Washington Post-ABC News Poll

Monday, February 4, 2008

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone January 30-February 1, 2008, among a random national sample of 1,249 adults, including additional interviews with randomly-selected African Americans and Latinos, for a total of 215 black respondents and 186 Latino respondents. The results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

-------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
2/1/08        33       17         16      65       14         51         2   
1/12/08       32       16         16      66       15         51         2
12/9/07       33       17         16      64       14         50         3  
11/1/07       33       17         16      64       13         50         3 
9/30/07       33       15         18      64       14         49         3 
9/7/07        33       16         17      64       15         49         3 
7/21/07       33       16         17      65       13         52         2  
6/1/07        35       17         18      62       16         46         3  
4/15/07       35       17         18      62       14         49         2  
2/25/07       36       19         17      62       12         49         2  
1/19/07       33       17         16      65       14         51         2  
12/11/06      36       18         18      62       13         49         2  
11/4/06       40       24         16      57       12         46         2  
10/22/06      37       21         16      60       15         45         3  
10/8/06       39       23         16      60       12         48         1  
9/7/06        42       24         18      55       12         43         3  
8/6/06        40       23         17      58       12         46         2  
6/25/06       38       20         18      60       12         48         2 
5/15/06       33       17         16      65       18         47         2
4/9/06        38       20         18      60       13         47         1
3/5/06        41       24         17      58       14         44         1
1/26/06       42       25         18      56       14         42         2 
1/8/06        46       29         17      52       13         39         2 
12/18/05      47       29         17      52       12         40         1  
11/2/05       39       20         18      60       13         47         1
10/29/05      39       22         17      58       13         45         3
9/11/05       42       27         15      57       12         45         1
8/28/05       45       27         18      53       12         41         2 
6/26/05       48       27         21      51       11         40         1 
6/5/05        48       27         21      52       14         38         1
4/24/05       47       25         22      50       13         38         3
3/13/05       50       31         19      48       11         37         3
1/31/05       50       34         15      45       11         34         5
1/16/05       52       33         19      46       11         35         2  
12/19/04      48       27         21      49       12         38         2
10/20/04      50       30         20      46       11         35         4  
10/17/04 LV   54       35         19      45        9         36         2  
10/16/04 LV   54       35         19      44       10         34         2  
10/15/04 LV   54       35         19      44       10         34         2  
10/3/04  LV   53       36         17      46       11         34         1  
9/26/04       50       33         18      45       13         32         5  
9/8/04        52       35         17      43       11         32         5
8/29/04       50       31         19      47       13         34         3
8/1/04        47       28         18      49       13         36         5
7/25/04       50       32         19      47       13         34         3
7/11/04       48       31         17      50       11         39         2  
6/20/04       47       30         17      51       13         39         1 
5/23/04       47       31         17      50       14         36         3 
4/18/04       51       33         18      47       13         34         1  
3/7/04        50       32         18      48       12         36         2
2/11/04       50       30         21      47       14         34         2   
1/18/04       58       35         24      40        9         30         2 
12/21/03      59       39         21      38       15         23         3   
12/14/03      57       37         20      39       10         29         5   
12/7/03       53       32         21      40       13         27         7   
11/16/03      57       34         23      39       11         28         4   
10/29/03      56       30         26      42       13         29         2   
10/13/03      53       33         20      43       13         29         4   
9/30/03       54       34         20      44       15         29         2   
9/13/03       58       35         23      40       14         27         2   
9/7/03        56       34         22      41       13         28         4   
8/11/03       59       37         22      37       14         23         4   
7/10/03       59       35         24      38       13         25         3   
6/22/03       68       45         23      29       11         18         4   
4/30/03       71       50         22      26       17          9         3   
4/16/03       74       52         22      23        9         14         3   
4/9/03        77       58         19      20        6         14         4   
4/3/03        71       54         16      25        7         19         4   
3/23/03       68       NA         NA      27       NA         NA         4   
3/20/03       67       NA         NA      28       NA         NA         5   
3/2/03        62       38         23      35       13         22         4       
2/23/03       60       NA         NA      34       NA         NA         6       
2/9/03        64       42         21      34       14         20         3       
2/1/03        62       41         21      34       13         22         4       
1/28/03       62       43         19      36       13         23         2       
1/27/03       59       39         21      37       15         22         4       
1/20/03       59       36         23      38       16         22         2       
12/15/02      66       37         28      32       12         20         2       
11/4/02  LV   67       45         23      31       12         20         1       
11/3/02  LV   67       45         22      32       12         20         1       
11/2/02  LV   67       47         20      32        9         23         1       
10/27/02      67       39         28      29       13         16         4       
9/26/02       67       42         25      30       12         18         3       
9/8/02        71       42         28      27       12         15         3       
7/28/02       69       39         31      28       14         14         3       
7/15/02       72       42         31      25       12         13         2       
6/17/02       74       42         32      22        9         13         4       
6/9/02        77       41         36      20        9         11         3       
5/19/02       76       48         28      22        8         13         3       
4/21/02       78       47         31      20        9         10         2       
3/28/02       79       49         30      18        8         10         3       
3/10/02       82       52         30      16        9          7         2  
1/27/02       83       56         27      14        7          7         3  
12/19/01      86       64         22      12        6          6         2  
11/27/01      89       69         21       9        4          5         1  
11/6/01       89       65         24       9        5          4         2  
10/9/01       92       76         16       6        3          3         1  
9/27/01       90       70         20       6        3          3         4  
9/13/01       86       63         23      12        5          6         2  
9/9/01        55       26         29      41       20         22         3  
8/12/01       61       28         33      31       14         17         8  
7/30/01       59       28         30      38       17         22         3  
6/3/01        55       27         28      40       18         22         6  
4/22/01       63       33         30      32       16         16         5  
3/25/01       58       NA         NA      33       NA         NA         8  
2/25/01       55       NA         NA      23       NA         NA        22

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bush is handling (ITEM)?

2/1/08 - Summary Table

                           Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
a. The situation in Iraq     33          65            2
b. The economy               30          67            3

Trend:

a. The situation in Iraq

              -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
2/1/08        33       21         12      65       10         56         2
1/12/08       30       17         13      69       14         54         1
12/9/07       33       19         14      65       13         52         2 
9/30/07       30       17         14      68       12         57         1 
9/7/07        34       16         18      65       12         53         1
7/21/07       31       17         14      68       11         58         1 
6/1/07        31       17         14      67       11         56         1 
4/15/07       29       17         13      70       11         59         * 
2/25/07       31       17         14      67       13         55         1
1/19/07       29       16         13      70       13         57         1
1/10/07       34       21         13      64       14         50         2
12/11/06      28       12         16      70       13         57         2
10/8/06       35       21         14      64       10         54         1
9/7/06        41       25         16      57       10         47         2
8/6/06        36       21         15      62       10         52         2
6/25/06       37       21         17      62       11         52         *
5/15/06       32       19         13      66       13         53         1
4/9/06        37       21         16      62       11         51         1
3/5/06        40       23         17      59       12         47         *
1/26/06       39       24         15      60       10         50         1 
12/18/05      46       31         15      53       10         43         1 
11/2/05       36       20         15      64       13         51         1
9/11/05       38       NA         NA      62       NA         NA         1
8/28/05       42       28         14      57       11         46         1
6/26/05       43       25         18      56       12         44         1
6/5/05        41       NA         NA      58       NA         NA         1
4/24/05       42        "          "      56        "          "         2
3/13/05       39                          57                             4
1/16/05       40                          58                             2
12/19/04      42                          57                             1
9/26/04  RV   47                          50                             3
8/29/04  RV   47                          51                             2
7/25/04       45                          53                             2
6/20/04       44                          55                             2
5/23/04       40                          58                             2
4/18/04       45                          54                             1
3/7/04        46                          53                             1
2/11/04       47                          52                             1
1/18/04       55                          42                             2     
12/21/03      60                          39                             2
12/14/03      58                          38                             4
11/16/03      48                          48                             4
10/29/03      47                          51                             2
10/13/03      51                          47                             2
9/29/03       50                          47                             3
9/13/03       52                          46                             2
9/7/03        49                          47                             4
8/24/03       56                          37                             7
8/11/03       56                          41                             3
7/10/03       58                          41                             2
6/22/03       67                          30                             2
4/30/03       75                          22                             2
3/27/03*      69                          26                             5
3/23/03       71                          26                             3
3/20/03       65                          29                             5
3/17/03       64                          29                             7        
3/9/03        55                          38                             8         
2/23/03       55                          39                             6         
2/9/03        61                          37                             2         
2/5/03        61                          32                             7         
2/1/03        61                          35                             3         
1/28/03       58                          38                             4         
1/27/03       57                          40                             3         
1/20/03       50                          46                             4         
12/15/02      58                          37                             5         
11/4/02  LV   56                          40                             4         
11/3/02  LV   57                          40                             4         
11/2/02  LV   56                          41                             3         
10/27/02      57                          38                             5         
9/26/02       58                          39                             3         
9/14/02       65                          31                             4         
8/29/02       52                          36                            12
*3/27/03 and previous: "The situation with Iraq and Saddam Hussein"

