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Washington Post-ABC News Poll: Iraqi War - Day Four

Monday, March 24, 2003

The latest Washington Post-ABC News poll is based on telephone interviews with 580 randomly selected adults nationwide, including an oversample of 69 African Americans, and was conducted Sunday evening, March 23. The margin of sampling error for overall results is plus or minus 4 percentage points. Sampling error is only one of many potential sources of error in this or any other public opinion poll. Results of overnight polls that attempt to measure opinions about fast-changing news events should be interpreted with extra caution. Interviewing was conducted by TNS Intersearch of Horsham, Pa.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

             ---------Approve---------   --------Disapprove-------    No       
             NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Strongly   Somewhat   opin.     
3/23/03      68       NA         NA      27       NA         NA        4
3/20/03      67       NA         NA      28       NA         NA        5
3/2/03       62       38         23      35       22         13        4
2/23/03      60       NA         NA      34       NA         NA        6
2/9/03       64       42         21      34       20         14        3
2/1/03       62       41         21      34       22         13        4
1/28/03      62       43         19      36       23         13        2
1/27/03      59       39         21      37       22         15        4
1/20/03      59       36         23      38       22         16        2
12/15/02     66       37         28      32       20         12        2
11/4/02  LV  67       45         23      31       20         12        1
11/3/02  LV  67       45         22      32       20         12        1
11/2/02  LV  67       47         20      32       23          9        1
10/27/02 All 67       39         28      29       16         13        4
10/27/02 LV  68       47         21      30       16         14        3
9/26/02      67       42         25      30       18         12        3
9/8/02       71       42         28      27       15         12        3
7/28/02      69       39         31      28       14         14        3
7/15/02      72       42         31      25       13         12        2
6/17/02      74       42         32      22       13          9        4
6/9/02       77       41         36      20       11          9        3
5/19/02      76       48         28      22       13          8        3
4/21/02      78       47         31      20       10          9        2
3/28/02      79       49         30      18       10          8        3
3/10/02      82       52         30      16        7          9        2
1/27/02      83       56         27      14        7          7        3
12/19/01     86       64         22      12        6          6        2
11/27/01     89       69         21       9        5          4        1
11/6/01      89       65         24       9        4          5        2
10/9/01      92       76         16       6        3          3        1
9/27/01      90       70         20       6        3          3        4
9/13/01      86       63         23      12        6          5        2
9/9/01       55       26         29      41       22         20        3
8/12/01      61       28         33      31       17         14        8
7/30/01      59       28         30      38       22         17        3
6/3/01       55       27         28      40       22         18        6
4/22/01      63       33         30      32       16         16        5
3/25/01      58       NA         NA      33       NA         NA        8
2/25/01      55       NA         NA      23       NA         NA       22

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bush is handling the situation with Iraq and Saddam Hussein?

                  Approve     Disapprove     No opinion                
3/23/03             71            26              3
3/20/03             65            29              5
3/17/03             64            29              7
3/9/03              55            38              8
2/23/03             55            39              6                    
2/9/03              61            37              2                    
2/5/03              61            32              7                    
2/1/03              61            35              3                    
1/28/03             58            38              4                    
1/27/03             57            40              3                    
1/20/03             50            46              4                    
12/15/02            58            37              5                    
11/4/02  LV         56            40              4                    
11/3/02  LV         57            40              4                    
11/2/02  LV         56            41              3                    
10/27/02 All        57            38              5                    
10/27/02 LV         61            37              3                    
9/26/02             58            39              3                    
9/14/02             65            31              4                    
8/29/02             52            36             12

3. Do you support or oppose the United States having gone to war with Iraq? Do you support/oppose it strongly or only somewhat?

           ---------Support---------    ----------Oppose---------       
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat    NET   Strongly   Somewhat    No op.   
3/23/03    72       55         17       26       16         10         2    
3/20/03    72       53         19       26       18          8         2    
3/17/03*   71       54         16       27       19          8         3    
3/9/03     59       40         19       35       21         14         6    
*3/17/03 and previous: Would you support or oppose the United States going 
to war with Iraq? 

Compare to: The Bush administration says it will move soon to disarm Iraq and remove Saddam Hussein from power, by war if necessary, working with countries that are willing to assist, even without the support of the United Nations. Overall, do you support or oppose this policy? (IF SUPPORT) Do you support it with reservations or without reservations?

         --------------Support---------------                                  
         NET   W/o reserv.  With reserv.   DK   Oppose   No opinion            
3/2/03   59        34           24         1      37          4                

Compare to: Would you favor or oppose having U.S. forces take military action against Iraq to force Saddam Hussein from power? Would you say you favor/oppose military action against Iraq strongly or only somewhat?

