Washington Post-ABC News Poll
This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone September 19-22, 2008, among a random national sample of 1,082 adults, 916 registered voters and 780 likely voters. The survey includes additional interviews with randomly selected African Americans, for a total of 163 black respondents. The added interviews (commonly referred to as an "oversample") were completed to ensure there were enough African American respondents for separate analysis; the group was not over-represented in the reported results from the full sample. The results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points. Error margins are higher for subgroups. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.
*= less than 0.5 percent
1. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) How closely are you following the presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?
---- Closely ----- ---- Not closely ----- No
NET Very Smwt. NET Not too At all opinion
9/22/08 RV 91 55 36 9 5 4 0
9/7/08 RV 89 51 38 10 6 5 *
8/22/08 RV 84 42 42 16 11 5 *
7/13/08 RV 79 36 42 21 12 9 1
7/13/08 73 32 41 26 14 12 1
6/15/08 RV 80 39 41 20 10 10 *
6/15/08 75 34 41 25 12 13 *
5/11/08 RV 85 45 40 15 12 3 0
5/11/08 83 39 44 17 13 5 0
4/13/08 RV 87 42 45 13 9 4 *
4/13/08 84 37 47 16 11 5 *
3/2/08 RV 87 47 40 12 8 4 *
3/2/08 84 42 42 15 11 4 *
2/1/08 RV 86 40 46 14 10 4 *
2/1/08 81 35 46 19 12 7 *
1/12/08 79 32 47 21 15 6 *
12/9/07 72 21 51 28 19 8 *
11/1/07 67 21 46 33 22 12 0
9/30/07 69 21 48 30 21 10 *
7/21/07 70 22 48 30 20 10 *
6/1/07 66 18 48 34 22 13 *
4/15/07 66 20 45 34 20 14 *
2/25/07 65 20 44 35 25 10 *
9/26/04 RV 87 48 39 12 8 4 1
9/8/04 RV 85 45 40 14 10 4 1
8/29/04 RV 81 43 38 20 13 7 *
8/1/04 RV 80 41 39 20 13 7 *
7/25/04 73 34 39 27 15 12 *
6/20/04 78 33 45 22 15 7 *
5/23/04 74 33 41 26 17 9 *
4/18/04 75 30 45 25 16 9 0
3/7/04 75 33 42 25 18 7 *
2/11/04 75 30 45 25 15 10 *
1/18/04 66 22 44 35 22 13 *
10/29/03 54 15 39 45 30 15 0
9/13/03 56 16 40 44 27 17 *
10/1/00 RV 75 27 48 25 17 8 *
9/6/00 RV 74 26 48 26 17 9 *
8/20/00 RV 74 28 46 26 16 10 1
8/10/00 RV 72 29 43 29 18 11 *
8/6/00 53 17 36 47 22 25 *
7/29/00 51 16 35 49 25 24 *
7/23/00 50 14 36 50 25 25 *
6/11/00 49 13 36 51 26 25 0
4/2/00 53 17 36 47 24 23 0
3/11/00 61 21 40 38 21 17 0
2/27/00 70 24 46 30 20 10 *
2/6/00 65 19 48 34 21 13 0
1/16/00 50 11 39 50 26 24 *
12/15/99 45 12 33 55 31 24 *
10/31/99 61 16 45 38 25 13 *
7/17/95 36 7 29 63 33 31 *
7/8/92 76 28 48 24 16 8 *
1/27/92 51 14 37 48 25 23 1
8/18/88 RV 68 26 42 31 20 11 0
8/15/88 RV 70 27 43 31 19 12 0
5/25/88 76 25 51 25 19 6 *
8/23/87 50 9 41 49 31 18 *
6/1/87 50 11 39 49 32 17 *
2. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?
Don't think
Certain Probably Chances Less than will vote No
to vote vote 50/50 that (vol.) opinion
9/22/08 RV 89 6 4 1 * *
9/7/08 RV 85 7 5 1 1 *
8/22/08 RV 84 10 4 2 * *
7/13/08 RV 79 10 7 3 2 0
7/13/08 69 11 8 7 5 *
6/15/08 RV 80 9 7 3 1 *
6/15/08 71 9 8 7 4 *
3/2/08 RV 87 7 5 1 * *
3/2/08 78 9 7 4 2 *
3. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats) and (John McCain and Sarah Palin, the Republicans), for whom would you vote?
NET LEANED VOTE - LIKELY VOTERS
Other Neither Would not No
Obama McCain (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
9/22/08 52 43 * 1 0 3
9/7/08 47 49 1 1 0 3
8/22/08 49 45 * 2 0 4
7/13/08 49 46 1 2 0 2
6/15/08 47 48 1 2 0 2
NET LEANED VOTE - REGISTERED VOTERS
Other Neither Would not No
Obama McCain (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
9/22/08 52 42 1 1 * 4
9/7/08 47 46 1 1 1 4
8/22/08 49 43 * 3 2 3
7/13/08 50 42 1 3 1 2
6/15/08 49 45 1 3 1 3
5/11/08 51 44 * 2 1 1
4/13/08 49 44 * 3 3 2
3/2/08 53 40 * 2 1 3
2/1/08 47 48 1 1 1 2
1/19/07 47 45 * 3 1 4
3b. (IF NAMED CANDIDATE) Would you definitely vote for (CANDIDATE), or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? (IF CHANCE CHANGE MIND) Is there a GOOD CHANCE you'll change your mind, or would you say it's PRETTY UNLIKELY?
