Washington Post-ABC News Poll

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone Sept. 26-29, 2012, among a random national sample of 1,101 adults, including landline and cell phone-only respondents. Results for the full sample have a margin of sampling error or 3.5 percentage points. The error margin is 3.5 points for the sample of 929 registered voters. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) How closely are you following the 2012 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not so closely, or not closely at all?

              ---- Closely -----   ---- Not closely -----     No
              NET   Very   Smwt    NET   Not so    At all   opinion
9/29/12  RV   86     47     39     14       8         6        0
9/9/12   RV   80     44     36     19      11         9        *       
5/20/12  RV   82     38     44     18       9         8        *
2/4/12*  RV   79     37     43     20      12         8        *
1/15/12  RV   76     33     43     24      14        10        *
12/18/11      69     26     43     31      18        13        *
11/3/11       65     24     41     34      17        17        *
10/2/11       64     24     40     36      23        13        0
9/1/11        66     25     40     34      20        14        *
7/17/11       61     18     43     39      23        15        *
6/5/11        61     22     39     38      23        15        *

2. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?

                                                     Don't think  
              Certain  Probably  Chances  Less than   will vote    No
              to vote    vote     50/50     that       (vol.)      op.
9/29/12  RV     84         7        7        2           *          *
9/9/12   RV     83         7        6        4           *          0
8/25/12  RV     81         8        6        3           1          *
7/8/12   RV     81         9        8        2           *          *

9/7/08   RV     85         7        5        1           1          *
8/22/08  RV     84        10        4        2           *          *
7/13/08  RV     79        10        7        3           2          0
6/15/08         71         9        8        7           4          *

9/8/04   RV     87         7        4        1           1          *
8/29/04  RV     84        10        4        2           *          0
8/1/04   RV     85         9        4        1           1          *
7/25/04  RV     85         7        5        2           *          *
8/20/00  RV     78        13        6        3           1          0
8/10/00  RV     79        12        6        1           1          *
8/6/00          64        12       11        8           5          *
7/29/00         61        15        9       11           3          *
7/23/00         59        17       10       11           4          *
6/11/00         60        13       11       10           4          *

3. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats) and (Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans), for whom would you vote? Which candidates are you leaning toward, (Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats) or (Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans)?

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – among likely voters 

                               Other    Neither    Would not      No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    vote (vol.)   opinion
9/29/12  LV    49       47        *        2           0           1
9/9/12   LV    49       48        *        1           0           2
8/25/12  LV    47       49        1        1           0           1

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE

                               Other    Neither    Would not      No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
9/29/12  RV    49       44        1        3           1           1
9/9/12   RV    50       44        1         2          1           2
8/25/12  RV    46       47        2         3          2           1
7/8/12*  RV    47       47        *         2          *           4
5/20/12  RV    49       46        *         3          1           1
4/8/12   RV    51       44        *         2          3           1
3/10/12  RV    47       49        *         1          2           2
2/4/12   RV    51       45        *         1          1           1
1/15/12  RV    46       48        *         2          2           2
12/18/11 RV    47       47        *         2          2           1
11/3/11  RV    46       47        *         3          2           1
10/2/11  RV    46       48        *         2          1           2
9/1/11   RV    45       49        *         2          2           2
7/17/11  RV    49       47        *         2          1           1
6/5/11   RV    46       49        *         2          1           2
4/17/11  RV    49       45        *         3          1           1
*7/18/12 and prior: “Barack Obama, the Democrat” and “Mitt Romney, the Republican”.

4. (IF SUPPORT OBAMA OR ROMNEY) Will you definitely vote for (OBAMA/ROMNEY), or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for (CANDIDATE NOT NAMED)? (IF CHANCE CHANGE MIND) Would you say (there’s a GOOD CHANCE) you'll change your mind, or would you say (it’s PRETTY UNLIKELY)?

              Definitely   - Chance change mind -     No
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely    opinion
9/29/12  RV       86       13      3       10          1
9/9/12   RV       85       13      4        8          2
8/25/12  RV       83       15      6        9          2
7/8/12*  RV       79       19      6       13          2

8/22/08  RV       73       24     11       13          3
7/13/08  RV       72       25     10       15          3
6/15/08  RV       72       26     11       16          2
7/25/04  RV       78       20      7       13          2
7/11/04  RV       79       21      7       13          1
6/20/04  RV       73       26     12       14          *
*7/8/12 and prior: “Will you definitely vote for (NAMED CANDIDATE), or is there
a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else?”

