Washington Post-ABC News Poll

Wednesday, Decemeber 5, 2007

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone November 29-December 3, 2007, among a random sample of 592 New Hampshire adults likely to vote in the Democratic primary. The results have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. Are you registered to vote in New Hampshire at your present address, or not?

          Yes   No   No opinion
12/3/07   91     8       * 

1a. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES) Are you registered (as a Democrat), (as a Republican), or (undeclared)?

          Democrat   Republican   Undeclared   No opinion
12/3/07      53           0           47            0


1/1a NET
          ------------Registered------------
          Democrat   Republican   Undeclared   Not Registered   No opinion
12/3/07      48           0           43            8                 *


2. How closely are you following the 2008 presidential campaign: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?

          ---- Closely -----   ---- Not closely -----     No
          NET   Very   Smwt.   NET   Not too   At all   opinion
12/3/07   91     46     45      9        7        2        0


3. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES, IF REG DEMOCRAT) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary in January. Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?

          Certain   Probably   Chances   Less than     Will not        No 
          to vote     vote      50/50      50/50     attend (vol.)   opinion
12/3/07     100         0         0          0             0            0


5. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES, IF REG UNDECLARED) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in one of the New Hampshire presidential primaries in January. Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that??

          Certain   Probably   Chances   Less than     Will not        No 
          to vote     vote      50/50      50/50     attend (vol.)   opinion
12/3/07     100         0         0          0             0            0


5a. (FOR SCREEENING PURPOSES, IF NOT REGISTERED) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will register and vote in one of the New Hampshire presidential primaries in January. Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?

          Certain   Probably   Chances   Less than     Will not        No 
          to vote     vote      50/50      50/50     attend (vol.)   opinion
12/3/07     100         0         0          0             0            0

6. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES, IF REG UNDECLARED OR NOT REG BUT WILL) If the primaries were being held today, would you vote in the (Democratic primary) or the (Republican primary)?

          Democratic primary   Republican primary   No opinion
12/3/07         100                     0                0

7. If the Democratic primary were being held today, and the candidates were: (Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, Barack Obama, Bill Richardson, Joe Biden, Chris Dodd, Dennis Kucinich, and Mike Gravel), for whom would you vote?

NET LEANED VOTE: 

                        12/3/07 
Hillary Clinton           35        
Barack Obama              29        
John Edwards              17        
Bill Richardson           10        
Dennis Kucinich            3         
Joe Biden                  2         
Chris Dodd                 1         
Mike Gravel                0         
None of these (vol.)       1         
Other (vol.)               *         
No opinion                 3         

8. (IF NAMED CANDIDATE) Will you definitely vote for (NAME), or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? (IF CHANCE CHANGE MIND) Is there a good chance you'll change your mind, or would you say it's pretty unlikely?

ALL CANDIDATES COMBINED:
          Definitely   -Chance change mind -     No 
           vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
12/3/07       44       51     26       24         5 

12/3/07 - Summary Table 

                  Definitely   -Chance change mind -     No 
                   vote for    NET   Good   Unlikely   opinion
Hillary Clinton       53       42     17       26         5 
John Edwards          41       58     29       29         1
Barack Obama          41       52     31       21         6
*Sample size too small for other candidates.


9. (IF NAMED CANDIDATE) How enthusiastic are you about voting for (NAMED CANDIDATE) - very enthusiastic, fairly enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

ALL CANDIDATES COMBINED:

          --- Enthusiastic --   ---- Not enthusiastic ----     No
          NET   Very   Fairly   NET   Not too   Not at all   opinion
12/3/07   94     46      48      6        6          1          1

12/3/07 - Summary Table 

                  --- Enthusiastic --   ---- Not enthusiastic ----     No
                  NET   Very   Fairly   NET   Not too   Not at all   opinion
Hillary Clinton   98     57      41      2       2           0          0
John Edwards      94     44      50      5       5           0          1
Barack Obama      90     37      53      9       8           1          *
*Sample size too small for other candidates.


