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Washington Post-ABC News Poll Friday, May 2, 2003 The latest Washington Post-ABC News poll is based on telephone interviews with 1,105 randomly selected adults nationwide, and was conducted April 27-30, 2003. The poll included an oversample of 102 African American respondents. Final results were adjusted to reflect the country's actual racial distribution. The margin of sampling error for overall results is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Sampling error is only one of many potential sources of error in this or any other public opinion poll. Interviewing was conducted by TNS Intersearch of Horsham, Pa. *= less than 0.5 percent 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? ---------Approve--------- --------Disapprove------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Strongly Somewhat opin.
4/30/03 71 50 22 26 9 17 3
4/16/03 74 52 22 23 14 9 3
4/9/03 77 58 19 20 14 6 4
4/3/03 71 54 16 25 19 7 4
3/23/03 68 NA NA 27 NA NA 4
3/20/03 67 NA NA 28 NA NA 5
3/2/03 62 38 23 35 22 13 4
2/23/03 60 NA NA 34 NA NA 6
2/9/03 64 42 21 34 20 14 3
2/1/03 62 41 21 34 22 13 4
1/28/03 62 43 19 36 23 13 2
1/27/03 59 39 21 37 22 15 4
1/20/03 59 36 23 38 22 16 2
12/15/02 66 37 28 32 20 12 2
11/4/02 LV 67 45 23 31 20 12 1
11/3/02 LV 67 45 22 32 20 12 1
11/2/02 LV 67 47 20 32 23 9 1
10/27/02 All 67 39 28 29 16 13 4
10/27/02 LV 68 47 21 30 16 14 3
9/26/02 67 42 25 30 18 12 3
9/8/02 71 42 28 27 15 12 3
7/28/02 69 39 31 28 14 14 3
7/15/02 72 42 31 25 13 12 2
6/17/02 74 42 32 22 13 9 4
6/9/02 77 41 36 20 11 9 3
5/19/02 76 48 28 22 13 8 3
4/21/02 78 47 31 20 10 9 2
3/28/02 79 49 30 18 10 8 3
3/10/02 82 52 30 16 7 9 2
1/27/02 83 56 27 14 7 7 3
12/19/01 86 64 22 12 6 6 2
11/27/01 89 69 21 9 5 4 1
11/6/01 89 65 24 9 4 5 2
10/9/01 92 76 16 6 3 3 1
9/27/01 90 70 20 6 3 3 4
9/13/01 86 63 23 12 6 5 2
9/9/01 55 26 29 41 22 20 3
8/12/01 61 28 33 31 17 14 8
7/30/01 59 28 30 38 22 17 3
6/3/01 55 27 28 40 22 18 6
4/22/01 63 33 30 32 16 16 5
3/25/01 58 NA NA 33 NA NA 8
2/25/01 55 NA NA 23 NA NA 22
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bush is handling: 4/30/03 - Summary Table* Approve Disapprove No op. a. The economy 52 45 3 b. The situation in Iraq 75 22 2 c. Education 59 34 7 d. Social Security 49 38 13 e. Prescription drug benefits for the elderly 44 40 17 f. The environment 49 40 11 g. The situation with North Korea 61 27 12 h. The cost, availability and coverage of health insurance 34 57 9 i. Homeland security 74 23 3 j. Taxes 50 46 4 k. The federal budget 43 50 6 l. The situation between Israel and the Palestinians 54 33 12 m. The US campaign against terrorism 79 19 2 *Half sample asked a-g, other half asked h-m. Trend: a. The economy Approve Disapprove No opinion 4/30/03 52 45 3 2/9/03 47 49 4 2/1/03 44 52 4 1/28/03 46 49 4 1/27/03 47 47 5 1/20/03 43 53 4 1/5/03 50 43 7 12/15/02 50 46 4 11/4/02 LV 53 45 2 11/3/02 