Washington Post-ABC News Poll

The Washington Post
Monday, July 23, 2007

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone July 18-21, 2007, among a random national sample of 1,125 adults, including additional interviews with randomly selected African Americans, for a total of 210 black respondents. The results from the full survey have an error margin of plus or minus three percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.

*= less than 0.5 percent

Questions 1 through 24 held for future release.

25. If you honestly assessed yourself, thinking in general about (ITEM) president of the United States, is that something you'd be entirely comfortable with, somewhat comfortable, somewhat uncomfortable or entirely uncomfortable?

7/21/07 - Summary Table

                           ----Comfortable-----    ---Uncomfortable---     No
                           NET    Ent.    Smwt.    NET    Smwt.   Ent.    opin.
a. a woman                 79      54      25      20       9      10       1
b. an African-American     86      56      30      12       7       5       1
d. an Hispanic             74      44      31      24      11      13       2

c,e. Held for future release.

26. How closely are you following the 2008 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?


              ----- Closely ------     ----- Not closely ------      No
              NET    Very    Smwt.     NET    Not too    At all    opinion   
7/21/07        70     22      48        30       20        10          *  
6/1/07         66     18      48        34       22        13          *  
4/15/07        66     20      45        34       20        14          *  
2/25/07        65     20      44        35       25        10          *

Early 2004:
10/29/03       54     15      39        45       30        15          0
9/13/03        56     16      40        44       27        17          *

Early 2000:
12/15/99       45     12      33        55       31        24          *
10/31/99       61     16      45        38       25        13          *

Among leaned Dems:
7/21/07        75     23      52        25       18         7          0  
6/1/07         67     19      48        33       21        12          0  
4/15/07        68     22      46        32       21        11          *
2/25/07        67     21      46        33       25         8          *

Early 2004*
10/29/03       53     13      40        47       29        18          0  
9/13/03        63     19      44        37       24        13          0  
4/30/03        37      8      29        63       33        30          0
*"the race for the 2004 Democratic presidential nomination"

Among leaned Reps: 
7/21/07        66     23      44        34       22        11          0  
6/1/07         65     16      50        34       24        10          *  
4/15/07        68     22      46        31       17        14          1
2/25/07        66     22      44        34       26         8          0

27. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were: (Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, Barack Obama, Al Gore, Bill Richardson, Joe Biden, Chris Dodd, Dennis Kucinich, or Mike Gravel), for whom would you vote?

NET LEANED VOTE: 
                         7/21/07  6/1/07  4/15/07  2/25/07  1/19/07  12/11/06
Hillary Clinton            39       35      37       36       41        39
Barack Obama               28       23      20       24       17        17
Al Gore                    14       17      17       14       10        10
John Edwards                9        8      14       12       11        12 
Bill Richardson             2        2       3        3        1         2
Joe Biden                   2        2       2        1        3         2
Dennis Kucinich             1        1       1        *        1        NA
Chris Dodd                  *        1       *        *        *         *
Mike Gravel                 0        *       *        0        *        NA
Evan Bayh                  NA       NA      NA       NA       NA         1
Wesley Clark               NA       NA       1        *        1         1
John Kerry                 NA       NA      NA       NA        8         7
Tom Vilsack                NA       NA      NA        *        *         1
Other (vol.)                *        *       *        *        1         *
None of these (vol.)        2        4       3        3        2         2
Would not vote (vol.)       2        1       *        1        *         1
No opinion                  2        5       2        3        3         4
*Asked Clark 4/15 and previous, Vilsack 2/25 and previous, Kerry 1/19 and previous, Bayh 12/11

28. (ASKED OF GORE SUPPORTERS) If Gore does not run, for whom would you vote?


