Washington Post-ABC News Poll

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone August 22-25, 2012, among a random national sample of 1,002 adults, including landline and cell phone-only respondents. Results for the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus four points. The error margin is also four points for the sample of 857 registered voters. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?

                                                     Don't think  
              Certain  Probably  Chances  Less than   will vote    No
              to vote    vote     50/50     that       (vol.)      op.
8/25/12  RV     81         8        6        3           1          *
8/25/12         68         9        9        9           5          *
7/8/12   RV     81         9        8        2           *          *
7/8/12          69        10        9        7           4          1      

8/22/08  RV     84        10        4        2           *          *
7/13/08  RV     79        10        7        3           2          0
6/15/08         71         9        8        7           4          *

8/29/04  RV     84        10        4        2           *          0
8/1/04   RV     85         9        4        1           1          *
7/25/04  RV     85         7        5        2           *          *
8/20/00  RV     78        13        6        3           1          0
8/10/00  RV     79        12        6        1           1          *
8/6/00          64        12       11        8           5          *
7/29/00         61        15        9       11           3          *
7/23/00         59        17       10       11           4          *
6/11/00         60        13       11       10           4          *

2. If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Barack Obama, the Democrat) and (Mitt Romney, the Republican), for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Obama) or toward (Romney)?

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – all adults

                            Other    Neither    Would not      No
           Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    vote (vol.)   opinion
8/25/12     49       42        2        4           3           1
7/8/12*     46       46        *        3           2           3
5/20/12     49       45        1        3           2           1
4/8/12      51       43        *        2           3           1
3/10/12     46       47        *        2           3           2
2/4/12      52       43        *        1           2           2
1/15/12     46       47        *        2           3           2
12/18/11    49       46        *        2           2           1
11/3/11     48       45        *        3           2           1
10/2/11     47       46        *        3           1           2
9/1/11      46       47        *        2           3           2
7/17/11     51       44        *        2           1           2
6/5/11      47       47        *        2           1           2
4/17/11     49       45        *        3           1           2
*7/18/12 and prior: “Barack Obama, the Democrat” and “Mitt Romney, the Republican”.

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – registered voters

                               Other    Neither    Would not      No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
8/25/12  RV    46       47        2        3           2           1
7/8/12*  RV    47       47        *        2           *           4
5/20/12  RV    49       46        *         3          1           1
4/8/12   RV    51       44        *         2          3           1
3/10/12  RV    47       49        *         1          2           2
2/4/12   RV    51       45        *         1          1           1
1/15/12  RV    46       48        *         2          2           2
12/18/11 RV    47       47        *         2          2           1
11/3/11  RV    46       47        *         3          2           1
10/2/11  RV    46       48        *         2          1           2
9/1/11   RV    45       49        *         2          2           2
7/17/11  RV    49       47        *         2          1           1
6/5/11   RV    46       49        *         2          1           2
4/17/11  RV    49       45        *         3          1           1
*7/18/12 and prior: “Barack Obama, the Democrat” and “Mitt Romney, the Republican”.

3. (IF SUPPORT OBAMA OR ROMNEY) Will you definitely vote for (OBAMA/ROMNEY), or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for (CANDIDATE NOT NAMED)? (IF CHANCE CHANGE MIND) Would you say (there’s a GOOD CHANCE) you'll change your mind, or would you say (it’s PRETTY UNLIKELY)?

              Definitely   - Chance change mind -     No
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely    opinion
8/25/12           81       17      6       10          3
8/25/12  RV       83       15      6        9          2
7/8/12*           77       21      8       13          3
7/8/12   RV       79       19      6       13          2

8/22/08  RV       73       24     11       13          3
7/13/08  RV       72       25     10       15          3
6/15/08  RV       72       26     11       16          2
7/25/04  RV       78       20      7       13          2
7/11/04  RV       79       21      7       13          1
6/20/04  RV       73       26     12       14          *
*7/8/12 and prior: “Will you definitely vote for (NAMED CANDIDATE), or is there
a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else?”