Barack Obama:

              Definitely   -Chance change mind -     No 
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
9/29/12  RV       84       15      5       10         1
9/9/12   RV       86       11      4        7         3
8/25/12  RV       84       14      6        8         2
7/8/12   RV       81       17      4       13         2

9/7/08   RV       78       21      9       12         1
8/22/08  RV       74       23      7       15         4
7/13/08  RV       72       23      9       14         5
6/15/08  RV       71       26      7       19         3
5/11/08  RV       71       25     13       13         4

Mitt Romney: 

              Definitely   -Chance change mind -     No 
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
9/9/12   RV       85       14      5        9         *
8/25/12  RV       82       16      5       10         3
7/8/12   RV       77       21      8       13         2

Compare to: John McCain:

              Definitely   -Chance change mind -     No 
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
9/29/12  RV       88       12      1       10         1
9/7/08   RV       80       19      8       11         2
8/22/08  RV       72       25     14       11         2
7/13/08  RV       71       28     12       17         1
6/15/08  RV       72       27     14       12         1
5/11/08  RV       66       32     17       15         2

5. (IF SUPPORT OBAMA OR ROMNEY) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting (Obama/Romney) somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

             --- Enthusiastic ----   --- Not enthusiastic ----     No
             NET   Very   Somewhat   NET   Not so   Not at all   opinion
9/29/12 RV   89     49       40      11       6          4          *
9/9/12  RV   90     51       39       9       5          5          *
8/25/12 RV   85     45       40      14      10          4          1
7/8/12  RV   88     44       44      12       8          4          *
5/20/12 RV   84     39       45      16       9          6          *

Obama:
9/29/12 RV   91     51       40       9       7          2          0
9/9/12  RV   93     56       38       7       3          3          0
8/25/12 RV   88     48       39      11       7          4          1
7/8/12  RV   91     51       40       8       5          3          1
5/20/12 RV   93     51       41       7       4          4          0

Romney:
9/29/12 RV   87     48       39      13       6          7          *
9/9/12  RV   87     46       40      13       7          6          1
8/25/12 RV   83     42       41      17      12          4          *
7/8/12  RV   85     38       47      15      11          4          *
5/20/12 RV   75     26       48      25      15          9          1

6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

           -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
9/29/12 RV 49       25         24      49       12         37         2
9/29/12    50       26         24      46       12         34         4
9/9/12  RV 48       27         21      50       10         39         2
9/9/12     49       29         20      45       11         35         6
8/25/12 RV 47       26         21      50       13         37         3
8/25/12    50       27         23      46       13         33         4
7/8/12     47       24         24      49       15         34         4
5/20/12    47       26         21      49       13         36         3
4/8/12     50       30         20      45       10         35         6
3/10/12    46       28         18      50       11         39         4
2/4/12     50       29         22      46       11         36         3
1/15/12    48       25         23      48       11         37         4
12/18/11   49       25         24      47       13         34         4
11/3/11    44       22         22      53       15         37         3
10/2/11    42       21         21      54       14         40         4
9/1/11     43       21         22      53       16         38         3
8/9/11*    44       18         26      46        9         37        10
7/17/11    47       25         22      48       14         35         5
6/5/11     47       27         20      49       13         37         4
5/2/11**   56       29         27      38       14         24         6
4/17/11    47       27         21      50       12         37         3
3/13/11    51       27         24      45       12         33         4
1/16/11    54       30         23      43       15         28         3
12/12/10   49       24         25      47       15         32         4
10/28/10   50       27         23      45       11         34         5
10/3/10    50       26         24      47       13         34         3
9/2/10     46       24         22      52       14         38         3
7/11/10    50       28         22      47       12         35         3
6/6/10     52       30         22      45       12         33         4
4/25/10    54       31         23      44       11         33         3
3/26/10    53       34         20      43        8         35         3
2/8/10     51       29         22      46       12         33         3
1/15/10    53       30         24      44       13         32         2
12/13/09   50       31         18      46       13         33         4
11/15/09   56       32         23      42       13         29         2
10/18/09   57       33         23      40       11         29         3
9/12/09    54       35         19      43       12         31         3
8/17/09    57       35         21      40       11         29         3
7/18/09    59       38         22      37        9         28         4
6/21/09    65       36         29      31       10         22         4
4/24/09    69       42         27      26        8         18         4
3/29/09    66       40         26      29        9         20         5
2/22/09    68       43         25      25        8         17         7
*Washington Post
**Washington Post/Pew Research Center

7. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is [ITEM]? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

9/29/12 - Summary Table

                            ------ Approve ------   ----- Disapprove ----     No
                            NET   Strongly   Smwt   NET   Smwt   Strongly   opinion
a. Handling the economy     47       23       25    52     10       41         1
b. Handling international 
   affairs                  49       28       20    48     12       36         3

Trend:

