Washington Post-ABC News Poll: Politics and Campaign 2004 Monday, March 8, 2004 | | | | This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone March 4-7, 2004, among 1,202 randomly selected adults nationwide. The margin of sampling error for overall results is plus or minus three percentage points. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch of Horsham, Pa. *= less than 0.5 percent 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? ---------Approve--------- --------Disapprove------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Strongly Somewhat opin.
3/7/04 50 32 18 48 36 12 2
2/11/04 50 30 21 47 34 14 2
1/18/04 58 35 24 40 30 9 2
12/21/03 59 39 21 38 23 15 3
12/14/03 57 37 20 39 29 10 5
12/7/03 53 32 21 40 27 13 7
11/16/03 57 34 23 39 28 11 4
10/29/03 56 30 26 42 29 13 2
10/13/03 53 33 20 43 29 13 4
9/30/03 54 34 20 44 29 15 2
9/13/03 58 35 23 40 27 14 2
9/7/03 56 34 22 41 28 13 4
8/11/03 59 37 22 37 23 14 4
7/10/03 59 35 24 38 25 13 3
6/22/03 68 45 23 29 18 11 4
4/30/03 71 50 22 26 9 17 3
4/16/03 74 52 22 23 14 9 3
4/9/03 77 58 19 20 14 6 4
4/3/03 71 54 16 25 19 7 4
3/23/03 68 NA NA 27 NA NA 4
3/20/03 67 NA NA 28 NA NA 5
3/2/03 62 38 23 35 22 13 4
2/23/03 60 NA NA 34 NA NA 6
2/9/03 64 42 21 34 20 14 3
2/1/03 62 41 21 34 22 13 4
1/28/03 62 43 19 36 23 13 2
1/27/03 59 39 21 37 22 15 4
1/20/03 59 36 23 38 22 16 2
12/15/02 66 37 28 32 20 12 2
11/4/02 LV 67 45 23 31 20 12 1
11/3/02 LV 67 45 22 32 20 12 1
11/2/02 LV 67 47 20 32 23 9 1
10/27/02 All 67 39 28 29 16 13 4
10/27/02 LV 68 47 21 30 16 14 3
9/26/02 67 42 25 30 18 12 3
9/8/02 71 42 28 27 15 12 3
7/28/02 69 39 31 28 14 14 3
7/15/02 72 42 31 25 13 12 2
6/17/02 74 42 32 22 13 9 4
6/9/02 77 41 36 20 11 9 3
5/19/02 76 48 28 22 13 8 3
4/21/02 78 47 31 20 10 9 2
3/28/02 79 49 30 18 10 8 3
3/10/02 82 52 30 16 7 9 2
1/27/02 83 56 27 14 7 7 3
12/19/01 86 64 22 12 6 6 2
11/27/01 89 69 21 9 5 4 1
11/6/01 89 65 24 9 4 5 2
10/9/01 92 76 16 6 3 3 1
9/27/01 90 70 20 6 3 3 4
9/13/01 86 63 23 12 6 5 2
9/9/01 55 26 29 41 22 20 3
8/12/01 61 28 33 31 17 14 8
7/30/01 59 28 30 38 22 17 3
6/3/01 55 27 28 40 22 18 6
4/22/01 63 33 30 32 16 16 5
3/25/01 58 NA NA 33 NA NA 8
2/25/01 55 NA NA 23 NA NA 22
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bush is handling (ITEM)? 3/7/04 - Summary Table*
Approve Disapprove No op.
a. The economy 39 59 1
b. The situation in Iraq 46 53 1
c. Education 50 45 5
d. Social Security 38 55 7
e. The cost, availability and coverage
of health insurance 32 62 6
f. Taxes 50 47 3
g. Creating jobs 43 54 3
h. The US campaign against terrorism 63 34 3
i. The federal budget deficit 30 65 5
j. The issue of same-sex marriage 44 52 4
k. Prescription drug benefits for
the elderly 41 49 9
l. Protecting Americans' constitutional
rights and freedoms 61 37 2 *Half sample asked items a-f, other half asked g-l. Trend where available: a. The economy
Approve Disapprove No opinion
3/7/04 39 59 1
2/11/04 44 54 2
1/18/04 51 47 2
12/21/03 51 44 5
11/16/03 48 49 3
10/29/03 45 53 2
10/13/03 45 52 2
9/13/03 42 56 3
9/7/03 44 51 5
8/11/03 45 51 5
7/10/03 47 49 4
4/30/03 52 45 3
2/9/03 47 49 4
2/1/03 44 52 4
1/28/03 46 49 4
1/27/03 47 47 5
1/20/03 43 53 4
1/5/03 50 43 7
12/15/02 50 46 4
11/4/02 LV 53 45 2
11/3/02 LV 52 46 2
11/2/02 LV 55 43 2
10/27/02 51 43 6
10/27/02 LV 53 44 3
9/26/02 51 47 3
9/8/02 57 40 4
7/28/02 57 39 4
7/15/02 58 38 3
4/21/02 64 33 3
1/27/02 62 34 4
12/19/01 67 27 6
11/6/01 72 23 5
9/9/01 48 48 4