Barack Obama:

              Definitely   -Chance change mind -     No 
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
8/25/12  RV       84       14      6        8         2
7/8/12   RV       81       17      4       13         2

8/22/08  RV       74       23      7       15         4
7/13/08  RV       72       23      9       14         5
6/15/08  RV       71       26      7       19         3
5/11/08  RV       71       25     13       13         4

Mitt Romney: 

              Definitely   -Chance change mind -     No 
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
8/25/12  RV       82       16      5       10         3
7/8/12   RV       77       21      8       13         2

Compare to: John McCain:

              Definitely   -Chance change mind -     No 
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
8/22/08  RV       72       25     14       11         2
7/13/08  RV       71       28     12       17         1
6/15/08  RV       72       27     14       12         1
5/11/08  RV       66       32     17       15         2

4. (IF SUPPORT OBAMA OR ROMNEY) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting (Obama/Romney) somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

            --- Enthusiastic ----   --- Not enthusiastic ----     No
            NET   Very   Somewhat   NET   Not so   Not at all   opinion
8/25/12     84     41       43      16      10          6          1
7/8/12      85     41       44      14       9          6          1
5/20/12     83     36       46      17      10          7          1

8/25/12 RV  85     45       40      14      10          4          1
7/8/12  RV  88     44       44      12       8          4          *
5/20/12 RV  84     39       45      16       9          6          *

Obama:
8/25/12     86     43       43      13       7          6          1
7/8/12      90     48       43       9       6          3          1
5/20/12     91     48       43       9       4          5          *

8/25/12 RV  88     48       39      11       7          4          1
7/8/12  RV  91     51       40       8       5          3          1
5/20/12 RV  93     51       41       7       4          4          0

Romney:
8/25/12     81     39       42      19      12          6          *
7/8/12      79     34       46      20      12          8          1
5/20/12     73     23       50      25      16          9          1

8/25/12 RV  83     42       41      17      12          4          *
7/8/12  RV  85     38       47      15      11          4          *
5/20/12 RV  75     26       48      25      15          9          1

5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

           -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
8/25/12    50       27         23      46       13         33         4
7/8/12     47       24         24      49       15         34         4
5/20/12    47       26         21      49       13         36         3
4/8/12     50       30         20      45       10         35         6
3/10/12    46       28         18      50       11         39         4
2/4/12     50       29         22      46       11         36         3
1/15/12    48       25         23      48       11         37         4
12/18/11   49       25         24      47       13         34         4
11/3/11    44       22         22      53       15         37         3
10/2/11    42       21         21      54       14         40         4
9/1/11     43       21         22      53       16         38         3
8/9/11*    44       18         26      46        9         37        10
7/17/11    47       25         22      48       14         35         5
6/5/11     47       27         20      49       13         37         4
5/2/11**   56       29         27      38       14         24         6
4/17/11    47       27         21      50       12         37         3
3/13/11    51       27         24      45       12         33         4
1/16/11    54       30         23      43       15         28         3
12/12/10   49       24         25      47       15         32         4
10/28/10   50       27         23      45       11         34         5
10/3/10    50       26         24      47       13         34         3
9/2/10     46       24         22      52       14         38         3
7/11/10    50       28         22      47       12         35         3
6/6/10     52       30         22      45       12         33         4
4/25/10    54       31         23      44       11         33         3
3/26/10    53       34         20      43        8         35         3
2/8/10     51       29         22      46       12         33         3
1/15/10    53       30         24      44       13         32         2
12/13/09   50       31         18      46       13         33         4
11/15/09   56       32         23      42       13         29         2
10/18/09   57       33         23      40       11         29         3
9/12/09    54       35         19      43       12         31         3
8/17/09    57       35         21      40       11         29         3
7/18/09    59       38         22      37        9         28         4
6/21/09    65       36         29      31       10         22         4
4/24/09    69       42         27      26        8         18         4
3/29/09    66       40         26      29        9         20         5
2/22/09    68       43         25      25        8         17         7
*Washington Post
**Washington Post/Pew Research Center

6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling the economy? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

              -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
8/25/12       44       20         23      54       12         42         3
7/8/12        44       21         23      54       13         41         2
5/20/12       42       20         22      55       11         44         2
4/8/12        44       23         21      54       12         42         2
3/10/12       38       20         18      59        9         50         2
2/4/12        44       23         22      53       11         41         3
1/15/12       41       19         22      57       11         46         2
12/18/11      41       17         24      56       13         43         2
11/3/11       38       18         20      61       13         48         2
10/2/11       35       17         19      61       13         48         4
9/1/11        36       15         21      62       15         47         2
7/17/11       39       18         22      57       15         43         3
6/5/11        40       20         20      59       10         49         2
5/2/11*       40       18         22      55       16         39         4
4/17/11       42       23         19      57       11         46         2
3/13/11       43       22         21      55       13         41         2
1/16/11       46       22         24      51       13         38         2
12/12/10      43       21         22      54       15         39         3
10/28/10 RV   44       21         23      54       15         39         3
10/3/10       45       22         23      53       13         41         2
9/2/10        41       20         21      57       13         44         2
7/11/10       43       20         23      54       13         41         4
6/6/10        50       26         24      49       12         37         2
4/25/10       49       24         25      49       10         39         2
3/26/10       45       23         22      52       12         40         3
2/8/10        45       22         23      53       15         38         2
1/15/10       47       22         24      52       13         39         1
12/13/09      46       23         24      52       12         40         2
11/15/09      51       26         25      47       12         36         2
10/18/09      50       29         22      48       13         35         1
9/12/09       51       28         24      46       13         33         2
8/17/09       52       27         25      46       13         33         2
7/18/09       52       29         23      46       10         35         3
6/21/09       56       28         28      41       13         27         3
4/24/09       58       31         28      38       13         25         4
3/29/09       60       34         25      38       12         26         3
2/22/09       60       NA         NA      34       NA         NA         6
*Washington Post/Pew Research Center

