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Washingtonpost.com - ABC News Poll: Powell's U.N. Address

Thursday, February 6, 2003

The latest Washingtonpost.com-ABC News poll is based on telephone interviews with 504 randomly selected adults nationwide and was conducted Wednesday evening, February 5. The margin of sampling error for overall results is plus or minus 5 percentage points. Sampling error is only one of many potential sources of error in this or any other public opinion poll. Results of overnight polls that attempt to measure opinions about fast-changing news events should be interpreted with extra caution. Interviewing was conducted by TNS Intersearch of Horsham, Pa.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq and Saddam Hussein?

            Approve     Disapprove     No opinion
2/5/03        61            32              7
2/1/03        61            35              3
1/28/03       58            38              4
1/27/03       57            40              3
1/20/03       50            46              4
12/15/02      58            37              5
11/4/02  LV   56            40              4
11/3/02  LV   57            40              4
11/2/02  LV   56            41              3
10/27/02 All  57            38              5
10/27/02 LV   61            37              3
9/26/02       58            39              3
9/14/02       65            31              4
8/29/02       52            36             12

2. Would you favor or oppose having U.S. forces take military action against Iraq to force Saddam Hussein from power? Would you say you favor/oppose military action against Iraq strongly or only somewhat?

            ----------Favor----------   ----------Oppose----------    No
            NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Strongly   Somewhat    opin.
2/5/03      67       45         22      27       17         11         6
2/1/03      66       48         19      31       18         14         3
1/28/03     63       43         19      32       20         13         5
1/27/03     61       40         21      36       21         15         3
1/20/03     57       40         17      41       25         16         3
12/15/02    62       41         20      35       20         15         3
11/17/02    64       NA         NA      29       NA         NA         7
9/26/02     61       NA         NA      34       NA         NA         5
9/14/02     68       NA         NA      29       NA         NA         3
8/29/02     56       NA         NA      34       NA         NA        10
8/11/02     69       NA         NA      22       NA         NA         9
3/10/02     72       NA         NA      24       NA         NA         4      
2/21/02     67       46         21      30       12         18         4
1/27/02     71       NA         NA      24       NA         NA         4
12/19/01    72       NA         NA      24       NA         NA         5
11/27/01    78       NA         NA      17       NA         NA         6
10/11/94*   72       NA         NA      23       NA         NA         5
1/15/93**   82       NA         NA      15       NA         NA         3 
8/21/92 RV  65       NA         NA      30       NA         NA         5 
2/9/92      62       NA         NA      35       NA         NA         3
4/22/91     51       NA         NA      43       NA         NA         6
4/5/91      54       NA         NA      37       NA         NA         9
3/15/91     57       NA         NA      38       NA         NA         5
*10/11/94 and previous: Gallup
**1/15/93 and previous: Would you support or oppose having U.S. forces 
resume military action...?  

3. (IF FAVOR, Q2) What if the United Nations opposes such action - in that case would you favor or oppose having U.S. forces take military action against Iraq?

Q2/3 NET

            Favor     Oppose     No opinion
2/5/03        49        46             5
2/1/03        51        46             3
1/28/03       46        50             4
1/27/03       44        52             3

Compare to:

Would you favor or oppose having U.S. forces take military action against Iraq, even if the United Nations opposes such action?

            Favor     Oppose     No opinion
12/15/02      37        58             5             

4. Do you think the Bush administration has or has not presented enough evidence to show why the United States should use military force to remove Saddam Hussein from power?

            Enough    Not enough     No opinion
2/5/03        61          34              5
2/1/03        54          41              4
1/20/03       48          47              6

5. Secretary of State Colin Powell addressed the United Nations about Iraq today. Did you happen to watch or listen to that speech, or hear or read any news reports about it, or not?

           Yes     No     No opinion
2/5/03     61      39          0 

6. Do you think Powell did or did not make a convincing case for going to war with Iraq?

            Yes     No     No opinion
2/5/03     50      19          31

7. Overall, do you think Powell presented hard evidence PROVING that Iraq has weapons of mass destruction; or circumstantial evidence SUGGESTING that Iraq has these weapons, but not proving it?

             Hard       Circumstantial        No
           evidence        evidence        opinion
2/5/03        42              31              26

8. Do you think the United States has or has not presented strong evidence showing that Iraq (READ ITEM)?

2/5/03 Summary Table:


                                            Has     Has not     No opin.
a. has chemical and biological weapons      71         23           6

b. is trying to develop nuclear weapons     61         30          10 

c. has provided direct support to the 
   Al Qaeda terrorist group                 49         37          14

d. is not cooperating with the United 
   Nations weapons inspectors               73         22           4

9. Before deciding whether to attack Iraq, how much longer do you think the administration should give the United Nations weapons inspectors to search for chemical, biological and nuclear weapons there - a few weeks, a few months, or more than that?

             Less than a        A few     A few         More        No
           few weeks (vol.)     weeks     months     than that     opin.
2/5/03            15              44        28           10          3
2/1/03            10              41        33           13          3

10. What do you think is more important - (for the United States to move quickly against Iraq, even if that means acting without international support); or (for the United States to gain international support, even if that delays action against Iraq)?

             Move        Gain          No
            quickly     support     opinion
2/5/03         41          55          5
1/27/03        31          64          5

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