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| Washington Post-ABC News Poll: Fall of Baghdad Thursday, April 10, 2003 The latest Washington Post-ABC News poll is based on telephone interviews with 509 randomly selected adults nationwide and was conducted Wednesday evening, April 9. The margin of sampling error for overall results is plus or minus 5 percentage points. Sampling error is only one of many potential sources of error in this or any other public opinion poll. Results of overnight polls that attempt to measure opinions about fast-changing news events should be interpreted with extra caution. Interviewing was conducted by TNS Intersearch of Horsham, Pa. *= less than 0.5 percent 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? ---------Approve--------- --------Disapprove------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Strongly Somewhat opin.
4/9/03 77 58 19 20 14 6 4
4/3/03 71 54 16 25 19 7 4
3/23/03 68 NA NA 27 NA NA 4
3/20/03 67 NA NA 28 NA NA 5
3/2/03 62 38 23 35 22 13 4
2/23/03 60 NA NA 34 NA NA 6
2/9/03 64 42 21 34 20 14 3
2/1/03 62 41 21 34 22 13 4
1/28/03 62 43 19 36 23 13 2
1/27/03 59 39 21 37 22 15 4
1/20/03 59 36 23 38 22 16 2
12/15/02 66 37 28 32 20 12 2
11/4/02 LV 67 45 23 31 20 12 1
11/3/02 LV 67 45 22 32 20 12 1
11/2/02 LV 67 47 20 32 23 9 1
10/27/02 All 67 39 28 29 16 13 4
10/27/02 LV 68 47 21 30 16 14 3
9/26/02 67 42 25 30 18 12 3
9/8/02 71 42 28 27 15 12 3
7/28/02 69 39 31 28 14 14 3
7/15/02 72 42 31 25 13 12 2
6/17/02 74 42 32 22 13 9 4
6/9/02 77 41 36 20 11 9 3
5/19/02 76 48 28 22 13 8 3
4/21/02 78 47 31 20 10 9 2
3/28/02 79 49 30 18 10 8 3
3/10/02 82 52 30 16 7 9 2
1/27/02 83 56 27 14 7 7 3
12/19/01 86 64 22 12 6 6 2
11/27/01 89 69 21 9 5 4 1
11/6/01 89 65 24 9 4 5 2
10/9/01 92 76 16 6 3 3 1
9/27/01 90 70 20 6 3 3 4
9/13/01 86 63 23 12 6 5 2
9/9/01 55 26 29 41 22 20 3
8/12/01 61 28 33 31 17 14 8
7/30/01 59 28 30 38 22 17 3
6/3/01 55 27 28 40 22 18 6
4/22/01 63 33 30 32 16 16 5
3/25/01 58 NA NA 33 NA NA 8
2/25/01 55 NA NA 23 NA NA 22
2. In general, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States at this time? Satisfied Dissatisfied No opinion 4/9/03 65 32 3 3/23/03* 60 38 2 3/5/03* 36 61 3 2/9/03 49 49 2 7/30/01 53 47 1 11/4/00 LV 61 36 3 11/3/00 LV 61 35 4 11/2/00 LV 62 35 4 *Gallup. 3. Do you support or oppose the United States having gone to war with Iraq? Do you support/oppose it strongly or only somewhat? ---------Support--------- ----------Oppose---------
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Strongly Somewhat No op.
4/9/03 80 63 17 17 12 6 3
4/6/03 77 57 20 16 10 7 7
4/3/03 73 58 15 24 16 8 4
3/27/03 73 58 16 24 16 8 3
3/23/03 72 55 17 26 16 10 2
3/20/03 72 53 19 26 18 8 2
3/17/03* 71 54 16 27 19 8 3
3/9/03 59 40 19 35 21 14 6 *3/17/03 and previous: Would you support or oppose the United States going to war with Iraq? 4. (IF SUPPORT WAR WITH IRAQ) What if the United States does NOT find chemical or biological weapons in Iraq - in that case would you support or oppose the war? Support Oppose No opin.