Definitely -Chance change mind - No
vote for NET Good Unlikely opinion
9/22/08 RV 83 16 8 8 1
9/7/08 RV 79 20 8 12 1
8/22/08 RV 73 24 11 13 3
7/13/08 RV 72 25 10 15 3
7/13/08 72 25 11 14 3
6/15/08 RV 71 26 7 19 3
6/15/08 70 28 12 16 2
5/11/08 RV 66 32 17 15 2
5/11/08 69 29 15 14 2
9/26/04 RV 82 16 4 12 2
9/8/04 RV 84 14 6 8 2
8/29/04 RV 81 18 7 11 1
8/1/04 RV 80 19 7 12 1
7/25/04 RV 78 20 7 13 2
7/11/04 RV 79 21 7 13 1
6/20/04 RV 73 26 12 14 *
6/20/04 71 28 13 15 1
Barack Obama:
Definitely -Chance change mind - No
vote for NET Good Unlikely opinion
9/22/08 RV 85 14 8 7 1
9/7/08 RV 78 21 9 12 1
8/22/08 RV 74 23 7 15 4
7/13/08 RV 72 23 9 14 5
7/13/08 75 21 9 12 4
6/15/08 72 25 7 18 3
5/11/08 71 26 13 13 3
John McCain:
Definitely -Chance change mind - No
vote for NET Good Unlikely opinion
9/22/08 RV 81 18 9 9 2
9/7/08 RV 80 19 8 11 2
8/22/08 RV 72 25 14 11 2
7/13/08 RV 71 28 12 17 1
7/13/08 68 31 14 17 1
6/15/08 69 31 17 13 1
5/11/08 66 32 17 15 2
4. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were {(Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats), (John McCain and Sarah Palin, the Republicans)}, {(Bob Barr and Wayne Allen Root, the Libertarian Party candidates), and (Ralph Nader and Matt Gonzales, as independent candidates)}, for whom would you vote?
NET LEANED VOTE - LIKELY VOTERS
Other None Would not No
Obama McCain Barr Nader (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
9/22/08 51 43 1 2 * * 0 3
8/22/08 48 42 3 3 1 1 * 2
7/13/08 49 43 2 4 * 1 0 2
NET LEANED VOTE - REGISTERED VOTERS
Other None Would not No
Obama McCain Barr Nader (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
9/22/08 51 41 1 3 * * 1 4
8/22/08 47 40 4 4 1 1 1 3
7/13/08 49 39 2 5 1 2 1 2
5. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) (Was this/will this be) the first time you've voted in a presidential election, or have you voted in previous presidential elections?
First time Voted in previous No opinion
9/22/08 RV 8 92 0
10/31/04 RV 10 90 *
10/30/04 RV 10 90 *
10/29/04 RV 11 89 *
10/28/04 RV 10 90 *
10/27/04 RV 10 90 0
10/26/04 RV 10 90 0
10/25/04 RV 10 90 0
10/24/04 RV 10 90 0
10/23/04 RV 11 89 0
10/22/04 RV 11 89 0
10/21/04 RV 11 89 0
10/20/04 RV 11 89 0
10/19/04 RV 9 91 0
10/18/04 RV 9 91 0
10/17/04 RV 10 90 0
10/16/04 RV 11 89 0
10/15/04 RV 12 88 0
10/14/04 RV 11 89 0
10/13/04 RV 11 89 0
10/12/04 RV 9 91 0
10/11/04 RV 9 91 0
10/10/04 RV 9 91 0
10/9/04 RV 11 89 0
10/8/04 RV 11 89 0
10/7/04 RV 10 90 0
10/6/04 RV 10 90 0
6. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Do you think things in this country (are generally going in the right direction) or do you feel things (have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track)?