7/30/01 52 45 3
6/3/01 53 41 6
4/22/01 55 38 7
3/25/01 50 42 8 b. The situation in Iraq
Approve Disapprove No opinion
3/7/04 46 53 7
2/11/04 47 52 1
1/18/04 55 42 2
12/21/03 60 39 2
12/14/03 58 38 4
11/16/03 48 48 4
10/29/03 47 51 2
10/13/03 51 47 2
9/29/03 50 47 3
9/13/03 52 46 2
9/7/03 49 47 4
8/24/03 56 37 7
8/11/03 56 41 3
7/10/03 58 41 2
6/22/03 67 30 2
4/30/03 75 22 2
Compare to: The situation with Iraq and Saddam Hussein
3/27/03 69 26 5
3/23/03 71 26 3
3/20/03 65 29 5
3/17/03 64 29 7
3/9/03 55 38 8
2/23/03 55 39 6
2/9/03 61 37 2
2/5/03 61 32 7
2/1/03 61 35 3
1/28/03 58 38 4
1/27/03 57 40 3
1/20/03 50 46 4
12/15/02 58 37 5
11/4/02 LV 56 40 4
11/3/02 LV 57 40 4
11/2/02 LV 56 41 3
10/27/02 57 38 5
9/26/02 58 39 3
9/14/02 65 31 4
8/29/02 52 36 12 c. Education
Approve Disapprove No opinion
3/7/04 50 45 5
2/11/04 47 45 8
1/18/04 55 37 9
12/21/03 47 37 15
10/29/03 55 38 7
9/13/03 56 39 6
4/30/03 59 34 7
12/15/02 62 30 8
9/26/02 61 32 7
7/15/02 62 31 6
1/27/02 71 21 8
9/9/01 61 32 7
7/30/01 63 31 5
6/3/01 57 35 8
4/22/01 60 28 12 d. Social Security
Approve Disapprove No opinion
3/7/04 38 55 7
10/29/03 40 46 14
9/13/03 43 46 11
4/30/03 49 38 13
12/15/02 49 38 13
9/26/02 42 43 15
7/15/02 54 35 11
1/27/02 54 28 18
9/9/01 41 50 9
7/30/01 46 48 6
6/3/01 46 40 14 e. The cost, availability and coverage of health insurance
Approve Disapprove No opinion
3/7/04 32 62 6
2/11/04 32 62 6
1/18/04 37 55 8
12/21/03 34 56 10
10/29/03 28 63 9
10/13/03 30 60 10
9/13/03 32 61 7
4/30/03 34 57 9
1/28/03 40 47 13
1/20/03 36 51 13
12/15/02 33 58 9 f. Taxes
Approve Disapprove No opinion
3/7/04 50 47 3
1/18/04 45 51 4
10/29/03 41 53 6
9/13/03 48 48 4
8/11/03 49 46 5
4/30/03 50 46 4
2/1/03 51 43 7
1/20/03 50 45 5
12/15/02 51 44 5 g. Creating jobs
Approve Disapprove No opinion
3/7/04 43 54 3
2/11/04 38 57 5
9/13/03 39 55 6 h. The US campaign against terrorism
Approve Disapprove No opinion
3/7/04 63 34 3
2/11/04 64 34 2
1/18/04 66 33 2
12/21/03 70 28 2
10/29/03 63 35 2
10/13/03 66 30 4
9/13/03 70 27 3
9/7/03 67 28 5
4/30/03 79 19 2
2/9/03 74 23 4
2/1/03 75 21 3
1/27/03 72 26 2
1/20/03 71 25 4
12/15/02 79 20 1
11/4/02 LV 76 22 1
11/3/02 LV 77 22 3
11/2/02 LV 78 21 2
10/27/02 All 74 23 4
10/27/02 LV 78 20 2
9/26/02 70 28 2
9/8/02 74 24 2
7/28/02 81 17 2
7/15/02 83 15 2
5/19/02* 79 19 3
4/21/02* 81 18 2
3/10/02* 88 10 2
1/27/02 88 10 2
12/19/01* 89 9 2
10/15/01* 92 5 3
*Asked very/somewhat follow-up i. The federal budget deficit
Approve Disapprove No opinion
3/7/04 30 65 5
1/18/04 35 58 7
12/21/03 37 52 10
10/29/03 32 61 7
Compare to: The federal budget
9/13/03 38 57 4
8/11/03 41 50 9
4/30/03 43 50 6
2/9/03 45 45 10
2/1/03 47 46 8
1/20/03 43 47 10
7/15/02 50 42 8
1/27/02 59 30 12
9/9/01 46 48 6
7/30/01 53 42 5 j. No trend. k. Prescription drug benefits for the elderly
Approve Disapprove No opinion
3/7/04 41 49 9
1/18/04 39 49 12
12/21/03 36 46 18
10/29/03 36 46 18
10/13/03 34 43 22
9/13/03 35 54 11
4/30/03 44 40 17
2/1/03 46 35 19 l. No trend. 3. How closely are you following the 2004 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all? Very Somewhat Not too Not closely No
closely closely closely at all opin.
3/7/04 33 42 18 7 *
2/11/04 30 45 15 10 *
1/18/04 22 44 22 13 *
10/29/03 15 39 30 15 0
9/13/03 16 40 27 17 * Compare to: How closely are you following the 2000 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all? Very Somewhat Not too Not closely No
closely closely closely at all opin.
