Washington Post-ABC News Poll

Wednesday, Decemeber 5, 2007

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone Nov. 29 - Dec. 3, 2007, among a random sample of 488 New Hampshire adults likely to vote in the Republican primary. The results have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. Are you registered to vote in New Hampshire at your present address, or not?

          Yes   No   No opinion
12/3/07   94     6        0 

1a. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES) Are you registered (as a Democrat), (as a Republican), or (undeclared)?

          Democrat   Republican   Undeclared   No opinion
12/3/07       0          67           33            0


1/1a NET 
          ------------Registered------------
          Democrat   Republican   Undeclared   Not Registered
12/3/07       0          63           31            6   

2. How closely are you following the 2008 presidential campaign: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?

          ---- Closely -----   ---- Not closely -----     No
          NET   Very   Smwt.   NET   Not too   At all   opinion   
12/3/07   89     39     50     11        8        3        *

4. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES, IF REG REPUBLICAN) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the New Hampshire Republican presidential primary in January. Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?

          Certain   Probably   Chances   Less than     Will not        No 
          to vote     vote      50/50      50/50     attend (vol.)   opinion
12/3/07     100         0         0          0             0            0

5. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES, IF REG UNDECLARED) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in one of the New Hampshire presidential primaries in January. Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?

          Certain   Probably   Chances   Less than     Will not        No 
          to vote     vote      50/50      50/50     attend (vol.)   opinion
12/3/07     100         0         0          0             0            0

5a. (FOR SCREEENING PURPOSES, IF NOT REGISTERED) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will register and vote in one of the New Hampshire presidential primaries in January. Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?

          Certain   Probably   Chances   Less than     Will not        No 
          to vote     vote      50/50      50/50     attend (vol.)   opinion
12/3/07     100         0         0          0             0            0

6. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES, IF REG UNDECLARED OR NOT REG BUT WILL) If the primaries were being held today, would you vote in the (Democratic primary) or the (Republican primary)?

          Democratic primary   Republican primary   No opinion
12/3/07           0                   100                0

7. If the Republican primary were being held today, and the candidates were: (Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, Tom Tancredo, Ron Paul, and Fred Thompson), for whom would you vote?

                        12/3/07     
Mitt Romney               37          
John McCain               20           
Rudy Giuliani             16          
Mike Huckabee              9           
Ron Paul                   8           
Fred Thompson              4          
Duncan Hunter              1           
Tom Tancredo               *           
Other (vol.)               0           
None of these (vol.)       1           
Would not vote (vol.)      0           
No opinion                 4           

8. (IF NAMED CANDIDATE) Will you definitely vote for (NAME), or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? (IF CHANCE CHANGE MIND) Is there a good chance you'll change your mind, or would you say it's pretty unlikely?

ALL CANDIDATES COMBINED:

          Definitely   -Chance change mind -     No 
           support     NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
12/3/07       35       61     31       29         5 

12/3/07 - Summary Table* 

                Definitely   -Chance change mind -     No 
                 support     NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
Mitt Romney        30        64     31       33         6
*Sample size too small for other candidates.

9. (IF NAMED CANDIDATE) How enthusiastic are you about voting for (NAMED CANDIDATE) - very enthusiastic, fairly enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

ALL CANDIDATES COMBINED:

          --- Enthusiastic --   ---- Not enthusiastic ----     No
          NET   Very   Fairly   NET   Not too   Not at all   opinion
12/3/07   91     34      57      8       8           1          1

12/3/07 - Summary Table* 

                --- Enthusiastic --   ---- Not enthusiastic ----     No
                NET   Very   Fairly   NET   Not too   Not at all   opinion
Mitt Romney     93     33      60      5       5           0          2
*Sample size too small for other candidates.

10. (IF NAMED CANDIDATE) Who would your second choice be?

