Washington Post Poll
This Washington Post poll was conducted by telephone April 28 to May 4, 2011, among a random sample of 1,180 adults in the Commonwealth of Virginia, including 1,040 registered voters and users of both conventional and cellular phones. 677 interviews conducted before targeting killing of Osama bin Laden; 503 afterward. The results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.
*= less than 0.5 percent
Note: when listed, results labeled 4/28-5/1 designate interviews conducted before the killing of Osama bin Laden, and results labeled 5/2-5/4 are interviews conducted afterward.
Questions 1 through 9 held for release.
10. Thinking back to when Tim Kaine was governor, would say you approve or disapprove of the way Kaine handled his job as governor?
-------- Approve -------- ------- Disapprove ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
5/4/11 58 24 34 30 14 15 12
5/4/11 RV 58 25 33 31 15 16 11
10/25/09 LV* 58 23 35 38 17 21 4
10/7/09 LV 60 25 36 37 19 19 2
9/17/09 LV 59 27 33 38 17 22 2
8/14/09 All 56 21 34 36 18 18 8
9/21/08 RV 66 25 9
10/8/07 All 63 25 12
10/12/06 LV 77 19 4
*2009 and previous: “is handling his job as governor”
11. Thinking back to when George Allen was in the Senate, would you say you approve or disapprove of the way Allen handled his job as U.S. senator?
---------Approve--------- --------Disapprove------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opin.
5/4/11 54 18 36 23 11 12 23
5/4/11 RV 55 18 37 25 12 13 20
10/12/06 LV* 57 33 23 41 20 21 2
9/9/05 RV 67 NA NA 23 NA NA 10
*2006 and previous: “is handling his job as U.S. Senator”
12. Generally speaking, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of (NAME)? How about (NEXT ITEM)? IF NEEDED: Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of (NAME)?
5/4/11 – Summary Table
------- Favorable ------- ------ Unfavorable ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
a. George Allen 51 16 35 26 15 11 23
b. Tim Kaine 56 17 38 28 16 12 17
c. held for release
d. Jamie Radtke 13 3 10 9 7 2 79
e. held for release
Trend where available:
a. George Allen
------- Favorable ------- ------ Unfavorable ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
5/4/11 51 16 35 26 15 11 23
10/12/06 LV 53 NA NA 43 NA NA 4
9/9/05 RV 58 NA NA 28 NA NA 14
9/16/97 60 NA NA 26 NA NA 13
9/28/93 RV 43 NA NA 36 NA NA 21
b. Tim Kaine
------- Favorable ------- ------ Unfavorable ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
5/4/11 56 17 38 28 16 12 17
10/12/06 LV 67 NA NA 23 NA NA 10
10/26/05 LV 58 NA NA 33 NA NA 8
9/9/05 RV 55 NA NA 25 NA NA 21
d-e. No trend.
13. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) Thinking about next year’s Democratic primary or convention for U.S. Senate, if the election were held today and the candidates for the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate were (Tim Kaine) and (Bobby Scott), for whom would you vote? Which one are you leaning toward right now?
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE
Other Neither Would not No
Kaine Scott (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
5/4/11 67 18 * NA 1 14
5/4/11 RV 67 17 * NA * 14
14. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Thinking about next year’s Republican primary, if the election were held today and the candidates for the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate were (George Allen), (Timothy Donner), (Jamie Radtke), (Bob Marshall), (Corey Stewart), (Earl Jackson) and (David McCormick), who would you like to win the nomination? Which one are you leaning toward right now?
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE
5/4/11 5/4/11 RV
George Allen 54 57
Timothy Donner * *
Jamie Radtke 2 2
Bob Marshall 4 3
Corey Stewart 3 2
Earl Jackson 1 1
David McCormick 3 3
Another candidate (vol.) 3 3
Would not vote (vol.) 2 2
No opinion 28 27
15. If the November 2012 election for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were (Tim Kaine, the Democrat) and (George Allen, the Republican), for whom would you vote? Which one are you leaning toward right now?
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE
Other Neither Would not No
Kaine Allen (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
5/4/11 47 44 * NA 3 6
5/4/11 RV 46 46 * NA 2 6
16. If the November 2012 election for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were (Tim Kaine, the Democrat) and (Jamie Radtke, the Republican), for whom would you vote? Which one are you leaning toward right now?
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE
Other Neither Would not No
Kaine Radtke (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
5/4/11 57 29 1 NA 4 9
5/4/11 RV 57 31 1 NA 3 9
17. For each item I name, please tell me how important it will be in your vote for U.S. Senate this year. - extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not at all important?
5/4/11 – Summary Table*
------Important------- -----Not as important------ No
NET Extremely Very NET Somewhat Not at all op.
a. The economy 92 58 34 8 7 1 1
b. The federal budget
deficit 81 50 31 18 15 3 1
c. Transportation issues 41 20 22 56 45 11 2
d. Immigration issues 57 32 25 42 28 14 2
e. Health care 77 48 29 22 18 5 *
f. Abortion 42 25 18 54 25 29 3
g. Taxes 73 37 35 26 24 3 1
h. Foreign policy 55 24 31 43 37 6 2
i. The U.S campaign
against terrorism 69 38 31 30 26 4 1
j. Education 79 49 31 20 17 3 *
*Full sample asked items a-b; half sample asked items c-f; other half sample asked item g-j.