Likely Voters:
11/6/00 54 38 6 2 *
11/5/00 53 38 6 2 *
11/4/00 52 39 7 2 *
11/3/00 51 40 6 3 *
11/2/00 48 42 7 3 *
11/1/00 48 43 7 2 *
10/31/00 46 44 7 2 *
10/30/00 47 44 7 2 *
10/29/00 47 43 7 3 *
10/28/00 47 42 7 3 *
10/27/00 48 41 7 4 *
10/26/00 47 42 8 3 *
10/25/00 47 42 8 3 0
10/24/00 44 43 10 3 0
10/23/00 44 45 8 3 0
10/22/00 44 44 9 3 0
10/21/00 46 41 9 4 *
10/20/00 46 40 11 4 *
10/19/00 44 41 10 4 *
10/18/00 42 45 10 3 *
10/17/00 40 46 10 3 *
Registered Voters:
10/15/00 33 44 15 8 *
10/9/00 30 45 16 9 *
10/1/00 27 48 17 8 *
9/6/00 26 48 17 9 *
8/20/00 28 46 16 10 1
8/10/00 29 43 18 11 *
General Population:
8/6/00 17 36 22 25 *
7/29/00 16 35 25 24 *
7/23/00 14 36 25 25 *
6/11/00 13 36 26 25 0
4/2/00 17 36 24 23 0
3/11/00 21 40 21 17 0
2/27/00 24 46 20 10 *
2/6/00 19 48 21 13 0
1/16/00 11 39 26 24 *
12/15/99 12 33 31 24 *
10/31/99 16 45 25 13 * 4. (ASKED OF HALF SAMPLE) If the 2004 presidential election were being held today, would you vote for (George W. Bush, the Republican), or for (John Kerry, the Democrat)? Net Leaned Vote:
Nader Oth. Neither Would No
Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) not vote op.
3/7/04 All 42 53 * * 2 2 1
RV 44 53 * * 1 1 1
2/11/04 All 43 51 NA 1 3 1 1
RV 43 52 NA 1 2 1 1
10/29/03 All 50 44 NA * 2 1 3
RV 52 43 NA 0 2 1 2
9/13/03 54 39 NA * 3 2 2
4/30/03 60 34 NA * 2 1 2 5. (ASKED OF HALF SAMPLE) If the 2004 presidential election were being held today, would you vote for (George W. Bush, the Republican), (John Kerry, the Democrat), or Ralph Nader, the independent? Net Leaned Vote:
Other Neither Would No
Bush Kerry Nader (vol.) (vol.) not vote op.
3/7/04 All 42 47 5 * 1 3 2
RV 44 48 3 * 1 2 2 6a. (ASKED OF UNLEANED BUSH SUPPORTERS) Do you support Bush strongly or not strongly? Strongly Not strongly No opinion
3/7/04 86 14 *
2/11/04 85 14 1 6b. (ASKED OF UNLEANED KERRY SUPPORTERS) Do you support Kerry strongly or not strongly? Strongly Not strongly No opinion
3/7/04 66 32 2
2/11/04 62 34 4 7a. (ASKED OF LEANED BUSH SUPPORTERS) Is your vote more for Bush or more against Kerry? For Bush Against Kerry No opinion
3/7/04 86 13 2 7b. (ASKED OF LEANED KERRY SUPPORTERS) Is your vote more for Kerry or more against Bush? For Kerry Against Bush No opinion
3/7/04 38 61 1 8. For each item I name, please tell me how important it will be in your vote for president this year. Will it be one of the single most important issues, very important, somewhat important or less important than that? 3/7/04 - Summary Table*
-----Important----- -Not as important- No
NET 1 of most Very NET Somewhat Less op.
a. The economy 79 14 65 21 18 3 *
b. The situation in Iraq 69 13 56 31 25 6 *
c. Education 64 10 54 35 28 7 *
d. Social Security 58 10 47 42 34 8 *
e. The cost, availability
and coverage of
health insurance 64 14 50 36 29 7 0
f. Taxes 62 10 52 38 32 6 *
g. Creating jobs 81 15 65 19 14 4 1
h. The US campaign
against terrorism 78 13 66 21 18 3 *
i. The federal budget
deficit 68 9 58 31 25 6 2
j. The issue of same-sex
marriage 36 5 30 64 28 35 1
k. Prescription drug
benefits for
the elderly 63 8 55 36 27 9 *
l. Protecting Americans'
constitutional
rights and freedoms 81 15 66 19 18 1 * *Half sample asked items a-f, other half asked g-l. Trend where available: a. The economy
------Important----- -Not as important- No
NET 1 of most Very NET Somewhat Less op.
3/7/04 79 14 65 21 18 3 *
10/29/03 89 16 73 10 10 * *
9/13/03 85 15 70 15 14 1 * b. The situation in Iraq
------Important----- -Not as important- No
NET 1 of most Very NET Somewhat Less op.
3/7/04 69 13 56 31 25 6 *
10/29/03 69 8 61 30 24 6 1
9/13/03 71 14 57 29 22 7 * c. Education
------Important----- -Not as important- No
NET 1 of most Very NET Somewhat Less op.
3/7/04 64 10 54 35 28 7 *
10/29/03 73 11 62 26 24 2 1
9/13/03 78 12 66 21 19 2 1 d. Social Security
------Important----- -Not as important- No
NET 1 of most Very NET Somewhat Less op.
3/7/04 58 10 47 42 34 8 *
10/29/03 66 7 59 33 27 6 *
9/13/03 67 9 58 33 29 4 * e. The cost, availability and coverage of health insurance
------Important----- -Not as important- No
NET 1 of most Very NET Somewhat Less op.
3/7/04 64 14 50 36 29 7 0
10/29/03 68 14 54 32 25 6 *
9/13/03 74 11 63 25 23 2 1 f. Taxes
------Important----- -Not as important- No
NET 1 of most Very NET Somewhat Less op.
3/7/04 62 10 52 38 32 6 *
10/29/03 63 8 55 37 32 5 *
9/13/03 67 7 60 33 29 4 * g. No trend. h. The US campaign against terrorism
------Important----- -Not as important- No
NET 1 of most Very NET Somewhat Less op.
3/7/04 78 13 66 21 18 3 *
10/29/03 68 11 57 31 24 6 1
9/13/03 75 12 63 25 22 3 * i. The federal budget deficit
------Important----- -Not as important- No
NET 1 of most Very NET Somewhat Less op.