NET LEANED VOTE: 

                        12/3/07     
Rudy Giuliani             25          
Mitt Romney               21          
Mike Huckabee             14          
John McCain               13           
Ron Paul                   6          
Fred Thompson              4           
Duncan Hunter              1           
Tom Tancredo               1           
Other (vol.)               3           
None of these (vol.)       7           
Would not vote (vol.)      1           
No opinion                 4           

First choice/Second choice NET

                        12/3/07     
Mitt Romney               56          
Rudy Giuliani             40          
John McCain               33           
Mike Huckabee             22           
Ron Paul                  13           
Fred Thompson              8          
Duncan Hunter              2           
Tom Tancredo               2           
Other (vol.)               3           
None of these (vol.)       8           
Would not vote (vol.)      1           
No opinion                 8           

11. What is the single most important issue in your choice for the Republican candidate for president?

                              12/3/07
Immigration/Illegal 
 immigration                    19
Iraq/War in Iraq                16
Terrorism/National security     12
Economy/Jobs                     9
Health care                      9
Ethics/Honesty/Corruption 
 in government                   6
Abortion                         4
Taxes                            4
Morals/Family values             3
Federal budget deficit           2 
Education                        1
Social Security                  1
Foreign policy                   1
Energy/Ethanol                   1
Guns/Gun control                 1
Global warming                   *
None/Nothing                     1
Other                            6
No opinion                       4

11a. (IF MENTIONED MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE) Is there one other issue that's nearly as important?

                              12/3/07
Iraq/War in Iraq                16
Economy/Jobs                    12
Health care                     12
Immigration/Illegal 
 immigration                    10
Taxes                            8
Terrorism/National security      8
Abortion                         4
Morals/Family values             3
Federal budget deficit           3
Education                        2
Ethics/Honesty/Corruption 
 in government                   2
Environment                      1 
Social Security                  1
Foreign policy                   1
Energy/Ethanol                   1
Guns/Gun control                 1
Iran/Situation in Iran           * 
None/Nothing                     6
Other                            5
No opinion                       5


11/11a NET: Top two important issues combined.

                              12/3/07
Iraq/War in Iraq                31
Immigration/Illegal 
 immigration                    28
Health care                     21
Economy/Jobs                    20
Terrorism/National security     19
Taxes                           12
Ethics/Honesty/Corruption 
 in government                   8
Abortion                         8 
Morals/Family values             6
Federal budget deficit           5
Education                        3
Social Security                  2
Foreign policy                   2
Energy/Ethanol                   2
Guns/Gun control                 2
Environment                      1 
Global warming                   *
Iran/Situation in Iran           * 
None/Nothing                     1
Other                           11
No opinion                       4

12. Regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you think (ITEM)?

12/3/07 - Summary Table

                                                                         Oth./None
                           Giuliani   McCain   Romney   Huckabee   Paul   No opin.
a. is the strongest leader    25        21       35         4        2       12
b. best understands the 
   problems of people 
   like you                   17        19       28        10        7       19
c. is the most honest and 
   trustworthy                10        24       27        12        7       20
d. has the best experience 
   to be president            20        29       32         4        3       12
e. has campaigned the
   hardest in New Hampshire   13        13       50         1        4       19
f. has the best chance of 
   getting elected president 
   in November 2008           30         8       45         4        1       12
g. best represents the core 
   values of the Republican
   Party                      12        21       34        10        6       16
h. would do the most to 
   bring needed change to 
   Washington                 14        18       33         9       10       15
   Trend:

a. is the strongest leader

                        12/3/07     
Mitt Romney               35          
Rudy Giuliani             25          
John McCain               21           
Mike Huckabee              4           
Fred Thompson              3          
Duncan Hunter              1           
Ron Paul                   2           
Tom Tancredo               0           
All (vol.)                 1           
None of these (vol.)       1           
No opinion                 7           

b. best understands the problems of people like you   

                        12/3/07     
Mitt Romney               28          
John McCain               19           
Rudy Giuliani             17          
Mike Huckabee             10           
Ron Paul                   7           
Fred Thompson              4          
Duncan Hunter              1           
Tom Tancredo               0           
All (vol.)                 *           
None of these (vol.)       5           
No opinion                 8           

c. is the most honest and trustworthy            

                        12/3/07     
Mitt Romney               27          
John McCain               24           
Mike Huckabee             12           
Rudy Giuliani             10          
Ron Paul                   7           
Fred Thompson              2          
Duncan Hunter              1           
Tom Tancredo               *           
All (vol.)                 1           
None of these (vol.)       7           
No opinion                 7           

