Washington Post Poll

This Washington Post poll was conducted by telephone July 15 to 17, 2012, among a random sample of 1,002 adults living in Washington D.C., including users of both conventional and cellular phones. The results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points; error margins are six points for the sample of 458 African Americans, and 6.5 points for the sample of 401 non-Hispanic whites. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. First, do you think things in the District of Columbia are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track?

               Right     Wrong   Neither     No  
             direction   track    (vol.)   opinion
7/17/12         40         45        8        6
5/31/11         46         36       11        7
8/26/10         56         29        9        6
1/28/10         52         29       11        8  
1/8/08          56         31        8        5  
7/18/06         42         46        7        5
5/19/02         54         33        8        5
2/7/00          69         22        6        3
8/27/98*        47         46       NA        7
5/18/98         31         58        4        6
5/4/97          20         71        6        2
5/19/96         14         78       NA        2
2/29/96         16         80       NA        4
3/02/95         15         80       NA        5
12/21/93        11         83       NA        6
7/86            42         47       NA       12
*Among Democratic likely voters only.

2. Would you describe the state of the District’s economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?

          --- Excellent/Good ---   --- Not so good/Poor ---     No      
          NET   Excellent   Good   NET   Not so good   Poor   opinion
7/17/12   55        4        50    43        32         11       3
5/31/11   50        5        45    48        38         10       2

3. How interested are you in District government and city affairs: Very interested, fairly interested, not too interested or not interested at all?

           ------Interested-----    ------Not interested------     No
           NET    Very    Fairly    NET   Not too   Not at all   opinion
7/17/12    79      35       44      20       14          7          1
5/31/11    79      35       45      20       12          8          1
12/21/93   76      32       44      23       14          9          1
2/2/92     85      46       39      15       10          5          *

4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Vincent Gray is handling his job as Mayor? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or just somewhat?

              -------Approve---------    -------Disapprove-------    No
              NET  Strongly  Somewhat    NET  Somewhat  Strongly    opin.
7/17/12       29       9        21       59      24        35        12
7/17/12 RV    28       8        20       62      24        38        10
5/31/11       41      10        31       40      26        14        20
5/31/11 RV    40      11        29       43      27        16        17

Compare to Adrian Fenty: 

              -------Approve---------    -------Disapprove-------    No
              NET  Strongly  Somewhat    NET  Somewhat  Strongly    opin.
8/26/10 RV    47      15        32       46      19        27         8
1/28/10 RV    40      13        27       53      20        33         7
1/28/10       42      13        29       49      20        29         9
1/8/08 RV     72      31        41       22      11        11         6
1/8/08        72      32        40       21      11        10         7

Compare to Anthony Williams:

              -------Approve---------    -------Disapprove-------     No
              NET  Strongly  Somewhat    NET  Somewhat  Strongly    opin.
7/18/06 RV    54      20        34       40      16        24         6
5/19/02 RV    64      24        40       29      11        18         7
5/19/02       64      22        42       28      11        17         8
2/7/00        77      36        40       17       9         7         7

Compare to Marion Barry:

              -------Approve---------    -------Disapprove-------     No
              NET  Strongly  Somewhat    NET  Somewhat  Strongly    opin.
5/18/98       35      16        19       52      17        34        14
5/4/97        31      13        19       63      21        41         6
5/19/96       50      25        25       47      21        26         3
2/29/96       48      19        29       45      19        26         7
3/02/95       58      28        30       27      13        14        15
5/89          28      NA        NA       62      NA        NA        10
8/21/87       44      NA        NA       41      NA        NA        15
7/86          50      NA        NA       38      NA        NA        12

Compare to Sharon Pratt Kelly:

              -------Approve---------    -------Disapprove-------     No
              NET  Strongly  Somewhat    NET  Somewhat  Strongly    opin.
12/21/93      30       7        23       67      32        35         3
2/2/92        54      20        34       42      19        23         4

5. Now I’m going to mention some issues that face our community, and for each, please tell me whether you think Mayor Gray is doing an excellent job, good, not-so-good or poor job in dealing with this issue:

7/17/12 - Summary Table

                        --Excellent/Good---    --Not-so-good/Poor--    No
                        NET   Excel.   Good    NET   Not Good   Poor   op.
a. Improving city 
   services             41      3       38     52       36       16     6
b. Improving District    
   public schools       34      4       31     55       33       22    11
c. Attracting new 
   business to the 
   District             46      5       41     43       32       11    11
d. Creating more jobs 
   for D.C. residents   26      3       23     62       43       19    12