NET LEANED VOTE IF NO GORE

                         7/21/07     6/1/07     4/15/07     2/25/07
Hillary Clinton            45          42         41          43
Barack Obama               30          27         25          27
John Edwards               12          11         17          14
Bill Richardson             3           2          3           3
Joe Biden                   2           2          2           2
Chris Dodd                  1           1          *           *
Dennis Kucinich             1           2          1           *
Mike Gravel                 0           *          *           *
Wesley Clark               NA          NA          1           *
Tom Vilsack                NA          NA         NA           *
Other (vol.)                1           *          *           *
None of these (vol.)        2           4          3           4
Would not vote (vol.)       2           1          1           1
No opinion                  2           6          5           4
*Asked Clark 4/15 and previous, Vilsack 2/25 

29. (IF NAMED CLINTON OR OBAMA, Q27) Do you support (CANDIDATE) strongly, or somewhat?

7/21/07 - Summary Table

                    Strongly       Somewhat       No opin. 
Hillary Clinton        68             32             0
Barack Obama           56             43             1

Trend:

Hillary Clinton        
7/21/07                68             32             0
6/1/07                 53             47             0
4/15/07                59             41             0
2/25/06                56             44             0

Barack Obama 
7/21/07                56             43             1
6/1/07                 43             56             1
4/15/07                51             49             0
2/25/06                60             38             1

30. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) Overall, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the choice of candidates for the Democratic nomination for president this year - are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied?


             ---- Satisfied -------     --- Dissatisfied ----      No
             NET    Very    Somewhat    NET   Somewhat    Very   opinion
7/21/07      83      33        50       16       14         2       1
6/1/07       79      26        53       18       15         4       2
4/15/07      80      29        51       18       14         3       2
2/25/07      86      29        57       12        9         3       2
10/29/03     68       9        58       28       21         8       4
9/13/03      64       8        56       34       27         7       2
1/16/00      69      14        56       28       21         7       2
*10/29/03 and previous: "candidates in the Democratic primary"

Q31-Q37. Held for future release.

38. Which of these is more important to you in a candidate for president: (strength and experience) or (a new direction and new ideas)?

              Strength and    New direction      Both     Neither     No 
               experience     and new ideas     (vol.)     (vol.)    opin.
7/21/07 All        50               41             6         *         2
 Leaned Democrats  42               51             6         1         1
 

39. If a candidate for president supports the Bush administration's policies in Iraq, would that make you more likely to (support) that candidate for president, more likely to (oppose) that candidate, or wouldn't it make much difference in your vote?


               More likely     More likely      Wouldn't make         No
               to support       to oppose      much difference     opinion
7/21/07 All        16              47                37               *
 Leaned Democrats   5              69                25               1 
6/1/07             19              41                40               1

40. Now, thinking ahead to November 2008: Which Democratic presidential candidate do you think has the best chance to defeat the Republican nominee in the general election? (Read list if necessary.)


                        7/21/07   
Hillary Clinton           43      
Barack Obama              27      
John Edwards               9      
Al Gore                    7      
Bill Richardson            1      
Chris Dodd                 1      
Joe Biden                  *      
Dennis Kucinich            *      
Mike Gravel                *      
Other                      *      
None of these              4      
No opinion                 7   

Q41-Q45. Held for future release.

46. Would you support or oppose giving the U.S. Food and Drug Administration the power to regulate cigarettes, which could lead to greater restrictions on their tar and nicotine content and how they can be marketed and sold?


            Support     Oppose     No opinion
7/21/07        66         32             2

47. How much do you use the Internet to get news or information about political candidates - a great deal, somewhat, not much or not at all?


             -- Great deal/Somewhat --    ---- Not much/at all ----      No
             NET    Grt. deal    Smwt.    NET    Not much    At all     opin.
7/21/07      47        24         23      53        19         34         0
12/21/03     37        15         22      63        21         42         *

48. Which of these comes closer to your own view: (Overall, the Internet plays more of a positive role in the election campaign because it provides easy and direct access to information about the candidates); OR (Overall, the Internet plays more of a negative role in the election campaign because so much information there is unchecked or unreliable).


                                           Both          Neither     No
            Positive     Negative     equally (vol.)     (vol.)     opin.
7/21/07        48           39               3              5         5

49. Do you happen to have watched any of the recent debates between the candidates running for president, or not?


                  Yes     No     No opin.
7/21/07 All        27     73        *
 Leaned Democrats  31     69        0
 

50. (ASKED IF NOT WATCHED DEBATES, Q49) Why not - is it mainly (because you're just not that interested), (because it's too early in the campaign), (because you've already decided who to support), or for some other reason?