Right Wrong No
direction track opinion
9/22/08 RV 14 83 3
8/22/08 RV 20 77 3
8/22/08 19 78 2
6/15/08 RV 14 84 3
6/15/08 14 84 2
5/11/08 16 82 2
1/12/08 21 77 2
11/1/07 24 74 2
6/1/07 25 73 2
1/19/07 26 71 3
11/4/06 RV 39 59 2
10/22/06 30 68 2
10/8/06 32 66 2
5/15/06 29 69 2
11/2/05 30 68 2
10/24/04 LV 41 55 4
4/18/04 42 57 1
4/30/03 52 46 2
9/26/02 43 53 4
2/21/02 54 42 4
2/14/99 55 41 4
11/1/98 55 43 2
11/1/98 LV 55 44 1
8/21/98 57 40 4
7/12/98 50 45 6
4/4/98 55 41 4
1/31/98 61 34 5
1/30/98 61 34 5
1/19/98 44 50 6
8/27/97 39 57 4
6/8/97 37 60 3
3/9/97 34 62 4
10/17/96 RV 40 55 5
10/16/96 RV 42 53 5
10/15/96 RV 43 52 5
10/14/96 RV 44 51 5
10/13/96 RV 44 51 5
9/04/96 RV 40 54 6
8/21/96 28 67 5
6/30/96 26 70 5
3/17/96 27 70 3
1/21/96 27 66 6
1/3/96 21 77 3
4/5/95 23 73 3
1/4/95 27 68 6
10/31/94 27 69 4
7/20/94 26 70 4
3/27/94 28 69 3
1/23/94 31 60 10
11/14/93 25 69 6
8/8/93 26 71 3
6/20/93 26 71 3
4/26/93 27 71 2
3/11/93 36 57 7
2/28/93 37 59 4
1/17/93 31 63 6
12/14/92 35 60 5
10/27/92 RV 22 76 2
10/4/92 RV 18 78 4
6/7/92 14 83 3
4/9/92 16 81 3
3/11/92 18 79 4
1/15/92 19 78 3
11/10/91 24 72 4
10/29/91 26 71 3
8/27/91 31 60 9
7/28/91 30 67 3
6/2/91 39 57 4
4/9/91 42 51 7
2/26/91 58 39 3
1/27/91 49 48 4
10/14/90 19 79 2
9/9/90 36 60 4
8/20/90 35 60 5
7/24/90 37 60 2
5/21/90 39 60 2
3/26/90 44 53 2
2/4/90 49 48 3
1/16/90 48 49 3
5/23/89 42 55 3
3/16/89 46 52 2
1/16/89 LV 51 46 3
10/25/88 RV 49 46 6
9/27/88 48 44 8
7/11/88 40 56 4
5/25/88 35 59 6
3/21/88 40 56 4
1/23/88 39 59 2
12/13/87 49 47 4
12/2/87 35 61 4
9/23/87 43 54 4
6/29/87 35 62 3
4/13/87 37 60 3
3/9/87 38 58 4
1/18/87 39 56 5
9/8/86 50 48 2
1/26/86 45 47 8
7/29/85 52 43 6
1/16/85 59 36 4
5/22/84 47 48 5
12/13/83 43 51 6
11/7/83 51 44 5
4/12/83 41 54 4
3/2/83 43 53 3
1/25/83 58 39 3
1/25/83 43 52 4
10/11/82 35 57 8
1/30/82 39 56 5
2/80* 20 70 10
2/78 34 53 13
2/77 41 44 14
10/75 19 71 9
10/74 15 75 11
10/73 16 74 10
*2/80 and previous: Roper
7. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Thinking ahead to the November PRESIDENTIAL election, what is the single most important issue in your choice for president?
------------------- 2008 -------------------- ---- 2007 -----
9/22 9/7 8/22 6/15 5/11 4/13 2/1 1/12 12/9 11/1 9/7
RV RV RV RV
Economy/Jobs 50 37 39 34 36 41 39 29 24 14 11
Iraq/War in Iraq 9 10 14 20 21 18 19 20 23 29 35
Terrorism/Nat'l
security 7 6 7 4 4 5 5 4 9 5 6
Health care 5 9 4 6 6 7 8 10 10 13 13
Ethics/Honesty/
Corruption in
government 3 5 4 3 3 4 4 5 4 4 6
Gas/Oil prices/
Energy 3 4 4 6 2 1 * 1 0 0 0
Taxes 2 4 2 2 2 * 1 1 1 1 1
Abortion 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Change 2 2
Education 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 1
Immigration/
Illegal
immigration 1 1 2 1 2 4 4 4 5 5 5
Morals/Family
values 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2
Foreign policy 1 1 3 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 1
Social Security 1 * * * * * * 1 1 2 1
Experience 1 2
Environment * * 2 1 1 * 1 1 1 2 1
Guns/Gun
control * * 1 1 1 * * * *
Federal budget
deficit * * * 1 * * * * * 1 1
Banking/Insur./
Cred. problems *
Housing/
Mortgages 0 0 * * * * * * * * *
Iran/Situation
in Iran 0 0 * 0 * 0 0 * 0 * 0
Global warming 0 * * 0 0 0 * * * * *
None/Nothing 0 1 0 * * * * * 1 * *
Other 7 7 8 6 7 7 6 9 7 9 7
No opinion 3 5 6 6 6 5 7 7 7 8 9
8. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Sarah Palin? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
------- Favorable ------- ------ Unfavorable ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
9/22/08 RV 52 31 21 38 10 27 11
9/7/08 RV 58 35 23 28 11 17 15
9/4/08* RV 52 34 18 37 14 23 11
* "the Republican nominee for vice president"
9. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust more to handle [ITEM] - (Obama) or (McCain)?
9/22/08 - Summary Table*
Both Neither No
Obama McCain (vol.) (vol.) opinion
a. The economy 53 39 1 4 3
b. Fixing the problems
with major financial
institutions 51 38 * 6 4
c. The war in Iraq 49 45 * 4 3
d. International affairs 48 46 0 3 3
e. The U.S. campaign
against terrorism 44 48 1 3 4
f. An unexpected major
crisis 46 47 2 2 3
*Full sample asked items a-b, half sample asked items c-d, other half sample asked items e-f.
