Washington Post-ABC News Poll

The Washington Post
Sunday, August 5, 2007

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone July 26-31, 2007, among a random sample of 402 Iowans likely to vote in the Republican caucus. The results have an five percentage point margin of sampling error. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa. J. Ann Selzer of Selzer & Company, Inc. of Des Moines, Iowa consulted on this project.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES) Are you registered to vote in Iowa at your present address, or not?

            Yes    No   No opinion
7/31/07     100     0        0


2. How closely are you following the 2008 presidential campaign: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?

            ----- Closely ------     ----- Not closely ------      No
            NET    Very    Smwt.     NET    Not too    At all    opinion   
7/31/07     88      35      53       12        10         2         0  

3. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will attend one of the Iowa presidential caucuses that will be held in your precinct next January. Are you absolutely certain you will attend, will you probably attend, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?

             Certain   Probably  Chances  Less than    Will not      No 
            to attend   attend    50/50     50/50    attend (vol.)  opin.
7/31/07         39        61        0         0            0          0

4. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES) If the caucuses were being held today, would you attend the (Democratic Party caucus) or the (Republican Party caucus) in your precinct?

             Democratic caucus  Republican caucus
7/31/07              0                 100

5. If the 2008 Republican caucus were being held today, and the candidates were: (Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Tommy Thompson, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, Sam Brownback, Tom Tancredo, Ron Paul, and Fred Thompson), who would you support?

     NET LEANED VOTE IF NO GINGRICH:

                      7/31/07
Mitt Romney             26
Rudy Giuliani           14
Fred Thompson           13
Mike Huckabee            8
John McCain              8
Sam Brownback            5
Tom Tancredo             5
Tommy Thompson           4
Ron Paul                 2
Duncan Hunter            1
Other (vol.)             1
None of these (vol.)     4
No opinion               7

NET LEANED VOTE INCLUDING GINGRICH: 

                      7/31/07
Mitt Romney             25
Rudy Giuliani           14
Fred Thompson           13
Mike Huckabee            8
John McCain              8
Sam Brownback            5
Tom Tancredo             5
Newt Gingrich            4
Tommy Thompson           4
Ron Paul                 2
Duncan Hunter            1
Other (vol.)             1
None of these (vol.)     3
No opinion               7

6. (IF NAMED CANDIDATE) Do you support (CANDIDATE) strongly, or somewhat?

  7/31/07 - Summary Table

                  Strongly       Somewhat       No opin. 
Mitt Romney          41             59             0       

7. (IF NAMED CANDIDATE) Who would your second choice be?

  
NET LEANED VOTE: 

                      7/31/07
Mitt Romney             20
Rudy Giuliani           18
Fred Thompson           13
Sam Brownback            7
Tommy Thompson           7
John McCain              6
Newt Gingrich            6
Mike Huckabee            4
Tom Tancredo             4
Duncan Hunter            2
Ron Paul                 *
Other (vol.)             3
None of these (vol.)     4
Would not vote (vol.)    *
No opinion               5

First choice/Second choice NET

                      7/31/07
Mitt Romney             43
Rudy Giuliani           30
Fred Thompson           24
John McCain             14
Sam Brownback           11
Mike Huckabee           11
Tommy Thompson          11
Newt Gingrich            9
Tom Tancredo             9
Duncan Hunter            3
Ron Paul                 3
Other (vol.)             3
None of these (vol.)     7
Would not vote (vol.)    *
No opinion              12

8. Overall, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the choice of candidates for the Republican nomination for president - are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied?

             ---- Satisfied -------     --- Dissatisfied ----      No
             NET    Very    Somewhat    NET   Somewhat    Very   opinion
7/31/07      73      19        55       25       22         3       1

9. Regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you think (ITEM)?

7/31/07 - Summary Table
                                                                                  Other/none/
                                         Giuliani   McCain   Romney   F. Thompson   no opin.      
a. is the strongest leader                 26        11       23            9         31
b. best understands the problems 
     of people like you                    13         7       21            9         50
c. is the most honest and trustworthy       7        10       21           11         50      
d. has the best experience to be president 22        18       21            5         34
e. has campaigned the hardest in Iowa       6         7       49            *         37
f. has the best chance of getting elected  
     president in November 2008            31         5       26           11         27  
g. is closest to you on the issues         12         8       24            9         48
h. is best able to handle the situation 
     in Iraq                               17        21       15            8         40
i. is the most likeable                    20         6       27           11         36

