Washington Post-ABC News Poll

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone Oct. 10-13, 2012, among a random national sample of 1,252 adults, including landline and cell phone-only respondents. Results for the full sample have a margin of error of three percentage points. The error margin is 3.5 points for the samples of 1,063 registered voters and 923 likely voters. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.

RV = registered voters; LV=likely voters

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) How closely are you following the 2012 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not so closely, or not closely at all?

              ---- Closely -----   ---- Not closely -----     No
              NET   Very   Smwt    NET   Not so    At all   opinion
10/13/12 LV   93     60     33      6       4         2        *
10/13/12 RV   88     54     34     11       6         5        1
9/29/12  RV   86     47     39     14       8         6        0
9/9/12   RV   80     44     36     19      11         9        *       
5/20/12  RV   82     38     44     18       9         8        *
2/4/12*  RV   79     37     43     20      12         8        *
1/15/12  RV   76     33     43     24      14        10        *
12/18/11      69     26     43     31      18        13        *
11/3/11       65     24     41     34      17        17        *
10/2/11       64     24     40     36      23        13        0
9/1/11        66     25     40     34      20        14        *
7/17/11       61     18     43     39      23        15        *
6/5/11        61     22     39     38      23        15        *

2. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?

                                                     Don't think   Already   
              Certain  Probably  Chances  Less than   will vote     voted    No
              to vote    vote     50/50     that       (vol.)       (vol.)   op.
10/13/12 RV     85         7        4        1           1            1       1
9/29/12  RV     84         7        7        2           *            0       *
9/9/12   RV     83         7        6        4           *           NA       0
8/25/12  RV     81         8        6        3           1           NA       *
7/8/12   RV     81         9        8        2           *           NA       *

10/11/08 RV     87         5        4        1           *            2       0
9/29/08  RV     87         6        5        1           1           NA       *
9/22/08  RV     89         6        4        1           *           NA       *
9/7/08   RV     85         7        5        1           1            *
8/22/08  RV     84        10        4        2           *            *
7/13/08  RV     79        10        7        3           2            0
6/15/08         71         9        8        7           4            *

3. (IF CERTAIN TO VOTE) Do you think you’ll (vote in person at your polling place on Election Day), or (vote before Election Day by early voting or mail-in ballot)?

RESULTS AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS WHO ARE CERTAIN TO VOTE OR ALREADY VOTED

                Vote      Early voting/      Already
              in person   mail-in ballot   voted (vol.)   No opinion
10/13/12 RV      67             30              2              1

11/2/08  RV      63             11             25              *
11/1/08  RV      63             13             23              *
10/31/08 RV      63             16             20              1
10/30/08 RV      64             17             18              1
10/29/08 RV      65             18             16              1
10/28/08 RV      65             19             15              1
10/27/08 RV      66             18             15              1
10/26/08 RV      67             18             14              1
10/25/08 RV      68             18             13              1
10/24/08 RV      69             19             11              1
10/23/08 RV      68             20             11              1
10/22/08 RV      66             20             13              1

4. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats) and (Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans), for whom would you vote? Which candidates are you leaning toward, (Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats) or (Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans)? (ASKED IF ALREADY VOTED) For whom did you vote?

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – among likely voters 

                               Other    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/13/12 LV    49       46        1        1         2
9/29/12  LV    49       47        *        2         1
9/9/12   LV    49       48        *        1         2
8/25/12  LV    47       49        1        1         1
7/8/12*  LV    50       47        *        2         2
*7/18/12: "Barack Obama, the Democrat" and "Mitt Romney, the Republican".

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - among registered voters 

                               Other    Neither    Would not      No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
10/13/12 RV    50       43        1        3           *           3
9/29/12  RV    49       44        1        3           1           1
9/9/12   RV    50       44        1         2          1           2
8/25/12  RV    46       47        2         3          2           1
7/8/12*  RV    47       47        *         2          *           4
5/20/12  RV    49       46        *         3          1           1
4/8/12   RV    51       44        *         2          3           1
3/10/12  RV    47       49        *         1          2           2
2/4/12   RV    51       45        *         1          1           1
1/15/12  RV    46       48        *         2          2           2
12/18/11 RV    47       47        *         2          2           1
11/3/11  RV    46       47        *         3          2           1
10/2/11  RV    46       48        *         2          1           2
9/1/11   RV    45       49        *         2          2           2
7/17/11  RV    49       47        *         2          1           1
6/5/11   RV    46       49        *         2          1           2
4/17/11  RV    49       45        *         3          1           1
*7/18/12 and prior: “Barack Obama, the Democrat” and “Mitt Romney, the Republican”.

5. (IF SUPPORT OBAMA OR ROMNEY) Will you definitely vote for (OBAMA/ROMNEY), or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for (CANDIDATE NOT NAMED)? (IF CHANCE CHANGE MIND) Would you say (there’s a GOOD CHANCE) you'll change your mind, or would you say (it’s PRETTY UNLIKELY)?

