Washington Post-ABC News Poll
Monday, February 4, 2008
This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone January 30-February 1, 2008, among a random national sample of 1,249 adults, including additional interviews with randomly-selected African Americans and Latinos, for a total of 215 black respondents and 186 Latino respondents. The results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.
*= less than 0.5 percent
1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?
-------- Approve -------- ------- Disapprove ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
2/1/08 33 17 16 65 14 51 2
1/12/08 32 16 16 66 15 51 2
12/9/07 33 17 16 64 14 50 3
11/1/07 33 17 16 64 13 50 3
9/30/07 33 15 18 64 14 49 3
9/7/07 33 16 17 64 15 49 3
7/21/07 33 16 17 65 13 52 2
6/1/07 35 17 18 62 16 46 3
4/15/07 35 17 18 62 14 49 2
2/25/07 36 19 17 62 12 49 2
1/19/07 33 17 16 65 14 51 2
12/11/06 36 18 18 62 13 49 2
11/4/06 40 24 16 57 12 46 2
10/22/06 37 21 16 60 15 45 3
10/8/06 39 23 16 60 12 48 1
9/7/06 42 24 18 55 12 43 3
8/6/06 40 23 17 58 12 46 2
6/25/06 38 20 18 60 12 48 2
5/15/06 33 17 16 65 18 47 2
4/9/06 38 20 18 60 13 47 1
3/5/06 41 24 17 58 14 44 1
1/26/06 42 25 18 56 14 42 2
1/8/06 46 29 17 52 13 39 2
12/18/05 47 29 17 52 12 40 1
11/2/05 39 20 18 60 13 47 1
10/29/05 39 22 17 58 13 45 3
9/11/05 42 27 15 57 12 45 1
8/28/05 45 27 18 53 12 41 2
6/26/05 48 27 21 51 11 40 1
6/5/05 48 27 21 52 14 38 1
4/24/05 47 25 22 50 13 38 3
3/13/05 50 31 19 48 11 37 3
1/31/05 50 34 15 45 11 34 5
1/16/05 52 33 19 46 11 35 2
12/19/04 48 27 21 49 12 38 2
10/20/04 50 30 20 46 11 35 4
10/17/04 LV 54 35 19 45 9 36 2
10/16/04 LV 54 35 19 44 10 34 2
10/15/04 LV 54 35 19 44 10 34 2
10/3/04 LV 53 36 17 46 11 34 1
9/26/04 50 33 18 45 13 32 5
9/8/04 52 35 17 43 11 32 5
8/29/04 50 31 19 47 13 34 3
8/1/04 47 28 18 49 13 36 5
7/25/04 50 32 19 47 13 34 3
7/11/04 48 31 17 50 11 39 2
6/20/04 47 30 17 51 13 39 1
5/23/04 47 31 17 50 14 36 3
4/18/04 51 33 18 47 13 34 1
3/7/04 50 32 18 48 12 36 2
2/11/04 50 30 21 47 14 34 2
1/18/04 58 35 24 40 9 30 2
12/21/03 59 39 21 38 15 23 3
12/14/03 57 37 20 39 10 29 5
12/7/03 53 32 21 40 13 27 7
11/16/03 57 34 23 39 11 28 4
10/29/03 56 30 26 42 13 29 2
10/13/03 53 33 20 43 13 29 4
9/30/03 54 34 20 44 15 29 2
9/13/03 58 35 23 40 14 27 2
9/7/03 56 34 22 41 13 28 4
8/11/03 59 37 22 37 14 23 4
7/10/03 59 35 24 38 13 25 3
6/22/03 68 45 23 29 11 18 4
4/30/03 71 50 22 26 17 9 3
4/16/03 74 52 22 23 9 14 3
4/9/03 77 58 19 20 6 14 4
4/3/03 71 54 16 25 7 19 4
3/23/03 68 NA NA 27 NA NA 4
3/20/03 67 NA NA 28 NA NA 5
3/2/03 62 38 23 35 13 22 4
2/23/03 60 NA NA 34 NA NA 6
2/9/03 64 42 21 34 14 20 3
2/1/03 62 41 21 34 13 22 4
1/28/03 62 43 19 36 13 23 2
1/27/03 59 39 21 37 15 22 4
1/20/03 59 36 23 38 16 22 2
12/15/02 66 37 28 32 12 20 2
11/4/02 LV 67 45 23 31 12 20 1
11/3/02 LV 67 45 22 32 12 20 1
11/2/02 LV 67 47 20 32 9 23 1
10/27/02 67 39 28 29 13 16 4
9/26/02 67 42 25 30 12 18 3
9/8/02 71 42 28 27 12 15 3
7/28/02 69 39 31 28 14 14 3
7/15/02 72 42 31 25 12 13 2
6/17/02 74 42 32 22 9 13 4
6/9/02 77 41 36 20 9 11 3
5/19/02 76 48 28 22 8 13 3
4/21/02 78 47 31 20 9 10 2
3/28/02 79 49 30 18 8 10 3
3/10/02 82 52 30 16 9 7 2
1/27/02 83 56 27 14 7 7 3
12/19/01 86 64 22 12 6 6 2
11/27/01 89 69 21 9 4 5 1
11/6/01 89 65 24 9 5 4 2
10/9/01 92 76 16 6 3 3 1
9/27/01 90 70 20 6 3 3 4
9/13/01 86 63 23 12 5 6 2
9/9/01 55 26 29 41 20 22 3
8/12/01 61 28 33 31 14 17 8
7/30/01 59 28 30 38 17 22 3
6/3/01 55 27 28 40 18 22 6
4/22/01 63 33 30 32 16 16 5
3/25/01 58 NA NA 33 NA NA 8
2/25/01 55 NA NA 23 NA NA 22
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bush is handling (ITEM)?
