Washington Post-ABC News Poll
Monday, January 14, 2008
This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone January 9-12, 2008, among a random national sample of 1,130 adults, including additional interviews with randomly-selected African Americans, for a total of 202 black respondents. The results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points. Error margins are larger for subgroups. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.
*= less than 0.5 percent
1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?
-------- Approve -------- ------- Disapprove ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
1/12/08 32 16 16 66 15 51 2
12/9/07 33 17 16 64 14 50 3
11/1/07 33 17 16 64 13 50 3
9/30/07 33 15 18 64 14 49 3
9/7/07 33 16 17 64 15 49 3
7/21/07 33 16 17 65 13 52 2
6/1/07 35 17 18 62 16 46 3
4/15/07 35 17 18 62 14 49 2
2/25/07 36 19 17 62 12 49 2
1/19/07 33 17 16 65 14 51 2
12/11/06 36 18 18 62 13 49 2
11/4/06 40 24 16 57 12 46 2
10/22/06 37 21 16 60 15 45 3
10/8/06 39 23 16 60 12 48 1
9/7/06 42 24 18 55 12 43 3
8/6/06 40 23 17 58 12 46 2
6/25/06 38 20 18 60 12 48 2
5/15/06 33 17 16 65 18 47 2
4/9/06 38 20 18 60 13 47 1
3/5/06 41 24 17 58 14 44 1
1/26/06 42 25 18 56 14 42 2
1/8/06 46 29 17 52 13 39 2
12/18/05 47 29 17 52 12 40 1
11/2/05 39 20 18 60 13 47 1
10/29/05 39 22 17 58 13 45 3
9/11/05 42 27 15 57 12 45 1
8/28/05 45 27 18 53 12 41 2
6/26/05 48 27 21 51 11 40 1
6/5/05 48 27 21 52 14 38 1
4/24/05 47 25 22 50 13 38 3
3/13/05 50 31 19 48 11 37 3
1/31/05 50 34 15 45 11 34 5
1/16/05 52 33 19 46 11 35 2
12/19/04 48 27 21 49 12 38 2
10/20/04 50 30 20 46 11 35 4
10/17/04 LV 54 35 19 45 9 36 2
10/16/04 LV 54 35 19 44 10 34 2
10/15/04 LV 54 35 19 44 10 34 2
10/3/04 LV 53 36 17 46 11 34 1
9/26/04 50 33 18 45 13 32 5
9/8/04 52 35 17 43 11 32 5
8/29/04 50 31 19 47 13 34 3
8/1/04 47 28 18 49 13 36 5
7/25/04 50 32 19 47 13 34 3
7/11/04 48 31 17 50 11 39 2
6/20/04 47 30 17 51 13 39 1
5/23/04 47 31 17 50 14 36 3
4/18/04 51 33 18 47 13 34 1
3/7/04 50 32 18 48 12 36 2
2/11/04 50 30 21 47 14 34 2
1/18/04 58 35 24 40 9 30 2
12/21/03 59 39 21 38 15 23 3
12/14/03 57 37 20 39 10 29 5
12/7/03 53 32 21 40 13 27 7
11/16/03 57 34 23 39 11 28 4
10/29/03 56 30 26 42 13 29 2
10/13/03 53 33 20 43 13 29 4
9/30/03 54 34 20 44 15 29 2
9/13/03 58 35 23 40 14 27 2
9/7/03 56 34 22 41 13 28 4
8/11/03 59 37 22 37 14 23 4
7/10/03 59 35 24 38 13 25 3
6/22/03 68 45 23 29 11 18 4
4/30/03 71 50 22 26 17 9 3
4/16/03 74 52 22 23 9 14 3
4/9/03 77 58 19 20 6 14 4
4/3/03 71 54 16 25 7 19 4
3/23/03 68 NA NA 27 NA NA 4
3/20/03 67 NA NA 28 NA NA 5
3/2/03 62 38 23 35 13 22 4
2/23/03 60 NA NA 34 NA NA 6
2/9/03 64 42 21 34 14 20 3
2/1/03 62 41 21 34 13 22 4
1/28/03 62 43 19 36 13 23 2
1/27/03 59 39 21 37 15 22 4
1/20/03 59 36 23 38 16 22 2
12/15/02 66 37 28 32 12 20 2
11/4/02 LV 67 45 23 31 12 20 1
11/3/02 LV 67 45 22 32 12 20 1
11/2/02 LV 67 47 20 32 9 23 1
10/27/02 67 39 28 29 13 16 4
9/26/02 67 42 25 30 12 18 3
9/8/02 71 42 28 27 12 15 3
7/28/02 69 39 31 28 14 14 3
7/15/02 72 42 31 25 12 13 2
6/17/02 74 42 32 22 9 13 4
6/9/02 77 41 36 20 9 11 3
5/19/02 76 48 28 22 8 13 3
4/21/02 78 47 31 20 9 10 2
3/28/02 79 49 30 18 8 10 3
3/10/02 82 52 30 16 9 7 2
1/27/02 83 56 27 14 7 7 3
12/19/01 86 64 22 12 6 6 2
11/27/01 89 69 21 9 4 5 1
11/6/01 89 65 24 9 5 4 2
10/9/01 92 76 16 6 3 3 1
9/27/01 90 70 20 6 3 3 4
9/13/01 86 63 23 12 5 6 2
9/9/01 55 26 29 41 20 22 3
8/12/01 61 28 33 31 14 17 8
7/30/01 59 28 30 38 17 22 3
6/3/01 55 27 28 40 18 22 6
4/22/01 63 33 30 32 16 16 5
3/25/01 58 NA NA 33 NA NA 8
2/25/01 55 NA NA 23 NA NA 22
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bush is handling (ITEM)?
