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Washington Post-ABC News Poll: State of the Union

Monday, January 28, 2002

The latest Washington Post-ABC News poll is based on telephone interviews with 1,507 randomly selected adults nationwide and was conducted Jan. 24 - 27, 2002. The margin of sampling error for overall results is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Sampling error is only one of many potential sources of error in this or any other public opinion poll. Interviewing was conducted by TNS Intersearch of Horsham, Pa.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove STRONGLY or SOMEWHAT?

            ---------Approve---------   --------Disapprove--------    No 
            NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Strongly   Somewhat    opin.
1/27/02     83      56        27        14       7         7           3
12/19/01    86      64        22        12       6         6           2
11/27/01    89      69        21         9       5         4           1
11/6/01     89      65        24         9       4         5           2
10/9/01     92      76        16         6       3         3           1
9/27/01     90      70        20         6       3         3           4
9/13/01     86      63        23        12       6         5           2
9/9/01      55      26        29        41      22        20           3
8/12/01     61      28        33        31      17        14           8
7/30/01     59      28        30        38      22        17           3
6/3/01      55      27        28        40      22        18           6
4/22/01     63      33        30        32      16        16           5
3/25/01     58      NA        NA        33      NA        NA           8
2/25/01     55      NA        NA        23      NA        NA          22

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bush is handling...?

1/27/02*
Summary Table:

                                          Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
a. The economy                               62          34             4
b. Environmental issues                      54          31            15
c. Education                                 71          21             8
d. The federal budget                        59          30            12
e. The U.S. campaign against terrorism       88          10             2
f. Social Security                           54          28            18
*Half sample asked items a through c and the other
half sample asked items d through f.

Trend:
a. The economy

          Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
1/27/02*    62          34             4
12/19/01    67          27             6       
11/6/01     72          23             5       
9/9/01      48          48             4       
7/30/01     52          45             3
6/3/01      53          41             6
4/22/01     55          38             7
3/25/01     50          42             8
*Half Sample

b. Environmental issues

          Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
1/27/02*    54          31            15
9/9/01      50          44             6
7/30/01     45          49             6
6/3/01      41          50             9
4/22/01     47          41            12
3/25/01     46          41            13
*Half Sample

c. Education

          Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
1/27/02*    71          21             8
9/9/01      61          32             7
7/30/01     63          31             5
6/3/01      57          35             8
4/22/01     60          28            12
*Half Sample

d. The federal budget

          Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
1/27/02*    59          30            12
9/9/01      46          48             6
7/30/01     53          42             5
*Half Sample

e. The U.S. campaign against terrorism

             ---------Approve---------   --------Disapprove--------    No 
             NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Strongly   Somewhat    opin.
1/27/02*     88       NA         NA      10       NA         NA         2
12/19/01     89       67         22       9        5          4         2
10/15/01     92       75         17       5        3          3         3
*Half Sample

f. Social Security

          Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
1/27/02*    54          28            18
9/9/01      41          50             9
7/30/01     46          48             6
6/3/01      46          40            14

*Half Sample

3. What do you think is a bigger problem facing the nation right now: (terrorism) or (the economy)?

           Terrorism   Economy   No opin.
1/27/02       43         54         3
12/16/01      49         47         4

4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the U.S. Congress is doing its job?

            Approve     Disapprove     No opinion
1/27/02       58           35              7
12/19/01      59           34              7
9/9/01        45           48              7
7/30/01       48           48              4
4/22/01       58           33              8
10/31/99      42           53              6
9/2/99        46           47              7
6/6/99        48           46              6
3/14/99       44           49              7
2/14/99       46           50              4    
12/20/98      44           51              5    
12/19/98      45           50              5    
12/13/98      49           46              5    
11/7/98       41           55              4    
11/1/98       49           47              5    
11/1/98 LV    47           51              2    
10/25/98      45           44             11    
10/25/98 LV   45           48              7    
10/18/98      46           45              8    
10/18/98 LV   45           49              5    
9/28/98       52           44              4    
9/28/98 LV    52           46              2 
8/21/98       55           39              6          
7/12/98       46           44             11          
5/12/98       45           45              9          
4/4/98        47           45              8          
1/31/98       55           35             10          
1/30/98       55           35             10          
1/25/98       56           37              8          
1/24/98       55           38              7          
1/19/98       47           49              5          
10/13/97      36           57              7          
8/27/97       39           54              7          
7/8/97        40           53              6          
4/24/97       40           53              7          
3/9/97        35           60              5          
8/5/96        42           52              7          
6/30/96       35           58              7          
5/22/96       35           60              5          
3/10/96       30           64              6          
1/7/96        31           65              5          
11/19/95      27           68              5          
10/1/95       32           65              3 
7/17/95       34           63              3         
3/19/95       39           56              5         
1/29/95       42           52              6         
10/31/94      21           72              8         
10/23/94      18           78              4         
9/11/94       24           70              5         
6/26/94       34           61              5         
3/27/94       35           62              3         
2/27/94       32           64              4         
1/23/94       29           60             11         
11/14/93      28           66              6         
8/8/93        33           64              3         
4/26/93       30           69              2         
1/17/93       29           66              6         
4/9/92        17           78              5         
3/18/92       19           76              5         
3/8/92        22           73              6         
2/2/92        32           64              4         
12/15/91      35           59              6         
10/21/91      45           50              5         
6/2/91        49           46              5 
10/14/90      34           63              3                  
2/4/90        41           55              4                  
1/16/90       39           55              6                  
8/21/89       42           53              5                  
5/23/89       54           44              2                  
2/14/89       53           44              3                  
1/23/88*      43           53              4                  
6/1/87*       56           40              4                  
6/22/85*      54           37              9                  
5/83*         33           43             24                  
6/81*         38           40             22                  
6/79*         19           61             20                  
9/78*         29           49             22                  
6/77*         34           42             24                  
6/75*         29           54             17                  
8/74*         48           35             17
*Gallup

