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Washington Post-ABC News Poll: Fall of Baghdad

Thursday, April 10, 2003

The latest Washington Post-ABC News poll is based on telephone interviews with 509 randomly selected adults nationwide and was conducted Wednesday evening, April 9. The margin of sampling error for overall results is plus or minus 5 percentage points. Sampling error is only one of many potential sources of error in this or any other public opinion poll. Results of overnight polls that attempt to measure opinions about fast-changing news events should be interpreted with extra caution. Interviewing was conducted by TNS Intersearch of Horsham, Pa.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

             ---------Approve---------   --------Disapprove-------    No       
             NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Strongly   Somewhat   opin.     
4/9/03       77       58         19      20       14          6        4
4/3/03       71       54         16      25       19          7        4
3/23/03      68       NA         NA      27       NA         NA        4
3/20/03      67       NA         NA      28       NA         NA        5
3/2/03       62       38         23      35       22         13        4
2/23/03      60       NA         NA      34       NA         NA        6
2/9/03       64       42         21      34       20         14        3
2/1/03       62       41         21      34       22         13        4
1/28/03      62       43         19      36       23         13        2
1/27/03      59       39         21      37       22         15        4
1/20/03      59       36         23      38       22         16        2
12/15/02     66       37         28      32       20         12        2
11/4/02  LV  67       45         23      31       20         12        1
11/3/02  LV  67       45         22      32       20         12        1
11/2/02  LV  67       47         20      32       23          9        1
10/27/02 All 67       39         28      29       16         13        4
10/27/02 LV  68       47         21      30       16         14        3
9/26/02      67       42         25      30       18         12        3
9/8/02       71       42         28      27       15         12        3
7/28/02      69       39         31      28       14         14        3
7/15/02      72       42         31      25       13         12        2
6/17/02      74       42         32      22       13          9        4
6/9/02       77       41         36      20       11          9        3
5/19/02      76       48         28      22       13          8        3
4/21/02      78       47         31      20       10          9        2
3/28/02      79       49         30      18       10          8        3
3/10/02      82       52         30      16        7          9        2
1/27/02      83       56         27      14        7          7        3
12/19/01     86       64         22      12        6          6        2
11/27/01     89       69         21       9        5          4        1
11/6/01      89       65         24       9        4          5        2
10/9/01      92       76         16       6        3          3        1
9/27/01      90       70         20       6        3          3        4
9/13/01      86       63         23      12        6          5        2
9/9/01       55       26         29      41       22         20        3
8/12/01      61       28         33      31       17         14        8
7/30/01      59       28         30      38       22         17        3
6/3/01       55       27         28      40       22         18        6
4/22/01      63       33         30      32       16         16        5
3/25/01      58       NA         NA      33       NA         NA        8
2/25/01      55       NA         NA      23       NA         NA       22

2. In general, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States at this time?

             Satisfied    Dissatisfied    No opinion
4/9/03           65            32              3
3/23/03*         60            38              2
3/5/03*          36            61              3
2/9/03           49            49              2
7/30/01          53            47              1
11/4/00 LV       61            36              3
11/3/00 LV       61            35              4
11/2/00 LV       62            35              4
*Gallup.

3. Do you support or oppose the United States having gone to war with Iraq? Do you support/oppose it strongly or only somewhat?

           ---------Support---------    ----------Oppose---------       
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat    NET   Strongly   Somewhat   No op.   
4/9/03     80       63         17       17       12          6        3
4/6/03     77       57         20       16       10          7        7
4/3/03     73       58         15       24       16          8        4    
3/27/03    73       58         16       24       16          8        3    
3/23/03    72       55         17       26       16         10        2    
3/20/03    72       53         19       26       18          8        2    
3/17/03*   71       54         16       27       19          8        3    
3/9/03     59       40         19       35       21         14        6 

*3/17/03 and previous: Would you support or oppose the United States going to war with Iraq?

4. (IF SUPPORT WAR WITH IRAQ) What if the United States does NOT find chemical or biological weapons in Iraq - in that case would you support or oppose the war?

