Washington Post-ABC News Poll

The Washington Post
Monday, October 23, 2006

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone October 19-22, 2006, among a random national sample of 1,200 adults. The results have a three-point error margin. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

             -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------    No   
             NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opin.
10/22/06 RV  40       24         16      58       14         44        2  
         All 37       21         16      60       15         45        3  
10/8/06      39       23         16      60       12         48        1  
9/7/06       42       24         18      55       12         43        3  
8/6/06       40       23         17      58       12         46        2  
6/25/06      38       20         18      60       12         48        2 
5/15/06      33       17         16      65       18         47        2
4/9/06       38       20         18      60       13         47        1
3/5/06       41       24         17      58       14         44        1
1/26/06      42       25         18      56       14         42        2 
1/8/06       46       29         17      52       13         39        2 
12/18/05     47       29         17      52       12         40        1  
11/2/05      39       20         18      60       13         47        1
10/29/05     39       22         17      58       13         45        3
9/11/05      42       27         15      57       12         45        1
8/28/05      45       27         18      53       12         41        2 
6/26/05      48       27         21      51       11         40        1 
6/5/05       48       27         21      52       14         38        1
4/24/05      47       25         22      50       13         38        3
3/13/05      50       31         19      48       11         37        3
1/31/05      50       34         15      45       11         34        5
1/16/05      52       33         19      46       11         35        2  
12/19/04     48       27         21      49       12         38        2
10/20/04     50       30         20      46       11         35        4  
10/17/04 LV  54       35         19      45        9         36        2  
10/16/04 LV  54       35         19      44       10         34        2  
10/15/04 LV  54       35         19      44       10         34        2  
10/3/04  LV  53       36         17      46       11         34        1  
9/26/04      50       33         18      45       13         32        5  
9/8/04       52       35         17      43       11         32        5
8/29/04      50       31         19      47       13         34        3
8/1/04       47       28         18      49       13         36        5
7/25/04      50       32         19      47       13         34        3
7/11/04      48       31         17      50       11         39        2  
6/20/04      47       30         17      51       13         39        1 
5/23/04      47       31         17      50       14         36        3 
4/18/04      51       33         18      47       13         34        1  
3/7/04       50       32         18      48       12         36        2
2/11/04      50       30         21      47       14         34        2   
1/18/04      58       35         24      40        9         30        2 
12/21/03     59       39         21      38       15         23        3   
12/14/03     57       37         20      39       10         29        5   
12/7/03      53       32         21      40       13         27        7   
11/16/03     57       34         23      39       11         28        4   
10/29/03     56       30         26      42       13         29        2   
10/13/03     53       33         20      43       13         29        4   
9/30/03      54       34         20      44       15         29        2   
9/13/03      58       35         23      40       14         27        2   
9/7/03       56       34         22      41       13         28        4   
8/11/03      59       37         22      37       14         23        4   
7/10/03      59       35         24      38       13         25        3   
6/22/03      68       45         23      29       11         18        4   
4/30/03      71       50         22      26       17          9        3   
4/16/03      74       52         22      23        9         14        3   
4/9/03       77       58         19      20        6         14        4   
4/3/03       71       54         16      25        7         19        4   
3/23/03      68       NA         NA      27       NA         NA        4   
3/20/03      67       NA         NA      28       NA         NA        5   
3/2/03       62       38         23      35       13         22        4       
2/23/03      60       NA         NA      34       NA         NA        6       
2/9/03       64       42         21      34       14         20        3       
2/1/03       62       41         21      34       13         22        4       
1/28/03      62       43         19      36       13         23        2       
1/27/03      59       39         21      37       15         22        4       
1/20/03      59       36         23      38       16         22        2       
12/15/02     66       37         28      32       12         20        2       
11/4/02  LV  67       45         23      31       12         20        1       
11/3/02  LV  67       45         22      32       12         20        1       
11/2/02  LV  67       47         20      32        9         23        1       
10/27/02     67       39         28      29       13         16        4       
9/26/02      67       42         25      30       12         18        3       
9/8/02       71       42         28      27       12         15        3       
7/28/02      69       39         31      28       14         14        3       
7/15/02      72       42         31      25       12         13        2       
6/17/02      74       42         32      22        9         13        4       
6/9/02       77       41         36      20        9         11        3       
5/19/02      76       48         28      22        8         13        3       
4/21/02      78       47         31      20        9         10        2       
3/28/02      79       49         30      18        8         10        3       
3/10/02      82       52         30      16        9          7        2  
1/27/02      83       56         27      14        7          7        3  
12/19/01     86       64         22      12        6          6        2  
11/27/01     89       69         21       9        4          5        1  
11/6/01      89       65         24       9        5          4        2  
10/9/01      92       76         16       6        3          3        1  
9/27/01      90       70         20       6        3          3        4  
9/13/01      86       63         23      12        5          6        2  
9/9/01       55       26         29      41       20         22        3  
8/12/01      61       28         33      31       14         17        8  
7/30/01      59       28         30      38       17         22        3  
6/3/01       55       27         28      40       18         22        6  
4/22/01      63       33         30      32       16         16        5  
3/25/01      58       NA         NA      33       NA         NA        8  
2/25/01      55       NA         NA      23       NA         NA       22

2. Thinking about this November's election for the U.S. House and some U.S. Senate and governor seats, are you following the election very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely or not closely at all?