LV 52 46 2 11/2/02 LV 55 43 2 10/27/02 51 43 6 10/27/02 LV 53 44 3 9/26/02 51 47 3 9/8/02 57 40 4 7/28/02 57 39 4 7/15/02 58 38 3 4/21/02 64 33 3 1/27/02 62 34 4 12/19/01 67 27 6 11/6/01 72 23 5 9/9/01 48 48 4 7/30/01 52 45 3 6/3/01 53 41 6 4/22/01 55 38 7 3/25/01 50 42 8 b. The situation in Iraq Approve Disapprove No opinion 4/30/03 75 22 2 Compare to: The situation with Iraq and Saddam Hussein 3/27/03 69 26 5 3/23/03 71 26 3 3/20/03 65 29 5 3/17/03 64 29 7 3/9/03 55 38 8 2/23/03 55 39 6 2/9/03 61 37 2 2/5/03 61 32 7 2/1/03 61 35 3 1/28/03 58 38 4 1/27/03 57 40 3 1/20/03 50 46 4 12/15/02 58 37 5 11/4/02 LV 56 40 4 11/3/02 LV 57 40 4 11/2/02 LV 56 41 3 10/27/02 57 38 5 9/26/02 58 39 3 9/14/02 65 31 4 8/29/02 52 36 12 c. Education Approve Disapprove No opinion 4/30/03 59 34 7 12/15/02 62 30 8 9/26/02 61 32 7 7/15/02 62 31 6 1/27/02 71 21 8 9/9/01 61 32 7 7/30/01 63 31 5 6/3/01 57 35 8 4/22/01 60 28 12 d. Social Security Approve Disapprove No opinion 4/30/03 49 38 13 12/15/02 49 38 13 9/26/02 42 43 15 7/15/02 54 35 11 1/27/02 54 28 18 9/9/01 41 50 9 7/30/01 46 48 6 6/3/01 46 40 14 e. Prescription drug benefits for the elderly Approve Disapprove No opinion 4/30/03 44 40 17 2/1/03 46 35 19 f. The environment Approve Disapprove No opinion 4/30/03 49 40 11 12/15/02 50 40 10 Compare to: Environmental issues Approve Disapprove No opinion 9/26/02 49 40 11 7/15/02 52 39 9 1/27/02 54 31 15 9/9/01 50 44 6 7/30/01 45 49 6 6/3/01 41 50 9 4/22/01 47 41 12 3/25/01 46 41 13 g. The situation with North Korea Approve Disapprove No opinion 4/30/03 61 27 12 2/9/03 50 36 14 1/20/03 54 36 10 h. The cost, availability and coverage of health insurance Approve Disapprove No opinion 4/30/03 34 57 9 1/28/03 40 47 13 1/20/03 36 51 13 12/15/02 33 58 9 i. Homeland security Approve Disapprove No opinion 4/30/03 74 23 3 12/15/02 67 27 5 j. Taxes Approve Disapprove No opinion 4/30/03 50 46 4 2/1/03 51 43 7 1/20/03 50 45 5 12/15/02 51 44 5 k. The federal budget Approve Disapprove No opinion 4/30/03 43 50 6 2/9/03 45 45 10 2/1/03 47 46 8 1/20/03 43 47 10 7/15/02 50 42 8 1/27/02 59 30 12 9/9/01 46 48 6 7/30/01 53 42 5 l. The situation between Israel and the Palestinians Approve Disapprove No opinion 4/30/03 54 33 12 7/15/02 59 34 7 4/21/02 57 35 8 m. The U.S. campaign against terrorism Approve Disapprove No opinion 4/30/03 79 19 2 2/9/03 74 23 4 2/1/03 75 21 3 1/27/03 72 26 2 1/20/03 71 25 4 12/15/02 79 20 1 11/4/02 LV 76 22 1 11/3/02 LV 77 22 3 11/2/02 LV 78 21 2 10/27/02 All 74 23 4 10/27/02 LV 78 20 2 9/26/02 70 28 2 9/8/02 74 24 2 7/28/02 81 17 2 7/15/02* 83 15 2 5/19/02 79 19 3 4/21/02 81 18 2 3/10/02 88 10 2 1/27/02 88 10 2 12/19/01 89 9 2 10/15/01 92 5 3 *Strongly/somewhat follow, 7/15 and previous 3. Do you think things in this country (are generally going in the right direction) or do you feel things (have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track)? Right Wrong No
direction track opin.
