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Washington Post-ABC News Poll:
Iraqi War and Tax Cuts

Friday, March 28, 2003

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone March 27among a random national sample of 508 adults. Margin of sampling error for the overall results is plus or minus 5 percentage points. Sampling error is only one of many potential sources of error in this or any other public opinion poll. The practical difficulties of doing a survey in a single night represent an additional potential source of error. Interviewing was conducted by TNS Intersearch of Horsham, Pa.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq and Saddam Hussein?

                Approve     Disapprove     No opinion                
3/27/03           69            26              5
3/23/03           71            26              3
3/20/03           65            29              5
3/17/03           64            29              7
3/9/03            55            38              8
2/23/03           55            39              6                    
2/9/03            61            37              2                    
2/5/03            61            32              7                    
2/1/03            61            35              3                    
1/28/03           58            38              4                    
1/27/03           57            40              3                    
1/20/03           50            46              4                    
12/15/02          58            37              5                    
11/4/02  LV       56            40              4                    
11/3/02  LV       57            40              4                    
11/2/02  LV       56            41              3                    
10/27/02          57            38              5                    
9/26/02           58            39              3                    
9/14/02           65            31              4                    
8/29/02           52            36             12


2. Do you support or oppose the United States having gone to war with Iraq? Do you support/oppose it strongly or only somewhat?

           ---------Support---------    ----------Oppose---------       
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat    NET   Strongly   Somewhat   No op.   
3/27/03    73       58         16       24       16          8        3    
3/23/03    72       55         17       26       16         10        2    
3/20/03    72       53         19       26       18          8        2    
3/17/03*   71       54         16       27       19          8        3    
3/9/03     59       40         19       35       21         14        6    
*3/17/03 and previous: Would you support or oppose the United States going 
to war with Iraq? 


3. How would you say the war is going for the United States and its allies: very well, fairly well, not too well or not well at all?

            --------Well---------     --------Not well--------      No
            NET    Very    Fairly     NET    Not too    At all     opin.
3/27/03     82      34       49       13        9          5         4
3/23/03     84      35       50       10        6          4         6
Afghanistan:
3/10/02     85      24       61       14       10          3         1    
11/27/01    93      42       51        5        3          2         2    
11/6/01     85      23       62       12        8          4         3   
 
 

4. (HALF SAMPLE) In carrying out the ground war, do you think the United States military is being too aggressive, not aggressive enough, or about right?

               Too         Not aggressive     About        No
            aggressive         enough         right     opinion
3/27/03          5               30             62         3


5. (HALF SAMPLE) In carrying out the air war, do you think the United States military is being too aggressive, not aggressive enough, or about right?

               Too         Not aggressive     About        No
            aggressive         enough         right     opinion
3/27/03          4               28             61         8


6. Is the Iraqi resistance tougher than you expected, weaker than you expected, or about what you expected it to be?

            Tougher     Weaker     Expected     No opinion
3/27/03        28          9          60              3
3/23/03        12         24          57              6


7. Just your best guess, how much longer do you think the war with Iraq will last - days, weeks, months, about a year, or longer than that?

            Days     Weeks     Months     Year     Longer     No opin.      
3/27/03       2        23        57         7         6           5
3/23/03*      3        29        45        11         7           5
3/20/03       8        31        37         8        10           5
3/23 and previous: "How long"


8. Thinking about the goals versus the costs of this war, so far in your opinion has there been an acceptable or unacceptable number of U.S. military casualties in Iraq?

           Acceptable     Unacceptable     No opinion
3/27/03         58              34               9


9. Do you think there will or will not be a significant number of additional U.S. military casualties in the war with Iraq?

           Yes,        No,          No           
           will     will not     opinion         
3/27/03*    82         13            5
3/23/03     54         40            6
3/20/03     37         55            8
3/9/03**    62         31            7
2/1/03      65         31            4
*3/27: added word "additional" 
**3/9/03 and previous: "would or would not be"


10. In its efforts to try to avoid civilian casualties in Iraq, do you think the United States is doing too much, too little, or about the right amount?

            Too       Too       Right        No
            much     little     amount     opinion
3/27/03      16        12         68          4


11. In its efforts to provide humanitarian aid like food, water and medical supplies to the people of Iraq, do you think the United States is doing too much, too little, or about the right amount?

