *        6         5
d. Dealing with the federal
   budget deficit                43       51        1        3         2
e. Handling taxes                46       46        *        5         3
f. Making appointments to the   
   U.S. Supreme Court            48       40        1        6         6

Trend:

a. Handling the economy

                            Both    Neither    No
          Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
7/8/12     44       49        1        4        3
5/20/12    46       47        *        3        3
4/8/12     43       47        1        5        5
2/4/12     45       48        1        4        2

b. Handling health care policy       

                           Both    Neither    No
         Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
7/8/12    46       45        1        5        3
4/8/12    48       38        *        7        6

c. No trend.

d. Dealing with the federal budget deficit     

                           Both    Neither    No
         Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
7/8/12    42       52        1        3        2
4/8/12    38       51        *        5        6
2/4/12    41       51        *        4        4

e. Handling taxes                      
                           Both    Neither    No
         Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
7/8/12    46       45        *        5        4
4/8/12    45       42        *        7        5
2/4/12    52       42        *        3        3

f. No trend.              

12. In thinking about your vote for president, what’s more important – the things Obama has done as president in his first term, or the things you think he would do if elected to a second term?

          Things Obama has    Things Obama will    Both      No
         done in first term   do in second term   (vol.)   opinion
7/8/12          33                    51            10        6

13. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think [ITEM] - (Obama) or (Romney)?

7/8/12 - Summary Table*

                                                     Both    Neither     No
                                   Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion 
a. Better understands the   
   economic problems people                
   in this country are having       50       40        2        6         3
b. Is the stronger leader           47       42        3        2         6
c. Seems like the more friendly 
   and likeable person              63       27        5        2         4
d. Is more likely to stand up
   for what he believes in          48       39        5        5         3
e. Has presented a clearer plan
   for dealing with the economic
   situation                        43       38        2       12         5
*Full sample asked item a; half sample asked items b and c; other half asked d and e.

7/8/12 - Summary Table – Registered voters

                                                     Both    Neither     No
                                   Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion 
a. Better understands the   
   economic problems people                
   in this country are having       51       40        2        5         2
b. Is the stronger leader           46       44        3        2         6
c. Seems like the more friendly 
   and likeable person              63       26        5        2         4
d. Is more likely to stand up
   for what he believes in          52       36        6        4         2
e. Has presented a clearer plan
   for dealing with the economic
   situation                        47       35        2       13         3

Trend:

a. Better understands the economic problems people in this country are having

                            Both    Neither     No
          Obama   Romney   (vol.)    vol.)    opinion
7/8/12     50       40        2        6         3
5/20/12    48       40        2        7         3
4/8/12     49       37        2        9         4
2/4/12     53       36        2        7         3

b. Is the stronger leader

                            Both    Neither     No
          Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
7/8/12     47       42        3       2          6
4/8/12     46       40        1       6          7

c. Seems like the more friendly and likable person

                            Both    Neither     No
          Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
7/8/12     63       27        5        2         4
4/8/12     64       26        3        2         4

d. Is more likely to stand up for what he believes in

                            Both    Neither     No
          Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion 
7/8/12     48       39        5        5         3
5/20/12    51       38        3        4         4

e. Has presented a clearer plan for dealing with the economic situation

                            Both    Neither     No
          Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion 
7/8/12     43       38       2       12         5

Compare to:
                                Both    Neither     No 
              Obama   McCain   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/19/08 LV    50       32       2       13          3

14. On another subject, overall, do you support or oppose the federal law making changes to the health care system? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

           -------- Support --------   --------- Oppose --------     No   
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
7/08/12    47       27         20      47       14         33         6
4/8/12     39       23         17      53       13         40         8
3/10/12    41       24         17      52       11         41         7

Compare to: Overall, given what you know about them, would you say you support or
oppose the changes to the health care system that have been enacted by (Congress)
and (the Obama administration)?

