Washington Post-ABC News Poll
Wednesday, Decemeber 5, 2007
This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone Nov. 29 - Dec. 3, 2007, among a random sample of 488 New Hampshire adults likely to vote in the Republican primary. The results have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.
*= less than 0.5 percent
1. Are you registered to vote in New Hampshire at your present address, or not?
Yes No No opinion
12/3/07 94 6 0
1a. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES) Are you registered (as a Democrat), (as a Republican), or (undeclared)?
Democrat Republican Undeclared No opinion
12/3/07 0 67 33 0
1/1a NET
------------Registered------------
Democrat Republican Undeclared Not Registered
12/3/07 0 63 31 6
2. How closely are you following the 2008 presidential campaign: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?
---- Closely ----- ---- Not closely ----- No
NET Very Smwt. NET Not too At all opinion
12/3/07 89 39 50 11 8 3 *
4. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES, IF REG REPUBLICAN) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the New Hampshire Republican presidential primary in January. Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?
Certain Probably Chances Less than Will not No
to vote vote 50/50 50/50 attend (vol.) opinion
12/3/07 100 0 0 0 0 0
5. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES, IF REG UNDECLARED) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in one of the New Hampshire presidential primaries in January. Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?
Certain Probably Chances Less than Will not No
to vote vote 50/50 50/50 attend (vol.) opinion
12/3/07 100 0 0 0 0 0
5a. (FOR SCREEENING PURPOSES, IF NOT REGISTERED) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will register and vote in one of the New Hampshire presidential primaries in January. Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?
Certain Probably Chances Less than Will not No
to vote vote 50/50 50/50 attend (vol.) opinion
12/3/07 100 0 0 0 0 0
6. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES, IF REG UNDECLARED OR NOT REG BUT WILL) If the primaries were being held today, would you vote in the (Democratic primary) or the (Republican primary)?
Democratic primary Republican primary No opinion
12/3/07 0 100 0
7. If the Republican primary were being held today, and the candidates were: (Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, Tom Tancredo, Ron Paul, and Fred Thompson), for whom would you vote?
12/3/07
Mitt Romney 37
John McCain 20
Rudy Giuliani 16
Mike Huckabee 9
Ron Paul 8
Fred Thompson 4
Duncan Hunter 1
Tom Tancredo *
Other (vol.) 0
None of these (vol.) 1
Would not vote (vol.) 0
No opinion 4
8. (IF NAMED CANDIDATE) Will you definitely vote for (NAME), or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? (IF CHANCE CHANGE MIND) Is there a good chance you'll change your mind, or would you say it's pretty unlikely?
ALL CANDIDATES COMBINED:
Definitely -Chance change mind - No
support NET Good Unlikely opinion
12/3/07 35 61 31 29 5
12/3/07 - Summary Table*
Definitely -Chance change mind - No
support NET Good Unlikely opinion
Mitt Romney 30 64 31 33 6
*Sample size too small for other candidates.
9. (IF NAMED CANDIDATE) How enthusiastic are you about voting for (NAMED CANDIDATE) - very enthusiastic, fairly enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?
ALL CANDIDATES COMBINED:
--- Enthusiastic -- ---- Not enthusiastic ---- No
NET Very Fairly NET Not too Not at all opinion
12/3/07 91 34 57 8 8 1 1
12/3/07 - Summary Table*
--- Enthusiastic -- ---- Not enthusiastic ---- No
NET Very Fairly NET Not too Not at all opinion
Mitt Romney 93 33 60 5 5 0 2
*Sample size too small for other candidates.
10. (IF NAMED CANDIDATE) Who would your second choice be?
