Washington Post Poll

This Washington Post poll was conducted by telephone April 28 to May 4, 2011, among a random sample of 1,180 adults in the Commonwealth of Virginia, including 1,040 registered voters and users of both conventional and cellular phones. 677 interviews conducted before targeting killing of Osama bin Laden; 503 afterward. The results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.

*= less than 0.5 percent

Note: when listed, results labeled 4/28-5/1 designate interviews conducted before the killing of Osama bin Laden, and results labeled 5/2-5/4 are interviews conducted afterward.

Questions 1 through 9 held for release.

10. Thinking back to when Tim Kaine was governor, would say you approve or disapprove of the way Kaine handled his job as governor?

              -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------     No
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
5/4/11        58       24         34      30       14         15        12
5/4/11   RV   58       25         33      31       15         16        11
10/25/09 LV*  58       23         35      38       17         21         4 
10/7/09 LV    60       25         36      37       19         19         2
9/17/09 LV    59       27         33      38       17         22         2
8/14/09 All   56       21         34      36       18         18         8
9/21/08 RV    66                          25                             9
10/8/07 All   63                          25                            12
10/12/06 LV   77                          19                             4
*2009 and previous: “is handling his job as governor”

11. Thinking back to when George Allen was in the Senate, would you say you approve or disapprove of the way Allen handled his job as U.S. senator?

              ---------Approve---------   --------Disapprove-------    No   
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opin.
5/4/11        54       18         36      23       11         12       23
5/4/11   RV   55       18         37      25       12         13       20
10/12/06 LV*  57       33         23      41       20         21        2
9/9/05   RV   67       NA         NA      23       NA         NA       10
*2006 and previous: “is handling his job as U.S. Senator”

12. Generally speaking, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of (NAME)? How about (NEXT ITEM)? IF NEEDED: Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of (NAME)?

5/4/11 – Summary Table

                     ------- Favorable -------   ------ Unfavorable ------     No   
                     NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
a. George Allen      51       16         35      26       15         11        23
b. Tim Kaine         56       17         38      28       16         12        17
c. held for release
d. Jamie Radtke      13        3         10       9        7          2        79
e. held for release

Trend where available:

a. George Allen   

             ------- Favorable -------   ------ Unfavorable ------     No   
             NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
5/4/11       51       16         35      26       15         11        23
10/12/06 LV  53       NA         NA      43       NA         NA         4
9/9/05   RV  58       NA         NA      28       NA         NA        14
9/16/97      60       NA         NA      26       NA         NA        13
9/28/93 RV   43       NA         NA      36       NA         NA        21

b. Tim Kaine      

             ------- Favorable -------   ------ Unfavorable ------     No   
             NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
5/4/11       56       17         38      28       16         12        17
10/12/06 LV  67       NA         NA      23       NA         NA        10
10/26/05 LV  58       NA         NA      33       NA         NA         8
9/9/05 RV    55       NA         NA      25       NA         NA        21


d-e. No trend.

13. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) Thinking about next year’s Democratic primary or convention for U.S. Senate, if the election were held today and the candidates for the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate were (Tim Kaine) and (Bobby Scott), for whom would you vote? Which one are you leaning toward right now?

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE

                          Other    Neither    Would not      No
          Kaine   Scott   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
5/4/11     67     18       *         NA          1           14   
5/4/11 RV  67     17       *         NA          *           14  

14. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Thinking about next year’s Republican primary, if the election were held today and the candidates for the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate were (George Allen), (Timothy Donner), (Jamie Radtke), (Bob Marshall), (Corey Stewart), (Earl Jackson) and (David McCormick), who would you like to win the nomination? Which one are you leaning toward right now?

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE

                         5/4/11  5/4/11 RV
George Allen               54       57
Timothy Donner              *        *
Jamie Radtke                2        2
Bob Marshall                4        3
Corey Stewart               3        2
Earl Jackson                1        1
David McCormick             3        3
Another candidate (vol.)    3        3
Would not vote (vol.)       2        2
No opinion                 28       27

15. If the November 2012 election for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were (Tim Kaine, the Democrat) and (George Allen, the Republican), for whom would you vote? Which one are you leaning toward right now?

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE

                          Other    Neither    Would not      No
          Kaine   Allen   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
5/4/11      47     44       *         NA          3           6   
5/4/11 RV   46     46       *         NA          2           6   

16. If the November 2012 election for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were (Tim Kaine, the Democrat) and (Jamie Radtke, the Republican), for whom would you vote? Which one are you leaning toward right now?

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE

                           Other    Neither    Would not      No
          Kaine   Radtke   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
5/4/11      57     29        1         NA           4           9   
5/4/11 RV   57     31        1         NA           3           9   

17. For each item I name, please tell me how important it will be in your vote for U.S. Senate this year. - extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not at all important?

5/4/11 – Summary Table*
                           ------Important-------   -----Not as important------   No   
                           NET   Extremely   Very   NET   Somewhat   Not at all   op.  
a. The economy             92       58        34     8        7           1        1
b. The federal budget 
   deficit                 81       50        31    18       15           3        1
c. Transportation issues   41       20        22    56       45          11        2
d. Immigration issues      57       32        25    42       28          14        2
e. Health care             77       48        29    22       18           5        *
f. Abortion                42       25        18    54       25          29        3
g. Taxes                   73       37        35    26       24           3        1
h. Foreign policy          55       24        31    43       37           6        2
i. The U.S campaign 
   against terrorism       69       38        31    30       26           4        1
j. Education               79       49        31    20       17           3        *
*Full sample asked items a-b; half sample asked items c-f; other half sample asked item g-j.