Trend where available:
a. The economy
Both Neither No
Obama McCain (vol.) (vol.) opinion
9/22/08 RV 53 39 1 4 3
9/7/08 RV 47 42 1 4 6
8/22/08 RV 50 39 2 5 4
7/13/08 RV 54 37 2 6 3
7/13/08 54 35 2 6 3
6/15/08 RV 52 37 2 5 5
6/15/08 52 36 2 5 4
5/11/08 RV 48 38 2 8 4
5/11/08 48 38 2 8 4
3/2/08 RV 50 37 2 6 5
3/2/08 49 37 2 6 6
b. No trend.
c. The war in Iraq
9/22/08 RV 49 45 * 4 3
9/7/08 RV 41 51 1 2 4
8/22/08 RV 46 46 1 4 3
7/13/08 RV 44 49 1 3 3
7/13/08 45 47 1 4 3
6/15/08 RV 45 48 * 3 3
6/15/08 46 47 * 3 4
5/11/08 RV 46 46 1 5 3
5/11/08 46 45 1 5 3
3/2/08 RV 44 48 * 4 4
3/2/08 43 48 1 4 5
d. International affairs
9/22/08 RV 48 46 0 3 3
9/7/08 RV 39 51 2 3 6
8/22/08 RV 43 51 1 2 3
7/13/08 RV 45 47 2 2 4
7/13/08 45 45 2 3 4
6/15/08 RV 41 50 3 3 3
6/15/08 43 49 2 2 3
e. The U.S. campaign against terrorism
9/22/08 RV 44 48 1 3 4
9/7/08 RV 36 56 2 2 4
8/22/08 RV 38 52 3 5 2
7/13/08 RV 39 54 2 3 1
7/13/08 43 49 2 4 1
6/15/08 RV 37 57 2 2 3
6/15/08 39 53 2 3 4
5/11/08 RV 33 55 5 4 3
5/11/08 34 55 4 4 3
3/2/08 RV 32 57 1 3 5
3/2/08 33 58 2 3 5
f. An unexpected major crisis
9/22/08 RV 46 47 2 2 3
9/7/08 RV 37 54 2 3 3
8/22/08 RV 41 52 2 2 3
7/13/08 RV 42 51 3 2 3
7/13/08 41 50 3 3 3
10. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you think [ITEM] - (Obama) or (McCain)?
9/22/08 - Summary Table*
Both Neither No
Obama McCain (vol.) (vol.) opinion
a. would do more to bring needed
change to Washington 58 33 1 5 3
b. better understands the
economic problems people in
this country are having 57 33 2 7 2
c. is more honest and
trustworthy 47 36 7 7 3
d. is the stronger leader 47 46 2 1 4
*Full sample asked items a-b, half sample asked item c, other half sample asked item d.
Trend where available:
a. would do more to bring needed change to Washington
Both Neither No
Obama McCain (vol.) (vol.) opinion
9/22/08 RV 58 33 1 5 3
9/7/08 RV 51 39 * 5 5
6/15/08 RV 59 27 2 8 4
6/15/08 60 26 1 8 4
5/11/08 RV 60 28 3 6 4
5/11/08 59 29 2 6 4
3/2/08 RV 58 31 2 6 5
3/2/08 56 31 1 6 6
b. No trend.
c. is more honest and trustworthy
9/22/08 RV 47 36 7 7 3
9/7/08 RV 38 44 5 7 6
8/22/08 RV 39 38 10 9 4
7/13/08 RV 43 40 7 6 4
7/13/08 45 38 6 7 4
d. is the stronger leader
9/22/08 RV 47 46 2 1 4
9/7/08 RV 44 48 2 1 5
8/22/08 RV 49 44 3 2 2
6/15/08 RV 44 47 3 1 4
6/15/08 46 46 3 1 4
5/11/08 RV 42 47 3 2 5
5/11/08 42 46 3 2 6
3/2/08 RV 40 53 1 1 5
3/2/08 40 51 2 1 6
11. (ASKED OF LEANED OBAMA/MCCAIN SUPPORTERS) Thinking about his candidacy for president so far, how enthusiastic are you about [NAME] - very enthusiastic, fairly enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?
9/22/08 - Summary Table - Among Leaned Obama/McCain Supporters
--- Enthusiastic -- ---- Not enthusiastic ---- No
NET Very Fairly NET Not too Not at all opinion
a. Obama 94 62 32 6 4 1 *
b. McCain 89 34 55 10 8 2 1
Trend where available:
a. Obama
--- Enthusiastic -- ---- Not enthusiastic ---- No
NET Very Fairly NET Not too Not at all opinion
9/22/08 RV 94 62 32 6 4 1 *
9/7/08 RV 96 64 32 4 3 1 0
8/22/08 RV 95 52 43 5 2 3 *
6/15/08 RV 91 52 39 9 7 2 *
b. McCain
9/22/08 RV 89 34 55 10 8 2 1
9/7/08 RV 92 46 46 8 6 2 0
8/22/08 RV 86 28 58 13 11 2 1
6/15/08 RV 74 19 55 25 19 6 1
12. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Please tell me whether the following statements apply to (Obama/McCain), or not?
9/22/08 - Summary Table
----- Obama ------ ----- McCain -----
Yes No No opin. Yes No No opin.
a. He would be a good commander-
in-chief of the military 48 47 5 72 26 2
b. He knows enough about world
affairs to serve effectively
as president 56 39 4 72 25 3
Trend where available:
a. He would be a good commander-in-chief of the military
----- Obama ------ ----- McCain ------
Yes No No opin. Yes No No opin.