b. The economy

              -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No   
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
2/1/08        30       14         16      67       18         50         3
1/12/08       28       NA         NA      69       NA         NA         3
12/9/07       34        "          "      63        "          "         3
9/30/07       37                          61                             3
6/1/07        40                          57                             3 
4/15/07       40                          59                             1 
2/25/07       43                          55                             2
1/19/07       41                          57                             2
12/11/06      43                          55                             2
10/8/06       41                          56                             2
8/6/06        39                          59                             2
6/25/06       38                          61                             1
5/15/06       38                          60                             2
4/9/06        40       20         21      59       18         41         1
3/5/06        48       NA         NA      51       NA         NA         1
1/26/06       46        "          "      52        "          "         1
12/18/05      47                          52                             1 
11/2/05       36                          61                             3
9/11/05       40                          58                             2
8/28/05       44                          54                             3
6/5/05        40                          58                             2
4/24/05       40                          57                             3
3/13/05       43                          55                             2
1/16/05       46                          52                             2
12/19/04      46                          51                             3
9/26/04  RV   47                          50                             4
8/29/04  RV   45                          52                             3
7/25/04       47                          50                             3
6/20/04       46                          53                             1
5/23/04       44                          54                             2
4/18/04       44                          54                             2
3/7/04        39                          59                             1
2/11/04       44                          54                             2
1/18/04       51                          47                             2
12/21/03      51                          44                             5
11/16/03      48                          49                             3
10/29/03      45                          53                             2
10/13/03      45                          52                             2
9/13/03       42                          56                             3
9/7/03        44                          51                             5
8/11/03       45                          51                             5
7/10/03       47                          49                             4
4/30/03       52                          45                             3
2/9/03        47                          49                             4     
2/1/03        44                          52                             4             
1/28/03       46                          49                             4             
1/27/03       47                          47                             5             
1/20/03       43                          53                             4             
1/5/03        50                          43                             7             
12/15/02      50                          46                             4             
11/4/02  LV   53                          45                             2             
11/3/02  LV   52                          46                             2             
11/2/02  LV   55                          43                             2             
10/27/02      51                          43                             6             
9/26/02       51                          47                             3             
9/8/02        57                          40                             4             
7/28/02       57                          39                             4             
7/15/02       58                          38                             3             
4/21/02       64                          33                             3             
1/27/02       62                          34                             4             
12/19/01      67                          27                             6             
11/6/01       72                          23                             5             
9/9/01        48                          48                             4             
7/30/01       52                          45                             3             
6/3/01        53                          41                             6             
4/22/01       55                          38                             7   
3/25/01       50                          42                             8

3. Thinking ahead to the November presidential election, what is the single most important issue in your choice for president?

                      2/1/08   1/12/08   12/9/07   11/1/07   9/7/07
Economy/Jobs            39       29        24        14        11
Iraq/War in Iraq        19       20        23        29        35
Health care              8       10        10        13        13
Terrorism/National    
 security                5        4         9         5         6
Ethics/Honesty/
 Corruption in 
 government              4        5         4         4         6
Immigration/Illegal 
 immigration             4        4         5         5         5
Education                2        2         1         2         1
Morals/Family 
 values                  2        2         3         3         2
Environment              1        1         1         2         1 
Abortion                 1        1         1         1         1
Foreign policy           1        2         1         2         1
Taxes                    1        1         1         1         1
Federal budget 
 deficit                 *        *         *         1         1
Housing/Mortgages        *        *         *         *         *
Global warming           *        *         *         *         *
Social Security          *        1         1         2         1
Guns/Gun control         *        *         *
None/Nothing             *        *         1         *         *
Other                    6       10         7         9         7
No opinion               7        7         7         8         9

4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the U.S. Congress is doing its job?

               Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
2/1/08           33          59            8
12/9/07          32          60            8
9/30/07          29          65            6
7/21/07          37          60            4
6/1/07           39          53            8
4/15/07*         44          54            3
2/25/07          41          54            5
1/19/07          43          50            8
12/11/06         37          57            6
11/4/06   RV     36          60            4  
10/22/06         31          65            4  
10/8/06          32          66            2  
9/7/06           40          55            5
8/6/06           36          60            4
5/15/06          33          63            4 
4/9/06           35          62            3 
3/5/06           36          62            3
1/26/06          43          53            4
1/8/06           41          55            5
12/18/05         43          53            4
11/2/05          37          59            4
8/28/05          37          59            4
6/5/05           41          54            4
10/29/03         40          52            9
4/30/03          57          37            6
9/26/02          51          43            6
7/15/02          57          36            7
2/21/02          57          39            4
1/27/02          58          35            7
12/19/01         59          34            7
9/9/01           45          48            7
7/30/01          48          48            4
4/22/01          58          33            8
10/31/99         42          53            6
9/2/99           46          47            7
6/6/99           48          46            6
3/14/99          44          49            7
2/14/99          46          50            4    
12/20/98         44          51            5    
12/19/98         45          50            5    
12/13/98         49          46            5    
11/7/98          41          55            4    
11/1/98          49          47            5    
10/25/98         45          44           11    
10/18/98         46          45            8    
9/28/98          52          44            4    
8/21/98          55          39            6          
7/12/98          46          44           11          
5/12/98          45          45            9          
4/4/98           47          45            8          
1/31/98          55          35           10          
1/30/98          55          35           10          
1/25/98          56          37            8          
1/24/98          55          38            7          
1/19/98          47          49            5          
10/13/97         36          57            7          
8/27/97          39          54            7          
7/8/97           40          53            6          
4/24/97          40          53            7          
3/9/97           35          60            5          
8/5/96           42          52            7          
6/30/96          35          58            7          
5/22/96          35          60            5          
3/10/96          30          64            6          
1/7/96           31          65            5          
11/19/95         27          68            5          
10/1/95          32          65            3 
7/17/95          34          63            3         
3/19/95          39          56            5         
1/29/95          42          52            6         
10/31/94         21          72            8         
10/23/94         18          78            4         
9/11/94          24          70            5         
6/26/94          34          61            5         
3/27/94          35          62            3         
2/27/94          32          64            4         
1/23/94          29          60           11         
11/14/93         28          66            6         
8/8/93           33          64            3         
4/26/93          30          69            2         
1/17/93          29          66            6         
4/9/92           17          78            5         
3/18/92          19          76            5         
3/8/92           22          73            6         
2/2/92           32          64            4         
12/15/91         35          59            6         
10/21/91         45          50            5         
6/2/91           49          46            5 
10/14/90         34          63            3                  
2/4/90           41          55            4                  
1/16/90          39          55            6                  
8/21/89          42          53            5                  
5/23/89          54          44            2                  
2/14/89          53          44            3                  
1/23/88**        43          53            4                  
6/1/87           56          40            4                  
6/22/85          54          37            9                  
5/83             33          43           24                  
6/81             38          40           22                  
6/79             19          61           20                  
9/78             29          49           22                  
6/77             34          42           24                  
6/75             29          54           17                  
8/74             48          35           17                  
* Strongly/somewhat follow asked 4/15/07 and others
**1/23/88 and previous: Gallup

5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way (ITEM) are doing their job?