2/1/08 - Summary Table
Approve Disapprove No opinion
a. The situation in Iraq 33 65 2
b. The economy 30 67 3
Trend:
a. The situation in Iraq
-------- Approve -------- ------- Disapprove ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
2/1/08 33 21 12 65 10 56 2
1/12/08 30 17 13 69 14 54 1
12/9/07 33 19 14 65 13 52 2
9/30/07 30 17 14 68 12 57 1
9/7/07 34 16 18 65 12 53 1
7/21/07 31 17 14 68 11 58 1
6/1/07 31 17 14 67 11 56 1
4/15/07 29 17 13 70 11 59 *
2/25/07 31 17 14 67 13 55 1
1/19/07 29 16 13 70 13 57 1
1/10/07 34 21 13 64 14 50 2
12/11/06 28 12 16 70 13 57 2
10/8/06 35 21 14 64 10 54 1
9/7/06 41 25 16 57 10 47 2
8/6/06 36 21 15 62 10 52 2
6/25/06 37 21 17 62 11 52 *
5/15/06 32 19 13 66 13 53 1
4/9/06 37 21 16 62 11 51 1
3/5/06 40 23 17 59 12 47 *
1/26/06 39 24 15 60 10 50 1
12/18/05 46 31 15 53 10 43 1
11/2/05 36 20 15 64 13 51 1
9/11/05 38 NA NA 62 NA NA 1
8/28/05 42 28 14 57 11 46 1
6/26/05 43 25 18 56 12 44 1
6/5/05 41 NA NA 58 NA NA 1
4/24/05 42 " " 56 " " 2
3/13/05 39 57 4
1/16/05 40 58 2
12/19/04 42 57 1
9/26/04 RV 47 50 3
8/29/04 RV 47 51 2
7/25/04 45 53 2
6/20/04 44 55 2
5/23/04 40 58 2
4/18/04 45 54 1
3/7/04 46 53 1
2/11/04 47 52 1
1/18/04 55 42 2
12/21/03 60 39 2
12/14/03 58 38 4
11/16/03 48 48 4
10/29/03 47 51 2
10/13/03 51 47 2
9/29/03 50 47 3
9/13/03 52 46 2
9/7/03 49 47 4
8/24/03 56 37 7
8/11/03 56 41 3
7/10/03 58 41 2
6/22/03 67 30 2
4/30/03 75 22 2
3/27/03* 69 26 5
3/23/03 71 26 3
3/20/03 65 29 5
3/17/03 64 29 7
3/9/03 55 38 8
2/23/03 55 39 6
2/9/03 61 37 2
2/5/03 61 32 7
2/1/03 61 35 3
1/28/03 58 38 4
1/27/03 57 40 3
1/20/03 50 46 4
12/15/02 58 37 5
11/4/02 LV 56 40 4
11/3/02 LV 57 40 4
11/2/02 LV 56 41 3
10/27/02 57 38 5
9/26/02 58 39 3
9/14/02 65 31 4
8/29/02 52 36 12
*3/27/03 and previous: "The situation with Iraq and Saddam Hussein"
b. The economy
-------- Approve -------- ------- Disapprove ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
2/1/08 30 14 16 67 18 50 3
1/12/08 28 NA NA 69 NA NA 3
12/9/07 34 " " 63 " " 3
9/30/07 37 61 3
6/1/07 40 57 3
4/15/07 40 59 1
2/25/07 43 55 2
1/19/07 41 57 2
12/11/06 43 55 2
10/8/06 41 56 2
8/6/06 39 59 2
6/25/06 38 61 1
5/15/06 38 60 2
4/9/06 40 20 21 59 18 41 1
3/5/06 48 NA NA 51 NA NA 1
1/26/06 46 " " 52 " " 1
12/18/05 47 52 1
11/2/05 36 61 3
9/11/05 40 58 2
8/28/05 44 54 3
6/5/05 40 58 2
4/24/05 40 57 3
3/13/05 43 55 2
1/16/05 46 52 2
12/19/04 46 51 3
9/26/04 RV 47 50 4
8/29/04 RV 45 52 3
7/25/04 47 50 3
6/20/04 46 53 1
5/23/04 44 54 2
4/18/04 44 54 2
3/7/04 39 59 1
2/11/04 44 54 2
1/18/04 51 47 2
12/21/03 51 44 5
11/16/03 48 49 3
10/29/03 45 53 2
10/13/03 45 52 2
9/13/03 42 56 3
9/7/03 44 51 5
8/11/03 45 51 5
7/10/03 47 49 4
4/30/03 52 45 3
2/9/03 47 49 4
2/1/03 44 52 4
1/28/03 46 49 4
1/27/03 47 47 5
1/20/03 43 53 4
1/5/03 50 43 7
12/15/02 50 46 4
11/4/02 LV 53 45 2
11/3/02 LV 52 46 2
11/2/02 LV 55 43 2
10/27/02 51 43 6
9/26/02 51 47 3
9/8/02 57 40 4
7/28/02 57 39 4
7/15/02 58 38 3
4/21/02 64 33 3
1/27/02 62 34 4
12/19/01 67 27 6
11/6/01 72 23 5
9/9/01 48 48 4
7/30/01 52 45 3
6/3/01 53 41 6
4/22/01 55 38 7
3/25/01 50 42 8
3. Thinking ahead to the November presidential election, what is the single most important issue in your choice for president?
2/1/08 1/12/08 12/9/07 11/1/07 9/7/07
Economy/Jobs 39 29 24 14 11
Iraq/War in Iraq 19 20 23 29 35
Health care 8 10 10 13 13
Terrorism/National
security 5 4 9 5 6
Ethics/Honesty/
Corruption in
government 4 5 4 4 6
Immigration/Illegal
immigration 4 4 5 5 5
Education 2 2 1 2 1
Morals/Family
values 2 2 3 3 2
Environment 1 1 1 2 1
Abortion 1 1 1 1 1
Foreign policy 1 2 1 2 1
Taxes 1 1 1 1 1
Federal budget
deficit * * * 1 1
Housing/Mortgages * * * * *
Global warming * * * * *
Social Security * 1 1 2 1
Guns/Gun control * * *
None/Nothing * * 1 * *
Other 6 10 7 9 7
No opinion 7 7 7 8 9
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the U.S. Congress is doing its job?
Approve Disapprove No opinion 2/1/08 33 59 8 12/9/07 32 60 8 9/30/07 29 65 6 7/21/07 37 60 4 6/1/07 39 53 8 4/15/07* 44 54 3 2/25/07 41 54 5 1/19/07 43 50 8 12/11/06 37 57 6 11/4/06 RV 36 60 4 10/22/06 31 65 4 10/8/06 32 66 2 9/7/06 40 55 5 8/6/06 36 60 4 5/15/06 33 63 4 4/9/06 35 62 3 3/5/06 36 62 3 1/26/06 43 53 4 1/8/06 41 55 5 12/18/05 43 53 4 11/2/05 37 59 4 8/28/05 37 59 4 6/5/05 41 54 4 10/29/03 40 52 9 4/30/03 57 37 6 9/26/02 51 43 6 7/15/02 57 36 7 2/21/02 57 39 4 1/27/02 58 35 7 12/19/01 59 34 7 9/9/01 45 48 7 7/30/01 48 48 4 4/22/01 58 33 8 10/31/99 42 53 6 9/2/99 46 47 7 6/6/99 48 46 6 3/14/99 44 49 7 2/14/99 46 50 4 12/20/98 44 51 5 12/19/98 45 50 5 12/13/98 49 46 5 11/7/98 41 55 4 11/1/98 49 47 5 10/25/98 45 44 11 10/18/98 46 45 8 9/28/98 52 44 4 8/21/98 55 39 6 7/12/98 46 44 11 5/12/98 45 45 9 4/4/98 47 45 8 1/31/98 55 35 10 1/30/98 55 35 10 1/25/98 56 37 8 1/24/98 55 38 7 1/19/98 47 49 5 10/13/97 36 57 7 8/27/97 39 54 7 7/8/97 40 53 6 4/24/97 40 53 7 3/9/97 35 60 5 8/5/96 42 52 7 6/30/96 35 58 7 5/22/96 35 60 5 3/10/96 30 64 6 1/7/96 31 65 5 11/19/95 27 68 5 10/1/95 32 65 3 7/17/95 34 63 3 3/19/95 39 56 5 1/29/95 42 52 6 10/31/94 21 72 8 10/23/94 18 78 4 9/11/94 24 70 5 6/26/94 34 61 5 3/27/94 35 62 3 2/27/94 32 64 4 1/23/94 29 60 11 11/14/93 28 66 6 8/8/93 33 64 3 4/26/93 30 69 2 1/17/93 29 66 6 4/9/92 17 78 5 3/18/92 19 76 5 3/8/92 22 73 6 2/2/92 32 64 4 12/15/91 35 59 6 10/21/91 45 50 5 6/2/91 49 46 5 10/14/90 34 63 3 2/4/90 41 55 4 1/16/90 39 55 6 8/21/89 42 53 5 5/23/89 54 44 2 2/14/89 53 44 3 1/23/88** 43 53 4 6/1/87 56 40 4 6/22/85 54 37 9 5/83 33 43 24 6/81 38 40 22 6/79 19 61 20 9/78 29 49 22 6/77 34 42 24 6/75 29 54 17 8/74 48 35 17 * Strongly/somewhat follow asked 4/15/07 and others **1/23/88 and previous: Gallup
5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way (ITEM) are doing their job?
2/1/08 - Summary Table
Approve Disapprove No opinion
a. The Republicans in Congress 30 63 7
b. The Democrats in Congress 39 54 7
Trend:
a. The Republicans in Congress
Approve Disapprove No opinion
2/1/08 30 63 7
12/9/07 32 63 5
11/1/07 32 63 6
9/30/07 29 67 4
7/21/07 34 64 2
6/1/07 36 58 6
4/15/07 39 59 2
10/8/06 35 63 2
5/15/06 33 64 3
11/2/05 35 61 4
6/5/05 42 56 2
6/6/99 41 52 7
3/14/99 40 56 4
7/8/97 40 54 6
9/15/96 RV 46 48 6
6/30/96 38 56 6
4/5/95 45 50 5
10/31/94 33 59 7
10/23/94 31 64 5
9/11/94 35 59 6
b. The Democrats in Congress
Approve Disapprove No opinion
2/1/08 39 54 7
12/9/07 40 53 6
11/1/07 36 58 6
9/30/07 38 57 5
7/21/07 46 51 2
6/1/07 44 49 6
4/15/07 54 44 2
10/8/06 48 50 3
5/15/06 39 58 4
11/2/05 41 54 5
6/5/05 42 56 3
6/6/99 51 42 7
3/14/99 51 42 7
7/8/97 45 49 6
4/5/95 36 60 4
10/31/94 39 53 8
10/23/94 36 59 5
9/11/94 41 53 6
6. Which political party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you trust to do a better job handling (ITEM)?