5. We'd like to know what kind of priority you want to see George W. Bush and the Congress give to some issues. For each one, please tell me if it should receive the highest priority, a high priority but not the highest, a middle priority, or a lower priority.

1/27/02*

Summary Table:

                           ------High-------                   None    No.
                           NET  Highst  High   Middle  Lower  (vol.)   op.
a. Improving the economy    89    45     44       8       2      0      1
b. Protecting the Social 
    Security system         81    33     47      14       4      *      1     
c. Improving the health 
    care system             78    32     46      17       4      0      *      
d. Reforming election 
    campaign finance laws   40    14     26      32      22      2      3      
e. Improving education and 
    the schools             83    38     45      13       4      0      0
f. Helping the elderly pay 
    for prescription drugs  68    27     41      26       6      *      *      
g. Protecting the 
    environment             59    17     42      31       9      *      *      
h. Handling national  
    defense and the 
    military budget         79    31     48      17       4      *      *      
i. Handling the U.S. 
    campaign against 
    terrorism               90    46     44       8       2      *      *      
j. Keeping the federal 
    budget balanced         69    21     48      26       5      *      *    
*Half sample asked items a through e and the other
half sample asked items f through j.

Trend:
a. Improving the economy

              -------High-------                     None     No 
              NET  Highest  High   Middle   Lower   (vol.)   opin. 
1/27/02*       89    45      44       8       2       0       1*Half Sample

Compare to:

Keeping the economy strong

              -------High-------                     None     No 
              NET  Highest  High   Middle   Lower   (vol.)   opin. 
4/22/01        92    44      47       7       2       0       *
3/25/01        89    47      42       9       2       *       0
1/15/01        95    47      48       4       1       0       0

b. Protecting the Social Security system

              -------High-------                    None     No 
              NET  Highest  High   Middle   Lower   (vol.)   opin. 
1/27/02*       81    33      47      14       4       *       1
4/22/01        84    39      44      11       5       *       *
3/25/01        83    42      42      13       3       0       *
1/15/01        88    46      42      10       3       0       *
*Half Sample

c. No trend.

d. Reforming election campaign finance laws

              -------High-------                     None     No 
              NET  Highest  High   Middle   Lower   (vol.)   opin. 
1/27/02*       40    14      26      32      22       2       3
4/22/01        42    15      27      32      22       2       1
3/25/01        45    18      26      33      20       1       2
1/15/01        54    20      34      29      15       1       1
*Half Sample

e. Improving education and the schools

              -------High-------                     None     No 
              NET  Highest  High   Middle   Lower   (vol.)   opin. 
1/27/02*       83    38      45      13       4       0       0
4/22/01        86    46      40      11       2       *       *
3/25/01        89    53      35       8       3       1       *
1/15/01        91    49      42       5       2       1       0
*Half Sample

f. Helping the elderly pay for prescription drugs

              -------High-------                     None     No 
              NET  Highest  High   Middle   Lower   (vol.)   opin. 
1/27/02*       68    27      41       26      6       *       *
4/22/01        80    37      43       16      4       *       *
1/15/01        86    39      46       11      2       1       1
*Half Sample

g. Protecting the environment

              -------High-------                     None     No 
              NET  Highest  High   Middle   Lower   (vol.)   opin. 
1/27/02*       59    17      42      31       9       *       *
4/22/01        71    29      42      24       4       *       *
3/25/01        69    27      42      25       5       0       1
1/15/01        71    27      45      21       6       *       2
*Half Sample

h,i. No Trend.

j. Keeping the federal budget balanced

              -------High-------                     None     No 
              NET  Highest  High   Middle   Lower   (vol.)   opin. 
1/27/02*       69    21      48      26       5       *       *
1/15/01        86    35      51      12       1       *       1
*Half Sample

6. Overall, which party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you trust to do a better job in coping with the main problems the nation faces over the next few years?

