Washington Post-ABC News Poll

Monday, January 14, 2008

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone January 9-12, 2008, among a random national sample of 1,130 adults, including additional interviews with randomly-selected African Americans, for a total of 202 black respondents. The results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points. Error margins are larger for subgroups. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

              -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
1/12/08       32       16         16      66       15         51         2
12/9/07       33       17         16      64       14         50         3  
11/1/07       33       17         16      64       13         50         3 
9/30/07       33       15         18      64       14         49         3 
9/7/07        33       16         17      64       15         49         3 
7/21/07       33       16         17      65       13         52         2  
6/1/07        35       17         18      62       16         46         3  
4/15/07       35       17         18      62       14         49         2  
2/25/07       36       19         17      62       12         49         2  
1/19/07       33       17         16      65       14         51         2  
12/11/06      36       18         18      62       13         49         2  
11/4/06       40       24         16      57       12         46         2  
10/22/06      37       21         16      60       15         45         3  
10/8/06       39       23         16      60       12         48         1  
9/7/06        42       24         18      55       12         43         3  
8/6/06        40       23         17      58       12         46         2  
6/25/06       38       20         18      60       12         48         2 
5/15/06       33       17         16      65       18         47         2
4/9/06        38       20         18      60       13         47         1
3/5/06        41       24         17      58       14         44         1
1/26/06       42       25         18      56       14         42         2 
1/8/06        46       29         17      52       13         39         2 
12/18/05      47       29         17      52       12         40         1  
11/2/05       39       20         18      60       13         47         1
10/29/05      39       22         17      58       13         45         3
9/11/05       42       27         15      57       12         45         1
8/28/05       45       27         18      53       12         41         2 
6/26/05       48       27         21      51       11         40         1 
6/5/05        48       27         21      52       14         38         1
4/24/05       47       25         22      50       13         38         3
3/13/05       50       31         19      48       11         37         3
1/31/05       50       34         15      45       11         34         5
1/16/05       52       33         19      46       11         35         2  
12/19/04      48       27         21      49       12         38         2
10/20/04      50       30         20      46       11         35         4  
10/17/04 LV   54       35         19      45        9         36         2  
10/16/04 LV   54       35         19      44       10         34         2  
10/15/04 LV   54       35         19      44       10         34         2  
10/3/04  LV   53       36         17      46       11         34         1  
9/26/04       50       33         18      45       13         32         5  
9/8/04        52       35         17      43       11         32         5
8/29/04       50       31         19      47       13         34         3
8/1/04        47       28         18      49       13         36         5
7/25/04       50       32         19      47       13         34         3
7/11/04       48       31         17      50       11         39         2  
6/20/04       47       30         17      51       13         39         1 
5/23/04       47       31         17      50       14         36         3 
4/18/04       51       33         18      47       13         34         1  
3/7/04        50       32         18      48       12         36         2
2/11/04       50       30         21      47       14         34         2   
1/18/04       58       35         24      40        9         30         2 
12/21/03      59       39         21      38       15         23         3   
12/14/03      57       37         20      39       10         29         5   
12/7/03       53       32         21      40       13         27         7   
11/16/03      57       34         23      39       11         28         4   
10/29/03      56       30         26      42       13         29         2   
10/13/03      53       33         20      43       13         29         4   
9/30/03       54       34         20      44       15         29         2   
9/13/03       58       35         23      40       14         27         2   
9/7/03        56       34         22      41       13         28         4   
8/11/03       59       37         22      37       14         23         4   
7/10/03       59       35         24      38       13         25         3   
6/22/03       68       45         23      29       11         18         4   
4/30/03       71       50         22      26       17          9         3   
4/16/03       74       52         22      23        9         14         3   
4/9/03        77       58         19      20        6         14         4   
4/3/03        71       54         16      25        7         19         4   
3/23/03       68       NA         NA      27       NA         NA         4   
3/20/03       67       NA         NA      28       NA         NA         5   
3/2/03        62       38         23      35       13         22         4       
2/23/03       60       NA         NA      34       NA         NA         6       
2/9/03        64       42         21      34       14         20         3       
2/1/03        62       41         21      34       13         22         4       
1/28/03       62       43         19      36       13         23         2       
1/27/03       59       39         21      37       15         22         4       
1/20/03       59       36         23      38       16         22         2       
12/15/02      66       37         28      32       12         20         2       
11/4/02  LV   67       45         23      31       12         20         1       
11/3/02  LV   67       45         22      32       12         20         1       
11/2/02  LV   67       47         20      32        9         23         1       
10/27/02      67       39         28      29       13         16         4       
9/26/02       67       42         25      30       12         18         3       
9/8/02        71       42         28      27       12         15         3       
7/28/02       69       39         31      28       14         14         3       
7/15/02       72       42         31      25       12         13         2       
6/17/02       74       42         32      22        9         13         4       
6/9/02        77       41         36      20        9         11         3       
5/19/02       76       48         28      22        8         13         3       
4/21/02       78       47         31      20        9         10         2       
3/28/02       79       49         30      18        8         10         3       
3/10/02       82       52         30      16        9          7         2  
1/27/02       83       56         27      14        7          7         3  
12/19/01      86       64         22      12        6          6         2  
11/27/01      89       69         21       9        4          5         1  
11/6/01       89       65         24       9        5          4         2  
10/9/01       92       76         16       6        3          3         1  
9/27/01       90       70         20       6        3          3         4  
9/13/01       86       63         23      12        5          6         2  
9/9/01        55       26         29      41       20         22         3  
8/12/01       61       28         33      31       14         17         8  
7/30/01       59       28         30      38       17         22         3  
6/3/01        55       27         28      40       18         22         6  
4/22/01       63       33         30      32       16         16         5  
3/25/01       58       NA         NA      33       NA         NA         8  
2/25/01       55       NA         NA      23       NA         NA        22

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bush is handling (ITEM)?

1/12/08 - Summary Table

                           Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
a. The situation in Iraq     30          69            1
b. The economy               28          69            3

Trend:

a. The situation in Iraq

              -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
1/12/08       30       17         13      69       14         54         1
12/9/07       33       19         14      65       13         52         2 
9/30/07       30       17         14      68       12         57         1 
9/7/07        34       16         18      65       12         53         1
7/21/07       31       17         14      68       11         58         1 
6/1/07        31       17         14      67       11         56         1 
4/15/07       29       17         13      70       11         59         * 
2/25/07       31       17         14      67       13         55         1
1/19/07       29       16         13      70       13         57         1
1/10/07       34       21         13      64       14         50         2
12/11/06      28       12         16      70       13         57         2
10/8/06       35       21         14      64       10         54         1
9/7/06        41       25         16      57       10         47         2
8/6/06        36       21         15      62       10         52         2
6/25/06       37       21         17      62       11         52         *
5/15/06       32       19         13      66       13         53         1
4/9/06        37       21         16      62       11         51         1
3/5/06        40       23         17      59       12         47         *
1/26/06       39       24         15      60       10         50         1 
12/18/05      46       31         15      53       10         43         1 
11/2/05       36       20         15      64       13         51         1
9/11/05       38       NA         NA      62       NA         NA         1
8/28/05       42       28         14      57       11         46         1
6/26/05       43       25         18      56       12         44         1
6/5/05        41       NA         NA      58       NA         NA         1
4/24/05       42                          56                             2
3/13/05       39                          57                             4
1/16/05       40                          58                             2
12/19/04      42                          57                             1
9/26/04  RV   47                          50                             3
8/29/04  RV   47                          51                             2
7/25/04       45                          53                             2
6/20/04       44                          55                             2
5/23/04       40                          58                             2
4/18/04       45                          54                             1
3/7/04        46                          53                             1
2/11/04       47                          52                             1
1/18/04       55                          42                             2     
12/21/03      60                          39                             2
12/14/03      58                          38                             4
11/16/03      48                          48                             4
10/29/03      47                          51                             2
10/13/03      51                          47                             2
9/29/03       50                          47                             3
9/13/03       52                          46                             2
9/7/03        49                          47                             4
8/24/03       56                          37                             7
8/11/03       56                          41                             3
7/10/03       58                          41                             2
6/22/03       67                          30                             2
4/30/03       75        "         "       22        "          "         2
3/27/03*      69                          26                             5
3/23/03       71                          26                             3
3/20/03       65                          29                             5
3/17/03       64                          29                             7        
3/9/03        55                          38                             8         
2/23/03       55                          39                             6         
2/9/03        61                          37                             2         
2/5/03        61                          32                             7         
2/1/03        61                          35                             3         
1/28/03       58                          38                             4         
1/27/03       57                          40                             3         
1/20/03       50                          46                             4         
12/15/02      58                          37                             5         
11/4/02  LV   56                          40                             4         
11/3/02  LV   57                          40                             4         
11/2/02  LV   56                          41                             3         
10/27/02      57                          38                             5         
9/26/02       58                          39                             3         
9/14/02       65                          31                             4         
8/29/02       52        "         "       36        "          "        12
*3/27/03 and previous: "The situation with Iraq and Saddam Hussein"