4/9/03 90 8 1
Q3/4 NET
--------------Support war------------
--------If no weapons-------- Oppose No
NET Support Oppose DK/REF war opinion
4/9/03 80 72 6 2 17 3 5. (IF OPPOSE WAR WITH IRAQ) What if the United States finds chemical or biological weapons in Iraq - in that case would you support or oppose the war? Support Oppose No opin.
4/9/03 24 70 6
Q3/5 NET
--------------Oppose war-------------
Support ---------If weapons---------- No
war NET Support Oppose DK/REF opinion
4/9/03 80 17 4 12 1 3 6. How would you say the war is going for the United States and its allies: very well, fairly well, not too well or not well at all? --------Well--------- --------Not well-------- No
NET Very Fairly NET Not too At all opin.
4/9/03 96 66 30 3 3 * *
4/3/03 91 47 44 6 3 3 2
3/27/03 82 34 49 13 9 5 4
3/23/03 84 35 50 10 6 4 6
Afghanistan:
3/10/02 85 24 61 14 10 3 1
11/27/01 93 42 51 5 3 2 2
11/6/01 85 23 62 12 8 4 3
Campaign against terrorism:
9/26/02 73 15 58 26 17 9 1
9/8/02 70 10 60 29 21 8 1
7/15/02 75 15 60 24 16 8 1
4/21/02 73 11 63 26 17 9 1
3/10/02 84 21 63 15 10 6 1
1/27/02 88 32 56 11 8 4 1 7. As you may know, the United States military now controls most of Baghdad. Are you surprised or not surprised at how quickly that happened? Surprised Not surprised No opinion 4/9/03 28 70 2 8. Do you think the war with Iraq is basically over, or do you think there's more difficult fighting ahead? War More Both No
over ahead (vol.) opinion
4/9/03 18 77 3 3 10. Thinking about the goals versus the costs of this war, so far in your opinion has there been an acceptable or unacceptable number of U.S. military casualties in Iraq? Acceptable Unacceptable No opinion 4/9/03 66 28 6 4/3/03 62 32 5 3/27/03 58 34 9 11. In its efforts to try to avoid civilian casualties in Iraq, do you think the United States is doing too much, too little, or about the right amount? Too Too Right No
much little amount opinion
4/9/03 9 7 82 2
4/3/03 12 10 74 4
3/27/03 16 12 68 4 12. Do you think (the United States has to kill or capture Saddam Hussein for the war in Iraq to be a success), or do you think (the war in Iraq can be a success if Saddam Hussein is removed from power, but not killed or captured)? US must capture/ War can succeed No
kill Hussein without Hussein opinion
4/9/03 50 43 7
3/20/03 49 43 7 Compare to: Do you think (the United States has to capture or kill Osama bin Laden for the war on terrorism to be a success), or do you think (the war on terrorism can be a success without Osama bin Laden being killed or captured)? US must capture/ War can succeed No
kill bin Laden without bin Laden opin.