Trend:

a. The economy

              ------Important-------   -----Not as important------   No   
              NET   Extremely   Very   NET   Somewhat   Not at all   op.  
5/4/11        92       58        34     8        7           1        1
5/4/11   RV   92       58        34     7        7           1        1
10/12/06 LV   77       26        51    23       20           3        *

b. The federal budget deficit                 

              ------Important-------   -----Not as important------   No   
              NET   Extremely   Very   NET   Somewhat   Not at all   op.  
5/4/11        81       50        31    18       15           3        1
5/4/11   RV   82       51        31    17       15           2        1

c. Transportation issues   

              ------Important-------   -----Not as important------   No   
              NET   Extremely   Very   NET   Somewhat   Not at all   op.  
5/4/11        41       20        22    56       45          11        2
5/4/11   RV   41       18        23    56       45          11        2
10/12/06 LV   53       15        39    46       38           8        1

d. Immigration issues      

              ------Important-------   -----Not as important------   No   
              NET   Extremely   Very   NET   Somewhat   Not at all   op.  
5/4/11        57       32        25    42       28          14        2
5/4/11   RV   56       33        23    43       28          14        1
10/12/06 LV   59       23        36    41       34           7        *

e. Health care             

              ------Important-------   -----Not as important------   No   
              NET   Extremely   Very   NET   Somewhat   Not at all   op.  
5/4/11        77       48        29    22       18           5        *
5/4/11   RV   76       47        30    23       18           5        1
10/12/06 LV   67       27        40    33       29           4        0

f. Abortion                
              ------Important-------   -----Not as important------   No   
              NET   Extremely   Very   NET   Somewhat   Not at all   op.  
5/4/11        42       25        18    54       25          29        3
5/4/11   RV   40       23        18    56       26          30        3
10/12/06 LV   49       19        30    50       29          21        1

g. Taxes 

              ------Important-------   -----Not as important------   No   
              NET   Extremely   Very   NET   Somewhat   Not at all   op.  
5/4/11        73       37        35    26       24           3        1
5/4/11   RV   72       38        35    27       24           3        1
10/12/06 LV   68       22        46    31       24           7        *

h. Foreign policy

              ------Important-------   -----Not as important------   No   
              NET   Extremely   Very   NET   Somewhat   Not at all   op.  
5/4/11        55       24        31    43       37           6        2
5/4/11   RV   57       24        33    41       35           6        1

i. The U.S campaign against terrorism

              ------Important-------   -----Not as important------   No   
              NET   Extremely   Very   NET   Somewhat   Not at all   op.  
5/4/11        68       38        31    30       26           4        1
5/4/11   RV   69       38        31    30       25           4        1
10/12/06 LV   81       36        45    19       16           2        1

j. Education

              ------Important-------   -----Not as important------   No   
              NET   Extremely   Very   NET   Somewhat   Not at all   op.  
5/4/11        79       49        31    20       17           3        *
5/4/11   RV   77       47        30    23       20           3        *

18. Looking ahead, will one reason for your vote for U.S. Senate be to express (support for) President Obama, to express (opposition to) Obama, or is Obama not a factor in your choice?

             Support   Opposition   Obama not a factor   No opinion
5/4/11         27          20                50               2
5/4/11   RV    26          21                51               2
10/25/09 LV*   14          15                70               *
*”vote for governor”

19. During the 2006 Senate campaign George Allen made comments to an Indian-American supporter of Allen’s opponent at a campaign rally that were interpreted by some as racially insensitive, a claim Allen denied. In thinking about the 2012 Senate race, will Allen’s comments at that 2006 campaign event be extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not at all important in your vote?

            ------Important-------   -----Not as important------     No   
            NET   Extremely   Very   NET   Somewhat   Not at all   opinion  
5/4/11      19       10        10    78       26          53          2
5/4/11 RV   20       10         9    78       25          53          2

Compare to: As you may have seen or heard, Allen’s comments to an Indian-American Webb supporter at a campaign rally have been interpreted by some as racially insensitive, a claim Allen denies. In thinking about your vote for U.S. Senate this year, will Allen’s comments at that campaign event be extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not at all important?

              ------Important-------   -----Not as important------     No   
              NET   Extremely   Very   NET   Somewhat   Not at all   opinion  
10/12/06 LV   25       11        14    74       28          46          1

20. As you may know, Tim Kaine served as both Virginia governor and Chairman of the Democratic National Committee for much of 2009. Overall, do you think Kaine’s work for the DNC (helped) his performance as governor, (hurt) it or did it not make much of a difference?

                           Did not make much
           Helped   Hurt    of a difference    No opinion  
5/4/11       20      15           54               11
5/4/11 RV    20      16           55                9

Compare to: As you may know, Governor Kaine is also serving as chairman of the Democratic National Committee. Overall, do you think Kaine's work for the DNC (helps) his performance as governor, (hurts) it or does it not make much of a difference?

          Helps   Hurts   No difference   No opinion
8/14/09    16      24           53             6

Questions 21 through 34 held for release.

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