                                        Both    Neither
             Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)   No opinion
1/27/02*        40           44          3       10           4 
4/22/01         47           40          4        7           3 
7/23/00         42           42          2        9           6  
9/2/99          45           39          4        9           4
6/6/99          45           35          3       13           5
3/14/99         47           37          5        9           3
2/14/99         48           37          4        7           4
10/18/98        44           36          3       12           6
10/18/98 LV     43           42          3       10           2    
9/28/98         49           38          2        8           3    
9/28/98 LV      45           44          1        8           2    
8/21/98         48           36          4        9           3    
7/12/98         45           38          3        8           6    
1/31/98         47           37          4        6           7    
1/19/98         45           42          2        7           4    
7/8/97          44           37          2       14           3    
9/15/96 RV      45           38          3       11           3
8/5/96          43           38          3       11           3            
6/30/96         46           37          3       12           3            
5/22/96         47           38          3       10           3            
11/6/94 RV      41           39          2       12           6            
10/31/94        43           43          2        8           4            
10/23/94        39           40          3       15           3            
9/11/94         43           40          4       11           3             
6/26/94         41           36          3       14           5            
2/27/94         46           32          4       16           3            
11/14/93        42           39          3       11           4            
1/17/93         49           28          5       13           5            
7/8/92          48           38          1        8           4            
6/7/92          43           37          3       11           6            
3/11/92         45           37          1       11           5            
3/8/92          51           36          1        7           5            
2/2/92          49           39          2        7           3            
12/15/91        39           37          3       15           6            
10/21/91        39           40          3       13           5
*Asked of half sample

7. Overall, who do you trust to do a better job coping with the main problems the nation faces over the next few years, (George W. Bush) or the (Democrats in Congress)?

                                 Both    Neither
             Bush   Democrats   (vol.)   (vol.)   No opinion
1/27/02*      62       31         2        3           2 
*Asked of opposite half sample from Q6.

Compare to:

Who do you trust to do a better job coping with the main problems the nation faces over the next year - Clinton or the Republicans in Congress?

                                       Both equally   Neither     No
             Clinton    Republicans     (vol.)       (vol.)     opin.
1/26/00         45        46              *             7         2
2/14/99*        52        35              2             7         3
2/12/99         53        30              3            11         4
1/19/99         50        32              3             8         7
11/7/98         47        38              4             9         2
9/28/98         51        38              2             6         3
9/28/98LV       47        45              1             4         2
8/21/98         48        38              2             9         3
7/12/98         48        38              1             6         6
5/12/98         47        39              3             8         3
1/31/98         52        35              3             4         6
1/19/98         48        40              2             8         2
3/9/97          49        38              4             8         2
1/15/97**       51        37              3             7         2
1/29/95         40        46              4             8         2
1/4/95          30        54              3             9         4
12/15/94        34        49              3             9         6
*1999 and previous: "next few years"
** "The Clinton administration"

8. Which political party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you trust to do a better job...?

1/27/02*

Summary Table:

                                                        Both    Neither    No
                             Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)    (vol.)    op.
a. Improving the economy        39           48          5         6        3     
b. Protecting the Social 
    Security system             48           38          6         5        3     
c. Improving the health 
    care system                 50           35          5         5        4      
d. Reforming election 
    campaign finance laws       40           34          7        12        7     
e. Improving education and 
    the schools                 40           45          8         4        3 
f. Helping the elderly pay 
    for prescription drugs      57           30          4         3        5     
g. Protecting the 
    environment                 59           29          3         5        5    
h. Handling national  
    defense and the 
    military budget             27           63          3         3        4      
i. Handling the U.S. 
    campaign against 
    terrorism                   23           62         10         3        2      
j. Keeping the federal 
    budget balanced             38           46          5         7        3  

*Half sample asked items a through e and the other half sample
asked items f through j. Same split of sample as Q5.