            Too       Too       Right        No
            much     little     amount     opinion
3/27/03      12        16         67          5


12. (IF TOO LITTLE, Q11) Whose fault do you think that is - the United States', or the Iraqi military's?

            United      Iraqi       Neither      Both         No
            States     military      (vol.)     (vol.)     opinion
3/27/03       33          48           4          12           4


13. What do you think are the chances the United States will get bogged down in a drawn-out war in Iraq - do you think that's very likely, fairly likely, fairly unlikely or very unlikely?

            --------Likely-------     ------Unlikely-------      No
            NET    Very    Fairly     NET    Fairly    Very     opin.
3/27/03     39      14       25       58       31       27        3


14. Just your best guess, in this war do you think most of the people of Iraq are on Saddam Hussein's side, or the United States' side?

             Saddam     United        No
            Hussein     States     opinion
3/27/03        34         49          17

Compare to: Just your best guess, do you think the Iraqi people support or don't support the war with the United States and its allies?

                         Don't         No
            Support     support     opinion
2/14/91        43          49          9


15. As you may know, Bush has proposed a 726 billion dollar tax cut over the next 10 years. The Senate has voted to reduce that to 350 billion dollars in order to help pay for the war, reduce the deficit and shore up the Social Security fund. Do you support or oppose this reduction in Bush's proposed tax cut?

            Support     Oppose     No opinion
3/27/03        65         29            6


16. (IF SUPPORT, Q15) Would you support or oppose eliminating the tax cut entirely?

             Support     Oppose     No opinion
3/27/03        45         50            5


17. Who do you think should take the leading role in rebuilding Iraq and helping its people set up a new government there after the war - the United States or the United Nations?

            United     United      Neither      Both         No  
            States     Nations      (vol.)     (vol.)     opinion
3/27/03       31          61          3           3          2


18. Considering everything, do you think the United States did the right thing in going to war with Iraq, or do you think it was a mistake?

            Right thing    Mistake    No opin.
3/27/03         69            26         5

Serbia:
6/10/99         55            41         4
6/6/99*         48            47         5
5/16/99         54            42         3
4/26/99         56            41         2
4/6/99          58            40         2
*Washington Post

Compare to: Do you think the United States made a mistake in sending military forces to Afghanistan, or not?

                 Yes   No   No opin.
1/9/02*           6    93      1
11/11/01*         9    89      2

Yugoslavia*			
6/5/99           43    53      4
4/21/99          42    51      7

Persian Gulf* 			
7/21/91          15    82      3
3/3/91           10    87      3
2/10/91          21    76      3
2/2/91           18    80      2
1/26/91          18    77      5
1/20/91          16    80      4
1/13/91          29    65      6
1/6/91           30    61      9
12/9/90          28    66      6
12/2/90          29    66      5
11/18/90         27    65      8
11/11/90         27    68      5
11/4/90          25    67      8
10/28/90         24    71      5
10/21/90         26    67      7
10/14/90         27    68      5
10/4/90          21    71      8
9/30/90          20    73      7
9/16/90          18    73     10
9/11/90          19    76      5
9/2/90           16    76      8
8/26/90          18    76      6
8/19/90          17    75      8

Vietnam* 			
11/15/00         69    24      7
4/24/95          71    23      6
3/18/90          74    22      4
1/15/73          60    29     11
5/17/71          61    28     11
1/11/71          60    31      9
5/26/70          56    36      8
4/7/70           51    34     15
1/20/70          57    32     11
9/22/69          58    32     10
1/28/69          52    39      9
10/1/68          54    37      9
8/12/68          53    35     12
4/9/68           48    40     12
2/27/68          49    42      9
2/6/68           46    42     12
12/12/67         45    46      9
10/11/67         47    44      9
7/18/67          41    48     11
4/24/67          37    50     13
1/31/67          32    52     16
11/15/66         31    52     17
9/13/66          35    48     17
5/10/66          36    49     15
3/8/66           26    59     15
9/1/65           24    60     16

Korea*		
6/7/00           34    47     19
1/16/53          36    50     14
10/22/52         43    37     19
10/14/52         43    37     20
3/5/52           51    35     14
8/8/51           42    48     11
6/21/51          43    40     17
4/21/51          37    45     18
3/31/51          45    43     12
2/9/51           49    41      9
1/5/51           49    38     13
8/25/50          20    65     15

*Gallup; various wordings




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