2/1/08 - Summary Table*
Both Neither No
Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) opinion
a. The economy 52 33 2 10 3
b. Immigration issues 40 37 2 12 9
c. The situation in Iraq 48 34 3 9 6
d. The federal budget
deficit 52 31 2 10 6
e. Taxes 48 40 1 8 4
f. The U.S. campaign
against terrorism 44 37 4 10 5
g. Health care 56 29 2 10 4
*Full sample asked items a,b; half sample asked items c,d; other half sample asked items e-g.
Trend:
a. The economy
Both Neither No
Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) opinion
2/1/08 52 33 2 10 3
12/9/07 51 33 2 9 5
11/1/07 50 35 3 9 4
9/30/07 51 33 2 11 3
10/22/06 RV 50 41 2 5 2
10/8/06 54 37 3 6 1
9/7/06 50 39 1 7 4
6/25/06 52 39 1 5 3
5/15/06 52 34 3 9 2
4/9/06 49 43 1 4 3
3/5/06 49 40 2 8 2
1/26/06 55 37 2 5 2
11/2/05 56 34 1 8 1
12/15/02 44 45 4 6 1
10/27/02* LV 43 48 3 3 2
9/26/02* 47 39 3 6 5
7/15/02** 38 48 3 6 5
1/27/02** 39 48 5 6 3
4/22/01*** 47 43 4 4 3
9/28/98 53 40 NA NA 7
7/12/98 49 37 4 5 6
1/19/98 45 44 3 6 3
7/8/97 43 39 5 12 2
10/23/94 38 43 3 14 2
9/11/94 39 43 3 11 4
2/27/94 47 36 3 11 3
2/2/92 49 38 2 7 4
12/15/91 43 36 4 11 5
3/4/91 32 49 5 10 4
1/16/90 33 52 4 7 4
*"The economy and jobs"
**"Improving the economy"
***4/22/01 and previous: "The nation's economy"
b. Immigration issues
Both Neither No
Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) opinion
2/1/08 40 37 2 12 9
11/1/07 42 35 4 13 6
10/8/06 49 36 4 10 3
6/25/06 45 40 1 9 5
5/15/06 48 34 1 14 4
4/9/06 50 38 1 7 4
c. The situation in Iraq
Both Neither No
Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) opinion
2/1/08 48 34 3 9 6
12/9/07 49 35 3 10 4
11/1/07 50 34 2 10 4
9/30/07 49 34 3 11 3
9/7/07 42 31 3 19 5
11/4/06 RV 42 42 1 11 3
10/22/06 RV 48 40 1 8 3
10/8/06 51 38 3 7 2
9/7/06 43 44 2 10 2
8/6/06 43 40 * 11 5
6/25/06 47 41 1 9 2
5/15/06 50 36 2 10 3
4/9/06 49 42 1 6 2
3/5/06 42 42 2 11 2
1/26/06 47 40 1 9 2
12/18/05 47 44 2 6 2
11/2/05 48 37 2 11 2
12/15/02* 30 56 4 7 3
10/27/02 LV 31 58 3 4 4
9/26/02 33 52 6 4 6
*12/15/02 and previous: "The situation with Iraq and Saddam Hussein"
d. The federal budget deficit
Both Neither No
Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) opinion
2/1/08 52 31 2 10 6
9/30/07 52 29 2 12 5
Compare to:
The federal budget
Both Neither No
Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) opinion
5/15/06 54 34 1 8 3
11/2/05 48 34 2 13 2
7/15/02* 44 41 5 6 4
1/27/02**** 38 46 5 7 3
3/14/99* 43 40 5 10 3
9/28/98* 49 42 NA NA 9
7/12/98* 42 39 4 7 8
1/19/98** 41 43 3 8 4
7/8/97** 39 36 5 17 3
10/23/94*** 36 37 3 21 3
9/11/94 39 40 4 14 4
2/27/94 44 28 5 20 3
2/2/92 40 39 4 14 3
3/4/91 35 43 5 14 3
1/16/90 35 42 4 15 4
*"Managing the federal budget"
**"Balancing the federal budget"
***10/23/94 and previous: "Reducing the federal budget"
****"Keeping the federal budget balanced"
e. Taxes
Both Neither No
Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) opinion
2/1/08 48 40 1 8 4
11/1/07 46 40 2 8 4
5/15/06 52 38 1 5 2
11/2/05 48 38 1 11 1
12/15/02 46 44 2 6 2
9/26/02 44 44 3 6 4
4/22/01* 38 52 2 6 3
9/2/99* 40 49 2 6 3
3/14/99** 43 41 2 10 4
9/28/98** 47 44 NA NA 9
7/12/98** 42 39 3 8 8
1/19/98** 45 44 2 6 2
7/8/97** 41 38 3 15 4
10/30/95* 45 40 10 3 3
10/23/94** 37 42 2 17 2
9/11/94** 36 47 2 11 4
2/27/94** 35 41 4 18 2
2/2/92** 41 45 3 8 3
12/15/91** 40 38 3 14 5
3/4/91** 35 44 5 13 3
1/16/90** 37 47 2 10 4
*"Cutting taxes"
**"Holding taxes down"
f. The U.S. campaign against terrorism
Both Neither No
Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) opinion
2/1/08 44 37 4 10 5
12/9/07 45 38 4 8 6
11/1/07 41 42 4 9 4
9/30/07 41 40 5 10 4
9/7/07 39 36 4 17 4
10/22/06 RV 44 43 2 8 3
10/8/06 47 41 4 6 2
9/7/06 40 47 1 9 3
8/6/06 46 38 1 11 4
6/25/06 39 46 2 10 3
5/15/06 46 41 2 8 3
4/9/06 46 45 1 6 1
3/5/06 39 46 3 10 2
1/26/06 41 46 2 6 4
11/2/05 42 42 4 10 3
12/15/02 25 61 5 6 2
10/27/02* LV 26 61 4 5 4
9/26/02* 30 51 6 6 8
7/15/02 27 55 9 3 6
1/27/02 23 62 10 3 2
*"The war on terrorism"
g. Health care
Both Neither No
Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) opinion
2/1/08 56 29 2 10 4
11/1/07 54 29 2 10 5
9/30/07 56 26 2 12 5
10/8/06 61 28 1 7 2
5/15/06 61 28 1 7 2
4/9/06 61 29 * 6 3
11/2/05 54 29 2 12 3
12/15/02* 53 33 3 7 4
10/27/02* LV 50 39 3 5 3
9/26/02* 50 35 4 5 6
7/15/02** 47 37 3 9 5
1/27/02** 50 35 5 5 4
1/19/98*** 54 33 2 7 4
10/23/94 46 29 2 21 2
9/11/94 51 29 3 12 5
2/27/94 58 22 5 11 3
2/2/92 60 25 3 8 4
12/15/91 57 23 3 11 5
*"The cost, availability, and coverage of health insurance"
**"improving the health care system"
***1/19/98 and previous: "Providing affordable health care"
7. All in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, do you think the war with Iraq was worth fighting, or not? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
----- Worth fighting ---- --- Not worth fighting -- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
2/1/08 34 23 11 65 11 53 1
1/12/08 35 21 13 64 13 51 2
12/9/07 37 25 12 61 11 50 2
11/1/07 35 23 12 63 12 51 2
9/30/07 38 25 14 59 12 47 3
9/7/07 36 23 13 62 11 51 2
7/21/07 36 25 12 63 10 53 1
6/1/07 37 24 12 61 12 50 2
4/15/07 33 22 11 66 12 54 1
2/25/07 34 22 12 64 13 51 2
1/10/07 40 28 12 58 11 47 2