1/12/08 - Summary Table
Approve Disapprove No opinion
a. The situation in Iraq 30 69 1
b. The economy 28 69 3
Trend:
a. The situation in Iraq
-------- Approve -------- ------- Disapprove ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
1/12/08 30 17 13 69 14 54 1
12/9/07 33 19 14 65 13 52 2
9/30/07 30 17 14 68 12 57 1
9/7/07 34 16 18 65 12 53 1
7/21/07 31 17 14 68 11 58 1
6/1/07 31 17 14 67 11 56 1
4/15/07 29 17 13 70 11 59 *
2/25/07 31 17 14 67 13 55 1
1/19/07 29 16 13 70 13 57 1
1/10/07 34 21 13 64 14 50 2
12/11/06 28 12 16 70 13 57 2
10/8/06 35 21 14 64 10 54 1
9/7/06 41 25 16 57 10 47 2
8/6/06 36 21 15 62 10 52 2
6/25/06 37 21 17 62 11 52 *
5/15/06 32 19 13 66 13 53 1
4/9/06 37 21 16 62 11 51 1
3/5/06 40 23 17 59 12 47 *
1/26/06 39 24 15 60 10 50 1
12/18/05 46 31 15 53 10 43 1
11/2/05 36 20 15 64 13 51 1
9/11/05 38 NA NA 62 NA NA 1
8/28/05 42 28 14 57 11 46 1
6/26/05 43 25 18 56 12 44 1
6/5/05 41 NA NA 58 NA NA 1
4/24/05 42 56 2
3/13/05 39 57 4
1/16/05 40 58 2
12/19/04 42 57 1
9/26/04 RV 47 50 3
8/29/04 RV 47 51 2
7/25/04 45 53 2
6/20/04 44 55 2
5/23/04 40 58 2
4/18/04 45 54 1
3/7/04 46 53 1
2/11/04 47 52 1
1/18/04 55 42 2
12/21/03 60 39 2
12/14/03 58 38 4
11/16/03 48 48 4
10/29/03 47 51 2
10/13/03 51 47 2
9/29/03 50 47 3
9/13/03 52 46 2
9/7/03 49 47 4
8/24/03 56 37 7
8/11/03 56 41 3
7/10/03 58 41 2
6/22/03 67 30 2
4/30/03 75 " " 22 " " 2
3/27/03* 69 26 5
3/23/03 71 26 3
3/20/03 65 29 5
3/17/03 64 29 7
3/9/03 55 38 8
2/23/03 55 39 6
2/9/03 61 37 2
2/5/03 61 32 7
2/1/03 61 35 3
1/28/03 58 38 4
1/27/03 57 40 3
1/20/03 50 46 4
12/15/02 58 37 5
11/4/02 LV 56 40 4
11/3/02 LV 57 40 4
11/2/02 LV 56 41 3
10/27/02 57 38 5
9/26/02 58 39 3
9/14/02 65 31 4
8/29/02 52 " " 36 " " 12
*3/27/03 and previous: "The situation with Iraq and Saddam Hussein"
b. The economy
Approve Disapprove No opinion
1/12/08 28 69 3
12/9/07 34 63 3
9/30/07 37 61 3
6/1/07 40 57 3
4/15/07 40 59 1
2/25/07 43 55 2
1/19/07 41 57 2
12/11/06 43 55 2
10/8/06 41 56 2
8/6/06 39 59 2
6/25/06 38 61 1
5/15/06 38 60 2
4/9/06* 40 59 1
3/5/06 48 51 1
1/26/06 46 52 1
12/18/05 47 52 1
11/2/05 36 61 3
9/11/05 40 58 2
8/28/05 44 54 3
6/5/05 40 58 2
4/24/05 40 57 3
3/13/05 43 55 2
1/16/05 46 52 2
12/19/04 46 51 3
9/26/04 RV 47 50 4
8/29/04 RV 45 52 3
7/25/04 47 50 3
6/20/04 46 53 1
5/23/04 44 54 2
4/18/04 44 54 2
3/7/04 39 59 1
2/11/04 44 54 2
1/18/04 51 47 2
12/21/03 51 44 5
11/16/03 48 49 3
10/29/03 45 53 2
10/13/03 45 52 2
9/13/03 42 56 3
9/7/03 44 51 5
8/11/03 45 51 5
7/10/03 47 49 4
4/30/03 52 45 3
2/9/03 47 49 4
2/1/03 44 52 4
1/28/03 46 49 4
1/27/03 47 47 5
1/20/03 43 53 4
1/5/03 50 43 7
12/15/02 50 46 4
11/4/02 LV 53 45 2
11/3/02 LV 52 46 2
11/2/02 LV 55 43 2
10/27/02 51 43 6
9/26/02 51 47 3
9/8/02 57 40 4
7/28/02 57 39 4
7/15/02 58 38 3
4/21/02 64 33 3
1/27/02 62 34 4
12/19/01 67 27 6
11/6/01 72 23 5
9/9/01 48 48 4
7/30/01 52 45 3
6/3/01 53 41 6
4/22/01 55 38 7
3/25/01 50 42 8
* Strongly/somewhat follow asked 4/9/06
3. Do you think things in this country (are generally going in the right direction) or do you feel things (have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track)?
Right Wrong No
direction track opinion
1/12/08 21 77 2
11/1/07 24 74 2
6/1/07 25 73 2
1/19/07 26 71 3
11/4/06 RV 39 59 2
10/22/06 RV 32 66 2
All 30 68 2
10/8/06 32 66 2
5/15/06 29 69 2
11/2/05 30 68 2
10/24/04 LV 41 55 4
4/18/04 42 57 1
4/30/03 52 46 2
9/26/02 43 53 4
2/21/02 54 42 4
2/14/99 55 41 4
11/1/98 55 43 2
11/1/98 LV 55 44 1
8/21/98 57 40 4
7/12/98 50 45 6
4/4/98 55 41 4
1/31/98 61 34 5
1/30/98 61 34 5
1/19/98 44 50 6
8/27/97 39 57 4
6/8/97 37 60 3
3/9/97 34 62 4
10/17/96 RV 40 55 5
10/16/96 RV 42 53 5
10/15/96 RV 43 52 5
10/14/96 RV 44 51 5
10/13/96 RV 44 51 5
9/04/96 RV 40 54 6
8/21/96 28 67 5
6/30/96 26 70 5
3/17/96 27 70 3
1/21/96 27 66 6
1/3/96 21 77 3
4/5/95 23 73 3
1/4/95 27 68 6
10/31/94 27 69 4
7/20/94 26 70 4
3/27/94 28 69 3
1/23/94 31 60 10
11/14/93 25 69 6
8/8/93 26 71 3
6/20/93 26 71 3
4/26/93 27 71 2
3/11/93 36 57 7
2/28/93 37 59 4
1/17/93 31 63 6
12/14/92 35 60 5
10/27/92 RV 22 76 2
10/4/92 RV 18 78 4
6/7/92 14 83 3
4/9/92 16 81 3
3/11/92 18 79 4
1/15/92 19 78 3
11/10/91 24 72 4
10/29/91 26 71 3
8/27/91 31 60 9
7/28/91 30 67 3
6/2/91 39 57 4
4/9/91 42 51 7
2/26/91 58 39 3
1/27/91 49 48 4
10/14/90 19 79 2
9/9/90 36 60 4
8/20/90 35 60 5
7/24/90 37 60 2
5/21/90 39 60 2
3/26/90 44 53 2
2/4/90 49 48 3
1/16/90 48 49 3
5/23/89 42 55 3
3/16/89 46 52 2
1/16/89 LV 51 46 3
10/25/88 RV 49 46 6
9/27/88 48 44 8
7/11/88 40 56 4
5/25/88 35 59 6
3/21/88 40 56 4
1/23/88 39 59 2
12/13/87 49 47 4
12/2/87 35 61 4
9/23/87 43 54 4
6/29/87 35 62 3
4/13/87 37 60 3
3/9/87 38 58 4
1/18/87 39 56 5
9/8/86 50 48 2
1/26/86 45 47 8
7/29/85 52 43 6
1/16/85 59 36 4
5/22/84 47 48 5
12/13/83 43 51 6
11/7/83 51 44 5
4/12/83 41 54 4
3/2/83 43 53 3
1/25/83 58 39 3
1/25/83 43 52 4
10/11/82 35 57 8
1/30/82 39 56 5
2/80* 20 70 10
2/78 34 53 13
2/77 41 44 14
10/75 19 71 9
10/74 15 75 11
10/73 16 74 10
*2/80 and previous: Roper
4. Thinking ahead to the November 2008 presidential election, what is the single most important issue in your choice for president?