              ------- Closely -------     ------- Not closely ------     No 
              NET    Very    Somewhat     NET   Not too   Not at all     op.
10/22/06 RV   78      29        50        22       13          8          * 
10/8/06  RV   75      26        49        25       17          8          0 
9/7/06   RV   66      20        46        34       20         14          * 
8/6/06   RV   66      21        45        34       23         11          * 
5/15/06  RV   60      20        40        39       23         16          *
         All  57      18        38        43       24         19          *

3. I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the Congressional election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?

                                                    Don't think  Already
             Certain  Probably  Chances  Less than   will vote   voted    No    
             to vote    vote     50/50     50/50       (vol.)    (vol.)   op.
10/22/06 RV    75        14        7         3           *         1       2

4. (and 4a) If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for (the Democratic candidate) or (the Republican candidate) in your congressional district? (IF OTHER, NEITHER, DK, REF) Would you lean toward the (Democratic candidate) or toward the (Republican candidate)?

5. (IF ALREADY VOTED) Did you vote for (the Democratic candidate) or (the Republican candidate) in your congressional district?

Net Leaned Vote:

                Dem      Rep      Other     Neither     Will not      No
                cand.    cand.    (vol.)    (vol.)     vote (vol.)   opin.
10/22/06 RV      54       41        *          1           *           3           
10/8/06  RV      54       41        *          1           1           3           
9/7/06   RV      50       42        *          3           2           4            
8/6/06   RV      52       39        *          2           1           5            
6/25/06  RV      52       39        1          3           1           4            
         All     52       38        1          2           2           5            
5/15/06  RV      52       40        1          3           1           4            
         All     53       38        1          3           1           4            
4/9/06   RV      55       40        *          2           *           3            
         All     54       40        *          2           1           4            
1/26/06  RV      54       38        1          3           1           5
         All     55       36        1          3           1           4 
12/18/05 RV      51       41        1          3           1           4
         All     50       41        1          3           1           4 
11/2/05  RV      52       37        1          4           2           6
         All     53       36        1          3           2           5
11/4/02  LV      48       48        1          1           0           2
11/3/02  LV      48       48        *          1           0           2
11/2/02  LV      50       49        *          1           0           2
10/27/02 LV      47       49        1          1           0           3
9/26/02  LV      49       47        1          2           0           2
         RV      47       44        2          3           2           3
         All     46       42        2          2           5           3
7/15/02  RV      47       46        1          1           1           4
         All     47       45        1          1           1           4
1/27/02* RV      43       50       NA          2           1           5
9/6/00   RV      49       42                   2           1           6
7/23/00  RV      46       45                   3           1           5
2/27/00  RV      45       46                   2           1           5
10/31/99 RV      50       43                   3           1           3
9/2/99   RV      48       44                   3           *           5
3/14/99  RV      50       41                   2           1           6
2/14/99  RV      48       41                   3           1           7
1/30/99  RV      49       39                   8           1           3
11/1/98  RV      51       43                   4           *           2
10/25/98 RV      48       43                   3           1           4
10/18/98 RV      49       44                   3           1           4
9/28/98  RV      49       44                   2           *           4
8/21/98  RV      48       45                   3           1           3
7/12/98  RV      47       45                   2           *           6
1/31/98  RV      49       40                   2           1           8
1/19/98  RV      47       44                   3           1           5
10/8/96  RV      51       41                   2           1           5
9/29/96  RV      48       41                   3           1           7
9/22/96  RV      50       43                   2           1           4
9/15/96  RV      49       45                   1           1           4
9/4/96   RV      48       44                   3           *           5
8/29/96  RV      53       39                   3           1           5
8/28/96  RV      51       40                   3           1           5
8/27/96  RV      51       41                   3           0           5
8/26/96  RV      51       41                   3           0           5
8/25/96  RV      48       43                   3           1           6
8/24/96  RV      47       43                   2           1           6
8/19/96  RV      49       42                   3           0           6
8/18/96  RV      45       46                   3           0           6
8/15/96  RV      46       43                   4           1           5
8/14/96  RV      48       42                   3           1           6
8/13/96  RV      49       43                   3           0           5
8/12/96  RV      49       42                   3           1           5
8/11/96  RV      49       40                   4           1           6
8/10/96  RV      49       41                   4           1           5
8/4/96   RV      48       45                   2           1           4
6/30/96  RV      49       44                   3           *           3
5/22/96  RV      52       41                   3           1           3
3/10/96  RV      51       43                   2           *           4
1/21/96  RV      52       43                   3           1           1
10/1/95  RV      49       44                   3           *           3
11/6/94  RV      47       42                   5           2           5
10/31/94 RV      48       44                   4           1           3
10/23/94 RV      50       45                   2           1           2
10/9/94  RV      46       47                   3           2           2
9/11/94  RV      50       45                   1           1           4
8/7/94   RV      49       42                   4           1           4
2/27/94  RV      50       40                   8           1           2
10/21/91 RV      51       41                   4           *           4
7/28/91  RV      49       41                   6           *           3
6/2/91   RV      48       42                   4           1           5
11/4/90  RV      51       41                   5           *           3
10/14/90 RV      50       41                   5           *           3
9/9/90   RV      47       46                   3           *           3
7/24/90  RV      51       41                   4           1           4
5/21/90  RV      47       45                   5           1           2
9/21-10/10/88 RV 52       41                   2           1           4
9/19/88  RV      51       39                   3           1           6
6/22/85  RV      48       44                   5           *           3
10/16/84 RV      52       44                   2          NA           5
9/11/84  RV      53       45                   2          NA           1
7/8/84   RV      58       40                   2          NA           1
10/27/82 RV      58       39                  NA          NA           3
10/11/82 RV      55       36                  NA          NA           9
9/13/82  RV      58       36                  NA          NA           6
11/22/81 RV      53       41       "          NA          NA           7
*1/27/02 and previous: No "other candidate" option recorded

6. (IF NAMED CANDIDATE) Will you definitely vote for the (CANDIDATE), or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? (IF CHANCE CHANGE MIND) Is there a good chance you'll change your mind, or would you say it's pretty unlikely?