12/11/06 36 25 11 61 12 50 2
11/4/06 RV 44 33 12 53 10 44 2
10/22/06 40 28 12 57 11 47 2
10/8/06 35 25 10 63 13 50 2
9/7/06 42 29 13 56 11 45 2
8/6/06 39 29 10 59 12 47 1
6/25/06 40 25 15 58 13 45 2
5/15/06 37 24 14 62 12 50 1
4/9/06 41 30 11 58 10 48 1
3/5/06 42 29 14 57 11 46 1
1/26/06 44 32 12 55 13 42 1
1/8/06 43 30 13 55 12 43 2
12/18/05 46 33 14 52 11 42 1
11/2/05 39 25 13 60 12 48 1
8/28/05 46 33 12 53 9 44 1
6/26/05 46 33 13 53 10 43 1
6/5/05 41 29 12 58 12 46 1
4/24/05 44 31 13 54 12 42 2
3/13/05 45 34 11 53 11 42 2
1/16/05 44 32 12 55 10 45 1
12/19/04 42 31 11 56 10 47 2
10/3/04 LV 49 34 15 48 11 37 3
9/26/04 RV 46 35 12 51 8 42 3
9/8/04 RV 51 38 13 45 10 34 4
8/29/04 RV 48 34 14 50 11 39 2
7/25/04 49 36 13 48 11 37 3
6/20/04 47 32 14 52 13 39 2
5/23/04 48 35 13 50 13 37 1
5/6/04 49 NA NA 47 NA NA 5
4/18/04 51 " " 47 " " 2
3/7/04 52 44 3
2/11/04 48 50 2
1/18/04 56 41 3
12/21/03 59 39 2
12/14/03 53 42 5
11/16/03 52 44 4
10/29/03 54 44 2
10/13/03 54 44 2
9/13/03 61 37 2
9/7/03 54 42 4
8/24/03 57 37 5
8/11/03 61 35 4
7/10/03 57 40 3
6/22/03 64 33 3
4/30/03 70 27 4
2/2/92* 66 32 2
7/28/91 67 30 3
6/2/91 70 26 3
3/4/91 86 13 1
*2/2/92 and previous: "the Persian Gulf war"; 3/4/91: "this war"
8. Do you think the United States is or is not making significant progress toward restoring civil order in Iraq?
Is making Is not making No
significant progress significant progress opinion
2/1/08 42 54 4
1/12/08 42 54 4
12/9/07 41 55 4
11/1/07 39 59 2
9/7/07 36 60 4
6/1/07 32 64 4
12/11/06 31 66 3
6/25/06 48 49 2
3/5/06 43 56 2
12/18/05 60 37 2
11/2/05 44 55 2
8/28/05 48 50 2
6/26/05 48 51 1
12/19/04 44 49 7
6/20/04 51 48 1
9. How closely are you following the presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?
---- Closely ----- ---- Not closely ----- No
NET Very Smwt. NET Not too At all opinion
2/1/08 81 35 46 19 12 7 *
1/12/08 79 32 47 21 15 6 *
12/9/07 72 21 51 28 19 8 *
11/1/07 67 21 46 33 22 12 0
9/30/07 69 21 48 30 21 10 *
7/21/07 70 22 48 30 20 10 *
6/1/07 66 18 48 34 22 13 *
4/15/07 66 20 45 34 20 14 *
2/25/07 65 20 44 35 25 10 *
2004:
9/26/04 RV 87 48 39 12 8 4 1
9/8/04 RV 85 45 40 14 10 4 1
8/29/04 RV 81 43 38 20 13 7 *
8/1/04 RV 80 41 39 20 13 7 *
7/25/04 73 34 39 27 15 12 *
7/11/04 79 36 43 20 13 7 1
6/20/04 78 33 45 22 15 7 *
5/23/04 74 33 41 26 17 9 *
4/18/04 75 30 45 25 16 9 0
3/7/04 75 33 42 25 18 7 *
2/11/04 75 30 45 25 15 10 *
1/18/04 66 22 44 35 22 13 *
10/29/03 54 15 39 45 30 15 0
9/13/03 56 16 40 44 27 17 *
2000:
10/15/00 RV 77 33 44 23 15 8 *
10/9/00 RV 75 30 45 25 16 9 *
10/1/00 RV 75 27 48 25 17 8 *
9/6/00 RV 74 26 48 26 17 9 *
8/20/00 RV 74 28 46 26 16 10 1
8/10/00 RV 72 29 43 29 18 11 *
8/6/00 54 17 36 47 22 25 *
7/29/00 51 16 35 49 25 24 *
7/23/00 50 14 36 50 25 25 *
6/11/00 49 13 36 51 26 25 0
4/2/00 53 17 36 47 24 23 0
3/11/00 61 21 40 38 21 17 0
2/27/00 70 24 46 30 20 10 *
2/6/00 67 19 48 34 21 13 0
1/16/00 50 11 39 50 26 24 *
12/15/99 45 12 33 55 31 24 *
10/31/99 61 16 45 38 25 13 *
10. I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential primary or caucus in your state. Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?
Less Will not No primary/ Already
than vote caucus voted No
Cert. Prob. 50-50 50-50 (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) op.
2/1/08 64 13 9 10 3 * 1 *
1/12/08 65 12 13 6 4 * * *
12/9/07 70 11 10 6 3 * NA *
11/1/07 69 12 10 6 3 * NA 1
11. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) If the Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were: (Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama), for whom would you vote?
NET LEANED VOTE - LIKELY VOTERS
2/1/08 1/12/08 12/9/07 11/1/07
Hillary Clinton 47 42 53 51
Barack Obama 43 37 23 24
John Edwards** 2 11 10 13
Other (vol.) * 1 0 1
None (vol.) 2 3 1 2
No opinion 5 3 3 2
NET LEANED VOTE - ALL LEANED DEMS
-- 2008 -- ------------------- 2007 -------------------
2/1 1/12 12/9 11/1 9/30 9/7 7/21 6/1 4/15 2/25
Hillary Clinton 47 41 52 49 53 41 45 42 41 43
Barack Obama 43 39 23 26 20 27 30 27 25 27
John Edwards** 1 11 12 12 13 14 12 11 17 14
Other (vol.) 1 1 0 * * 1 1 * 1 *
None (vol.) 2 2 2 1 4 4 2 4 3 4
Wouldn't vote (vol.) 1 0 1 1 1 0 2 1 1 1
No opinion 5 4 3 2 2 5 2 6 5 4
*Asked Dennis Kucinich 1/12 and previous, Bill Richardson, Joe Biden, and Chris Dodd 12/9
and previous, Mike Gravel 11/1 and previous, Al Gore 7/21 and previous, Wesley Clark 4/15 and previous,
Tom Vilsack 2/25 and previous, John Kerry 1/19 and previous, Evan Bayh 12/11
**John Edwards vote in 2/1 poll includes those who said that they had already voted for him.
12. (IF NAMED DEM CANDIDATE) Do you support (CANDIDATE) strongly, or somewhat?
2/1/08 - Summary Table
Strongly Somewhat No opinion
Hillary Clinton 62 38 0
Barack Obama 49 51 *
Trend where available:
Hillary Clinton
2/1/08 62 38 0
1/12/08 68 32 0
12/9/07 49 51 *
11/1/07 57 42 1
9/30/07 61 39 0
7/21/07 68 32 0
6/1/07 53 47 0
4/15/07 59 41 0
2/25/06 56 44 0
Barack Obama
2/1/08 49 51 *
1/12/08 56 44 0
12/9/07 41 59 0
11/1/07 50 50 0
9/30/07 52 48 0
7/21/07 56 43 1
6/1/07 43 56 1
4/15/07 51 49 0
2/25/06 60 38 1
13. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you think (ITEM) - (Clinton) or (Obama)?