              Definitely   - Chance change mind -     No
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely    opinion
10/13/12 LV       90        9      2        7          1
10/13/12 RV       89       10      2        8          1
9/29/12  RV       86       13      3       10          1
9/9/12   RV       85       13      4        8          2
8/25/12  RV       83       15      6        9          2
7/8/12*  RV       79       19      6       13          2
*7/8/12 and prior: “Will you definitely vote for (NAMED CANDIDATE), or is there
a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else?”

Barack Obama:

              Definitely   -Chance change mind -     No 
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
10/13/12 LV       89       10      1        9          1
10/13/12 RV       87       12      2       10          1
9/29/12  RV       84       15      5       10         1
9/9/12   RV       86       11      4        7         3
8/25/12  RV       84       14      6        8         2
7/8/12   RV       81       17      4       13         2

10/11/08 LV       90        9      3        6          1
9/29/08  RV       83       16      7        9          1
9/22/08  RV       85       14      8        7          1
9/7/08   RV       78       21      9       12         1
8/22/08  RV       74       23      7       15         4
7/13/08  RV       72       23      9       14         5
6/15/08  RV       71       26      7       19         3
5/11/08  RV       71       25     13       13         4

Mitt Romney: 

              Definitely   -Chance change mind -     No 
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
10/13/12 LV       91        7      2        6          1
10/13/12 RV       90        8      2        6          1
9/29/12  RV       88       12      1       10         1
9/9/12   RV       85       14      5        9         *
8/25/12  RV       82       16      5       10         3
7/8/12   RV       77       21      8       13         2

Compare to: John McCain:

              Definitely   -Chance change mind -     No 
               vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
10/11/08 LV       86       14      4        9          *
9/29/08  RV       81       18      9        9          1
9/22/08  RV       81       18      9        9          2
9/7/08   RV       80       19      8       11         2
8/22/08  RV       72       25     14       11         2
7/13/08  RV       71       28     12       17         1
6/15/08  RV       72       27     14       12         1
5/11/08  RV       66       32     17       15         2

6. (IF SUPPORT OBAMA OR ROMNEY) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting (Obama/Romney) somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

              --- Enthusiastic ----   --- Not enthusiastic ----     No
              NET   Very   Somewhat   NET   Not so   Not at all   opinion
10/13/12 LV   94     61       33       5       4          1          1
10/13/12 RV   93     57       36       6       5          2          1
9/29/12  RV   89     49       40      11       6          4          *
9/9/12   RV   90     51       39       9       5          5          *
8/25/12  RV   85     45       40      14      10          4          1
7/8/12   RV   88     44       44      12       8          4          *
5/20/12  RV   84     39       45      16       9          6          *

Obama:
10/13/12 LV   95     60       35       4       4          1          *
10/13/12 RV   94     55       40       5       4          1          1
9/29/12  RV   91     51       40       9       7          2          0
9/9/12   RV   93     56       38       7       3          3          0
8/25/12  RV   88     48       39      11       7          4          1
7/8/12   RV   91     51       40       8       5          3          1
5/20/12  RV   93     51       41       7       4          4          0

10/11/08 LV   96     66      30      4        3          1          *
10/11/08 RV   93     63      30      6        3          3          *
9/29/08  RV   95     61      34      4        4          *          1
9/22/08  RV   94     62      32      6        4          1          *
9/7/08   RV   96     64      32      4        3          1          0
8/22/08  RV   95     52      43      5        2          3          *
6/15/08  RV   91     52      39      9        7          2          *

Romney:
10/13/12 LV   93     62       31       7       4          2          1
10/13/12 RV   92     59       33       8       5          2          1
9/29/12  RV   87     48       39      13       6          7          *
9/9/12   RV   87     46       40      13       7          6          1
8/25/12  RV   83     42       41      17      12          4          *
7/8/12   RV   85     38       47      15      11          4          *
5/20/12  RV   75     26       48      25      15          9          1

Compare to: John McCain:
10/11/08 LV   87     31      57     13       10          2          0
9/29/08  RV   90     38      52     10        7          2          *
9/22/08  RV   89     34      55     10        8          2          1
9/7/08   RV   92     46      46      8        6          2          0
8/22/08  RV   86     28      58     13       11          2          1
6/15/08  RV   74     19      55     25       19          6          1

7. (IF SUPPORT/VOTED FOR OBAMA OR ROMNEY) Regardless of your support, how do you feel about how (SUPPORTED CANDIDATE) would perform as president for the next four years - very anxious, somewhat anxious, not so anxious or not anxious at all?