10. (IF NAMED CANDIDATE) Who would your second choice be?

NET LEANED VOTE: 

                        12/3/07   
Barack Obama              26        
John Edwards              21        
Hillary Clinton           20        
Bill Richardson           10        
Joe Biden                  3         
Dennis Kucinich            3         
Chris Dodd                 1         
Mike Gravel                0         
Other (vol.)               3         
None of these (vol.)       7         
No opinion                 5         


First choice/Second choice NET

                        12/3/07   
Hillary Clinton           54        
Barack Obama              53        
John Edwards              36        
Bill Richardson           19        
Joe Biden                  5         
Dennis Kucinich            5         
Chris Dodd                 2         
Mike Gravel                0         
Other (vol.)               3         
None of these (vol.)       8        
No opinion                 8        

11. What is the single most important issue in your choice for the Democratic candidate for president?

                              12/3/07
Iraq/War in Iraq                26
Health care                     23
Economy/Jobs                     8
Education                        8
Environment                      3 
Taxes                            3
Immigration/Illegal 
 immigration                     2
Terrorism/National security      1
Ethics/Honesty/Corruption 
 in government                   1
Morals/Family values             1
Federal budget deficit           1
Global warming                   1
Social Security                  1
Foreign policy                   1
Iran/Situation in Iran           1 
Guns/Gun control                 1
Abortion                         *
Housing/Mortgages                *
Energy/Ethanol                   *
None/Nothing                     4
Other                            5
No opinion                       7

11/11a NET: Top two important issues combined.

                              12/3/07
Health care                     51
Iraq/War in Iraq                49
Economy/Jobs                    16
Education                       12
Environment                      6 
Ethics/Honesty/Corruption 
 in government                   5
Immigration/Illegal 
 immigration                     5
Foreign policy                   4
Taxes                            4
Terrorism/National security      3
Morals/Family values             2
Federal budget deficit           2
Global warming                   2
Social Security                  2
Iran/Situation in Iran           1 
Energy/Ethanol                   1
Guns/Gun control                 1
Abortion                         *
Housing/Mortgages                *
None/Nothing                     *
Other                           14
No opinion                       3


12. Regardless of who you may support, which of the Democratic candidates do you think (ITEM) - (Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, Barack Obama, Bill Richardson, Joe Biden, Chris Dodd, Dennis Kucinich, or Mike Gravel)?

12/3/07 - Summary Table

                                                                    Other/None/
                               Clinton  Edwards  Obama  Richardson  No opinion
a. is the strongest leader        47      11      20        7           15
b. best understands the 
   problems of people 
   like you                       28      20      24        7           20
c. is the most honest and 
   trustworthy                    21      17      29        9           23
d. has the best experience 
   to be president                48      11       9       13           19
e. has campaigned the 
   hardest in New Hampshire       39      14      22        1           23
f. has the best chance of 
   getting elected president    
   in November 2008               54      12      22        2           10
g. would do the most to bring
   needed change to Washington    31      15      31        8           15 
h. is the most inspiring          23      14      47        4           11      

Trend:

a. is the strongest leader

                  12/3/07   
Hillary Clinton     47        
Barack Obama        20        
John Edwards        11        
Bill Richardson      7         
Joe Biden            4         
Dennis Kucinich      1         
Chris Dodd           *         
Mike Gravel          0         
All of them          1         
None of them         2         
No opinion           7         

b. best understands the problems of people like you

                  12/3/07   
Hillary Clinton     28        
Barack Obama        24        
John Edwards        20        
Bill Richardson      7         
Dennis Kucinich      4         
Joe Biden            1         
Chris Dodd           1         
Mike Gravel          *         
All of them          2         
None of them         6         
No opinion           6

c. is the most honest and trustworthy

                  12/3/07   
Barack Obama        29        
Hillary Clinton     21        
John Edwards        17        
Bill Richardson      9         
Dennis Kucinich      6         
Joe Biden            2         
Chris Dodd           1         
Mike Gravel          *         
All of them          2         
None of them         6         
No opinion           5