Trend:

a. is the strongest leader

                      7/31/07
Rudy Giuliani           26
Mitt Romney             23
John McCain             11
Fred Thompson            9
Newt Gingrich            5
Sam Brownback            4
Mike Huckabee            4
Tom Tancredo             2
Tommy Thompson           2
Duncan Hunter            *
Ron Paul                 *
All of them              *
None of them             1
No opinion              12

b. best understands the problems of people like you   

                      7/31/07
Mitt Romney             21
Rudy Giuliani           13
Mike Huckabee           10
Fred Thompson            9
Sam Brownback            7
John McCain              7
Tommy Thompson           5
Tom Tancredo             4
Newt Gingrich            3
Ron Paul                 2

Duncan Hunter            1
All of them              1
None of them             5
No opinion              12

c. is the most honest and trustworthy            

                      7/31/07
Mitt Romney             21
Fred Thompson           11
John McCain             10
Mike Huckabee           10
Sam Brownback            7
Rudy Giuliani            7
Tommy Thompson           5
Newt Gingrich            3
Tom Tancredo             3
Ron Paul                 2
Duncan Hunter            1
All of them              1
None of them             5
No opinion              13

d. has the best experience to be president

                      7/31/07
Rudy Giuliani           22
Mitt Romney             21
John McCain             18
Newt Gingrich            8
Fred Thompson            5
Tommy Thompson           4
Mike Huckabee            4
Sam Brownback            3
Ron Paul                 1
Duncan Hunter            *
Tom Tancredo             *
All of them              *
None of them             2
No opinion              12

e. has campaigned the hardest in Iowa

                      7/31/07
Mitt Romney             49
John McCain              7
Rudy Giuliani            6
Tommy Thompson           5
Sam Brownback            4
Tom Tancredo             4
Newt Gingrich            1
Mike Huckabee            1
Ron Paul                 *
Fred Thompson            *
All of them              2
None of them             5
No opinion              16

f. has the best chance of getting elected president in November 2008              

                      7/31/07
Rudy Giuliani           31
Mitt Romney             26
Fred Thompson           11
John McCain              5
Newt Gingrich            3
Tommy Thompson           3
Sam Brownback            2
Mike Huckabee            1
Tom Tancredo             1
Ron Paul                 1
None of them             3
No opinion              14

g. is closest to you on the issues

                      7/31/07
Mitt Romney             24
Rudy Giuliani           12
Mike Huckabee            9
Fred Thompson            9
John McCain              8
Sam Brownback            7
Tom Tancredo             5
Tommy Thompson           5
Newt Gingrich            4
Ron Paul                 3
Duncan Hunter            2
All of them              *
None of them             2
No opinion              11

h. is best able to handle the situation in Iraq

                      7/31/07
John McCain             21
Rudy Giuliani           17
Mitt Romney             15
Fred Thompson            8
Newt Gingrich            5
Sam Brownback            3
Tommy Thompson           3
Mike Huckabee            3
Duncan Hunter            1
Tom Tancredo             1
Ron Paul                 1
All of them              1
None of them             7
No opinion              16

i. is the most likeable

                      7/31/07
Mitt Romney             27
Rudy Giuliani           20
Mike Huckabee            8
Tommy Thompson           6
John McCain              6
Sam Brownback            4
Newt Gingrich            2
Tom Tancredo             2
Duncan Hunter            *
Ron Paul                 *
Fred Thompson           11
All of them              1
None of them             1
No opinion              12


10. So far in the Republican campaign, have you (ITEM)?

 7/31/07 - Summary Table

                                      Yes     No     No opin. 
a. Been called on the telephone 
   by any of the campaigns             63     36        *
b. Attended a campaign event           23     77        *
c. Contributed money to any of 
   the presidential candidates         10     90        *
d. Visited any of the candidates' 
   Web sites on the Internet           28     72        0
e. Received e-mails from any           
   of the campaigns                    24     74        1

11. All in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, do you think the war with Iraq was worth fighting, or not? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

              ----- Worth fighting ----     --- Not worth fighting --    
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat     NET   Somewhat   Strongly   No opinion 
7/31/07       81       60         20        17        4         13         3 


12. Have you attended any previous Iowa caucuses, or will this be your first caucus?

            Have attended     First caucus     No opinion
7/31/07           76               24               0

13. Which of these is more important to you in a candidate for president: (strength and experience) or (a new direction and new ideas)?

            Strength and    New direction      Both     Neither     No 
             experience     and new ideas     (vol.)     (vol.)    opin.
7/31/07          70               21             8         1         1

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