              ------ Anxious ------   ---- Not anxious ----     No
              NET   Very   Somewhat   NET   Not so   At all   opinion
10/13/12 LV   54     27       27      43      13       29        3
10/13/12 RV   56     26       30      41      13       27        3
9/9/12   RV   60     26       34      38      11       27        3
8/25/12  RV   57     20       37      39      12       26        4

Obama:
              ------ Anxious ------   ---- Not anxious ----     No
              NET   Very   Somewhat   NET   Not so   At all   opinion
10/13/12 LV   56     26       30      41      15       27        3
10/13/12 RV   58     25       33      40      15       25        2
9/9/12   RV   59     29       30      39      12       27        2
8/25/12  RV   53     23       30      44      12       32        3

Romney:
              ------ Anxious ------   ---- Not anxious ----     No
              NET   Very   Somewhat   NET   Not so   At all   opinion
10/13/12 LV   52     28       23      44      12       32        4
10/13/12 RV   53     28       25      42      12       30        5
9/9/12   RV   60     22       38      36      10       26        4
8/25/12  RV   62     17       44      33      12       21        5

8. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) How much more information, if any, would you like to have about the candidates and issues before the election - would you like a lot more information, some, a little, or do you have enough information as it is?

              ------ More ------   --- Little/enough ---     No
              NET   A lot   Some   NET   Little   Enough   opinion
10/13/12 LV   26     13      13    73       8       65        1
10/13/12 RV   27     13      14    71       8       64        1
9/9/12   RV   32     19      13    67       6       61        1
8/25/12  RV   41     23      18    58       7       51        1

9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

            -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
            NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
10/13/12 LV 50       32         18      48        9         40         2
10/13/12 RV 51       30         21      47       10         37         2
10/13/12    50       30         21      44       10         34         6
9/29/12  RV 49       25         24      49       12         37         2
9/29/12     50       26         24      46       12         34         4
9/9/12   RV 48       27         21      50       10         39         2
9/9/12      49       29         20      45       11         35         6
8/25/12  RV 47       26         21      50       13         37         3
8/25/12     50       27         23      46       13         33         4
7/8/12      47       24         24      49       15         34         4
5/20/12     47       26         21      49       13         36         3
4/8/12      50       30         20      45       10         35         6
3/10/12     46       28         18      50       11         39         4
2/4/12      50       29         22      46       11         36         3
1/15/12     48       25         23      48       11         37         4
12/18/11    49       25         24      47       13         34         4
11/3/11     44       22         22      53       15         37         3
10/2/11     42       21         21      54       14         40         4
9/1/11      43       21         22      53       16         38         3
8/9/11*     44       18         26      46        9         37        10
7/17/11     47       25         22      48       14         35         5
6/5/11      47       27         20      49       13         37         4
5/2/11**    56       29         27      38       14         24         6
4/17/11     47       27         21      50       12         37         3
3/13/11     51       27         24      45       12         33         4
1/16/11     54       30         23      43       15         28         3
12/12/10    49       24         25      47       15         32         4
10/28/10    50       27         23      45       11         34         5
10/3/10     50       26         24      47       13         34         3
9/2/10      46       24         22      52       14         38         3
7/11/10     50       28         22      47       12         35         3
6/6/10      52       30         22      45       12         33         4
4/25/10     54       31         23      44       11         33         3
3/26/10     53       34         20      43        8         35         3
2/8/10      51       29         22      46       12         33         3
1/15/10     53       30         24      44       13         32         2
12/13/09    50       31         18      46       13         33         4
11/15/09    56       32         23      42       13         29         2
10/18/09    57       33         23      40       11         29         3
9/12/09     54       35         19      43       12         31         3
8/17/09     57       35         21      40       11         29         3
7/18/09     59       38         22      37        9         28         4
6/21/09     65       36         29      31       10         22         4
4/24/09     69       42         27      26        8         18         4
3/29/09     66       40         26      29        9         20         5
2/22/09     68       43         25      25        8         17         7
*Washington Post
**Washington Post/Pew Research Center

10. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling the economy? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

              -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
10/13/12 LV   47       28         19      52        9         44         1
10/13/12 RV   47       26         21      51       10         41         2
9/29/12  RV   47       23         25      52       10         41         1
9/9/12   RV   45       24         21      53        8         45         2
8/25/12  RV   43       20         22      56       11         45         2
8/25/12       44       20         23      54       12         42         3
7/8/12        44       21         23      54       13         41         2
5/20/12       42       20         22      55       11         44         2
4/8/12        44       23         21      54       12         42         2
3/10/12       38       20         18      59        9         50         2
2/4/12        44       23         22      53       11         41         3
1/15/12       41       19         22      57       11         46         2
12/18/11      41       17         24      56       13         43         2
11/3/11       38       18         20      61       13         48         2
10/2/11       35       17         19      61       13         48         4
9/1/11        36       15         21      62       15         47         2
7/17/11       39       18         22      57       15         43         3
6/5/11        40       20         20      59       10         49         2
5/2/11*       40       18         22      55       16         39         4
4/17/11       42       23         19      57       11         46         2
3/13/11       43       22         21      55       13         41         2
1/16/11       46       22         24      51       13         38         2
12/12/10      43       21         22      54       15         39         3
10/28/10 RV   44       21         23      54       15         39         3
10/3/10       45       22         23      53       13         41         2
9/2/10        41       20         21      57       13         44         2
7/11/10       43       20         23      54       13         41         4
6/6/10        50       26         24      49       12         37         2
4/25/10       49       24         25      49       10         39         2
3/26/10       45       23         22      52       12         40         3
2/8/10        45       22         23      53       15         38         2
1/15/10       47       22         24      52       13         39         1
12/13/09      46       23         24      52       12         40         2
11/15/09      51       26         25      47       12         36         2
10/18/09      50       29         22      48       13         35         1
9/12/09       51       28         24      46       13         33         2
8/17/09       52       27         25      46       13         33         2
7/18/09       52       29         23      46       10         35         3
6/21/09       56       28         28      41       13         27         3
4/24/09       58       31         28      38       13         25         4
3/29/09       60       34         25      38       12         26         3
2/22/09       60       NA         NA      34       NA         NA         6
*Washington Post/Pew Research Center

11. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Do you think things in this country (are generally going in the right direction) or do you feel things (have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track)?

                Right     Wrong     No 
              direction   track   opinion
10/13/12 LV      42        56        2
10/13/12 RV      42        56        3
9/29/12  RV      38        60        2
8/25/12  RV      29        69        2
8/25/12          31        67        3
7/8/12           33        63        4
4/8/12           33        64        3
1/15/12          30        68        2
11/3/11          22        74        3
9/1/11           20        77        3
6/5/11           32        66        2
1/16/11          38        60        3
12/12/10         31        67        2
10/28/10 RV      27        71        2
6/6/10           37        60        3
3/26/10          38        60        2
1/15/10          37        62        1
11/15/09         44        55        2
10/18/09         44        54        2
8/17/09          44        55        1
6/21/09          47        50        3
4/24/09          50        48        2
3/29/09          42        57        1
2/22/09          31        67        2
1/16/09          19        78        3
12/14/08         15        82        3
10/25/08 LV      13        85        2
10/11/08 RV       8        90        2
9/22/08  RV      14        83        3
8/22/08          19        78        2
6/15/08          14        84        2
5/11/08          16        82        2
1/12/08          21        77        2
11/1/07          24        74        2
6/1/07           25        73        2
1/19/07          26        71        3
11/4/06  RV      39        59        2
10/22/06         30        68        2
10/8/06          32        66        2
5/15/06          29        69        2
11/2/05          30        68        2
10/24/04 LV      41        55        4
4/18/04          42        57        1
4/30/03          52        46        2
9/26/02          43        53        4
2/21/02          54        42        4
2/14/99          55        41        4
11/1/98          55        43        2
8/21/98          57        40        4
7/12/98          50        45        6
4/4/98           55        41        4
1/31/98          61        34        5
1/30/98          61        34        5
1/19/98          44        50        6
8/27/97          39        57        4
6/8/97           37        60        3
3/9/97           34        62        4
10/17/96 RV      40        55        5
10/16/96 RV      42        53        5
10/15/96 RV      43        52        5
10/14/96 RV      44        51        5
10/13/96 RV      44        51        5
9/04/96  RV      40        54        6
8/21/96          28        67        5
6/30/96          26        70        5
3/17/96          27        70        3
1/21/96          27        66        6
1/3/96           21        77        3
4/5/95           23        73        3
1/4/95           27        68        6
10/31/94         27        69        4
7/20/94          26        70        4
3/27/94          28        69        3
1/23/94          31        60       10
11/14/93         25        69        6
8/8/93           26        71        3
6/20/93          26        71        3
4/26/93          27        71        2
3/11/93          36        57        7
2/28/93          37        59        4
1/17/93          31        63        6
12/14/92         35        60        5
10/27/92 RV      22        76        2
10/4/92  RV      18        78        4
6/7/92           14        83        3
4/9/92           16        81        3
3/11/92          18        79        4
1/15/92          19        78        3
11/10/91         24        72        4
10/29/91         26        71        3
8/27/91          31        60        9
7/28/91          30        67        3
6/2/91           39        57        4
4/9/91           42        51        7
2/26/91          58        39        3
1/27/91          49        48        4
10/14/90         19        79        2
9/9/90           36        60        4
8/20/90          35        60        5
7/24/90          37        60        2
5/21/90          39        60        2
3/26/90          44        53        2
2/4/90           49        48        3
1/16/90          48        49        3
5/23/89          42        55        3
3/16/89          46        52        2
1/16/89  LV      51        46        3
10/25/88 LV      49        46        6
9/27/88          48        44        8
7/11/88          40        56        4
5/25/88          35        59        6
3/21/88          40        56        4
1/23/88          39        59        2
12/13/87         49        47        4
12/2/87          35        61        4
9/23/87          43        54        4
6/29/87          35        62        3
4/13/87          37        60        3
3/9/87           38        58        4
1/18/87          39        56        5
9/8/86           50        48        2
1/26/86          45        47        8
7/29/85          52        43        6
1/16/85          59        36        4
5/22/84          47        48        5
12/13/83         43        51        6
11/7/83          51        44        5
4/12/83          41        54        4
3/2/83           43        53        3
10/11/82         35        57        8
1/30/82          39        56        5
2/80*            20        70       10
2/78             34        53       13
2/77             41        44       14
10/75            19        71        9
10/74            15        75       11
10/73            16        74       10
*2/80 and previous: Roper

12. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job [ITEM] - (Obama) or (Romney)?