d. has the best experience to be president

                  12/3/07   
Hillary Clinton     48        
Bill Richardson     13         
John Edwards        11        
Barack Obama         9        
Joe Biden            6         
Chris Dodd           2         
Dennis Kucinich      *         
Mike Gravel          0         
All of them          *         
None of them         3         
No opinion           7

e. has campaigned the hardest in New Hampshire

                  12/3/07   
Hillary Clinton     39        
Barack Obama        22        
John Edwards        14        
Bill Richardson      1         
Dennis Kucinich      1         
Joe Biden            *         
Chris Dodd           *         
Mike Gravel          0         
All of them          7         
None of them         1         
No opinion          14

f. has the best chance of getting elected president in November 2008

                  12/3/07   
Hillary Clinton     54        
Barack Obama        22        
John Edwards        12        
Bill Richardson      2         
Joe Biden            *         
Chris Dodd           0         
Dennis Kucinich      0         
Mike Gravel          0         
All of them          1         
None of them         1         
No opinion           9

g. would do the most to bring needed change to Washington

                  12/3/07   
Hillary Clinton     31        
Barack Obama        31        
John Edwards        15        
Bill Richardson      8         
Dennis Kucinich      4         
Joe Biden            1         
Chris Dodd           *         
Mike Gravel          0         
All of them          1         
None of them         3         
No opinion           6

h. is the most inspiring

                  12/3/07   
Barack Obama        47        
Hillary Clinton     23        
John Edwards        14        
Bill Richardson      4         
Dennis Kucinich      3         
Joe Biden            1         
Chris Dodd           *         
Mike Gravel          0         
All of them          *         
None of them         4         
No opinion           3
     


13. Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust most to handle (ITEM)?

12/3/07 - Summary Table

                                                                   Other/None/
                          Clinton   Edwards   Obama   Richardson   No opinion
a. The economy               38        16       21         8          17
b. Health care               45        22       18         3          11
c. Social Security           36        14       19         4          27
d. Immigration issues        24        14       22        16          25
e. The situation in Iraq     31        14       25        10          20
f. The federal budget 
   deficit                   36        14       19         8          24
g. The U.S. campaign
   against terrorism         32        13       21        11          23

a. The economy

                  12/3/07
Hillary Clinton     38 
Barack Obama        21 
John Edwards        16 
Bill Richardson      8 
Joe Biden            2 
Dennis Kucinich      2 
Chris Dodd           * 
Mike Gravel          * 
All of them          2 
None of them         4 
No opinion           7 

b. Health care

                  12/3/07
Hillary Clinton     45 
John Edwards        22 
Barack Obama        18 
Bill Richardson      3 
Dennis Kucinich      3 
Joe Biden            1 
Chris Dodd           * 
Mike Gravel          * 
All of them          1 
None of them         2 
No opinion           5

c. Social Security

                  12/3/07
Hillary Clinton     36 
Barack Obama        19 
John Edwards        14 
Bill Richardson      4 
Joe Biden            2 
Dennis Kucinich      2 
Chris Dodd           1 
Mike Gravel          0 
All of them          2 
None of them         6 
No opinion          13

d. Immigration issues

                  12/3/07
Hillary Clinton     24 
Barack Obama        22 
Bill Richardson     16 
John Edwards        14 
Dennis Kucinich      3 
Joe Biden            2 
Chris Dodd           1 
Mike Gravel          0 
All of them          1 
None of them         6 
No opinion          12

e. The situation in Iraq

                  12/3/07
Hillary Clinton     31 
Barack Obama        25 
John Edwards        14 
Bill Richardson     10 
Joe Biden            4 
Dennis Kucinich      2 
Chris Dodd           * 
Mike Gravel          0 
All of them          2 
None of them         5 
No opinion           6

f. The federal budget deficit

                  12/3/07
Hillary Clinton     36 
Barack Obama        19 
John Edwards        14 
Bill Richardson      8 
Dennis Kucinich      3 
Joe Biden            2 
Chris Dodd           * 
Mike Gravel          * 
All of them          2 
None of them         6 
No opinion          10

g. The U.S. campaign against terrorism

                  12/3/07
Hillary Clinton     32 
Barack Obama        21 
John Edwards        13 
Bill Richardson     11 
Joe Biden            5 
Dennis Kucinich      2 
Chris Dodd           * 
Mike Gravel          0 
All of them          2 
None of them         3 
No opinion          10


14. Regardless of who you may support, do you think (NAME) is or is not willing enough to say what [he/she] really thinks about the issues?