9/22/08 RV 48 47 5 72 26 2
7/13/08 RV 46 49 5 73 24 2
7/13/08 48 48 4 72 25 4
Compare to:
---- Bradley ----- ----- McCain ------
Yes No No opin. Yes No No opin.
2/6/00 35 50 15 56 32 12
------ Gore ------ ------ Bush -------
Yes No No opin. Yes No No opin.
9/6/00 RV 54 40 6 65 27 8
2/6/00 RV 45 48 8 58 35 7
2/6/00 45 47 8 57 35 8
b. He knows enough about world affairs to serve effectively as president
----- Obama ------ ----- McCain -----
Yes No No opin. Yes No No opin.
9/22/08 RV 56 39 4 72 25 3
7/13/08 RV 56 42 2 74 24 2
7/13/08 56 42 2 72 24 3
Compare to:
------- Gore ------ ------- Bush ------
Yes No No opin. Yes No No opin.
9/6/00 RV 73 25 2 54 40 6
7/23/00 RV 67 29 4 52 42 5
7/23/00 66 29 5 52 42 6
4/2/00 71 23 6 57 36 7
2/27/00 70 25 5 55 39 6
2/6/00 69 26 5 52 42 6
1/16/00 65 28 8 49 40 10
12/15/99 68 27 6 54 38 8
11/14/99 NA NA NA 59 36 6
13. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) In your choice for president, how important is the [ITEM] - very important, somewhat important, not so important or not important at all?
9/22/08 - Summary Table
--- Important --- --- Not Important --- No
NET Very Smwt. NET Not so At all opinion
a. Race of the candidate 16 11 5 84 11 73 *
b. Age of the candidate 48 16 31 52 21 31 *
Trend where available:
a. Race of the candidate
--- Important --- --- Not Important --- No
NET Very Smwt. NET Not so At all opinion
9/22/08 RV 16 11 5 84 11 73 *
6/15/08 RV 22 12 10 78 13 65 *
6/15/08 23 13 10 77 13 64 *
b. Age of the candidate
9/22/08 RV 48 16 31 52 21 31 *
6/15/08 RV 41 11 30 58 22 36 *
6/15/08 40 12 28 60 21 39 *
14. On another subject, would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good or poor?
--- Excellent/Good --- --- Not so good/Poor --- No
NET Excellent Good NET Not so good Poor opinion
9/22/08 RV 8 * 8 92 33 59 *
9/22/08 9 * 9 91 34 57 *
4/13/08 10 1 9 90 39 51 *
2/1/08 19 1 18 81 43 38 0
12/9/07 28 3 25 72 40 32 *
11/1/07 35 3 32 64 39 26 *
4/15/07 42 5 37 57 37 20 *
12/11/06 50 7 42 50 36 14 *
10/22/06 55 10 45 45 28 17 *
10/8/06 47 7 40 53 37 16 *
3/5/06 43 5 38 57 37 19 *
1/26/06 40 5 35 60 37 23 *
12/18/05 45 5 39 55 38 17 *
11/2/05 35 3 32 65 36 29 *
9/11/05 40 3 37 59 37 22 1
6/5/05 44 3 40 56 38 19 *
4/24/05 37 2 35 63 44 20 *
9/26/04 RV 46 3 43 53 38 15 1
8/29/04 RV 45 3 41 55 37 18 *
7/25/04 46 4 42 53 39 14 *
6/20/04 45 4 41 55 38 17 *
4/18/04 43 4 39 57 39 18 *
3/7/04 39 2 37 60 38 22 1
1/18/04 42 3 39 58 42 16 0
12/21/03 42 4 39 57 41 16 1
10/29/03 33 1 32 67 45 23 *
9/13/03 30 2 27 70 45 25 *
8/11/03 32 2 30 68 43 25 *
4/30/03 35 1 34 64 46 19 *
2/9/03 28 1 27 72 49 23 *
1/20/03 25 1 25 74 48 26 1
12/15/02 35 1 33 65 44 21 1
11/4/02 LV 28 1 27 72 55 17 1
11/3/02 LV 27 1 26 72 56 17 1
11/2/02 LV 29 1 28 71 54 17 *
9/26/02 31 2 28 69 50 19 *
7/15/02 39 3 36 61 44 17 1
2/21/02 30 1 29 69 51 18 *
1/27/02 31 1 29 69 50 19 *
9/20/01 38 3 35 60 47 14 2
9/9/01 33 1 32 66 47 19 *
7/30/01 50 3 46 50 39 12 *
4/22/01 50 3 47 50 40 9 *
1/15/01 70 10 59 29 24 6 1
10/27/00 LV 86 24 61 14 11 3 *
10/26/00 LV 86 24 61 14 11 3 *
6/11/00 74 17 57 26 19 6 *
2/27/00 80 25 55 20 14 5 *
10/31/99 74 18 56 26 18 7 1
9/2/99 76 19 57 23 16 6 1
3/14/99 80 22 58 19 15 4 1
11/1/98 73 12 61 26 21 5 1
11/1/98 LV 78 13 65 22 19 3 *
10/13/97 61 12 49 39 27 11 *
See also ABC CCI trend
15. How do you feel about [ITEM] - very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried or not worried at all?
9/22/08 - Summary Table:
----- Worried ---- ----- Not worried ---- No
NET Very Smwt. NET Not too At all opin.