Trend:

a. Improving the economy

                                          Both    Neither
               Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)   No opinion
1/27/02*          39           48           5        6         3
*Half Sample

Compare to:

Handling the nation's economy

                                         Both    Neither
               Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)   No opinion
4/22/01           47           43           4        4         3
9/28/98 LV        51           43          NA       NA         6
9/28/98           53           40          NA       NA         7
7/12/98           49           37           4        5         6
1/19/98           45           44           3        6         3
7/8/97            43           39           5       12         2
10/23/94          38           43           3       14         2
9/11/94           39           43           3       11         4
2/27/94           47           36           3       11         3
2/2/92            49           38           2        7         4
12/15/91          43           36           4       11         5
3/4/91            32           49           5       10         4
1/16/90           33           52           4        7         4

b. Protecting the Social Security system

                                          Both     Neither
               Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)   No opinion
1/27/02*          48           38           6        5         3
4/22/01           52           35           5        5         3
9/2/99            56           33           3        4         3
3/14/99           52           29           3        8         7
7/12/98           51           35           3        6         6
1/19/98           48           38           3        7         5
1/16/90           52           31           3        9         4
*Half Sample

c. No Trend.

d. Reforming election campaign finance laws

                                          Both    Neither
               Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)   No opinion
1/27/02*          40           34           7       12         7
9/2/99            38           40           4       13         6
*Half Sample

e. Improving education and the schools

                                          Both    Neither
               Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)   No opinion
1/27/02*          40           45           8        4         3
4/22/01           48           40           5        5         3
9/28/98 LV        51           38          NA       NA        11
9/28/98           56           35          NA       NA         9
7/12/98           52           31           5        5         7
1/19/98           54           34           4        5         3
7/8/97            51           30           5        9         4
10/23/94          45           30           6       13         6
9/11/94           48           33           6        8         5
2/27/94           53           28           5       11         3
2/2/92            55           29           6        5         5
12/15/91          47           31           6       10         6
3/4/91            39           41           8        9         4
1/16/90           45           36           7        9         3
*Half Sample

f. No Trend.

g. Protecting the environment

                                          Both    Neither
               Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)   No opinion
1/27/02*          59           29           3        5         5
3/14/99           55           24           6        7         8
7/12/98           56           28           4        4         8      
1/19/98           54           31           3        6         5      
3/4/91            40           35          10       10         5      
1/16/90           46           31           8        9         6
*Half Sample

h. Handling national defense and the military budget

                                          Both    Neither
               Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)   No opinion
1/27/02*          27           63           3        3         4
9/2/99            34           55           2        4         4
*Half Sample

i. No Trend

j. Keeping the federal budget balanced

                                          Both    Neither
               Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)   No opinion
1/27/02*          38           46           5        7         3
*Half Sample

Compare to:

Managing the federal budget

                                          Both     Neither      No
                Democrats    Republicans  Equally   (vol.)    opinion
3/14/99              43           40         5        10         3
9/28/98              49           42        NA        NA         9
9/28/98LV            44           49        NA        NA         7
7/12/98              42           39         4         7         8 
1/19/98*             41           43         3         8         4 
7/8/97*              39           36         5        17         3
10/23/94**           36           37         3        21         3
9/11/94**            39           40         4        14         4
2/27/94**            44           28         5        20         3
2/2/92**             40           39         4        14         3
3/4/91**             35           43         5        14         3
1/16/90**            35           42         4        15         4
*Balancing the federal budget
**Reducing the federal budget

9. What would you like Bush to talk about most in his State of the Union speech {next week}{this week} - (the war on terrorism), (the economy), or (domestic issues like health care, Social Security and education)?

            War on                Domestic   Other     All      No
           terrorism    Economy    issues    (vol.)   (vol.)   opin.
1/27/02       21          34         31        2       12        *

10. What would you say is Bush's biggest accomplishment in his first year in office?

01/27/02

War on terrorism NET                                          65
       The war on terrorism                                   43  
       Response to September 11th attacks                     22
Personal Leadership NET                                       11
       Bipartisan cooperation/unifying congress                1
       Gaining the support/trust/confidence of the people      4
       Unifying the country/American people                    2
       Strong leadership/taking charge                         4
       Restoring respect/integrity to the government           1

Getting elected to the presidency                              1
Stimulating/stabilizing the economy                            1
Education reform                                               1
Tax reform/cuts/rebates                                        3
International/foreign relations                                1
Health care/Medicare                                           *
Social security                                                *
Increased military spending                                    *
The budget                                                     *   
Other                                                          3
None                                                           3
No opinion                                                    11

11. And what would you say is Bush's next biggest accomplishment?

01/27/02

War on terrorism NET                                          18
       The war on terrorism                                   13  
       Response to September 11th attacks                      5
Personal Leadership NET                                        8
       Bipartisan cooperation/unifying congress                1
       Gaining the support/trust/confidence of the people      3
       Unifying the country/American people                    1
       Strong leadership/taking charge                         2
       Restoring respect/integrity to the government           1

