Washington Post-ABC News Poll

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone Oct. 3 to 5, 2008, among a random sample of 1,010 adults in the state of Ohio. The survey includes additional interviews with randomly selected African Americans and 18 to 29 year olds, for a total of 134 black respondents and 166 18-29 year olds. The added interviews (commonly referred to as "oversamples") were completed to ensure there were enough respondents in each group for separate analysis; neither was over-represented in the reported results. The results from the full survey have a 3-point error margin; it is 3.5 points for likely voters. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1.(ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) How closely are you following the presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?

 
             ---- Closely -----   ---- Not closely -----     No
             NET   Very   Smwt.   NET   Not too   At all   opinion
10/5/08 OH   91     57     34      9        6        3        0

2. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential election: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?

                                                   Don't think  Already
            Certain  Probably  Chances  Less than   will vote    voted   No
            to vote    vote     50/50     that       (vol.)      (vol.)  op.
10/5/08 OH     88        6        3         1           1           1     *

3. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats) and (John McCain and Sarah Palin, the Republicans), for whom would you vote?

NET LEANED VOTE - LIKELY VOTERS

                              Other    Neither     No
             Obama   McCain   (vol.)    (vol.)   opinion
10/5/08 OH    51       45       1         1         2

NET LEANED VOTE - REGISTERED VOTERS

                              Other    Neither   Would not       No
             Obama   McCain   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
10/5/08 OH    51       43       1         2          1            2

3b. (IF NAMED CANDIDATE) Would you definitely vote for (CANDIDATE), or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? (IF CHANCE CHANGE MIND) Is there a GOOD CHANCE you'll change your mind, or would you say it's PRETTY UNLIKELY?

             Definitely   -Chance change mind -     No
              vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
10/5/08 OH       81       18      6       11         1

Barack Obama:

             Definitely   -Chance change mind -     No 
              vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
10/5/08 OH       81       18      7       12         1

John McCain:

             Definitely   -Chance change mind -     No 
              vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
10/5/08 OH       83       16      5       11         1

4. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Have you voted for president in any year before this 2008 election, or is this the first year you'll be voting for president?

             Voted in previous   First time      No opinion
10/5/08 OH          89               11                0

5. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) What is the single most important issue in your choice for president?

                           10/5/08  
                             OH     
Economy/Jobs                 52     
Health care                   9      
Iraq/War in Iraq              6      
Ethics/Honesty/
 Corruption in
 government                   4       
Terrorism/Nat'l   
 security                     3      
Taxes                         3      
Abortion                      3      
Education                     2      
Change                        2      
Experience                    2      
Morals/Family values          1      
Foreign policy                1    
Federal budget deficit        1      
Gas/Oil prices/Energy         1             
Housing/Mortgages             *      
Social Security               *      
Guns/Gun control              *      
Environment                   *      
Immigration/Illegal
 immigration                  *      
Stock market/Wall
 Street                       *     
Banking/Insurance/
 Credit problems              *            
None/Nothing                  1           
Other                         6      
No opinion                    2   
  

6. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust more to handle [ITEM] - (Obama) or (McCain)?

10/5/08 - Summary Table* 
                                           Both    Neither     No
                         Obama   McCain   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
a. The economy            52       39        1        6         2
b. The war in Iraq        44       50        2        4         1
c. Creating jobs          52       38        *        7         2 
d. Energy policy          49       41        2        6         2
e. The U.S. campaign 
   against terrorism      43       50        3        3        1   
f. An unexpected major 
   crisis                 45       46        3        4         2
g. Taxes                  52       38        1        7         2
*Full sample asked item a, half sample asked items b-d, other half sample asked items e-h.
   

7. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you think [ITEM] - (Obama) or (McCain)?

10/5/08 - Summary Table*

                                                    Both     Neither     No 
                                   Obama   McCain   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
a. better understands the
   economic problems people in
   this country are having          53       35       3        8          1
b. shares your values               47       44       3        5          1  
c. would do more to bring needed
   change to Washington             62       31       1        5          1
d. is the stronger leader           51       43       2        2          2
*Half sample asked items a,d; other half sample asked items b,c.

8. (ASKED OF REGISTERED OBAMA VOTERS) Thinking about his candidacy for president so far, how enthusiastic are you about Obama - very enthusiastic, fairly enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

               --- Enthusiastic --   ---- Not enthusiastic ----     No
               NET   Very   Fairly   NET   Not too   Not at all   opinion
10/5/08 OH LV  93     62      32      7        5          1          0    
10/5/08 OH     92     58      34      8        6          2          *

9. (ASKED OF REGISTERED MCCAIN VOTERS) Thinking about his candidacy for president so far, how enthusiastic are you about McCain - very enthusiastic, fairly enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

               --- Enthusiastic --   ---- Not enthusiastic ----     No
               NET   Very   Fairly   NET   Not too   Not at all   opinion
10/5/08 OH LV  90     31      59     10        8          2          *    
10/5/08 OH     88     30      58     12       10          2          *
    

10. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) If McCain were elected president, do you think he'd (mainly lead the country in a new direction), or (mainly continue in George W. Bush's direction)?