                     Definitely     -- Chance change mind ---      No 
                        vote        NET     Good     Unlikely     opin.
Registered voters:
10/22/06 All             69         31       14         17          0
         Dem cand        70         30       13         16          0           
         Rep cand        68         32       14         18          0

7. How enthusiastic (are/were) you about voting for the (Democrat/Republican) in your Congressional district this year - very enthusiastic, fairly enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

10/22/06 Summary Table - Among Registered Voters, Leaned Dem/Rep Supporters

                --- Enthusiastic --    ---- Not Enthusiastic ----     No
                NET   Very   Fairly    NET   Not too   Not at all     op.
a. Democrat     78     38      40      20       13          8          2
b. Republican   80     39      41      19       14          5          1

Trend:

a. Democrat

                --- Enthusiastic --    ---- Not Enthusiastic ----     No
                NET   Very   Fairly    NET   Not too   Not at all     op.
10/22/06 RV     78     38      40      20       13          8          2
10/8/06  RV     81     42      40      18       14          4          1

b. Republican   

                --- Enthusiastic --    ---- Not Enthusiastic ----     No
                NET   Very   Fairly    NET   Not too   Not at all     op.
10/22/06 RV     80     39      41      19       14          5          1
10/8/06  RV     76     35      41      23       18          5          1

8. (IF SUPPORTING/VOTED FOR DEM CANDIDATE) Is/was) your vote more FOR the Democratic candidate in your congressional district, or more AGAINST the Republican candidate?

                For the       Against the        No
                Dem cand.      Rep. cand.     opinion
10/22/06 RV        55              43            3

9. (IF SUPPORTING/VOTED FOR REP CANDIDATE) (Is/was) your vote more FOR the Republican candidate in your congressional district, or more AGAINST the Democratic candidate?

                For the       Against the        No
                Rep cand.      Dem. cand.     opinion
10/22/06 RV        70              25            5

10. Which of the following (will be/was) the SINGLE MOST important issue in your vote for Congress this year: (the U.S campaign against terrorism), (the war in Iraq), (the economy), (immigration), (ethics in government), (health care) or something else?

                        Health   Immi-   Terror-   Ethics           No 
            Iraq  Econ.  care   gration    ism    in govt.  Other   op.
10/22/06 RV  27    19     13      10        14       8        7      3 
10/8/06  RV  26    23     13       9        14      10        3      2 

Compare to: 
                        Health   Immi-   Terror-    Gas             No 
            Iraq  Econ.  care   gration    ism     Prices   Other   op.
9/7/06  RV   21    22     13      11        16       5        9      3  
8/6/06  RV   21    21     14      10        11      15        7      1  
6/25/06 RV   23    24     15      13         9       8        6      2
        All  24    23     14      13         8       9        6      2

11. Do you think things in this country (are generally going in the right direction) or do you feel things (have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track)?

                Right      Wrong     No 
              direction    track    opin.  
10/22/06 RV      32         66        2 
         All     30         68        2 
10/8/06          32         66        2 
5/15/06          29         69        2 
11/2/05          30         68        2 
10/24/04 LV      41         55        4 
4/18/04          42         57        1 
4/30/03          52         46        2 
9/26/02          43         53        4 
2/21/02          54         42        4 
2/14/99          55         41        4 
11/1/98          55         43        2 
11/1/98  LV      55         44        1 
8/21/98          57         40        4
7/12/98          50         45        6
4/4/98           55         41        4
1/31/98          61         34        5
1/30/98          61         34        5
1/19/98          44         50        6
8/27/97          39         57        4
6/8/97           37         60        3
3/9/97           34         62        4
10/17/96 RV      40         55        5
10/16/96 RV      42         53        5
10/15/96 RV      43         52        5
10/14/96 RV      44         51        5
10/13/96 RV      44         51        5
9/04/96  RV      40         54        6
8/21/96          28         67        5
6/30/96          26         70        5
3/17/96          27         70        3
1/21/96          27         66        6
1/3/96           21         77        3
4/5/95           23         73        3
1/4/95           27         68        6
10/31/94         27         69        4
7/20/94          26         70        4
3/27/94          28         69        3
1/23/94          31         60       10
11/14/93         25         69        6
8/8/93           26         71        3
6/20/93          26         71        3
4/26/93          27         71        2
3/11/93          36         57        7
2/28/93          37         59        4
1/17/93          31         63        6
12/14/92         35         60        5
10/27/92 RV      22         76        2
10/4/92  RV      18         78        4
6/7/92           14         83        3
4/9/92           16         81        3
3/11/92          18         79        4
1/15/92          19         78        3
11/10/91         24         72        4
10/29/91         26         71        3
8/27/91          31         60        9
7/28/91          30         67        3
6/2/91           39         57        4
4/9/91           42         51        7
2/26/91          58         39        3
1/27/91          49         48        4
10/14/90         19         79        2
9/9/90           36         60        4
8/20/90          35         60        5
7/24/90          37         60        2
5/21/90          39         60        2
3/26/90          44         53        2
2/4/90           49         48        3
1/16/90          48         49        3
5/23/89          42         55        3
3/16/89          46         52        2
1/16/89  LV      51         46        3
10/25/88 RV      49         46        6
9/27/88          48         44        8
7/11/88          40         56        4
5/25/88          35         59        6
3/21/88          40         56        4
1/23/88          39         59        2
12/13/87         49         47        4
12/2/87          35         61        4
9/23/87          43         54        4
6/29/87          35         62        3
4/13/87          37         60        3
3/9/87           38         58        4
1/18/87          39         56        5
9/8/86           50         48        2
1/26/86          45         47        8
7/29/85          52         43        6
1/16/85          59         36        4
5/22/84          47         48        5
12/13/83         43         51        6
11/7/83          51         44        5
4/12/83          41         54        4
3/2/83           43         53        3
1/25/83          58         39        3
1/25/83          43         52        4
10/11/82         35         57        8
1/30/82          39         56        5
2/80*            20         70       10
2/78             34         53       13
2/77             41         44       14
10/75            19         71        9
10/74            15         75       11
10/73            16         74       10
*2/80 and previous: Roper