2/1/08 - Summary Table

                                 Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
a. The Republicans in Congress     30          63            7
b. The Democrats in Congress       39          54            7

Trend:

a. The Republicans in Congress

              Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
2/1/08          30          63            7
12/9/07         32          63            5
11/1/07         32          63            6
9/30/07         29          67            4
7/21/07         34          64            2
6/1/07          36          58            6
4/15/07         39          59            2
10/8/06         35          63            2
5/15/06         33          64            3
11/2/05         35          61            4
6/5/05          42          56            2
6/6/99          41          52            7 
3/14/99         40          56            4
7/8/97          40          54            6
9/15/96  RV     46          48            6
6/30/96         38          56            6
4/5/95          45          50            5
10/31/94        33          59            7
10/23/94        31          64            5
9/11/94         35          59            6

b. The Democrats in Congress

              Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
2/1/08          39          54            7
12/9/07         40          53            6
11/1/07         36          58            6
9/30/07         38          57            5
7/21/07         46          51            2
6/1/07          44          49            6
4/15/07         54          44            2
10/8/06         48          50            3
5/15/06         39          58            4
11/2/05         41          54            5
6/5/05          42          56            3
6/6/99          51          42            7
3/14/99         51          42            7
7/8/97          45          49            6
4/5/95          36          60            4
10/31/94        39          53            8
10/23/94        36          59            5
9/11/94         41          53            6

6. Which political party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you trust to do a better job handling (ITEM)?

2/1/08 - Summary Table*

                                                      Both    Neither     No
                           Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
a. The economy                52           33           2       10         3
b. Immigration issues         40           37           2       12         9
c. The situation in Iraq      48           34           3        9         6
d. The federal budget 
   deficit                    52           31           2       10         6
e. Taxes                      48           40           1        8         4
f. The U.S. campaign
   against terrorism          44           37           4       10         5
g. Health care                56           29           2       10         4
*Full sample asked items a,b; half sample asked items c,d; other half sample asked items e-g.

Trend:

a. The economy

                                           Both    Neither     No      
                Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
2/1/08             52           33           2       10         3
12/9/07            51           33           2        9         5 
11/1/07            50           35           3        9         4
9/30/07            51           33           2       11         3  
10/22/06   RV      50           41           2        5         2
10/8/06            54           37           3        6         1
9/7/06             50           39           1        7         4
6/25/06            52           39           1        5         3    
5/15/06            52           34           3        9         2
4/9/06             49           43           1        4         3
3/5/06             49           40           2        8         2
1/26/06            55           37           2        5         2
11/2/05            56           34           1        8         1
12/15/02           44           45           4        6         1
10/27/02*  LV      43           48           3        3         2 
9/26/02*           47           39           3        6         5 
7/15/02**          38           48           3        6         5
1/27/02**          39           48           5        6         3   
4/22/01***         47           43           4        4         3
9/28/98            53           40          NA       NA         7
7/12/98            49           37           4        5         6
1/19/98            45           44           3        6         3
7/8/97             43           39           5       12         2
10/23/94           38           43           3       14         2
9/11/94            39           43           3       11         4
2/27/94            47           36           3       11         3
2/2/92             49           38           2        7         4
12/15/91           43           36           4       11         5
3/4/91             32           49           5       10         4
1/16/90            33           52           4        7         4  
*"The economy and jobs"
**"Improving the economy"
***4/22/01 and previous: "The nation's economy"

b. Immigration issues

                                           Both    Neither     No      
                Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
2/1/08             40           37           2       12         9
11/1/07            42           35           4       13         6
10/8/06            49           36           4       10         3
6/25/06            45           40           1        9         5    
5/15/06            48           34           1       14         4
4/9/06             50           38           1        7         4

c. The situation in Iraq       

                                           Both    Neither     No      
                Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
2/1/08             48           34           3        9         6
12/9/07            49           35           3       10         4 
11/1/07            50           34           2       10         4
9/30/07            49           34           3       11         3
9/7/07             42           31           3       19         5
11/4/06    RV      42           42           1       11         3
10/22/06   RV      48           40           1        8         3
10/8/06            51           38           3        7         2
9/7/06             43           44           2       10         2
8/6/06             43           40           *       11         5
6/25/06            47           41           1        9         2    
5/15/06            50           36           2       10         3
4/9/06             49           42           1        6         2 
3/5/06             42           42           2       11         2
1/26/06            47           40           1        9         2
12/18/05           47           44           2        6         2
11/2/05            48           37           2       11         2
12/15/02*          30           56           4        7         3
10/27/02   LV      31           58           3        4         4 
9/26/02            33           52           6        4         6      
*12/15/02 and previous: "The situation with Iraq and Saddam Hussein"

d. The federal budget deficit

                                           Both    Neither     No      
                Democrats  Republicans    (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion 
2/1/08              52          31           2       10         6
9/30/07             52          29           2       12         5      

Compare to:

The federal budget

                                           Both    Neither     No      
                Democrats  Republicans    (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion 
5/15/06             54          34           1        8         3
11/2/05             48          34           2       13         2
7/15/02*            44          41           5        6         4
1/27/02****         38          46           5        7         3
3/14/99*            43          40           5       10         3
9/28/98*            49          42          NA       NA         9
7/12/98*            42          39           4        7         8 
1/19/98**           41          43           3        8         4 
7/8/97**            39          36           5       17         3
10/23/94***         36          37           3       21         3
9/11/94             39          40           4       14         4
2/27/94             44          28           5       20         3
2/2/92              40          39           4       14         3
3/4/91              35          43           5       14         3
1/16/90             35          42           4       15         4
*"Managing the federal budget"
**"Balancing the federal budget"
***10/23/94 and previous: "Reducing the federal budget"
****"Keeping the federal budget balanced"

e. Taxes

                                           Both    Neither     No      
                Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
2/1/08             48           40           1        8         4
11/1/07            46           40           2        8         4
5/15/06            52           38           1        5         2
11/2/05            48           38           1       11         1
12/15/02           46           44           2        6         2
9/26/02            44           44           3        6         4
4/22/01*           38           52           2        6         3
9/2/99*            40           49           2        6         3
3/14/99**          43           41           2       10         4
9/28/98**          47           44          NA       NA         9
7/12/98**          42           39           3        8         8
1/19/98**          45           44           2        6         2
7/8/97**           41           38           3       15         4
10/30/95*          45           40          10        3         3
10/23/94**         37           42           2       17         2
9/11/94**          36           47           2       11         4
2/27/94**          35           41           4       18         2
2/2/92**           41           45           3        8         3
12/15/91**         40           38           3       14         5
3/4/91**           35           44           5       13         3
1/16/90**          37           47           2       10         4
*"Cutting taxes"
**"Holding taxes down"

f. The U.S. campaign against terrorism 

                                           Both    Neither     No      
                Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
2/1/08             44           37           4       10         5
12/9/07            45           38           4        8         6 
11/1/07            41           42           4        9         4
9/30/07            41           40           5       10         4
9/7/07             39           36           4       17         4
10/22/06   RV      44           43           2        8         3
10/8/06            47           41           4        6         2
9/7/06             40           47           1        9         3
8/6/06             46           38           1       11         4
6/25/06            39           46           2       10         3    
5/15/06            46           41           2        8         3
4/9/06             46           45           1        6         1 
3/5/06             39           46           3       10         2
1/26/06            41           46           2        6         4
11/2/05            42           42           4       10         3
12/15/02           25           61           5        6         2
10/27/02*  LV      26           61           4        5         4 
9/26/02*           30           51           6        6         8
7/15/02            27           55           9        3         6
1/27/02            23           62          10        3         2      
*"The war on terrorism"

g. Health care

                                           Both    Neither     No      
                Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
2/1/08             56           29           2       10         4
11/1/07            54           29           2       10         5
9/30/07            56           26           2       12         5
10/8/06            61           28           1        7         2
5/15/06            61           28           1        7         2
4/9/06             61           29           *        6         3
11/2/05            54           29           2       12         3
12/15/02*          53           33           3        7         4 
10/27/02*  LV      50           39           3        5         3 
9/26/02*           50           35           4        5         6  
7/15/02**          47           37           3        9         5
1/27/02**          50           35           5        5         4
1/19/98***         54           33           2        7         4
10/23/94           46           29           2       21         2
9/11/94            51           29           3       12         5
2/27/94            58           22           5       11         3
2/2/92             60           25           3        8         4
12/15/91           57           23           3       11         5
*"The cost, availability, and coverage of health insurance"
**"improving the health care system"
***1/19/98 and previous: "Providing affordable health care"

7. All in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, do you think the war with Iraq was worth fighting, or not? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