         Support   Oppose   No opin.
4/9/03     90         8        1

Q3/4 NET
           --------------Support war------------
                   --------If no weapons--------     Oppose      No
           NET     Support     Oppose     DK/REF      war      opinion
4/9/03     80        72           6          2        17          3

5. (IF OPPOSE WAR WITH IRAQ) What if the United States finds chemical or biological weapons in Iraq - in that case would you support or oppose the war?

         Support   Oppose   No opin.
4/9/03     24        70        6

Q3/5 NET
                        --------------Oppose war-------------
           Support              ---------If weapons----------      No
             war       NET     Support     Oppose     DK/REF     opinion
4/9/03       80        17         4          12          1          3

6. How would you say the war is going for the United States and its allies: very well, fairly well, not too well or not well at all?

            --------Well---------     --------Not well--------      No
            NET    Very    Fairly     NET    Not too    At all     opin.
4/9/03      96      66       30        3        3          *         *
4/3/03      91      47       44        6        3          3         2
3/27/03     82      34       49       13        9          5         4
3/23/03     84      35       50       10        6          4         6
Afghanistan:
3/10/02     85      24       61       14       10          3         1    
11/27/01    93      42       51        5        3          2         2    
11/6/01     85      23       62       12        8          4         3 
Campaign against terrorism:
9/26/02     73      15       58       26       17          9         1    
9/8/02      70      10       60       29       21          8         1    
7/15/02     75      15       60       24       16          8         1    
4/21/02     73      11       63       26       17          9         1    
3/10/02     84      21       63       15       10          6         1    
1/27/02     88      32       56       11        8          4         1  

7. As you may know, the United States military now controls most of Baghdad. Are you surprised or not surprised at how quickly that happened?

           Surprised     Not surprised     No opinion
4/9/03         28              70               2

8. Do you think the war with Iraq is basically over, or do you think there's more difficult fighting ahead?

           War      More       Both         No
           over     ahead     (vol.)     opinion
4/9/03      18        77         3          3

10. Thinking about the goals versus the costs of this war, so far in your opinion has there been an acceptable or unacceptable number of U.S. military casualties in Iraq?

            Acceptable     Unacceptable     No opinion
4/9/03          66              28               6
4/3/03          62              32               5
3/27/03         58              34               9

11. In its efforts to try to avoid civilian casualties in Iraq, do you think the United States is doing too much, too little, or about the right amount?

            Too       Too       Right        No
            much     little     amount     opinion
4/9/03        9         7         82          2
4/3/03       12        10         74          4
3/27/03      16        12         68          4

12. Do you think (the United States has to kill or capture Saddam Hussein for the war in Iraq to be a success), or do you think (the war in Iraq can be a success if Saddam Hussein is removed from power, but not killed or captured)?

             US must capture/     War can succeed        No 
               kill Hussein       without Hussein     opinion 
4/9/03              50                   43              7
3/20/03             49                   43              7

Compare to: Do you think (the United States has to capture or kill Osama bin Laden for the war on terrorism to be a success), or do you think (the war on terrorism can be a success without Osama bin Laden being killed or captured)?

             US must capture/      War can succeed       No 
              kill bin Laden      without bin Laden     opin. 
9/8/02              44                    54              2 
4/21/02             50                    45              5 
3/10/02             44                    53              4 
1/27/02             46                    51              3 
12/19/01            64                    34              2 
11/6/01             64                    30              6

13. Just your best guess, in this war do you think most of the people of Iraq are on (Saddam Hussein's) side, or (the United States') side?

             Saddam     United        No
            Hussein     States     opinion
4/9/03         12         77          11
3/27/03        34         49          17

14. Until a new government is fully established in Iraq, who do you think should be in charge there - (the United States) or (the United Nations)?

           United     United       Both     Neither       No
           States     Nations     (vol.)     (vol.)     opinion
4/9/03       37          53          3         4           3

15. After the war, do you think a large number of United States soldiers should remain in Iraq to help maintain peace, or not?

           Yes     No     No opinion
4/9/03     69      28          2 

Compare to: Do you think a large number of United States soldiers should remain in the Persian Gulf to help maintain peace, or not?

