# Washington Post-ABC News Poll

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone Oct. 29-Nov. 1, 2012, among a random national sample of 2,131 adults, including landline and cell phone-only respondents. Results among the sample of 1,535 likely voters have a margin of error of three percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.

Analysis

Interactive data

RV = registered voters; LV=likely voters

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) How closely are you following the 2012 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not so closely, or not closely at all?

---- Closely -----   ---- Not closely -----     No
NET   Very   Smwt    NET   Not so    At all   opinion
11/1/12  LV   99     68     31      1       1         *        0
10/31/12 LV   99     67     32      1       1         *        0
10/30/12 LV   99     66     33      1       1         *        0
10/29/12 LV   99     69     30      1       1         *        0
10/28/12 LV   99     69     30      1       1         *        *
10/27/12 LV   99     68     31      1       1         *        *
10/26/12 LV   99     66     33      1       1         *        0
10/25/12 LV   95     62     33      5       3         2        *
10/24/12 LV   94     63     32      5       3         2        *
10/23/12 LV   93     63     31      6       4         2        *
10/22/12 LV   92     64     28      8       5         3        *
10/21/12 LV   92     64     28      8       5         3        *
10/13/12 LV   93     60     33      6       4         2        *
9/29/12  LV   92     54     38      8       6         2        0
9/9/12   LV   87     51     36     13       8         5        1
5/20/12  RV   82     38     44     18       9         8        *
2/4/12*  RV   79     37     43     20      12         8        *
1/15/12  RV   76     33     43     24      14        10        *
*2/4/12 and previous not “too” closely
See http://wapo.st/VmRUMK for full trend

2. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?

Certain  Probably  Chances  Less than   will vote    voted   No
to vote    vote     50/50     that       (vol.)     (vol.)   op.
11/1/12  RV     72         6        4        2           1          16      *
10/31/12 RV     73         6        3        2           1          16      0
10/30/12 RV     75         6        3        2           1          13      *
10/29/12 RV     76         5        4        2           *          12      *
10/28/12 RV     77         5        4        2           1          11      *
10/27/12 RV     79         5        5        2           *           9      *
10/26/12 RV     79         6        5        2           *           8      *
10/25/12 RV     79         6        6        2           1           6      *
10/24/12 RV     79         7        6        2           1           6      *
10/23/12 RV     80         6        6        2           1           5      *
10/22/12 RV     82         5        6        2           1           4      *
10/21/12 RV     84         6        4        2           *           4      *
10/13/12 RV     85         7        4        1           1           1      1
9/29/12  RV     84         7        7        2           *           0      *
9/9/12   RV     83         7        6        4           *          NA      0
8/25/12  RV     81         8        6        3           1                  *
7/8/12   RV     81         9        8        2           *           "      *
See http://wapo.st/VmRUMK for full trend

3. (IF CERTAIN TO VOTE) Do you think you'll (vote in person at your polling place on Election Day), or (vote before Election Day by early voting or mail-in ballot)?

in person   mail-in ballot   voted (vol.)   No opinion
11/1/12  LV      60             18             22              *
10/31/12 LV      60             19             21              *
10/30/12 LV      60             22             18              1
10/29/12 LV      61             21             17              1
10/28/12 LV      60             22             15              2
10/27/12 LV      62             24             12              2
10/26/12 LV      62             25             11              2
10/25/12 RV      61             29              8              1
10/24/12 RV      62             29              8              1
10/23/12 RV      62             28              7              2
10/22/12 RV      64             27              6              2
10/21/12 RV      66             27              5              2
10/13/12 RV      67             30              2              1
See http://wapo.st/VmRUMK for full trend

4. (IF CERTAIN TO VOTE) If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats) and (Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans), for whom would you vote? Which candidates are you leaning toward, (Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats) or (Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans)? (ASKED IF ALREADY VOTED) For whom did you vote?

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - among likely voters

Other    Neither     No
Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
11/1/12  LV    48       49        1        1         1
10/31/12 LV    49       48        1        1         1
10/30/12 LV    49       49        1        *         1
10/29/12 LV    48       49        1        *         1
10/28/12 LV    49       49        1        1         1
10/27/12 LV    48       49        1        1         1
10/26/12 LV    48       49        1        1         1
10/25/12 LV    48       49        1        1         1
10/24/12 LV    47       50        1        1         1
10/23/12 LV    48       49        *        1         1
10/22/12 LV    48       49        *        2         1
10/21/12 LV    49       48        *        2         1
10/13/12 LV    49       46        1        1         2
9/29/12  LV    49       47        *        2         1
9/9/12   LV    49       48        *        1         2
8/25/12  LV    47       49        1        1         1
7/8/12*  LV    50       47        *        2         2
*7/18/12: "Barack Obama, the Democrat" and "Mitt Romney, the Republican"