12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the U.S. Congress is doing its job? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

              -------- Approve --------   ------- Disapprove ------    No   
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opin.
10/22/06 RV   31        5         26      65       26         39        4  
         All  31        5         25      65       27         38        4  
10/8/06       32        5         27      66       29         37        2  
9/7/06        40                          55                            5
8/6/06        36                          60                            4
5/15/06       33                          63                            4 
4/9/06        35                          62                            3 
3/5/06        36                          62                            3
1/26/06       43                          53                            4
1/8/06        41                          55                            5
12/18/05      43                          53                            4
11/2/05       37                          59                            4
8/28/05       37                          59                            4
6/5/05        41                          54                            4
10/29/03      40                          52                            9
4/30/03       57                          37                            6
9/26/02       51                          43                            6
7/15/02       57                          36                            7
2/21/02       57                          39                            4
1/27/02       58                          35                            7
12/19/01      59                          34                            7
9/9/01        45                          48                            7
7/30/01       48                          48                            4
4/22/01       58                          33                            8
10/31/99      42                          53                            6
9/2/99        46                          47                            7
6/6/99        48                          46                            6
3/14/99       44                          49                            7
2/14/99       46                          50                            4    
12/20/98      44                          51                            5    
12/19/98      45                          50                            5    
12/13/98      49                          46                            5    
11/7/98       41                          55                            4    
11/1/98       49                          47                            5    
10/25/98      45                          44                           11    
10/18/98      46                          45                            8    
9/28/98       52                          44                            4    
8/21/98       55                          39                            6          
7/12/98       46                          44                           11          
5/12/98       45                          45                            9          
4/4/98        47                          45                            8          
1/31/98       55                          35                           10          
1/30/98       55                          35                           10          
1/25/98       56                          37                            8          
1/24/98       55                          38                            7          
1/19/98       47                          49                            5          
10/13/97      36                          57                            7          
8/27/97       39                          54                            7          
7/8/97        40                          53                            6          
4/24/97       40                          53                            7          
3/9/97        35                          60                            5          
8/5/96        42                          52                            7          
6/30/96       35                          58                            7          
5/22/96       35                          60                            5          
3/10/96       30                          64                            6          
1/7/96        31                          65                            5          
11/19/95      27                          68                            5          
10/1/95       32                          65                            3 
7/17/95       34                          63                            3         
3/19/95       39                          56                            5         
1/29/95       42                          52                            6         
10/31/94      21                          72                            8         
10/23/94      18                          78                            4         
9/11/94       24                          70                            5         
6/26/94       34                          61                            5         
3/27/94       35                          62                            3         
2/27/94       32                          64                            4         
1/23/94       29                          60                           11         
11/14/93      28                          66                            6         
8/8/93        33                          64                            3         
4/26/93       30                          69                            2         
1/17/93       29                          66                            6         
4/9/92        17                          78                            5         
3/18/92       19                          76                            5         
3/8/92        22                          73                            6         
2/2/92        32                          64                            4         
12/15/91      35                          59                            6         
10/21/91      45                          50                            5         
6/2/91        49                          46                            5 
10/14/90      34                          63                            3                  
2/4/90        41                          55                            4                  
1/16/90       39                          55                            6                  
8/21/89       42                          53                            5                  
5/23/89       54                          44                            2                  
2/14/89       53                          44                            3                  
1/23/88*      43                          53                            4                  
6/1/87        56                          40                            4                  
6/22/85       54                          37                            9                  
5/83          33                          43                           24                  
6/81          38                          40                           22                  
6/79          19                          61                           20                  
9/78          29                          49                           22                  
6/77          34                          42                           24                  
6/75          29                          54                           17                  
8/74          48       "          "       35       "          "        17                  
*1/23/88 and previous: Gallup

13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way your own representative to the U.S. House of Representatives in Congress is handling his or her job?

                 Approve     Disapprove     No opinion
10/22/06 RV        62            32              6
         All       59            33              8
10/8/06            60            33              6
9/7/06             60            30              9
8/6/06             55            37              7
5/15/06            62            31              7
4/9/06             59            34              6
1/26/06            64            30              6
12/18/05           65            29              6
11/2/05            60            33              7
6/5/05             61            32              8
9/26/02            64            27              9
7/15/02            68            23              9
11/1/98            72            20              8
11/1/98  LV        73            23              5
10/18/98           68            20             11
10/18/98 LV        67            25              9
9/28/98            70            21             10
9/28/98  LV        71            23              6
7/12/98            70            18             12
1/19/98            74            19              7
4/5/95             65            25              9
10/31/94           51            38             11
10/23/94           49            43              8
9/11/94            53            35             12
6/26/94            59            31             10
3/27/94            62            26             12
1/17/93            60            29             11
4/9/92             47            39             13
3/18/92            49            40             11
2/2/92             56            32             12
12/15/91           60            28             12
10/21/91           64            27              9
6/2/91             61            26             14
10/14/90           64            29              7
5/23/89            71            18             11

14. Will/was one reason for your vote for Congress (be) to express (support for) Bush, to express (opposition to) Bush, or is/was Bush not a factor in your choice?