NET LEANED VOTE:
12/3/07
Rudy Giuliani 25
Mitt Romney 21
Mike Huckabee 14
John McCain 13
Ron Paul 6
Fred Thompson 4
Duncan Hunter 1
Tom Tancredo 1
Other (vol.) 3
None of these (vol.) 7
Would not vote (vol.) 1
No opinion 4
First choice/Second choice NET
12/3/07
Mitt Romney 56
Rudy Giuliani 40
John McCain 33
Mike Huckabee 22
Ron Paul 13
Fred Thompson 8
Duncan Hunter 2
Tom Tancredo 2
Other (vol.) 3
None of these (vol.) 8
Would not vote (vol.) 1
No opinion 8
11. What is the single most important issue in your choice for the Republican candidate for president?
12/3/07
Immigration/Illegal
immigration 19
Iraq/War in Iraq 16
Terrorism/National security 12
Economy/Jobs 9
Health care 9
Ethics/Honesty/Corruption
in government 6
Abortion 4
Taxes 4
Morals/Family values 3
Federal budget deficit 2
Education 1
Social Security 1
Foreign policy 1
Energy/Ethanol 1
Guns/Gun control 1
Global warming *
None/Nothing 1
Other 6
No opinion 4
11a. (IF MENTIONED MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE) Is there one other issue that's nearly as important?
12/3/07
Iraq/War in Iraq 16
Economy/Jobs 12
Health care 12
Immigration/Illegal
immigration 10
Taxes 8
Terrorism/National security 8
Abortion 4
Morals/Family values 3
Federal budget deficit 3
Education 2
Ethics/Honesty/Corruption
in government 2
Environment 1
Social Security 1
Foreign policy 1
Energy/Ethanol 1
Guns/Gun control 1
Iran/Situation in Iran *
None/Nothing 6
Other 5
No opinion 5
11/11a NET: Top two important issues combined.
12/3/07
Iraq/War in Iraq 31
Immigration/Illegal
immigration 28
Health care 21
Economy/Jobs 20
Terrorism/National security 19
Taxes 12
Ethics/Honesty/Corruption
in government 8
Abortion 8
Morals/Family values 6
Federal budget deficit 5
Education 3
Social Security 2
Foreign policy 2
Energy/Ethanol 2
Guns/Gun control 2
Environment 1
Global warming *
Iran/Situation in Iran *
None/Nothing 1
Other 11
No opinion 4
12. Regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you think (ITEM)?
12/3/07 - Summary Table
Oth./None
Giuliani McCain Romney Huckabee Paul No opin.
a. is the strongest leader 25 21 35 4 2 12
b. best understands the
problems of people
like you 17 19 28 10 7 19
c. is the most honest and
trustworthy 10 24 27 12 7 20
d. has the best experience
to be president 20 29 32 4 3 12
e. has campaigned the
hardest in New Hampshire 13 13 50 1 4 19
f. has the best chance of
getting elected president
in November 2008 30 8 45 4 1 12
g. best represents the core
values of the Republican
Party 12 21 34 10 6 16
h. would do the most to
bring needed change to
Washington 14 18 33 9 10 15
Trend:
a. is the strongest leader
12/3/07
Mitt Romney 35
Rudy Giuliani 25
John McCain 21
Mike Huckabee 4
Fred Thompson 3
Duncan Hunter 1
Ron Paul 2
Tom Tancredo 0
All (vol.) 1
None of these (vol.) 1
No opinion 7
b. best understands the problems of people like you
12/3/07
Mitt Romney 28
John McCain 19
Rudy Giuliani 17
Mike Huckabee 10
Ron Paul 7
Fred Thompson 4
Duncan Hunter 1
Tom Tancredo 0
All (vol.) *
None of these (vol.) 5
No opinion 8
c. is the most honest and trustworthy
12/3/07
Mitt Romney 27
John McCain 24
Mike Huckabee 12
Rudy Giuliani 10
Ron Paul 7
Fred Thompson 2
Duncan Hunter 1
Tom Tancredo *
All (vol.) 1
None of these (vol.) 7
No opinion 7
d. has the best experience to be president
12/3/07
Mitt Romney 32
John McCain 29
Rudy Giuliani 20
Mike Huckabee 4