Trend:
a. The economy
------Important------- -----Not as important------ No
NET Extremely Very NET Somewhat Not at all op.
5/4/11 92 58 34 8 7 1 1
5/4/11 RV 92 58 34 7 7 1 1
10/12/06 LV 77 26 51 23 20 3 *
b. The federal budget deficit
------Important------- -----Not as important------ No
NET Extremely Very NET Somewhat Not at all op.
5/4/11 81 50 31 18 15 3 1
5/4/11 RV 82 51 31 17 15 2 1
c. Transportation issues
------Important------- -----Not as important------ No
NET Extremely Very NET Somewhat Not at all op.
5/4/11 41 20 22 56 45 11 2
5/4/11 RV 41 18 23 56 45 11 2
10/12/06 LV 53 15 39 46 38 8 1
d. Immigration issues
------Important------- -----Not as important------ No
NET Extremely Very NET Somewhat Not at all op.
5/4/11 57 32 25 42 28 14 2
5/4/11 RV 56 33 23 43 28 14 1
10/12/06 LV 59 23 36 41 34 7 *
e. Health care
------Important------- -----Not as important------ No
NET Extremely Very NET Somewhat Not at all op.
5/4/11 77 48 29 22 18 5 *
5/4/11 RV 76 47 30 23 18 5 1
10/12/06 LV 67 27 40 33 29 4 0
f. Abortion
------Important------- -----Not as important------ No
NET Extremely Very NET Somewhat Not at all op.
5/4/11 42 25 18 54 25 29 3
5/4/11 RV 40 23 18 56 26 30 3
10/12/06 LV 49 19 30 50 29 21 1
g. Taxes
------Important------- -----Not as important------ No
NET Extremely Very NET Somewhat Not at all op.
5/4/11 73 37 35 26 24 3 1
5/4/11 RV 72 38 35 27 24 3 1
10/12/06 LV 68 22 46 31 24 7 *
h. Foreign policy
------Important------- -----Not as important------ No
NET Extremely Very NET Somewhat Not at all op.
5/4/11 55 24 31 43 37 6 2
5/4/11 RV 57 24 33 41 35 6 1
i. The U.S campaign against terrorism
------Important------- -----Not as important------ No
NET Extremely Very NET Somewhat Not at all op.
5/4/11 68 38 31 30 26 4 1
5/4/11 RV 69 38 31 30 25 4 1
10/12/06 LV 81 36 45 19 16 2 1
j. Education
------Important------- -----Not as important------ No
NET Extremely Very NET Somewhat Not at all op.
5/4/11 79 49 31 20 17 3 *
5/4/11 RV 77 47 30 23 20 3 *
18. Looking ahead, will one reason for your vote for U.S. Senate be to express (support for) President Obama, to express (opposition to) Obama, or is Obama not a factor in your choice?
Support Opposition Obama not a factor No opinion
5/4/11 27 20 50 2
5/4/11 RV 26 21 51 2
10/25/09 LV* 14 15 70 *
*”vote for governor”
19. During the 2006 Senate campaign George Allen made comments to an Indian-American supporter of Allen’s opponent at a campaign rally that were interpreted by some as racially insensitive, a claim Allen denied. In thinking about the 2012 Senate race, will Allen’s comments at that 2006 campaign event be extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not at all important in your vote?
------Important------- -----Not as important------ No
NET Extremely Very NET Somewhat Not at all opinion
5/4/11 19 10 10 78 26 53 2
5/4/11 RV 20 10 9 78 25 53 2
Compare to: As you may have seen or heard, Allen’s comments to an Indian-American Webb supporter at a campaign rally have been interpreted by some as racially insensitive, a claim Allen denies. In thinking about your vote for U.S. Senate this year, will Allen’s comments at that campaign event be extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not at all important?
------Important------- -----Not as important------ No
NET Extremely Very NET Somewhat Not at all opinion
10/12/06 LV 25 11 14 74 28 46 1
20. As you may know, Tim Kaine served as both Virginia governor and Chairman of the Democratic National Committee for much of 2009. Overall, do you think Kaine’s work for the DNC (helped) his performance as governor, (hurt) it or did it not make much of a difference?
Did not make much
Helped Hurt of a difference No opinion
5/4/11 20 15 54 11
5/4/11 RV 20 16 55 9
Compare to: As you may know, Governor Kaine is also serving as chairman of the Democratic National Committee. Overall, do you think Kaine's work for the DNC (helps) his performance as governor, (hurts) it or does it not make much of a difference?
Helps Hurts No difference No opinion
8/14/09 16 24 53 6
Questions 21 through 34 held for release.
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