4/30/03 52 46 2
9/26/02 43 53 4
2/21/02 54 42 4
2/14/99 55 41 4
11/1/98 55 43 2
11/1/98 LV 55 44 1
8/21/98 57 40 4
7/12/98 50 45 6
4/4/98 55 41 4
1/31/98 61 34 5
1/30/98 61 34 5
1/19/98 44 50 6
8/27/97 39 57 4
6/8/97 37 60 3
3/9/97 34 62 4
10/17/96 RV 40 55 5
10/16/96 RV 42 53 5
10/15/96 RV 43 52 5
10/14/96 RV 44 51 5
10/13/96 RV 44 51 5
9/04/96 RV 40 54 6
8/21/96 28 67 5
6/30/96 26 70 5
3/17/96 27 70 3
1/21/96 27 66 6
1/3/96 21 77 3
4/5/95 23 73 3
1/4/95 27 68 6
10/31/94 27 69 4
7/20/94 26 70 4
3/27/94 28 69 3
1/23/94 31 60 10
11/14/93 25 69 6
8/8/93 26 71 3
6/20/93 26 71 3
4/26/93 27 71 2
3/11/93 36 57 7
2/28/93 37 59 4
1/17/93 31 63 6
12/14/92 35 60 5
10/27/92 RV 22 76 2
10/4/92 RV 18 78 4
6/7/92 14 83 3
4/9/92 16 81 3
3/11/92 18 79 4
1/15/92 19 78 3
11/10/91 24 72 4
10/29/91 26 71 3
8/27/91 31 60 9
7/28/91 30 67 3
6/2/91 39 57 4
4/9/91 42 51 7
2/26/91 58 39 3
1/27/91 49 48 4
10/14/90 19 79 2
9/9/90 36 60 4
8/20/90 35 60 5
7/24/90 37 60 2
5/21/90 39 60 2
3/26/90 44 53 2
2/4/90 49 48 3
1/16/90 48 49 3
5/23/89 42 55 3
3/16/89 46 52 2
1/16/89 LV 51 46 3
10/25/88 RV 49 46 6
9/27/88 48 44 8
7/11/88 40 56 4
5/25/88 35 59 6
3/21/88 40 56 4
1/23/88 39 59 2
12/13/87 49 47 4
12/2/87 35 61 4
9/23/87 43 54 4
6/29/87 35 62 3
4/13/87 37 60 3
3/9/87 38 58 4
1/18/87 39 56 5
9/8/86 50 48 2
1/26/86 45 47 8
7/29/85 52 43 6
1/16/85 59 36 4
5/22/84 47 48 5
12/13/83 43 51 6
11/7/83 51 44 5
4/12/83 41 54 4
3/2/83 43 53 3
1/25/83 58 39 3
1/25/83 43 52 4
10/11/82 35 57 8
1/30/82 39 56 5
2/80 20 70 10
2/78 34 53 13
2/77 41 44 14
10/75 19 71 9
10/74 15 75 11
10/73 16 74 10
4. If the 2004 presidential election were being held today, would you vote for (George W. Bush, the Republican) or for (the Democratic nominee for president)? Net Leaned Vote: Democratic Other Neither Would No
Bush nominee (vol.) (vol.) not vote opinion
4/30/03 53 40 * 2 1 3
5. How about if the candidates were (George W. Bush, the Republican), and (Joseph Lieberman, the Democrat,) for whom would you vote? Net Leaned Vote: Other Neither Would No
Bush Lieberman (vol.) (vol.) not vote opinion
4/30/03 61 34 * 2 1 2
6. How about if the candidates were (George W. Bush, the Republican), and (John Kerry, the Democrat,) for whom would you vote? Net Leaned Vote: Other Neither Would No
Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) not vote opinion
4/30/03 60 34 * 2 1 2
7. How about if the candidates were (George W. Bush, the Republican), and (Richard Gephardt, the Democrat,) for whom would you vote? Net Leaned Vote: Other Neither Would No
Bush Gephardt (vol.) (vol.) not vote opinion
4/30/03 60 35 * 2 1 2
8. Do you think the U.S. campaign against terrorism is going very well, fairly well, not too well or not well at all? ----------Well---------- --------Not well-------- No
NET Very Fairly NET Not too At all op.