Getting elected to the presidency                              *
Stimulating/stabilizing the economy                           14
Education reform                                               7
Tax reform/cuts/rebates                                        6
International/foreign relations                                1
Health care/Medicare                                           2
Social security                                                1
Increased military spending                                    1
The budget                                                     2
Other                                                          4
None/nothing else                                              7
No opinion                                                    28

12. Would you say Bush is doing a better job as president than you expected, a worse job, or what?

                            As expected
           Better   Worse     (vol.)       No opin. 
1/27/02      75       5        20             1 
7/30/01      39      23        36             2 
4/22/01      39      21        37             3 
2/28/93*     38      19        35             8 
*Clinton

13. Please tell me whether the following statement applies to Bush or not: He understands the problems of people like you

              Yes    No      No opin.
1/27/02       61     37        2
7/30/01       45     54        2
4/22/01       47     51        2
11/4/00 LV    49     46        5
10/24/00 LV   50     46        3
10/15/00 RV   46     46        7
10/9/00 RV    50     44        6
9/6/00 RV     47     49        4
8/20/00 RV    50     46        5
7/23/00 RV    44     51        5
7/23/00       44     51        5
6/11/00       48     47        5
4/2/00        48     46        6
3/11/00       47     47        6
2/27/00       43     51        6
2/6/00        43     52        5
1/16/00       46     49        6
12/15/99      47     46        7
10/31/99      54     39        7
9/2/99        50     39       11
3/14/99       52     27       21

14. For each group I name, please tell me if you think it has too much influence in the Bush administration, too little influence or about the right amount.

1/27/02*

Summary Table:

                                   Too       Too       Right       No 
                                   much     little     amount     opin.         
a. Large business corporations      59         8         29         4  
b. Environmental groups             12        40         44         4
c. The oil and gas industries       48        14         32         6
d. People like you                   3        49         46         2
*Half sample asked items a through b and the other
half sample asked items c through d.

Trend:

a. Large business corporations

           Too       Too       Right       No 
           much     little     amount     opin.         
1/27/02*    59         8         29         4  
7/30/01     67         7         24         2  

*Half Sample

b. Environmental groups

           Too       Too       Right       No 
           much     little     amount     opin.         
1/27/02*    12        40         44         4  
7/30/01     20        46         31         3
*Half Sample

c. The oil and gas industries

           Too       Too       Right       No 
           much     little     amount     opin.         
1/27/02*    48        14         32         6  
7/30/01     64        13         20         3
*Half Sample

d. People like you

           Too       Too       Right       No 
           much     little     amount     opin.         
1/27/02*     3        49         46         2  
7/30/01      1        67         30         1
*Half Sample

15. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of:

1/27/02*

Summary table:

                          Favorable     Unfavorable     No opinion
a. The Republican party      63             30               7
b. The Democratic party      56             36               8
c. Tom Daschle               37             31              32
d. Laura Bush                81              8              11
*Half sample asked items a through b and the other
half sample asked items c through d.

Trend:

a. The Republican Party

             Favorable   Unfavorable   No opinion
1/27/02**       63           30             7
7/30/01         51           46             3
12/15/00        54           35            11
1/16/00         53           37            10
1/10/00*        53           41             6
1/10/00  LV     56           39             5
11/21/99        50           44             6
5/2/99          47           44             9
2/21/99         45           46             9
2/13/99         40           54             5
2/8/99          45           47             8
1/10/99         40           52             8
12/20/98        31           57            12
12/16/98        43           47            10
10/29/97        50           42             8
9/1/96   RV     50           45             5
8/18/96  RV     55           41             4
8/7/96   RV     51           44             5
4/10/96         52           41             7
4/19/95         52           42             6
7/8/92   RV     53           39             8
**Half Sample
*1/10/00 and previous: Gallup
The Democratic Party

             Favorable   Unfavorable   No opinion
1/27/02*        56           36             8
7/30/01         60           36             4
12/15/00        64           25            11
1/16/00         56           35             9
1/10/00*        61           33             6
1/10/00  LV     58           37             5
11/21/99        51           41             8
5/2/99          53           37            10
2/21/99         55           37             8
2/13/99         56           38             6
2/8/99          57           37             6
1/10/99         57           35             8
12/20/98        57           30            13
12/16/98        58           32            10
10/29/97        54           39             7
9/1/96   RV     60           36             4
8/18/96  RV     55           41             4
8/7/96   RV     57           38             5
4/10/96         55           38             7
4/19/95         51           43             6
7/8/92   RV     54           38             8     
**Half Sample
*1/10/00 and previous: Gallup

c,d. No Trend.

16. Which political party do you think is more open to the ideas of people who are political moderates - the (Democrats) or the (Republicans)?