b. The economy

              Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
1/12/08         28          69            3
12/9/07         34          63            3
9/30/07         37          61            3
6/1/07          40          57            3 
4/15/07         40          59            1 
2/25/07         43          55            2
1/19/07         41          57            2
12/11/06        43          55            2
10/8/06         41          56            2
8/6/06          39          59            2
6/25/06         38          61            1
5/15/06         38          60            2
4/9/06*         40          59            1
3/5/06          48          51            1
1/26/06         46          52            1
12/18/05        47          52            1 
11/2/05         36          61            3
9/11/05         40          58            2
8/28/05         44          54            3
6/5/05          40          58            2
4/24/05         40          57            3
3/13/05         43          55            2
1/16/05         46          52            2
12/19/04        46          51            3
9/26/04  RV     47          50            4
8/29/04  RV     45          52            3
7/25/04         47          50            3
6/20/04         46          53            1
5/23/04         44          54            2
4/18/04         44          54            2
3/7/04          39          59            1
2/11/04         44          54            2
1/18/04         51          47            2
12/21/03        51          44            5
11/16/03        48          49            3
10/29/03        45          53            2
10/13/03        45          52            2
9/13/03         42          56            3
9/7/03          44          51            5
8/11/03         45          51            5
7/10/03         47          49            4
4/30/03         52          45            3
2/9/03          47          49            4    
2/1/03          44          52            4             
1/28/03         46          49            4             
1/27/03         47          47            5             
1/20/03         43          53            4             
1/5/03          50          43            7             
12/15/02        50          46            4             
11/4/02  LV     53          45            2             
11/3/02  LV     52          46            2             
11/2/02  LV     55          43            2             
10/27/02        51          43            6             
9/26/02         51          47            3             
9/8/02          57          40            4             
7/28/02         57          39            4             
7/15/02         58          38            3             
4/21/02         64          33            3             
1/27/02         62          34            4             
12/19/01        67          27            6             
11/6/01         72          23            5             
9/9/01          48          48            4             
7/30/01         52          45            3             
6/3/01          53          41            6             
4/22/01         55          38            7   
3/25/01         50          42            8
* Strongly/somewhat follow asked 4/9/06

3. Do you think things in this country (are generally going in the right direction) or do you feel things (have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track)?

                 Right     Wrong     No 
               direction   track   opinion  
1/12/08           21        77        2
11/1/07           24        74        2
6/1/07            25        73        2 
1/19/07           26        71        3 
11/4/06  RV       39        59        2 
10/22/06 RV       32        66        2 
         All      30        68        2 
10/8/06           32        66        2 
5/15/06           29        69        2 
11/2/05           30        68        2 
10/24/04 LV       41        55        4 
4/18/04           42        57        1 
4/30/03           52        46        2 
9/26/02           43        53        4 
2/21/02           54        42        4 
2/14/99           55        41        4 
11/1/98           55        43        2 
11/1/98  LV       55        44        1 
8/21/98           57        40        4
7/12/98           50        45        6
4/4/98            55        41        4
1/31/98           61        34        5
1/30/98           61        34        5
1/19/98           44        50        6
8/27/97           39        57        4
6/8/97            37        60        3
3/9/97            34        62        4
10/17/96 RV       40        55        5
10/16/96 RV       42        53        5
10/15/96 RV       43        52        5
10/14/96 RV       44        51        5
10/13/96 RV       44        51        5
9/04/96  RV       40        54        6
8/21/96           28        67        5
6/30/96           26        70        5
3/17/96           27        70        3
1/21/96           27        66        6
1/3/96            21        77        3
4/5/95            23        73        3
1/4/95            27        68        6
10/31/94          27        69        4
7/20/94           26        70        4
3/27/94           28        69        3
1/23/94           31        60       10
11/14/93          25        69        6
8/8/93            26        71        3
6/20/93           26        71        3
4/26/93           27        71        2
3/11/93           36        57        7
2/28/93           37        59        4
1/17/93           31        63        6
12/14/92          35        60        5
10/27/92 RV       22        76        2
10/4/92  RV       18        78        4
6/7/92            14        83        3
4/9/92            16        81        3
3/11/92           18        79        4
1/15/92           19        78        3
11/10/91          24        72        4
10/29/91          26        71        3
8/27/91           31        60        9
7/28/91           30        67        3
6/2/91            39        57        4
4/9/91            42        51        7
2/26/91           58        39        3
1/27/91           49        48        4
10/14/90          19        79        2
9/9/90            36        60        4
8/20/90           35        60        5
7/24/90           37        60        2
5/21/90           39        60        2
3/26/90           44        53        2
2/4/90            49        48        3
1/16/90           48        49        3
5/23/89           42        55        3
3/16/89           46        52        2
1/16/89  LV       51        46        3
10/25/88 RV       49        46        6
9/27/88           48        44        8
7/11/88           40        56        4
5/25/88           35        59        6
3/21/88           40        56        4
1/23/88           39        59        2
12/13/87          49        47        4
12/2/87           35        61        4
9/23/87           43        54        4
6/29/87           35        62        3
4/13/87           37        60        3
3/9/87            38        58        4
1/18/87           39        56        5
9/8/86            50        48        2
1/26/86           45        47        8
7/29/85           52        43        6
1/16/85           59        36        4
5/22/84           47        48        5
12/13/83          43        51        6
11/7/83           51        44        5
4/12/83           41        54        4
3/2/83            43        53        3
1/25/83           58        39        3
1/25/83           43        52        4
10/11/82          35        57        8
1/30/82           39        56        5
2/80*             20        70       10
2/78              34        53       13
2/77              41        44       14
10/75             19        71        9
10/74             15        75       11
10/73             16        74       10
*2/80 and previous: Roper

4. Thinking ahead to the November 2008 presidential election, what is the single most important issue in your choice for president?