4/30/03 83 26 57 16 10 6 1
9/26/02 73 15 58 26 17 9 1
9/8/02 70 10 60 29 21 8 1
7/15/02 75 15 60 24 16 8 1
4/21/02 73 11 63 26 17 9 1
3/10/02 84 21 63 15 10 6 1
1/27/02 88 32 56 11 8 4 1
9. All in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, do you think the war with Iraq was worth fighting, or not? Worth Not worth No
fighting fighting opinion
4/30/03 70 27 4
2/2/92* 66 32 2
7/28/91 67 30 3
6/2/91 70 26 3
3/4/91 86 13 1
*2/2/92 and previous: "the Persian Gulf war"
**3/4/91: "this war"
10. How do you feel about the possibility that the United States will get bogged down in a long and costly peacekeeping mission in Iraq - would you say you're very concerned about that, somewhat concerned, not too concerned or not concerned at all? -----Concerned------ ------Not concerned----- No
NET Very Smwt. NET Not too At all opin.
4/30/03 72 34 39 27 19 9 *
4/16/03 73 31 42 26 19 7 1
4/9/03 62 24 39 35 24 11 3
11. Do you think the United States should or should not allow a fundamentalist Islamic government to be established in Iraq? Should Should not No opinion 4/30/03 39 47 14 12. (IF SHOULD NOT) What if it wins an open, democratic election? In that case do you think the United States should or should not allow a fundamentalist Islamic government to be established in Iraq? Should Should not No opinion 4/30/03 50 46 5 13. (IF SHOULD) What if it demands that all United States forces leave Iraq? In that case do you think the United States should or should not allow a fundamentalist Islamic government to be established in Iraq? Should Should not No opinion 4/30/03 59 35 6 14. As a result of the war, do you yourself feel more safe from terrorism, less safe from terrorism, or hasn't the war affected the way you feel? Has not No
More Less affected opinion
4/30/03 36 16 47 1
15/16. During the war with Iraq, do you think one political party supported the war more than the other, or do you think they were equal in their support of the war? (IF ONE SUPPORTED MORE THAN THE OTHER) Which party supported the war more? ------One more----- Both No
NET Dems Reps equal opinion
4/30/03 51 2 49 45 4
3/6/91* 19 1 18 73 8
*CBS/NY Times.
17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the U.S. Congress is doing its job? Approve Disapprove No opinion 4/30/03 57 37 6 9/26/02 51 43 6 7/15/02 57 36 7 2/21/02 57 39 4 1/27/02 58 35 7 12/19/01 59 34 7 9/9/01 45 48 7 7/30/01 48 48 4 4/22/01 58 33 8 10/31/99 42 53 6 9/2/99 46 47 7 6/6/99 48 46 6 3/14/99 44 49 7 2/14/99 46 50 4 12/20/98 44 51 5 12/19/98 45 50 5 12/13/98 49 46 5 11/7/98 41 55 4 11/1/98 49 47 5 11/1/98 LV 47 51 2 10/25/98 45 44 11 10/25/98 LV 45 48 7 10/18/98 46 45 8 10/18/98 LV 45 49 5 9/28/98 52 44 4 9/28/98 LV 52 46 2 8/21/98 55 39 6 7/12/98 46 44 11 5/12/98 45 45 9 4/4/98 47 45 8 1/31/98 55 35 10 1/30/98 55 35 10 1/25/98 56 37 8 1/24/98 55 38 7 1/19/98 47 49 5 10/13/97 36 57 7 8/27/97 39 54 7 7/8/97 40 53 6 4/24/97 40 53 7 3/9/97 35 60 5 8/5/96 42 52 7 6/30/96 35 58 7 5/22/96 35 60 5 3/10/96 30 64 6 1/7/96 31 65 5 11/19/95 27 68 5 10/1/95 32 65 3 7/17/95 34 63 3 3/19/95 39 56 5 1/29/95 42 52 6 10/31/94 21 72 8 10/23/94 18 78 4 9/11/94 24 70 5 6/26/94 34 61 5 3/27/94 35 62 3 2/27/94 32 64 4 1/23/94 29 60 11 11/14/93 28 66 6 8/8/93 33 64 3 4/26/93 30 69 2 1/17/93 29 66 6 4/9/92 17 78 5 3/18/92 19 76 5 3/8/92 22 73 6 2/2/92 32 64 4 12/15/91 35 59 6 10/21/91 45 50 5 6/2/91 49 46 5 10/14/90 34 63 3 2/4/90 41 55 4 1/16/90 39 55 6 8/21/89 42 53 5 5/23/89 54 44 2 2/14/89 53 44 3 1/23/88* 43 53 4 6/1/87* 56 40 4 6/22/85* 54 37 9 5/83* 33 43 24 6/81* 38 40 22 6/79* 19 61 20 9/78* 29 49 22 6/77* 34 42 24 6/75* 29 54 17 8/74* 48 35 17 *Gallup 18. For each issue I name, please tell me what kind of priority you think Bush and the Congress should give it - the highest priority, a high priority but not the highest, or a lower priority than that. 4/30/03 - Summary Table* ---------High--------- None No
NET Highest High Lower (vol.) op.