              ----- Worth fighting ----   --- Not worth fighting --     No     
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion 
2/1/08        34       23         11      65       11         53         1
1/12/08       35       21         13      64       13         51         2
12/9/07       37       25         12      61       11         50         2 
11/1/07       35       23         12      63       12         51         2
9/30/07       38       25         14      59       12         47         3 
9/7/07        36       23         13      62       11         51         2  
7/21/07       36       25         12      63       10         53         1 
6/1/07        37       24         12      61       12         50         2 
4/15/07       33       22         11      66       12         54         1 
2/25/07       34       22         12      64       13         51         2
1/10/07       40       28         12      58       11         47         2
12/11/06      36       25         11      61       12         50         2  
11/4/06  RV   44       33         12      53       10         44         2
10/22/06      40       28         12      57       11         47         2
10/8/06       35       25         10      63       13         50         2 
9/7/06        42       29         13      56       11         45         2 
8/6/06        39       29         10      59       12         47         1 
6/25/06       40       25         15      58       13         45         2
5/15/06       37       24         14      62       12         50         1    
4/9/06        41       30         11      58       10         48         1    
3/5/06        42       29         14      57       11         46         1  
1/26/06       44       32         12      55       13         42         1
1/8/06        43       30         13      55       12         43         2
12/18/05      46       33         14      52       11         42         1 
11/2/05       39       25         13      60       12         48         1
8/28/05       46       33         12      53        9         44         1
6/26/05       46       33         13      53       10         43         1 
6/5/05        41       29         12      58       12         46         1
4/24/05       44       31         13      54       12         42         2  
3/13/05       45       34         11      53       11         42         2  
1/16/05       44       32         12      55       10         45         1  
12/19/04      42       31         11      56       10         47         2  
10/3/04  LV   49       34         15      48       11         37         3  
9/26/04  RV   46       35         12      51        8         42         3 
9/8/04   RV   51       38         13      45       10         34         4
8/29/04  RV   48       34         14      50       11         39         2 
7/25/04       49       36         13      48       11         37         3 
6/20/04       47       32         14      52       13         39         2 
5/23/04       48       35         13      50       13         37         1     
5/6/04        49       NA         NA      47       NA         NA         5
4/18/04       51        "          "      47        "          "         2
3/7/04        52                          44                             3 
2/11/04       48                          50                             2
1/18/04       56                          41                             3 
12/21/03      59                          39                             2     
12/14/03      53                          42                             5     
11/16/03      52                          44                             4     
10/29/03      54                          44                             2     
10/13/03      54                          44                             2     
9/13/03       61                          37                             2     
9/7/03        54                          42                             4     
8/24/03       57                          37                             5     
8/11/03       61                          35                             4     
7/10/03       57                          40                             3     
6/22/03       64                          33                             3     
4/30/03       70                          27                             4     
2/2/92*       66                          32                             2     
7/28/91       67                          30                             3     
6/2/91        70                          26                             3     
3/4/91        86                          13                             1     
*2/2/92 and previous: "the Persian Gulf war"; 3/4/91: "this war"

8. Do you think the United States is or is not making significant progress toward restoring civil order in Iraq?

           Is making            Is not making         No  
            significant progress   significant progress   opinion
2/1/08             42                     54                4
1/12/08            42                     54                4
12/9/07            41                     55                4
11/1/07            39                     59                2 
9/7/07             36                     60                4 
6/1/07             32                     64                4
12/11/06           31                     66                3
6/25/06            48                     49                2
3/5/06             43                     56                2
12/18/05           60                     37                2
11/2/05            44                     55                2 
8/28/05            48                     50                2 
6/26/05            48                     51                1
12/19/04           44                     49                7
6/20/04            51                     48                1

9. How closely are you following the presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?

              ---- Closely -----   ---- Not closely -----     No
              NET   Very   Smwt.   NET   Not too   At all   opinion  
2/1/08        81     35     46     19       12        7        *
1/12/08       79     32     47     21       15        6        *  
12/9/07       72     21     51     28       19        8        *
11/1/07       67     21     46     33       22       12        0  
9/30/07       69     21     48     30       21       10        * 
7/21/07       70     22     48     30       20       10        *  
6/1/07        66     18     48     34       22       13        *  
4/15/07       66     20     45     34       20       14        *  
2/25/07       65     20     44     35       25       10        *

2004:   

9/26/04 RV    87     48     39     12        8        4        1
9/8/04 RV     85     45     40     14       10        4        1 
8/29/04 RV    81     43     38     20       13        7        * 
8/1/04 RV     80     41     39     20       13        7        * 
7/25/04       73     34     39     27       15       12        *
7/11/04       79     36     43     20       13        7        1
6/20/04       78     33     45     22       15        7        *
5/23/04       74     33     41     26       17        9        * 
4/18/04       75     30     45     25       16        9        0
3/7/04        75     33     42     25       18        7        * 
2/11/04       75     30     45     25       15       10        *
1/18/04       66     22     44     35       22       13        * 
10/29/03      54     15     39     45       30       15        0
9/13/03       56     16     40     44       27       17        *

2000:

10/15/00 RV   77     33     44     23       15        8        *
10/9/00 RV    75     30     45     25       16        9        *
10/1/00 RV    75     27     48     25       17        8        *
9/6/00 RV     74     26     48     26       17        9        *
8/20/00 RV    74     28     46     26       16       10        1
8/10/00 RV    72     29     43     29       18       11        *
8/6/00        54     17     36     47       22       25        *
7/29/00       51     16     35     49       25       24        *
7/23/00       50     14     36     50       25       25        *
6/11/00       49     13     36     51       26       25        0
4/2/00        53     17     36     47       24       23        0
3/11/00       61     21     40     38       21       17        0
2/27/00       70     24     46     30       20       10        *
2/6/00        67     19     48     34       21       13        0
1/16/00       50     11     39     50       26       24        *
12/15/99      45     12     33     55       31       24        *
10/31/99      61     16     45     38       25       13        *


10. I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential primary or caucus in your state. Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?


                                 Less    Will not   No primary/   Already   
                                 than      vote       caucus       voted    No
         Cert.   Prob.   50-50   50-50    (vol.)       (vol.)      (vol.)   op. 
2/1/08     64     13       9      10         3            *           1      *
1/12/08    65     12      13       6         4            *           *      *       
12/9/07    70     11      10       6         3            *          NA      *
11/1/07    69     12      10       6         3            *          NA      1 

11. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) If the Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were: (Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama), for whom would you vote?

NET LEANED VOTE - LIKELY VOTERS

                  2/1/08   1/12/08   12/9/07   11/1/07
Hillary Clinton     47       42        53        51
Barack Obama        43       37        23        24
John Edwards**       2       11        10        13
Other (vol.)         *        1         0         1
None (vol.)          2        3         1         2
No opinion           5        3         3         2

NET LEANED VOTE - ALL LEANED DEMS

                      -- 2008 --   ------------------- 2007 -------------------
                      2/1   1/12   12/9  11/1  9/30  9/7  7/21  6/1  4/15  2/25
Hillary Clinton       47     41     52    49    53   41    45    42   41    43
Barack Obama          43     39     23    26    20   27    30    27   25    27
John Edwards**         1     11     12    12    13   14    12    11   17    14
Other (vol.)           1      1      0     *     *    1     1     *    1     *
None (vol.)            2      2      2     1     4    4     2     4    3     4
Wouldn't vote (vol.)   1      0      1     1     1    0     2     1    1     1
No opinion             5      4      3     2     2    5     2     6    5     4
*Asked Dennis Kucinich 1/12 and previous, Bill Richardson, Joe Biden, and Chris Dodd 12/9
and previous, Mike Gravel 11/1 and previous, Al Gore 7/21 and previous, Wesley Clark 4/15 and previous,
Tom Vilsack 2/25 and previous, John Kerry 1/19 and previous, Evan Bayh 12/11
**John Edwards vote in 2/1 poll includes those who said that they had already voted for him.

12. (IF NAMED DEM CANDIDATE) Do you support (CANDIDATE) strongly, or somewhat?

2/1/08 - Summary Table

                  Strongly   Somewhat   No opinion 
Hillary Clinton      62         38           0
Barack Obama         49         51           *

Trend where available:

Hillary Clinton
2/1/08               62         38           0
1/12/08              68         32           0
12/9/07              49         51           *
11/1/07              57         42           1
9/30/07              61         39           0
7/21/07              68         32           0
6/1/07               53         47           0
4/15/07              59         41           0
2/25/06              56         44           0

Barack Obama
2/1/08               49         51           *
1/12/08              56         44           0
12/9/07              41         59           0
11/1/07              50         50           0
9/30/07              52         48           0
7/21/07              56         43           1
6/1/07               43         56           1
4/15/07              51         49           0
2/25/06              60         38           1


13. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you think (ITEM) - (Clinton) or (Obama)?