                      1/12/08   12/9/07   11/1/07   9/7/07
Economy/Jobs            29        24        14        11
Iraq/War in Iraq        20        23        29        35
Health care             10        10        13        13
Ethics/Honesty/
 Corruption in 
 government              5         4         4         6
Immigration/Illegal 
 immigration             4         5         5         5
Terrorism/National    
 security                4         9         5         6
Education                2         1         2         1
Morals/Family 
 values                  2         3         3         2
Foreign policy           2         1         2         1
Environment              1         1         2         1 
Abortion                 1         1         1         1
Social Security          1         1         2         1
Taxes                    1         1         1         1
Federal budget 
 deficit                 *         *         1         1
Housing/Mortgages        *         *         *         *
Global warming           *         *         *         *
Iran/Situation
 in Iran                 *         0         *         0
Guns/Gun control         *         *
None/Nothing             *         1         *         *
Other                   10         7         9         7
No opinion               7         7         8         9

5. All in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, do you think the war with Iraq was worth fighting, or not? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

----- Worth fighting ----   --- Not worth fighting --     No     
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion 
1/12/08       35       21         13      64       13         51         2
12/9/07       37       25         12      61       11         50         2 
11/1/07       35       23         12      63       12         51         2
9/30/07       38       25         14      59       12         47         3 
9/7/07        36       23         13      62       11         51         2  
7/21/07       36       25         12      63       10         53         1 
6/1/07        37       24         12      61       12         50         2 
4/15/07       33       22         11      66       12         54         1 
2/25/07       34       22         12      64       13         51         2
1/10/07       40       28         12      58       11         47         2
12/11/06      36       25         11      61       12         50         2  
11/4/06  RV   44       33         12      53       10         44         2
10/22/06      40       28         12      57       11         47         2
10/8/06       35       25         10      63       13         50         2 
9/7/06        42       29         13      56       11         45         2 
8/6/06        39       29         10      59       12         47         1 
6/25/06       40       25         15      58       13         45         2
5/15/06       37       24         14      62       12         50         1    
4/9/06        41       30         11      58       10         48         1    
3/5/06        42       29         14      57       11         46         1  
1/26/06       44       32         12      55       13         42         1
1/8/06        43       30         13      55       12         43         2
12/18/05      46       33         14      52       11         42         1 
11/2/05       39       25         13      60       12         48         1
8/28/05       46       33         12      53        9         44         1
6/26/05       46       33         13      53       10         43         1 
6/5/05        41       29         12      58       12         46         1
4/24/05       44       31         13      54       12         42         2  
3/13/05       45       34         11      53       11         42         2  
1/16/05       44       32         12      55       10         45         1  
12/19/04      42       31         11      56       10         47         2  
10/3/04  LV   49       34         15      48       11         37         3  
9/26/04  RV   46       35         12      51        8         42         3 
9/8/04   RV   51       38         13      45       10         34         4
8/29/04  RV   48       34         14      50       11         39         2 
7/25/04       49       36         13      48       11         37         3 
6/20/04       47       32         14      52       13         39         2 
5/23/04       48       35         13      50       13         37         1     
5/6/04        49       NA         NA      47       NA         NA         5
4/18/04       51                          47                             2
3/7/04        52                          44                             3 
2/11/04       48                          50                             2
1/18/04       56                          41                             3 
12/21/03      59                          39                             2     
12/14/03      53                          42                             5     
11/16/03      52                          44                             4     
10/29/03      54                          44                             2     
10/13/03      54                          44                             2     
9/13/03       61                          37                             2     
9/7/03        54                          42                             4     
8/24/03       57                          37                             5     
8/11/03       61                          35                             4     
7/10/03       57                          40                             3     
6/22/03       64                          33                             3     
4/30/03       70                          27                             4     
2/2/92*       66                          32                             2     
7/28/91       67                          30                             3     
6/2/91        70                          26                             3     
3/4/91        86                          13                             1     
*2/2/92 and previous: "the Persian Gulf war"; 3/4/91: "this war"

6. Do you think the United States is or is not making significant progress toward restoring civil order in Iraq?

                Is making            Is not making         No  
           significant progress   significant progress   opinion
1/12/08            42                     54                4
12/9/07            41                     55                4
11/1/07            39                     59                2 
9/7/07             36                     60                4 
6/1/07             32                     64                4
12/11/06           31                     66                3
6/25/06            48                     49                2
3/5/06             43                     56                2
12/18/05           60                     37                2
11/2/05            44                     55                2 
8/28/05            48                     50                2 
6/26/05            48                     51                1
12/19/04           44                     49                7
6/20/04            51                     48                1

7. How closely are you following the 2008 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?


              ---- Closely -----   ---- Not closely -----      No
              NET   Very   Smwt.   NET   Not too   At all   opinion  
1/12/08       79     32     47     21       15        6        *  
12/9/07       72     21     51     28       19        8        *
11/1/07       67     21     46     33       22       12        0  
9/30/07       69     21     48     30       21       10        * 
7/21/07       70     22     48     30       20       10        *  
6/1/07        66     18     48     34       22       13        *  
4/15/07       66     20     45     34       20       14        *  
2/25/07       65     20     44     35       25       10        *

2004:   

9/26/04 RV    87     48     39     12        8        4        1
9/8/04 RV     85     45     40     14       10        4        1 
8/29/04 RV    81     43     38     20       13        7        * 
8/1/04 RV     80     41     39     20       13        7        * 
7/25/04       73     34     39     27       15       12        *
7/11/04       79     36     43     20       13        7        1
6/20/04       78     33     45     22       15        7        *
5/23/04       74     33     41     26       17        9        * 
4/18/04       75     30     45     25       16        9        0
3/7/04        75     33     42     25       18        7        * 
2/11/04       75     30     45     25       15       10        *
1/18/04       66     22     44     35       22       13        * 
10/29/03      54     15     39     45       30       15        0
9/13/03       56     16     40     44       27       17        *

2000:

10/15/00 RV   77     33     44     23       15        8        *
10/9/00 RV    75     30     45     25       16        9        *
10/1/00 RV    75     27     48     25       17        8        *
9/6/00 RV     74     26     48     26       17        9        *
8/20/00 RV    74     28     46     26       16       10        1
8/10/00 RV    72     29     43     29       18       11        *
8/6/00        54     17     36     47       22       25        *
7/29/00       51     16     35     49       25       24        *
7/23/00       50     14     36     50       25       25        *
6/11/00       49     13     36     51       26       25        0
4/2/00        53     17     36     47       24       23        0
3/11/00       61     21     40     38       21       17        0
2/27/00       70     24     46     30       20       10        *
2/6/00        67     19     48     34       21       13        0
1/16/00       50     11     39     50       26       24        *
12/15/99      45     12     33     55       31       24        *
10/31/99      61     16     45     38       25       13        *



8. I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the 2008 presidential primary or caucus in your state. Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?

                                 Less    Will not   No primary/   Already   
                                 than      vote       caucus       voted    No
         Cert.   Prob.   50-50   50-50    (vol.)       (vol.)      (vol.)   op. 
1/12/08    65     12      13       6         4            *           *      *       
12/9/07    70     11      10       6         3            *          NA      *
11/1/07    69     12      10       6         3            *          NA      1 




08DEM1/1a/Q8d. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were: (Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, Barack Obama, or Dennis Kucinich), for whom would you vote?