3/7/04 68 9 58 31 25 6 2
10/29/03 59 10 50 38 30 9 2
Compare to: The federal budget
------Important----- -Not as important- No
NET 1 of most Very NET Somewhat Less op.
9/13/03 77 12 65 23 19 4 1 j. No trend. k. Prescription drug benefits for the elderly
------Important----- -Not as important- No
NET 1 of most Very NET Somewhat Less op.
3/7/04 63 8 55 36 27 9 *
10/29/03 62 7 54 38 28 10 1
9/13/03 63 12 51 36 29 7 1 l. No trend. 9. Overall, who do you trust to do a better job coping with the main problems the nation faces over the next few years, (Bush) or (Kerry)? Both Neither
Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) No opinion
3/7/04 44 49 1 4 2
1/18/04 45 44 1 6 3 Compare to: Overall, who do you trust to do a better job coping with the main problems the nation faces over the next few years, (Bush) or (the Democrats in Congress)? Both Neither
Bush Democrats (vol.) (vol.) No opinion
1/18/04 45 44 1 6 3
4/30/03 55 37 1 4 3
10/27/02 LV 53 37 1 5 4
9/26/02 LV 52 43 2 1 1
9/26/02 54 38 3 3 3
7/15/02 53 37 4 3 3
1/27/02 62 31 2 3 2 10. Who do you trust to do a better job handling (ITEM), (Bush) or (Kerry)? 3/7/04 - Summary Table*
Both Neither No
Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) op.
a. The economy 41 53 * 4 2
b. The situation in Iraq 47 48 1 3 2
c. Education 40 52 1 3 4
d. Social Security 38 54 * 5 3
e. The cost, availability and
coverage of health insurance 36 56 0 5 2
f. Taxes 43 51 1 4 2
g. Creating jobs 43 51 1 3 2
h. The US campaign against
terrorism 57 36 2 2 3
i. The federal budget deficit 38 53 2 5 3
j. The issue of same-sex
marriage 44 43 1 6 6
k. Prescription drug benefits
for the elderly 41 50 1 4 5
l. Protecting Americans'
constitutional rights
and freedoms 45 45 3 3 4 *Half sample asked items a-f, other half asked g-l. Compare to: Who do you trust to do a better job handling (ITEM), (Bush) or (the Democrats in Congress)? Trend where available: a. The economy
Both Neither No
Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) opin.
3/7/04 41 53 * 4 2
2/11/04 41 49 1 4 5 Compare to:
Both Neither No
Bush Dems (vol.) (vol.) opin.
1/18/04 43 50 1 4 3
4/30/03 51 41 2 2 3
11/6/01 51 36 5 4 5
9/9/01 44 50 1 3 2
7/30/01 47 46 1 4 1
6/3/01 44 46 2 6 2 b. The situation in Iraq
Both Neither No
Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) opin.
3/7/04 47 48 1 3 2
2/11/04 48 41 1 6 5
Compare to:
Both Neither No
Bush Dems (vol.) (vol.) opin.
1/18/04 56 36 1 4 3
4/30/03 72 20 2 3 3 c. Education
Both Neither No
Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) opin.
3/7/04 40 52 1 3 4
2/11/04 40 49 1 6 5
Compare to:
Both Neither No
Bush Dems (vol.) (vol.) opin.
1/18/04 43 44 3 6 5
4/30/03 45 46 3 2 4
9/9/01 55 36 1 3 6
7/30/01 50 42 2 4 2
6/3/01 43 43 1 7 6 d. No trend e. The cost, availability, and coverage of health insurance
Both Neither No
Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) opin.
3/7/04 36 56 0 5 2
2/11/04 34 52 1 7 6
Compare to:
Both Neither No
Bush Dems (vol.) (vol.) opin.
1/18/04 33 52 1 6 7
4/30/03 35 56 1 4 4 f. No trend. g. Creating jobs
Both Neither No
Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) opin.
3/7/04 43 51 1 3 2
2/11/04 37 51 1 5 6 Compare to: Who do you trust to do a better job creating jobs, (Bush) or (the Democrats in Congress)? Both Neither No
Bush Dems (vol.) (vol.) opin.
4/30/03 40 51 1 4 4 h. The U.S. campaign against terrorism
Both Neither No
Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) opin.
3/7/04 57 36 2 2 3
2/11/04 53 37 1 4 5
Compare to:
Both Neither No
Bush Dems (vol.) (vol.) opin.
1/18/04 60 31 2 4 3
4/30/03 72 21 3 2 3 i-l. No trend. 11. Now of the following list, which one of these will be the single most important issue in your vote for president this year: (The U.S. campaign against terrorism), (the war in Iraq), (the economy and jobs), (education), (Health care), (Medicare and prescription drugs), (Social Security) or something else? Econ./ Educ- Health Medicare/ Soc. No
Terrorism Iraq jobs ation care drugs Sec. Other op.
3/7/04 17 10 36 8 6 7 7 8 1
12/21/03* 14 9 37 12 8 6 7 6 2
*"Which one of the these will be . . ." 12. If you agreed with a presidential candidate on other issues, but not on the issue of (ITEM), could you still vote for him, or not? 3/7/04 - Summary Table*
Could Could not No
still vote still vote opinion
a. Abortion 60 38 2
b. Same-sex marriage 61 37 3
c. Gun control 75 23 3
d. The death penalty 80 16 5 13. On another subject, do you think the United States is winning or losing the war on terrorism? Winning Losing Neither/It's a draw (vol.) No opinion
3/7/04 56 27 14 3
10/6/02 47 24 21 9 14. On another subject, would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good or poor? ----Excellent/Good----- -----Not so good/Poor----- No
NET Excellent Good NET Not so good Poor op.