2/1/08 - Summary Table
                                                Both    Neither     No 
                             Clinton   Obama   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
a. is the strongest leader     58       34        2        1         4 
b. has the best chance of 
   getting elected      
   president in 
   November                    47       42        3        2         7
c. best understands the 
   problems of people
   like you                    48       41        5        2         4
d. would do the most to 
   bring needed change to 
   Washington                  42       49        3        2         3

Trend:

a. is the strongest leader

                            Both    Neither     No 
         Clinton   Obama   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
2/1/08     58       34        2        1         4
Compare to:

                                       All      Any 2    None      No 
          Clinton   Obama   Edwards   (vol.)   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
1/12/08     47        33      12        1         2        1        4
12/9/07     61        19      13        *         1        1        4
11/1/07     59        24      12        1         1        1        3
9/30/07     61        20      13        1         1        2        3
6/1/07      50        26      15        1         1        1        5
2/25/07     52        23      17        1         1        1        5

b. has the best chance of getting elected president in November  

                            Both    Neither     No 
         Clinton   Obama   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
2/1/08     47       42        3        2         7

Compare to:
  
                                       All      Any 2    None      No 
          Clinton   Obama   Edwards   (vol.)   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
1/12/08     43        36      10        2         1        *        7
12/9/07     59        16      16        1         2        1        5
11/1/07     62        15      14        1         2        1        5
9/30/07     57        16      20        *         1        1        3
6/1/07      43        21      26        1         2        1        6
2/25/07     48        17      25        *         2        1        6

c. best understands the problems of people like you    

                            Both    Neither     No 
         Clinton   Obama   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
2/1/08     48       41        5        2         4

Compare to:

                                       All      Any 2    None      No 
          Clinton   Obama   Edwards   (vol.)   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
1/12/08     40        34      15        1         2        4        4
12/9/07     48        25      16        1         1        3        4
6/1/07      38        33      18        2         1        4        5
2/25/07     39        31      20        1         1        3        4

d. would do the most to bring needed change to Washington 

                            Both    Neither     No 
         Clinton   Obama   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
2/1/08     42       49        3        2         3

Compare to:

                                       All      Any 2    None      No 
          Clinton   Obama   Edwards   (vol.)   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
1/12/08     41        40      10        *         2        2        4


14. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust most to handle (ITEM) - (Clinton) or (Obama)?

2/1/08 - Summary Table

                                           Both    Neither     No 
                        Clinton   Obama   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
a. The war in Iraq        48       40        6        3         3
b. The economy            52       38        4        1         5
c. Health care            60       32        4        1         3
d. Immigration issues     43       39        5        5         8 

Trend:

a. The war in Iraq

                            Both    Neither     No 
         Clinton   Obama   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
2/1/08     48       40        6        3         3

Compare to:

                                       All      Any 2    None      No 
          Clinton   Obama   Edwards   (vol.)   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
1/12/08     40       36       12        1         2        4        6
12/9/07     51       26       14        2         1        2        4
9/30/07     52       22       17        1         *        4        5

b. The economy

                            Both    Neither     No 
         Clinton   Obama   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
2/1/08     52       38        4        1         5

Compare to:

                                       All      Any 2    None      No 
          Clinton   Obama   Edwards   (vol.)   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
1/12/08     46       33       13        1         1        2        4
12/9/07     58       18       16        2         1        1        4
9/30/07     56       17       17        1         1        3        4

c. Health care

                            Both    Neither     No 
         Clinton   Obama   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
2/1/08     60       32        4        1         3

Compare to:

                                       All      Any 2    None      No 
          Clinton   Obama   Edwards   (vol.)   (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
1/12/08     54       27       11        1         1        2        5
12/9/07     60       15       16        1         1        1        6
9/30/07     66       15       14        1         *        2        2

d. No trend.



15. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) If the Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were: (John McCain, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, or Ron Paul), for whom would you vote?

NET LEANED VOTE - LIKELY VOTERS 

                2/1/08   1/12/08   12/9/07   11/1/07
John McCain       48       28        12        17     
Mitt Romney       24       19        17        13     
Mike Huckabee     16       20        19         9     
Ron Paul           7        3         3         2     
Rudy Giuliani**    1       15        25        34
Fred Thompson**    1        8        14        16
Other (vol.)       0        1         *         0     
None (vol.)        1        2         3         2     
No opinion         2        2         4         3     

NET LEANED VOTE - ALL LEANED REPS

                      ---2008---   ------------------- 2007 -------------------
                      2/1   1/12   12/9  11/1  9/30  9/7  7/21  6/1  4/15  2/25
John McCain           48     28     15    19    12    18   16    20   22    23
Mitt Romney           21     15     17    11    11    10    8    10   10     5
Mike Huckabee         16     19     15     9     8     5    2     2    1     2
Ron Paul               7      4      3     3     3     1    2     2    1     1
Rudy Giuliani**        1     17     26    33    34    28   37    34   35    53
Fred Thompson**        *      7     12    16    17    19   15    13   10    NA
Other (vol.)           0      1      *     *     *     1    *     *    0     *
None (vol.)            3      2      4     4     4     2    5     3    4     2
Wouldn't vote (vol.)   0      1      *     *     1     2    1     *    *     1
No opinion             3      5      5     3     8    10    5    10    7     5
*Asked Duncan Hunter 1/12 and previous, Tom Tancredo 12/9 and previous, Sam Brownback 9/30
and previous, Tommy Thompson 7/21 and previous, Jim Gilmore 6/1 and previous, Chuck Hagel
and George Pataki, 4/15 and previous.
**Rudy Giuliani and Fred Thompson vote in 2/1 poll includes those who said that they had already voted for him.

16. (IF NAMED REP CANDIDATE) Do you support (CANDIDATE) strongly, or somewhat?

                Strongly   Somewhat   No opinion 
John McCain        
2/1/08             38         61           1
1/12/08            32         68           0
2/25/07            20         28          33

Mitt Romney
2/1/08             43         57           0


17. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you think (ITEM)?

2/1/08 - Summary Table

                                                            Other/None/
                        McCain   Romney   Huckabee   Paul   No opinion
a. is the strongest
   leader                 60       21         7        5         7
b. has the best 
   chance of getting
   elected president      
   in November            67       14         3        2        14
c. best reflects the 
   core values of the 
   Republican Party       41       25        15        5        15

Trend where available:

a. is the strongest leader
         
                      2/1/08   1/12/08   12/9/07
John McCain             60       37        19 
Mitt Romney             21       11        11    
Mike Huckabee            7       11         9    
Ron Paul                 5        2         1 
Rudy Giuliani           NA       25        38
Fred Thompson           NA        5         6 
Duncan Hunter           NA        1         * 
All of them (vol.)       *        *         *
None of them (vol.)      2        1         1
No opinion               5        6        14 


b. has the best chance of getting elected president in November

                      2/1/08   1/12/08   12/9/07
John McCain             67       33        10 
Mitt Romney             14       14        15
Mike Huckabee            3       16         7
Ron Paul                 2        1         1
Rudy Giuliani           NA       16        42
Fred Thompson           NA        2         5 
Duncan Hunter           NA        0         * 
All of them (vol.)       *        *         0
None of them (vol.)      3        3         5
No opinion              10       13        16 


c. best reflects the core values of the Republican Party

                      2/1/08   1/12/08   12/9/07
John McCain             41       27        18 
Mitt Romney             25       15        14
Mike Huckabee           15       18        16
Ron Paul                 5        4         2
Rudy Giuliani           NA       12        16
Fred Thompson           NA       11        13   
Duncan Hunter           NA        1         2
All of them (vol.)       3        *         1
None of them (vol.)      3        1         2
No opinion               9       11        16 


18. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust most to handle (ITEM)?

