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Washington Post - ABC News Poll: Iraq Tuesday, February 11, 2003 The latest Washington Post-ABC News poll is based on telephone interviews with 1,001 randomly selected adults nationwide, and was conducted Feb. 6-9, 2003. The margin of sampling error for overall results is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Sampling error is only one of many potential sources of error in this or any other public opinion poll. Interviewing was conducted by TNS Intersearch of Horsham, Pa. *= less than 0.5 percent 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? ---------Approve--------- --------Disapprove------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Strongly Somewhat opin.
2/9/03 64 42 21 34 20 14 3
2/1/03 62 41 21 34 22 13 4
1/28/03 62 43 19 36 23 13 2
1/27/03 59 39 21 37 22 15 4
1/20/03 59 36 23 38 22 16 2
12/15/02 66 37 28 32 20 12 2
11/4/02 LV 67 45 23 31 20 12 1
11/3/02 LV 67 45 22 32 20 12 1
11/2/02 LV 67 47 20 32 23 9 1
10/27/02 All 67 39 28 29 16 13 4
10/27/02 LV 68 47 21 30 16 14 3
9/26/02 67 42 25 30 18 12 3
9/8/02 71 42 28 27 15 12 3
7/28/02 69 39 31 28 14 14 3
7/15/02 72 42 31 25 13 12 2
6/17/02 74 42 32 22 13 9 4
6/9/02 77 41 36 20 11 9 3
5/19/02 76 48 28 22 13 8 3
4/21/02 78 47 31 20 10 9 2
3/28/02 79 49 30 18 10 8 3
3/10/02 82 52 30 16 7 9 2
1/27/02 83 56 27 14 7 7 3
12/19/01 86 64 22 12 6 6 2
11/27/01 89 69 21 9 5 4 1
11/6/01 89 65 24 9 4 5 2
10/9/01 92 76 16 6 3 3 1
9/27/01 90 70 20 6 3 3 4
9/13/01 86 63 23 12 6 5 2
9/9/01 55 26 29 41 22 20 3
8/12/01 61 28 33 31 17 14 8
7/30/01 59 28 30 38 22 17 3
6/3/01 55 27 28 40 22 18 6
4/22/01 63 33 30 32 16 16 5
3/25/01 58 NA NA 33 NA NA 8
2/25/01 55 NA NA 23 NA NA 22
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bush is handling: 2/9/03 - Summary Table*
Approve Disapprove No op.
a. The situation with Iraq and
Saddam Hussein 61 37 2
b. The economy 47 49 4
c. The U.S. campaign against terrorism 74 23 4
d. The federal budget 45 45 10
e. The situation with North Korea 50 36 14
*All respondents asked item a. Half sample asked b-c, other half asked d-e.
Trend:
a. The situation with Iraq and Saddam Hussein
Approve Disapprove No opinion
2/9/03 61 37 2
2/5/03 All 61 32 7
Watched Powell* 65 31 5
Didn't watch 55 35 10
2/1/03 61 35 3
1/28/03 58 38 4
1/27/03 57 40 3
1/20/03 50 46 4
12/15/02 58 37 5
11/4/02 LV 56 40 4
11/3/02 LV 57 40 4
11/2/02 LV 56 41 3
10/27/02 All 57 38 5
10/27/02 LV 61 37 3
9/26/02 58 39 3
9/14/02 65 31 4
8/29/02 52 36 12
*Listened, watched, heard or read about it
b. The economy
Approve Disapprove No opinion
2/9/03 47 49 4
2/1/03 44 52 4
1/28/03 46 49 4
1/27/03 47 47 5
1/20/03 43 53 4
1/5/03 50 43 7
12/15/02 50 46 4
11/4/02 LV 53 45 2
11/3/02 LV 52 46 2
11/2/02 LV 55 43 2
10/27/02 51 43 6
10/27/02 LV 53 44 3
9/26/02 51 47 3
9/8/02 57 40 4
7/28/02 57 39 4
7/15/02 58 38 3
4/21/02 64 33 3
1/27/02 62 34 4
12/19/01 67 27 6
11/6/01 72 23 5
9/9/01 48 48 4
7/30/01 52 45 3
6/3/01 53 41 6
4/22/01 55 38 7
3/25/01 50 42 8
c. The U.S. campaign against terrorism
---------Approve--------- --------Disapprove------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Strongly Somewhat opin.