7. (IF SUPPORT OBAMA OR ROMNEY) Regardless of your support, how do you feel about how (OBAMA/ROMNEY) would perform as president for the next four years - very anxious, somewhat anxious, not so anxious or not anxious at all?

          ------ Anxious ------   ---- Not anxious ----     No
          NET   Very   Somewhat   NET   Not so   At all   opinion
8/25/12   60     21       40      37      13       24        3

Obama supporters:
          ------ Anxious ------   ---- Not anxious ----     No
          NET   Very   Somewhat   NET   Not so   At all   opinion
8/25/12   57     24       33      40      13       28        2

Romney supporters:
          ------ Anxious ------   ---- Not anxious ----     No
          NET   Very   Somewhat   NET   Not so   At all   opinion
8/25/12   63     16       47      32      13       20        5

8. How much more information, if any, would you like to have about the candidates and issues before the election – would you like a lot more information, some, a little, or do you have enough information as it is?

          
          ------ More ------   --- Little/enough ---     No
          NET   A lot   Some   NET   Little   Enough   opinion
8/25/12   41     24      17    58       7       50        1

Obama supporters:
          ------ More ------   --- Little/enough ---     No
          NET   A lot   Some   NET   Little   Enough   opinion
8/25/12   39     21      18    60       9       51        1

Romney supporters:
          ------ More ------   --- Little/enough ---     No
          NET   A lot   Some   NET   Little   Enough   opinion
8/25/12   44     25      19    55       6       50        1

9. Do you think things in this country (are generally going in the right direction) or do you feel things (have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track)?

                Right     Wrong     No 
              direction   track   opinion
8/25/12          31        67        3
7/8/12           33        63        4
4/8/12           33        64        3
1/15/12          30        68        2
11/3/11          22        74        3
9/1/11           20        77        3
6/5/11           32        66        2
1/16/11          38        60        3
12/12/10         31        67        2
10/28/10 RV      27        71        2
6/6/10           37        60        3
3/26/10          38        60        2
1/15/10          37        62        1
11/15/09         44        55        2
10/18/09         44        54        2
8/17/09          44        55        1
6/21/09          47        50        3
4/24/09          50        48        2
3/29/09          42        57        1
2/22/09          31        67        2
1/16/09          19        78        3
12/14/08         15        82        3
10/25/08 LV      13        85        2
10/11/08 RV       8        90        2
9/22/08  RV      14        83        3
8/22/08          19        78        2
6/15/08          14        84        2
5/11/08          16        82        2
1/12/08          21        77        2
11/1/07          24        74        2
6/1/07           25        73        2
1/19/07          26        71        3
11/4/06  RV      39        59        2
10/22/06         30        68        2
10/8/06          32        66        2
5/15/06          29        69        2
11/2/05          30        68        2
10/24/04 LV      41        55        4
4/18/04          42        57        1
4/30/03          52        46        2
9/26/02          43        53        4
2/21/02          54        42        4
2/14/99          55        41        4
11/1/98          55        43        2
8/21/98          57        40        4
7/12/98          50        45        6
4/4/98           55        41        4
1/31/98          61        34        5
1/30/98          61        34        5
1/19/98          44        50        6
8/27/97          39        57        4
6/8/97           37        60        3
3/9/97           34        62        4
10/17/96 RV      40        55        5
10/16/96 RV      42        53        5
10/15/96 RV      43        52        5
10/14/96 RV      44        51        5
10/13/96 RV      44        51        5
9/04/96  RV      40        54        6
8/21/96          28        67        5
6/30/96          26        70        5
3/17/96          27        70        3
1/21/96          27        66        6
1/3/96           21        77        3
4/5/95           23        73        3
1/4/95           27        68        6
10/31/94         27        69        4
7/20/94          26        70        4
3/27/94          28        69        3
1/23/94          31        60       10
11/14/93         25        69        6
8/8/93           26        71        3
6/20/93          26        71        3
4/26/93          27        71        2
3/11/93          36        57        7
2/28/93          37        59        4
1/17/93          31        63        6
12/14/92         35        60        5
10/27/92 RV      22        76        2
10/4/92  RV      18        78        4
6/7/92           14        83        3
4/9/92           16        81        3
3/11/92          18        79        4
1/15/92          19        78        3
11/10/91         24        72        4
10/29/91         26        71        3
8/27/91          31        60        9
7/28/91          30        67        3
6/2/91           39        57        4
4/9/91           42        51        7
2/26/91          58        39        3
1/27/91          49        48        4
10/14/90         19        79        2
9/9/90           36        60        4
8/20/90          35        60        5
7/24/90          37        60        2
5/21/90          39        60        2
3/26/90          44        53        2
2/4/90           49        48        3
1/16/90          48        49        3
5/23/89          42        55        3
3/16/89          46        52        2
1/16/89  LV      51        46        3
10/25/88 LV      49        46        6
9/27/88          48        44        8
7/11/88          40        56        4
5/25/88          35        59        6
3/21/88          40        56        4
1/23/88          39        59        2
12/13/87         49        47        4
12/2/87          35        61        4
9/23/87          43        54        4
6/29/87          35        62        3
4/13/87          37        60        3
3/9/87           38        58        4
1/18/87          39        56        5
9/8/86           50        48        2
1/26/86          45        47        8
7/29/85          52        43        6
1/16/85          59        36        4
5/22/84          47        48        5
12/13/83         43        51        6
11/7/83          51        44        5
4/12/83          41        54        4
3/2/83           43        53        3
10/11/82         35        57        8
1/30/82          39        56        5
2/80*            20        70       10
2/78             34        53       13
2/77             41        44       14
10/75            19        71        9
10/74            15        75       11
10/73            16        74       10
*2/80 and previous: Roper

10. Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job [ITEM] - (Obama) or (Romney)?

8/25/12 - Summary Table*

                                                            Both    Neither     No
                                          Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
a. Handling the economy                    44       46        *        5         4
b. Dealing with the federal           
   budget deficit                          39       48        *        8         5
c. Handling health care policy             49       42        *        6         3
d. Dealing with social issues 
   such as abortion and gay marriage       55       34        2        5         4
e. Handling energy policy                  49       37        1        5         8
f. Supporting small business               49       42        1        4         4
g. Handling international affairs          48       37        2        6         8
h. Handling education                      47       37        2        6         8
i. Handling taxes                          46       44        1        5         5
j. Handling Medicare, the government 
   health insurance program for seniors    43       42        1        7         7
k. Addressing women’s issues               53       32        1        6         8
*Full sample asked item a; half sample asked items b-f; other half sample asked items g-k.

8/25/12 - Summary Table* - Registered Voters

                                                            Both    Neither     No
                                          Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
a. Handling the economy                    43       50        *        4         3
b. Dealing with the federal           
   budget deficit                          38       51        0        7         3
c. Handling health care policy             47       45        *        6         2
d. Dealing with social issues 
   such as abortion and gay marriage       52       38        1        5         4
e. Handling energy policy                  49       41        *        3         7
f. Supporting small business               48       47        1        3         2
g. Handling international affairs          46       41        1        6         5
h. Handling education                      45       42        2        7         5
i. Handling taxes                          43       48        *        5         3
j. Handling Medicare, the government 
   health insurance program for seniors    42       45        1        7         5
k. Addressing women’s issues               51       35        1        7         6
*Full sample asked item a; half sample asked items b-f; other half sample asked items g-k.

Trend among all adults:

a. Handling the economy

                            Both    Neither    No
          Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
8/25/12    44       46        *        5        4
7/8/12     44       49        1        4        3
5/20/12    46       47        *        3        3
4/8/12     43       47        1        5        5
2/4/12     45       48        1        4        2

b. Dealing with the federal budget deficit     

                           Both    Neither    No
          Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
8/25/12    39       48        *        8        5
7/8/12     42       52        1        3        2
4/8/12     38       51        *        5        6
2/4/12     41       51        *        4        4

c. Handling health care policy       

                            Both    Neither    No
          Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
8/25/12    49       42        *        6        3
7/8/12     46       45        1        5        3
4/8/12     48       38        *        7        6

d. Dealing with social issues such as abortion and gay marriage      
 
                            Both    Neither    No
          Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
8/25/12    55       34        2        5        4
4/8/12     46       38        1        5       10

e. Handling energy policy

                            Both    Neither    No
          Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
8/25/12    49       37        1        5        8
4/8/12     42       47        1        2        7

f. Supporting small business

                            Both    Neither    No
          Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
8/25/12    49       42        1        4        4
4/8/12     47       45        1        4        4

g. Handling international affairs          

                            Both    Neither     No
          Obama   Romney   (vol.)    (vol.)   opinion
8/25/12    48       37        2         6        8
4/8/12     53       36        *         7        4
2/4/12     56       37        1         3        3

h. No trend.