10/13/12 - Summary Table - among registered voters*

                                                            Both    Neither     No
                                          Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
a. Handling the economy                    48       44        *        4         4
b. Handling international affairs          50       40        1        5         3
c. Handling taxes                          49       44        *        5         3
d. Dealing with the federal           
   budget deficit                          44       47        *        4         5
e. Handling health care policy             49       43        1        4         3
f. Handling Medicare, the government 
   health insurance program for seniors    53       38        1        5         3
g. Handling an unexpected major crisis     52       40        2        3         3     
*Full sample asked items a and b; half sample asked items c-e; other half sample asked items f and g.

10/13/12 - Summary Table - among likely voters*

                                                            Both    Neither     No
                                          Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
a. Handling the economy                    48       47        *        2         3
b. Handling international affairs          50       43        1        3         2
c. Handling taxes                          48       46        *        3         3
d. Dealing with the federal           
   budget deficit                          43       51        1        2         4
e. Handling health care policy             47       46        *        4         4
f. Handling Medicare, the government 
   health insurance program for seniors    54       41        1        3         2
g. Handling an unexpected major crisis     52       43        2        2         1     
*Full sample asked items a and b; half sample asked items c-e; other half sample asked items f and g.

Trend:

a. Handling the economy

                                Both    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/13/12 RV    48       44        *        4         4
9/29/12  RV    47       47        *        4         2
9/9/12   RV    47       45        *        3         4
8/25/12  RV    43       50        *        4         3
7/8/12   RV    45       48        1        3         3
5/20/12  RV    47       47        *        3         3
4/8/12   RV    44       48        1        4         3
2/4/12   RV    44       50        1        3         2

b. Handling international affairs          

                                Both    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/13/12 RV    50       40        1         5        3
9/29/12  RV    49       44        *         2        4
9/9/12   RV    51       38        *         2        9
8/25/12  RV    46       41        1         6        5
4/8/12   RV    56       37        *         3        4
2/4/12   RV    55       38        1         3        4

c. Handling taxes 

                                Both    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/13/12 RV    49       44        *        5         3
9/29/12  RV    49       44        *        4         2
9/9/12   RV    50       43        1        2         4
8/25/12  RV    43       48        *        5         3
7/8/12   RV    46       46        *        5         3
4/8/12   RV    48       43        1        4         4
2/4/12   RV    49       45        *        2         4

d. Dealing with the federal budget deficit

                                Both    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/13/12 RV    44       47        *        4         5
9/29/12  RV    45       48        *        5         3
9/9/12   RV    44       47        0        7         3
8/25/12  RV    38       51        0        7         3
7/8/12   RV    43       51        1        3         2
4/8/12   RV    37       54        1        6         2
2/4/12   RV    39       52        *        4         4

e. Handling health care policy       

                                Both    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/13/12 RV    49       43        1        4         3
9/29/12  RV    48       44        *        6         2
9/9/12   RV    47       44        1        4         4
8/25/12  RV    47       45        *        6         2
7/8/12   RV    48       44        1        5         3
4/8/12   RV    49       40        *        5         6

f. Handling Medicare, the government health insurance program for seniors 

                                Both    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/13/12 RV    53       38        1        5         3
9/29/12  RV    47       43        *        6         3
9/9/12   RV    48       43        *        4         5
8/25/12  RV    42       45        1        7         5

g. Handling an unexpected major crisis

                                Both    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/13/12 RV    52       40        2        3         3
9/29/12  RV    52       42        1        2         3

Compare to:
                                Both    Neither     No 
              Obama   McCain   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
11/3/08  LV    49       45        2        2         2
11/2/08  LV    49       46        2        2         2
11/1/08  LV    51       45        1        1         1
10/31/08 LV    50       46        2        1         2
10/30/08 LV    49       46        1        1         2
10/29/08 LV    48       47        2        1         2
10/28/08 LV    47       48        1        2         3
10/27/08 LV    46       48        2        2         3
10/19/08 LV    49       45        1        2         2
10/11/08 LV    52       43        1        3         1
9/29/08  RV    44       50        1        2         3
9/22/08  RV    46       47        2        2         3
9/7/08   RV    37       54        2        3         3
8/22/08  RV    41       52        2        2         3
7/13/08  RV    42       51        3        2         3

13. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you think [ITEM] - (Obama) or (Romney)?