a. The economy 95 56 39 4 * 1
b. The U.S. campaign
against terrorism 93 48 45 7 0 1
c. The situation in Iraq 83 29 54 15 * 1
d. Education 94 49 45 5 1 *
e. Social Security 88 34 54 12 * *
f. The cost of
prescription drugs 81 31 50 19 * 1
g. The environment 81 26 55 18 * 1
h. The cost, availability,
and coverage of health
insurance 89 50 40 10 * *
i. Homeland security 88 47 42 10 * 1
j. Taxes 82 30 51 17 * 2
k. The situation with North
Korea 83 34 50 13 1 3
l. Defense and the military
budget 87 33 54 12 * 1
*Half sample answered a-f, other half answered g-l.
19. Overall, who do you trust to do a better job coping with the main problems the nation faces over the next few years, (Bush) or (the Democrats in Congress)? Both Neither
Bush Democrats (vol.) (vol.) No opinion
4/30/03 55 37 1 4 3
10/27/02 LV 53 37 1 5 4
9/26/02 LV 52 43 2 1 1
9/26/02 54 38 3 3 3
7/15/02 53 37 4 3 3
1/27/02 62 31 2 3 2
20. Who do you trust to do a better job handling… (Bush) or (the Democrats in Congress)? 4/30/03 - Summary Table* Both Neither No
Bush Dems (vol.) (vol.) opin.
a. The economy 51 41 2 2 3
b. The U.S. campaign against
terrorism 72 21 3 2 3
c. The situation in Iraq 72 20 2 3 3
d. Education 45 46 3 2 4
e. Social Security 43 50 1 3 3
f. The cost of prescription drugs 39 52 1 4 4
g. The environment 34 60 1 3 3
h. The cost, availability, and
coverage of health insurance 35 56 1 4 4
i. Homeland security 63 30 2 2 3
j. Taxes 46 49 2 2 1
k. The situation with North Korea 62 28 1 4 5
l. Defense and the military budget 63 32 1 2 2
*Half sample answered a-f, other half answered g-l.
Trend: a. The economy Both Neither No
Bush Dems (vol.) (vol.) opin.
4/30/03 51 41 2 2 3
11/6/01 51 36 5 4 5
9/9/01 44 50 1 3 2
7/30/01 47 46 1 4 1
6/3/01 44 46 2 6 2
b,c. No trend. d. Education Both Neither No
Bush Dems (vol.) (vol.) opin.
4/30/03 45 46 3 2 4
9/9/01 55 36 1 3 6
7/30/01 50 42 2 4 2
6/3/01 43 43 1 7 6
e. Social Security Both Neither No
Bush Dems (vol.) (vol.) opin.
4/30/03 43 50 1 3 3
9/9/01 41 50 1 4 4
7/30/01 42 51 1 5 2
6/3/01 38 52 1 5 3
f. The cost of prescription drugs Both Neither No
Bush Dems (vol.) (vol.) opin.