i. Handling taxes                      
                           Both    Neither    No
          Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
8/25/12    46       44        1        5        5
7/8/12     46       45        *        5        4
4/8/12     45       42        *        7        5
2/4/12     52       42        *        3        3
              
j. No trend.

k. Addressing women's issues

                            Both    Neither    No
          Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
8/25/12    53       32        1        6        8
4/8/12     53       34        1        4        8

11. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think [ITEM] - (Obama) or (Romney)?

8/25/12 - Summary Table*

                                                    Both    Neither     No
                                  Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion 
a. Better understands the   
   economic problems people                
   in this country are having      49       37        2        9         3
b. Seems like the more friendly    
   and likeable person             64       25        5        3         3

8/25/12 - Summary Table* - Registered Voters

                                                    Both    Neither     No
                                  Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion 
a. Better understands the   
   economic problems people                
   in this country are having      47       40        1        9         2
b. Seems like the more friendly    
   and likeable person             61       27        6        4         2

Trend among all adults:

a. Better understands the economic problems people in this country are having

                            Both    Neither     No
          Obama   Romney   (vol.)    vol.)    opinion
8/25/12    49       37        2        9         3
7/8/12     50       40        2        6         3
5/20/12    48       40        2        7         3
4/8/12     49       37        2        9         4
2/4/12     53       36        2        7         3

b. Seems like the more friendly and likable person

                            Both    Neither     No
          Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
8/25/12    64       25        5        3         2
7/8/12     63       27        5        2         4
4/8/12     64       26        3        2         4

12. Please tell me whether the following statement applies to (ITEM), or not: He has strong personal character.

8/25/12 – Summary table     
               
            Yes   No   No opinion   
a. Obama    73    24        3
b. Romney   63    31        5

Compare to: 

Bush:
          Yes   No   No opinion
7/30/01   68    30       2
11/4/00   70    26       5

Gore:
          Yes   No   No opinion    
11/6/00   58    37       5     

13. Do you think [ITEM]'s views on most issues are too (liberal) for you, too (conservative) for you, or just about right?

8/25/12 - Summary Table

                 Too         Too        About     No
               liberal   conservative   right   opinion
a. Obama         39            9         46        6
b. Romney        14           36         39       10
c. Paul Ryan      8           30         35       27
d. Joe Biden     34            7         36       22

Trend:

a. Obama
                Too         Too        About     No
              liberal   conservative   right   opinion
8/25/12         39            9         46        6
4/8/12          40           10         44        6
4/17/11         39            8         48        4
9/2/10          45            9         45        2
4/25/10         39            5         53        3
1/15/10         37            7         54        2
11/15/09        40            7         52        2
9/12/09         39            5         53        3
4/24/09         33            4         62        2
1/16/09         29            4         65        2
10/31/08 LV     39            3         56        2
10/21/08 LV     40            2         55        4
10/20/08 LV     39            2         55        4
10/11/08 RV     37            4         55        4
6/15/08         36            5         52        7
3/2/08          31            6         56        7

b. Romney
                Too         Too        About     No
              liberal   conservative   right   opinion
8/25/12         14           36         39       10
4/8/12          13           33         42       12

c. and d. No trend.

14. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good or poor?