2/1/08 - Summary Table

                                                            Other/None/
                         McCain   Romney   Huckabee   Paul   No opinion

a. The war in Iraq         69       12         7        3         9
b. The U.S. campaign 
   against terrorism       67       13         7        4         9
c. The economy             43       29        10        7        11
d. Immigration issues      47       22        10        5        17
e. Social issues, such 
   as abortion and gay 
   civil unions            35       20        21        5        19

Trend:

a. The war in Iraq          

                      2/1/08   1/12/08   12/9/07
John McCain             69       42        29 
Mitt Romney             12        6         9    
Mike Huckabee            7       11         9    
Ron Paul                 3        3         1 
Rudy Giuliani           NA       19        28
Fred Thompson           NA        7         8 
Duncan Hunter           NA        1         1 
All of them (vol.)       *        1         *
None of them (vol.)      2        3         2
No opinion               7        7        13 

b. The U.S. campaign against terrorism

                      2/1/08   1/12/08   12/9/07
John McCain             67       40        26 
Mitt Romney             13        7         7    
Mike Huckabee            7       12         8    
Ron Paul                 4        3         2 
Rudy Giuliani           NA       24        36
Fred Thompson           NA        6         8 
Duncan Hunter           NA        1         * 
All of them (vol.)       *        1         1
None of them (vol.)      2        2         2
No opinion               8        6        10 

c. The economy

                      2/1/08   1/12/08   12/9/07
John McCain             43       19        14 
Mitt Romney             29       18        18    
Mike Huckabee           10       18        10    
Ron Paul                 7        3         3 
Rudy Giuliani           NA       18        27
Fred Thompson           NA        8        10 
Duncan Hunter           NA        1         1 
All of them (vol.)       1        *         1
None of them (vol.)      4        4         2
No opinion               6       12        14 

d. Immigration issues

                      2/1/08   1/12/08   12/9/07
John McCain             47       27        18 
Mitt Romney             22       11         9    
Mike Huckabee           10       15        11    
Ron Paul                 5        4         2 
Rudy Giuliani           NA       17        22
Fred Thompson           NA        9        10 
Duncan Hunter           NA        2         1 
All of them (vol.)       0        *         *
None of them (vol.)      4        4         3
No opinion              12       12        20 

e. Social issues, such as abortion and gay civil unions

                      2/1/08   1/12/08   12/9/07
John McCain             35       20        11 
Mike Huckabee           21       22        17    
Mitt Romney             20       15        16    
Ron Paul                 5        3         3 
Rudy Giuliani           NA       14        15
Fred Thompson           NA        8        11 
Duncan Hunter           NA        1         2 
All of them (vol.)       *        1         1
None of them (vol.)      6        4         4
No opinion              12       12        20 


19. Which of these is more important to you in a candidate for president: (strength and experience) or (a new direction and new ideas)?

          Strength and   New direction    Both    Neither     No 
           experience    and new ideas   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
2/1/08         51              39           7        1         1
1/12/08        47              43           9        *         1
12/9/07        54              38           6        *         1
11/1/07        49              41           8        1         1
9/30/07        52              40           7        1         1
7/21/07        50              41           6        *         2

20. Overall, in the presidential campaign so far, do you think the candidates have focused more on (discussing real issues) or on (arguing about things that really aren't that important)?

         Discussing    Arguing about things      No
         real issues   that aren't important   opinion
2/1/08       34                 61                5

21. How satisfied are you with the current system used by the Democratic and Republican parties to pick their presidential nominees - very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, not too satisfied or not satisfied at all?

     
          ----- Satisfied -----   ----- Dissatisfied -------
         Net   Very   Somewhat   Net   Not too   Not at all   No opinion
2/1/08   60     11       49      38      23         15             2 
3/5/00   58      9       49      33      17         16             9
7/8/92   51      8       43      47      30         18             1

22. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) How would you describe the tone of the Democratic campaign so far? Would you say it has been mostly (positive) or mostly (negative) in tone?

     
          Mostly     Mostly    About equal     No
         positive   negative     (vol.)      opinion
2/1/08      64         27           5           4

22a. (IF MOSTLY NEGATIVE) Which campaign do you mainly blame for that?

                                Both    Neither     No 
         Clinton's   Obama's   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
2/1/08      48         17        28        4         2

22/22a NET

    

          Mostly    --------- Mostly negative --------   About equal     No
         positive   NET  Clinton  Obama  Both  Neither     (vol.)      opinion
2/1/08      64      27     13       5      8      1           5           4

23. If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (John McCain, the Republican) and (Hillary Clinton, the Democrat), for whom would you vote?

  
NET LEANED VOTE:

                               Other    Neither    Would not      No
           McCain    Clinton   (vol.)   (vol.)    vote (vol.)   opinion
2/1/08 All   49        46        *        2           1            2
2/1/08 RV    50        45        *        1           1            2
11/1/07      43        52        1        2           1            1
1/19/07      45        50        *        3           1            1

24. If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Mitt Romney, the Republican) and (Hillary Clinton, the Democrat), for whom would you vote?

  
NET LEANED VOTE:

                               Other    Neither    Would not      No
           Romney    Clinton   (vol.)   (vol.)    vote (vol.)   opinion 
2/1/08 All   41        53        *        3           1            2
2/1/08 RV    43        51        *        3           1            1
11/1/07      39        57        1        2           1            1


25. If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (John McCain, the Republican) and (Barack Obama, the Democrat), for whom would you vote?

    
NET LEANED VOTE:

                               Other    Neither    Would not      No
           McCain     Obama    (vol.)   (vol.)    vote (vol.)   opinion
2/1/08 All   46        49        *        2           1            3
2/1/08 RV    48        47        1        1           1            2
1/19/07      45        47        *        3           1            3


26. If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Mitt Romney, the Republican) and (Barack Obama, the Democrat), for whom would you vote?

   
NET LEANED VOTE:

                               Other    Neither    Would not      No
           Romney     Obama    (vol.)   (vol.)    vote (vol.)   opinion
2/1/08 All   34        59        *        3           1            3
2/1/08 RV    36        57        *        3           1            2

27. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Rudy Giuliani ended his presidential campaign on Wednesday after competing only lightly in early contests and finishing third in the Florida primary. Do you think Giuliani was a (bad candidate) or a (good candidate with a bad strategy)?

  
            Bad        Good candidate    Bad candidate with    Other      No
         candidate   with bad strategy   bad strategy (vol.)   (vol.)   opinion
2/1/08      26               66                    2             1         5

28. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Bill Clinton? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

  
            ------ Favorable ------   ----- Unfavorable -----       No   
            NET  Strongly  Somewhat   NET  Somewhat  Strongly    opinion
2/1/08      55      32        23      42      15        27          3  
2/25/07     55      33        22      42      13        30          2     
1/19/07     61      NA        NA      37      NA        NA          2 
5/15/06     59      36        24      39      13        25          2
12/15/00    56      NA        NA      40      NA        NA          4
7/23/00     44      23        21      50      36        13          6
6/6/99*     52      NA        NA      44      NA        NA          4
2/14/99     57      32        25      40      29        11          3
1/30/99     54      35        19      42      30        12          3
9/28/98     48      NA        NA      47      NA        NA          5
8/23/98     45      NA        NA      49      NA        NA          6
8/21/98     56      NA        NA      40      NA        NA          4
8/19/98     39      NA        NA      57      NA        NA          4
7/12/98     54      NA        NA      40      NA        NA          6
5/12/98     54      NA        NA      42      NA        NA          4
4/4/98      55      NA        NA      39      NA        NA          6
2/18/98     56      NA        NA      41      NA        NA          3
1/30/98     60      NA        NA      35      NA        NA          6
1/25/98     54      NA        NA      42      NA        NA          5
1/24/98     51      NA        NA      44      NA        NA          5
1/19/98     59      NA        NA      35      NA        NA          6
1/12/98     59      NA        NA      33      NA        NA          7
10/13/97    59      NA        NA      37      NA        NA          4
9/10/97     57      NA        NA      38      NA        NA          5
3/9/97      60      NA        NA      38      NA        NA          3
9/4/96   RV 58      NA        NA      38      NA        NA          4
6/30/96     56      NA        NA      38      NA        NA          5
10/30/95    54      NA        NA      41      NA        NA          6
7/17/95     59      NA        NA      38      NA        NA          3
6/8/95      53      NA        NA      43      NA        NA          4
3/19/95     55      NA        NA      42      NA        NA          3
10/31/94    51      NA        NA      44      NA        NA          5
5/15/94     57      NA        NA      40      NA        NA          3
3/27/94     59      NA        NA      37      NA        NA          4
1/23/94     60      NA        NA      32      NA        NA          8
11/14/93    58      NA        NA      37      NA        NA          5
11/11/93    52      NA        NA      43      NA        NA          6
8/8/93      56      NA        NA      39      NA        NA          5
4/26/93     59      NA        NA      29      NA        NA         12
2/23/93     59      NA        NA      30      NA        NA         11
1/17/93     68      NA        NA      20      NA        NA         11
10/18/92 LV 56      NA        NA      36      NA        NA          8
9/27/92  LV 55      NA        NA      36      NA        NA          9
8/23/92  RV 54      NA        NA      36      NA        NA         10
7/19/92  RV 58      NA        NA      23      NA        NA         18
7/8/92      52      NA        NA      33      NA        NA         15
6/7/92      41      NA        NA      38      NA        NA         21
3/18/92     37      NA        NA      37      NA        NA         26
3/11/92     39      NA        NA      31      NA        NA         30
2/2/92      37      NA        NA      24      NA        NA         39
1/27/92     23      NA        NA      11      NA        NA         66
10/21/91    13      NA        NA       9      NA        NA         78
*Post poll