NET LEANED VOTE - LIKELY VOTERS

                  1/12/08   12/9/07   11/1/07
Hillary Clinton     42        53        51
Barack Obama        37        23        24
John Edwards        11        10        13
Dennis Kucinich      2         2         3
Other (vol.)         *         0         1
None (vol.)          3         1         2
No opinion           3         3         2

NET LEANED VOTE - ALL LEANED DEMOCRATS (DEMOCRATS AND DEMOCRATIC-LEANING INDEPENDENTS)

                                ------------------- 2007 -------------------
                       1/12/08  12/9  11/1  9/30  9/7  7/21  6/1  4/15  2/25
Hillary Clinton          41      52    49    53    41   45    42   41    43
Barack Obama             39      23    26    20    27   30    27   25    27
John Edwards             11      12    12    13    14   12    11   17    14
Dennis Kucinich           2       2     2     1     2    1     2    1     *
Other (vol.)              *       0     *     *     1    1     *    1     *
None (vol.)               2       2     1     4     4    2     4    3     4
Wouldn't vote (vol.)      0       1     1     1     0    2     1    1     1
No opinion                4       3     2     2     5    2     6    5     4
*Asked Bill Richardson, Joe Biden, and Chris Dodd 12/9 and previous, Mike Gravel 11/1 and previous, Al Gore 7/21 and previous, Wesley Clark 4/15 and previous, Tom Vilsack 2/25 and previous, John Kerry 1/19 and previous, Evan Bayh 12/11



9. (IF NAMED DEM CANDIDATE) Do you support (CANDIDATE) strongly, or somewhat?


       1/12/08 - Summary Table

                  Strongly   Somewhat   No opinion 
All candidates       61         39           0
Hillary Clinton      68         32           0
Barack Obama         56         44           0
*Sample sizes too low on other candidates to report.

Trend where available:

All Democratic candidates
                  Strongly   Somewhat   No opinion 
1/12/08              61         39           0
12/9/07              43         56           *
11/1/07              51         49           *
9/30/07              55         45           0
7/21/07              63         36           1
6/1/07               49         50           *
4/15/07              51         49           0
2/25/07              56         43           *

Hillary Clinton
1/12/08              68         32           0
12/9/07              49         51           *
11/1/07              57         42           1
9/30/07              61         39           0
7/21/07              68         32           0
6/1/07               53         47           0
4/15/07              59         41           0
2/25/06              56         44           0

Barack Obama
1/12/08              56         44           0
12/9/07              41         59           0
11/1/07              50         50           0
9/30/07              52         48           0
7/21/07              56         43           1
6/1/07               43         56           1
4/15/07              51         49           0
2/25/06              60         38           1


08DEM2. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS, NAMED A CANDIDATE) Who would your second choice be?

NET LEANED VOTE 

                        1/12/08   9/7/07   12/11/06
Hillary Clinton           34        28        22
John Edwards              29        22        11
Barack Obama              28        26        18
Dennis Kucinich            2         1        NA
Other (vol.)               1         1         1
None of these (vol.)       5         9         2
Would not vote (vol.)      *         *         *
No opinion                 1         3         3
*Asked Bill Richardson, Joe Biden, Chris Dodd and Mike Gravel 9/7 and previous, Al Gore 12/11 

First choice/Second choice NET

                        1/12/08   9/7/07   12/11/06
Hillary Clinton           72        67        60 	
Barack Obama              65        50        33
John Edwards              37        35        22			
Dennis Kucinich            4         3        NA
Other (vol.)               1         1         1			
None of these (vol.)       7        12         4	
Would not vote (vol.)      0         *         1	
No opinion                 5         7         7
*Asked Bill Richardson, Joe Biden, Chris Dodd and Mike Gravel 9/7 and previous, Al Gore 12/11 

10. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you think (ITEM) - (Clinton) (Obama) or (Edwards)?

1/12/08 - Summary Table
                                                     All     Any 2   None   No 
                           Clinton  Obama  Edwards  (vol.)  (vol.)  (vol.)  op.
a. is the strongest leader    47      33      12       1       2       1     4 
b. is the most honest and 
   trustworthy                30      38      16       3       2       6     6
c. has the best chance of 
   getting elected      
   president in 
   November 2008              43      36      10       2        1      *     7
d. has the best experience 
   to be president            71      11       9       2        1      2     4
e. is the most inspiring      35      50       8       1        2      2     2
f. best understands the 
   problems of people
   like you                   40      34      15       1        2      4     4
g. would do the most to 
   bring needed change to 
   Washington                 41      40      10       *        2      2     4

Trend where available:

a. is the strongest leader

                                       All      Any 2    None      No 
          Clinton   Obama   Edwards   (vol.)   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
1/12/08     47        33      12        1         2        1        4
12/9/07     61        19      13        *         1        1        4
11/1/07     59        24      12        1         1        1        3
9/30/07     61        20      13        1         1        2        3
6/1/07      50        26      15        1         1        1        5
2/25/07     52        23      17        1         1        1        5

b. is the most honest and trustworthy

                                       All      Any 2    None      No 
          Clinton   Obama   Edwards   (vol.)   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
1/12/08     30        38      16        3         2        6        6
12/9/07     35        27      20        3         2        7        6
11/1/07     34        29      18        5         2        7        5
9/30/07     35        26      22        2         1        8        5
6/1/07      28        34      22        3         2        6        6
2/25/07     29        34      21        3         2        7        5

c. has the best chance of getting elected president in November 2008     

                                       All      Any 2    None      No 
          Clinton   Obama   Edwards   (vol.)   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
1/12/08     43        36      10        2         1        *        7
12/9/07     59        16      16        1         2        1        5
11/1/07     62        15      14        1         2        1        5
9/30/07     57        16      20        *         1        1        3
6/1/07      43        21      26        1         2        1        6
2/25/07     48        17      25        *         2        1        6

d. has the best experience to be president                

                                       All      Any 2    None      No 
          Clinton   Obama   Edwards   (vol.)   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
1/12/08     71       11        9        2         1        2        4
12/9/07     73        8       13        1         *        1        3
6/1/07      66        9       19        1         1        2        3
2/25/07     71        5       17        1         1        2        3

e. is the most inspiring            

                                       All      Any 2    None      No 
          Clinton   Obama   Edwards   (vol.)   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
1/12/08     35       50        8        1         2        2        2
12/9/07     39       40       14        1         2        2        3
9/30/07     41       37       14        1         2        4        2
6/1/07      37       41       15        1         1        3        2
2/25/07     36       44       14        1         1        2        3

f. best understands the problems of people like you    

                                       All      Any 2    None      No 
          Clinton   Obama   Edwards   (vol.)   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
1/12/08     40       34       15        1         2        4        4
12/9/07     48       25       16        1         1        3        4
6/1/07      38       33       18        2         1        4        5
2/25/07     39       31       20        1         1        3        4

g. No trend.

11. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust most to handle (ITEM) - (Clinton), (Obama) or (Edwards)?

1/12/08 - Summary Table

                                                    All     Any 2   None   No 
                       Clinton   Obama   Edwards   (vol.)  (vol.)  (vol.)  op.
a. The war in Iraq        40       36      12         1       2       4     6 
b. The U.S. campaign   
   against terrorism      43       34      11         2       1       3     7
c. The economy            46       33      13         1       1       2     4
d. Health care            54       27      11         1       1       2     5
e. International
   affairs                56       25       9         1       *       2     6  

Trend where available:

a. The war in Iraq
                                       All      Any 2    None      No 
          Clinton   Obama   Edwards   (vol.)   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
1/12/08     40       36       12        1         2        4        6
12/9/07     51       26       14        2         1        2        4
9/30/07     52       22       17        1         *        4        5

b. The U.S. campaign against terrorism    

                                       All      Any 2    None      No 
          Clinton   Obama   Edwards   (vol.)   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
1/12/08     43       34       11        2         1        3        7
12/9/07     50       23       15        3         2        2        6
9/30/07     51       20       19        1         *        3        6    

c. The economy

                                       All      Any 2    None      No 
          Clinton   Obama   Edwards   (vol.)   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
1/12/08     46       33       13        1         1        2        4
12/9/07     58       18       16        2         1        1        4
9/30/07     56       17       17        1         1        3        4

d. Health care
                                       All      Any 2    None      No 
          Clinton   Obama   Edwards   (vol.)   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
1/12/08     54       27       11        1         1        2        5
12/9/07     60       15       16        1         1        1        6
9/30/07     66       15       14        1         *        2        2

e. No trend.

12. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) Regardless of who you may support, do you think Barack Obama does or does not have the kind of experience it takes to serve effectively as president?

     
          Does   Does not   No opinion
1/12/08    53       41           6

13. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) Regardless of who you may support, do you think Hillary Clinton would or would not do enough to bring needed change to Washington?

     
          Would   Would not   No opinion
1/12/08    75         23           3


08REP1/1a/Q8r. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) If the 2008 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were: (Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, Ron Paul, or Fred Thompson), for whom would you vote?

    NET LEANED VOTE - LIKELY VOTERS 

                  1/12/08   12/9/07   11/1/07
John McCain         28        12        17     
Mike Huckabee       20        19         9     
Mitt Romney         19        17        13     
Rudy Giuliani       15        25        34     
Fred Thompson        8        14        16     
Ron Paul             3         3         2     
Duncan Hunter        2         2         2     
Other (vol.)         1         *         0     
None (vol.)          2         3         2     
No opinion           2         4         3     

NET LEANED VOTE - ALL LEANED REPUBLICANS (REPUBLICANS AND GOP-LEANING INDEPENDENTS)

                                 ------------------- 2007 -------------------
                       1/12/08   12/9  11/1  9/30  9/7  7/21  6/1  4/15  2/25
John McCain              28       15    19    12    18   16    20   22    23
Mike Huckabee            19       15     9     8     5    2     2    1     2
Rudy Giuliani            17       26    33    34    28   37    34   35    53
Mitt Romney              15       17    11    11    10    8    10   10     5
Fred Thompson             7       12    16    17    19   15    13   10    NA
Ron Paul                  4        3     3     3     1    2     2    1     1
Duncan Hunter             1        2     2     2     1    2     1    1     *
Other (vol.)              1        *     *     *     1    *     *    0     *
None (vol.)               2        4     4     4     2    5     3    4     2
Wouldn't vote (vol.)      1        *     *     1     2    1     *    *     1
No opinion                5        5     3     8    10    5    10    7     5
*Asked Tom Tancredo 12/9 and previous, Sam Brownback 9/30 and previous, Tommy Thompson 7/21 and previous, Jim Gilmore 6/1 and previous, Chuck Hagel and George Pataki, 4/15 and previous. 

14. (IF NAMED REP CANDIDATE) Do you support (CANDIDATE) strongly, or somewhat?

    
All candidates 
                Strongly   Somewhat   No opinion 
1/12/08            40         60           0
12/9/07            34         66           1
11/1/07            41         59           0
9/30/07            45         54           1
7/21/07            41         59           *
6/1/07             34         65           1
4/15/07            45         55           *
2/25/07            41         59           1

                Strongly   Somewhat   No opinion 
John McCain*  
1/12/08            32         68           0
*Sample sizes too low on other candidates to report.


08REP2. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS, NAMED A CANDIDATE) Who would your second choice be?

   NET LEANED VOTE
                        1/12/08   9/7/07   12/11/06
John McCain               24        18        24
Mike Huckabee             18         3         3
Rudy Giuliani             15        28        28
Mitt Romney               14        14         5
Fred Thompson              8        13        NA
Ron Paul                   4         *        NA
Duncan Hunter              2         2         1
Other (vol.)               1         2         1
None of these (vol.)       9         2         5
Would not vote (vol.)      0         *         *
No opinion                 4         7         8
*Asked Newt Gingrich, Sam Brownback, and Tom Tancredo 9/7 and previous, George Pataki, Tommy Thompson and Chuck Hagel 12/11. 

First choice/Second choice NET

                        1/12/08   9/7/07   12/11/06
John McCain               50        33        47
Mike Huckabee             35         8         2			
Rudy Giuliani             31        51        57			
Mitt Romney               27        22         9			
Fred Thompson             15        29        NA			
Ron Paul                   8         2        NA
Duncan Hunter              3         3         1  			
Other (vol.)               2         1         1 			
None of these (vol.)      10         4        11 	
Would not vote (vol.)      3         2         *	
No opinion                 9        16        15
*Asked Newt Gingrich, Sam Brownback, and Tom Tancredo 9/7 and previous, George Pataki, Tommy Thompson and Chuck Hagel 12/11. 



15. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you think (ITEM)?

    1/12/08 - Summary Table
                                                                      Oth./None
                        Giuliani  McCain  Romney  Huckabee  Thompson   No opin.
a. is the strongest
   leader                  25       37      11       11         5         10
b. is the most honest 
   and trustworthy         13       27      11       19         8         22 
c. has the best 
   chance of getting
   elected president      
   in November 2008        16       33      14       16         2         18 
d. best reflects the 
   core values of the 
   Republican Party        12       27      15       18        11         17 
e. best understands 
   the problems of 
   people like you         16       24      11       19         8         22 
f. has the best 
   experience to be  
   president               20       40      12       10         4         13
g. would do the most            
   to bring needed                
   change to                      
   Washington              18       22      12       18         8         23

Trend where available:

a. is the strongest leader
         
                      1/12/08   12/9/07
John McCain             37         19 
Rudy Giuliani           25         38
Mitt Romney             11         11    
Mike Huckabee           11          9    
Fred Thompson            5          6 
Ron Paul                 2          1 
Duncan Hunter            1          * 
All of them (vol.)       *          *
None of them (vol.)      1          1
No opinion               6         14 
            
b. is the most honest and trustworthy

                      1/12/08   12/9/07
John McCain             27         17
Mike Huckabee           19         17 
Rudy Giuliani           13         16
Mitt Romney             11         14
Fred Thompson            8          9
Ron Paul                 5          4
Duncan Hunter            1          1
All of them (vol.)       1          4
None of them (vol.)      7          5
No opinion               8         12  

c. has the best chance of getting elected president in November 2008

                      1/12/08   12/9/07
John McCain             33         10 
Rudy Giuliani           16         42
Mike Huckabee           16          7
Mitt Romney             14         15
Fred Thompson            2          5 
Ron Paul                 1          1
Duncan Hunter            0          * 
All of them (vol.)       *          0
None of them (vol.)      3          5
No opinion              13         16 

d. best reflects the core values of the Republican Party

                      1/12/08   12/9/07
John McCain             27         18 
Mike Huckabee           18         16
Mitt Romney             15         14
Rudy Giuliani           12         16
Fred Thompson           11         13   
Ron Paul                 4          2
Duncan Hunter            1          2
All of them (vol.)       *          1
None of them (vol.)      1          2
No opinion              11         16 

e. best understands the problems of people like you

                      1/12/08   12/9/07
John McCain             24         16
Mike Huckabee           19         16
Rudy Giuliani           16         21
Mitt Romney             11         10
Fred Thompson            8          9
Ron Paul                 5          3
Duncan Hunter            2          2
All of them (vol.)       *          *
None of them (vol.)      5          7
No opinion              10         16  

f. has the best experience to be president

                      1/12/08   12/9/07
John McCain             40         25
Rudy Giuliani           20         28
Mitt Romney             12         12
Mike Huckabee           10          5
Fred Thompson            4          8
Ron Paul                 2          2
Duncan Hunter            *          * 
All of them (vol.)       *          1
None of them (vol.)      2          3
No opinion               8         15 

g. No trend.
   

16. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust most to handle (ITEM)?