              ------ Positive ------   ------- Negative -------     No
              NET   Excellent   Good   NET   Not so good   Poor   opinion 
8/25/12       15        1        14    84        39         45       1
8/5/12*       13        1        12    87        42         44       *
5/20/12       17        1        16    83        47         36       *
2/4/12        11        *        11    89        46         42       *
11/3/11       10        1         9    89        43         47       *
7/17/11       10        1         9    90        40         50       *
6/5/11        11        1        10    89        46         44       *
1/16/11       13        1        12    87        45         41       *
10/28/10       9        *         9    90        41         49       1
10/3/10        9        1         8    90        40         50       *
9/2/10         8        *         7    92        40         53       0
7/11/10       10        1         9    90        44         46       0
6/6/10        12        *        11    88        43         45       0
1/16/09        5        1         5    94        32         62       *
9/22/08        9        *         9    91        34         57       *
4/13/08       10        1         9    90        39         51       *
2/1/08        19        1        18    81        43         38       0
12/9/07       28        3        25    72        40         32       *
11/1/07       35        3        32    64        39         26       *
4/15/07       42        5        37    57        37         20       *
12/11/06      50        7        42    50        36         14       *
10/22/06      55       10        45    45        28         17       *
10/8/06       47        7        40    53        37         16       *
3/5/06        43        5        38    57        37         19       *
1/26/06       40        5        35    60        37         23       *
12/18/05      45        5        39    55        38         17       *
11/2/05       35        3        32    65        36         29       *
9/11/05       40        3        37    59        37         22       1
6/5/05        44        3        40    56        38         19       *
4/24/05       37        2        35    63        44         20       *
9/26/04  RV   46        3        43    53        38         15       1
8/29/04  RV   45        3        41    55        37         18       *
7/25/04       46        4        42    53        39         14       *
6/20/04       45        4        41    55        38         17       *
4/18/04       43        4        39    57        39         18       *
3/7/04        39        2        37    60        38         22       1
1/18/04       42        3        39    58        42         16       0
12/21/03      42        4        39    57        41         16       1
10/29/03      33        1        32    67        45         23       *
9/13/03       30        2        27    70        45         25       *
8/11/03       32        2        30    68        43         25       *
4/30/03       35        1        34    64        46         19       *
2/9/03        28        1        27    72        49         23       *
1/20/03       25        1        25    74        48         26       1
12/15/02      35        1        33    65        44         21       1
11/4/02  LV   28        1        27    72        55         17       1
11/3/02  LV   27        1        26    72        56         17       1
11/2/02  LV   29        1        28    71        54         17       *
9/26/02       31        2        28    69        50         19       *
7/15/02       39        3        36    61        44         17       1
2/21/02       30        1        29    69        51         18       *
1/27/02       31        1        29    69        50         19       *
9/20/01       38        3        35    60        47         14       2
9/9/01        33        1        32    66        47         19       *
7/30/01       50        3        46    50        39         12       *
4/22/01       50        3        47    50        40          9       *
1/15/01       70       10        59    29        24          6       1
10/27/00 LV   86       24        61    14        11          3       *
10/26/00 LV   86       24        61    14        11          3       *
6/11/00       74       17        57    26        19          6       *
2/27/00       80       25        55    20        14          5       *
10/31/99      74       18        56    26        18          7       1
9/2/99        76       19        57    23        16          6       1
3/14/99       80       22        58    19        15          4       1
11/1/98       73       12        61    26        21          5       1
11/1/98  LV   78       13        65    22        19          3       *
10/13/97      61       12        49    39        27         11       *
*Washington Post-Kaiser Family Foundation 

15. Who do you think is more responsible for the country's current economic problems - (Barack Obama) or (George W. Bush)?

                          Both    Neither    No
          Obama   Bush   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
8/25/12     32     54       8        5        1
5/20/12     34     49       8        7        3
1/15/12     29     54       9        6        2

16. If [ITEM], how confident are you, if at all, that the country will get back on track economically in the next year or two – very confident, somewhat confident, not so confident or not confident at all?

8/25/12 - Summary Table

                         --- Confident ---   --- Not confident ---     No
                         NET   Very   Smwt   NET   Not so   At all   opinion
a. Obama is re-elected   43     13     30    56      19       38        1
b. Romney is elected     43      9     34    55      22       33        1

17. Generally speaking, would you say you favor (smaller government with fewer services), or (larger government with more services)?

              Smaller govt.    Larger govt.      No
              fewer services   more services   opinion
8/25/12            56              38             7
8/5/12*            55              40             5
9/1/11             56              38             6
10/28/10 RV        57              37             5
4/25/10            56              40             4
1/15/10            58              38             4
6/21/09            54              41             4
1/16/09            53              43             4
6/15/08            50              45             5
11/1/07            50              44             5
6/20/04            50              46             4
11/4/02  LV        61              34             5
11/3/02  LV        60              34             5
11/2/02  LV        62              34             3
7/15/02            53              42             6
1/27/02            54              41             5
10/9/00  RV        58              32            10
10/1/00  RV        58              33             9
7/23/00            59              34             7
4/2/00             56              38             7
8/16/98            59              35             6
8/5/96             63              32             5
2/28/93            67              30             2
7/8/92             55              38             7
7/13/88            49              45             6
7/8/84             49              43             7
*Washington Post-Kaiser Family Foundation: “… many services”

18. What about Obama - would you say Obama favors (smaller government with fewer services), or (larger government with more services)?

              Smaller govt.    Larger govt.      No
              fewer services   more services   opinion
8/25/12            15              73            11
9/1/11             18              70            12
10/28/10 RV        14              75            10
4/25/10            15              77             8

19. What about Romney - would you say Romney favors (smaller government with fewer services), or (larger government with more services)?