                Support    Opposition    Not a factor    No opinion
10/22/06 RV        17           31             50               2
10/8/06  RV        18           35             47               1
5/15/06            12           30             58               1
11/4/02  LV        29           15             55               1
11/3/02  LV        29           17             52               1
11/2/02  LV        30           15             54               1
10/27/02 LV        33           18             49               1

Compare to: Is one of the reasons you support this candidate to express support for Bill Clinton, to express opposition to Clinton, or would you say that Clinton is not a factor?

                Support    Opposition    Not a factor    No opinion
11/1/98            13            9             77               1
11/1/98  LV        10           13             77               *
10/25/98           14           10             72               4
10/25/98 LV        15           15             70               1
10/18/98           13            9             75               3
10/18/98 LV        12           12             76               1
9/28/98            14           13             71               2
9/28/98  LV        14           18             67               1

15. Which political party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you trust to do a better job handling (ITEM)?

10/8/06 - Summary Table, Registered Voters*

                                                      Both    Neither   No
                             Democrats  Republicans  (vol.)   (vol.)    op.
a. The situation in Iraq         48          40         1        8       3
b. The U.S. campaign 
   against terrorism             44          43         2        8       3
c. The economy                   50          41         2        5       2
d. Ethics in government          48          35         2       13       1
e. The situation with North 
   Korea                         47          40         1        7       5

Items a-c asked of full sample; items d,e asked of half sample. 

Trend where available:

a. The situation in Iraq       

                                         Both    Neither    No      
                Democrats  Republicans  (vol.)    (vol.)    op. 
10/22/06 RV         48          40         1        8        3
10/8/06             51          38         3        7        2
9/7/06              43          44         2       10        2
8/6/06              43          40         *       11        5
6/25/06             47          41         1        9        2    
5/15/06             50          36         2       10        3
4/9/06              49          42         1        6        2 
3/5/06              42          42         2       11        2
1/26/06             47          40         1        9        2
12/18/05            47          44         2        6        2
11/2/05             48          37         2       11        2
12/15/02*           30          56         4        7        3
10/27/02 LV         31          58         3        4        4 
9/26/02             33          52         6        4        6      
*12/15/02 and previous: "The situation with Iraq and Saddam Hussein"

b. The U.S. campaign against terrorism 

                                         Both    Neither    No      
                Democrats  Republicans  (vol.)    (vol.)    op. 
10/22/06 RV         44          43         2        8        3
10/8/06             47          41         4        6        2
9/7/06              40          47         1        9        3
8/6/06              46          38         1       11        4
6/25/06             39          46         2       10        3    
5/15/06             46          41         2        8        3
4/9/06              46          45         1        6        1 
3/5/06              39          46         3       10        2
1/26/06             41          46         2        6        4
11/2/05             42          42         4       10        3
12/15/02            25          61         5        6        2
10/27/02* LV        26          61         4        5        4 
9/26/02*            30          51         6        6        8
7/15/02             27          55         9        3        6
1/27/02             23          62        10        3        2      
*"The war on terrorism"

c. The economy

                                         Both    Neither    No      
                Democrats  Republicans  (vol.)    (vol.)    op. 
10/22/06 RV         50          41         2        5        2
10/8/06             54          37         3        6        1
9/7/06              50          39         1        7        4
6/25/06             52          39         1        5        3    
5/15/06             52          34         3        9        2
4/9/06              49          43         1        4        3
3/5/06              49          40         2        8        2
1/26/06             55          37         2        5        2
11/2/05             56          34         1        8        1
12/15/02            44          45         4        6        1
10/27/02* LV        43          48         3        3        2 
9/26/02*            47          39         3        6        5 
7/15/02**           38          48         3        6        5
1/27/02**           39          48         5        6        3   
4/22/01***          47          43         4        4        3
9/28/98             53          40        NA       NA        7
7/12/98             49          37         4        5        6
1/19/98             45          44         3        6        3
7/8/97              43          39         5       12        2
10/23/94            38          43         3       14        2
9/11/94             39          43         3       11        4
2/27/94             47          36         3       11        3
2/2/92              49          38         2        7        4
12/15/91            43          36         4       11        5
3/4/91              32          49         5       10        4
1/16/90             33          52         4        7        4  
*"The economy and jobs"
**"Improving the economy"
***4/22/01 and previous: "The nation's economy"

d. Ethics in government

                                         Both    Neither    No      
                Democrats  Republicans  (vol.)    (vol.)    op.     
10/22/06 RV         48          35         2       13        1
10/8/06             49          30         3       15        2
12/18/05            47          38         2       10        3
11/2/05             42          36         3       16        3

e. No trend. 

16. If control of the Congress switched from the Republicans to the Democrats after next month's election, do you think that would be a good thing, a bad thing, or wouldn't it make any difference?

                 Good     Bad     No difference     No opinion
10/22/06 RV       47       23           27                2
         All      45       21           32                3

Compare to: If control of the Congress switched from the Democrats to the Republicans after next month's election, do you think that would be a good thing, a bad thing, or wouldn't it make any difference?


                 Good     Bad     No difference     No opinion
10/31/94 LV       36       23           39                2
         All      32       20           45                2
10/23/94          31       18           49                1

17. Have you recently been contacted in person, by telephone, or by e-mail by any organization working in support of a candidate for Congress, asking for your vote?