1/12/08 12/9/07 11/1/07 9/7/07
Economy/Jobs 29 24 14 11
Iraq/War in Iraq 20 23 29 35
Health care 10 10 13 13
Ethics/Honesty/
Corruption in
government 5 4 4 6
Immigration/Illegal
immigration 4 5 5 5
Terrorism/National
security 4 9 5 6
Education 2 1 2 1
Morals/Family
values 2 3 3 2
Foreign policy 2 1 2 1
Environment 1 1 2 1
Abortion 1 1 1 1
Social Security 1 1 2 1
Taxes 1 1 1 1
Federal budget
deficit * * 1 1
Housing/Mortgages * * * *
Global warming * * * *
Iran/Situation
in Iran * 0 * 0
Guns/Gun control * *
None/Nothing * 1 * *
Other 10 7 9 7
No opinion 7 7 8 9
5. All in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, do you think the war with Iraq was worth fighting, or not? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
----- Worth fighting ---- --- Not worth fighting -- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
1/12/08 35 21 13 64 13 51 2
12/9/07 37 25 12 61 11 50 2
11/1/07 35 23 12 63 12 51 2
9/30/07 38 25 14 59 12 47 3
9/7/07 36 23 13 62 11 51 2
7/21/07 36 25 12 63 10 53 1
6/1/07 37 24 12 61 12 50 2
4/15/07 33 22 11 66 12 54 1
2/25/07 34 22 12 64 13 51 2
1/10/07 40 28 12 58 11 47 2
12/11/06 36 25 11 61 12 50 2
11/4/06 RV 44 33 12 53 10 44 2
10/22/06 40 28 12 57 11 47 2
10/8/06 35 25 10 63 13 50 2
9/7/06 42 29 13 56 11 45 2
8/6/06 39 29 10 59 12 47 1
6/25/06 40 25 15 58 13 45 2
5/15/06 37 24 14 62 12 50 1
4/9/06 41 30 11 58 10 48 1
3/5/06 42 29 14 57 11 46 1
1/26/06 44 32 12 55 13 42 1
1/8/06 43 30 13 55 12 43 2
12/18/05 46 33 14 52 11 42 1
11/2/05 39 25 13 60 12 48 1
8/28/05 46 33 12 53 9 44 1
6/26/05 46 33 13 53 10 43 1
6/5/05 41 29 12 58 12 46 1
4/24/05 44 31 13 54 12 42 2
3/13/05 45 34 11 53 11 42 2
1/16/05 44 32 12 55 10 45 1
12/19/04 42 31 11 56 10 47 2
10/3/04 LV 49 34 15 48 11 37 3
9/26/04 RV 46 35 12 51 8 42 3
9/8/04 RV 51 38 13 45 10 34 4
8/29/04 RV 48 34 14 50 11 39 2
7/25/04 49 36 13 48 11 37 3
6/20/04 47 32 14 52 13 39 2
5/23/04 48 35 13 50 13 37 1
5/6/04 49 NA NA 47 NA NA 5
4/18/04 51 47 2
3/7/04 52 44 3
2/11/04 48 50 2
1/18/04 56 41 3
12/21/03 59 39 2
12/14/03 53 42 5
11/16/03 52 44 4
10/29/03 54 44 2
10/13/03 54 44 2
9/13/03 61 37 2
9/7/03 54 42 4
8/24/03 57 37 5
8/11/03 61 35 4
7/10/03 57 40 3
6/22/03 64 33 3
4/30/03 70 27 4
2/2/92* 66 32 2
7/28/91 67 30 3
6/2/91 70 26 3
3/4/91 86 13 1
*2/2/92 and previous: "the Persian Gulf war"; 3/4/91: "this war"
6. Do you think the United States is or is not making significant progress toward restoring civil order in Iraq?
Is making Is not making No
significant progress significant progress opinion
1/12/08 42 54 4
12/9/07 41 55 4
11/1/07 39 59 2
9/7/07 36 60 4
6/1/07 32 64 4
12/11/06 31 66 3
6/25/06 48 49 2
3/5/06 43 56 2
12/18/05 60 37 2
11/2/05 44 55 2
8/28/05 48 50 2
6/26/05 48 51 1
12/19/04 44 49 7
6/20/04 51 48 1
7. How closely are you following the 2008 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?
---- Closely ----- ---- Not closely ----- No
NET Very Smwt. NET Not too At all opinion
1/12/08 79 32 47 21 15 6 *
12/9/07 72 21 51 28 19 8 *
11/1/07 67 21 46 33 22 12 0
9/30/07 69 21 48 30 21 10 *
7/21/07 70 22 48 30 20 10 *
6/1/07 66 18 48 34 22 13 *
4/15/07 66 20 45 34 20 14 *
2/25/07 65 20 44 35 25 10 *
2004:
9/26/04 RV 87 48 39 12 8 4 1
9/8/04 RV 85 45 40 14 10 4 1
8/29/04 RV 81 43 38 20 13 7 *
8/1/04 RV 80 41 39 20 13 7 *
7/25/04 73 34 39 27 15 12 *
7/11/04 79 36 43 20 13 7 1
6/20/04 78 33 45 22 15 7 *
5/23/04 74 33 41 26 17 9 *
4/18/04 75 30 45 25 16 9 0
3/7/04 75 33 42 25 18 7 *
2/11/04 75 30 45 25 15 10 *
1/18/04 66 22 44 35 22 13 *
10/29/03 54 15 39 45 30 15 0
9/13/03 56 16 40 44 27 17 *
2000:
10/15/00 RV 77 33 44 23 15 8 *
10/9/00 RV 75 30 45 25 16 9 *
10/1/00 RV 75 27 48 25 17 8 *
9/6/00 RV 74 26 48 26 17 9 *
8/20/00 RV 74 28 46 26 16 10 1
8/10/00 RV 72 29 43 29 18 11 *
8/6/00 54 17 36 47 22 25 *
7/29/00 51 16 35 49 25 24 *
7/23/00 50 14 36 50 25 25 *
6/11/00 49 13 36 51 26 25 0
4/2/00 53 17 36 47 24 23 0
3/11/00 61 21 40 38 21 17 0
2/27/00 70 24 46 30 20 10 *
2/6/00 67 19 48 34 21 13 0
1/16/00 50 11 39 50 26 24 *
12/15/99 45 12 33 55 31 24 *
10/31/99 61 16 45 38 25 13 *
8. I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the 2008 presidential primary or caucus in your state. Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?
Less Will not No primary/ Already
than vote caucus voted No
Cert. Prob. 50-50 50-50 (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) op.
1/12/08 65 12 13 6 4 * * *
12/9/07 70 11 10 6 3 * NA *
11/1/07 69 12 10 6 3 * NA 1
08DEM1/1a/Q8d. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were: (Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, Barack Obama, or Dennis Kucinich), for whom would you vote?