29. On another subject, would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good or poor?

              --- Excellent/Good ---   --- Not so good/Poor ---     No      
              NET   Excellent   Good   NET   Not so good   Poor   opinion 
2/1/08        19        1        18    81        43         38       0 
12/9/07       28        3        25    72        40         32       * 
11/1/07       35        3        32    64        39         26       * 
4/15/07       42        5        37    57        37         20       *  
12/11/06      50        7        42    50        36         14       *
10/22/06      55       10        45    45        28         17       * 
10/8/06       47        7        40    53        37         16       * 
3/5/06        43        5        38    57        37         19       * 
1/26/06       40        5        35    60        37         23       *
12/18/05      45        5        39    55        38         17       *
11/2/05       35        3        32    65        36         29       * 
9/11/05       40        3        37    59        37         22       1 
6/5/05        44        3        40    56        38         19       * 
4/24/05       37        2        35    63        44         20       *   
9/26/04  RV   46        3        43    53        38         15       1   
8/29/04  RV   45        3        41    55        37         18       *   
7/25/04       46        4        42    53        39         14       *   
6/20/04       45        4        41    55        38         17       *   
4/18/04       43        4        39    57        39         18       *  
3/7/04        39        2        37    60        38         22       1    
1/18/04       42        3        39    58        42         16       0 
12/21/03      42        4        39    57        41         16       1      
10/29/03      33        1        32    67        45         23       *      
9/13/03       30        2        27    70        45         25       *      
8/11/03       32        2        30    68        43         25       *      
4/30/03       35        1        34    64        46         19       *      
2/9/03        28        1        27    72        49         23       *      
1/20/03       25        1        25    74        48         26       1      
12/15/02      35        1        33    65        44         21       1      
11/4/02  LV   28        1        27    72        55         17       1      
11/3/02  LV   27        1        26    72        56         17       1      
11/2/02  LV   29        1        28    71        54         17       *      
9/26/02       31        2        28    69        50         19       *      
7/15/02       39        3        36    61        44         17       1      
2/21/02       30        1        29    69        51         18       *      
1/27/02       31        1        29    69        50         19       *      
9/20/01       38        3        35    60        47         14       2      
9/9/01        33        1        32    66        47         19       *      
7/30/01       50        3        46    50        39         12       *    
4/22/01       50        3        47    50        40          9       *     
1/15/01       70       10        59    29        24          6       1     
10/27/00 LV   86       24        61    14        11          3       *     
10/26/00 LV   86       24        61    14        11          3       *     
6/11/00       74       17        57    26        19          6       *     
2/27/00       80       25        55    20        14          5       *     
10/31/99      74       18        56    26        18          7       1     
9/2/99        76       19        57    23        16          6       1     
3/14/99       80       22        58    19        15          4       1     
11/1/98       73       12        61    26        21          5       1     
11/1/98  LV   78       13        65    22        19          3       *     
10/13/97      61       12        49    39        27         11       *
3/19/95       34        1        33    66        45         20       * 
10/31/94      38        1        37    62        42         19       1
10/23/94      40        1        39    59        41         18       1
6/20/93       17        1        16    83        50         33       1
3/11/93       19        1        19    80        45         35       1
6/7/92        12        *        12    88        45         43       *
12/15/91      10        *        10    89        40         49       *
11/10/91      12        1        12    87        42         45       *
6/2/91        23        1        22    77        47         30       *

30. Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel (optimistic) or (pessimistic) about (ITEM)?

2/1/08 - Summary Table 

                                       Optimistic   Pessimistic   No opinion
a. the state of the national economy       45            51            4
b. your own family's financial 
   situation                               67            30            3

Trend:

a. the state of the national economy

           Optimistic   Pessimistic   No opinion
2/1/08         45           51             4
12/9/07        45           52             3
12/11/06       64           33             3
5/15/06        52           46             1
12/18/05       55           44             1
12/19/04       58           40             2
6/20/04        64           34             2
1/14/03        63           35             2  

b. your own family's financial situation      

           Optimistic   Pessimistic   No opinion
2/1/08         67           30             3
12/9/07        72           25             3
12/11/06       82           16             2
5/15/06        79           20             1
12/18/05       73           26             1
12/19/04       75           23             2

31. Just your best guess, would you say the nation's economy is in a recession right now, or not?

         Is in a recession   Is not in a recession   No opinion
2/1/08            59                    38                  3
1/18/04           39                    58                  3 
10/7/90           59                    36                  5  
12/12/81          82                    12                  5

32. Do you think the United States is in a long-term economic decline, or do you think the country's economic system is basically pretty solid?

         Long-term decline   Basically pretty solid   No opinion
2/1/08         49                      47                  4
5/6/96         46                      51                  3

33. As you may know, Bush and congressional leaders are planning payments to most workers of several hundred dollars and new tax breaks for businesses in order to stimulate the economy. Do you think this will or will not be enough to avoid or soften a recession?

          
              Will   Will not   No opinion 
2/1/08         28       67           5 

34. If you get a federal rebate, what will you most likely do with it?

                   2/1/08
Save it                  27                    
Pay bills                26                                                
Spend it                 20                 
Travel/vacation           1                     
Save/use for                               
 education                3           
Pay taxes                 1                    
Invest it                 3              
Pay off debt              5                 
Help others/family/                        
 charities                1           
Home improvements         1                
Apply towards                            
 mortgage                 *                     
Spend some/save some      1
Will not get a
 rebate                   3   
Other                     2
No opinion                6

35. On another subject, do you personally feel comfortable or uncomfortable with the idea of Bill Clinton back in the White House, this time as first husband?

    
                                        Neither/Neutral     No
          Comfortable   Uncomfortable       (vol.)        opinion
2/1/08        50             43                6             1 
9/30/07       60             30                8             1

36. Do you think Bill Clinton is playing a (positive) or a (negative) role in his wife's presidential campaign?

         Positive   Negative   No opinion
2/1/08      51         43           6 

901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as:

             Democrat     Republican     Independent     Other     No op.
2/1/08         37            26              32           4         1
1/12/08        39            27              29           5         1
12/9/07        37            24              33           5         1
11/1/07        35            29              31           4         1
9/30/07        33            24              36           6         1
9/7/07         31            24              38           6         1
7/21/07        35            23              35           6         *
6/1/07         32            25              38           5         1
4/15/07        36            25              33           6         *
2/25/07        35            26              35           3         1
1/19/07        36            24              35           5         1
12/11/06       34            24              36           5         1
11/4/06        33            30              32           3         2
10/22/06       30            28              36           4         2
10/8/06        38            27              31           3         1
9/7/06         33            32              30           3         2
8/6/06         34            27              34           4         1
6/25/06        33            28              35           3         *
5/15/06        34            28              33           4         1
5/11/06        33            30              33           3         1
4/9/06         34            29              34           3         0
3/5/06         32            28              36           3         1
1/26/06        32            27              34           6         *
1/8/06         31            30              34           5         1
12/18/05       33            32              33           2         *
11/2/05        31            27              38           3         1
9/11/05        31            27              34           8         1
9/2/05         32            31              31           5         2
8/28/05        32            29              33           5         1
6/26/05        34            28              32           5         1
6/5/05         30            31              34           4         *
4/24/05        35            28              32           5         *


904. Do you lean more towards the:

          Democratic Party    Republican Party    (VOL) Neither    No op.
2/1/08         43                   30                 23           4
1/12/08        38                   26                 32           4
12/9/07        39                   32                 24           4
11/1/07        42                   34                 22           2
9/30/07        38                   34                 27           1
9/7/07         40                   27                 28           5
7/21/07        42                   34                 22           1
6/1/07         45                   27                 26           2
4/15/07        39                   30                 29           2
2/25/07        42                   33                 24           1
1/19/07        50                   27                 20           3
12/11/06       44                   32                 23           1


NET LEANED PARTY:

            Democrat     Republican     Independent     Other     No op.
2/1/08         53            37               8           2         1
1/12/08        52            36               9           3         *
12/9/07        53            36               8           3         *
11/1/07        50            41               6           2         1
9/30/07        50            38               9           2         *
9/7/07         49            36              11           3         1
7/21/07        53            38               7           3         0
6/1/07         52            36              10           2         1
4/15/07        51            37              10           2         *
2/25/07        52            39               8           1         *
1/19/07        56            34               7           2         *
12/11/06       52            38               7           3         *

 

905. Are you registered to vote at your present address, or not?

 

             Yes     No     No opinion
2/1/08       80      19          1
1/12/08      82      17          1
12/9/07      82      18          1
11/1/07      81      19          1
9/30/07      81      18          1
9/7/07       80      19          1
7/21/07      84      16          *
6/1/07       82      18          *
4/15/07      85      15          *
2/25/07      84      16          *
1/19/07      80      20          *
12/11/06     84      16          *
11/4/06      80      19          *
10/22/06     78      22          3
10/8/06      85      15          *
9/7/06       81      19          *
8/6/06       85      15          0
6/25/06      83      17          1
5/15/06      83      17          *
5/11/06      84      16          *
4/9/06       83      17          0
1/26/06      81      19          *
12/18/05     86      14          *
11/2/05      86      14          *


908a. Would you say your views on most political matters are liberal, moderate, or conservative?