3/7/04 39 2 37 60 38 22 1
1/18/04 42 3 39 58 42 16 0
12/21/03 42 4 39 57 41 16 1
10/29/03 33 1 32 67 45 23 *
9/13/03 30 2 27 70 45 25 *
8/11/03 32 2 30 68 43 25 *
4/30/03 35 1 34 64 46 19 *
2/9/03 28 1 27 72 49 23 *
1/20/03 25 1 25 74 48 26 1
12/15/02 35 1 33 65 44 21 1
11/4/02 LV 28 1 27 72 55 17 1
11/3/02 LV 27 1 26 72 56 17 1
11/2/02 LV 29 1 28 71 54 17 *
9/26/02 31 2 28 69 50 19 *
7/15/02 39 3 36 61 44 17 1
2/21/02 30 1 29 69 51 18 *
1/27/02 31 1 29 69 50 19 *
9/20/01 38 3 35 60 47 14 2
9/9/01 33 1 32 66 47 19 *
7/30/01 50 3 46 50 39 12 *
4/22/01 50 3 47 50 40 9 *
1/15/01 70 10 59 29 24 6 1
10/27/00 LV 86 24 61 14 11 3 *
10/26/00 LV 86 24 61 14 11 3 *
6/11/00 74 17 57 26 19 6 *
2/27/00 80 25 55 20 14 5 *
10/31/99 74 18 56 26 18 7 1
9/2/99 76 19 57 23 16 6 1
3/14/99 80 22 58 19 15 4 1
11/1/98 73 12 61 26 21 5 1
11/1/98 LV 78 13 65 22 19 3 *
10/13/97 61 12 49 39 27 11 * 15. Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse or staying the same? Better Worse Same No opin.
3/7/04 34 29 36 1
10/29/03 32 31 37 1
9/13/03 28 31 40 *
8/11/03 32 29 38 1
1/20/03 18 38 43 1
7/28/02 17 44 39 1
7/15/02 20 36 43 2
7/7/02* 22 37 41 0
6/9/02 27 29 43 1
5/12/02 35 27 38 0
4/14/02 34 26 40 0
3/17/02 47 20 32 1
2/17/02 29 27 42 2
1/20/02 25 36 39 1
12/9/01 24 37 38 1
11/11/01 16 48 36 1
10/14/01 15 46 39 0
9/16/01 9 44 46 1
8/12/01 16 46 38 0
7/15/01 13 40 46 0
6/17/01 17 45 38 1
5/20/01 13 47 39 0
4/22/01 12 44 44 0
3/25/01 13 49 37 1
2/11/01 13 45 41 1
1/14/01 12 40 47 1
7/9/00 21 28 50 0
9/12/99 21 23 56 1
5/23/99 24 26 49 1
1/31/99 28 21 50 0
1/03/99 29 21 47 2
11/08/98 26 27 47 0
10/11/98 24 31 44 1
9/27/98 26 31 43 0
9/13/98 20 27 53 0
6/21/98 30 21 49 0
5/24/98 34 22 42 1
4/26/98 31 21 47 1
10/26/97 22 25 51 0
8/3/97 24 20 55 1
6/22/97 25 26 47 1
3/2/97 17 27 55 0
2/2/97 23 27 49 0
1/5/97 21 27 52 0
10/27/96 23 29 48 1
9/29/96 20 28 52 0
9/1/96 18 36 46 1
7/7/96 13 40 48 0
6/9/96 12 43 44 0
5/12/96 15 45 40 0
4/14/96 13 38 48 0
3/17/96 15 41 43 *
10/1/95 16 39 44 0
8/6/95 15 36 50 0
7/9/95 13 39 47 1
6/11/95 13 35 51 0
5/14/95 16 41 42 0
3/19/95 19 38 43 0
10/2/94 21 38 41 0
9/25/94 20 36 43 1
9/18/94 19 35 45 1
7/10/94 21 33 46 0
6/26/94 24 30 46 0
5/29/94 23 33 44 0
4/3/94 23 28 48 1
2/27/94 30 27 43 0
2/13/94 34 25 41 0
1/30/94 34 24 42 0
1/16/94 32 25 43 0
1/2/94 30 25 45 0
12/19/93 25 30 46 0
12/5/93 22 31 47 0
11/21/93 20 37 42 1
11/7/93 15 37 48 0
10/24/93 12 39 49 0
10/10/93 16 37 46 0
9/26/93 17 37 45 0
9/12/93 16 32 52 0
8/29/93 13 42 45 0
8/15/93 16 39 45 1
8/1/93 13 35 52 0
7/4/93 14 35 51 0
6/20/93 16 35 49 0
6/6/93 14 35 50 0
5/23/93 13 33 54 1
5/9/93 14 34 52 0
4/25/93 25 26 49 0
4/11/93 17 30 52 0
3/28/93 26 29 45 0
3/14/93 23 24 52 0
2/28/93 23 28 47 2
2/14/93 30 24 45 1
1/31/93 29 26 45 0
1/17/93 29 23 47 1
1/3/93 33 17 48 2
12/20/92 31 25 43 1
12/6/92 26 27 47 0
11/22/92 17 32 51 0
11/8/92 16 47 37 0
10/25/92 12 46 42 0
10/11/92 6 52 42 0
9/27/92 10 48 42 0
9/13/92 9 58 33 1
8/30/92 8 48 43 0
8/16/92 12 45 43 0
8/2/92 12 41 48 0
7/19/92 11 52 37 0
7/5/92 18 47 35 0
6/21/92 15 41 43 0
6/7/92 18 36 46 0
5/24/92 15 45 40 0
5/10/92 19 38 42 0
4/26/92 18 39 44 0
4/12/92 17 41 41 0
3/29/92 16 42 42 0
3/25/92 15 45 40 0
3/15/92 9 48 42 0
3/1/92 9 55 36 0
2/16/92 8 48 44 0
2/2/92 9 57 34 0
1/19/92 7 58 35 0
1/5/92 8 54 38 0
12/22/91 4 66 30 0