a. The direction of the
nation's economy over
the next few years 79 40 39 17 13 5 3
b. Your own family's
financial situation 60 22 38 40 26 14 *
c. The performance of
the stock market 72 33 39 24 15 9 4
Trend:
a. The direction of the nation's economy over the next few years
----- Worried ---- ----- Not worried ---- No
NET Very Smwt. NET Not too At all opinion
9/22/08 RV 82 41 40 17 13 4 2
9/22/08 79 40 39 17 13 5 3
1/5/03 67 27 40 31 22 10 1
11/4/02 LV 76 34 42 23 17 6 1
11/3/02 LV 75 33 42 24 17 7 1
11/2/02 LV 73 32 41 26 19 8 1
10/27/02 75 27 48 23 16 7 2
10/27/02 LV 76 32 45 23 16 7 1
b. Your own family's financial situation
----- Worried ---- ----- Not worried ---- No
NET Very Smwt. NET Not too At all opinion
9/22/08 RV 61 21 40 39 26 13 *
9/22/08 60 22 38 40 26 14 *
c. The performance of the stock market
9/22/08 RV 77 36 41 21 14 6 3
9/22/08 72 33 39 24 15 9 4
11/4/02 LV 70 30 39 29 18 11 1
11/3/02 LV 67 28 40 31 18 13 2
11/2/02 LV 66 28 38 32 18 14 2
10/27/02 64 28 35 35 20 15 1
10/27/02 LV 71 37 34 29 17 12 0
16. Do you approve or disapprove of the steps the Federal Reserve and the Treasury Department have taken to try to deal with the current situation involving the stock market and major financial institutions? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?
-------- Approve -------- ------ Disapprove ------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
9/22/08 RV 47 11 35 42 23 19 12
9/22/08 44 9 35 42 24 18 14
17. Just your best guess - do you think the economy (is in a normal downturn that will correct itself before too long), or do you think the economy (has moved into a serious long-term decline)?
Normal Serious Neither No
downturn decline (vol.) opinion
9/22/08 RV 45 51 2 2
9/22/08 44 52 2 3
5/2/93 48 45 4 3
10/4/92 37 56 4 3
901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as:
Democrat Republican Independent Other No op.
9/22/08 RV 38 28 29 5 1
9/22/08 36 26 31 5 2
9/7/08 RV 36 28 32 3 1
9/7/08 35 26 33 5 2
8/22/08 RV 36 26 33 5 *
8/22/08 36 23 34 6 1
7/13/08 RV 37 27 31 5 *
7/13/08 37 24 33 6 1
6/15/08 38 24 34 4 1
5/11/08 34 28 34 4 1
4/13/08 35 29 30 5 1
3/2/08 40 28 28 3 1
2/1/08 37 26 32 4 1
1/12/08 39 27 29 5 1
12/9/07 37 24 33 5 1
11/1/07 35 29 31 4 1
9/30/07 33 24 36 6 1
9/7/07 31 24 38 6 1
7/21/07 35 23 35 6 *
6/1/07 32 25 38 5 1
4/15/07 36 25 33 6 *
2/25/07 35 26 35 3 1
1/19/07 36 24 35 5 1
12/11/06 34 24 36 5 1
11/4/06 33 30 32 3 2
10/22/06 30 28 36 4 2
10/8/06 38 27 31 3 1
9/7/06 33 32 30 3 2
8/6/06 34 27 34 4 1
6/25/06 33 28 35 3 *
5/15/06 34 28 33 4 1
5/11/06 33 30 33 3 1
4/9/06 34 29 34 3 0
3/5/06 32 28 36 3 1
1/26/06 32 27 34 6 *
1/8/06 31 30 34 5 1
12/18/05 33 32 33 2 *
11/2/05 31 27 38 3 1
9/11/05 31 27 34 8 1
9/2/05 32 31 31 5 2
8/28/05 32 29 33 5 1
6/26/05 34 28 32 5 1
6/5/05 30 31 34 4 *
4/24/05 35 28 32 5 *
904. (IF NOT DEMOCRAT OR REPUBLICAN) Do you lean more towards the:
Democratic Party Republican Party (VOL) Neither No op.
9/22/08 RV 46 28 24 2
9/22/08 47 25 25 3
9/7/08 RV 39 37 17 7
9/7/08 39 35 21 6
8/22/08 RV 42 40 17 1
8/22/08 40 35 22 3
7/13/08 RV 37 38 23 2
7/13/08 39 34 25 1
6/15/08 43 37 19 2
5/11/08 50 29 19 2
4/13/08 42 37 19 2
3/2/08 46 26 22 5
2/1/08 43 30 23 4
1/12/08 38 26 32 4
12/9/07 39 32 24 4
11/1/07 42 34 22 2
9/30/07 38 34 27 1
9/7/07 40 27 28 5
7/21/07 42 34 22 1
6/1/07 45 27 26 2
4/15/07 39 30 29 2
2/25/07 42 33 24 1
1/19/07 50 27 20 3
12/11/06 44 32 23 1
NET LEANED PARTY:
Democrat Republican Independent Other No op.