a. Handling the economy
              -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
9/29/12  RV   47       23         25      52       10         41         1
9/9/12   RV   45       24         21      53        8         45         2
8/25/12  RV   43       20         22      56       11         45         2
8/25/12       44       20         23      54       12         42         3
7/8/12        44       21         23      54       13         41         2
5/20/12       42       20         22      55       11         44         2
4/8/12        44       23         21      54       12         42         2
3/10/12       38       20         18      59        9         50         2
2/4/12        44       23         22      53       11         41         3
1/15/12       41       19         22      57       11         46         2
12/18/11      41       17         24      56       13         43         2
11/3/11       38       18         20      61       13         48         2
10/2/11       35       17         19      61       13         48         4
9/1/11        36       15         21      62       15         47         2
7/17/11       39       18         22      57       15         43         3
6/5/11        40       20         20      59       10         49         2
5/2/11*       40       18         22      55       16         39         4
4/17/11       42       23         19      57       11         46         2
3/13/11       43       22         21      55       13         41         2
1/16/11       46       22         24      51       13         38         2
12/12/10      43       21         22      54       15         39         3
10/28/10 RV   44       21         23      54       15         39         3
10/3/10       45       22         23      53       13         41         2
9/2/10        41       20         21      57       13         44         2
7/11/10       43       20         23      54       13         41         4
6/6/10        50       26         24      49       12         37         2
4/25/10       49       24         25      49       10         39         2
3/26/10       45       23         22      52       12         40         3
2/8/10        45       22         23      53       15         38         2
1/15/10       47       22         24      52       13         39         1
12/13/09      46       23         24      52       12         40         2
11/15/09      51       26         25      47       12         36         2
10/18/09      50       29         22      48       13         35         1
9/12/09       51       28         24      46       13         33         2
8/17/09       52       27         25      46       13         33         2
7/18/09       52       29         23      46       10         35         3
6/21/09       56       28         28      41       13         27         3
4/24/09       58       31         28      38       13         25         4
3/29/09       60       34         25      38       12         26         3
2/22/09       60       NA         NA      34       NA         NA         6
*Washington Post/Pew Research Center

b. Handling international affairs

             -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
             NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
9/29/12 RV   49       28         20      48       12         36         3
5/20/12      48       30         18      46       15         31         6
4/8/12       47       24         23      44       11         33         9
1/15/12      49       26         23      44       10         33         7
11/3/11      47       26         21      45       13         31         8
11/15/09     60       30         30      37       13         23         3
10/18/09     57       34         23      36       15         21         7
9/12/09      57       32         25      33       12         21        10
6/21/09      61       NA         NA      32       NA         NA         7
4/24/09      67                          27                             6
3/29/09      62        "          "      27        "          "        11

8. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Do you think things in this country (are generally going in the right direction) or do you feel things (have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track)?

                Right     Wrong     No 
              direction   track   opinion
9/29/12  RV      38        60        2
8/25/12  RV      29        69        2
8/25/12          31        67        3
7/8/12           33        63        4
4/8/12           33        64        3
1/15/12          30        68        2
11/3/11          22        74        3
9/1/11           20        77        3
6/5/11           32        66        2
1/16/11          38        60        3
12/12/10         31        67        2
10/28/10 RV      27        71        2
6/6/10           37        60        3
3/26/10          38        60        2
1/15/10          37        62        1
11/15/09         44        55        2
10/18/09         44        54        2
8/17/09          44        55        1
6/21/09          47        50        3
4/24/09          50        48        2
3/29/09          42        57        1
2/22/09          31        67        2
1/16/09          19        78        3
12/14/08         15        82        3
10/25/08 LV      13        85        2
10/11/08 RV       8        90        2
9/22/08  RV      14        83        3
8/22/08          19        78        2
6/15/08          14        84        2
5/11/08          16        82        2
1/12/08          21        77        2
11/1/07          24        74        2
6/1/07           25        73        2
1/19/07          26        71        3
11/4/06  RV      39        59        2
10/22/06         30        68        2
10/8/06          32        66        2
5/15/06          29        69        2
11/2/05          30        68        2
10/24/04 LV      41        55        4
4/18/04          42        57        1
4/30/03          52        46        2
9/26/02          43        53        4
2/21/02          54        42        4
2/14/99          55        41        4
11/1/98          55        43        2
8/21/98          57        40        4
7/12/98          50        45        6
4/4/98           55        41        4
1/31/98          61        34        5
1/30/98          61        34        5
1/19/98          44        50        6
8/27/97          39        57        4
6/8/97           37        60        3
3/9/97           34        62        4
10/17/96 RV      40        55        5
10/16/96 RV      42        53        5
10/15/96 RV      43        52        5
10/14/96 RV      44        51        5
10/13/96 RV      44        51        5
9/04/96  RV      40        54        6
8/21/96          28        67        5
6/30/96          26        70        5
3/17/96          27        70        3
1/21/96          27        66        6
1/3/96           21        77        3
4/5/95           23        73        3
1/4/95           27        68        6
10/31/94         27        69        4
7/20/94          26        70        4
3/27/94          28        69        3
1/23/94          31        60       10
11/14/93         25        69        6
8/8/93           26        71        3
6/20/93          26        71        3
4/26/93          27        71        2
3/11/93          36        57        7
2/28/93          37        59        4
1/17/93          31        63        6
12/14/92         35        60        5
10/27/92 RV      22        76        2
10/4/92  RV      18        78        4
6/7/92           14        83        3
4/9/92           16        81        3
3/11/92          18        79        4
1/15/92          19        78        3
11/10/91         24        72        4
10/29/91         26        71        3
8/27/91          31        60        9
7/28/91          30        67        3
6/2/91           39        57        4
4/9/91           42        51        7
2/26/91          58        39        3
1/27/91          49        48        4
10/14/90         19        79        2
9/9/90           36        60        4
8/20/90          35        60        5
7/24/90          37        60        2
5/21/90          39        60        2
3/26/90          44        53        2
2/4/90           49        48        3
1/16/90          48        49        3
5/23/89          42        55        3
3/16/89          46        52        2
1/16/89  LV      51        46        3
10/25/88 LV      49        46        6
9/27/88          48        44        8
7/11/88          40        56        4
5/25/88          35        59        6
3/21/88          40        56        4
1/23/88          39        59        2
12/13/87         49        47        4
12/2/87          35        61        4
9/23/87          43        54        4
6/29/87          35        62        3
4/13/87          37        60        3
3/9/87           38        58        4
1/18/87          39        56        5
9/8/86           50        48        2
1/26/86          45        47        8
7/29/85          52        43        6
1/16/85          59        36        4
5/22/84          47        48        5
12/13/83         43        51        6
11/7/83          51        44        5
4/12/83          41        54        4
3/2/83           43        53        3
10/11/82         35        57        8
1/30/82          39        56        5
2/80*            20        70       10
2/78             34        53       13
2/77             41        44       14
10/75            19        71        9
10/74            15        75       11
10/73            16        74       10
*2/80 and previous: Roper

9. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) I am going to mention four phrases and ask you which one best describes how you feel about the way the federal government works. Do you feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not angry, or angry?

              ----- Positive -------   ----- Negative -----
                    Enthusi-  Satis-         Dissat-          None/     No
              NET   astic     fied     NET   isfied   Angry   Other   opinion
9/29/12  RV   28      4        25      71      44      27      NA        1
2/4/12        24      2        22      75      49      26      NA        *
11/3/11       20      2        18      80      49      31                *
7/17/11       20      2        18      80      54      25                1
6/5/11        30      3        27      69      44      25                1
10/28/10      27      4        23      72      51      21                1
10/3/10       29      4        25      71      46      25                *
9/2/10        22      2        20      78      52      25                *
7/11/10       36      4        32      64      43      21                1
6/6/10        30      2        28      69      45      25                1
4/25/10       30      4        26      69      51      18                1
2/8/10        32      3        29      67      48      19                *
10/29/03      42      2        41      57      42      15                *
11/4/02  LV   49      4        45      50      41       9                1
11/3/02  LV   50      5        45      49      40       9                1
11/2/02  LV   51      6        45      49      40       9                1
10/27/02      50      4        47      49      42       7                1
2/21/02       56      7        49      43      36       7                1
12/15/00      59      4        55      39      34       6                1
2/14/99       52      3        48      47      35      12                1
9/28/98       50      4        46      49      36      12                1
8/16/98*      41      2        39      57      46      11       "        1
1/19/98       46      2        43      53      45       8       1        *
8/27/97       34      2        33      64      52      11       2        1
3/17/96       29      2        27      70      54      16      NA        *
5/14/95       48      3        45      50      41       9       "        1
1/4/95        29      2        27      69      53      16       *        1
11/6/94  RV   28      2        26      70      49      21       1        1
10/31/94      26      1        25      73      55      18       1        1
10/23/94      28      1        26      71      52      20       *        *
10/9/94       25      2        24      72      53      19       2        *
9/11/94       26      2        25      73      53      20      NA        *
3/27/94       30      1        29      68      48      20       1        1
2/28/93       33      4        29      66      50      16       *        *
10/4/92  RV   17      1        16      81      56      25       1        1
7/8/92        23      1        22      76      53      23       *        1
6/7/92        21      1        20      79      58      21       *        1
4/9/92        21      1        20      79      55      24       1        *
3/18/92       22      1        21      77      54      23       1        *
3/11/92       18      1        17      80      60      20       1        1
*After 8/16/98: No "None/other" option recorded.

10. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job [ITEM] - (Obama) or (Romney)?

9/29/12 - Summary Table*

                                                            Both    Neither     No
                                          Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
a. Handling the economy                    47       47        *        4         2
b. Handling taxes                          49       44        *        4         2
c. Dealing with the federal           
   budget deficit                          45       48        *        5         3
d. Handling health care policy             48       44        *        6         2
e. Dealing with social issues 
   such as abortion and gay marriage       52       38        1        5         4
f. Handling terrorism                      53       39        2        2         4
g. Handling international affairs          49       44        *        2         4
h. Handling Medicare, the government 
   health insurance program for seniors    47       43        *        6         3
i. Addressing women’s issues               54       36        2        4         6
j. Handling an unexpected major crisis     52       42        1        2         3     
*Full sample asked item a-c; half sample asked items d-f; other half sample asked items g-j.

Trend:

a. Handling the economy

                               Both    Neither     No
             Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
9/29/12 RV    47       47        *        4         2
9/9/12  RV    47       45        *        3         4
8/25/12 RV    43       50        *        4         3
7/8/12  RV    45       48        1        3         3
5/20/12 RV    47       47        *        3         3
4/8/12  RV    44       48        1        4         3
2/4/12  RV    44       50        1        3         2

b. Handling taxes 

                               Both    Neither     No
             Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
9/29/12 RV    49       44        *        4         2
9/9/12  RV    50       43        1        2         4
8/25/12 RV    43       48        *        5         3
7/8/12  RV    46       46        *        5         3
4/8/12  RV    48       43        1        4         4
2/4/12  RV    49       45        *        2         4