12/08/91 6 60 29 5
11/24/91 6 53 37 4
11/10/91 12 50 38 0
10/27/91 11 44 44 1
10/21/91 9 56 34 1
09/22/91 16 41 41 2
09/08/91 16 40 41 3
08/25/91 17 40 40 3
08/11/91 16 44 38 2
07/28/91 13 53 34 0
07/28/91 19 46 33 2
07/14/91 19 42 37 2
06/30/91 20 40 38 2
06/02/91 20 44 35 1
04/09/91 18 49 31 2
03/04/91 10 53 36 1
01/27/91 6 65 28 1
11/01/90 4 77 19 0
10/14/90 3 77 19 1
09/09/90 5 64 31 0
07/24/90 9 58 32 1
05/21/90 7 46 47 0
02/04/90 10 42 48 0
01/16/90 11 38 51 0
08/21/89 15 32 53 0
06/19/89 12 37 51 0
05/23/89 12 37 50 1
04/03/89 9 39 51 1
02/14/89 16 36 47 1
01/16/89 25 36 38 1
10/10/88 24 34 42 0
07/20/88 24 39 35 2
07/11/88 23 36 41 0
05/25/88 16 42 41 1
03/21/88 20 44 36 0
01/23/88 18 45 37 0
12/17/87 15 47 38 0
12/13/87 14 49 36 1
12/02/87 15 53 31 1
11/05/87 10 56 32 2
10/26/87 12 60 28 0
10/19/87 17 47 36 0
06/29/87 19 38 43 0
06/01/87 20 38 41 1
04/13/87 20 37 42 1
03/09/87 22 36 41 1
02/28/87 18 48 33 1
01/18/87 23 38 38 1
09/08/86 30 34 35 1
06/23/86 32 30 38 0
05/19/86 35 28 36 1
04/28/86 40 28 32 0
03/24/86 42 24 33 1
02/12/86 29 27 43 1
12/17/85 30 30 37 3
10/28/85 27 35 37 1
09/23/85 27 32 39 2
07/29/85 32 29 39 0
06/22/85 37 28 35 0
05/13/85 32 29 38 1
03/25/85 36 27 37 0
02/26/85 41 25 32 2
01/16/85 43 12 44 1
07/08/84 43 26 31 0
05/22/84 40 23 36 1
01/17/84 49 19 31 1
12/13/83 46 20 31 3
11/07/83 44 20 36 0
09/26/83 44 20 35 1
08/01/83 50 19 30 1
06/19/83 36 20 42 2
05/15/83 43 17 39 1
04/12/83 37 21 40 2
03/02/83 39 21 39 1
01/22/83 18 46 36 0
12/18/82 20 53 26 1
10/11/82 21 48 28 3
09/13/82 21 45 33 1
08/17/82 17 50 31 2
04/25/82 21 47 30 2
03/08/82 13 59 27 1
01/30/82 17 50 31 2
12/12/81 12 54 32 2
11/22/81 11 55 33 1
10/18/81 17 40 41 2
09/20/81 12 42 44 2
05/20/81 14 49 36 1
03/06/81 9 54 36 1
*7/7/02 and previous: ABC/Money 16. Would you say most Americans are better off financially than they were in 2001 when Bush became president, not as well off, or in about the same shape as then financially? Better Not as The No
off well off same opinion
3/7/04 17 43 38 1
2/11/04 14 47 38 1
1/18/04 13 42 43 2
12/21/03 17 40 41 2
10/29/03 9 49 41 1
9/13/03 9 52 38 1
4/30/03 10 48 42 1
George H. W. Bush
8/9/92 6 61 31 1
10/21/91 7 48 41 4
3/4/91 7 35 56 2
1/16/89 33 26 38 3 17. On another subject, all in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, do you think the war with Iraq was worth fighting, or not? Worth Not worth No
fighting fighting opinion
3/7/04 52 44 3
2/11/04 48 50 2
1/18/04 56 41 3
12/21/03 59 39 2
12/14/03 53 42 5
11/16/03 52 44 4
10/29/03 54 44 2
10/13/03 54 44 2
9/13/03 61 37 2
9/7/03 54 42 4
8/24/03 57 37 5
8/11/03 61 35 4
7/10/03 57 40 3
6/22/03 64 33 3
4/30/03 70 27 4
Gulf War:
2/2/92* 66 32 2
7/28/91 67 30 3
6/2/91 70 26 3
3/4/91 86 13 1
*2/2/92 and previous: "the Persian Gulf war"; 3/4/91: "this war" 18. Do you think the Bush Administration does or does not have a clear plan for handling the situation in Iraq? Does Does not No opinion
3/7/04 43 53 3
12/21/03 48 47 5
10/13/03 42 53 5
9/13/03 42 55 2
8/26/03* 44 54 2
*Gallup. 19. Do you think the war with Iraq has or has not contributed to the long- term security of the United States? IF YES: Has it contributed to the long-term security of the United States a great deal or somewhat? ----------Contributed---------- Has No
NET Great deal Somewhat not opin.