2/9/03 74 NA NA 23 NA NA 4
2/1/03 75 NA NA 21 NA NA 3
1/27/03 72 NA NA 26 NA NA 2
1/20/03 71 NA NA 25 NA NA 4
12/15/02 79 NA NA 20 NA NA 1
11/4/02 LV 76 NA NA 22 NA NA 1
11/3/02 LV 77 NA NA 22 NA NA 3
11/2/02 LV 78 NA NA 21 NA NA 2
10/27/02 All 74 NA NA 23 NA NA 4
10/27/02 LV 78 NA NA 20 NA NA 2
9/26/02 70 NA NA 28 NA NA 2
9/8/02 74 NA NA 24 NA NA 2
7/28/02 81 NA NA 17 NA NA 2
7/15/02 83 NA NA 15 NA NA 2
5/19/02 79 51 27 19 10 9 3
4/21/02 81 56 25 18 10 7 2
3/10/02 88 64 24 10 5 5 2
1/27/02 88 NA NA 10 NA NA 2
12/19/01 89 67 22 9 5 4 2
10/15/01 92 75 17 5 3 3 3
d. The federal budget
Approve Disapprove No opinion
2/9/03 45 45 10
2/1/03 47 46 8
1/20/03 43 47 10
7/15/02 50 42 8
1/27/02 59 30 12
9/9/01 46 48 6
7/30/01 53 42 5
e. The situation with North Korea
Approve Disapprove No opinion
2/9/03 50 36 14
1/20/03 54 36 10
3. In general, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States at this time?
Satisfied Dissatisfied No opinion
2/9/03 49 49 2
7/30/01 53 47 1
11/4/00 LV 61 36 3
11/3/00 LV 61 35 4
11/2/00 LV 62 35 4
4. Which of these two nations do you think poses a greater threat to the United States - (North Korea) or (Iraq)?
North Both Neither No
Korea Iraq (vol.) (vol.) opin.
2/9/03 33 56 7 1 3
1/5/03 35 55 7 2 2
5. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good or poor? ----Excellent/Good----- -----Not so good/Poor----- No
NET Excellent Good NET Not so good Poor op.
2/9/03 28 1 27 72 49 23 *
1/20/03 25 1 25 74 48 26 1
12/15/02 35 1 33 65 44 21 1
11/4/02 LV 28 1 27 72 55 17 1
11/3/02 LV 27 1 26 72 56 17 1
11/2/02 LV 29 1 28 71 54 17 *
9/26/02 31 2 28 69 50 19 *
7/15/02 39 3 36 61 44 17 1
2/21/02 30 1 29 69 51 18 *
1/27/02 31 1 29 69 50 19 *
9/20/01 38 3 35 60 47 14 2
9/9/01 33 1 32 66 47 19 *
7/30/01 50 3 46 50 39 12 *
4/22/01 50 3 47 50 40 9 *
1/15/01 70 10 59 29 24 6 1
10/27/00 LV 86 24 61 14 11 3 *
10/26/00 LV 86 24 61 14 11 3 *
6/11/00 74 17 57 26 19 6 *
2/27/00 80 25 55 20 14 5 *
10/31/99 74 18 56 26 18 7 1
9/2/99 76 19 57 23 16 6 1
3/14/99 80 22 58 19 15 4 1
11/1/98 73 12 61 26 21 5 1
11/1/98 LV 78 13 65 22 19 3 *
10/13/97 61 12 49 39 27 11 *
6. How do you feel about (READ ITEM) - very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried or not worried at all? 2/9/03 - Summary Table:
------Worried----- ------Not worried----- No
NET Very Smwt. NET Not too At all op.
a. The situation with North Korea 71 20 51 26 18 8 3
b. The situation with Iraq 77 39 38 22 14 8 1
c. The economic situation 70 23 47 30 23 7 1
7. Would you favor or oppose having U.S. forces take military action against Iraq to force Saddam Hussein from power? Would you say you favor/oppose military action against Iraq strongly or only somewhat? ---------Favor--------- ---------Oppose-------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Strongly Somewhat op.
2/9/03 66 46 21 31 17 14 2
2/5/03 All 67 45 22 27 17 11 6
Watched Powell 71 51 20 24 15 9 5
Didn't watch 61 37 23 32 18 13 7
2/1/03 66 48 19 31 18 14 3
1/28/03 63 43 19 32 20 13 5
1/27/03 61 40 21 36 21 15 3
1/20/03 57 40 17 41 25 16 3
12/15/02 62 41 20 35 20 15 3
11/17/02 64 NA NA 29 NA NA 7
9/26/02 61 NA NA 34 NA NA 5
9/14/02 68 NA NA 29 NA NA 3
8/29/02 56 NA NA 34 NA NA 10
8/11/02 69 NA NA 22 NA NA 9
3/10/02 72 NA NA 24 NA NA 4
2/21/02 67 46 21 30 12 18 4
1/27/02 71 NA NA 24 NA NA 4
12/19/01 72 NA NA 24 NA NA 5
11/27/01 78 NA NA 17 NA NA 6
10/11/94* 72 NA NA 23 NA NA 5
1/15/93** 82 NA NA 15 NA NA 3
8/21/92 RV 65 NA NA 30 NA NA 5
2/9/92 62 NA NA 35 NA NA 3
4/22/91 51 NA NA 43 NA NA 6
4/5/91 54 NA NA 37 NA NA 9
3/15/91 57 NA NA 38 NA NA 5
*10/11/94 and previous: Gallup
**1/15/93 and previous: Would you support or oppose having U.S. forces
resume military action...?