c. Dealing with the federal budget deficit
 
                               Both    Neither     No
             Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
9/29/12 RV    45       48        *        5         3
9/9/12  RV    44       47        0        7         3
8/25/12 RV    38       51        0        7         3
7/8/12  RV    43       51        1        3         2
4/8/12  RV    37       54        1        6         2
2/4/12  RV    39       52        *        4         4

d. Handling health care policy       

                               Both    Neither     No
             Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
9/29/12 RV    48       44        *        6         2
9/9/12  RV    47       44        1        4         4
8/25/12 RV    47       45        *        6         2
7/8/12  RV    48       44        1        5         3
4/8/12  RV    49       40        *        5         6

e. Dealing with social issues such as abortion and gay marriage
 
                               Both    Neither     No
             Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
9/29/12 RV    52       38        1        5         4
9/9/12  RV    50       39        1        5         4
8/25/12 RV    52       38        1        5         4
4/8/12  RV    47       39        1        6         7

f. Handling terrorism

                               Both    Neither     No
             Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
9/29/12 RV    53       39        2        2         4
9/9/12  RV    51       40        3        4         3
4/8/12  RV    47       43        1        4         5
2/4/12  RV    54       38        2        2         4 

g. Handling international affairs          

                               Both    Neither     No
             Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
9/29/12 RV    49       44        *         2        4
9/9/12  RV    51       38        *         2        9
8/25/12 RV    46       41        1         6        5
4/8/12  RV    56       37        *         3        4
2/4/12  RV    55       38        1         3        4

h. Handling Medicare, the government health insurance program for seniors 

                               Both    Neither     No
             Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
9/29/12 RV    47       43        *        6         3
9/9/12  RV    48       43        *        4         5
8/25/12 RV    42       45        1        7         5

i. Addressing women's issues

                               Both    Neither    No
             Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
9/29/12 RV    54       36        2        4        6
9/9/12  RV    55       34        1        3        7
8/25/12 RV    51       35        1        7        6
4/8/12  RV    54       37        1        4        4

j. Handling an unexpected major crisis

                                Both    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
9/29/12  RV    52       42        1        2         3

Compare to:
                                Both    Neither     No 
              Obama   McCain   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
11/3/08  LV    49       45        2        2         2
11/2/08  LV    49       46        2        2         2
11/1/08  LV    51       45        1        1         1
10/31/08 LV    50       46        2        1         2
10/30/08 LV    49       46        1        1         2
10/29/08 LV    48       47        2        1         2
10/28/08 LV    47       48        1        2         3
10/27/08 LV    46       48        2        2         3
10/19/08 LV    49       45        1        2         2
10/11/08 LV    52       43        1        3         1
9/29/08  RV    44       50        1        2         3
9/22/08  RV    46       47        2        2         3
9/7/08   RV    37       54        2        3         3
8/22/08  RV    41       52        2        2         3
7/13/08  RV    42       51        3        2         3

                                Both    Neither     No       
              Kerry    Bush    (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
6/20/04        41       53        1        2         2
*"Please tell me whether the following statement applies more to (Bush) or more to (Kerry): He can be trusted in a crisis."

11. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you think [ITEM] - (Obama) or (Romney)?

9/29/12 - Summary Table
                                                     Both    Neither     No
                                   Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion 
a. Better understands the   
   economic problems people                
   in this country are having       52       39        2        6         1
b. Seems like the more friendly    
   and likeable person              62       29        5        3         2

Trend:

a. Better understands the economic problems people in this country are having

                               Both    Neither     No
             Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
9/29/12 RV    52       39        2        6         1
9/9/12  RV    50       40        3        4         3
8/25/12 RV    47       40        1        9         2 
7/8/12  RV    51       40        2        5         2
5/20/12 RV    48       40        2        8         2
4/8/12  RV    49       38        2        8         2
2/4/12  RV    52       37        2        7         2

b. Seems like the more friendly and likable person

                               Both    Neither     No
             Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
9/29/12 RV    62       29        5        3         2
9/9/12  RV    61       27        5        3         3
8/25/12 RV    61       27        6        4         2 
7/8/12  RV    63       26        5        2         4
4/8/12  RV    64       28        3        2         3

12. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Please tell me whether the following statement applies to (Obama/Romney), or not? He knows enough about world affairs to serve effectively as president.

             ----- Obama ------    ----- Romney ------
             Yes   No   No opin.   Yes   No   No opin.
9/29/12 RV   64    34      2       51    43      6

Compare to:
             ----- Obama ------    ----- McCain ------
             Yes   No   No opin.   Yes   No   No opin.
9/22/08 RV   56    39      4       72    25      3
7/13/08 RV   56    42      2       74    24      2
7/13/08      56    42      2       72    24      3

             ------- Gore ------   ------- Bush ------
             Yes   No   No opin.   Yes   No   No opin.
9/6/00  RV   73    25      2       54    40      6
7/23/00 RV   67    29      4       52    42      5
7/23/00      66    29      5       52    42      6
4/2/00       71    23      6       57    36      7
2/27/00      70    25      5       55    39      6
2/6/00       69    26      5       52    42      6
1/16/00      65    28      8       49    40     10
12/15/99     68    27      6       54    38      8
11/14/99     NA    NA     NA       59    36      6

13. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Changing topics, would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good or poor?