3/7/04 57 29 29 40 3
2/11/04 58 32 26 38 4
1/18/04 59 34 25 38 3
12/21/03 62 34 29 34 4
7/10/03* 62 33 29 35 3
*"did or did not" 20. Before the war began, do you think the Bush administration did or did not intentionally exaggerate its evidence that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction? Did Did not No opinion
3/7/04 55 43 2
2/11/04 54 42 5
7/10/03* 50 46 4
*"such as biological or chemical weapons" 25. Do you think Bush's views on most issues are too (liberal) for you, too (conservative) for you, or just about right? Too Too About No
liberal conservative right opin.
3/7/04 14 33 49 4
12/21/03 14 29 52 5
6/3/01 15 32 50 4
4/22/01 10 31 55 3
9/6/00 RV 12 31 51 6
7/23/00 RV 12 29 52 7
7/23/00 12 28 52 8
3/11/00 12 28 52 8
2/27/00 10 33 51 5
2/24/00 12 33 43 12
2/6/00 12 30 49 8
9/2/99 10 20 58 13
3/14/99 7 20 53 20 26. Do you think Kerry's views on most issues are too (liberal) for you, too (conservative) for you, or just about right? Too Too About No
liberal conservative right opin.
3/7/04 33 6 52 8 26a. Do you think George W. Bush is (pretty much the same as other top Republicans) or is he (a different kind of Republican)? Same Different No opin.
3/7/04 54 43 4
12/15/02 50 46 4
8/6/00 56 35 10 21. Which of these two statements comes closest to your own views: A) After four years of George W. Bush, we need to elect a president who can set the nation in a new direction. B) We need to keep the country moving in the direction Bush has been taking us. New Same Somewhere in Neither No
direction direction between (vol.) (vol.) opin.
3/7/04 57 41 1 1 1 Compare to:
Bill Clinton:
New Same Somewhere in Neither No
direction direction between (vol.) (vol.) opin.
8/6/00 48 44 2 4 2
7/23/00 46 49 2 1 2
2/27/00 48 49 1 * 1
1/26/00 44 53 1 2 1
10/31/99 47 48 3 1 1
9/2/99 47 49 2 1 2
3/14/98 39 56 3 1 1 Compare to:
President Bush:
8/9/92 74 23 * * 2
6/7/92 75 21 1 1 1
3/11/92 66 30 1 2 1
12/15/91 63 31 2 2 2
10/21/91 51 44 2 1 1 Reagan:
9/19/88 RV 51 46 1 1 1
8/14/88 58 38 2 1 1
5/25/88 57 39 2 1 2
9/23/87 55 41 2 1 1
4/13/87 56 41 1 1 1 22. Please tell me whether the following statement applies to Bush or not. 3/7/04 - Summary Table
Yes No No opin.
a. He is honest and trustworthy 54 45 1
b. He understands the problems of
people like you 41 57 2
c. He is a strong leader 63 36 1
d. He is tolerant of different
points of view 47 51 2
e. He stands up to special
interest groups 51 44 5 Trend where available: a. He is honest and trustworthy
Yes No No opin.
3/7/04 54 45 1
2/11/04 52 45 2
10/29/03 59 40 2
9/13/03 60 39 2
12/15/02 70 26 4
7/15/02 71 26 3
7/30/01 63 34 3
4/22/01 62 32 6
11/5/00 LV 60 33 7
11/4/00 LV 61 33 7
10/24/00 LV 65 30 5
10/15/00 LV 57 34 9
10/15/00 RV 53 35 12
9/6/00 RV 62 30 7
7/23/00 RV 61 30 8
7/23/00 59 31 10
12/15/99 63 28 9
10/31/99 68 22 10
9/2/99 63 23 14
3/14/99 67 12 22 b. He understands the problems of people like you
Yes No No opin.
3/7/04 41 57 2
2/11/04 41 57 2
1/18/04 43 56 1
12/21/03 45 53 2
10/29/03 40 58 2
9/13/03 48 51 1
4/30/03 51 48 1
12/15/02 51 47 2
7/15/02 57 41 2
1/27/02 61 37 2
7/30/01 45 54 2
4/22/01 47 51 2
11/4/00 LV 49 46 5
10/24/00 LV 50 46 3
10/15/00 RV 46 46 7
10/9/00 RV 50 44 6
9/6/00 RV 47 49 4
8/20/00 RV 50 46 5
7/23/00 RV 44 51 5
7/23/00 44 51 5
6/11/00 48 47 5
4/2/00 48 46 6
3/11/00 47 47 6
2/27/00 43 51 6
2/6/00 43 52 5
1/16/00 46 49 6
12/15/99 47 46 7
10/31/99 54 39 7
9/2/99 50 39 11
3/14/99 52 27 21 c. He is a strong leader
Yes No No opin.
3/7/04 63 36 1
2/11/04 61 38 1
12/21/03 67 32 2
10/29/03 62 37 1
9/13/03 66 34 *
4/30/03 74 25 *
12/15/02 75 23 2
7/15/02 75 24 1
7/30/01 55 43 2
4/22/01 53 42 5
10/9/00 RV 62 33 5
9/6/00 RV 65 28 7
8/20/00 RV 65 29 5
8/10/00 RV 67 29 5
7/23/00 RV 61 33 6
7/23/00 62 32 5
6/11/00 65 30 6
4/2/00 68 27 5
3/11/00 63 31 6
2/27/00 62 32 6
2/6/00 65 30 7
1/16/00 65 28 7
12/15/99 67 26 7
10/31/99 77 18 5
9/2/99 70 18 12
3/14/99 68 13 20 d,e. No trend. 23. Please tell me whether the following statement applies to Kerry or not. 3/7/04 - Summary Table
Yes No No opin.
a. He is honest and trustworthy 59 30 11
b. He understands the problems of
people like you 58 34 8
c. He is a strong leader 61 29 10
d. He is tolerant of different
points of view 73 17 9
e. He stands up to special
interest groups 54 30 16 24. How do you personally feel about the Bush administration's policies - (enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not angry, or angry)? ---------Positive--------- --------Negative--------- No
NET Enthus. Satis. NET Dissat. Angry op.