10/13/12 - Summary Table - among registered voters*
                                                        Both    Neither     No
                                      Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion 
a. Better understands the   
   economic problems people                
   in this country are having          51       40        2        5         2
b. Seems like the more friendly    
   and likable person                  60       30        6        3         2
c. Has better ideas about the right
   size and role of the federal
   government                          44       46        1        5         5
d. Is the stronger leader              49       45        1        2         3
* Full sample asked items a and b; half sample asked item c; half sample asked item d

10/13/12 - Summary Table - among likely voters*
                                                        Both    Neither     No
                                      Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion 
a. Better understands the   
   economic problems people                
   in this country are having          51       42        2        4         1
b. Seems like the more friendly    
   and likable person                  58       32        6        2         2
c. Has better ideas about the right
   size and role of the federal
   government                          44       48        1        4         4
d. Is the stronger leader              49       47        1        1         2
* Full sample asked items a and b; half sample asked item c; half sample asked item d

Trend:

a. Better understands the economic problems people in this country are having

                                Both    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/13/12 RV    51       40        2        5         2
9/29/12  RV    52       39        2        6         1
9/9/12   RV    50       40        3        4         3
8/25/12  RV    47       40        1        9         2 
7/8/12   RV    51       40        2        5         2
5/20/12  RV    48       40        2        8         2
4/8/12   RV    49       38        2        8         2
2/4/12   RV    52       37        2        7         2

b. Seems like the more friendly and likable person

                                Both    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/13/12 RV    60       30        6        3         2
9/29/12  RV    62       29        5        3         2
9/9/12   RV    61       27        5        3         3
8/25/12  RV    61       27        6        4         2 
7/8/12   RV    63       26        5        2         4
4/8/12   RV    64       28        3        2         3

c. Has better ideas about the right size and role of the federal government

                                Both    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/13/12 RV    44       46        1        5         5

Compare to: Regardless of your other political views, overall which party do you
think has better ideas about the right size and role of the federal government -
the (Democratic Party) or the (Republican Party)?

                                        Both    Neither                         
             Democratic   Republican   (vol.)   (vol.)    No opinion  
10/3/10 RV       41           45          3        8           4
6/6/10  RV       44           41          1       11           3

d. Is the stronger leader

                                Both    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/13/12 RV    49       45        1        2         3
9/9/12   RV    50       42        2        2         5
7/8/12   RV    46       44        3        2         6
4/8/12   RV    48       42        1        5         5

14. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Please tell me whether the following statement applies to [ITEM], or not: He is honest and trustworthy?

10/13/12 - Summary Table – among registered voters

            Yes   No   No opinion 
a. Obama    56    40        4
b. Romney   45    47        8  

10/13/12 - Summary Table - among likely voters

            Yes   No   No opinion 
a. Obama    55    41        4
b. Romney   47    47        6  

Trend:

a. Obama:
              Yes   No   No opinion    
10/13/12 RV   56    40        4
11/3/11  RV   56    41        4
4/24/09       74    22        4
1/16/09       75    19        6
12/14/08      67    22       11

b. No trend.

15. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) If [ITEM], how confident are you, if at all, that the country will get back on track economically in the next year or two - very confident, somewhat confident, not so confident or not confident at all?

10/13/12 - Summary Table – among registered voters

                         --- Confident ---   --- Not confident ---     No
                         NET   Very   Smwt   NET   Not so   At all   opinion
a. Obama is re-elected   49     19     30    50      14       37        1
b. Romney is elected     49     18     31    51      21       29        1

10/13/12 - Summary Table – among likely voters

                         --- Confident ---   --- Not confident ---     No
                         NET   Very   Smwt   NET   Not so   At all   opinion
a. Obama is re-elected   48     19     29    51      13       38        1
b. Romney is elected     51     20     31    49      19       29        *

Trend:

a. Obama is re-elected

              --- Confident ---   --- Not confident ---     No
              NET   Very   Smwt   NET   Not so   At all   opinion
10/13/12 RV   49     19     30    50      14       37        1
9/29/12  RV   47     14     34    53      18       35        *
9/9/12   RV   46     19     27    53      17       36        1
8/25/12  RV   42     14     28    58      18       40        1

b. Romney is elected

              --- Confident ---   --- Not confident ---     No
              NET   Very   Smwt   NET   Not so   At all   opinion
10/13/12 RV   49     18     31    51      21       29        1
9/29/12  RV   51     12     39    47      21       27        1
9/9/12   RV   49     14     35    50      19       31        1
8/25/12  RV   46     11     35    52      21       32        1

16. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Thinking now about job opportunities where you live, would you say there are plenty of jobs available in your community, or are jobs difficult to find? (IF DIFFICULT TO FIND) Are jobs very or somewhat difficult to find in your community?