              ------ Positive ------   ------- Negative -------     No
              NET   Excellent   Good   NET   Not so good   Poor   opinion 
9/29/12  RV   18        2        16    81        42         39       *
8/25/12  RV   15        1        14    85        40         45       *  
8/25/12       15        1        14    84        39         45       1
8/5/12*       13        1        12    87        42         44       *
5/20/12       17        1        16    83        47         36       *
2/4/12        11        *        11    89        46         42       *
11/3/11       10        1         9    89        43         47       *
7/17/11       10        1         9    90        40         50       *
6/5/11        11        1        10    89        46         44       *
1/16/11       13        1        12    87        45         41       *
10/28/10       9        *         9    90        41         49       1
10/3/10        9        1         8    90        40         50       *
9/2/10         8        *         7    92        40         53       0
7/11/10       10        1         9    90        44         46       0
6/6/10        12        *        11    88        43         45       0
1/16/09        5        1         5    94        32         62       *
9/22/08        9        *         9    91        34         57       *
4/13/08       10        1         9    90        39         51       *
2/1/08        19        1        18    81        43         38       0
12/9/07       28        3        25    72        40         32       *
11/1/07       35        3        32    64        39         26       *
4/15/07       42        5        37    57        37         20       *
12/11/06      50        7        42    50        36         14       *
10/22/06      55       10        45    45        28         17       *
10/8/06       47        7        40    53        37         16       *
3/5/06        43        5        38    57        37         19       *
1/26/06       40        5        35    60        37         23       *
12/18/05      45        5        39    55        38         17       *
11/2/05       35        3        32    65        36         29       *
9/11/05       40        3        37    59        37         22       1
6/5/05        44        3        40    56        38         19       *
4/24/05       37        2        35    63        44         20       *
9/26/04  RV   46        3        43    53        38         15       1
8/29/04  RV   45        3        41    55        37         18       *
7/25/04       46        4        42    53        39         14       *
6/20/04       45        4        41    55        38         17       *
4/18/04       43        4        39    57        39         18       *
3/7/04        39        2        37    60        38         22       1
1/18/04       42        3        39    58        42         16       0
12/21/03      42        4        39    57        41         16       1
10/29/03      33        1        32    67        45         23       *
9/13/03       30        2        27    70        45         25       *
8/11/03       32        2        30    68        43         25       *
4/30/03       35        1        34    64        46         19       *
2/9/03        28        1        27    72        49         23       *
1/20/03       25        1        25    74        48         26       1
12/15/02      35        1        33    65        44         21       1
11/4/02  LV   28        1        27    72        55         17       1
11/3/02  LV   27        1        26    72        56         17       1
11/2/02  LV   29        1        28    71        54         17       *
9/26/02       31        2        28    69        50         19       *
7/15/02       39        3        36    61        44         17       1
2/21/02       30        1        29    69        51         18       *
1/27/02       31        1        29    69        50         19       *
9/20/01       38        3        35    60        47         14       2
9/9/01        33        1        32    66        47         19       *
7/30/01       50        3        46    50        39         12       *
4/22/01       50        3        47    50        40          9       *
1/15/01       70       10        59    29        24          6       1
10/27/00 LV   86       24        61    14        11          3       *
10/26/00 LV   86       24        61    14        11          3       *
6/11/00       74       17        57    26        19          6       *
2/27/00       80       25        55    20        14          5       *
10/31/99      74       18        56    26        18          7       1
9/2/99        76       19        57    23        16          6       1
3/14/99       80       22        58    19        15          4       1
11/1/98       73       12        61    26        21          5       1
11/1/98  LV   78       13        65    22        19          3       *
10/13/97      61       12        49    39        27         11       *
*Washington Post-Kaiser Family Foundation

14. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Thinking about the federal government's economic stimulus program, do you think the economic stimulus program has (helped) the national economy, (hurt) the national economy, or hasn't made much difference? (IF HELPED/HURT) Is that a great deal or somewhat?

             ---------- Helped ---------   ---------- Hurt -----------    No     No
             NET   Great deal   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Great deal   diff.   op.
9/29/12 RV   28         9          20      27        8          19        43      2
3/13/11 RV   31         9          22      21        6          15        46      2
3/13/11      28         8          20      21        6          14        49      2
6/6/10       30         9          21      20        7          13        49      1
11/15/09     37        12          25      23        6          17        39      1
9/12/09      32        10          22      19        5          13        47      2
6/21/09      28         8          20      19        6          13        52      2
4/24/09      33        10          23      16        6          10        49      2

15. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) How do you feel about [ITEM] - very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried or not worried at all?