4/30/03 39 52 1 4 4
9/9/01 36 50 1 5 8
7/30/01 39 50 1 7 3
g. The environment Both Neither No
Bush Dems (vol.) (vol.) opin.
4/30/03 34 60 1 3 3
Compare to: Environmental issues Both Neither No
Bush Dems (vol.) (vol.) opin.
9/9/01 41 52 1 3 4
7/30/01 37 54 1 5 3
6/3/01 35 54 2 5 4
h,i. No trend. j. Taxes Both Neither No
Bush Dems (vol.) (vol.) opin.
4/30/03 46 49 2 2 1
Compare to: The issue of tax cuts Both Neither No
Bush Dems (vol.) (vol.) opin.
6/3/01 49 42 1 6 2
k. No trend. l. Defense and the military budget Both Neither No
Bush Dems (vol.) (vol.) opin.
4/30/03 63 32 1 2 2
9/9/01 47 43 1 2 7
7/30/01 53 40 1 4 3
21. Who do you trust to do a better job creating jobs, (Bush) or (the Democrats in Congress)? Both Neither No
Bush Dems (vol.) (vol.) opin.
4/30/03 40 51 1 4 4
Compare to: Which political party, the Democrats or the Republicans, do you trust to do a better job creating jobs? Democrats Republicans Both Neither No opinion 1/5/03 42 32 3 15 8 10/23/94 43 35 3 15 3 9/11/94 52 34 4 7 3 2/27/94 49 34 4 10 4 22. What is your preference - (to have the federal government cut taxes), or (to have the federal government spend more on domestic programs such as education, health care and Social Security)? Cut Spend Neither No
taxes more (vol.) opin.
4/30/03 29 68 1 2
Compare to: As you may know, Bush has proposed cutting taxes by a total of 670 billion dollars over the next 10 years. What is your preference - (to have this tax cut), or (to have the federal government spend more on domestic programs such as education, health care and Social Security)? Tax Spend Neither No
cut more (vol.) opin.
2/1/03 29 67 3 2
1/20/03 30 67 2 1
6/3/01* 33 63 3 1
* "would have been"
23. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good or poor? ----Excellent/Good----- -----Not so good/Poor----- No
NET Excellent Good NET Not so good Poor op.
4/30/03 35 1 34 64 46 19 *
2/9/03 28 1 27 72 49 23 *
1/20/03 25 1 25 74 48 26 1
12/15/02 35 1 33 65 44 21 1
11/4/02 LV 28 1 27 72 55 17 1
11/3/02 LV 27 1 26 72 56 17 1
11/2/02 LV 29 1 28 71 54 17 *
9/26/02 31 2 28 69 50 19 *
7/15/02 39 3 36 61 44 17 1
2/21/02 30 1 29 69 51 18 *
1/27/02 31 1 29 69 50 19 *
9/20/01 38 3 35 60 47 14 2
9/9/01 33 1 32 66 47 19 *
7/30/01 50 3 46 50 39 12 *
4/22/01 50 3 47 50 40 9 *
1/15/01 70 10 59 29 24 6 1
10/27/00 LV 86 24 61 14 11 3 *
10/26/00 LV 86 24 61 14 11 3 *
6/11/00 74 17 57 26 19 6 *
2/27/00 80 25 55 20 14 5 *
10/31/99 74 18 56 26 18 7 1
9/2/99 76 19 57 23 16 6 1
3/14/99 80 22 58 19 15 4 1
11/1/98 73 12 61 26 21 5 1
11/1/98 LV 78 13 65 22 19 3 *
10/13/97 61 12 49 39 27 11 *
24. Would you say most Americans are better off financially than they were in 2001 when Bush became president, not as well off, or in about the same shape as then financially? Better Not as The No
off well off same opinion
4/30/03 10 48 42 1
George H. W. Bush
8/9/92 6 61 31 1
10/21/91 7 48 41 4
3/4/91 7 35 56 2
1/16/89 33 26 38 3
25. How much blame do you think Bush should get for current economic problems - a great deal, a good amount, only some, or hardly any? --------Blame--------- -----------No Blame----------- No
NET Grt.deal Good amt. NET Some Hardly None (vol.) op.