                                            Both    Neither    No
                 Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)    (vol.)   opin.
1/27/02             49          38           3         3        7
6/3/01              57          32           2         6        4

17. On another subject, would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?

               ----Excellent/Good-----    -----Not so good/Poor-----    No  
               NET   Excellent    Good    NET    Not so good   Poor     op.
1/27/02        31        1        29      69        50          19       *
9/20/01        38        3        35      60        47          14       2
9/9/01         33        1        32      66        47          19       *
7/30/01        50        3        46      50        39          12       *
4/22/01        50        3        47      50        40           9       *
1/15/01        70       10        59      29        24           6       1 
10/27/00 LV    86       24        61      14        11           3       * 
10/26/00 LV    86       24        61      14        11           3       * 
6/11/00        74       17        57      26        19           6       *  
2/27/00        80       25        55      20        14           5       *  
10/31/99       74       18        56      26        18           7       1  
9/2/99         76       19        57      23        16           6       1  
3/14/99        80       22        58      19        15           4       1  
11/1/98        73       12        61      26        21           5       1  
11/1/98  LV    78       13        65      22        19           3       *  
10/13/97       61       12        49      39        27          11       *

18. How much longer do you think the country's current economic recession will last - a few more months, up to six months, up to a year, up to two years, or longer than that?

          ---------Year or less--------   ---More than a year--   Not      
                Few      Up to    Up to         Up to            in one    No 
          NET  months   6 months   year   NET  2 years   Longer  (vol.)   opin.
1/27/02   69     9         22      39     27      13       14       *       3
5/3/92    56     8         17      31     37      15       22       2       5
12/1/91   52     3         14      35     39      21       18       1       9
3/10/91   66    11         28      27     28      10       18      NA       6
2/2/91*   67    10         25      32     26      13       13      NA       7
*Gallup

19. If in order to keep the budget balanced it came down to (cutting spending for social programs), (cutting spending for the military) or reducing the tax cut), which would be your first choice?

          Cut spending,     Cut spending,     Reduce       No
          social prog.        military        tax cut     opin. 
1/27/02        26                15             55          4
9/9/01         25                31             43          2

20. As you may know, officials now say the federal budget is in deficit. How much responsibility do you think Bush bears for the budget deficit - a great deal, a good amount, just some or hardly any?

           -Great/Good Amount-    --Some/Hardly Any--
                 Great   Good           Just   Hardly    None     No
           NET   deal   amount    NET   some    any     (vol.)   op.
1/27/02    41     18      23      55     32      23        2       2
9/9/01*    48     28      20      48     25      23       NA       3

*"For each item I name, please tell me how much responsibility [George W. Bush] bears for the lower surplus - a great deal, a good amount, just some or hardly any."

21. I have a few questions about Enron, the big energy company that went bankrupt late last year.

Enron was a large political contributor to George W. Bush and many other elected officials, including both Republicans and Democrats.

How closely have you been following the Enron situation - very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely or not closely at all?

           ---------Closely--------   --------Not Closely--------
                  Very     Somewhat         Not too   Not closely   No
           NET   closely   closely    NET   closely      at all     op.
1/27/02    58      17        40       42      20           22        *

22. Do you think the Enron situation is (a sign of broader problems with the way many companies report their financial condition), or do you think it's (pretty much an isolated incident)?

               Sign of         Isolated     No
           broader problems    incident    opin. 
1/27/02           68              25         7 

23. Do you think there should be new laws regulating the way companies account for their financial condition, or better enforcement of existing laws, or is the current situation OK?

                                                 New laws &
                       Better     Situation    better enforce.    No
           New laws    enforce.      OK            (vol.)        opin.
1/27/02      30          56           8               3            3

24. Overall, do you think the Bush administration acted properly or improperly in its dealings with Enron?

             Properly   Improperly   No opinion
1/27/02         52         24            25

25. Do you think members of the Bush administration should or should not have to disclose all meetings and correspondence they had with Enron officials?

           Should have      Not have      No
           to disclose    to disclose    opin. 
1/27/02*       70             24           6         
*Asked of half sample. 

26. Do you think members of Congress who have received contributions from Enron should or should not have to disclose all meetings and correspondence they've had with Enron officials?

           Should have      Not have      No
           to disclose    to disclose    opin. 
1/27/02*       75             19           6          
*Asked of opposite half sample from Q25.

27. Do you think the Enron situation requires a full-scale federal investigation or not?

           Yes    No    No opinion
1/27/02     75    20         5

Compare to:

Do you think Whitewater requires a full-scale federal investigation or not?

           Yes    No    No opinion
12/9/96     49    47         4
3/27/94     43    54         3

28. On another subject, do you think the U.S. campaign against terrorism is going very well, fairly well, not too well or not well at all?