Trend:

a. Improving city services

                   ---Excellent/Good---       ---Not-so-good/Poor---      No 
                   NET    Excel.   Good       NET   Not good    Poor     opin.
7/17/12            41       3       38        52       36        16        6
1/28/10 Fenty      52       6       46        42       29        14        6
1/8/08  Fenty      65       9       56        31       23         8        5
5/19/02 Williams   60       7       53        38       26        12        2
2/7/00  Williams   68      18       50        30       20        10        2
2/29/96 Barry      28       2       26        68       35        33        4

b. Improving District public schools           

                   ---Excellent/Good---       ---Not-so-good/Poor---      No 
                   NET    Excel.   Good       NET   Not good    Poor     opin.
7/17/12            34       4       31        55       33        22       11
1/28/10 Fenty      42      10       32        49       26        24        9
1/8/08  Fenty      52      12       41        42       24        18        5
5/19/02 Williams   31       3       28        58       38        20       11
2/7/00  Williams   45       5       40        44       30        14       11
2/29/96 Barry      23       2       21        67       32        35       10

c. Attracting new business to the District      
           
                   ---Excellent/Good---       ---Not-so-good/Poor---      No 
                   NET    Excel.   Good       NET   Not good    Poor     opin.
7/17/12            46       5       41        43       32        11       11
1/28/10 Fenty      53       9       44        35       23        12       12
1/8/08  Fenty      66      14       52        22       16         7       12 
5/19/02 Williams   68      16       52        26       17         9        7
2/7/00  Williams   64      12       53        28       22         6        7
2/29/96 Barry      26       3       23        62       35        27       12

d. Creating more jobs for D.C. residents       

                   ---Excellent/Good---       ---Not-so-good/Poor---      No 
                   NET    Excel.   Good       NET   Not good    Poor     opin.
7/17/12            26       3       23        62       43        19       12
1/28/10 Fenty      25       3       21        61       39        22       14
1/8/08  Fenty      41       4       37        46       31        15       13 
5/19/02 Williams   43       5       38        46       29        17       11
2/7/00  Williams   54       7       48        34       24        11       11
2/29/96 Barry      29       4       25        59       36        23       12

6. For each of the following people, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person, or perhaps you don’t know enough to say. Is that strongly or somewhat favorable/unfavorable?


7/17/12 – Summary table*

                           ------- Favorable -------   ------ Unfavorable ------   No   
                           NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   op.
a. Vincent Gray            34        9         25      56       25         31      10
b. Adrian Fenty            57       29         28      31       14         18      11
c. Muriel Bowser           23        8         16      11        6          4      66
d. Eleanor Holmes Norton   72       44         29      12        6          6      16
e. Tommy Wells             27       11         16      10        5          5      62
f. David Catania           32       10         22      16        9          7      52
g. Marion Barry            52       34         18      40        9         31       8
h. Phil Mendelson          34       12         22      11        8          3      55
i. Jack Evans              35       10         25      13        8          5      52
j. Ron Machen              11        4          7       7        5          2      82
*Full sample asked items a and b; half sample asked items c through f; other half sample asked items g through j.

Trend where available

a. Vincent Gray

               ------- Favorable -------   ------ Unfavorable ------     No   
               NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
7/17/12        34        9         25      56       25         31        10
7/17/12 RV     33        8         24      59       26         33         9
5/31/11        46       13         32      37       26         11        17
5/31/11  RV    47       13         33      40       27         13        14
8/26/10  RV    60       27         32      16       12          5        24
1/28/10*       43       16         27      13        8          5        44
1/28/10* RV    48       17         31      13        8          4        36
1/8/08         39       NA         NA       9       NA         NA        52
1/8/08   RV    43       NA         NA      11       NA         NA        46
*District Council Chairman Vincent Gray

b. Adrian Fenty

              ------- Favorable -------   ------ Unfavorable ------     No   
              NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
7/17/12       57       29         28      31       14         18        11
7/17/12 RV    58       31         27      34       16         18         8
5/31/11       54       24         31      35       14         22        10
5/31/11 RV    52       25         30      39       14         25         6
8/26/10 RV    51       17         34      42       17         24         7
7/18/06 RV    59       NA         NA      16       NA         NA        25

c. no trend

d. Eleanor Holmes Norton

               ------- Favorable -------   ------ Unfavorable ------     No   
               NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
7/17/12        72       44         29      12        6          6        16
7/17/12 RV     74       45         29      14        7          7        12
8/26/10  RV    78       53         26      11        6          5        11
5/19/02        80       NA         NA       8       NA         NA        12
5/19/02  RV    85       NA         NA       9       NA         NA         6
2/7/00         82       NA         NA       7       NA         NA        11
2/7/00   RV    87       NA         NA       8       NA         NA         5
5/18/98        77       NA         NA       7       NA         NA        16
5/4/97         81       NA         NA       8       NA         NA        12
2/29/96        77       NA         NA       8       NA         NA        15
2/95           74       NA         NA       8       NA         NA        18
6/94           78       NA         NA       8       NA         NA        14
1/92           69       NA         NA      12       NA         NA        19

e-f no trend.