           -------- Support --------   --------- Oppose --------     No
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
1/16/11    45       25         20      50       14         36         5
12/12/10   43       22         21      52       14         37         6
10/3/10    47       26         21      48       13         35         5
3/26/10    46       32         13      50       10         40         4
2/8/10*    46       22         25      49       11         38         5
1/15/10    44       22         22      51       12         39         5
12/13/09   44       25         19      51       11         40         5
11/15/09   48       30         18      49       10         39         3
10/18/09   45       26         19      48       12         36         7
9/12/09    46       30         16      48       12         36         6
8/17/09    45       27         18      50       10         40         5
*2/8/10 and prior: "proposed changes...that are being developed by"

15. Regardless of your feeling about the law itself, do you approve or disapprove of the U.S. Supreme Court ruling on the health care law last week? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

         -------- Approve --------   ------ Disapprove -------     No
         NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
7/8/12   42       25         17      44       11         33        14

16. (ASKED IF DO NOT SUPPORT HEALTH CARE CHANGES) What do you think is the best approach to the health care reform law: repeal all of it, repeal parts of it, or wait and see before deciding?

            Repeal       Repeal       Wait       No
           all of it   parts of it   and see   opinion
7/8/12        33           30          34         3
1/16/11       33           35          30         3
12/12/10      29           30          38         3

14/16 NET:

                     -------- Do not support (Oppose/DK/Ref) ---------
                            Repeal       Repeal       Wait       No
           Support   NET   all of it   parts of it   and see   opinion
7/8/12       47      53       18           16          18         2
1/16/11      45      55       18           19          17         2
12/12/10     43      58       17           17          22         2

17. If a candidate for U.S. Congress supports the federal health care law, would that make you more likely to support that candidate, more likely to oppose that candidate or wouldn’t it make much difference in your vote? (IF SUPPORT/OPPOSE) Is that much more likely to support/oppose that candidate or somewhat more likely?

             ---- Support ----   ---- Oppose -----      No          No 
             NET   Much   Smwt   NET   Smwt   Much   difference   opinion
7/8/12       28     18     10    28      9     20       41           2
7/8/12  RV   30     20     11    31      9     22       37           2
7/11/10 RV*  39     25     15    37      6     31       21           2
* Part of a list item: “the new health care reform law” 

Compare to: Say a candidate for Congress voted FOR the changes to the health care
system recently enacted by (Congress) and (the Obama administration). Would that
make you more likely to [support] that candidate for Congress, more likely to
[oppose] that candidate, or wouldn't it make much difference in your vote?
(IF SUPPORT/OPPOSE) Are you much more likely to support/oppose that candidate or
somewhat more?

             ---- Support ----   ---- Oppose -----      No          No 
             NET   Much   Smwt   NET   Smwt   Much   difference   opinion
3/26/10      26     16      9    32      6     27       40           2
3/26/10 RV   27     17      9    35      5     29       36           2
1/15/10*     22     12     10    31      7     24       45           2
11/15/09     25     13     12    29      8     20       45           1
9/12/09      22     12     10    23      7     17       54           1
8/17/09      23     14      9    32      6     26       43           2
*1/15/10 and prior: "supports the proposed changes...being developed"

18. Just your best guess, who do you think will win the presidential election this year - (Obama) or (Romney)?

                    
                           Other     No
         Obama   Romney   (vol.)   opinion
7/8/12    58       34        1        8

Compare to: Just your best guess, who do you think will win the presidential election
this year - (Obama) or (the Republican candidate)?

           Obama   Rep. candidate   No opinion
3/10/12     54           40              6
1/15/12     46           49              5
12/18/11    46           49              5
10/2/11     37           55              8

19. For each item I name, please tell me if it is a major reason for you to (support) that candidate, a major reason for you to (oppose) that candidate, or not a major factor in your vote?

7/8/12 - Summary Table

                                              Major       Major     Not a
                                            reason to   reason to   major    No
                                             support     oppose     factor   op.
a. Romney's work buying and restructuring
   companies before he went into politics      23          24         50      4
b. Obama’s handling of the economy             36          43         19      2
c. Romney’s call to repeal the new 
   federal health care law                     38          29         29      3
d. Obama’s views on the size and role of 
   government                                  26          37         34      3

Trend:

a. Romney's work buying and restructuring companies before he went into politics
      
          Major reason   Major reason   Not a major     No
           to support     to oppose       factor      opinion
7/8/12         23             24            50           4
5/20/12        21             21            54           4

b. Obama's handling of the economy       

         Major reason   Major reason   Not a major     No
          to support     to oppose       factor      opinion
7/8/12        36             43            19           2
4/8/12        32             46            19           3
2/4/12        39             47            13           2

c. No trend.

d. Obama’s views on the size and role of government

         Major reason   Major reason   Not a major     No
          to support     to oppose       factor      opinion
7/8/12        26             37            34           3
4/8/12        22             39            34           5

20. In his work as a corporate investor, do you think Romney did more to (create jobs) or more to (cut jobs) in the United States?