NET LEANED VOTE - LIKELY VOTERS
1/12/08 12/9/07 11/1/07
Hillary Clinton 42 53 51
Barack Obama 37 23 24
John Edwards 11 10 13
Dennis Kucinich 2 2 3
Other (vol.) * 0 1
None (vol.) 3 1 2
No opinion 3 3 2
NET LEANED VOTE - ALL LEANED DEMOCRATS (DEMOCRATS AND DEMOCRATIC-LEANING INDEPENDENTS)
------------------- 2007 -------------------
1/12/08 12/9 11/1 9/30 9/7 7/21 6/1 4/15 2/25
Hillary Clinton 41 52 49 53 41 45 42 41 43
Barack Obama 39 23 26 20 27 30 27 25 27
John Edwards 11 12 12 13 14 12 11 17 14
Dennis Kucinich 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 *
Other (vol.) * 0 * * 1 1 * 1 *
None (vol.) 2 2 1 4 4 2 4 3 4
Wouldn't vote (vol.) 0 1 1 1 0 2 1 1 1
No opinion 4 3 2 2 5 2 6 5 4
*Asked Bill Richardson, Joe Biden, and Chris Dodd 12/9 and previous, Mike Gravel 11/1 and previous, Al Gore 7/21 and previous, Wesley Clark 4/15 and previous, Tom Vilsack 2/25 and previous, John Kerry 1/19 and previous, Evan Bayh 12/11
9. (IF NAMED DEM CANDIDATE) Do you support (CANDIDATE) strongly, or somewhat?
1/12/08 - Summary Table
Strongly Somewhat No opinion
All candidates 61 39 0
Hillary Clinton 68 32 0
Barack Obama 56 44 0
*Sample sizes too low on other candidates to report.
Trend where available:
All Democratic candidates
Strongly Somewhat No opinion
1/12/08 61 39 0
12/9/07 43 56 *
11/1/07 51 49 *
9/30/07 55 45 0
7/21/07 63 36 1
6/1/07 49 50 *
4/15/07 51 49 0
2/25/07 56 43 *
Hillary Clinton
1/12/08 68 32 0
12/9/07 49 51 *
11/1/07 57 42 1
9/30/07 61 39 0
7/21/07 68 32 0
6/1/07 53 47 0
4/15/07 59 41 0
2/25/06 56 44 0
Barack Obama
1/12/08 56 44 0
12/9/07 41 59 0
11/1/07 50 50 0
9/30/07 52 48 0
7/21/07 56 43 1
6/1/07 43 56 1
4/15/07 51 49 0
2/25/06 60 38 1
08DEM2. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS, NAMED A CANDIDATE) Who would your second choice be?
NET LEANED VOTE
1/12/08 9/7/07 12/11/06
Hillary Clinton 34 28 22
John Edwards 29 22 11
Barack Obama 28 26 18
Dennis Kucinich 2 1 NA
Other (vol.) 1 1 1
None of these (vol.) 5 9 2
Would not vote (vol.) * * *
No opinion 1 3 3
*Asked Bill Richardson, Joe Biden, Chris Dodd and Mike Gravel 9/7 and previous, Al Gore 12/11
First choice/Second choice NET
1/12/08 9/7/07 12/11/06
Hillary Clinton 72 67 60
Barack Obama 65 50 33
John Edwards 37 35 22
Dennis Kucinich 4 3 NA
Other (vol.) 1 1 1
None of these (vol.) 7 12 4
Would not vote (vol.) 0 * 1
No opinion 5 7 7
*Asked Bill Richardson, Joe Biden, Chris Dodd and Mike Gravel 9/7 and previous, Al Gore 12/11
10. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you think (ITEM) - (Clinton) (Obama) or (Edwards)?
1/12/08 - Summary Table
All Any 2 None No
Clinton Obama Edwards (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) op.
a. is the strongest leader 47 33 12 1 2 1 4
b. is the most honest and
trustworthy 30 38 16 3 2 6 6
c. has the best chance of
getting elected
president in
November 2008 43 36 10 2 1 * 7
d. has the best experience
to be president 71 11 9 2 1 2 4
e. is the most inspiring 35 50 8 1 2 2 2
f. best understands the
problems of people
like you 40 34 15 1 2 4 4
g. would do the most to
bring needed change to
Washington 41 40 10 * 2 2 4
Trend where available:
a. is the strongest leader
All Any 2 None No
Clinton Obama Edwards (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) opinion
1/12/08 47 33 12 1 2 1 4
12/9/07 61 19 13 * 1 1 4
11/1/07 59 24 12 1 1 1 3
9/30/07 61 20 13 1 1 2 3
6/1/07 50 26 15 1 1 1 5
2/25/07 52 23 17 1 1 1 5
b. is the most honest and trustworthy
All Any 2 None No
Clinton Obama Edwards (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) opinion
1/12/08 30 38 16 3 2 6 6
12/9/07 35 27 20 3 2 7 6
11/1/07 34 29 18 5 2 7 5
9/30/07 35 26 22 2 1 8 5
6/1/07 28 34 22 3 2 6 6
2/25/07 29 34 21 3 2 7 5
c. has the best chance of getting elected president in November 2008
All Any 2 None No
Clinton Obama Edwards (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) opinion
1/12/08 43 36 10 2 1 * 7
12/9/07 59 16 16 1 2 1 5
11/1/07 62 15 14 1 2 1 5
9/30/07 57 16 20 * 1 1 3
6/1/07 43 21 26 1 2 1 6
2/25/07 48 17 25 * 2 1 6
d. has the best experience to be president
All Any 2 None No
Clinton Obama Edwards (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) opinion
1/12/08 71 11 9 2 1 2 4
12/9/07 73 8 13 1 * 1 3
6/1/07 66 9 19 1 1 2 3
2/25/07 71 5 17 1 1 2 3
e. is the most inspiring
All Any 2 None No
Clinton Obama Edwards (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) opinion
1/12/08 35 50 8 1 2 2 2
12/9/07 39 40 14 1 2 2 3
9/30/07 41 37 14 1 2 4 2
6/1/07 37 41 15 1 1 3 2
2/25/07 36 44 14 1 1 2 3
f. best understands the problems of people like you
All Any 2 None No
Clinton Obama Edwards (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) opinion
1/12/08 40 34 15 1 2 4 4
12/9/07 48 25 16 1 1 3 4
6/1/07 38 33 18 2 1 4 5
2/25/07 39 31 20 1 1 3 4
g. No trend.
11. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust most to handle (ITEM) - (Clinton), (Obama) or (Edwards)?
1/12/08 - Summary Table
All Any 2 None No
Clinton Obama Edwards (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) op.
a. The war in Iraq 40 36 12 1 2 4 6
b. The U.S. campaign
against terrorism 43 34 11 2 1 3 7
c. The economy 46 33 13 1 1 2 4
d. Health care 54 27 11 1 1 2 5
e. International
affairs 56 25 9 1 * 2 6
Trend where available:
a. The war in Iraq
All Any 2 None No
Clinton Obama Edwards (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) opinion
1/12/08 40 36 12 1 2 4 6
12/9/07 51 26 14 2 1 2 4
9/30/07 52 22 17 1 * 4 5
b. The U.S. campaign against terrorism
All Any 2 None No
Clinton Obama Edwards (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) opinion
1/12/08 43 34 11 2 1 3 7
12/9/07 50 23 15 3 2 2 6
9/30/07 51 20 19 1 * 3 6
c. The economy
All Any 2 None No
Clinton Obama Edwards (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) opinion
1/12/08 46 33 13 1 1 2 4
12/9/07 58 18 16 2 1 1 4
9/30/07 56 17 17 1 1 3 4
d. Health care
All Any 2 None No
Clinton Obama Edwards (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) opinion
1/12/08 54 27 11 1 1 2 5
12/9/07 60 15 16 1 1 1 6
9/30/07 66 15 14 1 * 2 2
e. No trend.
12. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) Regardless of who you may support, do you think Barack Obama does or does not have the kind of experience it takes to serve effectively as president?
Does Does not No opinion
1/12/08 53 41 6
13. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) Regardless of who you may support, do you think Hillary Clinton would or would not do enough to bring needed change to Washington?
Would Would not No opinion
1/12/08 75 23 3
08REP1/1a/Q8r. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) If the 2008 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were: (Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, Ron Paul, or Fred Thompson), for whom would you vote?
NET LEANED VOTE - LIKELY VOTERS
1/12/08 12/9/07 11/1/07
John McCain 28 12 17
Mike Huckabee 20 19 9
Mitt Romney 19 17 13
Rudy Giuliani 15 25 34
Fred Thompson 8 14 16
Ron Paul 3 3 2
Duncan Hunter 2 2 2
Other (vol.) 1 * 0
None (vol.) 2 3 2
No opinion 2 4 3
NET LEANED VOTE - ALL LEANED REPUBLICANS (REPUBLICANS AND GOP-LEANING INDEPENDENTS)
------------------- 2007 -------------------
1/12/08 12/9 11/1 9/30 9/7 7/21 6/1 4/15 2/25
John McCain 28 15 19 12 18 16 20 22 23
Mike Huckabee 19 15 9 8 5 2 2 1 2
Rudy Giuliani 17 26 33 34 28 37 34 35 53
Mitt Romney 15 17 11 11 10 8 10 10 5
Fred Thompson 7 12 16 17 19 15 13 10 NA
Ron Paul 4 3 3 3 1 2 2 1 1
Duncan Hunter 1 2 2 2 1 2 1 1 *
Other (vol.) 1 * * * 1 * * 0 *
None (vol.) 2 4 4 4 2 5 3 4 2
Wouldn't vote (vol.) 1 * * 1 2 1 * * 1
No opinion 5 5 3 8 10 5 10 7 5
*Asked Tom Tancredo 12/9 and previous, Sam Brownback 9/30 and previous, Tommy Thompson 7/21 and previous, Jim Gilmore 6/1 and previous, Chuck Hagel and George Pataki, 4/15 and previous.
14. (IF NAMED REP CANDIDATE) Do you support (CANDIDATE) strongly, or somewhat?
All candidates
Strongly Somewhat No opinion
1/12/08 40 60 0
12/9/07 34 66 1
11/1/07 41 59 0
9/30/07 45 54 1
7/21/07 41 59 *
6/1/07 34 65 1
4/15/07 45 55 *
2/25/07 41 59 1
Strongly Somewhat No opinion
John McCain*
1/12/08 32 68 0
*Sample sizes too low on other candidates to report.
08REP2. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS, NAMED A CANDIDATE) Who would your second choice be?
NET LEANED VOTE
1/12/08 9/7/07 12/11/06
John McCain 24 18 24
Mike Huckabee 18 3 3
Rudy Giuliani 15 28 28
Mitt Romney 14 14 5
Fred Thompson 8 13 NA
Ron Paul 4 * NA
Duncan Hunter 2 2 1
Other (vol.) 1 2 1
None of these (vol.) 9 2 5
Would not vote (vol.) 0 * *
No opinion 4 7 8
*Asked Newt Gingrich, Sam Brownback, and Tom Tancredo 9/7 and previous, George Pataki, Tommy Thompson and Chuck Hagel 12/11.
First choice/Second choice NET
1/12/08 9/7/07 12/11/06
John McCain 50 33 47
Mike Huckabee 35 8 2
Rudy Giuliani 31 51 57
Mitt Romney 27 22 9
Fred Thompson 15 29 NA
Ron Paul 8 2 NA
Duncan Hunter 3 3 1
Other (vol.) 2 1 1
None of these (vol.) 10 4 11
Would not vote (vol.) 3 2 *
No opinion 9 16 15
*Asked Newt Gingrich, Sam Brownback, and Tom Tancredo 9/7 and previous, George Pataki, Tommy Thompson and Chuck Hagel 12/11.
15. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you think (ITEM)?
1/12/08 - Summary Table
Oth./None
Giuliani McCain Romney Huckabee Thompson No opin.
a. is the strongest
leader 25 37 11 11 5 10
b. is the most honest
and trustworthy 13 27 11 19 8 22
c. has the best
chance of getting
elected president
in November 2008 16 33 14 16 2 18
d. best reflects the
core values of the
Republican Party 12 27 15 18 11 17
e. best understands
the problems of
people like you 16 24 11 19 8 22
f. has the best
experience to be
president 20 40 12 10 4 13
g. would do the most
to bring needed
change to
Washington 18 22 12 18 8 23
Trend where available:
a. is the strongest leader
1/12/08 12/9/07
John McCain 37 19
Rudy Giuliani 25 38
Mitt Romney 11 11
Mike Huckabee 11 9
Fred Thompson 5 6
Ron Paul 2 1
Duncan Hunter 1 *
All of them (vol.) * *
None of them (vol.) 1 1
No opinion 6 14
b. is the most honest and trustworthy
1/12/08 12/9/07
John McCain 27 17
Mike Huckabee 19 17
Rudy Giuliani 13 16
Mitt Romney 11 14
Fred Thompson 8 9
Ron Paul 5 4
Duncan Hunter 1 1
All of them (vol.) 1 4
None of them (vol.) 7 5
No opinion 8 12
c. has the best chance of getting elected president in November 2008
1/12/08 12/9/07
John McCain 33 10
Rudy Giuliani 16 42
Mike Huckabee 16 7
Mitt Romney 14 15
Fred Thompson 2 5
Ron Paul 1 1
Duncan Hunter 0 *
All of them (vol.) * 0
None of them (vol.) 3 5
No opinion 13 16
d. best reflects the core values of the Republican Party
1/12/08 12/9/07
John McCain 27 18
Mike Huckabee 18 16
Mitt Romney 15 14
Rudy Giuliani 12 16
Fred Thompson 11 13
Ron Paul 4 2
Duncan Hunter 1 2
All of them (vol.) * 1
None of them (vol.) 1 2
No opinion 11 16
e. best understands the problems of people like you
1/12/08 12/9/07
John McCain 24 16
Mike Huckabee 19 16
Rudy Giuliani 16 21
Mitt Romney 11 10
Fred Thompson 8 9
Ron Paul 5 3
Duncan Hunter 2 2
All of them (vol.) * *
None of them (vol.) 5 7
No opinion 10 16
f. has the best experience to be president
1/12/08 12/9/07
John McCain 40 25
Rudy Giuliani 20 28
Mitt Romney 12 12
Mike Huckabee 10 5
Fred Thompson 4 8
Ron Paul 2 2
Duncan Hunter * *
All of them (vol.) * 1
None of them (vol.) 2 3
No opinion 8 15
g. No trend.
16. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust most to handle (ITEM)?