              Smaller govt.    Larger govt.      No
              fewer services   more services   opinion
8/25/12            65              21            14

20. What do you think is a better way for the government to try to create jobs – (by cutting taxes); or (by spending money on projects like roads, bridges and technology development)?

          Cutting   Spending on    Both    Neither     No
           taxes     projects     (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
8/25/12     33          52           7        3         5

21. What do you think is the bigger problem in this country - (unfairness in the economic system that favors the wealthy), or (over-regulation of the free market that interferes with growth and prosperity)?

                          Over-      Both    Neither  
          Unfairness   regulation   (vol.)   (vol.)    No opinion
8/25/12       56           34          5        1           3
5/20/12       56           34          5        2           3
4/8/12        52           37          4        2           5
1/15/12       55           35          5        2           4

22. Do you think Obama does more to favor the (middle class) or more to favor the (wealthy)?

           
             Favor        Favor        Treat          No
          middle class   wealthy   equally (vol.)   opinion
8/25/12        61          24            6             8
  

23. As president do you think Romney would do more to favor the (middle class) or more to favor the (wealthy)?

             Favor        Favor        Treat          No
          middle class   wealthy   equally (vol.)   opinion
8/25/12        30          60             5            6

24. Do you approve or disapprove of Romney’s choice of Paul Ryan as his vice presidential running mate? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

          -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
          NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
8/25/12   51       26         26      30        9         21        19

Compare to:

                   Approve    Disapprove    No opinion
Palin 9/4/08         60          34              6
Lieberman 8/7/00     60          19             21
Cheney 7/29/00       61          15             24
Kemp 8/15/96   RV    67          14             19
Choate 9/10/96 RV    31          19             49

25. Does Romney’s choice of Paul Ryan for vice president make you more likely to vote for Romney, less likely, or won't it make any difference in your vote?

          
           More     Less        No         No
          likely   likely   difference   opinion
8/25/12     14       14         70          2  

Compare to:
                            More     Less        No         No
                           likely   likely   difference   opinion
Obama's choice of Biden: 
 11/2/08 LV                  25       15         60          *
 11/1/08 LV                  28       14         58          *
 9/29/08 LV                  26       14         60          *
 9/4/08  RV                  22       11         66          1

McCain's choice of Palin:
 11/2/08 LV                  18       44         38          *
 11/1/08 LV                  17       46         37          *
 9/29/08 LV                  24       32         43          *
 9/4/08  RV                  25       19         55          1

Kerry's choice of Edwards:
 7/25/08 RV                  24        9         66          *

Gore's choice of Lieberman:
 8/7/00  All                 15       10         73          2

Bush's choice of Cheney:
 7/29/00 RV                  14        6         78          2

Dole's choice of Kemp:
 8/15/96 RV                  18        6         75          1
 8/14/96 RV                  20        7         71          1
 8/13/96 RV                  21        7         70          3
 8/12/96 RV                  17        6         74          3
 8/11/96 RV                  16        5         76          3
 8/10/96 RV                  14        7         75          4

Perot's choice of Choate:
 9/10/96 RV                   4        7         86          4

Bush's choice of Quayle:
                            More     Less        No       Not voting     No
                           likely   likely   difference    for Bush    opinion
 9/19/88 RV                   7       19         68           4           2
 8/18/88 All                 11       14         67           5           3
 8/17/88 All                 13       10         72           2           3

Dukakis' choice of Bentsen:
                            More     Less        No       Not voting     No
                           likely   likely   difference   for Dukakis  opinion
 9/19/88 RV                  20        6         71           2           1
 7/17/88 All                 13        8         73           2           4

Mondale's choice of Ferraro:
                            More     Less        No         No
                           likely   likely   difference   opinion
 7/12/84 RV                  22       19         49         10

26. As chairman of the House Budget Committee, Ryan proposed a budget that would cut federal spending; cut taxes, including those paid by wealthy Americans and corporations; and restructure the Medicare and Medicaid insurance programs. Given what you know about this budget plan, would you say you support it strongly, support it somewhat, oppose it somewhat or oppose it strongly?

          -------- Support --------   -------- Oppose ---------     No
          NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion  
8/25/12   47      20         27       44       17         28         9

27. Under Ryan’s Medicare plan, starting in 10 years people no longer would receive specific Medicare benefits when they turn 65. Instead they would receive a credit for money that they could use to buy insurance, either from the private market or from the government. How do you feel about this proposal to restructure Medicare – would you say you support it strongly, support it somewhat, oppose it somewhat or oppose it strongly?

          -------- Support --------   -------- Oppose ---------     No
          NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion  
8/25/12   31       11         20      64       21         43         5

28. So far during this campaign, do you think [NAME] has been mainly (attacking his opponent) or mainly (addressing the issues)?