                Not that      Too early in     Already decided    Other       No
               interested     the campaign     who to support     reason     opin.
7/21/07 All        9              47                  7            37         *
 Leaned Democrats  8              38                 12            42         *

49/50 NET
                           --------------Has not watched debates--------------
                                    Not that       Too      Already     Other     No
                    Yes    NET     interested     early     decided     reason    op. 
7/21/07 All         27     73           7           34         5          27       *
 Leaned Democrats   31     69           5           26         8          29       *
 
 

901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as:


            Democrat     Republican     Independent     Other     No op.
7/21/07        35            23              35           6         *
6/1/07         32            25              38           5         1
4/15/07        36            25              33           6         *
2/25/07        35            26              35           3         1
1/19/07        36            24              35           5         1
12/11/06       34            24              36           5         1  
11/4/06        33            30              32           3         2
10/22/06       30            28              36           4         2
10/8/06        38            27              31           3         1
9/7/06         33            32              30           3         2
8/6/06         34            27              34           4         1 
6/25/06        33            28              35           3         *
5/15/06        34            28              33           4         1
5/11/06        33            30              33           3         1 
4/9/06         34            29              34           3         0
3/5/06         32            28              36           3         1
1/26/06        32            27              34           6         *
1/8/06         31            30              34           5         1  
12/18/05       33            32              33           2         *
11/2/05        31            27              38           3         1 
9/11/05        31            27              34           8         1 
9/2/05         32            31              31           5         2
8/28/05        32            29              33           5         1 
6/26/05        34            28              32           5         1
6/5/05         30            31              34           4         *
4/24/05        35            28              32           5         *

905. Are you registered to vote at your present address, or not?


             Yes     No     No opinion
7/21/07      84      16          *
6/1/07       82      18          *
4/15/07      85      15          *
2/25/07      84      16          *
1/19/07      80      20          *
12/11/06     84      16          *
11/4/06      80      19          *
10/22/06     78      22          3
10/8/06      85      15          *
9/7/06       81      19          *
8/6/06       85      15          0
6/25/06      83      17          1 
5/15/06      83      17          *
5/11/06      84      16          *		
4/9/06       83      17          0
1/26/06      81      19          *
12/18/05     86      14          *  
11/2/05      86      14          *  

908a. Would you say your views on most political matters are liberal, moderate, or conservative?


                                                     Don't think in      No
            Liberal    Moderate    Conservative    those terms (vol.)    op.
7/21/07        25         39            32                  3             1
6/1/07         24         36            37                  2             1
4/15/07        24         42            32                  1             1
2/25/07        23         40            35                  1             1
1/19/07        23         41            33                  1             1
12/11/06       23         42            33                  2             1
11/4/06        19         42            36                  2             1
10/22/06       22         42            32                  2             2
10/8/06        21         43            33                  1             1
9/7/06         24         39            33                  2             2
8/6/06         18         42            38                  1             1
6/25/06        21         41            35                  1             1  
5/15/06        19         48            31                  1             1
5/11/06        18         49            33                  *             * 
4/9/06         21         41            35                  2             1
3/5/06         22         42            33                  2             1
1/26/06        21         40            37                  1             1
1/8/06         20         40            37                  2             1 
12/18/05       22         42            34                  1             1
11/2/05        23         44            32                  1             * 
9/11/05        22         44            31                  2             2
8/28/05        20         44            34                  2             1
6/26/05        21         44            33                  1             1   
6/5/05         23         40            35                  1             * 
4/24/05        20         47            30                  1             1

Q909. What was the last grade of school you completed?

High school or less	15
Graduated high school      	32
Some college               	23
Graduated College          	20	
Post-graduate              	10

Q910. What is your age?