9/8/02 44 54 2
4/21/02 50 45 5
3/10/02 44 53 4
1/27/02 46 51 3
12/19/01 64 34 2
11/6/01 64 30 6 13. Just your best guess, in this war do you think most of the people of Iraq are on (Saddam Hussein's) side, or (the United States') side? Saddam United No
Hussein States opinion
4/9/03 12 77 11
3/27/03 34 49 17 14. Until a new government is fully established in Iraq, who do you think should be in charge there - (the United States) or (the United Nations)? United United Both Neither No
States Nations (vol.) (vol.) opinion
4/9/03 37 53 3 4 3 15. After the war, do you think a large number of United States soldiers should remain in Iraq to help maintain peace, or not? Yes No No opinion 4/9/03 69 28 2 Compare to: Do you think a large number of United States soldiers should remain in the Persian Gulf to help maintain peace, or not? Yes No No opinion 4/3/91 53 45 2 3/4/91 45 54 2 19. Do you think the war will leave the United States in a stronger position in the world, a weaker position, or won't it make much difference to the U.S position in the world? No No
Stronger Weaker difference opinion
4/9/03 52 12 31 5
Persian Gulf War:
3/4/91 84 3 13 1 20. As a result of the war, do you think the Middle East will be more stable, less stable, or what? More Less Neither Both No
stable stable (vol.) (vol.) opinion
4/9/03 64 20 8 3 6
Persian Gulf War:
3/4/91 63 22 10 2 3 21. How do you feel about (ITEM)? Would you say you're very concerned about that, somewhat concerned, not too concerned or not concerned at all? 4/9/03 - Summary Table ---Concerned--- ----Not concerned--- No
NET Very Smwt. NET Not too At all opin.
a. The possibility that the
United States will get bogged
down in a long and costly
peacekeeping mission in Iraq 62 24 39 35 24 11 3
b. The possibility that the war
has caused long-term damage to
U.S. relations with countries
that oppose the war, such as
France, Germany and Russia 41 17 24 57 26 32 1
c. The possibility that the United
States will be too quick to use
military force to resolve disputes
with other countries in the future 42 19 23 57 31 26 1 22. Considering everything, do you think the United States did the right thing in going to war with Iraq, or do you think it was a mistake? Right thing Mistake No opin. 4/9/03 81 16 3 3/27/03 69 26 5 Serbia: 6/10/99 55 41 4 6/6/99* 48 47 5 5/16/99 54 42 3 4/26/99 56 41 2 4/6/99 58 40 2 *Washington Post Compare to: Do you think the United States made a mistake in sending military forces to Afghanistan, or not? Yes No No opin. 1/9/02* 6 93 1 11/11/01* 9 89 2 Yugoslavia* 6/5/99 43 53 4 4/21/99 42 51 7 Persian Gulf* 7/21/91 15 82 3 3/3/91 10 87 3 2/10/91 21 76 3 2/2/91 18 80 2 1/26/91 18 77 5 1/20/91 16 80 4 1/13/91 29 65 6 1/6/91 30 61 9 12/9/90 28 66 6 12/2/90 29 66 5 11/18/90 27 65 8 11/11/90 27 68 5 11/4/90 25 67 8 10/28/90 24 71 5 10/21/90 26 67 7 10/14/90 27 68 5 10/4/90 21 71 8 9/30/90 20 73 7 9/16/90 18 73 10 9/11/90 19 76 5 9/2/90 16 76 8 8/26/90 18 76 6 8/19/90 17 75 8 Vietnam* 11/15/00 69 24 7 4/24/95 71 23 6 3/18/90 74 22 4 1/15/73 60 29 11 5/17/71 61 28 11 1/11/71 60 31 9 5/26/70 56 36 8 4/7/70 51 34 15 1/20/70 57 32 11 9/22/69 58 32 10 1/28/69 52 39 9 10/1/68 54 37 9 8/12/68 53 35 12 4/9/68 48 40 12 2/27/68 49 42 9 2/6/68 46 42 12 12/12/67 45 46 9 10/11/67 47 44 9 7/18/67 41 48 11 4/24/67 37 50 13 1/31/67 32 52 16 11/15/66 31 52 17 9/13/66 35 48 17 5/10/66 36 49 15 3/8/66 26 59 15 9/1/65 24 60 16 Korea* 6/7/00 34 47 19 1/16/53 36 50 14 10/22/52 43 37 19 10/14/52 43 37 20 3/5/52 51 35 14 8/8/51 42 48 11 6/21/51 43 40 17 4/21/51 37 45 18 3/31/51 45 43 12 2/9/51 49 41 9 1/5/51 49 38 13 8/25/50 20 65 15 *Gallup; various wordings © Copyright 2003 The Washington Post Company
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