            Plenty of jobs   - Difficult to find -    Lots of some jobs,      No 
              available      NET   Somewhat   Very   few of others (vol.)   opinion
10/13/12 LV       25         68       37       30              2               5
10/13/12 RV       25         69       36       32              2               5
4/8/12   RV       22         71       36       35              2               4
4/8/12            24         70       35       35              2               4
7/17/11           14         82       33       49              2               2
12/13/09          12         84       NA       NA              2               2
10/4/09*          14         79                                3               3
2/8/09            11         80                                3               6
12/8/08           19         73                                4               4
10/12/08          25         64                                4               7
7/27/08           31         58                                4               7
4/27/08           30         61                                4               5
2/2/08            34         53                                5               8
11/07             41         48                                4               7
9/16/07           36         50                                6               8
6/3/07            39         49                                5               7
2/11/07           39         48                                6               7
12/10/06          40         49                                5               6
3/7/06            37         56                                3               4
1/8/06            33         56                                6               5
10/10/05          36         56                                4               4
5/15/05           30         60                                6               4
1/9/05            32         58                                5               5
9/21/04           31         52                                6              11
8/10/04           34         55                                4               7
4/25/04           30         57                                4               9
2/29/04           31         59                                5               6
1/11/04           27         60                                6               7
10/19/03          24         66                                5               5
6/23/02           31         59                                4               6
6/17/01           42         44                                8               6
8/9/92            15         76                                6               3
5/7/92            16         77                                4               3
1/21/92           12         79        "        "              6               3
*10/09 to 6/01 Pew; 1992 U.S. News & World Reports

17. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) As you may know, the unemployment rate has moved below 8 percent for the first time in nearly four years. How much credit, if any, do you think Obama deserves for this – a lot of credit, some, a little or none at all?

                                                         Unemployment
              --- A lot/Some ---   --- Little/None ---   not down much     No
              NET   A lot   Some   NET   Little   None       (vol.)      opinion
10/13/12 LV   52     23      29    46      15      31          1            1
10/13/12 RV   52     22      30    46      17      29           1           1

18. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Do you think Obama does more to favor the (middle class) or more to favor the (wealthy)?

                 Favor        Favor        Treat          No
              middle class   wealthy   equally (vol.)   opinion
10/13/12 LV        68          16            4            11
10/13/12 RV        68          17            4            11
9/29/12  RV        66          17            5            12
8/25/12  RV        62          23            6             9

19. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) As president do you think Romney would do more to favor the (middle class) or more to favor the (wealthy)?

                 Favor        Favor        Treat          No
              middle class   wealthy   equally (vol.)   opinion
10/13/12 LV        33          57             6            4
10/13/12 RV        31          58             5            6
9/29/12  RV        35          57             3            4
8/25/12  RV        32          58             5            5

20. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Do you think Romney has or has not done enough to provide details about the policies he would pursue as president?

              Has done     Has not       No
               enough    done enough   opinion
10/13/12 LV      34          63           3
10/13/12 RV      32          63           5
9/9/12   RV      31          63           7

21. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Do you think Obama has or has not done enough to provide details about the policies he would pursue in a second term as president?

              Has done     Has not       No
               enough    done enough   opinion
10/13/12 LV      44          54           2
10/13/12 RV      43          53           3
9/9/12   RV      46          49           5

22. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) So far during this campaign, do you think [NAME] has been mainly (attacking his opponent) or mainly (addressing the issues)?

10/13/12 - Summary Table – among registered voters

             Attacking     Addressing     No
            his opponent   the issues   opinion
a. Obama         49            44          7
b. Romney        53            41          6

10/13/12 - Summary Table – among likely voters

             Attacking     Addressing     No
            his opponent   the issues   opinion
a. Obama         50            44          6
b. Romney        52            43          5

Trend:

a. Obama
               Attacking     Addressing     No
              his opponent   the issues   opinion      
10/13/12 RV        49            44          7
8/25/12  RV        56            36          8
10/11/08 RV        26            68          6
8/22/08  RV        29            64          8

b. Romney
               Attacking     Addressing     No
              his opponent   the issues   opinion      
10/13/12 RV        53            41          6
8/25/12  RV        54            37          8

Compare to: McCain
10/11/08 RV        59            35          6
8/22/08  RV        48            45          7

23. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) I have a question about the first presidential debate between (Obama) and (Romney). From what you've seen, heard or read about it - who, in your opinion, won the debate?

                               Neither/a draw     No
              Obama   Romney    a tie (vol.)    opinion
10/13/12 LV    17       71           7             4
10/13/12 RV    18       69           7             6

Compare to: 
                               Neither/a draw     No
              Obama   McCain    a tie (vol.)    opinion
9/29/08  RV     38      24           22           16

24. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) As a result of the debate do you have a better opinion of (Obama/Romney), a worse opinion of him, or didn't your opinion of (Obama/Romney) change one way or the other?