    
1/12/08 - Summary Table
                                                                      Oth./None
                         Giuliani  McCain  Romney  Huckabee  Thompson   No op.
a. The war in Iraq          19       42       6        11        7        14 
b. The U.S. campaign 
   against terrorism        24       40       7        12        6        12 
c. The economy              18       19      18        18        8        20 
d. Immigration issues       17       27      11        15        9        22 
e. Social issues, such 
   as abortion and gay 
   civil unions             14       20      15        22        8        21
f. Taxes                    17       21      13        15        7        27
g. International              
   affairs                  16       43       9        10        7        16 

Trend where available:

a. The war in Iraq          

                      1/12/08   12/9/07
John McCain             42         29 
Rudy Giuliani           19         28
Mike Huckabee           11          9    
Fred Thompson            7          8 
Mitt Romney              6          9    
Ron Paul                 3          1 
Duncan Hunter            1          1 
All of them (vol.)       1          *
None of them (vol.)      3          2
No opinion               7         13 

b. The U.S. campaign against terrorism

                      1/12/08   12/9/07
John McCain             40         26 
Rudy Giuliani           24         36
Mike Huckabee           12          8    
Mitt Romney              7          7    
Fred Thompson            6          8 
Ron Paul                 3          2 
Duncan Hunter            1          * 
All of them (vol.)       1          1
None of them (vol.)      2          2
No opinion               6         10 

c. The economy

                      1/12/08   12/9/07
John McCain             19         14 
Rudy Giuliani           18         27
Mitt Romney             18         18    
Mike Huckabee           18         10    
Fred Thompson            8         10 
Ron Paul                 3          3 
Duncan Hunter            1          1 
All of them (vol.)       *          1
None of them (vol.)      4          2
No opinion              12         14 

d. Immigration issues

                      1/12/08   12/9/07
John McCain             27         18 
Rudy Giuliani           17         22
Mike Huckabee           15         11    
Mitt Romney             11          9    
Fred Thompson            9         10 
Ron Paul                 4          2 
Duncan Hunter            2          1 
All of them (vol.)       *          *
None of them (vol.)      4          3
No opinion              12         20 

e. Social issues, such as abortion and gay civil unions

                      1/12/08   12/9/07
Mike Huckabee           22         17    
John McCain             20         11 
Mitt Romney             15         16    
Rudy Giuliani           14         15
Fred Thompson            8         11 
Ron Paul                 3          3 
Duncan Hunter            1          2 
All of them (vol.)       1          1
None of them (vol.)      4          4
No opinion              12         20 

f. No trend.

g. No trend.


17. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of (NAME)? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

     1/12/08 - Summary Table

                     ------- Favorable -------   ------ Unfavorable ------  No   
                     NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly  op.
a. Hillary Clinton   58       32         26      40       11         29      2
b. John McCain       59       24         35      30       17         13     11
c. Barack Obama      63       31         32      30       14         16      7
d. Rudy Giuliani     46       16         29      46       19         27      8
e. John Edwards      57       18         39      34       16         18      9
f. Mitt Romney       34        7         27      46       22         24     20
g. Mike Huckabee     42       14         28      38       20         18     20
h. Fred Thompson     30        9         20      45       24         21     26

Trend where available:

a. Hillary Clinton

              ------- Favorable -------   ------ Unfavorable ------     No   
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
1/12/08       58       32         26      40       11         29         2   
11/1/07       50       28         22      46       11         35         4  
2/25/07       49       25         24      48       13         35         3     
1/19/07       54       31         23      44       14         30         3     
12/11/06      56       27         29      40       11         29         4     
5/15/06       54       29         25      42       11         31         4
3/5/06        52       27         25      46       12         33         2
6/5/05        51       NA         NA      46       NA         NA         3
6/1/03        44       15         29      48       16         32         8
9/2/99        49       NA         NA      44       NA         NA         7
6/6/99        59                          35                             6
3/14/99       60                          36                             4
2/14/99       63                          31                             6
11/1/98       64                          31                             5
8/21/98       64                          28                             8
8/19/98       64                          32                             4  
4/4/98        58                          33                            10  
1/30/98       60                          30                            10  
1/19/98       52                          39                             9  
3/9/97        47                          44                             9  
9/4/96   RV   47                          42                            12  
6/30/96       44                          47                             9  
1/21/96       28                          36                            36  
1/19/96       32                          34                            34  
10/31/94      47                          44                             8  
5/15/94       54                          41                             5  
3/27/94       53                          39                             8  
1/23/94       55                          34                            11  
11/14/93      58                          33                             9  
8/8/93        59                          33                             8  
4/26/93       54                          26                            20  
2/23/93       59                          24                            18  
1/17/93       51                          20                            29
7/8/92        30                          26                            43
3/28/92       28                          22                            51          

b. John McCain

              ------- Favorable -------   ------ Unfavorable ------     No   
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
1/12/08       59       24         35      30       17         13        11
11/1/07       43       10         34      42       23         19        14  
2/25/07       52       13         39      35       22         13        13     
1/19/07       49       NA         NA      35       NA         NA        16 
12/11/06      50       17         33      31       20         11        19 
5/15/06       55       20         35      31       20         11        14
3/5/06        59       22         38      29       18         11        12
6/5/05        57       NA         NA      32       NA         NA        11
7/30/01       57                          30                            12
2/27/00       60                          21                            19
10/31/99      36                          22                            41
9/2/99        22                          10                            68
3/14/99       20                          10                            69

c. Barack Obama

              ------- Favorable -------   ------ Unfavorable ------     No   
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
1/12/08       63       31         32      30       14         16         7
11/1/07       51       21         30      36       16         20        13  
2/25/07       53       21         33      30       16         14        16     
1/19/07       45       NA         NA      29       NA         NA        25 
12/11/06      44       21         22      23       17          6        33

d. Rudy Giuliani

              ------- Favorable -------   ------ Unfavorable ------     No   
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
1/12/08       46       16         29      46       19         27         8
11/1/07       50       18         32      40       18         23         9  
2/25/07       64       22         41      28       15         13         8     
1/19/07       61       NA         NA      29       NA         NA        10 
12/11/06      67       29         38      23       14          9        11

e. John Edwards

              ------- Favorable -------   ------ Unfavorable ------     No   
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
1/12/08       57       18         39      34       16         18         9
11/1/07       49       14         35      35       18         18        16  
2/25/07       46       13         33      39       22         17        14     
12/11/06      49       13         36      26       16         10        25
10/3/04* LV   45       NA         NA      30       NA         NA        25
9/8/04   RV   39       NA         NA      26       NA         NA        35
8/1/04   RV   49       NA         NA      18       NA         NA        33  
7/25/04  RV   50       NA         NA      24       NA         NA        26
*10/3/04 and previous: "Regardless of how you might vote, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of John Edwards or perhaps you don't know enough to say." 

f. Mitt Romney

              ------- Favorable -------   ------ Unfavorable ------     No   
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
1/12/08       34        7         27      46       22         24        20
11/1/07       28        6         21      41       24         17        31  
2/25/07       26        5         21      34       22         12        40     
12/11/06      22        5         17      24       20          4        54

g. Mike Huckabee

              ------- Favorable -------   ------ Unfavorable ------     No   
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
1/12/08       42       14         28      38       20         18        20
11/1/07       21        6         15      30       20         11        49  

h. Fred Thompson

              ------- Favorable -------   ------ Unfavorable ------     No   
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
1/12/08       30        9         20      45       24         21        26
11/1/07       33        8         25      37       23         14        31  



18. Which of these is more important to you in a candidate for president: (strength and experience) or (a new direction and new ideas)?

              Strength and   New direction    Both    Neither     No 
           experience    and new ideas   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
1/12/08        47              43           9        *         1
12/9/07        54              38           6        *         1
11/1/07        49              41           8        1         1
9/30/07        52              40           7        1         1
7/21/07        50              41           6        *         2


19. (IF NEW DIRECTION, Q18) When you think about "change" as a theme in the presidential election - what one thing does that mainly mean to you personally?