1/12/08 - Summary Table
Oth./None
Giuliani McCain Romney Huckabee Thompson No op.
a. The war in Iraq 19 42 6 11 7 14
b. The U.S. campaign
against terrorism 24 40 7 12 6 12
c. The economy 18 19 18 18 8 20
d. Immigration issues 17 27 11 15 9 22
e. Social issues, such
as abortion and gay
civil unions 14 20 15 22 8 21
f. Taxes 17 21 13 15 7 27
g. International
affairs 16 43 9 10 7 16
Trend where available:
a. The war in Iraq
1/12/08 12/9/07
John McCain 42 29
Rudy Giuliani 19 28
Mike Huckabee 11 9
Fred Thompson 7 8
Mitt Romney 6 9
Ron Paul 3 1
Duncan Hunter 1 1
All of them (vol.) 1 *
None of them (vol.) 3 2
No opinion 7 13
b. The U.S. campaign against terrorism
1/12/08 12/9/07
John McCain 40 26
Rudy Giuliani 24 36
Mike Huckabee 12 8
Mitt Romney 7 7
Fred Thompson 6 8
Ron Paul 3 2
Duncan Hunter 1 *
All of them (vol.) 1 1
None of them (vol.) 2 2
No opinion 6 10
c. The economy
1/12/08 12/9/07
John McCain 19 14
Rudy Giuliani 18 27
Mitt Romney 18 18
Mike Huckabee 18 10
Fred Thompson 8 10
Ron Paul 3 3
Duncan Hunter 1 1
All of them (vol.) * 1
None of them (vol.) 4 2
No opinion 12 14
d. Immigration issues
1/12/08 12/9/07
John McCain 27 18
Rudy Giuliani 17 22
Mike Huckabee 15 11
Mitt Romney 11 9
Fred Thompson 9 10
Ron Paul 4 2
Duncan Hunter 2 1
All of them (vol.) * *
None of them (vol.) 4 3
No opinion 12 20
e. Social issues, such as abortion and gay civil unions
1/12/08 12/9/07
Mike Huckabee 22 17
John McCain 20 11
Mitt Romney 15 16
Rudy Giuliani 14 15
Fred Thompson 8 11
Ron Paul 3 3
Duncan Hunter 1 2
All of them (vol.) 1 1
None of them (vol.) 4 4
No opinion 12 20
f. No trend.
g. No trend.
17. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of (NAME)? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
1/12/08 - Summary Table
------- Favorable ------- ------ Unfavorable ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly op.
a. Hillary Clinton 58 32 26 40 11 29 2
b. John McCain 59 24 35 30 17 13 11
c. Barack Obama 63 31 32 30 14 16 7
d. Rudy Giuliani 46 16 29 46 19 27 8
e. John Edwards 57 18 39 34 16 18 9
f. Mitt Romney 34 7 27 46 22 24 20
g. Mike Huckabee 42 14 28 38 20 18 20
h. Fred Thompson 30 9 20 45 24 21 26
Trend where available:
a. Hillary Clinton
------- Favorable ------- ------ Unfavorable ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
1/12/08 58 32 26 40 11 29 2
11/1/07 50 28 22 46 11 35 4
2/25/07 49 25 24 48 13 35 3
1/19/07 54 31 23 44 14 30 3
12/11/06 56 27 29 40 11 29 4
5/15/06 54 29 25 42 11 31 4
3/5/06 52 27 25 46 12 33 2
6/5/05 51 NA NA 46 NA NA 3
6/1/03 44 15 29 48 16 32 8
9/2/99 49 NA NA 44 NA NA 7
6/6/99 59 35 6
3/14/99 60 36 4
2/14/99 63 31 6
11/1/98 64 31 5
8/21/98 64 28 8
8/19/98 64 32 4
4/4/98 58 33 10
1/30/98 60 30 10
1/19/98 52 39 9
3/9/97 47 44 9
9/4/96 RV 47 42 12
6/30/96 44 47 9
1/21/96 28 36 36
1/19/96 32 34 34
10/31/94 47 44 8
5/15/94 54 41 5
3/27/94 53 39 8
1/23/94 55 34 11
11/14/93 58 33 9
8/8/93 59 33 8
4/26/93 54 26 20
2/23/93 59 24 18
1/17/93 51 20 29
7/8/92 30 26 43
3/28/92 28 22 51
b. John McCain
------- Favorable ------- ------ Unfavorable ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
1/12/08 59 24 35 30 17 13 11
11/1/07 43 10 34 42 23 19 14
2/25/07 52 13 39 35 22 13 13
1/19/07 49 NA NA 35 NA NA 16
12/11/06 50 17 33 31 20 11 19
5/15/06 55 20 35 31 20 11 14
3/5/06 59 22 38 29 18 11 12
6/5/05 57 NA NA 32 NA NA 11
7/30/01 57 30 12
2/27/00 60 21 19
10/31/99 36 22 41
9/2/99 22 10 68
3/14/99 20 10 69
c. Barack Obama
------- Favorable ------- ------ Unfavorable ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
1/12/08 63 31 32 30 14 16 7
11/1/07 51 21 30 36 16 20 13
2/25/07 53 21 33 30 16 14 16
1/19/07 45 NA NA 29 NA NA 25
12/11/06 44 21 22 23 17 6 33
d. Rudy Giuliani
------- Favorable ------- ------ Unfavorable ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
1/12/08 46 16 29 46 19 27 8
11/1/07 50 18 32 40 18 23 9
2/25/07 64 22 41 28 15 13 8
1/19/07 61 NA NA 29 NA NA 10
12/11/06 67 29 38 23 14 9 11
e. John Edwards
------- Favorable ------- ------ Unfavorable ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
1/12/08 57 18 39 34 16 18 9
11/1/07 49 14 35 35 18 18 16
2/25/07 46 13 33 39 22 17 14
12/11/06 49 13 36 26 16 10 25
10/3/04* LV 45 NA NA 30 NA NA 25
9/8/04 RV 39 NA NA 26 NA NA 35
8/1/04 RV 49 NA NA 18 NA NA 33
7/25/04 RV 50 NA NA 24 NA NA 26
*10/3/04 and previous: "Regardless of how you might vote, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of John Edwards or perhaps you don't know enough to say."
f. Mitt Romney
------- Favorable ------- ------ Unfavorable ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
1/12/08 34 7 27 46 22 24 20
11/1/07 28 6 21 41 24 17 31
2/25/07 26 5 21 34 22 12 40
12/11/06 22 5 17 24 20 4 54
g. Mike Huckabee
------- Favorable ------- ------ Unfavorable ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
1/12/08 42 14 28 38 20 18 20
11/1/07 21 6 15 30 20 11 49
h. Fred Thompson
------- Favorable ------- ------ Unfavorable ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
1/12/08 30 9 20 45 24 21 26
11/1/07 33 8 25 37 23 14 31
18. Which of these is more important to you in a candidate for president: (strength and experience) or (a new direction and new ideas)?
Strength and New direction Both Neither No
experience and new ideas (vol.) (vol.) opinion
1/12/08 47 43 9 * 1
12/9/07 54 38 6 * 1
11/1/07 49 41 8 1 1
9/30/07 52 40 7 1 1
7/21/07 50 41 6 * 2
19. (IF NEW DIRECTION, Q18) When you think about "change" as a theme in the presidential election - what one thing does that mainly mean to you personally?