g. Marion Barry

               ------- Favorable -------   ------ Unfavorable ------     No   
               NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
7/17/12        52       34         18      40        9         31         8
7/17/12 RV     52       36         16      42        9         33         6
1/8/08         49       NA         NA      42       NA         NA         9
5/19/02        41       NA         NA      53       NA         NA         6
2/7/00         47       NA         NA      46       NA         NA         7
8/27/98        43       NA         NA      51       NA         NA         6
5/18/98        42       NA         NA      48       NA         NA        10
5/4/97         37       NA         NA      58       NA         NA         6
5/19/96        55       NA         NA      41       NA         NA         5
2/29/96        51       NA         NA      42       NA         NA         7
3/02/95        65       NA         NA      29       NA         NA         6
6/94           46       NA         NA      46       NA         NA         8
2/2/92         35       NA         NA      58       NA         NA         6

h. no trend

i. Jack Evans   

               ------- Favorable -------   ------ Unfavorable ------     No   
               NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Somewhat   Strongly   opinion
7/17/12        35       10         25      13        8          5        52
7/17/12 RV     37       11         26      13        8          5        52
5/19/02        40       NA         NA       9       NA         NA        51
8/27/98        42       NA         NA      15       NA         NA        43
5/18/98        27       NA         NA      11       NA         NA        62

j. no trend

7. Please tell me whether the following statements apply to Mayor Gray, or not?

7/17/12 – Summary table

                                  Yes   No   No opinion
a. He understands the problems   
   of people like you             45    46        9   
b. He is honest and trustworthy   22    61       16

Trend:

a. He understands the problems of people like you

                  Yes   No   No opinion
7/17/12           45    46        9
7/17/12 Dem RV*   50    42        7
5/31/11           52    36       12
5/31/11 Dem RV    54    36        9
8/26/10 Dem RV**  61    16       23
*In 2010, voters officially registered as Democrats; in 2011 and 2012, registered voters who identify as Democratic
**Chairman Vincent Gray

b. He is honest and trustworthy

                  Yes   No   No opinion
7/17/12           22    61       16
7/17/12 Dem RV*   21    63       16
5/31/11           42    37       20
5/31/11 Dem RV    45    38       16
8/26/10 Dem RV**  61    13       26
*In 2010, voters officially registered as Democrats; in 2011 and 2012, registered voters who identify as Democratic
**Chairman Vincent Gray

8. Do you agree or disagree that Mayor Gray is running an ethical administration?

                   Agree   Disagree   No opinion
7/17/12             25        63          12
5/19/02 Williams    57        33          10

9. Thinking back to when Adrian Fenty was in office, would you say you approve or disapprove of the way Fenty handled his job as mayor? Do you feel that way strongly or just somewhat?

              -------Approve---------    -------Disapprove-------    No
              NET  Strongly  Somewhat    NET  Somewhat  Strongly    opin.
7/17/12       59      29        30       33      14        19         7
7/17/12 RV    60      30        30       36      16        20         5
5/31/11       58      26        31       38      14        24         5
5/31/11 RV    56      26        30       42      14        27         2
8/26/10 RV*   47      15        32       46      19        27         8
1/28/10       42      13        29       49      20        29         9
1/28/10 RV    40      13        27       53      20        33         7
1/8/08        72      32        40       21      11        10         7
1/8/08 RV     72      31        41       22      11        11         6
*8/26/10 and previous: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Adrian Fenty is handling… 

10. As you may have heard or read, two D.C. Council members – Kwame Brown and Harry Thomas -- have resigned after pleading guilty to federal criminal charges and several people affiliated with Mayor Gray’s 2010 campaign have pleaded guilty to campaign finance violations. How closely have you been following these stories - very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely or not closely at all?

          -----Closely------   -----Not Closely------     No 
          NET   Very   Smwht   NET   Not too   At all   opinion
7/17/12   69     31      38    31       19       12        *

11. Do you think these instances are (a sign of broader problems in city politics), or do you think they are (pretty much isolated incidents)?

          Sign of broader problems   Isolated incidents   No opinion
7/17/12             74                       21                5 

12. Do you think the issue of corruption in D.C. government is (getting worse), (getting better) or is it about the same as it has been?

          Getting worse   Getting better   About the same   No opinion
7/17/12         44                7              45              3

13. Compared to other big cities, do you think D.C. has a (bigger) or a (smaller) problem with public corruption, or is it about the same?