                      1/12/08               
Improving the economy     24
Ending the Iraq war       13 
Changing the way  
 Washington operates       7    
Health care                5

Reducing corruption 
 in government             4
Restoring Christian  
 values/moral values       2
Replacing Bush             2      
Limiting power of big 
 corporations              1
Reducing partisanship      1
Electing a woman 
 president                 *
Electing an 
 African-American 
 president                 *
Electing a Democrat        * 
Other                     33
None/Nothing               1
No opinion                 8 	

20. Thinking ahead to November 2008, which of these two statements comes closest to your own views: (After eight years of George W. Bush, we need to elect a president who can set the nation in a new direction) OR (We need to keep the country moving in the direction Bush has been taking us)?

     -- New direction --   -- Same direction--   Between   Neither    No
          NET  Strngly  Smwht   NET  Smwht  Strngly    (vol.)   (vol.)    opin.
1/12/08   79     66       12    17      5      11         3        *        1 
11/1/07   75     60       14    23     10      13         2        1        1

Compare to:
Which of these two statements comes closest to your own views: A) After four years of George W. Bush, we need to elect a president who can set the nation in a new direction.  B) We need to keep the country moving in the direction Bush has been taking us.

                       New        Same      Somewhere in     Neither     No
                    direction   direction   between (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
3/7/04                 57          41            1              1         1

Bill Clinton:      
8/6/00                 48          44            2              4         2
7/23/00                46          49            2              1         2
2/27/00                48          49            1              *         1
1/26/00                44          53            1              2         1
10/31/99               47          48            3              1         1
9/2/99                 47          49            2              1         2
3/14/98                39          56            3              1         1

George H.W. Bush:   
8/9/92                 74          23            *              *         2
6/7/92                 75          21            1              1         1
3/11/92                66          30            1              2         1
12/15/91               63          31            2              2         2
10/21/91               51          44            2              1         1

Ronald Reagan:
9/19/88  RV            51          46            1              1         1
8/14/88                58          38            2              1         1
5/25/88                57          39            2              1         2
9/23/87                55          41            2              1         1
4/13/87                56          41            1              1         1


21. If nominated and elected, [ITEM]. Does that make you (more) or (less) enthusiastic about [his/her] candidacy, or wouldn't it make a difference?

Summary Table - 1/12/08
                                  More           Less       Wouldn't make   No
                              enthusiastic   enthusiastic    a difference   op.
a. Barack Obama would be the    
   first African-American 
   president                       19              8              72         *
b. Hillary Clinton would be 
   the first female president      24             15              60         1
c. John McCain would be the 
   first person to become 
   president at age 72              3             31              64         1
d. Mitt Romney would be the 
   first Mormon president           4             27              69         1
e. Mike Huckabee would be the    
   first Baptist minister to 
   be president                    10             19              69         1

22. If Barack Obama is the Democratic nominee, do you think his being African-American will mostly (help) his candidacy, (hurt) his candidacy, or wouldn't it make a difference?

          Help   Hurt   No difference   No opinion
1/12/08    23     24          50             3 

22a. (IF HURT OBAMA, Q22) Why is that - what's the main reason you say so?

                     1/12/08     
Racism/Some voters   
 are racist             64
Country not ready       26
Other                    8
No opinion               2

23. . Which of these is the single most important economic issue facing you and your family? If it's a different economic issue than the ones on the list, just tell me that. Is it:

 
                        1/12/08     
Health care costs         24        
Inflation or rising            
 prices overall           23 
The price of gasoline     16            
High taxes                12
Problems getting a                
 good-paying job             
 or a raise in pay         8      
Difficulty saving               
 for retirement            6       
Personal debt, like               
 credit-card or                
 mortgage debt             5      
Something else             2
All of them                4
None                       *
No opinion                 1

24. Which best describes your family's financial situation? Do you feel as if you (are getting ahead financially), have just enough money to maintain your standard of living, or (are falling behind financially)?

               Getting   Just enough   Falling     No
                ahead    to maintain    behind   opinion
1/12/08           21          61          17        1
9/7/07            26          53          20        1
11/4/06  RV       28          48          23        1
10/22/06 RV       25          53          21        1
         All      24          52          23        1

25. Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?

              ------ Legal ------   ----- Illegal -----                      
                     All    Most          Most     All      No                 
              NET   cases   cases   NET   cases   cases   opinion  
1/12/08       57     21      36     40     25      15        3 
12/9/07       53     18      35     44     27      17        3
11/1/07       55     19      36     43     27      16        2 
7/21/07       56     23      34     41     28      14        2             
2/25/07       56     16      39     42     31      12        2             
12/18/0       56     17      40     41     27      13        3             
4/24/05       56     20      36     42     27      14        3  
12/19/04      55     21      34     42     25      17        3  
5/23/04       54     23      31     44     23      20        2  
1/20/03       57     23      34     42     25      17        2
8/12/01       49     22      27     48     28      20        3
6/24/01       52     22      31     43     23      20        4                 
1/15/01       59     21      38     39     25      14        1                 
9/6/00   RV   55     20      35     42     25      16        3                 
7/23/00       53     20      33     43     26      17        4                 
9/2/99        56     20      37     42     26      15        2                 
3/14/99       55     21      34     42     27      15        3                 
7/12/98       54     19      35     42     29      13        4                 
8/5/96        56     22      34     41     27      14        3                 
6/30/96       58     24      34     40     25      14        2                 
10/1/95       60     26      35     37     25      12        3                 
9/21/95       60     24      36     36     25      11        4                 
7/17/95       59     27      32     40     26      14        1

901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as:

            Democrat     Republican     Independent     Other     No op.
1/12/08        39            27              29           5         1
12/9/07        37            24              33           5         1
11/1/07        35            29              31           4         1
9/30/07        33            24              36           6         1
9/7/07         31            24              38           6         1
7/21/07        35            23              35           6         *
6/1/07         32            25              38           5         1
4/15/07        36            25              33           6         *
2/25/07        35            26              35           3         1
1/19/07        36            24              35           5         1
12/11/06       34            24              36           5         1
11/4/06        33            30              32           3         2
10/22/06       30            28              36           4         2
10/8/06        38            27              31           3         1
9/7/06         33            32              30           3         2
8/6/06         34            27              34           4         1
6/25/06        33            28              35           3         *
5/15/06        34            28              33           4         1
5/11/06        33            30              33           3         1
4/9/06         34            29              34           3         0
3/5/06         32            28              36           3         1
1/26/06        32            27              34           6         *
1/8/06         31            30              34           5         1
12/18/05       33            32              33           2         *
11/2/05        31            27              38           3         1
9/11/05        31            27              34           8         1
9/2/05         32            31              31           5         2
8/28/05        32            29              33           5         1
6/26/05        34            28              32           5         1
6/5/05         30            31              34           4         *
4/24/05        35            28              32           5         *

904. Do you lean more towards the:

         Democratic Party    Republican Party    (VOL) Neither    No op.
1/12/08        38                   26                 32           4
12/9/07        39                   32                 24           4
11/1/07        42                   34                 22           2
9/30/07        38                   34                 27           1
9/7/07         40                   27                 28           5
7/21/07        42                   34                 22           1
6/1/07         45                   27                 26           2
4/15/07        39                   30                 29           2
2/25/07        42                   33                 24           1
1/19/07        50                   27                 20           3
12/11/06       44                   32                 23           1


NET LEANED PARTY:

            Democrat     Republican     Independent     Other     No op.
1/12/08        52            36               9           3         *
12/9/07        53            36               8           3         *
11/1/07        50            41               6           2         1
9/30/07        50            38               9           2         *
9/7/07         49            36              11           3         1
7/21/07        53            38               7           3         0
6/1/07         52            36              10           2         1
4/15/07        51            37              10           2         *
2/25/07        52            39               8           1         *
1/19/07        56            34               7           2         *
12/11/06       52            38               7           3         *

905. Are you registered to vote at your present address, or not?

             Yes     No     No opinion
1/12/08      82      17          1
12/9/07      82      18          1
11/1/07      81      19          1
9/30/07      81      18          1
9/7/07       80      19          1
7/21/07      84      16          *
6/1/07       82      18          *
4/15/07      85      15          *
2/25/07      84      16          *
1/19/07      80      20          *
12/11/06     84      16          *
11/4/06      80      19          *
10/22/06     78      22          3
10/8/06      85      15          *
9/7/06       81      19          *
8/6/06       85      15          0
6/25/06      83      17          1
5/15/06      83      17          *
5/11/06      84      16          *
4/9/06       83      17          0
1/26/06      81      19          *
12/18/05     86      14          *
11/2/05      86      14          *


908a. Would you say your views on most political matters are liberal, moderate, or conservative?

                                                     Don't think in      No
            Liberal    Moderate    Conservative    those terms (vol.)    op.
1/12/08        24         36            36                  2             1
12/9/07        24         38            36                  1             1
11/1/07        24         41            32                  1             1
9/30/07        24         45            30                  1             1
9/7/07         20         39            39                  1             2
7/21/07        25         39            32                  3             1
6/1/07         24         36            37                  2             1
4/15/07        24         42            32                  1             1
2/25/07        23         40            35                  1             1
1/19/07        23         41            33                  1             1
12/11/06       23         42            33                  2             1
11/4/06        19         42            36                  2             1
10/22/06       22         42            32                  2             2
10/8/06        21         43            33                  1             1
9/7/06         24         39            33                  2             2
8/6/06         18         42            38                  1             1
6/25/06        21         41            35                  1             1
5/15/06        19         48            31                  1             1
5/11/06        18         49            33                  *             *
4/9/06         21         41            35                  2             1
3/5/06         22         42            33                  2             1
1/26/06        21         40            37                  1             1
1/8/06         20         40            37                  2             1
12/18/05       22         42            34                  1             1
11/2/05        23         44            32                  1             *
9/11/05        22         44            31                  2             2
8/28/05        20         44            34                  2             1
6/26/05        21         44            33                  1             1
6/5/05         23         40            35                  1             *
4/24/05        20         47            30                  1             1


Q909. What was the last grade of school you completed?

High school or less         7
Graduated high school      40
Some college               24
Graduated College          18
Post-graduate              10

Q910. What is your age?

18-29                      22
30-39                      18
40-49                      20
50-64                      24
65+                        16

911. What, if anything, is your religion?

                                      Christian       Other Non-         No
           Protestant   Catholic   (Non-Protestant)   Christian   None   op. 
1/12/08        44          21              14              4       15     *
12/9/07        43          21              13              4       16     1
11/1/07        46          21              15              6       13     1
9/30/07        44          21              14              6       15     *
9/7/07         46          21              14              4       13     *
7/21/07        46          20              14              5       12     *
6/1/07         44          22              14              4       15     1
4/15/07        42          21              17              5       13     1
2/25/07        44          21              14              6       14     *
1/19/07        44          23              10              5       14     1
12/11/06       42          21              12              2       16     1
11/4/06        48          23              12              2       12     1
10/22/06       44          21              14              3       15     1
10/8/06        44          19              13              5       15     *
9/7/06         46          19              12              6       14     1
8/6/06         45          23              12              3       16     1
6/25/06        45          23              12              4       14     *
5/15/06        46          22              14              4       12     *
5/11/06        46          24              10              4       13     1
4/9/06         42          24              14              5       14     *
3/5/06         44          21              14              4       14     *
1/26/06        46          24              11              4       14     1
1/8/06         45          20              12              4       15     1
12/18/05       44          21              13              3       15     1
11/2/05        46          21              11              6       15     *
9/11/05        44          23              12              3       15     *
8/28/05        44          23              14              3       13     1
6/26/05        46          22              10              4       16     *
6/5/05         47          23              11              4       14     *
4/24/05        47          21              12              4       14     1

911b. (IF CHRISTIAN) Would you consider yourself a born-again or evangelical Christian, or not?

            Yes     No     No opin.
1/12/08     40      57         3
12/9/07     44      54         2
11/1/07     41      56         3
9/30/07     42      55         3
9/7/07      44      54         3
7/21/07     45      54         1
6/1/07      42      56         3
4/15/07     40      58         2
2/25/07     42      55         3
1/19/07     43      55         2
12/11/06    44      53         3
11/4/06     43      55         2
10/22/06    43      53         4
10/8/06     44      55         1
9/7/06      45      53         2
8/6/06      46      51         3
6/25/06     42      55         3
5/15/06     42      56         1
5/11/06     38      60         2
4/9/06      40      59         1
3/5/06      46      53         1
1/26/06     44      54         2
1/8/06      45      51         3
12/18/05    43      54         2
11/2/05     41      57         2
9/11/05     40      58         2
8/28/05     43      54         3
6/26/05     42      55         3
6/5/05      44      54         2
4/24/05     42      56         2

914. Are you:

                                                      Never
             Married  Separated  Divorced   Widowed  Married
1/12/08        55         3         12         7       23
12/9/07        57         2         10         8       23
11/1/07        58         4         11         7       21
9/30/07        53         2         12         7       26
7/21/07        57         3         10         6       23
6/1/07         56         2         10         7       25
4/15/07        58         2         11         8       22
2/25/07        58         2         10         9       21
1/19/07        58         4         10         7       20

INCOME. Which of the following CATEGORIES best describes your total annual household income before taxes, from all sources?

            -------Less than $50k-------   --------More than $50k--------
            NET   <20k   20-35k   35-50k   NET   50-75k   75-100k   100k+
1/12/08     46     12      18       16     51      19        13       19
12/9/07     49     14      17       18     48      15        15       18
11/1/07     48     14      16       17     49      16        13       21
9/30/07     53     17      16       20     44      18        12       14
9/7/07      43     10      17       16     54      19        15       20
7/21/07     46     16      14       16     51      18        13       19
6/1/07      49     15      18       16     49      18        13       18
4/15/07     46     15      16       15     51      20        13       18
2/25/07     46     10      16       20     51      20        14       17
1/19/07     49     16      17       15     49      16        13       20
12/11/06    46     11      16       19     51      18        16       17
10/22/06    52     16      20       17     45      16        11       17
10/8/06     46     13      16       17     51      22        13       16
9/7/06      51     16      18       17     47      17        15       15
8/6/06      49     14      16       18     48      20        12       16
6/25/06     50     16      16       19     47      19        11       17
5/15/06     52     14      18       21     46      16        13       17
5/11/06     46      9      18       18     53      18        15       20
4/9/06      53     16      20       17     47      19        12       16
3/5/06      50     16      18       16     48      20        12       16
1/26/06     52     20      15       17     46      18        12       16
12/18/05    54     17      19       18     44      18        12       15
11/2/05     52     14      18       20     46      19        13       14
9/11/05     55     18      20       17     42      18        11       14
8/28/05     52     18      15       19     46      18        11       16
6/26/05     49     14      17       18     49      19        14       16
6/5/05      55     15      20       20     43      17        13       14
4/24/05     55     15      21       19     45      18        12       15

Q921. Sex

Male               48
Female             52

***END***

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