12/3/07 - Summary Table

                     Is   Is not   No opinion 
a. Hillary Clinton   55     41          5 
b. Barack Obama      78     18          4
c. John Edwards      71     22          6 


15. Does the fact that Clinton would be the first woman president make you (more) likely to vote for her, (less) likely to vote for her, or doesn't it make a difference in your vote?

          More   Less   No difference   No opinion 
12/3/07    19      3          78             *    

16. So far in the Democratic campaign, have you (ITEM)?

12/3/07 - Summary Table

                                                           Yes   No   No opin.
a. been called on the telephone by any of the campaigns    74    26      *
b. attended a campaign event                               35    65      0
c. yourself personally spoken with or shaken the hand of    
   any of the Democratic candidates or not                 17    83      0

Trend where available: December 2003 comparisons to Pew Research Center New Hampshire Democratic primary poll.

a. been called on the telephone by any of the campaigns

          Yes   No   No opinion
12/3/07   74    26        *
12/1/03   55    44        1

b. attended a campaign event

          Yes   No   No opinion
12/3/07   35    65        0
12/1/03   18    82        0

c. yourself personally spoken with or shaken the hand of any of the Democratic candidates or not

          Yes   No   No opinion
12/3/07   17    83        0

17. (IF MET CANDIDATE, Q16C) Who'd you meet?

                  12/3/07 
John Edwards        47 
Barack Obama        45 
Hillary Clinton     39 
Bill Richardson     22 
Chris Dodd          13 
Dennis Kucinich     12 
Joe Biden            7 
Mike Gravel          0 
Other                1 
No opinion           1 

16c/17 NET:
                         12/3/07
Have met candidate NET     17
 John Edwards               8
 Barack Obama               7
 Hillary Clinton            6
 Bill Richardson            4
 Chris Dodd                 2
 Dennis Kucinich            2
 Joe Biden                  1
 Mike Gravel                0
 Other                      *
 No opinion                 *
Have not met candidate     83 
No opinion                  0

18. How much weight will you give the outcome of the Iowa caucuses in your final decision who to support here in New Hampshire - will you give it a great deal of weight, a good amount, just some or little-or-none?

          --- Great deal/Good amount ---   --- Some/Little or none ---    No
          NET   Great deal   Good amount   NET   Some   Little or none   opin.
12/3/07   11         5             7       88     16          71           1  


19. Which of these is more important to you in a candidate for president: (strength and experience) or (a new direction and new ideas)?

          Strength and   New direction    Both    Neither     No 
           experience    and new ideas   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
12/3/07        37             53            9        1         *


20. Which best describes your family's financial situation? Do you feel as if you (are getting ahead financially), have just enough money to maintain your standard of living, or (are falling behind financially)?

          Getting   Just enough   Falling     No
           ahead    to maintain   behind    opinion
12/3/07     22          58          20         1


21. Do you favor or oppose stricter gun control laws in this country? Is that strongly or somewhat favor/oppose?

          --------- Favor ---------   --------- Oppose --------     No
          NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion       
12/3/07   71       51         20      25       11         14         4 


22. Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?

          ------ Legal ------   ----- Illegal -----
                 All    Most          Most     All      No
          NET   cases   cases   NET   cases   cases   opinion
12/3/07   82     38      43     14     10       4        4


23. Have you voted in any previous New Hampshire presidential primary, or will this be your first time voting in a New Hampshire primary?

          Have voted   First primary   No opinion
12/3/07       90            10              *

***END***

© The Washington Post Company