                 Yes     No     No opinion
10/22/06 RV       29     70           1
         All      25     74           *

18. (IF CONTACTED, Q17) Were you asked to vote for a (Republican) candidate or for a (Democratic) candidate?

                 Rep.      Dem.       Both      Other       No
                 cand.     cand.     (vol.)     (vol.)     opin.
10/22/06 RV       33        29         29         1          8
         All      33        29         28         1          8

19. Compared to past congressional elections in your lifetime, do you see the 2006 election as (more important) to the country, (less important), or about as important as past congressional elections?

                 More     Less     Same     No opin.
10/22/06 RV       58        2       39          *
         All      56        3       41          1

20. All in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, do you think the war with Iraq was worth fighting, or not?

              ----- Worth fighting ----     --- Not worth fighting --      No     
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat     NET   Somewhat   Strongly      op. 
10/22/06 RV   40       30         11        57       10         47          2
         All  40       28         12        57       11         47          2
10/8/06       35       25         10        63       13         50          2 
9/7/06        42       29         13        56       11         45          2 
8/6/06        39       29         10        59       12         47          1 
6/25/06       40       25         15        58       13         45          2
5/15/06       37       24         14        62       12         50          1    
4/9/06        41       30         11        58       10         48          1    
3/5/06        42       29         14        57       11         46          1  
1/26/06       44       32         12        55       13         42          1
1/8/06        43       30         13        55       12         43          2
12/18/05      46       33         14        52       11         42          1 
11/2/05       39       25         13        60       12         48          1
8/28/05       46       33         12        53        9         44          1
6/26/05       46       33         13        53       10         43          1 
6/5/05        41       29         12        58       12         46          1
4/24/05       44       31         13        54       12         42          2  
3/13/05       45       34         11        53       11         42          2  
1/16/05       44       32         12        55       10         45          1  
12/19/04      42       31         11        56       10         47          2  
10/3/04 LV    49       34         15        48       11         37          3  
9/26/04 RV    46       35         12        51        8         42          3 
9/8/04  RV    51       38         13        45       10         34          4
8/29/04 RV    48       34         14        50       11         39          2 
7/25/04       49       36         13        48       11         37          3 
6/20/04       47       32         14        52       13         39          2 
5/23/04       48       35         13        50       13         37          1     
5/6/04        49       NA         NA        47       NA         NA          5
4/18/04       51                            47                              2
3/7/04        52                            44                              3 
2/11/04       48                            50                              2
1/18/04       56                            41                              3 
12/21/03      59                            39                              2     
12/14/03      53                            42                              5     
11/16/03      52                            44                              4     
10/29/03      54                            44                              2     
10/13/03      54                            44                              2     
9/13/03       61                            37                              2     
9/7/03        54                            42                              4     
8/24/03       57                            37                              5     
8/11/03       61                            35                              4     
7/10/03       57                            40                              3     
6/22/03       64                            33                              3     
4/30/03       70       "           "        27       "           "          4     
2/2/92*       66       NA         NA        32       NA         NA          2     
7/28/91       67                            30                              3     
6/2/91        70                            26                              3     
3/4/91        86       "           "        13       "           "          1     
*2/2/92 and previous: "the Persian Gulf war"; 3/4/91: "this war"

21. Do you think the war with Iraq has or has not (ITEM)?

10/22/06 - Summary Table 

                                          ---------- Has ----------   Has   No
                                          NET  Great deal  Somewhat   not   op.
a. Damaged the United States' image 
   in the rest of the world          RV   77       50         27       22    1
                                     All  76       51         25       22    1
b. Helped to improve the lives of  
   the Iraqi people                  RV   49       22         26       46    5
                                     All  47       21         26       48    5
 
Trend: 

a. Damaged the United States' image in the rest of the world

               ----------- Damaged -----------     Has      No
               NET     Great deal     Somewhat     not     opin.
10/22/06 RV    77          50            27         22       1
         All   76          51            25         22       1
6/25/06        74          43            30         25       1
6/26/05        67          31            36         33       *
6/20/04        76          46            31         23       1
7/10/03*       63          30            34         34       3
*"did or did not"

b. Helped to improve the lives of the Iraqi people

               --------- Contributed ---------     Has      No
               NET     Great deal     Somewhat     not     opin.
10/22/06 RV    49          22            26         46       5
         All   47          21            26         48       5
6/25/06        68          32            36         29       3
6/20/04        65          28            37         33       1
7/10/03*       72          41            31         25       3
*"did or did not"

22. How much blame do you think the (INSERT) in Congress should get for problems relating to the war in Iraq - a great deal of blame, a good amount, just some or hardly any?

10/22/06 - Summary Table 

                       Great deal/      ---- Some/Hardly any/None ----
                    -- Good amount --                            None    No
                    NET  Great   Good   NET  Some  Hardly any   (vol.)   op.
a. Democrats   RV   34     12     22    63    43       16          3      3
               All  35     13     22    62    42       17          3      3

b. Republicans RV   55     33     22    43    27       12          4      2
               All  55     31     24    43    27       13          3      2

23. How much credit do you think the (INSERT) in Congress should get for the fact that there has not been another terrorist attack in the United States since September 11th, 2001 - a great deal of credit, a good amount, just some or hardly any?