                                                     Don't think in      No
            Liberal    Moderate    Conservative    those terms (vol.)    op.
2/1/08         25         38            34                  2             1
1/12/08        24         36            36                  2             1
12/9/07        24         38            36                  1             1
11/1/07        24         41            32                  1             1
9/30/07        24         45            30                  1             1
9/7/07         20         39            39                  1             2
7/21/07        25         39            32                  3             1
6/1/07         24         36            37                  2             1
4/15/07        24         42            32                  1             1
2/25/07        23         40            35                  1             1
1/19/07        23         41            33                  1             1
12/11/06       23         42            33                  2             1
11/4/06        19         42            36                  2             1
10/22/06       22         42            32                  2             2
10/8/06        21         43            33                  1             1
9/7/06         24         39            33                  2             2
8/6/06         18         42            38                  1             1
6/25/06        21         41            35                  1             1
5/15/06        19         48            31                  1             1
5/11/06        18         49            33                  *             *
4/9/06         21         41            35                  2             1
3/5/06         22         42            33                  2             1
1/26/06        21         40            37                  1             1
1/8/06         20         40            37                  2             1
12/18/05       22         42            34                  1             1
11/2/05        23         44            32                  1             *
9/11/05        22         44            31                  2             2
8/28/05        20         44            34                  2             1
6/26/05        21         44            33                  1             1
6/5/05         23         40            35                  1             *
4/24/05        20         47            30                  1             1


908b. (IF LIBERAL) Would you say that you are very liberal or somewhat liberal?

         Very     Somewhat   
        liberal   liberal    No opinion
2/1/08    35         65           *

908C. (IF CONSERVATIVE) Would you say that you are very conservative or somewhat conservative?

            Very         Somewhat   
        conservative   conservative   No opinion
2/1/08       33             66             1

909. What was the last grade of school you completed?

  
High school or less        15
Graduated high school      32
Some college               22
Graduated College          20
Post-graduate              10

910. What is your age?

  
18-29                      21
30-39                      18
40-49                      18
50-64                      26
65+                        16

911. What, if anything, is your religion?

     
                                      Christian       Other Non-         No
           Protestant   Catholic   (Non-Protestant)   Christian   None   op. 
2/1/08         42          21              13              5       17     *
1/12/08        44          21              14              4       15     *
12/9/07        43          21              13              4       16     1
11/1/07        46          21              15              6       13     1
9/30/07        44          21              14              6       15     *
9/7/07         46          21              14              4       13     *
7/21/07        46          20              14              5       12     *
6/1/07         44          22              14              4       15     1
4/15/07        42          21              17              5       13     1
2/25/07        44          21              14              6       14     *
1/19/07        44          23              10              5       14     1
12/11/06       42          21              12              2       16     1
11/4/06        48          23              12              2       12     1
10/22/06       44          21              14              3       15     1
10/8/06        44          19              13              5       15     *
9/7/06         46          19              12              6       14     1
8/6/06         45          23              12              3       16     1
6/25/06        45          23              12              4       14     *
5/15/06        46          22              14              4       12     *
5/11/06        46          24              10              4       13     1
4/9/06         42          24              14              5       14     *
3/5/06         44          21              14              4       14     *
1/26/06        46          24              11              4       14     1
1/8/06         45          20              12              4       15     1
12/18/05       44          21              13              3       15     1
11/2/05        46          21              11              6       15     *
9/11/05        44          23              12              3       15     *
8/28/05        44          23              14              3       13     1
6/26/05        46          22              10              4       16     *
6/5/05         47          23              11              4       14     *
4/24/05        47          21              12              4       14     1

911b. (IF CHRISTIAN) Would you consider yourself a born-again or evangelical Christian, or not?

            Yes     No     No opin.
2/1/08      43      56         2
1/12/08     40      57         3
12/9/07     44      54         2
11/1/07     41      56         3
9/30/07     42      55         3
9/7/07      44      54         3
7/21/07     45      54         1
6/1/07      42      56         3
4/15/07     40      58         2
2/25/07     42      55         3
1/19/07     43      55         2
12/11/06    44      53         3
11/4/06     43      55         2
10/22/06    43      53         4
10/8/06     44      55         1
9/7/06      45      53         2
8/6/06      46      51         3
6/25/06     42      55         3
5/15/06     42      56         1
5/11/06     38      60         2
4/9/06      40      59         1
3/5/06      46      53         1
1/26/06     44      54         2
1/8/06      45      51         3
12/18/05    43      54         2
11/2/05     41      57         2
9/11/05     40      58         2
8/28/05     43      54         3
6/26/05     42      55         3
6/5/05      44      54         2
4/24/05     42      56         2

912b. Are you, or is anyone in your household, a military veteran?

             ------------------ Yes ------------------
                  Resp  Other HH      Both resp and
             NET   is   member is   other HH member are   No   No op. 
2/1/08       25    10      13                1            75     0
9/30/07      30    13      16                1            70     0
9/7/07       28    13      14                1            72     *
4/15/07      31    14      16                1            69     *
2/25/07      26    13      12                1            74     0
1/19/07      31    14      16                1            69     *
12/11/06     28    13      14                1            72     *


914. Are you:

  
                                                      Never
             Married  Separated  Divorced   Widowed  Married
2/1/08         56         3         10         8       24
1/12/08        55         3         12         7       23
12/9/07        57         2         10         8       23
11/1/07        58         4         11         7       21
9/30/07        53         2         12         7       26
7/21/07        57         3         10         6       23
6/1/07         56         2         10         7       25
4/15/07        58         2         11         8       22
2/25/07        58         2         10         9       21
1/19/07        58         4         10         7       20

INCOME. Which of the following CATEGORIES best describes your total annual household income before taxes, from all sources?

 
            -------Less than $50k-------   --------More than $50k--------
            NET   <20k   20-35k   35-50k   NET   50-75k   75-100k   100k+
2/1/08      48     17      16       15     48      18        12       18
1/12/08     46     12      18       16     51      19        13       19
12/9/07     49     14      17       18     48      15        15       18
11/1/07     48     14      16       17     49      16        13       21
9/30/07     53     17      16       20     44      18        12       14
9/7/07      43     10      17       16     54      19        15       20
7/21/07     46     16      14       16     51      18        13       19
6/1/07      49     15      18       16     49      18        13       18
4/15/07     46     15      16       15     51      20        13       18
2/25/07     46     10      16       20     51      20        14       17
1/19/07     49     16      17       15     49      16        13       20
12/11/06    46     11      16       19     51      18        16       17
10/22/06    52     16      20       17     45      16        11       17
10/8/06     46     13      16       17     51      22        13       16
9/7/06      51     16      18       17     47      17        15       15
8/6/06      49     14      16       18     48      20        12       16
6/25/06     50     16      16       19     47      19        11       17
5/15/06     52     14      18       21     46      16        13       17
5/11/06     46      9      18       18     53      18        15       20
4/9/06      53     16      20       17     47      19        12       16
3/5/06      50     16      18       16     48      20        12       16
1/26/06     52     20      15       17     46      18        12       16
12/18/05    54     17      19       18     44      18        12       15
11/2/05     52     14      18       20     46      19        13       14
9/11/05     55     18      20       17     42      18        11       14
8/28/05     52     18      15       19     46      18        11       16
6/26/05     49     14      17       18     49      19        14       16
6/5/05      55     15      20       20     43      17        13       14
4/24/05     55     15      21       19     45      18        12       15

Q921. Sex

Male               48
Female             52
   

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