9/29/12 – Summary Table

                                     ----- Worried ----   ----- Not worried ----   No
                                     NET   Very   Smwt.   NET   Not too   At all   op.
a. The direction of the nation's 
   economy over the next few years   78     37     40     21       15        7      1
b. Your own family's financial 
   situation                         61     21     40     39       22       17      *

Trend:

a. The direction of the nation's economy over the next few years

              ----- Worried ----   ----- Not worried ----     No
              NET   Very   Smwt.   NET   Not too   At all   opinion
9/29/12  RV   78     37     40     21       15        7        1
4/25/10       73     31     41     27       19        8        1
10/18/09      74     34     40     26       17        9        *
7/18/09       77     36     42     22       16        6        *
1/16/09       81     35     46     18       15        4        *
10/19/08 LV   85     44     42     14        9        5        1
10/11/08      88     49     39     11        8        3        1
9/22/08       79     40     39     17       13        5        3
1/5/03        67     27     40     31       22       10        1
11/4/02  LV   76     34     42     23       17        6        1
11/3/02  LV   75     33     42     24       17        7        1
11/2/02  LV   73     32     41     26       19        8        1
10/27/02      75     27     48     23       16        7        2

b. Your own family's financial situation

              ----- Worried ----   ----- Not worried ----     No
              NET   Very   Smwt.   NET   Not too   At all   opinion
9/29/12  RV   61     21     40     39       22       17        *
10/18/09      60     23     37     40       24       16        *
7/18/09       63     23     41     37       25       12        0
1/16/09       70     27     43     30       20       10        *
10/19/08 LV   66     24     43     33       21       12        *
10/11/08      69     25     43     31       21       10        *
9/22/08       60     22     38     40       26       14        *

16. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Do you think government programs to help [ITEM] do more to (make people dependent on such assistance) or do more to (help people in need to get back on their feet)?

9/29/12 – Summary Table

                    Make people   Help people     No
                     dependent      in need     opinion
a. The poor             51            43           7
b. The unemployed       42            53           5

17. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) What do you think is the bigger problem in this country - (unfairness in the economic system that favors the wealthy), or (over-regulation of the free market that interferes with growth and prosperity)?

                              Over-       Both    Neither  
               Unfairness   regulation   (vol.)   (vol.)    No opinion
9/29/12  RV       49           42          3        1           5
8/25/12  RV       54           36          5        2           3  
8/25/12           56           34          5        1           3
5/20/12           56           34          5        2           3
4/8/12            52           37          4        2           5
1/15/12           55           35          5        2           4

18. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) If [ITEM], how confident are you, if at all, that the country will get back on track economically in the next year or two – very confident, somewhat confident, not so confident or not confident at all?

9/29/12 - Summary Table

                         --- Confident ---   --- Not confident ---     No
                         NET   Very   Smwt   NET   Not so   At all   opinion
a. Obama is re-elected   47     14     34    53      18       35        *
b. Romney is elected     51     12     39    47      21       27        1

Trend:

a. Obama is re-elected

             --- Confident ---   --- Not confident ---     No
             NET   Very   Smwt   NET   Not so   At all   opinion
9/29/12 RV   47     14     34    53      18       35        *
9/9/12  RV   46     19     27    53      17       36        1
8/25/12 RV   42     14     28    58      18       40        1

b. Romney is elected

             --- Confident ---   --- Not confident ---     No
             NET   Very   Smwt   NET   Not so   At all   opinion
9/29/12 RV   51     12     39    47      21       27        1
9/9/12  RV   49     14     35    50      19       31        1
8/25/12 RV   46     11     35    52      21       32        1

19. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Do you think Obama does more to favor the (middle class) or more to favor the (wealthy)?

                 Favor        Favor        Treat          No
              middle class   wealthy   equally (vol.)   opinion
9/29/12  RV        66          17            5            12
8/25/12  RV        62          23            6             9
8/25/12            61          24            6             8

20. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) As president do you think Romney would do more to favor the (middle class) or more to favor the (wealthy)?

                 Favor        Favor        Treat          No
              middle class   wealthy   equally (vol.)   opinion
9/29/12  RV        35          57             3            4
8/25/12  RV        32          58             5            5
8/25/12            30          60             5            6

21. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Do you think of Romney's wealth as more of a (positive because it suggests he has achieved the American dream) or as more of a (negative because it suggests he benefited from opportunities that are not available to most people)?

             Positive   Negative   No opinion
9/29/12 RV      51         42           7
2/4/12  RV      43         46          11
2/4/12          43         44          13

22. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) I'd like to ask you about the distribution of wealth in this country - that is, the gap between how much money wealthy people have compared with how much money the rest of the population has. Do you think this gap is larger than it's been historically, smaller, or about the same?

             Larger   Smaller   Same   No opinion
9/29/12 RV     57         5      34        3
11/3/11 RV     62         4      30        4
11/3/11        61         5      31        3

23. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Do you think the federal government should or should not pursue policies that try to reduce the gap between wealthy and less well-off Americans? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

             ----- Should pursue -----   --- Should not pursue ---     No
             NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
9/29/12 RV   52       31         21      43       13         30         5
11/3/11 RV   58       41         16      37       11         26         5
11/3/11      60       43         18      35       11         24         5

24. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Many people who don’t pay income taxes are senior citizens on social security; people on disability; or students, the unemployed, and the working poor who do not earn enough to owe taxes on their income. Do you think such people should pay at least some income taxes or is it fair that they do not pay income taxes? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

             ---- Should pay some ----   ---- Fair not to pay ----     No
             NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
9/29/12 RV   39       21         18      57       18         39         3

25. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Romney paid about a 14 percent federal tax rate on income of about 14 million dollars last year. Do you think he is or is not paying his fair share of taxes? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

             --- Paying fair share ---   - Not paying fair share -     No   
             NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
9/29/12 RV   46       33         13      48       10         38         6
2/4/12* RV   30       16         14      66       15         51         4
2/4/12*      30       15         15      66       16         50         4      
* “… income of about 22 million…”

26. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) How interested, if at all, are you in the upcoming presidential debates – very interested, somewhat interested, not so interested or not at all interested?