d. has the best experience to be president

                        12/3/07     
Mitt Romney               32          
John McCain               29           
Rudy Giuliani             20          
Mike Huckabee              4           
Ron Paul                   3           
Fred Thompson              2          
Duncan Hunter              1           
Tom Tancredo               0           
All (vol.)                 1           
None of these (vol.)       2           
No opinion                 6           

e. has campaigned the hardest in New Hampshire

                        12/3/07     
Mitt Romney               50          
Rudy Giuliani             13          
John McCain               13           
Ron Paul                   4           
Mike Huckabee              1           
Fred Thompson              1          
Duncan Hunter              *           
Tom Tancredo               0           
All (vol.)                 3           
None of these (vol.)       3           
No opinion                13           

f. has the best chance of getting elected president in November 2008              

                        12/3/07     
Mitt Romney               45          
Rudy Giuliani             30          
John McCain                8           
Mike Huckabee              4           
Fred Thompson              2          
Ron Paul                   1           
Duncan Hunter              *           
Tom Tancredo               0           
All (vol.)                 *           
None of these (vol.)       2           
No opinion                 8           

g. best represents the core values of the Republican Party

                        12/3/07     
Mitt Romney               34          
John McCain               21           
Rudy Giuliani             12          
Mike Huckabee             10           
Ron Paul                   6           
Fred Thompson              6          
Duncan Hunter              1           
Tom Tancredo               *           
All (vol.)                 *           
None of these (vol.)       1           
No opinion                 7           

h. would do the most to bring needed change to Washington

                        12/3/07     
Mitt Romney               33          
John McCain               18           
Rudy Giuliani             14          
Ron Paul                  10           
Mike Huckabee              9           
Fred Thompson              3          
Duncan Hunter              1           
Tom Tancredo               *           
All (vol.)                 1           
None of these (vol.)       3           
No opinion                 7           


13. Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust most to handle (ITEM)?

12/3/07 - Summary Table

                                                                          Oth./None
                               Giuliani  McCain  Romney  Huckabee   Paul   No opin.
a. The economy                    19       11      44        5        7       13
b. The federal budget deficit     18       14      38        6        7       16
c. The U.S. campaign 
   against terrorism              31       31      17        3        6       11
d. Immigration issues             19       15      34        6        6       20
e. The situation in Iraq          20       36      20        4        6       13
f. Social issues, such as 
   abortion and gay civil 
   unions                         16       10      34       11        6       22
g. Health care                    13       11      37        6        7       25
h. Taxes                          17       14      37        8        9       15
                         
a. The economy  

                12/3/07 
Mitt Romney       44 
Rudy Giuliani     19 
John McCain       11 
Ron Paul           7 
Mike Huckabee      5 
Fred Thompson      3 
Duncan Hunter      1 
Tom Tancredo       0 
All of them        * 
None of them       2 
No opinion         7 
         
b. The federal budget deficit

                12/3/07 
Mitt Romney       38 
Rudy Giuliani     18 
John McCain       14 
Ron Paul           7 
Mike Huckabee      6 
Fred Thompson      3 
Duncan Hunter      1 
Tom Tancredo       * 
All of them        * 
None of them       4 
No opinion         8 

c. The U.S. campaign against terrorism

                12/3/07 
Rudy Giuliani     31 
John McCain       31 
Mitt Romney       17 
Ron Paul           6 
Mike Huckabee      3 
Fred Thompson      3 
Duncan Hunter      1 
Tom Tancredo       * 
All of them        1 
None of them       1 
No opinion         5 

d. Immigration issues

                12/3/07 
Mitt Romney       34 
Rudy Giuliani     19 
John McCain       15 
Mike Huckabee      6 
Ron Paul           6 
Tom Tancredo       3 
Fred Thompson      3 
Duncan Hunter      2 
All of them        0 
None of them       3 
No opinion         9 

e. The situation in Iraq

                12/3/07 
John McCain       36 
Rudy Giuliani     20 
Mitt Romney       20 
Ron Paul           6 
Mike Huckabee      4 
Fred Thompson      2 
Duncan Hunter      1 
Tom Tancredo       0 
All of them        1 
None of them       2 
No opinion         6 

f. Social issues, such as abortion and gay civil unions

                12/3/07 
Mitt Romney       34 
Rudy Giuliani     16 
Mike Huckabee     11 
John McCain       10 
Ron Paul           6 
Fred Thompson      4 
Duncan Hunter      1 
Tom Tancredo       * 
All of them        * 
None of them       4 
No opinion        14 