8/25/12 - Summary Table

             Attacking     Addressing     No
            his opponent   the issues   opinion      
a. Obama         53            38          8
b. Romney        55            35         10

Trend:

a. Obama

               Attacking     Addressing     No
              his opponent   the issues   opinion      
8/25/12            53            38          8
10/11/08 RV        26            68          6
8/22/08  RV        29            64          8

b. Romney

               Attacking     Addressing     No
              his opponent   the issues   opinion      
8/25/12            55            35         10
Compare to: McCain
10/11/08 RV        59            35          6
8/22/08  RV        48            45          7

29. Have you personally been contacted by a representative of the [CANDIDATE] campaign, either by phone, in-person, or online asking you for your support, or not?

8/25/12 - Summary Table

            Yes   No   No opinion 
a. Obama    18    81        1
b. Romney   11    88        *

Compare to:
Have you personally been contacted by a representative of the [CANDIDATE] campaign,
either by phone or in-person, asking you for your support, or not? 

                     Yes   No   No opinion 
10/22/08 Obama  LV   21    78        1
10/22/08 McCain LV   14    85        1
9/26/04  Bush   LV   18    82        *        
9/26/04  Kerry  LV   17    82        1

30. Romney has released his tax returns for the past two years. Do you think he should release his tax returns from previous years, or is two years enough? Do you feel that way STRONGLY or SOMEWHAT?

          ---- Should release ----    ------- Is enough -------     No
          NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
8/25/12   48       38          9      46       16         31         6

31. For each item I name, please tell me if it will be a major factor in your vote, a minor factor, or not a factor.

8/25/12 - Summary Table

                                            Major    Minor    Not a      No
                                            factor   factor   factor   opinion
a. Obama’s handling of the economy            71       17       11        2             
b. Romney’s position on releasing 
   his tax returns                            20       31       47        2
c. Paul Ryan’s proposal to restructure 
   Medicare                                   48       28       22        2
d. Differences between the (Democrats) 
   and the (Republicans) on women’s issues    48       26       24        2

Trend

a. Obama’s handling of the economy            

          Major    Minor    Not a      No
          factor   factor   factor   opinion
8/25/12     71       17       11        2             

Compare to: 

         Major reason   Major reason   Not a major     No
          to support     to oppose       factor      opinion
7/8/12        36             43            19           2
4/8/12        32             46            19           3
2/4/12        39             47            13           2
 
b-d No trend. 

32. Just your best guess, who do you think will win the presidential election this year - (Obama) or (Romney)?

                            Other     No
          Obama   Romney   (vol.)   opinion
8/25/12    59       34        *        7
7/8/12     58       34        1        8

Compare to: Just your best guess, who do you think will win the presidential election
this year - (Obama) or (the Republican candidate)?

           Obama   Rep. candidate   No opinion
3/10/12     54           40              6
1/15/12     46           49              5
12/18/11    46           49              5
10/2/11     37           55              8

33. On another subject, what is your view of the Tea Party political movement - would you say you support it strongly, support it somewhat, oppose it somewhat or oppose it strongly?

           -------- Support --------   --------- Oppose --------     No 
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
8/25/12    44      13         31       42       18         24        14
8/5/12*    41      12         29       46       19         27        13
4/8/12     41      12         29       45       21         24        14
3/10/12    44      15         29       43       17         26        13
2/4/12     43      12         31       45       20         25        12
1/15/12    40      13         28       50       23         27        10
12/18/11   42      13         28       45       20         26        13
11/3/11    43      14         29       44       20         24        13
10/2/11    42      12         30       47       20         27        11
9/1/11     47      13         35       45       18         27         8
7/17/11    44      13         31       46       23         24        10
6/5/11     46      13         33       44       21         24        10
4/17/11    42      16         26       49       21         27        10

901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what?

          Democrat   Republican   Independent   Other (vol.)   No opinion
8/25/12      31          22           39              6             3
7/8/12       33          24           36              4             3
5/20/12      32          22           38              7             2
4/18/12      34          23           34              5             3
3/10/12      31          27           36              3             3
2/12/12      34          23           37              5             1
1/15/12      32          25           36              5             2

908a. Would you say your views on most political matters are liberal, moderate or conservative?

                                               Don't think in 
          Liberal   Moderate   Conservative   those terms (vol.)   No opinion
8/25/12     21         41           34                1                 2
7/8/12      23         34           39                2                 1
5/20/12     22         35           37                3                 3  
4/18/12     22         44           29                2                 3
3/10/12     23         37           37                2                 1
2/12/12     21         39           37                1                 2
1/15/12     19         42           37                1                 2

***END***

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