1/12/08
Improving the economy 24
Ending the Iraq war 13
Changing the way
Washington operates 7
Health care 5
Reducing corruption
in government 4
Restoring Christian
values/moral values 2
Replacing Bush 2
Limiting power of big
corporations 1
Reducing partisanship 1
Electing a woman
president *
Electing an
African-American
president *
Electing a Democrat *
Other 33
None/Nothing 1
No opinion 8
20. Thinking ahead to November 2008, which of these two statements comes closest to your own views: (After eight years of George W. Bush, we need to elect a president who can set the nation in a new direction) OR (We need to keep the country moving in the direction Bush has been taking us)?
-- New direction -- -- Same direction-- Between Neither No
NET Strngly Smwht NET Smwht Strngly (vol.) (vol.) opin.
1/12/08 79 66 12 17 5 11 3 * 1
11/1/07 75 60 14 23 10 13 2 1 1
Compare to:
Which of these two statements comes closest to your own views: A) After four years of George W. Bush, we need to elect a president who can set the nation in a new direction. B) We need to keep the country moving in the direction Bush has been taking us.
New Same Somewhere in Neither No
direction direction between (vol.) (vol.) opinion
3/7/04 57 41 1 1 1
Bill Clinton:
8/6/00 48 44 2 4 2
7/23/00 46 49 2 1 2
2/27/00 48 49 1 * 1
1/26/00 44 53 1 2 1
10/31/99 47 48 3 1 1
9/2/99 47 49 2 1 2
3/14/98 39 56 3 1 1
George H.W. Bush:
8/9/92 74 23 * * 2
6/7/92 75 21 1 1 1
3/11/92 66 30 1 2 1
12/15/91 63 31 2 2 2
10/21/91 51 44 2 1 1
Ronald Reagan:
9/19/88 RV 51 46 1 1 1
8/14/88 58 38 2 1 1
5/25/88 57 39 2 1 2
9/23/87 55 41 2 1 1
4/13/87 56 41 1 1 1
21. If nominated and elected, [ITEM]. Does that make you (more) or (less) enthusiastic about [his/her] candidacy, or wouldn't it make a difference?
Summary Table - 1/12/08
More Less Wouldn't make No
enthusiastic enthusiastic a difference op.
a. Barack Obama would be the
first African-American
president 19 8 72 *
b. Hillary Clinton would be
the first female president 24 15 60 1
c. John McCain would be the
first person to become
president at age 72 3 31 64 1
d. Mitt Romney would be the
first Mormon president 4 27 69 1
e. Mike Huckabee would be the
first Baptist minister to
be president 10 19 69 1
22. If Barack Obama is the Democratic nominee, do you think his being African-American will mostly (help) his candidacy, (hurt) his candidacy, or wouldn't it make a difference?
Help Hurt No difference No opinion
1/12/08 23 24 50 3
22a. (IF HURT OBAMA, Q22) Why is that - what's the main reason you say so?
1/12/08
Racism/Some voters
are racist 64
Country not ready 26
Other 8
No opinion 2
23. . Which of these is the single most important economic issue facing you and your family? If it's a different economic issue than the ones on the list, just tell me that. Is it:
1/12/08
Health care costs 24
Inflation or rising
prices overall 23
The price of gasoline 16
High taxes 12
Problems getting a
good-paying job
or a raise in pay 8
Difficulty saving
for retirement 6
Personal debt, like
credit-card or
mortgage debt 5
Something else 2
All of them 4
None *
No opinion 1
24. Which best describes your family's financial situation? Do you feel as if you (are getting ahead financially), have just enough money to maintain your standard of living, or (are falling behind financially)?
Getting Just enough Falling No
ahead to maintain behind opinion
1/12/08 21 61 17 1
9/7/07 26 53 20 1
11/4/06 RV 28 48 23 1
10/22/06 RV 25 53 21 1
All 24 52 23 1
25. Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?
------ Legal ------ ----- Illegal -----
All Most Most All No
NET cases cases NET cases cases opinion
1/12/08 57 21 36 40 25 15 3
12/9/07 53 18 35 44 27 17 3
11/1/07 55 19 36 43 27 16 2
7/21/07 56 23 34 41 28 14 2
2/25/07 56 16 39 42 31 12 2
12/18/0 56 17 40 41 27 13 3
4/24/05 56 20 36 42 27 14 3
12/19/04 55 21 34 42 25 17 3
5/23/04 54 23 31 44 23 20 2
1/20/03 57 23 34 42 25 17 2
8/12/01 49 22 27 48 28 20 3
6/24/01 52 22 31 43 23 20 4
1/15/01 59 21 38 39 25 14 1
9/6/00 RV 55 20 35 42 25 16 3
7/23/00 53 20 33 43 26 17 4
9/2/99 56 20 37 42 26 15 2
3/14/99 55 21 34 42 27 15 3
7/12/98 54 19 35 42 29 13 4
8/5/96 56 22 34 41 27 14 3
6/30/96 58 24 34 40 25 14 2
10/1/95 60 26 35 37 25 12 3
9/21/95 60 24 36 36 25 11 4
7/17/95 59 27 32 40 26 14 1
901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as:
Democrat Republican Independent Other No op.
1/12/08 39 27 29 5 1
12/9/07 37 24 33 5 1
11/1/07 35 29 31 4 1
9/30/07 33 24 36 6 1
9/7/07 31 24 38 6 1
7/21/07 35 23 35 6 *
6/1/07 32 25 38 5 1
4/15/07 36 25 33 6 *
2/25/07 35 26 35 3 1
1/19/07 36 24 35 5 1
12/11/06 34 24 36 5 1
11/4/06 33 30 32 3 2
10/22/06 30 28 36 4 2
10/8/06 38 27 31 3 1
9/7/06 33 32 30 3 2
8/6/06 34 27 34 4 1
6/25/06 33 28 35 3 *
5/15/06 34 28 33 4 1
5/11/06 33 30 33 3 1
4/9/06 34 29 34 3 0
3/5/06 32 28 36 3 1
1/26/06 32 27 34 6 *
1/8/06 31 30 34 5 1
12/18/05 33 32 33 2 *
11/2/05 31 27 38 3 1
9/11/05 31 27 34 8 1
9/2/05 32 31 31 5 2
8/28/05 32 29 33 5 1
6/26/05 34 28 32 5 1
6/5/05 30 31 34 4 *
4/24/05 35 28 32 5 *
904. Do you lean more towards the:
Democratic Party Republican Party (VOL) Neither No op.
1/12/08 38 26 32 4
12/9/07 39 32 24 4
11/1/07 42 34 22 2
9/30/07 38 34 27 1
9/7/07 40 27 28 5
7/21/07 42 34 22 1
6/1/07 45 27 26 2
4/15/07 39 30 29 2
2/25/07 42 33 24 1
1/19/07 50 27 20 3
12/11/06 44 32 23 1
NET LEANED PARTY:
Democrat Republican Independent Other No op.