g. Health care

                12/3/07 
Mitt Romney       37 
Rudy Giuliani     13 
John McCain       11 
Ron Paul           7 
Mike Huckabee      6 
Fred Thompson      4 
Duncan Hunter      1 
Tom Tancredo       0 
All of them        1 
None of them       7 
No opinion        12 

h. Taxes

                12/3/07 
Mitt Romney       37 
Rudy Giuliani     17 
John McCain       14 
Ron Paul           9 
Mike Huckabee      8 
Fred Thompson      3 
Duncan Hunter      1 
Tom Tancredo       0 
All of them        * 
None of them       3 
No opinion         7 

14. What's more important to you: (a candidate who's consistent on the issues even if you don't always agree with him), or (a candidate who you agree with now, but who's changed his position on issues in the past)?

          Consistent on   Agree with now, but   Depends on the     No
             issues       has changed in past    issue (vol.)    opinion
12/3/07        69                26                   3             3 

15. Does the fact that Romney is a Mormon make you (more) likely to vote for him, (less) likely to vote for him, or doesn't it make a difference in your vote?

          More likely   Less likely   Wouldn't matter   No opinion
12/3/07        3              9              88              *

16. So far in the Republican campaign, have you (ITEM)?

12/3/07 - Summary Table

                                                           Yes   No   No opin. 
a. been called on the telephone by any of the campaigns    54    45      2
b. attended a campaign event                               17    83      0
c. yourself personally spoken with or shaken the hand of    
   any of the Republican candidates or not                 15    84      *

Trend:

a. been called on the telephone by any of the campaigns

          Yes   No   No opinion
12/3/07   54    45        2

b. attended a campaign event

          Yes   No   No opinion
12/3/07   17    83        0

c. yourself personally spoken with or shaken the hand of any of the Republican candidates or not

          Yes   No   No opinion
12/3/07   15    84        *

17. (IF MET CANDIDATE, Q16c) Who'd you meet?

                 12/3/07
Mitt Romney        46
John McCain        34
Rudy Giuliani      33
Mike Huckabee      18
Ron Paul            9
Fred Thompson       9
Tom Tancredo        7
Duncan Hunter       6
Tommy Thompson      3
Sam Brownback       2

16c/17 NET:

                         12/3/07
Have met candidate NET     15
 Mitt Romney                7
 Rudy Giuliani              5
 John McCain                5
 Mike Huckabee              3
 Tommy Thompson             1 
 Duncan Hunter              1
 Tom Tancredo               1
 Ron Paul                   1
 Fred Thompson              1
 Sam Brownback              *
Have not met candidate     84
No opinion                  *

18. How much weight will you give the outcome of the Iowa caucuses in your final decision who to support here in New Hampshire - will you give it a great deal of weight, a good amount, just some or little-or-none?

          --- Great deal/Good amount ---   --- Some/Little or none ---    No
          NET   Great deal   Good amount   NET   Some   Little or none   opin.
12/3/07   10         3             7       90     21          69           1  

19. Which of these is more important to you in a candidate for president: (strength and experience) or (a new direction and new ideas)?

          Strength and   New direction    Both    Neither     No 
           experience    and new ideas   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
12/3/07        68             23            7        1         1

20. Which best describes your family's financial situation? Do you feel as if you (are getting ahead financially), have just enough money to maintain your standard of living, or (are falling behind financially)?

          Getting   Just enough   Falling     No
           ahead    to maintain   behind    opinion
12/3/07      31          54          15        1

21. Do you favor or oppose stricter gun control laws in this country? Is that strongly or somewhat favor/oppose?

          --------- Favor ---------   --------- Oppose --------     No
          NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion       
12/3/07   40      22          18      55       17         38         5

22. Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?

          ------ Legal ------   ----- Illegal -----
                 All    Most          Most     All      No
          NET   cases   cases   NET   cases   cases   opinion
12/3/07   52     17      34     44     30      14        4

23. Have you voted in any previous New Hampshire presidential primary, or will this be your first time voting in a New Hampshire primary?

          Have voted   First primary   No opinion
12/3/07       93              7             0

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