9/22/08 RV 54 38 7 2 *
9/22/08 54 35 8 2 1
9/7/08 RV 50 41 7 1 1
9/7/08 50 39 8 2 1
8/22/08 RV 52 41 5 2 *
8/22/08 53 37 6 3 1
7/13/08 RV 51 41 7 2 *
7/13/08 52 38 8 2 *
6/15/08 54 38 7 1 *
5/11/08 53 39 6 2 *
4/13/08 50 42 6 2 *
3/2/08 55 36 7 1 1
2/1/08 53 37 8 2 1
1/12/08 52 36 9 3 *
12/9/07 53 36 8 3 *
11/1/07 50 41 6 2 1
9/30/07 50 38 9 2 *
9/7/07 49 36 11 3 1
7/21/07 53 38 7 3 0
6/1/07 52 36 10 2 1
4/15/07 51 37 10 2 *
2/25/07 52 39 8 1 *
1/19/07 56 34 7 2 *
12/11/06 52 38 7 3 *
905. Are you registered to vote at your present address, or not?
Yes No No opinion
9/22/08 76 23 1
9/7/08 79 21 1
8/22/08 78 21 1
7/13/08 81 19 1
6/15/08 81 18 1
5/11/08 82 18 *
4/13/08 83 17 *
3/2/08 84 15 1
2/1/08 80 19 1
1/12/08 82 17 1
12/9/07 82 18 1
11/1/07 81 19 1
9/30/07 81 18 1
9/7/07 80 19 1
7/21/07 84 16 *
6/1/07 82 18 *
4/15/07 85 15 *
2/25/07 84 16 *
1/19/07 80 20 *
12/11/06 84 16 *
11/4/06 80 19 *
10/22/06 78 22 3
10/8/06 85 15 *
9/7/06 81 19 *
8/6/06 85 15 0
6/25/06 83 17 1
5/15/06 83 17 *
5/11/06 84 16 *
4/9/06 83 17 0
1/26/06 81 19 *
12/18/05 86 14 *
11/2/05 86 14 *
908a. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Would you say your views on most political matters are liberal, moderate, or conservative?
Don't think in No
Liberal Moderate Conservative those terms (vol.) op.
9/22/08 RV 23 41 32 2 1
9/7/08 RV 22 39 36 1 2
8/22/08 RV 23 42 33 1 1
8/22/08 22 41 33 2 2
7/13/08 RV 19 44 35 2 1
7/13/08 19 43 35 2 1
6/15/08 21 43 33 1 2
5/11/08 24 39 34 2 1
4/13/08 24 38 35 1 2
3/2/08 19 48 30 2 2
2/1/08 25 38 34 2 1
1/12/08 24 36 36 2 1
12/9/07 24 38 36 1 1
11/1/07 24 41 32 1 1
9/30/07 24 45 30 1 1
9/7/07 20 39 39 1 2
7/21/07 25 39 32 3 1
6/1/07 24 36 37 2 1
4/15/07 24 42 32 1 1
2/25/07 23 40 35 1 1
1/19/07 23 41 33 1 1
12/11/06 23 42 33 2 1
11/4/06 19 42 36 2 1
10/22/06 22 42 32 2 2
10/8/06 21 43 33 1 1
9/7/06 24 39 33 2 2
8/6/06 18 42 38 1 1
6/25/06 21 41 35 1 1
5/15/06 19 48 31 1 1
5/11/06 18 49 33 * *
4/9/06 21 41 35 2 1
3/5/06 22 42 33 2 1
1/26/06 21 40 37 1 1
1/8/06 20 40 37 2 1
12/18/05 22 42 34 1 1
11/2/05 23 44 32 1 *
9/11/05 22 44 31 2 2
8/28/05 20 44 34 2 1
6/26/05 21 44 33 1 1
6/5/05 23 40 35 1 *
4/24/05 20 47 30 1 1
911. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) What, if anything, is your religion?
Christian Other Non- No
Protestant Catholic (Non-Protestant) Christian None op.
9/22/08 RV 44 22 11 4 17 *
9/7/08 RV 43 24 13 4 14 1
8/22/08 RV 42 21 13 5 15 1
8/22/08 42 19 16 5 16 1
7/13/08 RV 46 21 13 4 11 *
7/13/08 44 21 12 4 13 *
6/15/08 42 24 12 5 15 *
5/11/08 42 22 15 4 15 *
4/13/08 45 22 14 4 13 1
3/2/08 42 21 12 5 17 *
2/1/08 42 21 13 5 17 *
1/12/08 44 21 14 4 15 *
12/9/07 43 21 13 4 16 1
11/1/07 46 21 15 6 13 1
9/30/07 44 21 14 6 15 *
9/7/07 46 21 14 4 13 *
7/21/07 46 20 14 5 12 *
6/1/07 44 22 14 4 15 1
4/15/07 42 21 17 5 13 1
2/25/07 44 21 14 6 14 *
1/19/07 44 23 10 5 14 1
12/11/06 42 21 12 2 16 1
11/4/06 48 23 12 2 12 1
10/22/06 44 21 14 3 15 1
10/8/06 44 19 13 5 15 *
9/7/06 46 19 12 6 14 1
8/6/06 45 23 12 3 16 1
6/25/06 45 23 12 4 14 *
5/15/06 46 22 14 4 12 *
5/11/06 46 24 10 4 13 1
4/9/06 42 24 14 5 14 *
3/5/06 44 21 14 4 14 *
1/26/06 46 24 11 4 14 1
1/8/06 45 20 12 4 15 1
12/18/05 44 21 13 3 15 1
11/2/05 46 21 11 6 15 *
9/11/05 44 23 12 3 15 *
8/28/05 44 23 14 3 13 1
6/26/05 46 22 10 4 16 *
6/5/05 47 23 11 4 14 *
4/24/05 47 21 12 4 14 1
911b. (IF CHRISTIAN) Would you consider yourself a born-again or evangelical Christian, or not?