2/1/08 - Summary Table
Both Neither No
Clinton Obama (vol.) (vol.) opinion
a. is the strongest leader 58 34 2 1 4
b. has the best chance of
getting elected
president in
November 47 42 3 2 7
c. best understands the
problems of people
like you 48 41 5 2 4
d. would do the most to
bring needed change to
Washington 42 49 3 2 3
Trend:
a. is the strongest leader
Both Neither No
Clinton Obama (vol.) (vol.) opinion
2/1/08 58 34 2 1 4
Compare to:
All Any 2 None No
Clinton Obama Edwards (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) opinion
1/12/08 47 33 12 1 2 1 4
12/9/07 61 19 13 * 1 1 4
11/1/07 59 24 12 1 1 1 3
9/30/07 61 20 13 1 1 2 3
6/1/07 50 26 15 1 1 1 5
2/25/07 52 23 17 1 1 1 5
b. has the best chance of getting elected president in November
Both Neither No
Clinton Obama (vol.) (vol.) opinion
2/1/08 47 42 3 2 7
Compare to:
All Any 2 None No
Clinton Obama Edwards (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) opinion
1/12/08 43 36 10 2 1 * 7
12/9/07 59 16 16 1 2 1 5
11/1/07 62 15 14 1 2 1 5
9/30/07 57 16 20 * 1 1 3
6/1/07 43 21 26 1 2 1 6
2/25/07 48 17 25 * 2 1 6
c. best understands the problems of people like you
Both Neither No
Clinton Obama (vol.) (vol.) opinion
2/1/08 48 41 5 2 4
Compare to:
All Any 2 None No
Clinton Obama Edwards (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) opinion
1/12/08 40 34 15 1 2 4 4
12/9/07 48 25 16 1 1 3 4
6/1/07 38 33 18 2 1 4 5
2/25/07 39 31 20 1 1 3 4
d. would do the most to bring needed change to Washington
Both Neither No
Clinton Obama (vol.) (vol.) opinion
2/1/08 42 49 3 2 3
Compare to:
All Any 2 None No
Clinton Obama Edwards (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) opinion
1/12/08 41 40 10 * 2 2 4
14. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust most to handle (ITEM) - (Clinton) or (Obama)?
2/1/08 - Summary Table
Both Neither No
Clinton Obama (vol.) (vol.) opinion
a. The war in Iraq 48 40 6 3 3
b. The economy 52 38 4 1 5
c. Health care 60 32 4 1 3
d. Immigration issues 43 39 5 5 8
Trend:
a. The war in Iraq
Both Neither No
Clinton Obama (vol.) (vol.) opinion
2/1/08 48 40 6 3 3
Compare to:
All Any 2 None No
Clinton Obama Edwards (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) opinion
1/12/08 40 36 12 1 2 4 6
12/9/07 51 26 14 2 1 2 4
9/30/07 52 22 17 1 * 4 5
b. The economy
Both Neither No
Clinton Obama (vol.) (vol.) opinion
2/1/08 52 38 4 1 5
Compare to:
All Any 2 None No
Clinton Obama Edwards (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) opinion
1/12/08 46 33 13 1 1 2 4
12/9/07 58 18 16 2 1 1 4
9/30/07 56 17 17 1 1 3 4
c. Health care
Both Neither No
Clinton Obama (vol.) (vol.) opinion
2/1/08 60 32 4 1 3
Compare to:
All Any 2 None No
Clinton Obama Edwards (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) opinion
1/12/08 54 27 11 1 1 2 5
12/9/07 60 15 16 1 1 1 6
9/30/07 66 15 14 1 * 2 2
d. No trend.
15. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) If the Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were: (John McCain, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, or Ron Paul), for whom would you vote?
NET LEANED VOTE - LIKELY VOTERS
2/1/08 1/12/08 12/9/07 11/1/07
John McCain 48 28 12 17
Mitt Romney 24 19 17 13
Mike Huckabee 16 20 19 9
Ron Paul 7 3 3 2
Rudy Giuliani** 1 15 25 34
Fred Thompson** 1 8 14 16
Other (vol.) 0 1 * 0
None (vol.) 1 2 3 2
No opinion 2 2 4 3
NET LEANED VOTE - ALL LEANED REPS
---2008--- ------------------- 2007 -------------------
2/1 1/12 12/9 11/1 9/30 9/7 7/21 6/1 4/15 2/25
John McCain 48 28 15 19 12 18 16 20 22 23
Mitt Romney 21 15 17 11 11 10 8 10 10 5
Mike Huckabee 16 19 15 9 8 5 2 2 1 2
Ron Paul 7 4 3 3 3 1 2 2 1 1
Rudy Giuliani** 1 17 26 33 34 28 37 34 35 53
Fred Thompson** * 7 12 16 17 19 15 13 10 NA
Other (vol.) 0 1 * * * 1 * * 0 *
None (vol.) 3 2 4 4 4 2 5 3 4 2
Wouldn't vote (vol.) 0 1 * * 1 2 1 * * 1
No opinion 3 5 5 3 8 10 5 10 7 5
*Asked Duncan Hunter 1/12 and previous, Tom Tancredo 12/9 and previous, Sam Brownback 9/30
and previous, Tommy Thompson 7/21 and previous, Jim Gilmore 6/1 and previous, Chuck Hagel
and George Pataki, 4/15 and previous.
**Rudy Giuliani and Fred Thompson vote in 2/1 poll includes those who said that they had already voted for him.
16. (IF NAMED REP CANDIDATE) Do you support (CANDIDATE) strongly, or somewhat?
Strongly Somewhat No opinion
John McCain
2/1/08 38 61 1
1/12/08 32 68 0
2/25/07 20 28 33
Mitt Romney
2/1/08 43 57 0
17. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you think (ITEM)?
2/1/08 - Summary Table
Other/None/
McCain Romney Huckabee Paul No opinion
a. is the strongest
leader 60 21 7 5 7
b. has the best
chance of getting
elected president
in November 67 14 3 2 14
c. best reflects the
core values of the
Republican Party 41 25 15 5 15
Trend where available:
a. is the strongest leader
2/1/08 1/12/08 12/9/07
John McCain 60 37 19
Mitt Romney 21 11 11
Mike Huckabee 7 11 9
Ron Paul 5 2 1
Rudy Giuliani NA 25 38
Fred Thompson NA 5 6
Duncan Hunter NA 1 *
All of them (vol.) * * *
None of them (vol.) 2 1 1
No opinion 5 6 14
b. has the best chance of getting elected president in November
2/1/08 1/12/08 12/9/07
John McCain 67 33 10
Mitt Romney 14 14 15
Mike Huckabee 3 16 7
Ron Paul 2 1 1
Rudy Giuliani NA 16 42
Fred Thompson NA 2 5
Duncan Hunter NA 0 *
All of them (vol.) * * 0
None of them (vol.) 3 3 5
No opinion 10 13 16
c. best reflects the core values of the Republican Party
2/1/08 1/12/08 12/9/07
John McCain 41 27 18
Mitt Romney 25 15 14
Mike Huckabee 15 18 16
Ron Paul 5 4 2
Rudy Giuliani NA 12 16
Fred Thompson NA 11 13
Duncan Hunter NA 1 2
All of them (vol.) 3 * 1
None of them (vol.) 3 1 2
No opinion 9 11 16
18. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust most to handle (ITEM)?