4/30/03 41 18 22 59 34 21 3 1
12/15/02 41 18 24 56 33 22 2 2
11/4/02 LV 37 19 18 63 29 28 5 1
11/3/02 LV 35 17 18 65 30 29 6 1
11/2/02 LV 34 15 19 65 29 31 5 1
10/27/02 LV 39 22 18 60 28 27 5 *
26. Do you think Bush is spending too much of his time, too little of his time or about the right amount of his time on (READ ITEM)? 4/30/03 - Summary Table Too Too Right No
much little amount opinion
a. the war on terrorism 24 6 68 1
b. the economy 2 51 44 3
c. other domestic issues such
as Social Security,
prescription drug benefits
and education 2 57 39 2
Trend: a. the war on terrorism Too Too Right No
much little amount opinion
4/30/03 24 6 68 1
9/26/02 25 12 61 2
b. the economy Too Too Right No
much little amount opinion
4/30/03 2 51 44 3
9/26/02 3 53 41 3
c. other domestic issues such as Social Security, prescription drug benefits and education Too Too Right No
much little amount opinion
4/30/03 2 57 39 2
9/26/02 3 58 36 3
27. (IF TOO LITTLE) Do you think he is ignoring the issue, or do you think it's just that he has had more important problems to deal with? 4/30/03 - Summary Table Ignoring More imp. No
the issue problems opinion
a. the war on terrorism 40 57 2
b. the economy 35 61 4
c. other domestic issues such
as Social Security,
prescription drug benefits
and education 40 59 2
28. Please tell me whether the following statement applies to Bush or not: 4/30/03 - Summary Table Yes No No opin.
a. He understands the problems of
people like you 51 48 1
b. He is a strong leader 74 25 *
Trend: a. He understands the problems of people like you Yes No No opin. 4/30/03 51 48 1 12/15/02 51 47 2 7/15/02 57 41 2 1/27/02 61 37 2 7/30/01 45 54 2 4/22/01 47 51 2 11/4/00 LV 49 46 5 10/24/00 LV 50 46 3 10/15/00 RV 46 46 7 10/9/00 RV 50 44 6 9/6/00 RV 47 49 4 8/20/00 RV 50 46 5 7/23/00 RV 44 51 5 7/23/00 44 51 5 6/11/00 48 47 5 4/2/00 48 46 6 3/11/00 47 47 6 2/27/00 43 51 6 2/6/00 43 52 5 1/16/00 46 49 6 12/15/99 47 46 7 10/31/99 54 39 7 9/2/99 50 39 11 3/14/99 52 27 21 b. He is a strong leader Yes No No opin. 4/30/03 74 25 * 12/15/02 75 23 2 7/15/02 75 24 1 7/30/01 55 43 2 4/22/01 53 42 5 10/9/00 RV 62 33 5 9/6/00 RV 65 28 7 8/20/00 RV 65 29 5 8/10/00 RV 67 29 5 7/23/00 RV 61 33 6 7/23/00 62 32 5 6/11/00 65 30 6 4/2/00 68 27 5 3/11/00 63 31 6 2/27/00 62 32 6 2/6/00 65 30 7 1/16/00 65 28 7 12/15/99 67 26 7 10/31/99 77 18 5 9/2/99 70 18 12 3/14/99 68 13 20 29. For each group I name, please tell me if you think it has too much influence in the Bush administration, too little influence or about the right amount. 4/30/03 - Summary Table Too Too Right No
much little amount opin.
a. Large business corporations 61 8 29 3
b. People like you 2 59 37 1
Trend: a. Large business corporations Too Too Right No
much little amount opin.
4/30/03 61 8 29 3
12/15/02 60 10 26 4
1/27/02 59 8 29 4
7/30/01 67 7 24 2
b. People like you Too Too Right No
much little amount opin.