8. (IF FAVOR, Q7) What if the United Nations opposes such action - in that case would you favor or oppose having U.S. forces take military action against Iraq? Q7/8 NET
Favor Oppose No opinion
2/9/03 50 47 3
2/5/03 All 49 46 5
Watched Powell 55 41 4
Didn't watch 41 53 6
2/1/03 51 46 3
1/28/03 46 50 4
1/27/03 44 52 3
12/15/02* 37 58 5
*Wording: Would you favor or oppose having U.S. forces take military action
against Iraq, even if the United Nations opposes such action?
Less than a A few A few More No
few weeks (vol.) weeks months than that opin.
2/5/03 15 44 28 10 3
2/1/03 10 41 33 13 3
9. (IF FAVOR, Q7) What if the United Nations opposes such action but some U.S. allies such as Great Britain, Australia and Italy support it - in that case would you favor or oppose having U.S. forces take military action against Iraq? Q7/9 NET
Favor Oppose No opinion
2/9/03 57 40 3
10. Do you think the Bush administration has or has not presented enough evidence to show why the United States should use military force to remove Saddam Hussein from power?
Enough Not enough No opinion
2/9/03 63 34 2
2/5/03 All 61 34 5
Watched Powell 70 27 3
Didn't watch 48 44 8
2/1/03 54 41 4
1/20/03 48 47 6
11. Do you think the United States has or has not presented strong evidence showing that Iraq (READ ITEM)? 2/9/03 Summary Table:
Has Has not No opin.
a. has chemical and biological weapons 69 28 3
b. is trying to develop nuclear weapons 62 33 5
c. has provided direct support to the
Al Qaeda terrorist group 55 37 8
d. is not cooperating with the United
Nations weapons inspectors 75 21 4
Trend:
a. has chemical and biological weapons
Has Has not No opin.
2/9/03 69 28 3
2/5/03 All 71 23 6
Watched Powell 78 19 3
Didn't watch 60 29 11
b. is trying to develop nuclear weapons
Has Has not No opin.
2/9/03 62 33 5
2/5/03 All 61 30 10
Watched Powell 64 28 8
Didn't watch 56 32 13
c. has provided direct support to the Al Qaeda terrorist group
Has Has not No opin.
2/9/03 55 37 8
2/5/03 All 49 37 14
Watched Powell 50 38 12
Didn't watch 47 37 17
d. is not cooperating with the United Nations weapons inspectors
Has Has not No opin.
2/9/03 75 21 4
2/5/03 All 73 22 4
Watched Powell 78 20 2
Didn't watch 66 26 8
12. Before deciding whether to attack Iraq, how much longer do you think the administration should give the United Nations weapons inspectors to search for chemical, biological and nuclear weapons there - a few weeks, a few months, or more than that? -------Weeks or less------ ---Months or more---
Less than few Few Few No
NET weeks (vol.) weeks NET months More op.
2/9/03 59 13 47 38 28 11 2
2/5/03 All 59 15 44 38 28 10 3
Watched Powell 66 18 49 31 21 10 2
Didn't watch 48 11 37 48 38 9 4
2/1/03 51 10 41 46 33 13 3
13. Do you think the U.N. inspectors will or will not be able to find hard evidence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq?
Will Will not No opin.
2/9/03 38 55 7
14. What do you think is more important - (for the United States to move quickly against Iraq, even if that means acting without international support); or (for the United States to gain international support, even if that delays action against Iraq)?
Move Gain No
quickly support opinion
2/9/03 37 59 4
2/5/03 All 41 55 5
Watched Powell 48 49 3
Didn't watch 29 64 6
1/27/03 31 64 5
15. How much of a chance do you think there is that diplomacy and negotiation can resolve the problem with Iraq - is there a good chance of that, some chance, little chance, or hardly any chance? ------Good/Some------ ------Little/Hardly any/None------
Good Some Little Hardly any None No
NET chance chance NET chance chance (vol.) opin.
2/9/03 30 7 23 69 28 35 6 1
1/20/03 38 11 27 60 25 31 5 2
16. How about in the situation involving North Korea? How much of a chance do you think there is that diplomacy and negotiation can resolve the problem with North Korea - is there a good chance of that, some chance, little chance, or hardly any chance? ------Good/Some------ ------Little/Hardly any/None------
Good Some Little Hardly any None No
NET chance chance NET chance chance (vol.) opin.
2/9/03 65 26 39 30 19 9 2 5
1/20/03 78 36 43 18 10 7 1 4
17. What's the chance you might change your mind on whether the United States should or should not attack Iraq - is there a good chance you might change your mind on that, some chance, little chance or no chance of it? ------Good/Some------ -----Little/None-----
Good Some Little No No
NET chance chance NET chance chance opin.
2/9/03 38 7 31 60 26 33 2
18. Suppose the United States goes to war with Iraq. After the war ends, do you think the United States should or should not work to rebuild and stabilize Iraq?
Should Should not No opin.
2/9/03 65 32 3
19. (IF SHOULD, Q18) What if that means the United States would need to keep 50,000 U.S. troops in Iraq for several years and would spend 15 billion dollars a year rebuilding Iraq. In that case would you favor or oppose the U.S. rebuilding Iraq? Q18/19 NET
Favor Oppose No opinion
2/9/03 37 56 7
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