Ron Paul 3
Fred Thompson 2
Duncan Hunter 1
Tom Tancredo 0
All (vol.) 1
None of these (vol.) 2
No opinion 6
e. has campaigned the hardest in New Hampshire
12/3/07
Mitt Romney 50
Rudy Giuliani 13
John McCain 13
Ron Paul 4
Mike Huckabee 1
Fred Thompson 1
Duncan Hunter *
Tom Tancredo 0
All (vol.) 3
None of these (vol.) 3
No opinion 13
f. has the best chance of getting elected president in November 2008
12/3/07
Mitt Romney 45
Rudy Giuliani 30
John McCain 8
Mike Huckabee 4
Fred Thompson 2
Ron Paul 1
Duncan Hunter *
Tom Tancredo 0
All (vol.) *
None of these (vol.) 2
No opinion 8
g. best represents the core values of the Republican Party
12/3/07
Mitt Romney 34
John McCain 21
Rudy Giuliani 12
Mike Huckabee 10
Ron Paul 6
Fred Thompson 6
Duncan Hunter 1
Tom Tancredo *
All (vol.) *
None of these (vol.) 1
No opinion 7
h. would do the most to bring needed change to Washington
12/3/07
Mitt Romney 33
John McCain 18
Rudy Giuliani 14
Ron Paul 10
Mike Huckabee 9
Fred Thompson 3
Duncan Hunter 1
Tom Tancredo *
All (vol.) 1
None of these (vol.) 3
No opinion 7
13. Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust most to handle (ITEM)?
12/3/07 - Summary Table
Oth./None
Giuliani McCain Romney Huckabee Paul No opin.
a. The economy 19 11 44 5 7 13
b. The federal budget deficit 18 14 38 6 7 16
c. The U.S. campaign
against terrorism 31 31 17 3 6 11
d. Immigration issues 19 15 34 6 6 20
e. The situation in Iraq 20 36 20 4 6 13
f. Social issues, such as
abortion and gay civil
unions 16 10 34 11 6 22
g. Health care 13 11 37 6 7 25
h. Taxes 17 14 37 8 9 15
a. The economy
12/3/07
Mitt Romney 44
Rudy Giuliani 19
John McCain 11
Ron Paul 7
Mike Huckabee 5
Fred Thompson 3
Duncan Hunter 1
Tom Tancredo 0
All of them *
None of them 2
No opinion 7
b. The federal budget deficit
12/3/07
Mitt Romney 38
Rudy Giuliani 18
John McCain 14
Ron Paul 7
Mike Huckabee 6
Fred Thompson 3
Duncan Hunter 1
Tom Tancredo *
All of them *
None of them 4
No opinion 8
c. The U.S. campaign against terrorism
12/3/07
Rudy Giuliani 31
John McCain 31
Mitt Romney 17
Ron Paul 6
Mike Huckabee 3
Fred Thompson 3
Duncan Hunter 1
Tom Tancredo *
All of them 1
None of them 1
No opinion 5
d. Immigration issues
12/3/07
Mitt Romney 34
Rudy Giuliani 19
John McCain 15
Mike Huckabee 6
Ron Paul 6
Tom Tancredo 3
Fred Thompson 3
Duncan Hunter 2
All of them 0
None of them 3
No opinion 9
e. The situation in Iraq
12/3/07
John McCain 36
Rudy Giuliani 20
Mitt Romney 20
Ron Paul 6
Mike Huckabee 4
Fred Thompson 2
Duncan Hunter 1
Tom Tancredo 0
All of them 1
None of them 2
No opinion 6
f. Social issues, such as abortion and gay civil unions
12/3/07
Mitt Romney 34
Rudy Giuliani 16
Mike Huckabee 11
John McCain 10
Ron Paul 6
Fred Thompson 4
Duncan Hunter 1
Tom Tancredo *
All of them *
None of them 4
No opinion 14
g. Health care
12/3/07
Mitt Romney 37
Rudy Giuliani 13
John McCain 11
Ron Paul 7
Mike Huckabee 6
Fred Thompson 4
Duncan Hunter 1
Tom Tancredo 0
All of them 1
None of them 7
No opinion 12
h. Taxes
12/3/07
Mitt Romney 37
Rudy Giuliani 17
John McCain 14
Ron Paul 9
Mike Huckabee 8
Fred Thompson 3
Duncan Hunter 1
Tom Tancredo 0
All of them *
None of them 3
No opinion 7
14. What's more important to you: (a candidate who's consistent on the issues even if you don't always agree with him), or (a candidate who you agree with now, but who's changed his position on issues in the past)?