             -- Interested ---   -- Not interested ---     No
             NET   Very   Smwt   NET   Not so   At all   opinion
9/29/12 RV   83     51     32    17       8        9        *

27. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think will win the debates – (Obama) or (Romney)?

                              Neither    Tie       No
             Obama   Romney   (vol.)    (vol.)   opinion
9/29/12 RV    56       29        *        3        11

28. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Have you personally been contacted by a representative of the [CANDIDATE] campaign, either by phone, in-person, or online asking you for your support, or not?

9/29/12 - Summary Table

            Yes   No   No opinion 
a. Obama    23    76         1
b. Romney   20    79         1

Trend:

a. Obama
             Yes   No   No opinion 
9/29/12 RV   23    76        1
8/25/12 RV   20    79        1
8/25/12      18    81        1

b. Romney
             Yes   No   No opinion 
9/29/12 RV   20    79        1
8/25/12 RV   13    86        *
8/25/12      11    88        *

Compare to:
Have you personally been contacted by a representative of the [CANDIDATE] campaign,
either by phone or in-person, asking you for your support, or not? 

                     Yes   No   No opinion 
10/22/08 Obama  LV   21    78        1
10/22/08 McCain LV   14    85        1
9/26/04  Bush   LV   18    82        *        
9/26/04  Kerry  LV   17    82        1

29. (IF CONTACTED BY OBAMA CAMPAIGN) When was the last time you were contacted, within the last week, within the last month or longer ago than that?

             Within last   Within last   Longer     No
                week          month       ago     opinion
9/29/12 RV       53            34          10        3

28/29 NET:
             ---------------- Yes ----------------      Not        No
             NET   Last week   Last month   Longer   contacted   opinion
9/29/12 RV   23       12            8          2        76          1

30. (IF CONTACTED BY ROMNEY CAMPAIGN) When was the last time you were contacted, within the last week, within the last month or longer ago than that?

             Within last   Within last   Longer     No
                week          month       ago     opinion
9/29/12 RV       55            34           9        1

28/30 NET:
             ---------------- Yes ----------------      Not        No
             NET   Last week   Last month   Longer   contacted   opinion
9/29/12 RV   20       11            7          2        79          1

31. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Just your best guess, who do you think will win the presidential election this year - (Obama) or (Romney)?

                              Other      No
             Obama   Romney   (vol.)   opinion
9/29/12 RV    63       31        *        6
8/25/12 RV    56       37        *        8
8/25/12       59       34        *        7
7/8/12        58       34        1        8

Compare to: Just your best guess, who do you think will win the presidential election
this year - (Obama) or (the Republican candidate)?

           Obama   Rep. candidate   No opinion
3/10/12     54           40              6
1/15/12     46           49              5
12/18/11    46           49              5
10/2/11     37           55              8

32. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS HALF SAMPLE) On a ship in a storm, who would you rather have as the captain, (Obama) or (Romney)?

                               Both    Neither     No
             Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
9/29/12 RV    52       40        1        6         1
9/9/12  RV    46       43        *        7         4

33. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS HALF SAMPLE) Who would you rather invite to dinner at your home, (Obama) or (Romney)?

                               Both    Neither     No
             Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
9/29/12 RV    54       32        6        7         1   
9/9/12  RV    52       33        7        6         2

34. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS HALF SAMPLE) Who would you rather go on an overnight camping trip with, (Obama) or (Romney)?

                               Both    Neither     No
             Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
9/29/12 RV    48       34        4       12         2

35. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS HALF SAMPLE) Who would you rather have babysit your children, (Obama) or (Romney)?

                               Both    Neither     No
             Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
9/29/12 RV    41       41        3       13         2

36. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS HALF SAMPLE) Whose music playlist would you rather listen to, (Obama)’s or (Romney)’s?

                               Both    Neither     No
             Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
9/29/12 RV    46       30        1        9        14

37. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS HALF SAMPLE) Who would you rather see as a contestant on Dancing with the Stars, (Obama) or (Romney)?

                               Both    Neither     No
             Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
9/29/12 RV    51       26        4       11         8

901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what?

            Democrat   Republican   Independent   Other (vol.)   No opinion
9/29/12 LV     33          30           33              3             1
9/29/12 RV     33          28           34              4             1
9/9/12  RV     32          26           37              4             1
8/25/12 RV     32          25           36              6             2
7/8/12  RV     36          27           33              3             1
5/20/12 RV     34          25           34              6             1
4/8/12  RV     37          24           33              4             1
3/10/12 RV     31          29           36              3             2
2/12/12 RV     36          25           34              5             1
1/15/12 RV     32          27           35              5             1

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