           ---------Well--------   ---------Not Well---------
                  Very    Fairly          Not too    Not well    No
           NET    well     well    NET     well       at all     op.
1/27/02    88      32       56     11        8           4        1

Compare to:

Do you think the U.S. military action in Afghanistan is going very well, fairly well, not too well or not well at all?

           ----------Well----------     --------Not well--------      No
           NET      Very     Fairly     NET     Not too   At all     opin. 
11/27/01   93        42        51        5         3        2          2
11/6/01    85        23        62       12         8        4          3

29. How confident are you that the United States will capture or kill Osama Bin Laden: are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident or not at all confident?

           -------Confident-------   ------Not confident-----    Already
                                                                  dead     No 
           NET    Very    Somewhat   NET    Not too    At all    (vol.)   opin.    
1/27/02    63      26        36      35        24        11         1       1
12/19/01   70      32        39      29        18        11        NA       1
11/6/01    73      28        45      26        17         9        NA       1
9/27/01    81      37        44      18        14         4        NA       1 

30. Do you think (the United States has to capture or kill Osama bin Laden for the war on terrorism to be a success), or do you think (the war on terrorism can be a success without Osama bin Laden being killed or captured)?

             US must capture/      War can succeed       No 
              kill bin Laden      without bin Laden     opin. 
1/27/02             46                    51              3 
12/19/01            64                    34              2 
11/6/01             64                    30              6 

31. Would you favor or oppose having U.S. forces take military action against Iraq to force Saddam Hussein from power?

             Favor     Oppose     No opin.
1/27/02        71        24           4
12/19/01       72        24           5
11/27/01       78        17           6
10/11/94*      72        23           5
1/15/93**      82        15           3 
8/21/92 RV     65        30           5 
2/9/92         62        35           3
4/22/91        51        43           6
4/5/91         54        37           9
3/15/91        57        38           5
*10/11/94 and previous: Gallup
**1/15/93 and previous: Would you support or oppose
having U.S. forces resume military action...?

32. Do you think non-U.S. citizens who are charged with terrorism should be put on trial (in the regular U.S. criminal court system) or (in a special military tribunal)?

             US criminal      Military      No
             court system     tribunal     opin.  
1/27/02           35             60          4
11/27/01          37             59          4

33. How much confidence do you have in the ability of the U.S. government to prevent further terrorist attacks against Americans in this country: a great deal, a good amount, only a fair amount or none at all?

          --------Confident--------    -----Not confident----     No   
          NET   Grt.deal   Good amt.   NET   Fair amt.   None    opin.    
1/27/02    57      18         40        42      37         6      1       
11/27/01   63      24         39        36      32         5      1       
11/6/01    52      17         35        47      40         7      1       
9/11/01    66      35         31        32      30         2      1       
6/2/97     35      10         26        62      52        10      3       
8/5/96     35      12         23        65      49        16      *       
5/14/95    36      12         24        63      51        12      1       
4/20/95    37      13         24        62      51        11      1       
6/28/93    59      22         37        41      32         8      1       
4/3/89     46      16         30        54      38        16      *

48 (and 49). Thinking about the U.S. House of Representatives election in November in the congressional district where you live, if that election were being held today, for whom would you vote: (the Democratic candidate) or (the Republican candidate)? (If Neither, Don't Know or Refused) Who would you lean toward?

Registered voters:
Net leaned vote:

                                      Neither    Wouldn't
              Democrat   Republican   (vol.)   vote (vol.)  No opin.
1/27/02          43          50         2          1           5
9/6/00           49          42         2          1           6
7/23/00          46          45         3          1           5
2/27/00          45          46         2          1           5
10/31/99         50          43         3          1           3
9/2/99           48          44         3          *           5
3/14/99          50          41         2          1           6
2/14/99          48          41         3          1           7
1/30/99          49          39         8          1           3
11/1/98          51          43         4          *           2
10/25/98         48          43         3          1           4
10/18/98         49          44         3          1           4
9/28/98          49          44         2          *           4
8/21/98          48          45         3          1           3
7/12/98          47          45         2          *           6
1/31/98          49          40         2          1           8
1/19/98          47          44         3          1           5
10/8/96          51          41         2          1           5
9/29/96          48          41         3          1           7
9/22/96          50          43         2          1           4
9/15/96          49          45         1          1           4
9/4/96           48          44         3          *           5
8/29/96          53          39         3          1           5
8/28/96          51          40         3          1           5
8/27/96          51          41         3          0           5
8/26/96          51          41         3          0           5
8/25/96          48          43         3          1           6
8/24/96          47          43         2          1           6
8/19/96          49          42         3          0           6
8/18/96          45          46         3          0           6
8/15/96          46          43         4          1           5
8/14/96          48          42         3          1           6
8/13/96          49          43         3          0           5
8/12/96          49          42         3          1           5
8/11/96          49          40         4          1           6
8/10/96          49          41         4          1           5
8/4/96           48          45         2          1           4
6/30/96          49          44         3          *           3
5/22/96          52          41         3          1           3
3/10/96          51          43         2          *           4
1/21/96          52          43         3          1           1
10/1/95          49          44         3          *           3
11/6/94          47          42         5          2           5
10/31/94         48          44         4          1           3
10/23/94         50          45         2          1           2
10/9/94          46          47         3          2           2
9/11/94          50          45         1          1           4
8/7/94           49          42         4          1           4
2/27/94          50          40         8          1           2
10/21/91         51          41         4          *           4
7/28/91          49          41         6          *           3
6/2/91           48          42         4          1           5
11/4/90          51          41         5          *           3
10/14/90         50          41         5          *           3
9/9/90           47          46         3          *           3
7/24/90          51          41         4          1           4
5/21/90          47          45         5          1           2
9/21-10/10/88    52          41         2          1           4
9/19/88          51          39         3          1           6
6/22/85          48          44         5          *           3
10/16/84         52          44         2         NA           5
9/11/84          53          45         2         NA           1
7/8/84           58          40         2         NA           1
10/27/82         58          39        NA         NA           3
10/11/82         55          36        NA         NA           9
9/13/82          58          36        NA         NA           6
11/22/81         53          41        NA         NA           7

Likely voters:
Net leaned vote:

                                      Neither   Wouldn't
                  Democrat Republican (vol.)   vote (vol.)  No opin.
9/6/00               47        46        2         *           5
11/98     ACTUAL     47.8      48.9
11/1/98   44% VAP    49        46        3         *           1
11/1/98   36% VAP    46        48        4         *           1
10/25/98  41% VAP    49        47        1         *           2
10/25/98  33% VAP    47        50        1         *           2
10/18/98  40% VAP    48        47        2         *           2
9/28/98   42% VAP    46        49        2         *           3
11/96     ACTUAL     48.5      48.9
10/8/96              48        44        2         1           5
9/29/96              48        43        3         1           6
9/22/96              50        44        2         *           4
9/15/96              47        48        2         *           3
9/4/96               47        46        3         *           4
8/29/96              53        39        3         0           5
8/28/96              49        41        3         0           6
8/27/96              50        43        3         0           5
8/26/96              49        43        3         0           5
8/25/96              46        45        3         0           5
8/24/96              45        46        2         0           6
8/19/96              47        45        2         0           6
8/18/96              45        47        3         0           5
8/15/96              46        44        4         1           5
8/14/96              46        44        3         1           6
8/13/96              47        45        3         0           5
8/12/96              48        44        3         0           5
8/11/96              48        41        5         0           6
8/10/96              47        43        4         1           5
8/4/96               48        46        1         1           4
11/94     ACTUAL     44.7      51.5
11/6/94              46        44        4         1           4
11/6/94   41% VAP    47        45        3         1           3
11/6/94   28% VAP    46        47        3         2           2
10/31/94             48        45        3         *           3
10/31/94  45% VAP    47        47        3         *           3
10/23/94             49        47        1         *           2
10/23/94  41% VAP    46        51        1         *           2
10/9/94              47        49        3         1           1
11/92     ACTUAL     49.9      44.8
11/90     ACTUAL     52        43.9
11/4/90              52        41        5         *           3
10/14/90             48        43        5         0           3
9/9/90               47        45        3         *           4
7/24/90              52        40        4         *           3
11/88     ACTUAL     53.2      45.3
11/86     ACTUAL     54.1      44.2
11/84     ACTUAL     52.2      46.5
10/16/84             51        45        2         NA          4
9/11/84              51        46        1         NA          1
7/8/84               54        44        2         NA          *
11/82     ACTUAL     55        43.2
10/27/82             59        39        NA        NA          2
10/11/82             55        38        NA        NA          7
11/80     ACTUAL     50.3      47.6
11/78     ACTUAL     53.4      44.7
11/76     ACTUAL     55.5      42.2

Source for actual vote:
1998-96, "America Votes." 1994-1976, Clerk of the House

50. One last issue question...do you think the federal government should or should not allow oil drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge in Alaska?

               Yes    No    No opinion
1/27/02         48    48         4 
1/15/01         38    56         5 
5/13/89*        26    60        13 
*"Do you think the federal government should
allow new oil drilling..."

51. Have you or any of your close friends or family members lost a job in the last six months?

               Yes    No    No opinion
1/27/02         37    63         * 

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