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Washington Post - ABC News Poll: Bush's Speech

Tuesday, March 18, 2003

The latest Washington Post-ABC News poll is based on telephone interviews with 510 randomly selected adults nationwide and was conducted Monday evening, March 17, following President Bush's speech to the nation. The margin of sampling error for overall results is plus or minus 5 percentage points. Sampling error is only one of many potential sources of error in this or any other public opinion poll. Results of overnight polls that attempt to measure opinions about fast-changing news events should be interpreted with extra caution. Interviewing was conducted by TNS Intersearch of Horsham, Pa.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq and Saddam Hussein?

                          Approve     Disapprove     No opinion                
3/17/03                     64            29              7
3/9/03                      55            38              8
2/23/03                     55            39              6                    
2/9/03                      61            37              2                    
2/5/03 All                  61            32              7                    
       Watched Powell*      65            31              5                    
       Didn't watch         55            35             10                    
2/1/03                      61            35              3                    
1/28/03                     58            38              4                    
1/27/03                     57            40              3                    
1/20/03                     50            46              4                    
12/15/02                    58            37              5                    
11/4/02  LV                 56            40              4                    
11/3/02  LV                 57            40              4                    
11/2/02  LV                 56            41              3                    
10/27/02 All                57            38              5                    
10/27/02 LV                 61            37              3                    
9/26/02                     58            39              3                    
9/14/02                     65            31              4                    
8/29/02                     52            36             12

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the United Nations is handling the situation with Iraq and Saddam Hussein?

          Approve     Disapprove     No opinion      
3/17/03     20            75              5                                               
2/23/03     38            56              6                                               

3. Would you support or oppose the United States going to war with Iraq? Would you support/oppose it strongly or only somewhat?

         ---------Support---------    ----------Oppose---------       
         NET   Strongly   Somewhat    NET   Strongly   Somewhat    No opin.   
3/17/03  71       54         16       27       19          8          3    
3/9/03   59       40         19       35       21         14          6    
Compare to: The Bush administration says it will move soon to disarm Iraq and remove Saddam Hussein from power, by war if necessary, working with countries that are willing to assist, even without the support of the United Nations. Overall, do you support or oppose this policy? (IF SUPPORT) Do you support it with reservations or without reservations?
         --------------Support---------------                                  
         NET   W/o reserv.  With reserv.   DK   Oppose   No opinion            
3/2/03   59        34           24         1      37          4                   

4. As you may know, today the Bush administration said it would NOT have the United Nations Security Council vote on war with Iraq. The U.S. might have lost the vote, and France said it would veto the resolution anyway.

Do you support or oppose the Bush administration's decision NOT to have the U.N. Security Council vote on war with Iraq?

            Support     Oppose     No opinion
3/17/03        66         29            5

5. In a speech tonight, Bush said the United States will go to war with Iraq unless Saddam Hussein and other Iraqi leaders leave their country within 48 hours. If they don't leave, would you support or oppose the United States going to war with Iraq right after the 48-hour deadline?

            Support     Oppose     No opinion
3/17/03        72         24            3

6. (Would you prefer it if the Bush administration waits longer before attacking Iraq), or (is the 48-hour deadline about right)?

            Wait longer     48 hours     No opinion
3/17/03          28            68             3

7. In exchange for their leaving Iraq, do you think the United States should or should not offer Saddam Hussein and his sons amnesty and not prosecute them for any crimes they may have committed?

            Yes     No     No opinion
3/17/03     20      74          6

8. Do you think the Bush Administration has or has not done enough to try to win support from other countries for taking military action against Iraq?

            Has done     Has not done        No
             enough         enough        opinion 
3/17/03        72             25             3 
12/15/02       66             31             3                                 
9/14/02        54             41             5   

9. Do you think there's a practical way to disarm Iraq and remove Saddam Hussein from power without going to war, or do you think going to war is the only practical way to disarm Iraq and remove Saddam Hussein from power?

            Can disarm     Disarm only     Don't need to        No
              w/o war        with war      disarm (vol.)     opinion  
3/17/03         23              71               1              5

10. (HALF SAMPLE) France led opposition in the United Nations to U.S. policy on Iraq. In the future, do you think the United States should (continue its usual relationship with France), or do you think the United States should (show LESS cooperation and support for France)?

            Continue      Show less      Show more        No
            as usual     cooperation      (vol.)       opinion
3/17/03        57             35             0            8

11. (HALF SAMPLE) In the future, do you think the United States should (continue its usual relationship with the United Nations), or do you think the United States should (show LESS cooperation and support for the United Nations)?

            Continue      Show less      Show more        No
            as usual     cooperation      (vol.)       opinion
3/17/03        70             21             5            5

12. How confident are you that Bush's policy on Iraq is the right one for the United States - very confident, fairly confident, not so confident or not confident at all?

            -----Confident-----   ----Not confident----      No
            NET   Very   Fairly   NET   Not so   At all     opin.  
3/17/03     69     41      28     30      14       16         1

13. In the short term, do you think going to war with Iraq will increase or decrease the risk of further terrorism in the United States?

                                      No difference        No
            Increase     Decrease         (vol.)        opinion
3/17/03        62           26              7              4

14. In the long term, do you think going to war with Iraq will increase or decrease the risk of further terrorism in the United States?

                                      No difference        No
            Increase     Decrease         (vol.)        opinion
3/17/03        39           48              6              6

15. Did you happen to watch or listen to any of Bush's speech on Iraq tonight, or not?

            Yes     No     No opinion
3/17/03     72      28           *

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