Yes No No opin.
9/22/08 RV 45 54 1
9/7/08 RV 44 54 2
8/22/08 RV 44 54 3
8/22/08 46 51 3
7/13/08 RV 46 50 4
7/13/08 45 51 4
6/15/08 40 57 3
5/11/08 40 56 4
4/13/08 43 54 3
3/2/08 42 56 2
2/1/08 43 56 2
1/12/08 40 57 3
12/9/07 44 54 2
11/1/07 41 56 3
9/30/07 42 55 3
9/7/07 44 54 3
7/21/07 45 54 1
6/1/07 42 56 3
4/15/07 40 58 2
2/25/07 42 55 3
1/19/07 43 55 2
12/11/06 44 53 3
11/4/06 43 55 2
10/22/06 43 53 4
10/8/06 44 55 1
9/7/06 45 53 2
8/6/06 46 51 3
6/25/06 42 55 3
5/15/06 42 56 1
5/11/06 38 60 2
4/9/06 40 59 1
3/5/06 46 53 1
1/26/06 44 54 2
1/8/06 45 51 3
12/18/05 43 54 2
11/2/05 41 57 2
9/11/05 40 58 2
8/28/05 43 54 3
6/26/05 42 55 3
6/5/05 44 54 2
4/24/05 42 56 2
914. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Are you:
Never
Married Separated Divorced Widowed Married
9/22/08 RV 60 2 9 9 19
9/7/08 RV 60 2 11 9 18
8/22/08 RV 64 3 9 5 18
8/22/08 59 3 9 5 24
7/13/08 RV 59 3 10 8 20
7/13/08 55 3 10 8 25
6/15/08 53 2 10 9 26
5/11/08 55 2 9 8 25
4/13/08 53 1 12 8 26
3/2/08 54 3 10 7 27
2/1/08 56 3 10 8 24
918. Race
Other DK/
White Black Hispanic Asian Race No op.
9/22/08 RV 74 12 6 1 6 *
9/22/08 73 12 8 1 6 *
INCOME. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Which of the following CATEGORIES best describes your total annual household income before taxes, from all sources?
-------Less than $50k------- --------More than $50k--------
NET < 20k 20-35k 35-50k NET 50-75k 75-100k 100k+
9/22/08 RV 40 12 14 14 57 21 14 22
9/22/08 46 16 16 14 50 18 12 20
9/7/08 RV 44 13 14 17 56 17 15 24
8/22/08 RV 39 10 11 18 59 19 16 24
8/22/08 43 15 12 17 53 18 15 21
7/13/08 RV 43 14 14 15 54 16 14 24
7/13/08 48 18 15 15 50 16 12 21
6/15/08 47 18 15 15 51 18 15 18
5/11/08 47 15 16 17 50 18 13 19
4/13/08 47 17 13 17 51 18 14 18
3/2/08 44 14 13 17 52 17 13 22
2/1/08 48 17 16 15 48 18 12 18
1/12/08 46 12 18 16 51 19 13 19
12/9/07 49 14 17 18 48 15 15 18
11/1/07 48 14 16 17 49 16 13 21
9/30/07 53 17 16 20 44 18 12 14
9/7/07 43 10 17 16 54 19 15 20
7/21/07 46 16 14 16 51 18 13 19
6/1/07 49 15 18 16 49 18 13 18
4/15/07 46 15 16 15 51 20 13 18
2/25/07 46 10 16 20 51 20 14 17
1/19/07 49 16 17 15 49 16 13 20
12/11/06 46 11 16 19 51 18 16 17
10/22/06 52 16 20 17 45 16 11 17
10/8/06 46 13 16 17 51 22 13 16
9/7/06 51 16 18 17 47 17 15 15
8/6/06 49 14 16 18 48 20 12 16
6/25/06 50 16 16 19 47 19 11 17
5/15/06 52 14 18 21 46 16 13 17
5/11/06 46 9 18 18 53 18 15 20
4/9/06 53 16 20 17 47 19 12 16
3/5/06 50 16 18 16 48 20 12 16
1/26/06 52 20 15 17 46 18 12 16
12/18/05 54 17 19 18 44 18 12 15
11/2/05 52 14 18 20 46 19 13 14
9/11/05 55 18 20 17 42 18 11 14
8/28/05 52 18 15 19 46 18 11 16
6/26/05 49 14 17 18 49 19 14 16
6/5/05 55 15 20 20 43 17 13 14
4/24/05 55 15 21 19 45 18 12 15
Q921. Sex
All RV LV
Male 48 46 48
Female 52 54 52
***END***