          Bigger problem   Smaller problem   About the same   No opinion
7/17/12         32                8                55              5

14. Do you think Mayor Gray’s campaign and former councilmen Brown and Thomas have been fairly or unfairly investigated by federal authorities? 14a. (IF UNFAIRLY INVESTIGATED) Do you think their being African American had a lot, a little or nothing to do with being investigated?


          Fairly   Unfairly   No opinion
7/17/12     79         8          12

Q14/Q14a NET Table

                          -------Unfairly investigated------
                          -Being African American mattered--
             Fairly               A     A                 No        No 
          investigated    NET    lot  little  Nothing    opin     opinion
7/17/12        79          8      3     2        2         *        12 

15. Considering everything, do you think that the District of Columbia would be (better off), (worse off), or about the same if Vincent Gray were not the Mayor?

                Better off   Worse off   About the same   No opinion
7/17/12             44            5            44             7
5/19/96 Barry       36           25            36             4

16. Considering everything, do you think Vincent Gray should step down as the Mayor of the District of Columbia?

             Should step down   Should not step down   No opinion
7/17/12             54                   37                9
5/19/96 Barry       36                   61                2

17. How important do you think it is that D.C. have an African American mayor – very important, somewhat important, not too important, or not at all important?

           --- Important ----    ----- Not important ------     No
           NET   Very   Smwht    NET   Not too   Not at all   opinion
7/17/12    45     19      26     53      20          34          2
5/31/11    45     18      27     54      22          32          1

Compare to:
8/27/98*   52     26      27     46      22          23          2
*Among Democratic likely voters only.

18. As you may know, taxis in the District changed the way they calculate fares from a system based on zones to one which uses time and distance meters. Do you approve or disapprove of this change?

          ------ Approve ------   ----- Disapprove ----    Don’t use     No
          NET   Strngly   Smwht   NET   Smwht   Strngly   taxis (vol.)  opin.
7/17/12   51      31       20     37     13       23           7          5 
1/28/10   56      37       19     30     10       20           6          8

19. As you may know, the D.C. Council passed a law requiring all D.C. taxi cabs to be the same color, accept credit cards and have GPS devices. Fares would go up 50 cents per ride. Do you approve or disapprove of this change?

          ------ Approve ------   ----- Disapprove ----     No
          NET   Strngly   Smwht   NET   Smwht   Strngly   opinion
7/17/12   63      33       30     32      9       23         5

20. How often, if ever, do you yourself take taxis in D.C.--several times a week, once a week, a few times a month, a few times a year or less often than that?

       Several times    Once    Few times   Few times   Less    Never      No
          a week       a week    a month      a year    often   (Vol.)   opinion
7/17/12     11            9        23           25       17       14        *

21. Thinking about the strong storm that hit the D.C. area at the end of June, did you happen to lose power where you live, or not?

          Yes   No   No opinion
7/17/12   33    67        *

21a. (IF LOST POWER) Was your power out for more or less than 24 hours? (IF MORE THAN 24 HOURS) How many days were you without power? (IF LESS THAN 24 HOURS) How many hours were you without power?

             -------------Yes, lost power-------------    
                  Less than   1-2    3-4     5+    No    No, did not   No 
             NET   24 hrs     days   days   days   op.   lose power    op.
7/17/12      33      10        9      8      6      *        67         *    

22. (HALF SAMPLE: Given the severity of the storm) How would you rate the job PEPCO did in restoring power after the storm -- excellent, good, not so good, or poor?

          - Excellent/Good -    --- Not Good/Poor ---     No
          NET   Excel.  Good    NET   Not good   Poor   opinion
7/17/12   39      9      31     55       27       28       6

23. One way to limit power outages in the city would be to bury power lines underground, which may cost about six billion dollars. How much extra would you be willing to pay on your monthly electricity bill to do this?

          Median    $0   $1-$5   $6-$10   $11-$20    $21+   No opinion   
7/17/12     $2      35%   17       12        9        9         18

901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as:

            Democrat     Republican     Independent     Other     No op.
7/17/12        65             7              23           2         3
5/31/11        68             7              23           1         2
1/28/10        67             7              22           2         2
1/28/10 RV     70             6              21           2         2
1/8/08         68             6              22           3         1
1/8/08  RV     71             5              20           3         1
7/18/06 RV     69             7              21           2         1

908a. Would you say your views on most political matters are liberal, moderate, or conservative?

                                                     Don’t think in      No
            Liberal    Moderate    Conservative    those terms (vol.)    op.
7/17/12       41          37            18                  2             3
8/26/10 RV    40          37            18                  3             2
1/28/10       37          39            18                  3             3
1/8/08        44          34            18                  2             3

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