         Create jobs   Cut jobs   No opinion
7/8/12*      36           40          24
2/4/12       32           36          32
*7/8/12 added “in the United States” 

21. Thinking about people of different racial backgrounds, how many blacks, if any, live in your community – a lot, some, just a few, or none?

         --- A lot/some ---   --- Just a few/none ---
         NET   A lot   Some   NET   Just a few   None   No opinion
7/8/12   59      33     26    38        33        5          3

22. (IF BLACKS IN COMMUNITY) Do you think blacks who live in your community experience racial discrimination, or not? (IF YES) Do you think it happens often, occasionally, or rarely?

                 ------------ Yes ------------          No
                 NET   Often   Occas.   Rarely   No   opinion
7/8/12  All      37      11      18        8     58      5
        Whites   33       6      18        9     62      5

1/16/09*All      47      15      25        8     51      2
        Whites   43      11      25        8     55      1

9/14/08 All      49      18      23        7     48      3
        Whites   46      13      24        8     51      3

6/15/08 All      50      16      26        9     47      3
        Whites   48      13      27        8     49      3

1/20/03 All      45      12      27        6     52      3
        Whites   43      10      26        7     55      3

*1/16/09 and previous asked of all. Results exclude those who volunteered there were no blacks in their community.

23. (IF NOT BLACK AND BLACKS LIVE IN COMMUNITY) Generally speaking, do you think blacks in your community try as hard as people of other races to get ahead, or don’t try as hard? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

         --------- Try harder/as hard -------
              Try harder  --- Try as hard ---   --- Don’t try as hard ---     No
         NET    (vol.)    Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
7/8/12   72        *         53         19      19        9         10         9

24. (IF NOT BLACK) Imagine that a close relative of yours marries a person who is black, is that something you'd be entirely comfortable with, somewhat comfortable, somewhat uncomfortable or entirely uncomfortable?

         ------ Comfortable ------   ----- Uncomfortable -----     No
         NET   Entirely   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Entirely   opinion
7/8/12   81       65         16      15        8          6         5

25. How much does it matter to you that a candidate for president shares your religious beliefs - does it matter a great deal, somewhat, not so much, or not at all?

          ---- Matters -----   -- Does not matter ---
                Great                  Not       Not      No 
          NET   deal    Smwt   NET   so much   at all   opinion
7/8/12    37     18      19    63      15        47        *
3/10/12   42     17      24    58      17        41        1
2/4/12    38     18      20    62      16        46        *

26. Would you say you have a generally favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Mormon religion? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

          ------- Favorable -------   ------ Unfavorable ------     No   
          NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
7/8/12    39       12         26      31       17         14        31
12/9/07   42        8         34      39       25         14        19

27. Thinking about people of different religious backgrounds, how many Mormons, if any, live in your community – a lot, some, just a few, or none?

         --- A lot/some ---   --- Just a few/none ---
         NET   A lot   Some   NET   Just a few   None   No opinion
7/8/12   23      9      14    53        29        24        24

28. (IF NOT MORMON) Imagine that a close relative of yours marries a person who is a Mormon, is that something you'd be entirely comfortable with, somewhat comfortable, somewhat uncomfortable or entirely uncomfortable?

         ------ Comfortable ------   ----- Uncomfortable -----     No
         NET   Entirely   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Entirely   opinion
7/8/12   74       49         25      20       13          7         6

Questions 29 to 32 held for release.

901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what?

          Democrat   Republican   Independent   Other (vol.)   No opinion
7/8/12       33          24           36              4             3
5/20/12      32          22           38              7             2
4/18/12      34          23           34              5             3
3/10/12      31          27           36              3             3
2/12/12      34          23           37              5             1
1/15/12      32          25           36              5             2

908a. Would you say your views on most political matters are liberal, moderate or conservative?

                                               Don't think in 
          Liberal   Moderate   Conservative   those terms (vol.)   No opinion
7/8/12      23         34           39                2                 1
5/20/12     22         35           37                3                 3  
4/18/12     22         44           29                2                 3
3/10/12     23         37           37                2                 1
2/12/12     21         39           37                1                 2
1/15/12     19         42           37                1                 2

***END***

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