10/13/12 - Summary Table – among registered voters 

                             Has not  
            Better   Worse   changed   No opinion
a. Obama       9      19       70           2
b. Romney     35      14       48           3

10/13/12 - Summary Table – among likely voters

                             Has not  
            Better   Worse   changed   No opinion
a. Obama       8      19       72           1
b. Romney     37      14       47           2

Compare to:
9/29/08 - Summary Table – among registered voters

                             Has not  
            Better   Worse   changed   No opinion
a. Obama      19       7       68           7
b. McCain     14      11       68           7

25. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Have you personally been contacted by a representative of the [CANDIDATE] campaign, either by phone, in-person, or online asking you for your support, or not?

10/13/12 - Summary Table – among registered voters

            Yes   No   No opinion 
a. Obama    25    72        2
b. Romney   21    76        3

10/13/12 - Summary Table – among likely voters

            Yes   No   No opinion 
a. Obama    27    71        2
b. Romney   22    75        3

Trend:

a. Obama
              Yes   No   No opinion 
10/13/12 RV   25    72        2
9/29/12  RV   23    76        1
8/25/12  RV   20    79        1

b. Romney
              Yes   No   No opinion
10/13/12 RV   21    76        3
9/29/12  RV   20    79        1
8/25/12  RV   13    86        *

Compare to:
Have you personally been contacted by a representative of the [CANDIDATE] campaign,
either by phone or in-person, asking you for your support, or not? 

                     Yes   No   No opinion 
10/22/08 Obama  LV   21    78        1
10/22/08 McCain LV   14    85        1
9/26/04  Bush   LV   18    82        *        
9/26/04  Kerry  LV   17    82        1

26a. (IF CONTACTED BY OBAMA CAMPAIGN) When was the last time you were contacted, within the last week, within the last month or longer ago than that?

              Within last   Within last   Longer     No
                 week          month       ago     opinion
10/13/12 LV       54            37           9        *
10/13/12 RV       53            36          11        *
9/29/12  RV       53            34          10        3

25/26a NET:
              ---------------------- Yes -----------------------      Not      No
              NET   Last week   Last month   Longer   Don’t know   contacted   op.
10/13/12 LV   27       15           10          2          *           71       2
10/13/12 RV   25       13            9          3          *           72       2
9/29/12  RV   23       12            8          2         NA           76       1

26b. (IF CONTACTED BY ROMNEY CAMPAIGN) When was the last time you were contacted, within the last week, within the last month or longer ago than that?

              Within last   Within last   Longer     No
                 week          month       ago     opinion
10/13/12 LV       57            35           7        1
10/13/12 RV       56            36           6        2
9/29/12  RV       55            34           9        1

25/26b NET:
              ---------------------- Yes -----------------------      Not      No
              NET   Last week   Last month   Longer   Don’t know   contacted   op.
10/13/12 LV   22       13            8          2          *           75       3
10/13/12 RV   21       12            8          1          *           76       3
9/29/12  RV   20       11            7          2         NA           79       1

27. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Just your best guess, who do you think will win the presidential election this year - (Obama) or (Romney)?

                               Other      No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   opinion
10/13/12 LV    56       35        *        8
10/13/12 RV    57       33        *       10
9/29/12  RV    63       31        *        6
8/25/12  RV    56       37        *        8
7/8/12   RV    58       33        1        8

Compare to: Just your best guess, who do you think will win the presidential election
this year - (Obama) or (the Republican candidate)?

           Obama   Rep. candidate   No opinion
3/10/12     54           40              6
1/15/12     46           49              5
12/18/11    46           49              5
10/2/11     37           55              8

28. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) On a ship in a storm, who would you rather have as the captain, (Obama) or (Romney)? (HALF SAMPLE)

                                Both    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion 
10/13/12 RV    48       44        1        4         3
9/29/12  RV    52       40        1        6         1
9/9/12   RV    46       43        *        7         4

29. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Who would you rather have babysit your children, (Obama) or (Romney)? (HALF SAMPLE)

                                Both    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/13/12 RV    49       36        3        9         4
9/29/12  RV    41       41        3       13         2

30. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) If you ran a company, who would you rather have as an employee, (Obama) or (Romney)? (HALF SAMPLE)

                                Both    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/13/12 RV    46       46        3        3         3

31. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Who do you think is more likely to go bungee-jumping, (Obama) or (Romney)? (HALF SAMPLE)

                                Both    Neither     No
              Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
10/13/12 RV    60       21        2        7        10

901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what?

             Democrat   Republican   Independent   Other (vol.)   No opinion
10/13/12 LV     35          26           33              3             2
10/13/12 RV     34          25           36              3             2
9/29/12  LV     33          30           33              3             1
9/29/12  RV     33          28           34              4             1
9/9/12   RV     32          26           37              4             1
8/25/12  RV     32          25           36              6             2
7/8/12   RV     36          27           33              3             1
5/20/12  RV     34          25           34              6             1
4/8/12   RV     37          24           33              4             1
3/10/12  RV     31          29           36              3             2
2/12/12  RV     36          25           34              5             1
1/15/12  RV     32          27           35              5             1

***END***

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