           Yes     No     No opinion
4/3/91     53      45          2
3/4/91     45      54          2 

19. Do you think the war will leave the United States in a stronger position in the world, a weaker position, or won't it make much difference to the U.S position in the world?

                                       No            No
           Stronger     Weaker     difference     opinion
4/9/03        52          12           31            5
Persian Gulf War:
3/4/91        84           3           13            1

20. As a result of the war, do you think the Middle East will be more stable, less stable, or what?

            More       Less      Neither      Both         No
           stable     stable      (vol.)     (vol.)     opinion
4/9/03       64         20           8          3          6
Persian Gulf War:
3/4/91       63         22          10          2          3

21. How do you feel about (ITEM)? Would you say you're very concerned about that, somewhat concerned, not too concerned or not concerned at all?

4/9/03 - Summary Table

                                         ---Concerned---   ----Not concerned---   No
                                         NET  Very  Smwt.  NET  Not too  At all  opin.   
a. The possibility that the 
   United States will get bogged 
   down in a long and costly 
   peacekeeping mission in Iraq          62    24    39    35      24      11       3  

b. The possibility that the war 
   has caused long-term damage to 
   U.S. relations with countries 
   that oppose the war, such as 
   France, Germany and Russia            41    17    24    57      26      32       1

c. The possibility that the United 
   States will be too quick to use 
   military force to resolve disputes 
   with other countries in the future    42    19    23    57      31      26       1

22. Considering everything, do you think the United States did the right thing in going to war with Iraq, or do you think it was a mistake?

            Right thing    Mistake    No opin.
4/9/03          81            16         3
3/27/03         69            26         5

Serbia:
6/10/99         55            41         4
6/6/99*         48            47         5
5/16/99         54            42         3
4/26/99         56            41         2
4/6/99          58            40         2

*Washington Post

Compare to: Do you think the United States made a mistake in sending military forces to Afghanistan, or not?

                 Yes   No   No opin.
1/9/02*           6    93      1
11/11/01*         9    89      2
Yugoslavia*			
6/5/99           43    53      4
4/21/99          42    51      7
Persian Gulf* 			
7/21/91          15    82      3
3/3/91           10    87      3
2/10/91          21    76      3
2/2/91           18    80      2
1/26/91          18    77      5
1/20/91          16    80      4
1/13/91          29    65      6
1/6/91           30    61      9
12/9/90          28    66      6
12/2/90          29    66      5
11/18/90         27    65      8
11/11/90         27    68      5
11/4/90          25    67      8
10/28/90         24    71      5
10/21/90         26    67      7
10/14/90         27    68      5
10/4/90          21    71      8
9/30/90          20    73      7
9/16/90          18    73     10
9/11/90          19    76      5
9/2/90           16    76      8
8/26/90          18    76      6
8/19/90          17    75      8
Vietnam* 			
11/15/00         69    24      7
4/24/95          71    23      6
3/18/90          74    22      4
1/15/73          60    29     11
5/17/71          61    28     11
1/11/71          60    31      9
5/26/70          56    36      8
4/7/70           51    34     15
1/20/70          57    32     11
9/22/69          58    32     10
1/28/69          52    39      9
10/1/68          54    37      9
8/12/68          53    35     12
4/9/68           48    40     12
2/27/68          49    42      9
2/6/68           46    42     12
12/12/67         45    46      9
10/11/67         47    44      9
7/18/67          41    48     11
4/24/67          37    50     13
1/31/67          32    52     16
11/15/66         31    52     17
9/13/66          35    48     17
5/10/66          36    49     15
3/8/66           26    59     15
9/1/65           24    60     16
Korea*		
6/7/00           34    47     19
1/16/53          36    50     14
10/22/52         43    37     19
10/14/52         43    37     20
3/5/52           51    35     14
8/8/51           42    48     11
6/21/51          43    40     17
4/21/51          37    45     18
3/31/51          45    43     12
2/9/51           49    41      9
1/5/51           49    38     13
8/25/50          20    65     15

*Gallup; various wordings


© Copyright 2003 The Washington Post Company


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