4/30/03 2 59 37 1
12/15/02 3 61 35 2
1/27/02 3 49 46 2
7/30/01 1 67 30 1
30. Do you think Bush's proposals on cutting taxes (favor the rich), (favor the middle class), (favor the poor), or (treat all people about equally)? Favor Favor Favor Treat all No
rich middle Poor equally opinion
4/30/03 57 11 2 26 4
2/1/03 56 10 2 26 5
1/20/03 61 7 2 23 7
31. (HALF SAMPLE) What's more important TO YOU - (having the government provide needed services), or (cutting taxes)? Provide Cutting Both Neither No
services taxes (vol.) (vol.) opin.
4/30/03 68 28 2 1 1
12/15/02 62 34 2 * 1
32. (HALF SAMPLE) What do you think is more important TO BUSH - (having the government provide needed services) or (cutting taxes)? Provide Cutting Both Neither No
services taxes (vol.) (vol.) opin.
4/30/03 26 64 3 2 6
12/15/02 32 57 2 3 6
33. Has the war with Iraq made you more confident in the ability of Bush to handle the country's other big problems, less confident, or hasn't it made much of a difference? IF MORE OR LESS: Is that much (more/less) confident or only somewhat (more/less) confident? --------More--------- Not much ---------Less-------- No
NET Much Somewhat difference NET Somewhat Much opinion
4/30/03 43 29 14 41 15 5 10 *
George H. W. Bush
3/4/91 70 45 26 24 5 2 3 1
34. As a result of the war, are you now more likely to support Bush for a second term as president, less likely to support him for a second term, or hasn't the war changed your feeling on that? More Less Has not No
likely likely changed opinion
4/30/03 37 24 37 2
George H. W. Bush
3/4/91 55 6 37 1
35. On another subject, who do you think of as the leader of the Democratic party? 4/30/03 Tom Daschle 5 Hillary Clinton 2 Nancy Pelosi * Bill Clinton 3 John Kerry 4 Joe Lieberman 9 John Edwards 1 Dick Gephardt 11 Ted Kennedy 2 Bob Graham * Al Gore 3 Other 4 No one 22 No opinion 33 36. (HALF SAMPLE) When you think about the future of the United States, do you feel confident that the country's best years are still ahead of us, or do you feel concerned that America's best years might already be behind us? Best years Best years No
ahead behind opinion
4/30/03 64 34 3
Compare to: When you think about the future of the United States, do you feel confident and optimistic that the country's best years are still ahead of us, or do you feel more concerned and worried that America's best years might already be behind us? Best years Best years No
ahead behind opinion
6/7/92 36 62 2
37. (HALF SAMPLE) When you think about the future of the United States, do you feel optimistic that the country's best years are still ahead of us, or do you feel worried that America's best years might already be behind us? Best years Best years No
ahead behind opinion
4/30/03 63 34 2
Compare to: When you think about the future of the United States, do you feel confident and optimistic that the country's best years are still ahead of us, or do you feel more concerned and worried that America's best years might already be behind us? Best years Best years No
ahead behind opinion
6/7/92 36 62 2
(ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) 38. How closely are you following the race for the 2004 Democratic presidential nomination: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all? ------Closely------- ------Not closely------- No
NET Very Smwt. NET Not too At all opin.
4/30/03 37 8 29 63 33 30 0
(ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) 39. If the 2004 Democratic presidential primary in your state were being held today, and the candidates were: (Joseph Lieberman, Richard Gephardt, John Kerry, John Edwards, Al Sharpton, Bob Graham, Howard Dean, Dennis Kucinich or Carolyn Moseley Braun), for whom would you vote? Net Leaned Vote:
Lieb- Geph- Shar- Kuci- Moseley No
erman ardt Kerry Edwards pton Graham Dean nich Braun Other None op.
4/30/03 29 19 14 4 3 3 3 2 6 1 1 14
Compare to: Suppose your state holds a Democratic primary or caucus for president in 2004 and the candidates are (Joseph Lieberman, Richard Gephardt, John Kerry, John Edwards, Al Sharpton and Howard Dean). For whom would you vote? Which one are you leaning toward right now?
Lieberman Gephardt Kerry Edwards Sharpton Dean Other None DK
1/20/03 27 14 10 11 7 3 1 4 24
Compare to:
Daschle Lieberman Gephardt Gore Kerry Edwards Dean Other DK
7/15/02 8 10 5 46 6 3 1 3 18
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