2/1/08 - Summary Table
Other/None/
McCain Romney Huckabee Paul No opinion
a. The war in Iraq 69 12 7 3 9
b. The U.S. campaign
against terrorism 67 13 7 4 9
c. The economy 43 29 10 7 11
d. Immigration issues 47 22 10 5 17
e. Social issues, such
as abortion and gay
civil unions 35 20 21 5 19
Trend:
a. The war in Iraq
2/1/08 1/12/08 12/9/07
John McCain 69 42 29
Mitt Romney 12 6 9
Mike Huckabee 7 11 9
Ron Paul 3 3 1
Rudy Giuliani NA 19 28
Fred Thompson NA 7 8
Duncan Hunter NA 1 1
All of them (vol.) * 1 *
None of them (vol.) 2 3 2
No opinion 7 7 13
b. The U.S. campaign against terrorism
2/1/08 1/12/08 12/9/07
John McCain 67 40 26
Mitt Romney 13 7 7
Mike Huckabee 7 12 8
Ron Paul 4 3 2
Rudy Giuliani NA 24 36
Fred Thompson NA 6 8
Duncan Hunter NA 1 *
All of them (vol.) * 1 1
None of them (vol.) 2 2 2
No opinion 8 6 10
c. The economy
2/1/08 1/12/08 12/9/07
John McCain 43 19 14
Mitt Romney 29 18 18
Mike Huckabee 10 18 10
Ron Paul 7 3 3
Rudy Giuliani NA 18 27
Fred Thompson NA 8 10
Duncan Hunter NA 1 1
All of them (vol.) 1 * 1
None of them (vol.) 4 4 2
No opinion 6 12 14
d. Immigration issues
2/1/08 1/12/08 12/9/07
John McCain 47 27 18
Mitt Romney 22 11 9
Mike Huckabee 10 15 11
Ron Paul 5 4 2
Rudy Giuliani NA 17 22
Fred Thompson NA 9 10
Duncan Hunter NA 2 1
All of them (vol.) 0 * *
None of them (vol.) 4 4 3
No opinion 12 12 20
e. Social issues, such as abortion and gay civil unions
2/1/08 1/12/08 12/9/07
John McCain 35 20 11
Mike Huckabee 21 22 17
Mitt Romney 20 15 16
Ron Paul 5 3 3
Rudy Giuliani NA 14 15
Fred Thompson NA 8 11
Duncan Hunter NA 1 2
All of them (vol.) * 1 1
None of them (vol.) 6 4 4
No opinion 12 12 20
19. Which of these is more important to you in a candidate for president: (strength and experience) or (a new direction and new ideas)?
Strength and New direction Both Neither No
experience and new ideas (vol.) (vol.) opinion
2/1/08 51 39 7 1 1
1/12/08 47 43 9 * 1
12/9/07 54 38 6 * 1
11/1/07 49 41 8 1 1
9/30/07 52 40 7 1 1
7/21/07 50 41 6 * 2
20. Overall, in the presidential campaign so far, do you think the candidates have focused more on (discussing real issues) or on (arguing about things that really aren't that important)?
Discussing Arguing about things No
real issues that aren't important opinion
2/1/08 34 61 5
21. How satisfied are you with the current system used by the Democratic and Republican parties to pick their presidential nominees - very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, not too satisfied or not satisfied at all?
----- Satisfied ----- ----- Dissatisfied -------
Net Very Somewhat Net Not too Not at all No opinion
2/1/08 60 11 49 38 23 15 2
3/5/00 58 9 49 33 17 16 9
7/8/92 51 8 43 47 30 18 1
22. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) How would you describe the tone of the Democratic campaign so far? Would you say it has been mostly (positive) or mostly (negative) in tone?
Mostly Mostly About equal No
positive negative (vol.) opinion
2/1/08 64 27 5 4
22a. (IF MOSTLY NEGATIVE) Which campaign do you mainly blame for that?
Both Neither No
Clinton's Obama's (vol.) (vol.) opinion
2/1/08 48 17 28 4 2
22/22a NET
Mostly --------- Mostly negative -------- About equal No
positive NET Clinton Obama Both Neither (vol.) opinion
2/1/08 64 27 13 5 8 1 5 4
23. If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (John McCain, the Republican) and (Hillary Clinton, the Democrat), for whom would you vote?
NET LEANED VOTE:
Other Neither Would not No
McCain Clinton (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
2/1/08 All 49 46 * 2 1 2
2/1/08 RV 50 45 * 1 1 2
11/1/07 43 52 1 2 1 1
1/19/07 45 50 * 3 1 1
24. If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Mitt Romney, the Republican) and (Hillary Clinton, the Democrat), for whom would you vote?
NET LEANED VOTE:
Other Neither Would not No
Romney Clinton (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
2/1/08 All 41 53 * 3 1 2
2/1/08 RV 43 51 * 3 1 1
11/1/07 39 57 1 2 1 1
25. If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (John McCain, the Republican) and (Barack Obama, the Democrat), for whom would you vote?
NET LEANED VOTE:
Other Neither Would not No
McCain Obama (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
2/1/08 All 46 49 * 2 1 3
2/1/08 RV 48 47 1 1 1 2
1/19/07 45 47 * 3 1 3
26. If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Mitt Romney, the Republican) and (Barack Obama, the Democrat), for whom would you vote?
NET LEANED VOTE:
Other Neither Would not No
Romney Obama (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
2/1/08 All 34 59 * 3 1 3
2/1/08 RV 36 57 * 3 1 2
27. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Rudy Giuliani ended his presidential campaign on Wednesday after competing only lightly in early contests and finishing third in the Florida primary. Do you think Giuliani was a (bad candidate) or a (good candidate with a bad strategy)?
Bad Good candidate Bad candidate with Other No
candidate with bad strategy bad strategy (vol.) (vol.) opinion
2/1/08 26 66 2 1 5
28. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Bill Clinton? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
------ Favorable ------ ----- Unfavorable ----- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