18-29                      	20
30-39                      	20
40-49                      	19
50-64                      	24
65+                        	16

911. What, if anything, is your religion?


                                      Christian       Other Non-         No
           Protestant   Catholic   (Non-Protestant)   Christian   None   op. 
7/21/07        46          20              14              5       12     *
6/1/07         44          22              14              4       15     1
4/15/07        42          21              17              5       13     1
2/25/07        44          21              14              6       14     *
1/19/07        44          23              10              5       14     1
12/11/06       42          21              12              2       16     1
11/4/06        48          23              12              2       12     1
10/22/06       44          21              14              3       15     1
10/8/06        44          19              13              5       15     *
9/7/06         46          19              12              6       14     1
8/6/06         45          23              12              3       16     1
6/25/06        45          23              12              4       14     * 
5/15/06        46          22              14              4       12     *
5/11/06        46          24              10              4       13     1   
4/9/06         42          24              14              5       14     * 
3/5/06         44          21              14              4       14     *
1/26/06        46          24              11              4       14     1
1/8/06         45          20              12              4       15     1
12/18/05       44          21              13              3       15     1    
11/2/05        46          21              11              6       15     *
9/11/05        44          23              12              3       15     *
8/28/05        44          23              14              3       13     1
6/26/05        46          22              10              4       16     * 
6/5/05         47          23              11              4       14     * 
4/24/05        47          21              12              4       14     1

911b. (IF CHRISTIAN) Would you consider yourself a born-again or evangelical Christian, or not?

            Yes     No     No opin.
6/1/07      45      54         1
4/15/07     40      58         2
2/25/07     42      55         3
1/19/07     43      55         2
12/11/06    44      53         3
11/4/06     43      55         2
10/22/06    43      53         4
10/8/06     44      55         1
9/7/06      45      53         2
8/6/06      46      51         3
6/25/06     42      55         3
5/15/06     42      56         1
5/11/06     38      60         2
4/9/06      40      59         1
3/5/06      46      53         1
1/26/06     44      54         2
1/8/06      45      51         3
12/18/05    43      54         2
11/2/05     41      57         2 
9/11/05     40      58         2
8/28/05     43      54         3
6/26/05     42      55         3 
6/5/05      44      54         2
4/24/05     42      56         2

912b. Are you:

                                                      Never
             Married  Separated  Divorced   Widowed  Married
7/21/07        57         3         10         6       23
6/1/07         56         2         10         7       25
4/15/07        58         2         11         8       22
2/25/07        58         2         10         9       21
1/19/07        58         4         10         7       20

INCOME. Which of the following CATEGORIES best describes your total annual household income before taxes, from all sources?


            -------Less than $50k-------   --------More than $50k--------
            NET   <20k   20-35k   35-50k   NET   50-75k   75-100k   100k+
7/21/07     46     16      14       16     51      18        13       19
6/1/07      49     15      18       16     49      18        13       18
4/15/07     46     15      16       15     51      20        13       18
2/25/07     46     10      16       20     51      20        14       17
1/19/07     49     16      17       15     49      16        13       20
12/11/06    46     11      16       19     51      18        16       17
10/22/06    52     16      20       17     45      16        11       17
10/8/06     46     13      16       17     51      22        13       16
9/7/06      51     16      18       17     47      17        15       15
8/6/06      49     14      16       18     48      20        12       16
6/25/06     50     16      16       19     47      19        11       17       
5/15/06     52     14      18       21     46      16        13       17
5/11/06     46      9      18       18     53      18        15       20
4/9/06      53     16      20       17     47      19        12       16 
3/5/06      50     16      18       16     48      20        12       16
1/26/06     52     20      15       17     46      18        12       16
12/18/05    54     17      19       18     44      18        12       15 
11/2/05     52     14      18       20     46      19        13       14 
9/11/05     55     18      20       17     42      18        11       14  
8/28/05     52     18      15       19     46      18        11       16  
6/26/05     49     14      17       18     49      19        14       16  
6/5/05      55     15      20       20     43      17        13       14
4/24/05     55     15      21       19     45      18        12       15

Q918. Race/Ethnicity

White                      	74
Black                      	12
Hispanic	 6
Asian                      	 1 
Other Race                 	 8

Q921. Sex

Male               48
Female             52


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