                New        Same        No
             direction   direction   opinion
10/5/08 OH      45          53          2

11. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Regardless of who you may support, do you think Obama does or does not have the kind of experience it takes to serve effectively as president?

 
            Does   Does not   No opinion
10/5/08 OH    52       46           2

12. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Which is more important to you in choosing a candidate for president: (their personal qualities such as experience and leadership ability) or (their positions on specific issues)?

              Personal    Positions    Both      No
              qualities   on issues   (vol.)   opinion
10/5/08 OH       42          45         12        1 

13. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Does Obama's choice of Biden for vice president make you more likely to vote for Obama, less likely, or won't it make any difference in your vote?

              More     Less        No         No
             likely   likely   difference   opinion
10/5/08 OH     26       14         60          *

14. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Does McCain's choice of Palin for vice president make you more likely to vote for McCain, less likely, or won't it make any difference in your vote?

 
              More     Less        No         No
             likely   likely   difference   opinion
10/5/08 OH     25       31         44          *

15. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) How do you feel about [ITEM] - very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried or not worried at all?

10/5/08 - Summary Table

                           ----- Worried ----   ----- Not worried ----    No
                           NET   Very   Smwt.   NET   Not too   At all   opin.
a. The direction of the 
   nation's economy over 
   the next few years      86     51      36    13        9        4       1
b. Your own family's
   financial situation     70     27      43    30       17       13       *
   

16. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) As you may know, Congress voted [FRI: today / SAT/SUN: Friday] to use up to 700 billion dollars to shore up failing financial institutions on Wall Street. Some people say (it's a bailout that those companies don't deserve). Other people say (it's necessary to protect the broader economy). On balance, do you support or oppose this plan?

             -------- Support --------   --------- Oppose --------     No   
             NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
10/5/08 OH   45       12         33      49       20         30         6 

17. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Have you personally been contacted by a representative of the [CANDIDATE] campaign, either by phone or in-person, asking you for your support, or not? How about by a representative of the [NEXT CANDIDATE] campaign?

10/5/08 - Summary Table
         
            Yes   No   No opinion 
a. Obama    37    62        * 
b. McCain   27    73        1


Trend where available:

                  ------- Obama -------     ------ McCain -------
                  Yes     No     No op.     Yes     No     No op.     
10/5/08  OH RV    37      62       *        27      73       1        
10/5/08  OH LV    38      62       *        26      73       1        

                  ------- Kerry -------     ------- Bush -------      
                  Yes     No     No op.     Yes     No     No op.
10/17/04 OH LV    30      69       1        32      67       1        

18. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Have you personally received any e-mail or text messages from the [CANDIDATE] campaign asking you for your support, or not? How about by a representative of the [NEXT CANDIDATE] campaign?

10/5/08 - Summary Table

            Yes   No   No opinion 
a. Obama    17    82        1 
b. McCain   12    87        1

19. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) How confident are you that votes in Ohio will be counted accurately: very confident, somewhat confident, not very confident or not at all confident?

             ---- Confident ----   ---- Not confident ----     No
             NET   Very   Smwht.   NET   Not very   At all   opinion
10/5/08 OH   79     34      45     20       13         7        1

901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what? IF NOT DEMOCRAT OR REPUBLICAN: Do you lean more towards the (Democratic Party) or (Republican Party)?

                                                                   -- Non-Partisans --
                                                                   Lean   Lean    No
            Democrat   Republican   Independent   Other   No op.   Dem.   Rep.   Lean
10/5/08 LV     37          28            32         3       *       15     12      8
10/5/08 RV     37          27            33         4       *       15     12      9
10/5/08        36          25            31         7       1       16     12     12

905. Are you registered to vote at your present address, or not?

             Yes     No     No opinion
10/5/08      84      16          *

908a. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Would you say your views on most political matters are liberal, moderate, or conservative?

                                                     Don't think in      No
            Liberal    Moderate    Conservative    those terms (vol.)    op.
10/5/08 RV     19         43            36                  1             2

911. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) What, if anything, is your religion?

                                      Christian       Other Non-         No
           Protestant   Catholic   (Non-Protestant)   Christian   None   op. 
10/5/08 RV     46          22              12              3       15     *

911b. (IF CHRISTIAN) Would you consider yourself a born-again or evangelical Christian, or not?

            Yes     No     No opin.
10/5/08 RV  41      57         2

914. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Are you:

                                                      Never
             Married  Separated  Divorced   Widowed  Married
10/5/08 RV     57         2         13         9       18

918. Race

                    All   RV   LV
White               83    83   84
Black               10    11   12
Hispanic             3     2    2
Asian                1     *    *
Other                4     3    2

INCOME. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Which of the following CATEGORIES best describes your total annual household income before taxes, from all sources?

            -------Less than $50k-------   --------More than $50k--------
            NET  < 20k   20-35k   35-50k   NET   50-75k   75-100k   100k+
10/5/08 RV  51     16      17       19     46      19        13       14

921. Sex

         All   RV   LV
Male     48    47   46  
Female   52    53   54

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