5. (IF SUPPORT/VOTED OBAMA OR ROMNEY) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting (Obama/Romney), somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

---- Enthusiastic ---   --- Not enthusiastic ----     No
NET   Very   Somewhat   NET   Not so   Not at all   opinion
Obama:
11/1/12  LV   95     66       30       4       2          1          1
10/31/12 LV   95     64       31       4       3          1          *
10/30/12 LV   96     64       32       3       2          1          *
10/29/12 LV   97     65       32       3       2          1          *
10/28/12 LV   95     66       30       4       2          1          1
10/27/12 LV   95     64       31       4       3          1          1
10/26/12 LV   94     61       33       4       3          1          1
10/25/12 LV   94     59       35       5       3          2          1
10/24/12 LV   96     60       35       4       3          1          *
10/23/12 LV   95     60       35       4       3          1          *
10/22/12 LV   96     62       34       4       3          1          *
10/21/12 LV   96     64       32       4       3          1          *
10/13/12 LV   95     60       35       4       4          1          *
10/13/12 RV   94     55       40       5       4          1          1
9/29/12  RV   91     51       40       9       7          2          0
9/9/12   RV   93     56       38       7       3          3          0
8/25/12  RV   88     48       39      11       7          4          1
7/8/12   RV   91     51       40       8       5          3          1
5/20/12  RV   93     51       41       7       4          4          0

Romney:
11/1/12  LV   95     62       33       5       3          2          *
10/31/12 LV   94     62       32       5       3          2          1
10/30/12 LV   95     61       35       4       3          1          *
10/29/12 LV   95     61       34       4       3          2          *
10/28/12 LV   94     61       33       5       4          1          *
10/27/12 LV   95     59       36       5       3          2          *
10/26/12 LV   93     59       35       6       5          2          *
10/25/12 LV   93     58       35       7       5          2          1
10/24/12 LV   93     60       33       7       5          2          1
10/23/12 LV   93     62       31       6       5          1          1
10/22/12 LV   93     62       32       6       4          2          1
10/21/12 LV   93     58       35       6       5          1          1
10/13/12 LV   93     62       31       7       4          2          1
10/13/12 RV   92     59       33       8       5          2          1
9/29/12  RV   87     48       39      13       6          7          *
9/9/12   RV   87     46       40      13       7          6          1
8/25/12  RV   83     42       41      17      12          4          *
7/8/12   RV   85     38       47      15      11          4          *
5/20/12  RV   75     26       48      25      15          9          1
See http://wapo.st/VmRUMK for full trend

5a. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Have you voted for president in any year before this 2012 election, or is this the first year you’ll be voting for president?

Voted before   First time
11/1/12  LV        92             8
10/31/12 LV        93             7
10/30/12 LV        94             6
10/29/12 LV        96             4
10/28/12 LV        96             4
10/27/12 LV        93             7
10/26/12 LV        92             8
Call for full trend.

6. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

-------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
11/1/12  LV   50       33         17      49       10         39         1
10/31/12 LV   50       32         18      49       10         39         1
10/30/12 LV   50       30         20      49       10         39         1
10/29/12 LV   50       30         20      49       10         39         1
10/28/12 LV   51       31         20      47        9         39         1
10/27/12 LV   50       30         20      48        8         40         2
10/26/12 LV   50       30         19      48        8         41         2
10/25/12 LV   49       30         19      49        8         41         2
10/24/12 LV   49       30         18      50        9         41         1
10/24/12 RV   50       29         21      48       10         38         3
10/23/12 LV   50       30         19      49        9         40         2
10/23/12 RV   50       29         21      47        9         37         3
10/22/12 LV   49       31         18      49        9         40         2
10/22/12 RV   50       30         20      47       10         38         3
10/21/12 LV   50       31         19      48        8         40         2
10/21/12 RV   51       31         20      47       10         37         2
10/13/12 LV   50       32         18      48        9         40         2
10/13/12 RV   51       30         21      47       10         37         2
10/13/12      50       30         21      44       10         34         6
9/29/12  RV   49       25         24      49       12         37         2
9/29/12       50       26         24      46       12         34         4
9/9/12   RV   48       27         21      50       10         39         2
9/9/12        49       29         20      45       11         35         6
8/25/12  RV   47       26         21      50       13         37         3
8/25/12       50       27         23      46       13         33         4
7/8/12        47       24         24      49       15         34         4
5/20/12       47       26         21      49       13         36         3
4/8/12        50       30         20      45       10         35         6
3/10/12       46       28         18      50       11         39         4
2/4/12        50       29         22      46       11         36         3
1/15/12       48       25         23      48       11         37         4
12/18/11      49       25         24      47       13         34         4
11/3/11       44       22         22      53       15         37         3
10/2/11       42       21         21      54       14         40         4
9/1/11        43       21         22      53       16         38         3
8/9/11*       44       18         26      46        9         37        10
7/17/11       47       25         22      48       14         35         5
6/5/11        47       27         20      49       13         37         4
5/2/11**      56       29         27      38       14         24         6
4/17/11       47       27         21      50       12         37         3
3/13/11       51       27         24      45       12         33         4
1/16/11       54       30         23      43       15         28         3
12/12/10      49       24         25      47       15         32         4
10/28/10      50       27         23      45       11         34         5
10/3/10       50       26         24      47       13         34         3
9/2/10        46       24         22      52       14         38         3
7/11/10       50       28         22      47       12         35         3
6/6/10        52       30         22      45       12         33         4
4/25/10       54       31         23      44       11         33         3
3/26/10       53       34         20      43        8         35         3
2/8/10        51       29         22      46       12         33         3
1/15/10       53       30         24      44       13         32         2
12/13/09      50       31         18      46       13         33         4
11/15/09      56       32         23      42       13         29         2
10/18/09      57       33         23      40       11         29         3
9/12/09       54       35         19      43       12         31         3
8/17/09       57       35         21      40       11         29         3
7/18/09       59       38         22      37        9         28         4
6/21/09       65       36         29      31       10         22         4
4/24/09       69       42         27      26        8         18         4
3/29/09       66       40         26      29        9         20         5
2/22/09       68       43         25      25        8         17         7
*Washington Post
**Washington Post/Pew Research Center

6a. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Do you think things in this country (are generally going in the right direction) or do you feel things (have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track)?

Right     Wrong     No
direction   track   opinion
11/1/12  LV      43        55        2
10/13/12 LV      42        56        2
10/13/12 RV      42        56        3
9/29/12  RV      38        60        2
8/25/12  RV      29        69        2
8/25/12          31        67        3
7/8/12           33        63        4
4/8/12           33        64        3
1/15/12          30        68        2
11/3/11          22        74        3
9/1/11           20        77        3
6/5/11           32        66        2
1/16/11          38        60        3
12/12/10         31        67        2
10/28/10 RV      27        71        2
6/6/10           37        60        3
3/26/10          38        60        2
1/15/10          37        62        1
11/15/09         44        55        2
10/18/09         44        54        2
8/17/09          44        55        1
6/21/09          47        50        3
4/24/09          50        48        2
3/29/09          42        57        1
2/22/09          31        67        2
1/16/09          19        78        3
12/14/08         15        82        3
10/25/08 LV      13        85        2
10/11/08 RV       8        90        2
9/22/08  RV      14        83        3
8/22/08          19        78        2
6/15/08          14        84        2
5/11/08          16        82        2
1/12/08          21        77        2
11/1/07          24        74        2
6/1/07           25        73        2
1/19/07          26        71        3
11/4/06  RV      39        59        2
10/22/06         30        68        2
10/8/06          32        66        2
5/15/06          29        69        2
11/2/05          30        68        2
10/24/04 LV      41        55        4
4/18/04          42        57        1
4/30/03          52        46        2
9/26/02          43        53        4
2/21/02          54        42        4
2/14/99          55        41        4
11/1/98          55        43        2
8/21/98          57        40        4
7/12/98          50        45        6
4/4/98           55        41        4
1/31/98          61        34        5
1/30/98          61        34        5
1/19/98          44        50        6
8/27/97          39        57        4
6/8/97           37        60        3
3/9/97           34        62        4
10/17/96 RV      40        55        5
10/16/96 RV      42        53        5
10/15/96 RV      43        52        5
10/14/96 RV      44        51        5
10/13/96 RV      44        51        5
9/04/96  RV      40        54        6
8/21/96          28        67        5
6/30/96          26        70        5
3/17/96          27        70        3
1/21/96          27        66        6
1/3/96           21        77        3
4/5/95           23        73        3
1/4/95           27        68        6
10/31/94         27        69        4
7/20/94          26        70        4
3/27/94          28        69        3
1/23/94          31        60       10
11/14/93         25        69        6
8/8/93           26        71        3
6/20/93          26        71        3
4/26/93          27        71        2
3/11/93          36        57        7
2/28/93          37        59        4
1/17/93          31        63        6
12/14/92         35        60        5
10/27/92 RV      22        76        2
10/4/92  RV      18        78        4
6/7/92           14        83        3
4/9/92           16        81        3
3/11/92          18        79        4
1/15/92          19        78        3
11/10/91         24        72        4
10/29/91         26        71        3
8/27/91          31        60        9
7/28/91          30        67        3
6/2/91           39        57        4
4/9/91           42        51        7
2/26/91          58        39        3
1/27/91          49        48        4
10/14/90         19        79        2
9/9/90           36        60        4
8/20/90          35        60        5
7/24/90          37        60        2
5/21/90          39        60        2
3/26/90          44        53        2
2/4/90           49        48        3
1/16/90          48        49        3
5/23/89          42        55        3
3/16/89          46        52        2
1/16/89  LV      51        46        3
10/25/88 LV      49        46        6
9/27/88          48        44        8
7/11/88          40        56        4
5/25/88          35        59        6
3/21/88          40        56        4
1/23/88          39        59        2
12/13/87         49        47        4
12/2/87          35        61        4
9/23/87          43        54        4
6/29/87          35        62        3
4/13/87          37        60        3
3/9/87           38        58        4
1/18/87          39        56        5
9/8/86           50        48        2
1/26/86          45        47        8
7/29/85          52        43        6
1/16/85          59        36        4
5/22/84          47        48        5
12/13/83         43        51        6
11/7/83          51        44        5
4/12/83          41        54        4
3/2/83           43        53        3
10/11/82         35        57        8
1/30/82          39        56        5
2/80*            20        70       10
2/78             34        53       13
2/77             41        44       14
10/75            19        71        9
10/74            15        75       11
10/73            16        74       10
*2/80 and previous: Roper

7. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job handling the economy - (Obama) or (Romney)?

Both    Neither     No
Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
11/1/12  LV    46       50        *        2         2
10/31/12 LV    47       49        *        3         2
10/30/12 LV    47       49        1        2         2
10/29/12 LV    46       49        1        2         2
10/28/12 LV    47       49        1        2         2
10/27/12 LV    45       50        1        3         2
10/26/12 LV    44       51        1        3         2
10/25/12 LV    44       51        1        3         1
10/24/12 LV    43       52        1        3         2
10/23/12 LV    44       50        1        3         2
10/22/12 LV    45       50        1        2         2
10/21/12 LV    46       48        1        3         2
10/13/12 LV    48       47        *        2         3
9/29/12  RV    47       47        *        4         2
9/9/12   RV    47       45        *        3         4
8/25/12  RV    43       50        *        4         3
7/8/12   RV    45       48        1        3         3
5/20/12  RV    47       47        *        3         3
4/8/12   RV    44       48        1        4         3
2/4/12   RV    44       50        1        3         2

8. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) ) Regardless of who you may support, who do you think better understands the economic problems people in this country are having - (Obama) or (Romney)?

Both    Neither     No
Obama   Romney   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
11/1/12  LV    50       45        1        3         1
10/31/12 LV    50       45        1        3         1
10/30/12 LV    50       44        1        3         1
10/29/12 LV    49       45        2        3         1
10/28/12 LV    50       44        2        3         1
10/27/12 LV    49       44        2        4         1
10/26/12 LV    48       45        2        4         1
10/25/12 LV    49       47        1        3         1
10/24/12 LV    48       46        2        3         1
10/23/12 LV    50       45        2        2         1
10/22/12 LV    51       44        2        2         1
10/21/12 LV    51       44        2        3         1
10/13/12 LV    51       42        2        4         1
9/29/12  RV    52       39        2        6         1
9/9/12   RV    50       40        3        4         3
8/25/12  RV    47       40        1        9         2
7/8/12   RV    51       40        2        5         2
5/20/12  RV    48       40        2        8         2
4/8/12   RV    49       38        2        8         2
2/4/12   RV    52       37        2        7         2

12. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Have you personally been contacted by a representative of the [CANDIDATE] campaign, either by phone, in-person, or online asking you for your support, or not?