2/1/08 55 32 23 42 15 27 3
2/25/07 55 33 22 42 13 30 2
1/19/07 61 NA NA 37 NA NA 2
5/15/06 59 36 24 39 13 25 2
12/15/00 56 NA NA 40 NA NA 4
7/23/00 44 23 21 50 36 13 6
6/6/99* 52 NA NA 44 NA NA 4
2/14/99 57 32 25 40 29 11 3
1/30/99 54 35 19 42 30 12 3
9/28/98 48 NA NA 47 NA NA 5
8/23/98 45 NA NA 49 NA NA 6
8/21/98 56 NA NA 40 NA NA 4
8/19/98 39 NA NA 57 NA NA 4
7/12/98 54 NA NA 40 NA NA 6
5/12/98 54 NA NA 42 NA NA 4
4/4/98 55 NA NA 39 NA NA 6
2/18/98 56 NA NA 41 NA NA 3
1/30/98 60 NA NA 35 NA NA 6
1/25/98 54 NA NA 42 NA NA 5
1/24/98 51 NA NA 44 NA NA 5
1/19/98 59 NA NA 35 NA NA 6
1/12/98 59 NA NA 33 NA NA 7
10/13/97 59 NA NA 37 NA NA 4
9/10/97 57 NA NA 38 NA NA 5
3/9/97 60 NA NA 38 NA NA 3
9/4/96 RV 58 NA NA 38 NA NA 4
6/30/96 56 NA NA 38 NA NA 5
10/30/95 54 NA NA 41 NA NA 6
7/17/95 59 NA NA 38 NA NA 3
6/8/95 53 NA NA 43 NA NA 4
3/19/95 55 NA NA 42 NA NA 3
10/31/94 51 NA NA 44 NA NA 5
5/15/94 57 NA NA 40 NA NA 3
3/27/94 59 NA NA 37 NA NA 4
1/23/94 60 NA NA 32 NA NA 8
11/14/93 58 NA NA 37 NA NA 5
11/11/93 52 NA NA 43 NA NA 6
8/8/93 56 NA NA 39 NA NA 5
4/26/93 59 NA NA 29 NA NA 12
2/23/93 59 NA NA 30 NA NA 11
1/17/93 68 NA NA 20 NA NA 11
10/18/92 LV 56 NA NA 36 NA NA 8
9/27/92 LV 55 NA NA 36 NA NA 9
8/23/92 RV 54 NA NA 36 NA NA 10
7/19/92 RV 58 NA NA 23 NA NA 18
7/8/92 52 NA NA 33 NA NA 15
6/7/92 41 NA NA 38 NA NA 21
3/18/92 37 NA NA 37 NA NA 26
3/11/92 39 NA NA 31 NA NA 30
2/2/92 37 NA NA 24 NA NA 39
1/27/92 23 NA NA 11 NA NA 66
10/21/91 13 NA NA 9 NA NA 78
*Post poll
29. On another subject, would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good or poor?
--- Excellent/Good --- --- Not so good/Poor --- No
NET Excellent Good NET Not so good Poor opinion
2/1/08 19 1 18 81 43 38 0
12/9/07 28 3 25 72 40 32 *
11/1/07 35 3 32 64 39 26 *
4/15/07 42 5 37 57 37 20 *
12/11/06 50 7 42 50 36 14 *
10/22/06 55 10 45 45 28 17 *
10/8/06 47 7 40 53 37 16 *
3/5/06 43 5 38 57 37 19 *
1/26/06 40 5 35 60 37 23 *
12/18/05 45 5 39 55 38 17 *
11/2/05 35 3 32 65 36 29 *
9/11/05 40 3 37 59 37 22 1
6/5/05 44 3 40 56 38 19 *
4/24/05 37 2 35 63 44 20 *
9/26/04 RV 46 3 43 53 38 15 1
8/29/04 RV 45 3 41 55 37 18 *
7/25/04 46 4 42 53 39 14 *
6/20/04 45 4 41 55 38 17 *
4/18/04 43 4 39 57 39 18 *
3/7/04 39 2 37 60 38 22 1
1/18/04 42 3 39 58 42 16 0
12/21/03 42 4 39 57 41 16 1
10/29/03 33 1 32 67 45 23 *
9/13/03 30 2 27 70 45 25 *
8/11/03 32 2 30 68 43 25 *
4/30/03 35 1 34 64 46 19 *
2/9/03 28 1 27 72 49 23 *
1/20/03 25 1 25 74 48 26 1
12/15/02 35 1 33 65 44 21 1
11/4/02 LV 28 1 27 72 55 17 1
11/3/02 LV 27 1 26 72 56 17 1
11/2/02 LV 29 1 28 71 54 17 *
9/26/02 31 2 28 69 50 19 *
7/15/02 39 3 36 61 44 17 1
2/21/02 30 1 29 69 51 18 *
1/27/02 31 1 29 69 50 19 *
9/20/01 38 3 35 60 47 14 2
9/9/01 33 1 32 66 47 19 *
7/30/01 50 3 46 50 39 12 *
4/22/01 50 3 47 50 40 9 *
1/15/01 70 10 59 29 24 6 1
10/27/00 LV 86 24 61 14 11 3 *
10/26/00 LV 86 24 61 14 11 3 *
6/11/00 74 17 57 26 19 6 *
2/27/00 80 25 55 20 14 5 *
10/31/99 74 18 56 26 18 7 1
9/2/99 76 19 57 23 16 6 1
3/14/99 80 22 58 19 15 4 1
11/1/98 73 12 61 26 21 5 1
11/1/98 LV 78 13 65 22 19 3 *
10/13/97 61 12 49 39 27 11 *
3/19/95 34 1 33 66 45 20 *
10/31/94 38 1 37 62 42 19 1
10/23/94 40 1 39 59 41 18 1
6/20/93 17 1 16 83 50 33 1
3/11/93 19 1 19 80 45 35 1
6/7/92 12 * 12 88 45 43 *
12/15/91 10 * 10 89 40 49 *
11/10/91 12 1 12 87 42 45 *
6/2/91 23 1 22 77 47 30 *
30. Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel (optimistic) or (pessimistic) about (ITEM)?
2/1/08 - Summary Table
Optimistic Pessimistic No opinion
a. the state of the national economy 45 51 4
b. your own family's financial
situation 67 30 3
Trend:
a. the state of the national economy
Optimistic Pessimistic No opinion
2/1/08 45 51 4
12/9/07 45 52 3
12/11/06 64 33 3
5/15/06 52 46 1
12/18/05 55 44 1
12/19/04 58 40 2
6/20/04 64 34 2
1/14/03 63 35 2
b. your own family's financial situation
Optimistic Pessimistic No opinion
2/1/08 67 30 3
12/9/07 72 25 3
12/11/06 82 16 2
5/15/06 79 20 1
12/18/05 73 26 1
12/19/04 75 23 2
31. Just your best guess, would you say the nation's economy is in a recession right now, or not?
Is in a recession Is not in a recession No opinion 2/1/08 59 38 3 1/18/04 39 58 3 10/7/90 59 36 5 12/12/81 82 12 5
32. Do you think the United States is in a long-term economic decline, or do you think the country's economic system is basically pretty solid?
Long-term decline Basically pretty solid No opinion 2/1/08 49 47 4 5/6/96 46 51 3
33. As you may know, Bush and congressional leaders are planning payments to most workers of several hundred dollars and new tax breaks for businesses in order to stimulate the economy. Do you think this will or will not be enough to avoid or soften a recession?
Will Will not No opinion
2/1/08 28 67 5
34. If you get a federal rebate, what will you most likely do with it?
2/1/08 Save it 27 Pay bills 26 Spend it 20 Travel/vacation 1 Save/use for education 3 Pay taxes 1 Invest it 3 Pay off debt 5 Help others/family/ charities 1 Home improvements 1 Apply towards mortgage * Spend some/save some 1 Will not get a rebate 3 Other 2 No opinion 6
35. On another subject, do you personally feel comfortable or uncomfortable with the idea of Bill Clinton back in the White House, this time as first husband?
Neither/Neutral No
Comfortable Uncomfortable (vol.) opinion
2/1/08 50 43 6 1
9/30/07 60 30 8 1
36. Do you think Bill Clinton is playing a (positive) or a (negative) role in his wife's presidential campaign?
Positive Negative No opinion
2/1/08 51 43 6
901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as:
Democrat Republican Independent Other No op.
2/1/08 37 26 32 4 1
1/12/08 39 27 29 5 1
12/9/07 37 24 33 5 1
11/1/07 35 29 31 4 1
9/30/07 33 24 36 6 1
9/7/07 31 24 38 6 1
7/21/07 35 23 35 6 *
6/1/07 32 25 38 5 1
4/15/07 36 25 33 6 *
2/25/07 35 26 35 3 1
1/19/07 36 24 35 5 1
12/11/06 34 24 36 5 1
11/4/06 33 30 32 3 2
10/22/06 30 28 36 4 2
10/8/06 38 27 31 3 1
9/7/06 33 32 30 3 2
8/6/06 34 27 34 4 1
6/25/06 33 28 35 3 *
5/15/06 34 28 33 4 1
5/11/06 33 30 33 3 1
4/9/06 34 29 34 3 0
3/5/06 32 28 36 3 1
1/26/06 32 27 34 6 *
1/8/06 31 30 34 5 1
12/18/05 33 32 33 2 *
11/2/05 31 27 38 3 1
9/11/05 31 27 34 8 1
9/2/05 32 31 31 5 2
8/28/05 32 29 33 5 1
6/26/05 34 28 32 5 1
6/5/05 30 31 34 4 *
4/24/05 35 28 32 5 *
904. Do you lean more towards the:
Democratic Party Republican Party (VOL) Neither No op.
2/1/08 43 30 23 4
1/12/08 38 26 32 4
12/9/07 39 32 24 4
11/1/07 42 34 22 2
9/30/07 38 34 27 1
9/7/07 40 27 28 5
7/21/07 42 34 22 1
6/1/07 45 27 26 2
4/15/07 39 30 29 2
2/25/07 42 33 24 1
1/19/07 50 27 20 3
12/11/06 44 32 23 1
NET LEANED PARTY:
Democrat Republican Independent Other No op.