10/22/06 - Summary Table 

                       Great deal/      ---- Some/Hardly any/None ----
                    -- Good amount --                            None    No
                    NET  Great   Good   NET  Some  Hardly any   (vol.)   op.
a. Democrats   RV   24      8     16    74    32       33          9      2
               All  27     10     17    71    32       31          9      2

b. Republicans RV   44     23     21    55    27       22          5      1
               All  43     22     21    56    27       23          6      1

Compare to: How much credit do you think Bush should get for the fact that there has not been another terrorist attack in the United States since September 11th, 2001 - a great deal of credit, a good amount, just some or hardly any?

                  Great deal/      ---- Some/Hardly any/None ----
               -- Good amount --                            None    No
               NET  Great   Good   NET  Some  Hardly any   (vol.)   op.
10/8/06        44     20     23    56    24       27          5      *
8/29/04 RV     51     21     30    48    24       21          3      1

24. Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel (optimistic) or (pessimistic) about (ITEM)?

10/22/06 - Summary Table 

                                        Optimistic     Pessimistic     No op.

a. the situation in Iraq            RV      42              56           3
                                    All     42              55           3
b. the country's ability to defend  
   itself against terrorist attacks RV      72              25           3
                                    All     70              26           3

Trend:

a. the situation in Iraq

               Optimistic     Pessimistic     No opinion
10/22/06 RV        42             56               3
         All       42             55               3
5/15/06            43             55               2
12/18/05           54             44               2
12/19/04           46             51               2
6/20/04            52             45               3
5/23/04            55             43               2   
1/18/04*           58             39               2       
*"Thinking about the coming year"

b. the country's ability to defend itself against terrorist attacks

               Optimistic     Pessimistic     No opinion
10/22/06 RV        72             25               3
         All       70             26               3
5/15/06            65             32               3
12/18/05           65             34               1
12/19/04           66             30               4
6/20/04            66             31               3
1/14/03            75             23               3  

25. Do you think the United States is heading for the same kind of involvement in Iraq as it had in the Vietnam war, or do you think the United States will avoid that kind of involvement this time?

                 Another     Will avoid     Already in      No 
                 Vietnam        that         it (vol.)     opin.
10/22/06 RV        40            50             5            4 
         All       40            50             5            5 
6/5/05             42            52             3            3 

Compare to: Afghanistan                              
3/10/02            18            77            NA            5

Compare to: Serbia
4/26/99            31            65            NA            4

Compare to: Bosnia
11/29/95           33            61            NA            6

Compare to: Persian Gulf
4/3/91*             8            89            NA            3
1/20/91*           11            86            NA            3
12/5/90            32            66            NA            3
11/15/90           26            69            NA            5
9/9/90             18            78            NA            4
8/20/90            22            74            NA            4
*Wording change: "Persian Gulf" in place of "Middle East"

26. On another subject, would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good or poor?

               --- Excellent/Good ----    ---- Not so good/Poor ----   No      
               NET   Excellent    Good    NET    Not so good   Poor    op.   
10/22/06 RV    56       11         45     44         29         15      * 
         All   55       10         45     45         28         17      * 
10/8/06        47        7         40     53         37         16      * 
3/5/06         43        5         38     57         37         19      * 
1/26/06        40        5         35     60         37         23      *
12/18/05       45        5         39     55         38         17      *
11/2/05        35        3         32     65         36         29      * 
9/11/05        40        3         37     59         37         22      1 
6/5/05         44        3         40     56         38         19      * 
4/24/05        37        2         35     63         44         20      *   
9/26/04 RV     46        3         43     53         38         15      1   
8/29/04 RV     45        3         41     55         37         18      *   
7/25/04        46        4         42     53         39         14      *   
6/20/04        45        4         41     55         38         17      *   
4/18/04        43        4         39     57         39         18      *  
3/7/04         39        2         37     60         38         22      1    
1/18/04        42        3         39     58         42         16      0 
12/21/03       42        4         39     57         41         16      1      
10/29/03       33        1         32     67         45         23      *      
9/13/03        30        2         27     70         45         25      *      
8/11/03        32        2         30     68         43         25      *      
4/30/03        35        1         34     64         46         19      *      
2/9/03         28        1         27     72         49         23      *      
1/20/03        25        1         25     74         48         26      1      
12/15/02       35        1         33     65         44         21      1      
11/4/02 LV     28        1         27     72         55         17      1      
11/3/02 LV     27        1         26     72         56         17      1      
11/2/02 LV     29        1         28     71         54         17      *      
9/26/02        31        2         28     69         50         19      *      
7/15/02        39        3         36     61         44         17      1      
2/21/02        30        1         29     69         51         18      *      
1/27/02        31        1         29     69         50         19      *      
9/20/01        38        3         35     60         47         14      2      
9/9/01         33        1         32     66         47         19      *      
7/30/01        50        3         46     50         39         12      *    
4/22/01        50        3         47     50         40          9      *     
1/15/01        70       10         59     29         24          6      1     
10/27/00 LV    86       24         61     14         11          3      *     
10/26/00 LV    86       24         61     14         11          3      *     
6/11/00        74       17         57     26         19          6      *     
2/27/00        80       25         55     20         14          5      *     
10/31/99       74       18         56     26         18          7      1     
9/2/99         76       19         57     23         16          6      1     
3/14/99        80       22         58     19         15          4      1     
11/1/98        73       12         61     26         21          5      1     
11/1/98  LV    78       13         65     22         19          3      *     
10/13/97       61       12         49     39         27         11      *

27. Which best describes your family's financial situation? Do you feel as if you (are getting ahead financially), have just enough money to maintain your standard of living, or (are falling behind financially)?

