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Washington Post-ABC News Poll: Iraq War

Friday, April 4, 2003

The latest Washington Post-ABC News poll is based on telephone interviews with 511 randomly selected adults nationwide and was conducted Thursday evening, April 3. The margin of sampling error for overall results is plus or minus 5 percentage points. Sampling error is only one of many potential sources of error in this or any other public opinion poll. Results of overnight polls that attempt to measure opinions about fast-changing news events should be interpreted with extra caution. Interviewing was conducted by TNS Intersearch of Horsham, Pa.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

             ---------Approve---------   --------Disapprove-------    No       
             NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Strongly   Somewhat   opin.     
4/3/03       71       54         16      25       19          7        4
3/23/03      68       NA         NA      27       NA         NA        4
3/20/03      67       NA         NA      28       NA         NA        5
3/2/03       62       38         23      35       22         13        4
2/23/03      60       NA         NA      34       NA         NA        6
2/9/03       64       42         21      34       20         14        3
2/1/03       62       41         21      34       22         13        4
1/28/03      62       43         19      36       23         13        2
1/27/03      59       39         21      37       22         15        4
1/20/03      59       36         23      38       22         16        2
12/15/02     66       37         28      32       20         12        2
11/4/02  LV  67       45         23      31       20         12        1
11/3/02  LV  67       45         22      32       20         12        1
11/2/02  LV  67       47         20      32       23          9        1
10/27/02 All 67       39         28      29       16         13        4
10/27/02 LV  68       47         21      30       16         14        3
9/26/02      67       42         25      30       18         12        3
9/8/02       71       42         28      27       15         12        3
7/28/02      69       39         31      28       14         14        3
7/15/02      72       42         31      25       13         12        2
6/17/02      74       42         32      22       13          9        4
6/9/02       77       41         36      20       11          9        3
5/19/02      76       48         28      22       13          8        3
4/21/02      78       47         31      20       10          9        2
3/28/02      79       49         30      18       10          8        3
3/10/02      82       52         30      16        7          9        2
1/27/02      83       56         27      14        7          7        3
12/19/01     86       64         22      12        6          6        2
11/27/01     89       69         21       9        5          4        1
11/6/01      89       65         24       9        4          5        2
10/9/01      92       76         16       6        3          3        1
9/27/01      90       70         20       6        3          3        4
9/13/01      86       63         23      12        6          5        2
9/9/01       55       26         29      41       22         20        3
8/12/01      61       28         33      31       17         14        8
7/30/01      59       28         30      38       22         17        3
6/3/01       55       27         28      40       22         18        6
4/22/01      63       33         30      32       16         16        5
3/25/01      58       NA         NA      33       NA         NA        8
2/25/01      55       NA         NA      23       NA         NA       22

2. Do you support or oppose the United States having gone to war with Iraq? Do you support/oppose it strongly or only somewhat?

           ---------Support---------    ----------Oppose---------       
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat    NET   Strongly   Somewhat   No op.   
4/3/03     73       58         15       24       16          8        4    
3/27/03    73       58         16       24       16          8        3    
3/23/03    72       55         17       26       16         10        2    
3/20/03    72       53         19       26       18          8        2    
3/17/03*   71       54         16       27       19          8        3    
3/9/03     59       40         19       35       21         14        6  
*3/17/03 and previous: Would you support or oppose the United States going 
to war with Iraq? 

3. How would you say the war is going for the United States and its allies: very well, fairly well, not too well or not well at all?

            --------Well---------     --------Not well--------      No
            NET    Very    Fairly     NET    Not too    At all     opin.
4/3/03      91      47       44        6        3          3         2
3/27/03     82      34       49       13        9          5         4
3/23/03     84      35       50       10        6          4         6
Afghanistan:
3/10/02     85      24       61       14       10          3         1    
11/27/01    93      42       51        5        3          2         2    
11/6/01     85      23       62       12        8          4         3 
Campaign against terrorism:
9/26/02     73      15       58       26       17          9         1    
9/8/02      70      10       60       29       21          8         1    
7/15/02     75      15       60       24       16          8         1    
4/21/02     73      11       63       26       17          9         1    
3/10/02     84      21       63       15       10          6         1    
1/27/02     88      32       56       11        8          4         1   

4. Is the Iraqi resistance tougher than you expected, weaker than you expected, or about what you expected it to be?

            Tougher     Weaker     Expected     No opinion
4/3/03         17         17          62              4
3/27/03        28          9          60              3
3/23/03        12         24          57              6

5. Just your best guess, how much longer do you think the war with Iraq will last - days, weeks, months, about a year, or longer than that?

            Days     Weeks     Months     Year     Longer     No opin.      
4/3/03        4        30        44        10         7           5
3/27/03       2        23        57         7         6           5
3/23/03*      3        29        45        11         7           5
3/20/03       8        31        37         8        10           5
3/23 and previous: "How long"

6. Thinking about the goals versus the costs of this war, so far in your opinion has there been an acceptable or unacceptable number of U.S. military casualties in Iraq?

            Acceptable     Unacceptable     No opinion
4/3/03          62              32               5
3/27/03         58              34               9

7. Do you think there will or will not be a significant number of additional U.S. military casualties in the war with Iraq?

           Yes,        No,          No           
           will     will not     opinion         
4/3/03      69         25            6
3/27/03*    82         13            5
3/23/03     54         40            6
3/20/03     37         55            8
3/9/03**    62         31            7
2/1/03      65         31            4
*3/27: added word "additional" 
**3/9/03 and previous: "would or would not be"

8. In its efforts to try to avoid civilian casualties in Iraq, do you think the United States is doing too much, too little, or about the right amount?

            Too       Too       Right        No
            much     little     amount     opinion
4/3/03       12        10         74          4
3/27/03      16        12         68          4

9. Do you think the battle for control of Baghdad will be very difficult, fairly difficult, fairly easy or very easy?

            ------Difficult------     --------Easy---------      No
            NET    Very    Fairly     NET    Fairly    Very     opin.
4/3/03      84      28       56       13       11        2        3
3/23/03     82      30       51       13       11        3        5

10. Do you think (ITEM) did or did not underestimate the difficulty of this war?

Summary Table - 4/3/03

                             Did     Did not     No opinion
a. U.S. military leaders      33        63            3
b. Bush and his advisers      39        57            4

11. Do you think the United States will be able to justify this war ONLY if it finds weapons of mass destruction, such as chemical or biological weapons, in Iraq; or do you think the United States will be able to justify this war for other reasons, even if it does NOT find weapons of mass destruction in Iraq?

            Justify only     Justify even      Neither/No         No
            if find WMD        if no WMD      justification     opinion
4/3/03           22               69                6              3
3/20/03          35               53                7              6

12. What do you think are the chances the United States will get bogged down in a drawn-out war in Iraq - do you think that's very likely, fairly likely, fairly unlikely or very unlikely?

            --------Likely-------     ------Unlikely-------      No
            NET    Very    Fairly     NET    Fairly    Very     opin.
4/3/03      30      10       20       66       41       26        3
3/27/03     39      14       25       58       31       27        3

© Copyright 2003 The Washington Post Company


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