11/1/12 - Summary Table (among likely voters)

Yes   No   No opinion
a. Obama    29    69        2
b. Romney   27    71        2

Trend:

a. Obama
Yes   No   No opinion
11/1/12  LV   29    69        2
10/31/12 LV   30    68        2
10/30/12 LV   28    69        2
10/29/12 LV   28    70        2
10/28/12 LV   26    72        2
10/27/12 LV   23    75        2
10/26/12 LV   23    75        2
10/25/12 LV   22    76        2
10/13/12 LV   27    71        2
9/29/12  RV   23    76        1
8/25/12  RV   20    79        1

b. Romney
Yes   No   No opinion
11/1/12  LV   27    71        2
10/31/12 LV   27    71        2
10/30/12 LV   26    71        3
10/29/12 LV   25    72        3
10/28/12 LV   24    74        2
10/27/12 LV   23    75        2
10/26/12 LV   23    75        2
10/25/12 LV   23    75        2
10/13/12 LV   22    75        3
9/29/12  RV   20    79        1
8/25/12  RV   13    86        *

13a. (IF CONTACTED BY OBAMA CAMPAIGN) When was the last time you were contacted, within the last week, within the last month or longer ago than that?

Within last   Within last   Longer     No
week          month       ago     opinion
11/1/12  LV       64            27          7         1
10/31/12 LV       66            25          7         2
10/30/12 LV       65            25          9         2
10/29/12 LV       64            24         10         2
10/28/12 LV       63            25          9         3
10/27/12 LV       62            28          8         2
10/26/12 LV       62            27          9         2
10/25/12 LV       61            29          6         4
10/13/12 LV       54            37          9         *
9/29/12  RV       53            34         10         3

12/13a NET:
---------------------- Yes -----------------------      Not      No
NET   Last week   Last month   Longer   Don't know   contacted   op.
11/1/12  LV   29       19            8          2          *           69       2
10/31/12 LV   30       19            7          2          1           68       2
10/30/12 LV   28       18            7          2          1           69       2
10/29/12 LV   28       18            7          3          1           70       2
10/28/12 LV   26       16            7          2          1           72       2
10/27/12 LV   23       14            6          2          1           75       2
10/26/12 LV   23       14            6          2          1           75       2
10/25/12 LV   22       13            6          1          1           76       2
10/13/12 LV   27       15           10          2          *           71       2
9/29/12  RV   23       12            8          2         NA           76       1

13b. (IF CONTACTED BY ROMNEY CAMPAIGN) When was the last time you were contacted, within the last week, within the last month or longer ago than that?

Within last   Within last   Longer     No
week          month       ago     opinion
11/1/12  LV       64            27          5         3
10/31/12 LV       60            30          7         3
10/30/12 LV       64            26          6         4
10/29/12 LV       63            26          7         5
10/28/12 LV       64            26          7         4
10/27/12 LV       63            25          8         4
10/26/12 LV       58            32          8         2
10/25/12 LV       57            33          8         2
10/13/12 LV       57            35          7         1
9/29/12  RV       55            34          9         1

12/13b NET:
---------------------- Yes -----------------------      Not      No
NET   Last week   Last month   Longer   Don't know   contacted   op.
11/1/12  LV   27       17            7          1          1           71       2
10/31/12 LV   27       16            8          2          1           71       2
10/30/12 LV   26       17            7          2          1           71       3
10/29/12 LV   25       16            6          2          1           72       3
10/28/12 LV   24       15            6          2          1           74       2
10/27/12 LV   23       14            6          2          1           75       2
10/26/12 LV   23       13            7          2          *           75       2
10/25/12 LV   23       13            8          2          *           75       2
10/13/12 LV   22       13            8          2          *           75       3
9/29/12  RV   20       11            7          2         NA           79       1

901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what?

Democrat   Republican   Independent   Other (vol.)   No opinion
11/1/12  LV     32          29           35              3             1
10/31/12 LV     32          28           36              3             1
10/30/12 LV     33          28           36              3             1
10/29/12 LV     33          28           35              3             1
10/28/12 LV     35          28           34              3             1
10/27/12 LV     35          28           34              2             1
10/26/12 LV     35          29           33              2             1
10/25/12 LV     34          30           32              2             2
10/24/12 LV     34          30           31              3             2
10/23/12 LV     34          30           32              3             1
10/22/12 LV     34          29           32              3             1
10/21/12 LV     34          29           33              3             1
10/13/12 LV     35          26           33              3             2
9/29/12  LV     33          30           33              3             1

10/13/12 RV     34          25           36              3             2
9/29/12  RV     33          28           34              4             1
9/9/12   RV     32          26           37              4             1
8/25/12  RV     32          25           36              6             2
7/8/12   RV     36          27           33              3             1
5/20/12  RV     34          25           34              6             1
4/8/12   RV     37          24           33              4             1
3/10/12  RV     31          29           36              3             2
2/12/12  RV     36          25           34              5             1
1/15/12  RV     32          27           35              5             1

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