2/1/08 53 37 8 2 1
1/12/08 52 36 9 3 *
12/9/07 53 36 8 3 *
11/1/07 50 41 6 2 1
9/30/07 50 38 9 2 *
9/7/07 49 36 11 3 1
7/21/07 53 38 7 3 0
6/1/07 52 36 10 2 1
4/15/07 51 37 10 2 *
2/25/07 52 39 8 1 *
1/19/07 56 34 7 2 *
12/11/06 52 38 7 3 *
905. Are you registered to vote at your present address, or not?
Yes No No opinion
2/1/08 80 19 1
1/12/08 82 17 1
12/9/07 82 18 1
11/1/07 81 19 1
9/30/07 81 18 1
9/7/07 80 19 1
7/21/07 84 16 *
6/1/07 82 18 *
4/15/07 85 15 *
2/25/07 84 16 *
1/19/07 80 20 *
12/11/06 84 16 *
11/4/06 80 19 *
10/22/06 78 22 3
10/8/06 85 15 *
9/7/06 81 19 *
8/6/06 85 15 0
6/25/06 83 17 1
5/15/06 83 17 *
5/11/06 84 16 *
4/9/06 83 17 0
1/26/06 81 19 *
12/18/05 86 14 *
11/2/05 86 14 *
908a. Would you say your views on most political matters are liberal, moderate, or conservative?
Don't think in No
Liberal Moderate Conservative those terms (vol.) op.
2/1/08 25 38 34 2 1
1/12/08 24 36 36 2 1
12/9/07 24 38 36 1 1
11/1/07 24 41 32 1 1
9/30/07 24 45 30 1 1
9/7/07 20 39 39 1 2
7/21/07 25 39 32 3 1
6/1/07 24 36 37 2 1
4/15/07 24 42 32 1 1
2/25/07 23 40 35 1 1
1/19/07 23 41 33 1 1
12/11/06 23 42 33 2 1
11/4/06 19 42 36 2 1
10/22/06 22 42 32 2 2
10/8/06 21 43 33 1 1
9/7/06 24 39 33 2 2
8/6/06 18 42 38 1 1
6/25/06 21 41 35 1 1
5/15/06 19 48 31 1 1
5/11/06 18 49 33 * *
4/9/06 21 41 35 2 1
3/5/06 22 42 33 2 1
1/26/06 21 40 37 1 1
1/8/06 20 40 37 2 1
12/18/05 22 42 34 1 1
11/2/05 23 44 32 1 *
9/11/05 22 44 31 2 2
8/28/05 20 44 34 2 1
6/26/05 21 44 33 1 1
6/5/05 23 40 35 1 *
4/24/05 20 47 30 1 1
908b. (IF LIBERAL) Would you say that you are very liberal or somewhat liberal?
Very Somewhat
liberal liberal No opinion
2/1/08 35 65 *
908C. (IF CONSERVATIVE) Would you say that you are very conservative or somewhat conservative?
Very Somewhat
conservative conservative No opinion
2/1/08 33 66 1
909. What was the last grade of school you completed?
High school or less 15 Graduated high school 32 Some college 22 Graduated College 20 Post-graduate 10
910. What is your age?
18-29 21 30-39 18 40-49 18 50-64 26 65+ 16
911. What, if anything, is your religion?
Christian Other Non- No
Protestant Catholic (Non-Protestant) Christian None op.
2/1/08 42 21 13 5 17 *
1/12/08 44 21 14 4 15 *
12/9/07 43 21 13 4 16 1
11/1/07 46 21 15 6 13 1
9/30/07 44 21 14 6 15 *
9/7/07 46 21 14 4 13 *
7/21/07 46 20 14 5 12 *
6/1/07 44 22 14 4 15 1
4/15/07 42 21 17 5 13 1
2/25/07 44 21 14 6 14 *
1/19/07 44 23 10 5 14 1
12/11/06 42 21 12 2 16 1
11/4/06 48 23 12 2 12 1
10/22/06 44 21 14 3 15 1
10/8/06 44 19 13 5 15 *
9/7/06 46 19 12 6 14 1
8/6/06 45 23 12 3 16 1
6/25/06 45 23 12 4 14 *
5/15/06 46 22 14 4 12 *
5/11/06 46 24 10 4 13 1
4/9/06 42 24 14 5 14 *
3/5/06 44 21 14 4 14 *
1/26/06 46 24 11 4 14 1
1/8/06 45 20 12 4 15 1
12/18/05 44 21 13 3 15 1
11/2/05 46 21 11 6 15 *
9/11/05 44 23 12 3 15 *
8/28/05 44 23 14 3 13 1
6/26/05 46 22 10 4 16 *
6/5/05 47 23 11 4 14 *
4/24/05 47 21 12 4 14 1
911b. (IF CHRISTIAN) Would you consider yourself a born-again or evangelical Christian, or not?
Yes No No opin.
2/1/08 43 56 2
1/12/08 40 57 3
12/9/07 44 54 2
11/1/07 41 56 3
9/30/07 42 55 3
9/7/07 44 54 3
7/21/07 45 54 1
6/1/07 42 56 3
4/15/07 40 58 2
2/25/07 42 55 3
1/19/07 43 55 2
12/11/06 44 53 3
11/4/06 43 55 2
10/22/06 43 53 4
10/8/06 44 55 1
9/7/06 45 53 2
8/6/06 46 51 3
6/25/06 42 55 3
5/15/06 42 56 1
5/11/06 38 60 2
4/9/06 40 59 1
3/5/06 46 53 1
1/26/06 44 54 2
1/8/06 45 51 3
12/18/05 43 54 2
11/2/05 41 57 2
9/11/05 40 58 2
8/28/05 43 54 3
6/26/05 42 55 3
6/5/05 44 54 2
4/24/05 42 56 2
912b. Are you, or is anyone in your household, a military veteran?
------------------ Yes ------------------
Resp Other HH Both resp and
NET is member is other HH member are No No op.
2/1/08 25 10 13 1 75 0
9/30/07 30 13 16 1 70 0
9/7/07 28 13 14 1 72 *
4/15/07 31 14 16 1 69 *
2/25/07 26 13 12 1 74 0
1/19/07 31 14 16 1 69 *
12/11/06 28 13 14 1 72 *
914. Are you:
Never
Married Separated Divorced Widowed Married
2/1/08 56 3 10 8 24
1/12/08 55 3 12 7 23
12/9/07 57 2 10 8 23
11/1/07 58 4 11 7 21
9/30/07 53 2 12 7 26
7/21/07 57 3 10 6 23
6/1/07 56 2 10 7 25
4/15/07 58 2 11 8 22
2/25/07 58 2 10 9 21
1/19/07 58 4 10 7 20
INCOME. Which of the following CATEGORIES best describes your total annual household income before taxes, from all sources?
-------Less than $50k------- --------More than $50k--------
NET <20k 20-35k 35-50k NET 50-75k 75-100k 100k+
2/1/08 48 17 16 15 48 18 12 18
1/12/08 46 12 18 16 51 19 13 19
12/9/07 49 14 17 18 48 15 15 18
11/1/07 48 14 16 17 49 16 13 21
9/30/07 53 17 16 20 44 18 12 14
9/7/07 43 10 17 16 54 19 15 20
7/21/07 46 16 14 16 51 18 13 19
6/1/07 49 15 18 16 49 18 13 18
4/15/07 46 15 16 15 51 20 13 18
2/25/07 46 10 16 20 51 20 14 17
1/19/07 49 16 17 15 49 16 13 20
12/11/06 46 11 16 19 51 18 16 17
10/22/06 52 16 20 17 45 16 11 17
10/8/06 46 13 16 17 51 22 13 16
9/7/06 51 16 18 17 47 17 15 15
8/6/06 49 14 16 18 48 20 12 16
6/25/06 50 16 16 19 47 19 11 17
5/15/06 52 14 18 21 46 16 13 17
5/11/06 46 9 18 18 53 18 15 20
4/9/06 53 16 20 17 47 19 12 16
3/5/06 50 16 18 16 48 20 12 16
1/26/06 52 20 15 17 46 18 12 16
12/18/05 54 17 19 18 44 18 12 15
11/2/05 52 14 18 20 46 19 13 14
9/11/05 55 18 20 17 42 18 11 14
8/28/05 52 18 15 19 46 18 11 16
6/26/05 49 14 17 18 49 19 14 16
6/5/05 55 15 20 20 43 17 13 14
4/24/05 55 15 21 19 45 18 12 15
Q921. Sex
Male 48 Female 52
***END***