1/12/08 52 36 9 3 *
12/9/07 53 36 8 3 *
11/1/07 50 41 6 2 1
9/30/07 50 38 9 2 *
9/7/07 49 36 11 3 1
7/21/07 53 38 7 3 0
6/1/07 52 36 10 2 1
4/15/07 51 37 10 2 *
2/25/07 52 39 8 1 *
1/19/07 56 34 7 2 *
12/11/06 52 38 7 3 *
905. Are you registered to vote at your present address, or not?
Yes No No opinion
1/12/08 82 17 1
12/9/07 82 18 1
11/1/07 81 19 1
9/30/07 81 18 1
9/7/07 80 19 1
7/21/07 84 16 *
6/1/07 82 18 *
4/15/07 85 15 *
2/25/07 84 16 *
1/19/07 80 20 *
12/11/06 84 16 *
11/4/06 80 19 *
10/22/06 78 22 3
10/8/06 85 15 *
9/7/06 81 19 *
8/6/06 85 15 0
6/25/06 83 17 1
5/15/06 83 17 *
5/11/06 84 16 *
4/9/06 83 17 0
1/26/06 81 19 *
12/18/05 86 14 *
11/2/05 86 14 *
908a. Would you say your views on most political matters are liberal, moderate, or conservative?
Don't think in No
Liberal Moderate Conservative those terms (vol.) op.
1/12/08 24 36 36 2 1
12/9/07 24 38 36 1 1
11/1/07 24 41 32 1 1
9/30/07 24 45 30 1 1
9/7/07 20 39 39 1 2
7/21/07 25 39 32 3 1
6/1/07 24 36 37 2 1
4/15/07 24 42 32 1 1
2/25/07 23 40 35 1 1
1/19/07 23 41 33 1 1
12/11/06 23 42 33 2 1
11/4/06 19 42 36 2 1
10/22/06 22 42 32 2 2
10/8/06 21 43 33 1 1
9/7/06 24 39 33 2 2
8/6/06 18 42 38 1 1
6/25/06 21 41 35 1 1
5/15/06 19 48 31 1 1
5/11/06 18 49 33 * *
4/9/06 21 41 35 2 1
3/5/06 22 42 33 2 1
1/26/06 21 40 37 1 1
1/8/06 20 40 37 2 1
12/18/05 22 42 34 1 1
11/2/05 23 44 32 1 *
9/11/05 22 44 31 2 2
8/28/05 20 44 34 2 1
6/26/05 21 44 33 1 1
6/5/05 23 40 35 1 *
4/24/05 20 47 30 1 1
Q909. What was the last grade of school you completed?
High school or less 7
Graduated high school 40
Some college 24
Graduated College 18
Post-graduate 10
Q910. What is your age?
18-29 22
30-39 18
40-49 20
50-64 24
65+ 16
911. What, if anything, is your religion?
Christian Other Non- No
Protestant Catholic (Non-Protestant) Christian None op.
1/12/08 44 21 14 4 15 *
12/9/07 43 21 13 4 16 1
11/1/07 46 21 15 6 13 1
9/30/07 44 21 14 6 15 *
9/7/07 46 21 14 4 13 *
7/21/07 46 20 14 5 12 *
6/1/07 44 22 14 4 15 1
4/15/07 42 21 17 5 13 1
2/25/07 44 21 14 6 14 *
1/19/07 44 23 10 5 14 1
12/11/06 42 21 12 2 16 1
11/4/06 48 23 12 2 12 1
10/22/06 44 21 14 3 15 1
10/8/06 44 19 13 5 15 *
9/7/06 46 19 12 6 14 1
8/6/06 45 23 12 3 16 1
6/25/06 45 23 12 4 14 *
5/15/06 46 22 14 4 12 *
5/11/06 46 24 10 4 13 1
4/9/06 42 24 14 5 14 *
3/5/06 44 21 14 4 14 *
1/26/06 46 24 11 4 14 1
1/8/06 45 20 12 4 15 1
12/18/05 44 21 13 3 15 1
11/2/05 46 21 11 6 15 *
9/11/05 44 23 12 3 15 *
8/28/05 44 23 14 3 13 1
6/26/05 46 22 10 4 16 *
6/5/05 47 23 11 4 14 *
4/24/05 47 21 12 4 14 1
911b. (IF CHRISTIAN) Would you consider yourself a born-again or evangelical Christian, or not?
Yes No No opin.
1/12/08 40 57 3
12/9/07 44 54 2
11/1/07 41 56 3
9/30/07 42 55 3
9/7/07 44 54 3
7/21/07 45 54 1
6/1/07 42 56 3
4/15/07 40 58 2
2/25/07 42 55 3
1/19/07 43 55 2
12/11/06 44 53 3
11/4/06 43 55 2
10/22/06 43 53 4
10/8/06 44 55 1
9/7/06 45 53 2
8/6/06 46 51 3
6/25/06 42 55 3
5/15/06 42 56 1
5/11/06 38 60 2
4/9/06 40 59 1
3/5/06 46 53 1
1/26/06 44 54 2
1/8/06 45 51 3
12/18/05 43 54 2
11/2/05 41 57 2
9/11/05 40 58 2
8/28/05 43 54 3
6/26/05 42 55 3
6/5/05 44 54 2
4/24/05 42 56 2
914. Are you:
Never
Married Separated Divorced Widowed Married
1/12/08 55 3 12 7 23
12/9/07 57 2 10 8 23
11/1/07 58 4 11 7 21
9/30/07 53 2 12 7 26
7/21/07 57 3 10 6 23
6/1/07 56 2 10 7 25
4/15/07 58 2 11 8 22
2/25/07 58 2 10 9 21
1/19/07 58 4 10 7 20
INCOME. Which of the following CATEGORIES best describes your total annual household income before taxes, from all sources?
-------Less than $50k------- --------More than $50k--------
NET <20k 20-35k 35-50k NET 50-75k 75-100k 100k+
1/12/08 46 12 18 16 51 19 13 19
12/9/07 49 14 17 18 48 15 15 18
11/1/07 48 14 16 17 49 16 13 21
9/30/07 53 17 16 20 44 18 12 14
9/7/07 43 10 17 16 54 19 15 20
7/21/07 46 16 14 16 51 18 13 19
6/1/07 49 15 18 16 49 18 13 18
4/15/07 46 15 16 15 51 20 13 18
2/25/07 46 10 16 20 51 20 14 17
1/19/07 49 16 17 15 49 16 13 20
12/11/06 46 11 16 19 51 18 16 17
10/22/06 52 16 20 17 45 16 11 17
10/8/06 46 13 16 17 51 22 13 16
9/7/06 51 16 18 17 47 17 15 15
8/6/06 49 14 16 18 48 20 12 16
6/25/06 50 16 16 19 47 19 11 17
5/15/06 52 14 18 21 46 16 13 17
5/11/06 46 9 18 18 53 18 15 20
4/9/06 53 16 20 17 47 19 12 16
3/5/06 50 16 18 16 48 20 12 16
1/26/06 52 20 15 17 46 18 12 16
12/18/05 54 17 19 18 44 18 12 15
11/2/05 52 14 18 20 46 19 13 14
9/11/05 55 18 20 17 42 18 11 14
8/28/05 52 18 15 19 46 18 11 16
6/26/05 49 14 17 18 49 19 14 16
6/5/05 55 15 20 20 43 17 13 14
4/24/05 55 15 21 19 45 18 12 15
Q921. Sex
Male 48
Female 52
***END***