                 Getting     Just enough     Falling      No
                  ahead      to maintain      behind     opin.
10/22/06 RV         25             53           21         1
         All        24             52           23         1

901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as:

            Democrat     Republican     Independent     Other     No op.
10/22/06       30            28              36           4         2
10/8/06        38            27              31           3         1
9/7/06         33            32              30           3         2
8/6/06         34            27              34           4         1 
6/25/06        33            28              35           3         *
5/15/06        34            28              33           4         1
5/11/06        33            30              33           3         1 
4/9/06         34            29              34           3         0
3/5/06         32            28              36           3         1
1/26/06        32            27              34           6         *
1/8/06         31            30              34           5         1  
12/18/05       33            32              33           2         *
11/2/05        31            27              38           3         1 
9/11/05        31            27              34           8         1 
9/2/05         32            31              31           5         2
8/28/05        32            29              33           5         1 
6/26/05        34            28              32           5         1
6/5/05         30            31              34           4         *
4/24/05        35            28              32           5         *

905. Are you registered to vote at your present address, or not?

             Yes     No     No opinion
10/22/06     78      22          3
10/8/06      85      15          *
9/7/06       81      19          *
8/6/06       85      15          0
6/25/06      83      17          1 
5/15/06      83      17          *
5/11/06      84      16          *		
4/9/06       83      17          0
1/26/06      81      19          *
12/18/05     86      14          *  
11/2/05      86      14          *  

908a. Would you say your views on most political matters are liberal, moderate, or conservative?

                                                     Don't think in      No
            Liberal    Moderate    Conservative    those terms (vol.)    op.
10/22/06       22         42            32                  2             2
10/8/06        21         43            33                  1             1
9/7/06         24         39            33                  2             2
8/6/06         18         42            38                  1             1
6/25/06        21         41            35                  1             1  
5/15/06        19         48            31                  1             1
5/11/06        18         49            33                  *             * 
4/9/06         21         41            35                  2             1
3/5/06         22         42            33                  2             1
1/26/06        21         40            37                  1             1
1/8/06         20         40            37                  2             1 
12/18/05       22         42            34                  1             1
11/2/05        23         44            32                  1             * 
9/11/05        22         44            31                  2             2
8/28/05        20         44            34                  2             1
6/26/05        21         44            33                  1             1   
6/5/05         23         40            35                  1             * 
4/24/05        20         47            30                  1             1

911. What, if anything, is your religion?

                                      Christian       Other Non-         No
           Protestant   Catholic   (Non-Protestant)   Christian   None   op. 
10/22/06       44          21              14              3       15     1
10/8/06        44          19              13              5       15     *
9/7/06         46          19              12              6       14     1
8/6/06         45          23              12              3       16     1
6/25/06        45          23              12              4       14     * 
5/15/06        46          22              14              4       12     *
5/11/06        46          24              10              4       13     1   
4/9/06         42          24              14              5       14     * 
3/5/06         44          21              14              4       14     *
1/26/06        46          24              11              4       14     1
1/8/06         45          20              12              4       15     1
12/18/05       44          21              13              3       15     1    
11/2/05        46          21              11              6       15     *
9/11/05        44          23              12              3       15     *
8/28/05        44          23              14              3       13     1
6/26/05        46          22              10              4       16     * 
6/5/05         47          23              11              4       14     * 
4/24/05        47          21              12              4       14     1

911b. (IF CHRISTIAN) Would you consider yourself a born-again or evangelical Christian, or not?

            Yes     No     No opin.
10/22/06    43      53         4
10/8/06     44      55         1
9/7/06      45      53         2
8/6/06      46      51         3
6/25/06     42      55         3
5/15/06     42      56         1
5/11/06     38      60         2
4/9/06      40      59         1
3/5/06      46      53         1
1/26/06     44      54         2
1/8/06      45      51         3
12/18/05    43      54         2
11/2/05     41      57         2 
9/11/05     40      58         2
8/28/05     43      54         3
6/26/05     42      55         3 
6/5/05      44      54         2
4/24/05     42      56         2

INCOME. Which of the following CATEGORIES best describes your total annual household income before taxes, from all sources?

            -------Less than $50k-------   --------More than $50k--------
            NET   <20k   20-35k   35-50k   NET   50-75k   75-100k   100k+
10/22/06    52     16      20       17     45      16        11       17
10/8/06     46     13      16       17     51      22        13       16
9/7/06      51     16      18       17     47      17        15       15
8/6/06      49     14      16       18     48      20        12       16
6/25/06     50     16      16       19     47      19        11       17       
5/15/06     52     14      18       21     46      16        13       17
5/11/06     46      9      18       18     53      18        15       20
4/9/06      53     16      20       17     47      19        12       16 
3/5/06      50     16      18       16     48      20        12       16
1/26/06     52     20      15       17     46      18        12       16
12/18/05    54     17      19       18     44      18        12       15 
11/2/05     52     14      18       20     46      19        13       14 
9/11/05     55     18      20       17     42      18        11       14  
8/28/05     52     18      15       19     46      18        11       16  
6/26/05     49     14      17       18     49      19        14       16  
6/5/05      55     15      20       20     43      17        13       14
4/24/05     55     15      21       19     45      18        12       15

Q909. What was the last grade of school you completed?

Less than high school 	15
Graduated high school      	32
Some college               	21
Graduated College          	21	
Post-graduate              	11

Q910. What is your age?

18-29                      	22
30-39                      	16
40-49                      	22
50-64                      	24
65+                        	16

Q918. Are you of Hispanic origin or background? IF YES: Are you White Hispanic or Black Hispanic? IF NO: Are you white, black, or some other race?

White                      	77
Black                      	10
Hispanic	 6
Asian                      	 2 
Other Race                 	 5

Q921. RESPONDENT'S SEX

Male                       	48
Female                     	52

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