Consistent on Agree with now, but Depends on the No
issues has changed in past issue (vol.) opinion
12/3/07 69 26 3 3
15. Does the fact that Romney is a Mormon make you (more) likely to vote for him, (less) likely to vote for him, or doesn't it make a difference in your vote?
More likely Less likely Wouldn't matter No opinion
12/3/07 3 9 88 *
16. So far in the Republican campaign, have you (ITEM)?
12/3/07 - Summary Table
Yes No No opin.
a. been called on the telephone by any of the campaigns 54 45 2
b. attended a campaign event 17 83 0
c. yourself personally spoken with or shaken the hand of
any of the Republican candidates or not 15 84 *
Trend:
a. been called on the telephone by any of the campaigns
Yes No No opinion
12/3/07 54 45 2
b. attended a campaign event
Yes No No opinion
12/3/07 17 83 0
c. yourself personally spoken with or shaken the hand of any of the Republican candidates or not
Yes No No opinion
12/3/07 15 84 *
17. (IF MET CANDIDATE, Q16c) Who'd you meet?
12/3/07
Mitt Romney 46
John McCain 34
Rudy Giuliani 33
Mike Huckabee 18
Ron Paul 9
Fred Thompson 9
Tom Tancredo 7
Duncan Hunter 6
Tommy Thompson 3
Sam Brownback 2
16c/17 NET:
12/3/07
Have met candidate NET 15
Mitt Romney 7
Rudy Giuliani 5
John McCain 5
Mike Huckabee 3
Tommy Thompson 1
Duncan Hunter 1
Tom Tancredo 1
Ron Paul 1
Fred Thompson 1
Sam Brownback *
Have not met candidate 84
No opinion *
18. How much weight will you give the outcome of the Iowa caucuses in your final decision who to support here in New Hampshire - will you give it a great deal of weight, a good amount, just some or little-or-none?
--- Great deal/Good amount --- --- Some/Little or none --- No
NET Great deal Good amount NET Some Little or none opin.
12/3/07 10 3 7 90 21 69 1
19. Which of these is more important to you in a candidate for president: (strength and experience) or (a new direction and new ideas)?
Strength and New direction Both Neither No
experience and new ideas (vol.) (vol.) opinion
12/3/07 68 23 7 1 1
20. Which best describes your family's financial situation? Do you feel as if you (are getting ahead financially), have just enough money to maintain your standard of living, or (are falling behind financially)?
Getting Just enough Falling No
ahead to maintain behind opinion
12/3/07 31 54 15 1
21. Do you favor or oppose stricter gun control laws in this country? Is that strongly or somewhat favor/oppose?
--------- Favor --------- --------- Oppose -------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
12/3/07 40 22 18 55 17 38 5
22. Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?
------ Legal ------ ----- Illegal -----
All Most Most All No
NET cases cases NET cases cases opinion
12/3/07 52 17 34 44 30 14 4
23. Have you voted in any previous New Hampshire presidential primary, or will this be your first time voting in a New Hampshire primary?
Have voted First primary No opinion
12/3/07 93 7 0
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