3/7/04 49 14 35 51 28 22 *
1/18/04 54 12 42 45 31 15 1
12/21/03 57 16 41 42 29 12 1 27. Do you think Bush cares more about protecting the interests of (ordinary working people) or cares more about protecting the interests of (large business corporations)? Ordinary Large Both Neither No
people corporations (vol.) (vol.) opin.
3/7/04 26 67 4 2 2
12/21/03 29 58 7 3 3
7/15/02 37 50 8 1 4
4/22/01 28 60 5 1 5
3/25/01 31 61 3 1 4 28. Do you think Kerry cares more about protecting the interests of (ordinary working people) or cares more about protecting the interests of (large business corporations)? Ordinary Large Both Neither No
people corporations (vol.) (vol.) opin.
3/7/04 60 23 2 6 10 29. Overall do you think Bush has done more to (unite the country), or has done more to (divide the country)? Unite Divide No opin.
3/7/04 48 49 3
12/21/03 58 36 6 30. Regardless of how you might vote, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of (CANDIDATE) or perhaps you don't know enough to say. 3/7/04 Summary Table
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion
a. John Kerry 54 26 20
b. George W. Bush 47 46 7
c. Ralph Nader 23 43 34
d. Dick Cheney 35 43 23 Trend where available: a. John Kerry
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion
Registered Voters:
3/7/04 53 28 18
General Population:
3/7/04 54 26 20 b. George W. Bush
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion
Registered Voters:
3/7/04 48 47 4
9/6/00* 58 31 11
6/11/00 54 29 17
General Population:
3/7/04 47 46 7
6/11/00* 50 28 22
4/2/00 50 31 19
2/27/00 49 39 11
10/31/99 69 24 8
9/2/99 61 23 16
6/6/99 54 15 30
3/14/99 54 14 32
2/14/99 51 13 36
1/19/98 34 13 53 * Questions on this and preceding dates included phrase, "Or don't you know enough to say" c. Ralph Nader
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion
Registered Voters:
3/7/04 22 46 31
9/6/00* 31 29 39
7/23/00 30 28 42
General Population:
3/7/04 23 43 34
7/23/00* 29 27 44 * Questions on this and preceding dates included phrase, "Or don't you know enough to say" d. Dick Cheney
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion
Registered Voters:
3/7/04 35 45 19
9/6/00* 42 20 38
7/29/00 34 11 55
General Population:
3/7/04 35 43 23
7/29/00* 29 10 60 * Questions on this and preceding dates included phrase, "Or don't you know enough to say" 31. Do you approve or disapprove of the decision by Ralph Nader to run for president? Approve Disapprove No opinion
3/7/04 39 52 10 33. Do you think Bush should keep Dick Cheney as his vice presidential running mate, or pick someone else? Keep Cheney Pick someone else No opinion
3/7/04 56 36 8 34. Suppose that John Kerry wins the Democratic nomination for president. Overall, how satisfied would you be with Kerry as the nominee: Very satisfied, fairly satisfied, not too satisfied or not satisfied at all? -----Satisfied---- ------Not satisfied-----
NET Very Fairly NET Not too Not at all No op.
3/7/04 88 49 39 11 9 3 1 35. On another subject, do you think homosexual couples SHOULD or SHOULD NOT be allowed to form legally recognized civil unions, giving them the legal rights of married couples in areas such as health insurance, inheritance and pension coverage? ---------Should-------- -------Should not------
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly No op.
3/7/04 51 32 19 46 9 37 3
2/22/04 45 30 16 48 7 41 7
1/18/04 46 NA NA 51 NA NA 4
9/7/03 40 NA NA 51 NA NA 9 36. Do you think it should be legal or illegal for homosexual couples to get married? ---------Legal-------- --------Illegal--------
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly No op.
3/7/04 38 24 14 59 11 48 3
2/22/04 39 25 13 55 6 49 6
1/18/04 41 NA NA 55 NA NA 4
9/7/03 37 NA NA 55 NA NA 7 37. (ASKED OF HALF SAMPLE) (Would you support amending the U.S. Constitution to make it against the law for homosexual couples to get married anywhere in the U.S.), or (should each state make its own laws on homosexual marriage)? ---Support amendment-- -------State laws------
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly No op.
3/7/04 44 39 5 53 19 34 3
2/22/04* 46 38 8 45 15 31 9
1/18/04 38 NA NA 58 NA NA 3
*2/22/04 and previous "to make it illegal for" 38. (ASKED OF HALF SAMPLE) (Would you support amending the U.S. Constitution to make it illegal for homosexual couples to get married anywhere in the U.S.), or (should each state make its own laws on homosexual marriage)? ---Support amendment-- -------State laws------
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly No op.
3/7/04 43 38 5 54 17 36 3
2/22/04 46 38 8 45 15 31 9
1/18/04 38 NA NA 58 NA NA 3 Q37/38 NET Full Sample. ---Support amendment-- -------State laws------
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly No op.
3/7/04 44 39 5 53 18 35 3 39. Are you - or do you have a close friend or relative - who is homosexual, or not? Both resp. No
Resp. Friend/Relative and friend/rel. No op.
3/7/04 6 40 * 53 *
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