                 --------Favor--------   --------Oppose-------   No
                 NET Strongly Somewhat   NET Strongly Somewhat   op.
3/9/03           65     47       18      30     20       10       5
2/23/03          63     42       21      31     18       13       6
2/9/03           66     46       21      31     17       14       2
2/5/03           67     45       22      27     17       11       6
2/1/03           66     48       19      31     18       14       3
1/28/03          63     43       19      32     20       13       5
1/27/03          61     40       21      36     21       15       3
1/20/03          57     40       17      41     25       16       3
12/15/02         62     41       20      35     20       15       3
11/17/02         64     NA       NA      29     NA       NA       7
9/26/02          61     NA       NA      34     NA       NA       5
9/14/02          68     NA       NA      29     NA       NA       3
8/29/02          56     NA       NA      34     NA       NA      10
8/11/02          69     NA       NA      22     NA       NA       9
3/10/02          72     NA       NA      24     NA       NA       4
2/21/02          67     46       21      30     12       18       4
1/27/02          71     NA       NA      24     NA       NA       4
12/19/01         72     NA       NA      24     NA       NA       5
11/27/01         78     NA       NA      17     NA       NA       6
10/11/94*        72     NA       NA      23     NA       NA       5
1/15/93**        82     NA       NA      15     NA       NA       3
8/21/92 RV       65     NA       NA      30     NA       NA       5
2/9/92           62     NA       NA      35     NA       NA       3
4/22/91          51     NA       NA      43     NA       NA       6
4/5/91           54     NA       NA      37     NA       NA       9
3/15/91          57     NA       NA      38     NA       NA       5

*10/11/94 and previous: Gallup
**1/15/93 and previous: Would you support or oppose having U.S. forces resume military action...?

4. How would you say the war is going for the United States and its allies: very well, fairly well, not too well or not well at all?

             --------Well---------     --------Not well--------      No
            NET    Very    Fairly     NET    Not too    At all     opin.
3/23/03     84      35       50       10        6          4         6

5. So far, would you say the war is going better than you expected for the United States, worse than expected, or is the war going about the way you expected it to?

                                    About          No
            Better     Worse     as expected     opinion
3/23/03       19         10           66            6
2/24/91       49          5           43            3
2/5/91        27         13           55            4
1/27/91       28         15           54            2
1/20/91       39          7           50            4
1/18/91       50          4           45            2

5a. Is the Iraqi resistance tougher than you expected, weaker than you expected, or about what you expected it to be?

            Tougher     Weaker     Expected     No opinion
3/23/03        12         24          57              6

6. Considering everything, how confident are you that the United States and its allies did the right thing in attacking Iraq? Would you say you are very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

            -----Confident-----   ----Not confident----      No
            NET   Very   Smwht.   NET   Not too  At all     opin.  
3/23/03     76     52      24     22      11       11         2
3/20/03     76     51      25     23      11       12         1
1/16/91     84     59      25     14       8        6         2

7. Just your best guess, how long do you think the war with Iraq will last - days, weeks, months, about a year, or longer than that?

            Days     Weeks     Months     Year     Longer     No opin.      
3/23/03       3        29        45        11         7           5
3/20/03       8        31        37         8        10           5

Compare to: Just your best guess, how long do you think a war with Iraq would last - a few weeks, several months, about a year or longer than that?

           Weeks     Months     Year     Longer     No opin.      
3/9/03      22         33        16        23           7
2/1/03      19         32        18        27           5

8. Do you think there will or will not be a significant number of U.S. military casualties in the war with Iraq?

           Yes,        No,          No           
           will     will not     opinion         
3/23/03     54         40            6
3/20/03     37         55            8

Compare to: Do you think there would or would not be a significant number of U.S. military casualties in a war with Iraq?

            Yes,        No,           No           
           would     would not     opinion         
3/9/03       62         31            7
2/1/03       65         31            4

8a. So far, have there been more US military casualties than you expected, fewer than you expected, or is it about what you expected?

            More     Fewer     Expected     No opinion
3/23/03      23        26         46              5

9. Do you think the United States is doing all it reasonably can do to try to avoid civilian casualties in Iraq, or do you think it should do more?

               US doing      US should      No
              all it can      do more      opin.
3/23/03           82            15           4
10/15/01*         85            12           2
*Afghanistan

10. Do you think the battle for control of Baghdad will be very difficult, fairly difficult, fairly easy or very easy?

            ------Difficult------     --------Easy---------      No
            NET    Very    Fairly     NET    Fairly    Very     opin.
3/23/03     82      30       51       13       11        3        5

11. On another subject, have you yourself attended any anti-war demonstrations, or have you attended any pro-war demonstrations, since the war with Iraq began?

            Anti-war     Pro-war     None    Both (vol.)     No opinion
3/23/03         2           1         96          *               0
1/20/91         1           1         98          0               0

12. Have the antiwar demonstrations in the United States and other countries made you more likely to (oppose) the war, more likely to (support) the war, or haven't they changed your opinion of the war one way or another?

            Oppose     Support     No change     No opinion
3/23/03        7          20           71             2

13. Which better expresses your own opinion - People have a right to demonstrate peacefully against the war and it's a sign of a healthy democracy when they do so; OR, in wartime it's better for the country to appear united, so opponents of the war should not hold antiwar demonstrations?

              Right to      Should not         No
            demonstrate     demonstrate     opinion
3/23/03          60              37            3

14. (IF SHOULD NOT DEMONSTRATE) Do you think antiwar demonstrations should or should not be permitted as long as the United States is at war with Iraq?

            Should be     Should not be        No
            permitted       permitted       opinion
3/23/03         53              45             3

15. Do any of the following describe your own personal feelings about the war?
3/23/03 - Summary Table

                  Yes     No     No opinion
a. Worried        64      35          *
b. Proud          53      45          2
c. Frightened     36      63          1
d. Angry          30      68          1 
e. Hopeful        80      18          2

© Copyright 2003 The Washington Post Company


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